Final Minutes 8th SC-IHDP FINAL Minutes of the 8 IHDP-Scientific Committee Meeting Monday, March 26 – Wednesday, 28, 2001 Bonn, Germany 1 th 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 The Scientific Committee met at the Hotel Königshof, Adenauer Allee, in Bonn. In attendance on March 26: Arild Underdal (Chair), Carlo Jaeger (Treasurer), Eckart Ehlers (past Chair), Mauricio Tolmasquim, P.S. Ramakrishnan, Elinor Ostrom, Mohamed Salih, Bill Clark, Gilberto Gallopín, Kurt Pawlik, Will Steffen (Executive Director IGBP), Peter Lemke (Chair WCRP), Pier Vellinga (Chair IT), Oran Young (Chair IDGEC), Mike Brklacich (Chair GECHS), Eric Lambin (Chair LUCC), Jill Jäger (Executive Director IHDP), Ramine Shaw, Sylvia Karlsson, Maarit Thiem, Debra Meyer-Wefering, Ike Holtmann (Intern. Science Project Co-ordinators), Elisabeth Dyck (Information Officer) Laura Siklossy, Lisa Jibikilayi (Administrative Assistants), Kerstin Schmidt-Verkerk (Research Assistant). Excused: Anne Whyte (Vice-Chair), Berrien Moore III (Chair, IGBP), Hans Opschoor, Peter Tyson, Joao Morais, Xizhe Peng, Rik Leemans, Gordon McBean (new ICSU representative); Akilagpa Sawyerr stepped down Feb. 20, 2001. 21 22 23 24 25 26 I Welcome 27 28 29 30 31 II Agenda and Schedule of Work 32 33 34 35 III Minutes of the 6th Session SC-IHDP 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 Arild Underdal opened the meeting at 9 a.m. on Monday by welcoming new members to the SC (Clark, Salih) and to the Secretariat staff (Karlsson, Meyer-Wefering, Dyck). He introduced the new procedures for the SC meeting (sub-committee resolutions for plenary discussion, detailed project presentations to alternate every two years). The Draft Agenda and Schedule of Work was adopted with amendments: a) It was agreed that the meeting should convene at 8:30 a.m. on March 27 and b) It was agreed that the draft document “Looking Forward” should be discussed on March 27 prior to the lunch break. The revised Draft Minutes of the 7th Scientific Committee Meeting (March 2000 in Bonn) were adopted as presented. IV Executive Director’s Report Jill Jäger summarised the detailed contents of the written Quarterly Reports 2000, which had been sent at regular intervals by email to the SC. She emphasised that the work programme of the Secretariat is guided by fundamental IHDP objectives, which are: 1) to co-ordinate and support development of research agenda, including funding initiatives, 2) capacity building, and 3) network development. Explicit challenges for the future are a) securing the future of the Secretariat and the IPOs and b) strengthening the HD research community. V In-depth presentation of LUCC research by Eric Lambin (and representing Rik Leemans) At the beginning of his presentation Eric Lambin stated that land-use/cover change research tends to be on global scale and disconnected. One of LUCC’s major objectives is to connect created on March 29, 2001 updated on 25.07.16 1 Final Minutes 8th SC-IHDP 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 and add value to these exercises. This is done by synthesis approaches that seek to come to generalisation by a combination of literature reviews and newly initiated case studies. To demonstrate the conceptual and methodological impact of this approach he chose to introduce a case study he is involved in together with Kathy Homewoods on “Long term changes in African Savanna Wildlife and land cover: pastoralists or politics?” This study evaluates whether policies have led to changes in land-use and land-cover and therefore to decline in wildlife numbers in the African Savanna in Kenya and Tanzania. As main conclusions of this in-depth case study Lambin listed the following: 1 – the main problem is not the quantity of cultivation but its spatial location 2 – Drivers are markets and national land tenure policy 3 – Rapid land cover change and wildlife decline take place in Kenya 4 – Land-use strategies are driven by a mixture of spatial determinants and societal networks. As another major LUCC activity Lambin presented the historic land cover database BIOME 300. The joint LUCC – PAGES initiative on a reconstruction of land cover over the last 300 years once more reflected the need for a concerted approach to issues of data standardisation and validation. Discussion: The IHDP SC expressed great appreciation of the demonstrated example of ongoing LUCC research. It became clear that land-use/cover changes are modified by a variety of humanenvironment interactions that may differ on very small spatial scales. To come to a global generalisation for LUCC research a large number of in-depth studies will be necessary before attempting to synthesise. This entails a whole range of methodological obstacles. The coupled biophysical-social systems that LUCC research is dealing with cannot be tackled by singlevariables concepts. Eric Lambin stressed to the IHDP SC that rather than worrying about macro-/micro-level integration, it is the biophysical - social system integration that needs to be focused on. To find the tools and to create the basis for operationalisation of the systemic concept is the key challenge to the LUCC community at present. According to this main objective the LUCC SSC redefined its priority questions for LUCC research at their last SSC meeting, held in January 2001 in Wavre/Belgium: Priority questions for land-use/cover change research in the next couple of years: Focus 1: Land use dynamics - How to improve and generalise our understanding of the drivers of land-use change? Focus 2: Land-cover changes - How to better assess the rates of land-cover changes? Focus 3: Integrated land-use change models - How to better represent our current understanding of the processes of land-use change in models? The SC-IHDP identified the challenge of integration at three levels: 1 – Disciplinary 2 – Scale 3 – Time Holtmann, Jäger, Lambin and Steffen met over a working lunch to discuss “Land” issues. created on March 29, 2001 updated on 25.07.16 2 Final Minutes 8th SC-IHDP 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 VI In-depth presentation of IDGEC by Oran Young The project Chair gave an overview on current activities undertaken by IDGEC in the context of collaboration with other GEC research actors and programmes as well as with funding agencies. The development of the three flagship activities has progressed well. For atmospheric systems CMRA focuses, e.g., on institutional issues related to the administration of the climate regime in its present form. A longer term issue relating to carbon management is the ability of the regime to change and adapt over time (redesign). For the marine systems PEEZ looks at one of the most significant distributional and institutional changes in history with over 100 coastal countries with EEZ based regimes in operation. For terrestrial systems PEF looks at, e.g., global influences on local forest conditions and management practice. Cross-cutting themes for all three flagships include knowledge (links with institutional systems) and compliance. Scoping reports have been developed for all three projects and for the first two the first workshops have been held (CMRA Tokyo 2000 and PEEZ Tromsö 2001). For effective implementation Young stressed the approach to identify younger scholars (doctoral, postdoctoral) to become involved. Some of the challenges at the current stage are to move from planning to focused research, to mobilise funds and to sustain SSC interest and commitment. In its efforts to develop partnerships, Young cited the following accomplishments so far: The GEC programmes cross-cutting themes of Carbon, Food, Water, the Amsterdam Open Science Meeting, LUCC Focus 1 on case studies (considered a potential collaboration partner), the German National Committee meeting on Global Environmental Institutions, the Swiss national committee on “Landscapes and Habitats of the Alps” and the US national committee on the “Global Carbon Cycle”. A memorandum of understanding for collaborative relationship with Rutgers-Newark Centre for Global Change and Governance has been signed and there have been discussions with the Harvard Global Environment Assessment program, and the National Institute of Environmental Studies of Japan. With regard to policymakers, discussions have taken place with UNFCCC and with United Nations’ East Timor institutional consultants. For the future, Young stressed the interest in strengthening links among IHDP projects, such as on the topic of governance. In the activities to support the development of a network among interested researchers (via website, newsletter, panels at conferences etc.) some challenges are the in-house capability to update website in a timely fashion and limitations of the network database. Future directions in this area are to search for new mechanisms to build and catalyse the network, explore innovative communications technologies, seek funding for institutional mechanisms for preand post-graduate fellowship programs and expand the endorsement strategy. Discussion The aspect of cross-scale interaction was stressed as very relevant and also raised questions on what levels are in focus in which geographical areas and what the efforts are to bring in new groups of researchers from other regions. The SC discussed possibilities of how IDGEC might want to communicate its highly complex scientific issues to the end-user level. It was felt that it is important for IDGEC to be more explicit about the value added provided by the project. This could include, for example, synthesising research results from outside our community so that they become relevant for policymakers, translation, acting as a knowledge broker, and bringing up new initiated projects with questions not asked previously or competing created on March 29, 2001 updated on 25.07.16 3 Final Minutes 8th SC-IHDP 146 147 148 propositions. The next funding phase was also a point of discussion in terms of the SC stressing the need to prepare the extension proposals. 149 150 151 152 153 154 155 156 157 158 159 160 VII Brief overview of GECHS by Mike Brklacich 161 162 163 164 165 166 167 168 169 170 171 172 173 174 175 176 177 178 179 180 181 182 183 184 185 186 187 188 189 190 191 192 193 VII Brief overview of IT by Pier Vellinga Mike Brklacich gave a short presentation on GECHS, its current stage and priorities for the period 2001-2003. On implementation of research activities progress is being made towards having two signature projects (Russia and Mekong). There is also a need to develop the process for project approval. For the IPO a priority is to find better long-term funding and consider relocation after July of 2002. The publications and communications strategy was summarised, pointing out, e.g., the need to make GECHS SSC members give due credit to their GECHS link when they publish. The SSC has a few vacancies at the moment and there will be a renewal after mid 2002. They are considering a GECHS workshop in 2002 and then possibly on an annual basis. GECHS is involved with the joint projects on water, carbon and food systems. Pier started with an overview of IT research methodology and a brief financial overview and IPO report on staffing, etc. He reported that the SSC members have been appointed, and they met for the first time in December 2000. The focus of the presentation was on the current implementation phase of the project. This primarily consists of the development of a Terms of Reference (TOR) Document for the endorsement of IT research projects. The TOR document is now complete and available on the IT website. A number of projects are already being considered for IT endorsement according to the TOR document. Pier outlined several of these projects according to three of the five research themes already identified by the project: Food, Cities and Energy (other two foci not represented due to lack of time were Transformation Processes and Governance and Information and Communication). The goal is to have some 15-20 major endorsed IT projects with input and guidance from the SSC, and some 30-40 projects as „contributing“ to the IT research agenda. In an interesting aside, Pier mentioned that the Science Plan has been translated into Chinese. The meeting was adjourned at 5:30 p.m. VIII At 6 p.m. Elinor Ostrom gave a lecture on “Human and Ecological Systems: Interaction, Scale, and Polycentricity”, for which 10 guests joined the SC and staff: Ziegler (BMBF), Karte (DFG), Kühr (DLR), Engel and Héritier (MPP), Röser (IGFA), Sachs (NRW), Fritz (BMBF-IB), Lensu (LSE/ZEF), De Soysa (ZEF). The lecture was followed by a reception and dinner for all. ____________________________________ Tuesday, March 27: The Chair opened the plenary at 8:30 a.m. In attendance were Underdal, Jaeger, Ehlers, Pawlik (ISSC), Tolmasquim, Ostrom, Lemke, Gallopín, Steffen, Ramakrishnan, Vellinga, Brklacich, Salih, Young, Clark, Jäger, Shaw, Holtmann, Thiem, Siklossy, Karlsson, Dyck, Meyer-Wefering. created on March 29, 2001 updated on 25.07.16 4 Final Minutes 8th SC-IHDP 194 195 196 197 198 199 200 201 202 203 204 205 206 207 208 209 210 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 218 219 220 221 222 223 224 225 226 227 228 229 230 231 232 233 234 235 236 237 238 239 240 241 242 IX Joint Projects 1) Carbon Oran Young, the designated IHDP representative on the joint carbon project writing team, gave an overview of the state of art. He referred to the Executive Summary of the joint carbon project document and pointed out that, although there are still adjustments to be done, the basic plan is defined and all of the authors involved from the IGBP, IHDP and WCRP communities are satisfied with what has been reached so far. Coming from a rather loose coalition, the document has made its way to successfully reflect true integration. The reception from IGBP and WCRP communities has been positive. A document that is complete in substance is to be released at the OSM in Amsterdam, July 2001. Right after the OSM in Amsterdam the Chairs and Directors Meeting will take place. It is anticipated to get approval for a suggested management structure for the joint carbon project at that time. Young requested the SC’s comments/action on the following discussion items: Statement from the SC on the developments so far Discussion and approval of the suggested management structure of 3 co-chairs and additional nominees to support the co-chairs work. Issues of financial support for this joint project Discussion Although the SC judges this joint exercise as a promising approach towards real integration across all three GEC programmes on a scientific theme of high relevance, it was felt that there are still a number of conceptual gaps when it comes to human dimensions that need in-depth review of a sub-committee. 2) Water Jill Jäger gave a report of the statutes of the water cross-cutting project. The first scoping meeting among the three GEC programmes was held in Paris in September 2000. Since then there were informal meetings in Los Angeles and Chiang Mai. Jäger stressed that there is a lot of interest in water in the IHDP projects (see Update 1/01) but there is need to work more on developing an IHDP perspective, and for this the support of the SC is needed. Discussion: The reasons for the difficulty in getting this cross-cut theme off the ground were discussed, and whether it was worth pursuing it. It was argued that the problems have both been in the logistical aspect of bringing actors together, as well as the more difficult research questions for this theme. It was suggested to make one last serious effort to get the project going, and at the next SC meeting 2002 a decision will be made. 3) GECaFS Mike Brklacich gave a comprehensive overview on the development within GECaFS over the last year. To date, three planning workshops were held during which the guiding principles, the goal, fundamental questions and the science themes were developed. Members of the IHDP science community strongly participated in the planning process. At the same time Brklacich stressed the uniqueness of the project among the GEC projects, because GECaFS actively seeks collaboration with the donor and CG community to broaden the perspective and framework. GECaFS is currently in the process of developing regional exemplar questions. With the help of regional exemplar projects (Southeast Asia, Africa and Latin America), the created on March 29, 2001 updated on 25.07.16 5 Final Minutes 8th SC-IHDP 243 244 245 246 247 248 249 250 251 252 253 254 255 256 257 258 259 260 261 262 263 264 265 266 267 268 269 270 271 272 273 274 275 276 277 278 279 280 281 282 283 284 285 286 287 288 289 290 scientific framework will be further refined and implemented. In conclusion, Brklacich stated that IHDP had experienced a full and equal partnership throughout the process. The scientists involved in the endeavour developed a truly integrative framework and positioned vulnerability at its center. GECaFS will have to fall back on the 3 GEC programmes in order to develop comprehensive scenarios, which are not only geared towards Climate Change. Discussion: The value of the project and its development were acknowledged. The discussion focussed on the effects of Food Systems on Global Environmental Change, stressing that Food Systems have a major impact on changes in the biophysical system. It was further stated that caution should be paid to differences of time scales that are involved in the SEA exemplar project. The SC members emphasised that an integrative project has to take the joint humanenvironment system as a focus and has to look at the vulnerability of the joint system. The question was posed how the project is dealing with rapid changes that are happening due to various driving forces and how those driving forces are being separated from impacts resulting from GEC. Decision: The SC agreed that the planning process is proceeding well and that the IHDP will support its further development. Decision: The SC adopted the following general procedures in regards to Joint Projects 1. The Joint Projects will be discussed during the SC meetings with regard to their scientific development and the SC will be fully informed about progress and developments and will be afforded the opportunity to discuss them. 2. Chairs and Directors: the Chairs and Directors Meeting will be the body to which the projects will formally report. 3. Steering Committees: the Steering Committees of the 3 Joint Projects need not be standardised. But it is envisaged that each project has a Steering Committee with members from its 3 research communities. Small committees should be the goal. Oran agreed to co-chair Carbon and Mike consented to co-chair GECaFS. In light of the workload of these two people, this agreement might need to be revisited at some point in time. X Global Change Open Science Conference, Amsterdam Will Steffen reported on the current status of preparations for the OSC, to be held in Amsterdam 10-13 July, 2001. He thanked all conference collaborators for their assistance and asked SC attendees for support in promoting the conference to help make it a success. As of 20 March, 180 abstracts and 320 registrations had been received. IGBP hopes for 1000 participants and 500 abstracts; a great success would be 1500 to 2000 participants. The deadline for early registration is 30 April 2001. IGBP has produced a range of “programme-neutral” promotional materials for the OSC: A-3 Poster conference flyer Program „At a glance“ created on March 29, 2001 updated on 25.07.16 6 Final Minutes 8th SC-IHDP 291 292 293 294 295 296 297 298 299 300 301 302 303 304 In addition, some other promotional material has been produced, i.e. a special edition of the IGBP Newsletter, focussing on topics covered by the OSC. The promotional material can be requested through the IGBP Secretariat. 305 306 307 308 309 310 311 312 313 314 315 316 317 318 319 320 321 322 323 324 325 326 327 328 329 330 331 332 333 334 335 336 XI IGBP Restructure 337 338 339 Jill Jäger added that IHDP has been very involved in the conference preparations and in setting up the programme. IHDP‘s new Information Officer, Elisabeth Dyck has already contributed to the media working group, which is preparing a communications campaign. Will explained that a single output is planned in the form of a book, based on the plenary presentations (ca. 40). IGBP‘s Science Communicator, Susannah Elliot, has requested a background paper (1500 words) from each Plenary Speaker. As some speakers have used their material before, an idea is to produce a more „popular book“; with shorter contributions. These papers will also be made available in the „Virtual Media Room“ on the Internet. Will Steffen introduced the new timeline for the IGBP Phase II restructure as was agreed at the last IGBP SC meeting: Feb 2001 – Dec 02 Transition Phase 31 Dec 2002 IGBP terminates 1 Jan 2003 IGBP II launched 2008 Midterm Review 2012 Sunset The conceptual background of this transition is “from focused sub-system science to integrated Earth System Science”. The emphasis will be put on the interfaces of the subsystems based on projects like, e.g., LOICZ, SOLAS…. Will Steffen explicitly stressed IGBP’s desire to implement this outlined transition in close partnership with IHDP and WCRP. The research approach for implementing IGBP Phase II 1 – Mission Statement 2 – Fundamental Functionality: Teleconnections, Feedbacks, Singularities, Switch and Choke Points, Time Scales and Variability Regimes 3a – Devise actual research activities 3b – Bottom-up approach: formulate synthesising questions from existing projects IGBP has stressed both the intellectual and organisational aspects of the partnership with IHDP and WCRP. In terms of organisational partnership, IGBP has defined and recommended two important elements: (I) direct contributions from key IHDP and WCRP scientists in the planning process for IGBP Phase II, and (ii) the merger of closely related core projects exeising in the progammes (e.g. LUCC and GCTE, IGAC and SPARC, BAHC and GEWEX). However, IGBP also recognises that there are good reasons for the partner programmesto maintain their core projects in an identifiable form for specified times into the future, and that the goal of increased structural integration across the programmes cannot be achieved as quickly as IGBP my like. WCRP – JSC – added to the Draft Agenda Peter Lemke provided an overview of the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP), detailing its origin, sponsors, objectives, infrastructure and scientific strategy. Six leading created on March 29, 2001 updated on 25.07.16 7 Final Minutes 8th SC-IHDP 340 341 342 343 344 345 346 347 348 349 350 351 352 353 354 355 356 357 358 359 360 361 362 research projects were described: TOGA, GEWEX, WOCE, SPARC, ACSYS to CliC, and CLIVAR, and a schematic diagram of relevant international bodies was laid out. Emerging challenges to the WCRP are to coordinate research on the prediction of regional climate change; coordinate research on detection/attribution of anthropogenic climate change; cooperate in the acquisition of a global change database; coordinate development of an international climate modeling infrastructure; and cooperate in the development of coordinated studies linking climate change predictions, diagnoses, impacts, assessments and responses. Priorities for the next decade, which were agreed upon at the WCRP-Conference in Geneva 1997, include assessing the nature and predictability of seasonal to interdecadal climate variations at global and regional scales; providing the scientific basis for operational predictions; detecting climate change and attributing causes; and projecting the magnitude and rate of human-induced change (as input for IPCC, UNFCCC, etc.). The long-range vision for WCRP (to 2010) includes integrated assessments for management, policy and development; climate impacts prediction; an operational climate prediction system; an operational climate observing system; and earth systems models. 363 364 365 366 367 368 369 370 371 372 373 374 375 376 377 378 379 380 381 382 383 384 385 386 387 388 XII 2001 Open Meeting Rio de Janeiro TOGA: Tropical Ocean and Global Atmosphere GEWEX: Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment WOCE: World Ocean Circulation Experiment SPARC: Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate ACSYS: Arctic Climate System Study (CliC) CLIVAR: Climate Variability and Predictability Jill gave a short update on the state-of-the-art of the planning process. CIESIN has assumed responsibility for handling all incoming abstracts as well as setting up a homepage for the Open Meeting. The deadline for the submission of abstracts was beginning of April (after a short extension due to server problems): about 550 abstracts were submitted with a strong representation from developing country scientists. The Open Meeting in Rio is facing a crucial problem: lack of funding for the Meeting in October. The proposals sent out to various Foundations received negative responses, responses to proposals to the EU and NSF are still pending. The costs of attracting people from developing countries and of bringing in young scholars, which is a primary goal of the Open Meeting, far exceed expected income. The funding shortage also affects the Planning Meeting, which was scheduled for May 2001 in Rio. The Planning Meeting is essential to set up the agenda of the meeting and to meet with the local organising committee. Jill asked for input on the following points: 1) Shall IHDP raise its contribution for the Open Meeting (so far $ 20,000) 2) Advice on the funding strategy 3) Advice on the strategy for the Planning Meeting and the Open Meeting Discussion The discussion stressed the importance of this Open Meeting because it will be the first Open Meeting held in the Southern Hemisphere. Cancelling or even postponing the meeting would be devastating for the reputation of Human Dimensions Community. It was suggested that it might be more appealing to apply for grants in a different package than has been done so far, e.g. design a strategy where the Open Meeting becomes part of a bigger project. The suggestion was made to approach the World Bank and Regional Development created on March 29, 2001 updated on 25.07.16 8 Final Minutes 8th SC-IHDP 389 390 391 392 Banks. At the same time the SC emphasised that very often proposals have a better chance of being accepted if they come from the host country. Several members of the SC met over breakfast to discuss the further approach for funding. 393 394 395 396 397 398 399 400 XIII IHDW-2000: Goals and Accomplishments, Future Prospects 401 402 403 404 405 406 407 408 409 410 411 412 413 414 415 416 417 XIV Status of the Secretariat 418 419 420 421 422 423 424 425 426 427 428 429 430 431 432 433 434 435 XV C Looking Forward: Priorities and Recommendations Jill gave a short overview of IHDWs 1998 and 2000 and their successes. She explained the funding situations for past workshops as well as need to secure better sources for future workshops. Jill was asked to present IHDW as part of funding requests to Canadian agencies during her funding trip with Mike Brklacich (GECHS) in Ottawa, April 9-11, 2001. Other suggestions for funding sources were: START – should play a larger role if this is a joint activity (Pier); and German foundations – Böll and Konrad-Adenauer (Eckart). Jill Jäger reported on the staffing situation in 2001. The year is marked by outgoing staff (on 31 May: Shaw, Hamilton, Siklossy) and their replacements, and the addition (starting date April 2) of a half-time Information Officer, Elisabeth Dyck. As of April 2, 2001, four International Science Project Co-ordinators (Thiem, Meyer-Wefering, Karlsson, Holtmann) will continue to liaise, network and promote the IHDP work programme on a full time basis. Ike Holtmann will leave the Secretariat 30 September 2001 to devote time to her family. Lisa Jibikilayi and a new Administrative Assistant (starting date mid/end May?) and two student research assistants (Pommerening, Schmidt-Verkerk) complement the team under Jill Jäger. In this context, Jäger reiterated the following facts: (1) 1 ½ positions are financed by the state government of NorthRhine-Westfalia on a (calendar) annual basis. Neither the written confirmation nor the funds have actually been received by the IHDP for 2001 – although these positions are indeed filled (Thiem and Holtmann); (2) The Executive Director’s contract terminates on March 31, 2002; (3) The funding for the Secretariat and all current contracts end on October 31, 2002. Jill Jäger stressed the fact that this is a “living document”, to be revised and updated according to the decisions taken by the SC. The discussions highlighted the discrepancy between the challenges facing the IHDP and the (under-) funding situation. Key Questions: 1 – What would we like the IHDP agenda to look like in the near future considering the developments of the other GEC programmes? 2 – What steps need to be taken to achieve that envisioned IHDP research agenda? Discussion: 1 - IGBP Phase II and its implications for IHDP 2 – The IHDP “Looking Forward” Strategy The SC discussed the possible benefit in setting a timeframe for IHDP’s scientific programme (like IGBP did). It was felt that there are still gaps to be filled when it comes to the conceptualisation of the southern perspective, knowledge as capital, and the human dimensions as a “unit of analysis” within the IHDP scientific programme. The establishment of procedures for energising these kind of cross-cutting issues was recommended. The SC pointed to the need for cross-cutting methodological, data, and modelling issues that should created on March 29, 2001 updated on 25.07.16 9 Final Minutes 8th SC-IHDP 436 437 438 439 440 441 442 443 444 445 446 447 448 449 450 451 452 453 454 455 456 457 458 459 460 461 462 463 464 465 466 467 468 469 470 also be picked up on in the “Looking Forward” Document, which will be edited according to the outcomes of the discussion in Agenda Item XV. The “Geoscope” group (Ostrom, Jaeger, Jäger, Clark, Meyer-Wefering, Steffen) met over lunch to discuss the complexities of Geoscope, the upcoming Earth Systems Atlas and other data-gathering and dissemination exercises. Will described the ideas behind the Earth Systems Atlas, to be developed in digital format and eventually made publicly available via the web. The Atlas will compare past, present and future projections for earth system changes. The National Geographic Society has shown interest in sponsoring and collaborating on this project. Will intends to meet with NGS representatives in the near future. 471 472 473 474 475 476 477 478 479 480 481 482 483 XV Sub-committee A Financial Issues The plenary was interrupted at 3:15 p.m. for work in the sub-committee groups. The subcommittees consisted of: A (Financial Issues) C. Jaeger, J. Jäger, Salih, Tolmasquim, Siklossy. B (Organisational and Procedural Matters) Shaw, Ehlers, Ramakrishnan, Pawlik, Underdal. C (Scientific Projects and Activities) Young, Vellinga, Brklacich, Clark, Ostrom, Lemke, Gallopín, Thiem, Karlsson, Holtmann, Dyck, Meyer-Wefering At 6:30 p.m. the Chair adjourned the meeting until Wednesday morning. _______________________________________ On Wednesday, March 28 the meeting was convened by the Chair at 8:30 a.m. In attendance were Underdal, Jaeger, Young, Brklacich, Vellinga, Salih, Tolmasquim, Ostrom, Clark, Ramakrishnan, Lemke, Gallopín, Ehlers, and from the Secretariat Jäger, Shaw, Holtmann, Thiem, Karlsson, Dyck, Siklossy. The Chair asked for the resolutions reached in the subcommittees. Carlo Jaeger (Treasurer) presented four Tables with the 1) budget for 2001 vs expenditures 2000 2) income 2000 3) projected income 2001 and 4) figures on special operational activities, i.e. overall funding mobilised by the IHDP. The Budget for 2001 was approved unanimously by the SC. The SC endorsed the drafting of an overall IHDP “income mobilised” table that should also include IPO income. This document could be presented to future and current funders as an indication of IHDP’s value and “prowess” within the research communities. The drafting of a long-term (10 year) financial projection could also be helpful in approaching potential funders. created on March 29, 2001 updated on 25.07.16 10 Final Minutes 8th SC-IHDP 484 485 486 487 488 489 490 491 492 493 494 495 496 497 498 499 500 The role of IHDP’s sponsors, ICSU and ISSC, was discussed in the context of funding. Due to the principle of equity in their donations to IHDP, the volume of potential financial support from ICSU is drastically restricted. SC members made it clear that potential donors will want to know the level of support by IHDP’s own sponsors before making a commitment. The SC urged further deliberation on this issue. The rapidly approaching termination of secured financial support from the German government (31 October 2002) prompted a discussion on the legal status of the IHDP. The SC deliberated on various options, within and outside the university system. The value of the IHDP as an organisation and the significance of human dimensions research is indisputable in the global change community today. At this point in development, the IHDP, IGBP and WCRP are mutually indispensable to each other. The SC urged the Secretariat to use this bargaining power to establish the IHDP on equal financial footing with its sister programs. Decision The SC issued a mandate to the IHDP Officers (Ehlers, Jaeger, Underdal) to 1) collaborate with Jill Jäger in pursuing negotiations with IHDP’s German sponsors (BMBF, NRW, University of Bonn) on a viable structure for the Secretariat post October 2002 2) establish parity between IHDP and its GEC sister programs 3) secure a longer term financial base 4) negotiate a new contract with Jill Jäger for period April 1, 2002 until 31 October 2002. 501 502 503 504 505 506 507 508 509 510 511 512 513 514 515 516 517 518 519 520 521 522 523 524 525 XV Sub-committee B: Organisational and Procedural Matters The committee advocated discontinuing the “office” of Project Liaison, an SC member who was appointed to liaise with a specific IHDP science project. The SC was asked to deliberate on the character of IHDP national committees and their status as local branches of the IHDP or as official National Committees of the IHDP. The implications include the use of the IHDP logo on documents and publications, etc. The ISSC representative agreed to discard the SAC as an official body necessitating regular convening. The sub-committee does not expect any objection to this from ICSU. The IHDP Constitution makes provision for up to 17 Scientific Committee members. The sub-committee presented a slate of four nominees to the SC and a slate of three nominees as SC-Officers (Clark, Gallopín, Jaeger). However, the current tenuous financial situation of the IHDP obviated a consideration of new members or new officers until guaranteed funding post October 2002 is found. At the same time, the situation poses a problem for the current Chair (Underdal) and Vice-Chair (Whyte). whose terms end on December 31, 2001. Under these circumstances, no nominee would be able to accept a term as Officer. At the same time, continuity is needed should funding be found, but especially if the Secretariat is closed down. The SC assumes that they will have some degree of clarity about this by December 2001, and at the latest by the next SC meeting end March 2002. For these reasons, the SC asked Underal to extend his term by 6 months until 30 June 2002. A. Whyte will also be asked to prolong for the same period. created on March 29, 2001 updated on 25.07.16 11 Final Minutes 8th SC-IHDP 526 527 528 529 530 531 532 533 534 535 536 537 538 539 540 541 542 543 544 545 546 547 548 549 550 551 552 553 554 555 556 557 558 Underdal accepted with reservations, pointing out that a potential increase in his workload from January 2002 could make it hard for him to serve effectively the full extension of 6 months. Three other members end their terms of office on December 31, 2001: Tolmasquim, Ehlers. Opschoor. Gifts were presented to Tolmasquim and Opschoor (via M. Salih) together with thanks for their contribution to the SC and the work of the IHDP. Carlo Jaeger, Treasurer, whose first term ends December 31, 2001, was unanimously asked to continue for a second term. The SC unanimously asked Ehlers to continue in office as past-chair, whose prolongation in office is pivotal to the future of the IHDP Secretariat because of his position within the University system. The SC will request ISSC and ICSU to approve these renewals. Decisions 1. The SC agreed to discontinue the “office” of Project Liaison. 2. The SC agreed that the relationship to National Committees is informal. NCs are not official affiliates of IHDP. NCs are associated with/working in collaboration with/contributing to the research agenda of/in cooperation with IHDP. The IHDP logo can be used by NCs only when the work of IHDP is explicitly referred to. 3. The SC asked the Chair and Executive Director to explore moving toward a structure similar to IGBP under ICSU. 4. The SC agreed that an informal meeting of representatives of National Committees and Programmes should be held at the Rio meeting in October. 5. The Executive Director will ask Anne Whyte whether she would be willing to serve as an Officer for a further 6 months. 6. Providing that we have agreement from Anne Whyte, the Executive Director will approach ICSU and ISSC on behalf of the SC and ask them (due to the exceptional circumstances) to extend the terms of the Chair and Vice Chair for 6 months, the term of the Past-Chair for one year. In addition, the request will be made to extend the term of Carlo Jaeger and G. Gallopin for 3 years. 559 560 561 562 563 564 565 566 567 568 569 570 571 572 573 574 XV Sub-committee C: Scientific Projects and Priorities Oran Young, Chair of Subcommittee C, summarised the extensive discussions in a few overheads presenting four focal areas for IHDP. Proposed structure for IHDP’s Science Programme:3 – 5 years perspective): 1 – Primary focus / Conceptual Core: The coupled human-natural systems - interactive dynamics of connected systems - linkages, processes and emergent properties one or more pilot workshops to improve conceptual core 2 – Integrative/overarching Metaquestions - Vulnerability / Resilience - Thresholds / Transitions / Transition Management - Governance / Steering created on March 29, 2001 updated on 25.07.16 12 Final Minutes 8th SC-IHDP 575 576 577 578 579 580 581 582 583 584 585 586 587 588 589 590 591 592 593 594 595 596 597 598 599 600 601 602 603 - Knowledge / Learning / Adoption / Empowerment complex spatial and temporal cross-scale interactions in each case! To implement this structure: - Regular symposium / workshop to report on and discuss new insights - Link this event to with the annual IHDP SC meeting 3 – The Core Projects …would remain the main vehicles for organising IHDP’s Science Programme. Implications: - The projects should make an effort to think about how to contribute to the main focus and metaquestions of the IHDP Science Programme. - Avoid proliferation of the core projects - Consolidate IHDP Science Programme 4 – Collaboration with other GEC Programmes Link collaboration explicitly to IHDP primary focus / metaquestions Integrate with IHDP core projects --> link for value added result! General Implications: - Restructure the Looking Forward Document accordingly to the “new” IHDP architecture - Change the SC meeting format to put more emphasis on the science - Reallocate resources and programme staff to meet revised goals 604 605 606 Decision: Jäger will take these proposals beyond the summary format and rework the “Looking Forward” document with 3-5 members of the SC, (at least one from the South), All other members are encouraged to give input via email. 607 608 609 610 611 612 If the IHDP mandate is to be reconsidered in terms of placing more emphasis on the coupled human-natural systems, this intention should be articulated at the GC OSC in Amsterdam in July. The goals that the IHDP science programme aims to achieve need to be stated more specifically. The Executive Director and the Information Officer should revise the IHDP “glossy” brochure before the Amsterdam meeting. created on March 29, 2001 updated on 25.07.16 13