Experimental Design in Agriculture CROP 590 Final Exam, Winter, 2016 Name _______ ________ _ Part I. Short answer – please show your work 1) An experiment is conducted to evaluate the yield of seven oat cultivars at four locations that represent a sample of the environments in which the cultivars are likely to be grown. The experimental design at each location is a randomized complete block design with three replications. Source df Mean Square Expected Mean Square Location 3 MS1 σ2e + 7σ2Rep(Loc) + 21σ2Loc Rep(Loc) 8 MS2 σ2e + 7σ2Rep(Loc) Cultivar 6 MS3 σ2e + 3σ2Loc x Cultivar + 12Ө2Cult Loc*Cultivar 18 MS4 σ2e + 3σ2 Loc x Cultivar Error 48 MS5 σ2e 3 pts a) Based on the Expected Mean Squares given in the table above, what would be the appropriate ratio of Mean Squares to use to calculate an F value to determine if there are differences among the cultivars? 4 pts b) Are Replications and Locations nested or cross-classified? Explain your answer. 4 pts 4 pts c) The seven oat cultivars include the most promising new cultivars from your breeding program, and you are considering them for commercial release. Do you think that cultivars should be designated as fixed or random effects in this experiment? Defend your choice. d) Using Cultivars as an example, explain what the Expected Mean Square in the ANOVA represents and define each of its components. 1 2) A researcher wished to study the relationships between irrigation and nitrogen response in corn. Because irrigation could only be applied to large plots, she decided to use a split plot design with the irrigation treatments (irrigated and nonirrigated) as main plots and nitrogen fertility (60, 90, 120, 150 and 180 lbs/acre) as the subplots. The trial was planted in four complete blocks. Yield was recorded in bu/acre. 10 pts Complete the ANOVA (fill in shaded areas): Source Total Block Irrigation df 39 3 1 SS 12879 1911 MS F 637 128 Nitrogen Error b 5 pts 4 24 1834 585 720 15.28 146.25 30 a) Using the F table in the back of this exam, what are your conclusions regarding the effects of irrigation and nitrogen on corn yield? b) Calculate the standard error for an irrigation treatment mean. 5 pts 3) You are reading an article that was published in 1965. The authors were evaluating the effect of growth promoters on Douglas Fir seedlings. Measurements were taken at monthly intervals over the first two years of growth, and time of sampling was analyzed as a sub-plot factor in a split-plot analysis. What type of analysis should be considered for this data set today? What are the advantages of the current methods of analysis compared to the split-plot in time? 8 pts 2 4) An experiment was conducted to determine the effect of storage temperature on the potency of an antibiotic. Fifteen samples of the antibiotic were obtained and three samples, selected at random from the fifteen, were stored at each of five temperatures: 10, 30, 50, 70, 90. At the end of a thirty day storage period the samples were tested for potency with the following results: Temperature Mean 10 58 30 31 50 18 70 13 Source df SS Total 14 4680.4 4 4520.4 1130.1 10 160.0 16.0 Temperature Error 90 11 MS F 70.63** Orthogonal Polynomial Coefficients are used to obtain the following contrasts: Temperature 10 30 50 70 90 Linear -2 -1 0 1 2 2 -1 -2 -1 2 -1 2 0 -2 1 -4 6 -4 Quadratic Cubic Quartic 8 pts 6 pts k2 L SS(L) -112 10 3763.20 235.2 1 -11 10 36.30 2.27 1 1 70 0.04 0 a) Fill in the shaded areas to complete the analysis of contrasts. Show your calculations below. b) What do these results tell you about the relationship between storage temperature and antibiotic potency? Use the F table at the end of this exam to support your conclusions. 3 F 5) Eight meadowfoam families were evaluated for seed oil content in a field study. The experiment was blocked to account for soil heterogeneity and for ease of field operations. Each of the 8 families was randomly assigned to two complete blocks. A 3' x 20' area of each plot was harvested and threshed and the seeds were cleaned and weighed. A representative sample of seed was taken from each plot and sent to the OSU seed lab for determination of oil content (%). The researcher requested that duplicate NMR analyses be conducted on each sample. All of the data was analyzed in PROC GLM in SAS. The GLM Procedure Dependent Variable: Oil Source DF Sum of Squares Mean Square F Value Pr > F Model 15 50.75397187 3.38359812 Error 16 8.41925000 0.52620313 Corrected Total 31 59.17322187 6.43 <.0001 R-Square Coeff Var Root MSE Oil Mean 0.857719 2.831204 Source DF 0.725399 25.62156 Type III SS Mean Square F Value Pr > F Block 1 2.32740312 2.32740312 4.42 0.0516 Family 7 45.33204687 6.47600670 12.31 <.0001 Block*Family 7 0.44207455 0.84 0.5706 3.09452187 a) Is the F Value and Pr>F for Families in this output correct? Explain your answer. 4 pts b) Calculate the correct F statistic for families and determine if there are significant differences among families using the F table at the back of this exam. 6 pts 4 6 pts 6) An experiment has been conducted to determine the effects of Nitrogen and Phosphorus fertilizer on the growth of spinach. Because the fertilizer treatments were applied with a farm-scale fertilizer spreader, a strip-plot design was used with three complete blocks. In the diagram below, shade or circle examples of the designated experimental units: a) Block I – an experimental unit for a Nitrogen treatment b) Block II – an experimental unit for a Phosphorus treatment c) Block III – the experimental unit for a specific combination of Nitrogen and Phosphorus that would be used to evaluate the importance of Nitrogen x Phosphorus interactions Block I N2 N3 Block II N1 N2 N1 Block III N3 N1 P3 P1 P3 P1 P3 P2 P2 P2 P1 N3 N2 Part II. Experimental Design (Answer Questions A through E) As an agronomist, you are interested in studying the effect of phosphate fertilizer and potash fertilizer on the yield of a perennial forage crop. Optimum rates have been established for each of the fertilizers individually, but you would like to find out if the application of one fertilizer affects the response to the other fertilizer. Other studies have indicated that the timing of application has an effect on the crop’s ability to use the fertilizer. To test this, you decide to use three different application dates: November 1, January 1, and March 1. The fertilizer application does not require large machinery. A local farmer has a large field that has been uniformly planted to the forage crop. There is also greenhouse space available, and flats in which you could plant the crop. A) Which site will you use for the experiment? Justify your choice. 3 pts 4 pts B) List the treatments of the experiment. Be sure to include any necessary controls. Explain why you have chosen this particular set of treatments. 5 6 pts 6 pts C) What type of experimental design will you use? Justify your choice. Indicate any basic assumptions that you have made. D) Draw a diagram to indicate the experimental layout. For one replication, show how the treatments will be randomized and assigned to experimental units. 6 8 pts E) Break out the ANOVA in terms of Sources of Variation and degrees of freedom. Indicate the appropriate error terms for the F tests for the effects of interest. 7 F Distribution 5% Points Denominator Numerator df 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 161.45 199.5 215.71 224.58 230.16 233.99 236.77 2 18.51 19.00 19.16 19.25 19.30 19.33 19.36 3 10.13 9.55 9.28 9.12 9.01 8.94 8.89 4 7.71 6.94 6.59 6.39 6.26 6.16 6.08 5 6.61 5.79 5.41 5.19 5.05 4.95 5.88 6 5.99 5.14 4.76 4.53 4.39 4.28 4.21 7 5.59 4.74 4.35 4.12 3.97 3.87 3.79 8 5.32 4.46 4.07 3.84 3.69 3.58 3.50 9 5.12 4.26 3.86 3.63 3.48 3.37 3.29 10 4.96 4.10 3.71 3.48 3.32 3.22 3.13 11 4.84 3.98 3.59 3.36 3.20 3.09 3.01 12 4.75 3.88 3.49 3.26 3.10 3.00 2.91 13 4.67 3.80 3.41 3.18 3.02 2.92 2.83 14 4.60 3.74 3.34 3.11 2.96 2.85 2.76 15 4.54 3.68 3.29 3.06 2.90 2.79 2.71 16 4.49 3.63 3.24 3.01 2.85 2.74 2.66 17 4.45 3.59 3.20 2.96 2.81 2.70 2.61 18 4.41 3.55 3.16 2.93 2.77 2.66 2.58 19 4.38 3.52 3.13 2.90 2.74 2.63 2.54 20 4.35 3.49 3.10 2.87 2.71 2.60 2.51 21 4.32 3.47 3.07 2.84 2.68 2.57 2.49 22 4.30 3.44 3.05 2.82 2.66 2.55 2.46 23 4.28 3.42 3.03 2.80 2.64 2.53 2.44 24 4.26 3.40 3.00 2.78 2.62 2.51 2.42 25 4.24 3.38 2.99 2.76 2.60 2.49 2.40 26 27 28 29 30 8 Student's t Distribution (2-tailed probability) df 0.40 0.05 0.01 1 1.376 12.706 63.667 2 1.061 4.303 9.925 3 0.978 3.182 5.841 4 0.941 2.776 4.604 5 0.920 2.571 4.032 6 0.906 2.447 3.707 7 0.896 2.365 3.499 8 0.889 2.306 3.355 9 0.883 2.262 3.250 10 0.879 2.228 3.169 11 0.876 2.201 3.106 12 0.873 2.179 3.055 13 0.870 2.160 3.012 14 0.868 2.145 2.977 15 0.866 2.131 2.947 16 0.865 2.120 2.921 17 0.863 2.110 2.898 18 0.862 2.101 2.878 19 0.861 2.093 2.861 20 0.860 2.086 2.845 21 0.859 2.080 2.831 22 0.858 2.074 2.819 23 0.858 2.069 2.807 24 0.857 2.064 2.797 25 0.856 2.060 2.787 26 0.856 2.056 2.779 27 0.855 2.052 2.771 28 0.855 2.048 2.763 29 0.854 2.045 2.756 30 0.854 2.042 2.750