Experimental Design in Agriculture CSS 590 Final Exam, Winter, 2015 Name______________________ Part 1. Short answer, multiple choice, brief discussion questions 1) An experiment was conducted to determine the effects of two soil amendments on dry weight of four cultivars of a perennial grass species. A control treatment (no amendment) was also applied to each cultivar. The treatments were arranged in a split-plot design with soil amendment as the main plot and cultivar as the subplot. The experiment was replicated in four complete blocks. Complete the ANOVA (fill in the shaded areas): 11 pts Source df SS Total Block 47 3 2023 294 Amendment MS F 98 2 8 Cultivar Error b 6 pts 6 pts 3 69 27 84 14 108 4 a) Using the F table in the back of this exam, what are your conclusions regarding the effects of soil amendment and cultivar treatments on dry weight of this grass species? Justify your answer. b) How would you report the results? Calculate the appropriate standard error(s) for the means. 1 Question #1 cont’d. 8 pts c) The researcher would like to obtain additional harvests from the same plots for several years. What approach would you recommend for conducting a combined analysis of the data across years? Explain the rationale for your choice. 2) An experiment was conducted to determine the optimum time to apply a plant growth regulator to reduce lodging in oats. The growth regulator was applied at three growth stages (ZGS22, ZGS26, and ZGS30). A control treatment (no growth regulator) was also included. The experiment was conducted for three years to see if the optimum application time and effect of the growth regulator are consistent across a range of environmental conditions. The experimental design was a randomized complete block design with four replications. Source df Mean Square Expected Mean Square Year 2 MS1 σ2e + 4σ2Rep(Year) + 16σ2Year Rep(Year) 6 MS2 σ2e + 4σ2Rep(Year) Growth Stage 3 MS3 σ2e + 4σ2Year*GS + 12Ө2GS Year*Growth Stage 6 MS4 σ2e + 4σ2 Year*GS Error 27 MS5 σ2e Based on the Expected Mean Squares given in the table above, what would be appropriate ratio of Mean Squares to use to calculate an F value 6 pts a) To determine if there are differences among the Growth Stage Treatments? 6 pts b) To determine if there are differences among the Years? 2 3) You are a food technologist and you have developed three new methods for making orange juice. You wish to evaluate consumer acceptance of juice made with these new methods. You also want to compare the new juice products to two types of orange juice that are currently on the market (fresh squeezed brand X and frozen brand Y). You suspect that different age groups may have different preferences. Ten panelists in each of three age groups are identified to participate in the study (10 young, 10 middle-aged, and 10 elderly adults). Each of the panelist will be given the five types of orange juice in random order and asked to rate them for various quality parameters on a questionnaire that you have provided. Answer the two questions below regarding the linear model for this experiment. “Products” refer to the five types of orange juice. 6 pts Question 1 – circle the best answer a) Panelists and Age groups are cross-classified b) Panelists are nested in Products c) Age groups and Products are cross-classified d) There are no nested effects in the model 6 pts Question 2 – circle the best answer a) Panelists are fixed effects b) Products are fixed effects c) Age is the only fixed effect in the model d) All effects in the model are random 4) A fellow graduate student is planning an experiment, and seems to think that more complex experimental designs are better than simple designs. How would you convince him that it is best to use the simplest possible design that will meet the objectives of the experiment? Include at least three reasons that you would give him to justify your position. 9 pts 3 5) You are studying the effect of three cultivation methods on fresh weight of spinach. You decide to use a Randomized Block Design with 5 Blocks. This is your first experience collecting data of this sort, and you are not sure about the appropriate plot size needed to obtain an acceptable level of precision. For a preliminary analysis, you collect samples from two quadrats in each plot, and you then ask your assistant to enter the data and calculate the ANOVA. He provides you with the output below: The GLM Procedure Dependent Variable: weight Source DF Sum of Squares Mean Square F Value Pr > F Model 6 16.35733333 2.72622222 Error 23 8.92266667 0.38794203 Corrected Total 29 25.28000000 7.03 0.0002 R-Square Coeff Var Root MSE weight Mean 0.647046 11.12232 0.622850 5.600000 Source DF Type III SS Mean Square F Value Pr > F 9 pts block 4 4.16333333 1.04083333 2.68 0.0570 method 2 12.19400000 6.09700000 15.72 <.0001 Looking at the degrees of freedom and F ratios, you realize that the analysis has not been done correctly. How would you explain the mistake to your assistant? What should be done to obtain a correct analysis? 4 Part 2. Experimental Design Question You are planning an experiment to estimate yield losses due to an insect pest on an oilseed crop. The current practice is to spray with an insecticide one time during the cropping season. You would like to know if an additional spray one month later could provide a higher level of control and reduce yield losses. To avoid driving over the crop, the insecticide is generally applied to your research plots by driving through an alley that separates the plots. The boom on the sprayer can be adjusted to spray insecticide on one or both sides of the tractor. When fully extended on both sides, the width of the boom is 25 feet. The movement of the tractor with sprayer is perpendicular to the direction of planting. The alley must be at least 4 feet wide to avoid driving over the ends of the plots. You expect that the width of spacing between rows can affect the damage due to the insect and the capacity of the plants to compensate for the insect damage. Adjusting the row width on the planter is time consuming and must be done before or after planting any particular pass of the planter through the field. The planter can be adjusted to a 6”, 9” or 12” row spacing and can plant individual plots that are 20 feet long. The planter is 6-feet wide. Design an experiment that would meet your objectives 6 pts 5 pts 1) What type of experimental design will you use? Justify your choice. Indicate any basic assumptions that you have made. 2) List the treatments of the experiment. Be sure to include any necessary controls. Explain why you have chosen this particular set of treatments. 5 8 pts 8 pts 3) Break out the ANOVA in terms of Sources of Variation and degrees of freedom. Indicate the Mean Squares that would be used to calculate the F ratios for testing the treatment main effects and interactions for the design that you have chosen. 4) Draw a diagram to indicate the field layout. For one replication, show how the treatments will be randomized and assigned to experimental units. 6 F Distribution 5% Points Denominator Numerator df 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 161.45 199.5 215.71 224.58 230.16 233.99 236.77 2 18.51 19.00 19.16 19.25 19.30 19.33 19.36 3 10.13 9.55 9.28 9.12 9.01 8.94 8.89 4 7.71 6.94 6.59 6.39 6.26 6.16 6.08 5 6.61 5.79 5.41 5.19 5.05 4.95 5.88 6 5.99 5.14 4.76 4.53 4.39 4.28 4.21 7 5.59 4.74 4.35 4.12 3.97 3.87 3.79 8 5.32 4.46 4.07 3.84 3.69 3.58 3.50 9 5.12 4.26 3.86 3.63 3.48 3.37 3.29 10 4.96 4.10 3.71 3.48 3.32 3.22 3.13 11 4.84 3.98 3.59 3.36 3.20 3.09 3.01 12 4.75 3.88 3.49 3.26 3.10 3.00 2.91 13 4.67 3.80 3.41 3.18 3.02 2.92 2.83 14 4.60 3.74 3.34 3.11 2.96 2.85 2.76 15 4.54 3.68 3.29 3.06 2.90 2.79 2.71 16 4.49 3.63 3.24 3.01 2.85 2.74 2.66 17 4.45 3.59 3.20 2.96 2.81 2.70 2.61 18 4.41 3.55 3.16 2.93 2.77 2.66 2.58 19 4.38 3.52 3.13 2.90 2.74 2.63 2.54 20 4.35 3.49 3.10 2.87 2.71 2.60 2.51 21 4.32 3.47 3.07 2.84 2.68 2.57 2.49 22 4.30 3.44 3.05 2.82 2.66 2.55 2.46 23 4.28 3.42 3.03 2.80 2.64 2.53 2.44 24 4.26 3.40 3.00 2.78 2.62 2.51 2.42 25 4.24 3.38 2.99 2.76 2.60 2.49 2.40 26 4.23 3.37 2.98 2.74 2.59 2.47 2.39 27 4.21 3.35 2.96 2.73 2.57 2.46 2.37 28 4.20 3.34 2.95 2.71 2.56 2.45 2.36 29 4.18 3.33 2.93 2.70 2.55 2.43 2.35 30 4.17 3.32 2.92 2.69 2.53 2.42 2.33 7 Student's t Distribution (2-tailed probability) df 0.40 0.05 0.01 1 1.376 12.706 63.667 2 1.061 4.303 9.925 3 0.978 3.182 5.841 4 0.941 2.776 4.604 5 0.920 2.571 4.032 6 0.906 2.447 3.707 7 0.896 2.365 3.499 8 0.889 2.306 3.355 9 0.883 2.262 3.250 10 0.879 2.228 3.169 11 0.876 2.201 3.106 12 0.873 2.179 3.055 13 0.870 2.160 3.012 14 0.868 2.145 2.977 15 0.866 2.131 2.947 16 0.865 2.120 2.921 17 0.863 2.110 2.898 18 0.862 2.101 2.878 19 0.861 2.093 2.861 20 0.860 2.086 2.845 21 0.859 2.080 2.831 22 0.858 2.074 2.819 23 0.858 2.069 2.807 24 0.857 2.064 2.797 25 0.856 2.060 2.787 26 0.856 2.056 2.779 27 0.855 2.052 2.771 28 0.855 2.048 2.763 29 0.854 2.045 2.756 30 0.854 2.042 2.750