ILLINOIS MSA Indices & Forecast Release data Issue www.real.illinois.edu 06/16/2012 May 2004 / Apr 2012 2012.05 Note: Values shown on the “1 Year” forecast represent a pessimistic – optimistic scenario. For estimated values please see Appendix. Comparing MSAs Indices with Chicago Indices 40 30 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 Bloomington Champaign Davenport Decatur Peoria Rockford Springfield Kankakee *When figures dropping zero represents that MSAs are doing worse than Chicago; when figures rising above zero represents that MSAs are doing better than Chicago. Before Jan 2008, MSA Decatur performed worse than Chicago. However, after Jan 2008, it started performing better than Chicago. From the beginning of 2007 to 2009, MSA Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul, Davenport, Peoria, Rockford, Springfield and Kankakee-Bradley performed better than Chicago. However, from Mid-2009 to late-2011, these MSAs performed worse than Chicago. According to the forecast for April 2013, MSA Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul, DavenportRock Island-Moline, Peoria, Rockford, Springfield and Kankakee will do better than Chicago. MSA Decatur and Bloomington will perform worse than Chicago. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 06/16/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 1 Bloomington-Normal (Reference Month – April 2012) Current 85.98 1 Month 3 Month 1 Year Historical 87.72 91.42 99.76 Forecast 84.64 83.37 81.29 ~ 100.55 Bloomington - Normal MSA 120.00 110.00 100.00 B-N 90.00 Chicago Other MSAs 80.00 70.00 Feb-13 Aug-12 Nov-12 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb-11 May-11 Aug-10 Nov-10 Feb-10 May-10 Aug-09 Nov-09 Feb-09 May-09 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-08 May-08 Aug-07 Nov-07 Feb-07 May-07 Aug-06 Nov-06 Feb-06 May-06 Aug-05 Nov-05 Feb-05 May-05 Aug-04 Nov-04 May-04 60.00 Bloomington-Normal MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate: Bloomington-Normal in April gained by moving up 1 positions reaching the 5th place of the rank. In the 12 month growth league table Bloomington-Normal moving up 1 position reaching the 8th place of the rank. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 06/16/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 2 Champaign-Urbana (Reference Month – April 2012) Current 108.39 1 Month 3 Month 1 Year Historical 104.43 96.52 88.17 Forecast 111.32 113.11 110.39 ~ 131.30 Champaign - Urbana MSA 130.00 120.00 110.00 100.00 C-U Chicago 90.00 Other MSAs 80.00 70.00 Feb-13 Aug-12 Nov-12 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb-11 May-11 Aug-10 Nov-10 Feb-10 May-10 Aug-09 Nov-09 Feb-09 May-09 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-08 May-08 Aug-07 Nov-07 Feb-07 May-07 Aug-06 Nov-06 Feb-06 May-06 Aug-05 Nov-05 Feb-05 May-05 Aug-04 Nov-04 May-04 60.00 Champaign- Urbana MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate: Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul gained in April by moving up 3 positions reaching the 6th place in the rank. In the 12 months growth league table, Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul remained in the last place of the rank. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 06/16/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 3 Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (Reference Month – April 2012) Current 94.32 1 Month 3 Month 1 Year Historical 92.81 89.71 90.86 Forecast 95.63 97.76 105.98 ~ 135.64 Davenport - Rock Island - Moline MSA 120.00 110.00 100.00 D-RI-M 90.00 Chicago Other MSAs 80.00 70.00 Feb-13 Aug-12 Nov-12 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb-11 May-11 Aug-10 Nov-10 Feb-10 May-10 Aug-09 Nov-09 Feb-09 May-09 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-08 May-08 Aug-07 Nov-07 Feb-07 May-07 Aug-06 Nov-06 Feb-06 May-06 Aug-05 Nov-05 Feb-05 May-05 Aug-04 Nov-04 May-04 60.00 Davenport – Rock Island–Moline MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate: Davenport-Rock Island-Moline in April dropped 9 positions reaching the last place in the rank. In the 12 months growth league table, Davenport – Rock Island – Moline moving down 2 positions reaching the 9th place in the rank. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 06/16/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 4 Decatur (Reference Month – April 2012) Current 103.31 1 Month 3 Month 1 Year Historical 104.39 108.16 112.79 Forecast 102.66 101.50 84.18 ~ 107.04 Decatur MSA 130.00 120.00 110.00 100.00 Decatur Chicago 90.00 Other MSAs 80.00 70.00 Feb-13 Aug-12 Nov-12 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb-11 May-11 Aug-10 Nov-10 Feb-10 May-10 Aug-09 Nov-09 Feb-09 May-09 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-08 May-08 Aug-07 Nov-07 Feb-07 May-07 Aug-06 Nov-06 Feb-06 May-06 Aug-05 Nov-05 Feb-05 May-05 Aug-04 Nov-04 May-04 60.00 Decatur MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate Decatur in April remained in the 8th place in the rank. In the 12 months growth league table, Decatur moving down 1 position to the 5th place in the rank. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 06/16/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 5 Kankakee - Bradley (Reference Month – April 2012) Current 91.88 1 Month 3 Month 1 Year Historical 92.59 97.57 95.16 Forecast 94.37 99.22 84.32 ~ 102.92 Kankakee - Bradley MSA 130.00 120.00 110.00 100.00 K-B Chicago 90.00 Other MSAs 80.00 70.00 Feb-13 Aug-12 Nov-12 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb-11 May-11 Aug-10 Nov-10 Feb-10 May-10 Aug-09 Nov-09 Feb-09 May-09 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-08 May-08 Aug-07 Nov-07 Feb-07 May-07 Aug-06 Nov-06 Feb-06 May-06 Aug-05 Nov-05 Feb-05 May-05 Aug-04 Nov-04 May-04 60.00 Kankakee - Bradley MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate Kankakee – Bradley gained 1 position reaching the 9th place in the rank. In the 12 months growth league table, Kankakee– Bradley remained in the 2nd position of the rank. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 06/16/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 6 Peoria (Reference Month – April 2012) Current 91.78 1 Month 3 Month 1 Year Historical 91.54 91.81 91.26 Forecast 92.18 94.22 91.89 ~ 110.08 Peoria MSA 160.00 150.00 140.00 130.00 120.00 Peoria 110.00 Chicago Other MSAs 100.00 90.00 80.00 70.00 Feb-13 Aug-12 Nov-12 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb-11 May-11 Aug-10 Nov-10 Feb-10 May-10 Aug-09 Nov-09 Feb-09 May-09 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-08 May-08 Aug-07 Nov-07 Feb-07 May-07 Aug-06 Nov-06 Feb-06 May-06 Aug-05 Nov-05 Feb-05 May-05 Aug-04 Nov-04 May-04 60.00 Peoria MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate Peoria in April moved up 1 position reaching in the 1th place in the rank. In the 12 months growth league table, Peoria remained in the 1st place in the rank. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 06/16/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 7 Rockford (Reference Month – April 2012) Current 96.41 1 Month 3 Month 1 Year Historical 95.61 93.45 92.10 Forecast 97.12 98.91 104.73 ~ 118.38 Rockford MSA 130.00 120.00 110.00 100.00 Rockford Chicago 90.00 Other MSAs 80.00 70.00 Feb-13 Aug-12 Nov-12 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb-11 May-11 Aug-10 Nov-10 Feb-10 May-10 Aug-09 Nov-09 Feb-09 May-09 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-08 May-08 Aug-07 Nov-07 Feb-07 May-07 Aug-06 Nov-06 Feb-06 May-06 Aug-05 Nov-05 Feb-05 May-05 Aug-04 Nov-04 May-04 60.00 Rockford MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate Rockford gained in April by moving up 2 positions, reaching the 2nd place of the rank. In the 12 months growth league table, Rockford remained in the 3rd place in the rank. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 06/16/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 8 Springfield (Reference Month – April 2012) Current 104.55 1 Month 3 Month 1 Year Historical 105.41 105.18 93.22 Forecast 103.24 100.53 90.26 ~ 128.26 Springfield MSA 120.00 110.00 100.00 Springfield 90.00 Chicago Other MSAs 80.00 70.00 Feb-13 Aug-12 Nov-12 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb-11 May-11 Aug-10 Nov-10 Feb-10 May-10 Aug-09 Nov-09 Feb-09 May-09 Aug-08 Nov-08 Feb-08 May-08 Aug-07 Nov-07 Feb-07 May-07 Aug-06 Nov-06 Feb-06 May-06 Aug-05 Nov-05 Feb-05 May-05 Aug-04 Nov-04 May-04 60.00 Springfield MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate Springfield in the rank of April remained in the 7th place. In the 12 months growth league table Springfield moving up 1 position reaching to the 7th place in the rank. Notes: Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 06/16/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 9 MSA Indices series are available in the appendix. Appendix month May-04 Jun-04 Jul-04 Aug-04 Sep-04 Oct-04 Nov-04 Dec-04 Jan-05 Feb-05 Mar-05 Apr-05 May-05 Jun-05 Jul-05 Aug-05 Sep-05 Oct-05 Nov-05 Dec-05 Jan-06 Feb-06 Mar-06 Apr-06 May-06 Jun-06 Jul-06 Aug-06 Sep-06 Oct-06 Nov-06 Dec-06 Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 Apr-07 May-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 Aug-07 Sep-07 Oct-07 Nov-07 Dec-07 B-N C-U D-RI-M Decatur Peoria Rockford Springfield K-B 83.34 81.88 80.73 80.23 80.40 81.21 82.75 84.58 86.25 87.76 88.77 89.37 89.82 90.35 90.99 91.82 92.96 94.23 95.65 96.83 97.85 98.54 98.55 98.15 97.65 97.48 97.92 99.17 101.15 103.64 106.34 108.81 110.86 112.21 112.75 112.75 112.42 111.74 111.24 111.10 111.59 112.41 113.53 114.59 108.20 108.42 108.76 109.05 109.34 109.40 109.38 109.42 109.13 108.92 108.77 108.68 108.62 108.59 108.59 108.72 108.98 109.14 109.18 109.25 109.70 110.15 110.25 109.51 108.52 107.53 106.70 106.31 106.73 107.73 108.88 109.68 109.97 109.94 109.87 109.85 109.64 109.25 108.69 108.14 107.67 107.65 107.94 108.44 90.84 91.03 91.36 91.94 92.96 94.35 95.93 97.61 99.13 100.42 101.45 102.47 103.41 104.23 105.04 105.64 106.02 105.95 105.71 105.84 106.41 107.34 108.30 108.98 109.56 109.99 109.97 110.16 110.90 112.24 113.62 114.07 114.00 113.68 113.18 112.66 112.57 112.93 113.59 114.32 114.58 114.72 115.17 115.81 109.35 105.75 102.53 100.09 98.49 97.37 96.89 96.82 96.60 96.01 95.51 94.80 93.91 92.92 91.56 89.92 88.29 87.22 86.81 86.43 85.86 85.17 85.38 86.05 86.93 87.60 87.92 87.92 87.65 87.26 87.08 87.09 87.36 87.84 88.32 88.85 89.60 90.66 91.71 92.82 93.96 95.09 95.76 95.67 92.92 93.47 94.10 94.79 95.58 96.41 97.32 98.45 99.70 101.03 102.10 102.77 103.02 103.03 102.90 102.84 103.02 103.40 103.88 104.52 105.30 106.22 106.93 107.41 107.88 108.36 108.89 109.55 110.48 111.63 113.01 114.42 115.50 116.02 116.13 116.00 115.88 115.53 115.04 114.49 114.15 114.21 114.58 115.03 93.89 94.84 95.78 96.55 97.08 97.43 97.76 98.20 98.74 99.38 100.05 100.77 101.45 101.99 102.35 102.62 102.92 103.34 103.89 104.62 105.48 106.33 107.11 107.88 108.65 109.37 109.98 110.54 111.16 111.87 112.71 113.69 114.75 115.83 116.88 117.71 118.28 118.46 118.32 117.96 117.50 116.99 116.56 116.03 102.05 102.56 102.87 102.66 102.12 101.80 101.75 102.01 102.59 103.82 105.84 108.35 110.34 111.88 112.98 113.38 113.01 112.20 111.14 110.16 109.35 108.80 108.44 108.07 107.59 106.83 105.70 104.43 103.08 102.04 101.56 101.72 102.54 103.84 105.54 106.97 107.91 108.13 107.58 106.85 106.33 106.19 106.64 107.70 90.34 91.24 92.08 92.83 93.36 93.78 94.18 94.45 94.52 94.51 94.57 94.82 95.05 95.38 95.96 96.84 98.01 99.52 101.24 103.08 104.79 105.92 106.36 106.16 105.85 105.85 106.33 107.21 108.41 109.90 111.65 113.61 115.72 117.38 118.21 118.47 118.46 118.43 118.26 117.80 117.09 116.57 116.48 116.49 Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 06/16/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 10 Jan-08 Feb-08 Mar-08 Apr-08 May-08 Jun-08 Jul-08 Aug-08 Sep-08 Oct-08 Nov-08 Dec-08 Jan-09 Feb-09 Mar-09 Apr-09 May-09 Jun-09 Jul-09 Aug-09 Sep-09 Oct-09 Nov-09 Dec-09 Jan-10 Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Aug-11 Sep-11 Oct-11 Nov-11 Dec-11 Jan-12 115.26 115.14 114.49 113.99 113.95 114.19 114.61 114.88 114.70 114.34 113.58 112.69 111.29 109.12 106.47 103.86 102.05 101.10 100.55 99.83 98.60 97.01 95.63 94.73 94.95 96.42 98.86 101.70 104.07 105.65 106.09 105.52 104.17 102.39 100.42 98.68 97.31 96.93 98.10 99.76 100.96 101.31 100.84 99.85 98.55 97.02 95.15 93.24 91.42 108.91 109.17 108.97 108.51 107.99 107.22 106.39 105.47 104.12 102.30 100.49 98.51 96.34 94.12 91.58 89.43 87.81 86.72 86.01 85.58 85.19 84.90 84.67 84.62 84.52 84.65 85.42 86.45 87.44 88.33 89.01 89.14 88.87 88.30 87.57 87.04 87.03 87.39 88.17 89.26 90.30 91.15 91.66 91.86 91.71 91.60 92.14 93.78 96.52 Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast 116.25 116.15 115.30 113.90 112.35 110.91 109.94 109.18 108.42 107.52 106.39 104.86 102.87 100.54 98.23 96.15 94.38 92.85 91.58 90.55 89.87 89.25 88.55 87.89 87.58 87.90 88.51 89.06 89.26 89.16 89.14 89.01 88.64 88.24 87.94 88.09 88.48 88.88 89.68 90.86 91.80 92.36 92.11 91.34 90.43 89.54 88.85 88.85 89.71 95.24 94.96 95.28 95.93 96.69 97.46 98.31 99.02 99.89 100.73 101.49 102.54 104.41 107.27 109.01 110.09 110.77 111.40 112.15 113.31 114.98 116.74 118.35 119.39 118.90 116.74 113.69 110.49 108.00 106.49 106.06 105.94 105.90 105.54 105.04 105.22 106.49 108.48 110.58 112.79 114.25 114.69 114.59 114.58 114.03 113.09 111.70 109.93 108.16 115.40 115.23 114.49 113.33 112.02 110.76 109.82 109.16 108.50 107.61 106.22 104.24 101.74 98.90 95.84 93.20 91.11 89.44 88.05 86.92 85.96 85.06 84.34 83.86 83.71 84.15 85.65 87.65 89.60 91.20 92.17 92.52 92.50 92.26 91.78 91.16 90.74 90.68 90.88 91.26 91.64 92.27 93.11 93.82 93.98 93.67 93.09 92.39 91.81 release 06/16/2012 115.44 114.67 113.78 112.73 111.54 110.29 109.03 107.69 106.04 104.01 101.58 98.83 95.98 93.30 91.00 89.17 87.90 87.16 86.83 86.84 87.03 87.24 87.36 87.50 87.66 88.01 88.51 89.07 89.59 90.04 90.38 90.68 90.98 91.36 91.81 92.22 92.54 92.64 92.47 92.10 91.62 91.22 91.07 91.00 91.04 91.23 91.65 92.42 93.45 108.92 109.73 110.05 110.15 110.20 110.07 109.84 109.23 107.92 105.82 103.02 99.68 96.07 92.23 88.33 84.74 81.87 79.83 78.58 78.15 78.53 79.46 80.63 81.76 82.92 84.36 86.11 88.07 89.99 92.05 94.35 96.55 98.64 100.15 100.82 100.50 99.25 97.46 95.31 93.22 91.34 90.16 90.11 91.58 94.62 98.35 101.92 104.21 105.18 www.real.illinois.edu 116.65 117.13 116.99 115.95 114.20 112.20 110.12 107.83 105.40 103.10 101.04 98.93 96.80 94.98 93.78 93.04 92.76 92.68 92.86 92.97 92.98 92.68 92.00 90.92 89.68 88.51 87.75 87.48 87.36 87.03 86.53 86.04 85.77 85.72 86.11 87.14 88.55 90.25 92.48 95.16 98.01 100.53 102.27 103.63 104.44 104.20 102.64 100.30 97.57 page 11 Feb-12 Mar-12 Apr-12 May-12 Jun-12 Jul-12 Aug-12 Sep-12 Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 89.56 87.72 85.98 84.64 83.77 83.37 83.52 84.32 85.71 87.45 89.17 90.49 91.17 91.11 90.41 100.19 104.43 108.39 111.32 112.86 113.11 112.51 111.67 111.16 111.44 112.71 114.87 117.57 118.94 120.30 91.19 92.81 94.32 95.63 96.75 97.76 98.82 100.10 101.77 103.97 104.23 105.20 106.52 107.32 108.13 106.25 104.39 103.31 102.66 102.14 101.50 100.62 99.49 98.22 96.98 95.93 95.18 94.79 94.74 94.92 91.47 91.54 91.78 92.18 92.95 94.22 95.80 97.31 98.36 98.87 99.02 99.12 99.41 99.93 100.58 94.59 95.61 96.41 97.12 97.91 98.91 100.13 101.50 102.93 104.37 105.81 107.26 108.69 110.07 111.35 105.64 105.41 104.55 103.24 101.80 100.53 99.70 99.54 100.15 101.56 103.74 104.23 105.20 106.52 107.32 95.12 92.59 91.88 94.37 96.72 99.22 101.80 104.45 107.15 109.78 112.02 113.40 113.58 112.48 110.33 Notes B-N=Bloomington-Normal C-U=Champaign-Urbana K-B= Kankakee-Bradley D-RI-M=Davenport-Rock Island-Moline Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 06/16/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 12