Experimental Design in Agriculture Name: ______ CROP 590 First Midterm Winter 2014 1) You are an agronomist investigating the effects of nitrogen fertility on yield of canola. You intend to apply five rates of nitrogen fertilizer in a replicated field experiment. Describe at least four potential natural sources of experimental error in your field and steps you could take to control them. 16 pts 2) You are conducting an experiment on wheat with 8 treatments and 3 replications using a Randomized Complete Block Design (RBD). 8 pts a) Fill in the appropriate degrees of freedom in the skeleton ANOVA below for the analysis of harvest yield. Source b) Assume that one of the harvest bags was damaged by mice in storage and all of the contents were lost. Show how the degrees of freedom would need to be adjusted for postharvest analysis of grain protein (with one missing plot). DF Source Total Blocks Total Lost a plot Blocks Treatments Treatments Error Error 1 DF 3) The response of soybeans to three seed treatments was measured in a Completely Randomized Design (CRD). Each treatment was replicated an equal number of times. Fill in the shaded cells to complete the ANOVA below. 14 pts Source DF SS Total 26 6754 MS Treatments F 2015 a) Do the results indicate that there were differences among the treatments? Support your statement with a significance test using the tables provided at the end of this exam. 6 pts b) Suppose that the data for this experiment had been analyzed with statistical software such as SAS or with the Excel Analysis Toolpak. Circle the actual probability value (Pr>F or P-value) that would most likely be associated with the observed value of F that you calculated in the ANOVA. 6 pts 8 pts i. < 0.0001 ii. 0.05 iii. 0.10 iv. 0.50 c) The mean for treatment A is 20 units greater than for treatment B. Is this difference significant? Show your work. 2 4) You wish to compare eight varieties of dry beans. The last time you conducted a trial in this field you obtained a mean yield of 2000 kg/ha and a standard deviation of 260 kg/ha using a standard plot size and four replications in a randomized block design. In your new trial, you would like to have an 80% probability of detecting differences that are 15% of the mean, using a significance level of 5%. 8 pts a) What was the CV of your previous experiment in this field? 12 pts b) If you use 4 replications again in an RBD, can you expect to have the desired level of power in your experiment, using a significance level of 5%? Use the tables at the end of this exam. Show your work and interpret your answer. Hints: There are several ways to solve this problem – look for the easiest way! You won’t be able to calculate power (1-) directly, but you should be able to answer the question. 5) An experiment is conducted as a Randomized Complete Block Design (RBD). After the experiment is completed it is determined that the relative efficiency compared to a CRD is 2.25. Circle the answer below that provides the best interpretation of this result. 6 pts a. A CRD would have been 125% more efficient than the RBD b. The RBD was 125% more efficient than a CRD c. The RBD was 2.25% more efficient than the CRD d. You would need to have 23 replications to attain the same efficiency using a CRD 3 6) You have been hired as a consultant to critique a small grains research program. On a trip to the field station you observe an experiment designed to investigate the effect of three planting densities (D1=100, D2=200, and D3=300 plants/m2) on grain yield of oats. You know from a soil map that the clay content of the soil is higher on the west side and lower on the east side of the field. The experiment has been divided into three blocks as shown below. 16 pts What is your assessment of the layout of this experiment? What would you do differently? What features of the design do you like? How would you explain your answers to the scientist who is conducting the experiment? 4 F Distribution 5% Points Denominator df 1 1 161.45 2 18.51 3 10.13 4 7.71 5 6.61 6 5.99 7 5.59 8 5.32 9 5.12 10 4.96 11 4.84 12 4.75 13 4.67 14 4.60 15 4.54 16 4.49 17 4.45 18 4.41 19 4.38 20 4.35 21 4.32 22 4.30 23 4.28 24 4.26 25 4.24 26 27 28 29 30 Student's t Distribution Numerator (2-tailed probability) 2 3 4 5 6 199.5 215.71 224.58 230.16 233.99 19 19.16 19.25 19.30 19.33 9.55 9.28 9.12 9.01 8.94 6.94 6.59 6.39 6.26 6.16 5.79 5.41 5.19 5.05 4.95 5.14 4.76 4.53 4.39 4.28 4.74 4.35 4.12 3.97 3.87 4.46 4.07 3.84 3.69 3.58 4.26 3.86 3.63 3.48 3.37 4.1 3.71 3.48 3.32 3.22 3.98 3.59 3.36 3.20 3.09 3.88 3.49 3.26 3.10 3.00 3.8 3.41 3.18 3.02 2.92 3.74 3.34 3.11 2.96 2.85 3.68 3.29 3.06 2.90 2.79 3.63 3.24 3.01 2.85 2.74 3.59 3.20 2.96 2.81 2.70 3.55 3.16 2.93 2.77 2.66 3.52 3.13 2.90 2.74 2.63 3.49 3.10 2.87 2.71 2.60 3.47 3.07 2.84 2.68 2.57 3.44 3.05 2.82 2.66 2.55 3.42 3.03 2.80 2.64 2.53 3.40 3.00 2.78 2.62 2.51 3.38 2.99 2.76 2.60 2.49 5 df 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 0.4 1.376 1.061 0.978 0.941 0.920 0.906 0.896 0.889 0.883 0.879 0.876 0.873 0.870 0.868 0.866 0.865 0.863 0.862 0.861 0.860 0.859 0.858 0.858 0.857 0.856 0.856 0.855 0.855 0.854 0.854 0.5 0.05 0.01 1.000 12.706 63.667 0.816 4.303 9.925 0.765 3.182 5.841 0.741 2.776 4.604 0.727 2.571 4.032 0.718 2.447 3.707 0.711 2.365 3.499 0.706 2.306 3.355 0.703 2.262 3.250 0.700 2.228 3.169 0.697 2.201 3.106 0.695 2.179 3.055 0.694 2.160 3.012 0.692 2.145 2.977 0.691 2.131 2.947 0.690 2.120 2.921 0.689 2.110 2.898 0.688 2.101 2.878 0.688 2.093 2.861 0.687 2.086 2.845 0.686 2.080 2.831 0.686 2.074 2.819 0.685 2.069 2.807 0.685 2.064 2.797 0.684 2.060 2.787 0.684 2.056 2.779 0.684 2.052 2.771 0.683 2.048 2.763 0.683 2.045 2.756 0.683 2.042 2.750