MSA Indices & Forecast ILLINOIS www.real.illinois.edu

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ILLINOIS
MSA Indices & Forecast
Release
data
Issue
www.real.illinois.edu
06/16/2012
May 2004 / Apr 2012
2012.05
Note: Values shown on the “1 Year” forecast represent a pessimistic – optimistic scenario. For estimated values please see Appendix.
Comparing MSAs Indices with Chicago Indices
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
-30
Bloomington
Champaign
Davenport
Decatur
Peoria
Rockford
Springfield
Kankakee
*When figures dropping zero represents that MSAs are doing worse than Chicago; when figures rising
above zero represents that MSAs are doing better than Chicago.

Before Jan 2008, MSA Decatur performed worse than Chicago. However, after Jan 2008,
it started performing better than Chicago.

From the beginning of 2007 to 2009, MSA Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul, Davenport,
Peoria, Rockford, Springfield and Kankakee-Bradley performed better than Chicago.

However, from Mid-2009 to late-2011, these MSAs performed worse than Chicago.

According to the forecast for April 2013, MSA Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul, DavenportRock Island-Moline, Peoria, Rockford, Springfield and Kankakee will do better than
Chicago. MSA Decatur and Bloomington will perform worse than Chicago.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 06/16/2012
www.real.illinois.edu
page 1

Bloomington-Normal (Reference Month – April 2012)
Current
85.98
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
87.72
91.42
99.76
Forecast
84.64
83.37
81.29
~
100.55
Bloomington - Normal MSA
120.00
110.00
100.00
B-N
90.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
80.00
70.00
Feb-13
Aug-12
Nov-12
Feb-12
May-12
Aug-11
Nov-11
Feb-11
May-11
Aug-10
Nov-10
Feb-10
May-10
Aug-09
Nov-09
Feb-09
May-09
Aug-08
Nov-08
Feb-08
May-08
Aug-07
Nov-07
Feb-07
May-07
Aug-06
Nov-06
Feb-06
May-06
Aug-05
Nov-05
Feb-05
May-05
Aug-04
Nov-04
May-04
60.00
Bloomington-Normal MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate:

Bloomington-Normal in April gained by moving up 1 positions reaching the 5th place of
the rank.

In the 12 month growth league table Bloomington-Normal moving up 1 position reaching
the 8th place of the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 06/16/2012
www.real.illinois.edu
page 2

Champaign-Urbana (Reference Month – April 2012)
Current
108.39
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
104.43
96.52
88.17
Forecast
111.32
113.11
110.39
~
131.30
Champaign - Urbana MSA
130.00
120.00
110.00
100.00
C-U
Chicago
90.00
Other MSAs
80.00
70.00
Feb-13
Aug-12
Nov-12
Feb-12
May-12
Aug-11
Nov-11
Feb-11
May-11
Aug-10
Nov-10
Feb-10
May-10
Aug-09
Nov-09
Feb-09
May-09
Aug-08
Nov-08
Feb-08
May-08
Aug-07
Nov-07
Feb-07
May-07
Aug-06
Nov-06
Feb-06
May-06
Aug-05
Nov-05
Feb-05
May-05
Aug-04
Nov-04
May-04
60.00
Champaign- Urbana MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate:

Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul gained in April by moving up 3 positions reaching the 6th
place in the rank.

In the 12 months growth league table, Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul remained in the last
place of the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 06/16/2012
www.real.illinois.edu
page 3

Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (Reference Month – April 2012)
Current
94.32
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
92.81
89.71
90.86
Forecast
95.63
97.76
105.98
~
135.64
Davenport - Rock Island - Moline MSA
120.00
110.00
100.00
D-RI-M
90.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
80.00
70.00
Feb-13
Aug-12
Nov-12
Feb-12
May-12
Aug-11
Nov-11
Feb-11
May-11
Aug-10
Nov-10
Feb-10
May-10
Aug-09
Nov-09
Feb-09
May-09
Aug-08
Nov-08
Feb-08
May-08
Aug-07
Nov-07
Feb-07
May-07
Aug-06
Nov-06
Feb-06
May-06
Aug-05
Nov-05
Feb-05
May-05
Aug-04
Nov-04
May-04
60.00
Davenport – Rock Island–Moline MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth
Rate:

Davenport-Rock Island-Moline in April dropped 9 positions reaching the last place in the
rank.

In the 12 months growth league table, Davenport – Rock Island – Moline moving down 2
positions reaching the 9th place in the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 06/16/2012
www.real.illinois.edu
page 4

Decatur (Reference Month – April 2012)
Current
103.31
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
104.39
108.16
112.79
Forecast
102.66
101.50
84.18
~
107.04
Decatur MSA
130.00
120.00
110.00
100.00
Decatur
Chicago
90.00
Other MSAs
80.00
70.00
Feb-13
Aug-12
Nov-12
Feb-12
May-12
Aug-11
Nov-11
Feb-11
May-11
Aug-10
Nov-10
Feb-10
May-10
Aug-09
Nov-09
Feb-09
May-09
Aug-08
Nov-08
Feb-08
May-08
Aug-07
Nov-07
Feb-07
May-07
Aug-06
Nov-06
Feb-06
May-06
Aug-05
Nov-05
Feb-05
May-05
Aug-04
Nov-04
May-04
60.00
Decatur MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Decatur in April remained in the 8th place in the rank.

In the 12 months growth league table, Decatur moving down 1 position to the 5th place in
the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 06/16/2012
www.real.illinois.edu
page 5

Kankakee - Bradley (Reference Month – April 2012)
Current
91.88
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
92.59
97.57
95.16
Forecast
94.37
99.22
84.32
~
102.92
Kankakee - Bradley MSA
130.00
120.00
110.00
100.00
K-B
Chicago
90.00
Other MSAs
80.00
70.00
Feb-13
Aug-12
Nov-12
Feb-12
May-12
Aug-11
Nov-11
Feb-11
May-11
Aug-10
Nov-10
Feb-10
May-10
Aug-09
Nov-09
Feb-09
May-09
Aug-08
Nov-08
Feb-08
May-08
Aug-07
Nov-07
Feb-07
May-07
Aug-06
Nov-06
Feb-06
May-06
Aug-05
Nov-05
Feb-05
May-05
Aug-04
Nov-04
May-04
60.00
Kankakee - Bradley MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Kankakee – Bradley gained 1 position reaching the 9th place in the rank.

In the 12 months growth league table, Kankakee– Bradley remained in the 2nd position of the
rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 06/16/2012
www.real.illinois.edu
page 6

Peoria (Reference Month – April 2012)
Current
91.78
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
91.54
91.81
91.26
Forecast
92.18
94.22
91.89
~
110.08
Peoria MSA
160.00
150.00
140.00
130.00
120.00
Peoria
110.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
100.00
90.00
80.00
70.00
Feb-13
Aug-12
Nov-12
Feb-12
May-12
Aug-11
Nov-11
Feb-11
May-11
Aug-10
Nov-10
Feb-10
May-10
Aug-09
Nov-09
Feb-09
May-09
Aug-08
Nov-08
Feb-08
May-08
Aug-07
Nov-07
Feb-07
May-07
Aug-06
Nov-06
Feb-06
May-06
Aug-05
Nov-05
Feb-05
May-05
Aug-04
Nov-04
May-04
60.00
Peoria MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Peoria in April moved up 1 position reaching in the 1th place in the rank.

In the 12 months growth league table, Peoria remained in the 1st place in the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 06/16/2012
www.real.illinois.edu
page 7

Rockford (Reference Month – April 2012)
Current
96.41
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
95.61
93.45
92.10
Forecast
97.12
98.91
104.73
~
118.38
Rockford MSA
130.00
120.00
110.00
100.00
Rockford
Chicago
90.00
Other MSAs
80.00
70.00
Feb-13
Aug-12
Nov-12
Feb-12
May-12
Aug-11
Nov-11
Feb-11
May-11
Aug-10
Nov-10
Feb-10
May-10
Aug-09
Nov-09
Feb-09
May-09
Aug-08
Nov-08
Feb-08
May-08
Aug-07
Nov-07
Feb-07
May-07
Aug-06
Nov-06
Feb-06
May-06
Aug-05
Nov-05
Feb-05
May-05
Aug-04
Nov-04
May-04
60.00
Rockford MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Rockford gained in April by moving up 2 positions, reaching the 2nd place of the rank.

In the 12 months growth league table, Rockford remained in the 3rd place in the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 06/16/2012
www.real.illinois.edu
page 8

Springfield (Reference Month – April 2012)
Current
104.55
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
105.41
105.18
93.22
Forecast
103.24
100.53
90.26
~
128.26
Springfield MSA
120.00
110.00
100.00
Springfield
90.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
80.00
70.00
Feb-13
Aug-12
Nov-12
Feb-12
May-12
Aug-11
Nov-11
Feb-11
May-11
Aug-10
Nov-10
Feb-10
May-10
Aug-09
Nov-09
Feb-09
May-09
Aug-08
Nov-08
Feb-08
May-08
Aug-07
Nov-07
Feb-07
May-07
Aug-06
Nov-06
Feb-06
May-06
Aug-05
Nov-05
Feb-05
May-05
Aug-04
Nov-04
May-04
60.00
Springfield MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Springfield in the rank of April remained in the 7th place.

In the 12 months growth league table Springfield moving up 1 position reaching to the 7th
place in the rank.
Notes:
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 06/16/2012
www.real.illinois.edu
page 9

MSA Indices series are available in the appendix.
Appendix
month
May-04
Jun-04
Jul-04
Aug-04
Sep-04
Oct-04
Nov-04
Dec-04
Jan-05
Feb-05
Mar-05
Apr-05
May-05
Jun-05
Jul-05
Aug-05
Sep-05
Oct-05
Nov-05
Dec-05
Jan-06
Feb-06
Mar-06
Apr-06
May-06
Jun-06
Jul-06
Aug-06
Sep-06
Oct-06
Nov-06
Dec-06
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
Jul-07
Aug-07
Sep-07
Oct-07
Nov-07
Dec-07
B-N
C-U
D-RI-M
Decatur
Peoria
Rockford
Springfield
K-B
83.34
81.88
80.73
80.23
80.40
81.21
82.75
84.58
86.25
87.76
88.77
89.37
89.82
90.35
90.99
91.82
92.96
94.23
95.65
96.83
97.85
98.54
98.55
98.15
97.65
97.48
97.92
99.17
101.15
103.64
106.34
108.81
110.86
112.21
112.75
112.75
112.42
111.74
111.24
111.10
111.59
112.41
113.53
114.59
108.20
108.42
108.76
109.05
109.34
109.40
109.38
109.42
109.13
108.92
108.77
108.68
108.62
108.59
108.59
108.72
108.98
109.14
109.18
109.25
109.70
110.15
110.25
109.51
108.52
107.53
106.70
106.31
106.73
107.73
108.88
109.68
109.97
109.94
109.87
109.85
109.64
109.25
108.69
108.14
107.67
107.65
107.94
108.44
90.84
91.03
91.36
91.94
92.96
94.35
95.93
97.61
99.13
100.42
101.45
102.47
103.41
104.23
105.04
105.64
106.02
105.95
105.71
105.84
106.41
107.34
108.30
108.98
109.56
109.99
109.97
110.16
110.90
112.24
113.62
114.07
114.00
113.68
113.18
112.66
112.57
112.93
113.59
114.32
114.58
114.72
115.17
115.81
109.35
105.75
102.53
100.09
98.49
97.37
96.89
96.82
96.60
96.01
95.51
94.80
93.91
92.92
91.56
89.92
88.29
87.22
86.81
86.43
85.86
85.17
85.38
86.05
86.93
87.60
87.92
87.92
87.65
87.26
87.08
87.09
87.36
87.84
88.32
88.85
89.60
90.66
91.71
92.82
93.96
95.09
95.76
95.67
92.92
93.47
94.10
94.79
95.58
96.41
97.32
98.45
99.70
101.03
102.10
102.77
103.02
103.03
102.90
102.84
103.02
103.40
103.88
104.52
105.30
106.22
106.93
107.41
107.88
108.36
108.89
109.55
110.48
111.63
113.01
114.42
115.50
116.02
116.13
116.00
115.88
115.53
115.04
114.49
114.15
114.21
114.58
115.03
93.89
94.84
95.78
96.55
97.08
97.43
97.76
98.20
98.74
99.38
100.05
100.77
101.45
101.99
102.35
102.62
102.92
103.34
103.89
104.62
105.48
106.33
107.11
107.88
108.65
109.37
109.98
110.54
111.16
111.87
112.71
113.69
114.75
115.83
116.88
117.71
118.28
118.46
118.32
117.96
117.50
116.99
116.56
116.03
102.05
102.56
102.87
102.66
102.12
101.80
101.75
102.01
102.59
103.82
105.84
108.35
110.34
111.88
112.98
113.38
113.01
112.20
111.14
110.16
109.35
108.80
108.44
108.07
107.59
106.83
105.70
104.43
103.08
102.04
101.56
101.72
102.54
103.84
105.54
106.97
107.91
108.13
107.58
106.85
106.33
106.19
106.64
107.70
90.34
91.24
92.08
92.83
93.36
93.78
94.18
94.45
94.52
94.51
94.57
94.82
95.05
95.38
95.96
96.84
98.01
99.52
101.24
103.08
104.79
105.92
106.36
106.16
105.85
105.85
106.33
107.21
108.41
109.90
111.65
113.61
115.72
117.38
118.21
118.47
118.46
118.43
118.26
117.80
117.09
116.57
116.48
116.49
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 06/16/2012
www.real.illinois.edu
page
10
Jan-08
Feb-08
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
Aug-08
Sep-08
Oct-08
Nov-08
Dec-08
Jan-09
Feb-09
Mar-09
Apr-09
May-09
Jun-09
Jul-09
Aug-09
Sep-09
Oct-09
Nov-09
Dec-09
Jan-10
Feb-10
Mar-10
Apr-10
May-10
Jun-10
Jul-10
Aug-10
Sep-10
Oct-10
Nov-10
Dec-10
Jan-11
Feb-11
Mar-11
Apr-11
May-11
Jun-11
Jul-11
Aug-11
Sep-11
Oct-11
Nov-11
Dec-11
Jan-12
115.26
115.14
114.49
113.99
113.95
114.19
114.61
114.88
114.70
114.34
113.58
112.69
111.29
109.12
106.47
103.86
102.05
101.10
100.55
99.83
98.60
97.01
95.63
94.73
94.95
96.42
98.86
101.70
104.07
105.65
106.09
105.52
104.17
102.39
100.42
98.68
97.31
96.93
98.10
99.76
100.96
101.31
100.84
99.85
98.55
97.02
95.15
93.24
91.42
108.91
109.17
108.97
108.51
107.99
107.22
106.39
105.47
104.12
102.30
100.49
98.51
96.34
94.12
91.58
89.43
87.81
86.72
86.01
85.58
85.19
84.90
84.67
84.62
84.52
84.65
85.42
86.45
87.44
88.33
89.01
89.14
88.87
88.30
87.57
87.04
87.03
87.39
88.17
89.26
90.30
91.15
91.66
91.86
91.71
91.60
92.14
93.78
96.52
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
116.25
116.15
115.30
113.90
112.35
110.91
109.94
109.18
108.42
107.52
106.39
104.86
102.87
100.54
98.23
96.15
94.38
92.85
91.58
90.55
89.87
89.25
88.55
87.89
87.58
87.90
88.51
89.06
89.26
89.16
89.14
89.01
88.64
88.24
87.94
88.09
88.48
88.88
89.68
90.86
91.80
92.36
92.11
91.34
90.43
89.54
88.85
88.85
89.71
95.24
94.96
95.28
95.93
96.69
97.46
98.31
99.02
99.89
100.73
101.49
102.54
104.41
107.27
109.01
110.09
110.77
111.40
112.15
113.31
114.98
116.74
118.35
119.39
118.90
116.74
113.69
110.49
108.00
106.49
106.06
105.94
105.90
105.54
105.04
105.22
106.49
108.48
110.58
112.79
114.25
114.69
114.59
114.58
114.03
113.09
111.70
109.93
108.16
115.40
115.23
114.49
113.33
112.02
110.76
109.82
109.16
108.50
107.61
106.22
104.24
101.74
98.90
95.84
93.20
91.11
89.44
88.05
86.92
85.96
85.06
84.34
83.86
83.71
84.15
85.65
87.65
89.60
91.20
92.17
92.52
92.50
92.26
91.78
91.16
90.74
90.68
90.88
91.26
91.64
92.27
93.11
93.82
93.98
93.67
93.09
92.39
91.81
release 06/16/2012
115.44
114.67
113.78
112.73
111.54
110.29
109.03
107.69
106.04
104.01
101.58
98.83
95.98
93.30
91.00
89.17
87.90
87.16
86.83
86.84
87.03
87.24
87.36
87.50
87.66
88.01
88.51
89.07
89.59
90.04
90.38
90.68
90.98
91.36
91.81
92.22
92.54
92.64
92.47
92.10
91.62
91.22
91.07
91.00
91.04
91.23
91.65
92.42
93.45
108.92
109.73
110.05
110.15
110.20
110.07
109.84
109.23
107.92
105.82
103.02
99.68
96.07
92.23
88.33
84.74
81.87
79.83
78.58
78.15
78.53
79.46
80.63
81.76
82.92
84.36
86.11
88.07
89.99
92.05
94.35
96.55
98.64
100.15
100.82
100.50
99.25
97.46
95.31
93.22
91.34
90.16
90.11
91.58
94.62
98.35
101.92
104.21
105.18
www.real.illinois.edu
116.65
117.13
116.99
115.95
114.20
112.20
110.12
107.83
105.40
103.10
101.04
98.93
96.80
94.98
93.78
93.04
92.76
92.68
92.86
92.97
92.98
92.68
92.00
90.92
89.68
88.51
87.75
87.48
87.36
87.03
86.53
86.04
85.77
85.72
86.11
87.14
88.55
90.25
92.48
95.16
98.01
100.53
102.27
103.63
104.44
104.20
102.64
100.30
97.57
page
11
Feb-12
Mar-12
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Aug-12
Sep-12
Oct-12
Nov-12
Dec-12
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
89.56
87.72
85.98
84.64
83.77
83.37
83.52
84.32
85.71
87.45
89.17
90.49
91.17
91.11
90.41
100.19
104.43
108.39
111.32
112.86
113.11
112.51
111.67
111.16
111.44
112.71
114.87
117.57
118.94
120.30
91.19
92.81
94.32
95.63
96.75
97.76
98.82
100.10
101.77
103.97
104.23
105.20
106.52
107.32
108.13
106.25
104.39
103.31
102.66
102.14
101.50
100.62
99.49
98.22
96.98
95.93
95.18
94.79
94.74
94.92
91.47
91.54
91.78
92.18
92.95
94.22
95.80
97.31
98.36
98.87
99.02
99.12
99.41
99.93
100.58
94.59
95.61
96.41
97.12
97.91
98.91
100.13
101.50
102.93
104.37
105.81
107.26
108.69
110.07
111.35
105.64
105.41
104.55
103.24
101.80
100.53
99.70
99.54
100.15
101.56
103.74
104.23
105.20
106.52
107.32
95.12
92.59
91.88
94.37
96.72
99.22
101.80
104.45
107.15
109.78
112.02
113.40
113.58
112.48
110.33
Notes
B-N=Bloomington-Normal
C-U=Champaign-Urbana
K-B= Kankakee-Bradley
D-RI-M=Davenport-Rock Island-Moline
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 06/16/2012
www.real.illinois.edu
page
12
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