Comments on Guido Tabellini Jean Pisani-Ferry Université Paris-Dauphine Milan, July 7, 2003 A question of perspective • Tabellini: assesses Convention achievements from the perspective of fiscal federalism – Allocation of tasks depends on trade-off economies of scale + spillovers vs. preference heterogeneity – Clear delimitation of competence between the Union and the MS – Coordination of national policies: « an illusion » for foreign policy; « negligible benefits », « risks of mistakes » for fiscal / tax policies • Provides clear benchmark, criteria for assessment (Most) economists dislike coordination Long list of reasons: • Weak rationale (spillovers) • Low delivery (high ambitions, weak instruments) • Confuses assignment, destroys accountability • Political bargaining weakens policy competition • Macro coordination may endanger monetary stability Not always convincing • Budgetary spillover through price inflation • Desirability of tax competition rests on judgement on effectiveness of democratic institutions But EU increasingly relies on it • Since 1990, the EU has moved away from fiscal federalism with rise of coordination: – – – – – Fiscal policies within EMU, Eurogroup Employment and structural reform (Lisbon strategy) Regulatory policies (partnerships of national authorities) Competition policy (decentralisation, reliance on network) (Defence, foreign policy) • Return to standard model would imply narrowing down the range of common objectives (getting rid of Lisbon). – Is it desirable? – Is it politically feasible? Convention rationalises powersharing • Move away from fiscal federalism template – Permanent presidency for European Council, ECOFIN – Commission less regarded as embryo of EU government – Executive responsibilities for Council • Makes coordination a new pattern of governance: – Exclusive competences (EU has legislative power): • competition, trade, money – Shared competences (EU has legislative priority): • internal market, agriculture, transport and energy, cohesion, .. – Special competence for coordination • of economic and employment policies – Supporting competence (support, coordination, no harmonisation) • industry, health, education, .. Why? Politics and economics • EU quest for legitimacy – Responds to citizens’ concerns (employment, growth…) – More of it if EP becomes more powerful • Subsidiarity-inspired intergovernmentalism – MS reluctant to delegate new powers to EU, insist on intergovernmental method (at least as a transition) – Commission no more regarded as government, Council moves towards endorsing executive responsibilities • Move away from policy-instrument correspondence – Budgets: spillovers from deficit, not spending level/composition – EU endorsed goals, but instruments in the hands of MS (Lisbon) But coordination instruments are weak, results unconvincing • Unanimity preserved for: – Fiscal policy (except for SGP sanctions) – Tax policy (except in cases of fraud) • Eurogroup has no formal powers • Lisbon strategy has no teeth, – OMC = dialogue, benchmarking – Problem of delivery • Effectiveness of coordination low, it is bound to decrease with enlargement – Increase in transaction costs – Increase in heterogeneity Link with budget • EU budget has no relationship with EU priorities – Considerable inertia in spending priorities – Allocation dwarfed by redistribution to regions (why?) and individals in a specific sector (why?) – Lack of own resources leads MS to bargain on the basis of juste retour • Small budget should either: – Concentrate on provision of limited number of EU public goods – Or be used as incentive mechanism to trigger coordination – (Does not rule out redistribution to poorer MS) • Current EU budget not appropriate from either perspective Building blocks for change • Refocusing the EU budget – – – – Less inertia Less ‘static’ redistribution to MS More EU-wide programme-based spending More incentives to MS or subnational entities • Change in financing – Getting rid of juste retour – A European tax (but problems with selection) • Convention proposals on compulsory spending are a (small) step in the right direction Conclusions • Shared powers (Cassese) are here to stay • Make it work • Use the budget as incentive to cooperate