ILLINOIS MSA Indices & Forecast Release data Issue www.real.illinois.edu 05/15/2012 May 2004 / Mar 2013 2013.05 Note: Values shown on the “1 Year” forecast represent a pessimistic – optimistic scenario. For estimated values please see Appendix. Comparing MSAs Indices with Chicago Indices 40.00 30.00 20.00 10.00 0.00 -10.00 -20.00 -30.00 Bloomington Champaign Davenport Decatur Peoria Rockford Springfield Kanka kee *When figures dropping zero represents that MSAs are doing worse than Chicago; when figures rising above zero represents that MSAs are doing better than Chicago. Before Jan 2008, MSA Davenport and Decatur performed worse than Chicago. However, after Jan 2008, they started performing better than Chicago. From early 2007 to early 2009, MSA Bloomington, Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul, Peoria, Rockford, Springfield and Kankakee performed better than Chicago. However, from Mid-2009 to late-2011, these MSAs generally performed worse than Chicago. According to the forecast one year ahead, MSA Bloomington and Springfield will do better than Chicago by March 2014. Champaign, Davenport-Rock Island-Moline, Decatur, Rockford and Kankakee will compare favorably to Chicago. MSA Peoria might perform no better than Chicago. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 04/15/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 1 Bloomington-Normal (Reference Month – Mar 2013) Current 94.23 1 Month 3 Month 1 Year Historical 94.23 92.71 83.22 Forecast 94.90 96.26 96.72 ~ 109.21 Bloomington - Normal MSA 140.00 130.00 120.00 110.00 B-N Chicago 100.00 Other MSAs 90.00 80.00 Jan-14 Sep-13 Jan-13 May-13 Sep-12 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-11 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-10 Jan-10 May-10 Sep-09 Jan-09 May-09 Sep-08 Jan-08 May-08 Sep-07 Jan-07 May-07 Sep-06 Jan-06 May-06 Sep-05 Jan-05 May-05 Sep-04 May-04 70.00 Bloomington-Normal MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate: Bloomington-Normal in Mar gained by moving up 1 position reaching the 3rd place of the rank. In the 12 month growth league table Bloomington-Normal moving up 4 positions reaching the 4th place of the rank. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 04/15/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 2 Champaign-Urbana (Reference Month – Mar 2013) Current 90.77 1 Month 3 Month 1 Year Historical 90.77 90.96 90.88 Forecast 90.81 90.58 82.36 ~ 98.60 Champaign - Urbana MSA 130.00 120.00 110.00 100.00 C-U Chicago 90.00 Other MSAs 80.00 70.00 Jan-14 Sep-13 Jan-13 May-13 Sep-12 May-12 Jan-12 Sep-11 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-10 Jan-10 May-10 Sep-09 Jan-09 May-09 Sep-08 Jan-08 May-08 Sep-07 May-07 Jan-07 Sep-06 Jan-06 May-06 Sep-05 Jan-05 May-05 Sep-04 May-04 60.00 Champaign- Urbana MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate: Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul gained in Mar by moving up 3 positions reaching the 2nd place in the rank. In the 12 months growth league table, Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul moving up 5 positions reaching the 1st place of the rank. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 04/15/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 3 Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (Reference Month – Mar 2013) Current 104.10 1 Month 3 Month 1 Year Historical 104.10 109.63 113.66 Forecast 101.26 96.93 92.18 ~ 105.36 Davenport - Rock Island - Moline MSA 130.00 120.00 110.00 100.00 D-RI-M Chicago 90.00 Other MSAs 80.00 70.00 Jan-14 Sep-13 Jan-13 May-13 Sep-12 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-11 May-11 Jan-11 Sep-10 Jan-10 May-10 Sep-09 Jan-09 May-09 Sep-08 Jan-08 May-08 Sep-07 Jan-07 May-07 Sep-06 Jan-06 May-06 Sep-05 Jan-05 May-05 Sep-04 May-04 60.00 Davenport – Rock Island–Moline MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate: Davenport-Rock Island-Moline in Mar moving down 6 positions reaching the 8th place in the rank. In the 12 months growth league table, Davenport – Rock Island – Moline moved up 1 position to the 8th place in the rank. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 04/15/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 4 Decatur (Reference Month – Mar 2013) Current 102.93 1 Month 3 Month 1 Year Historical 102.93 101.59 105.38 Forecast 103.08 103.07 93.14 ~ 105.31 Decatur MSA 130.00 120.00 110.00 Decatur 100.00 Chicago Other MSAs 90.00 80.00 Jan-14 Sep-13 Jan-13 May-13 Sep-12 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-11 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-10 May-10 Jan-10 Sep-09 Jan-09 May-09 Sep-08 Jan-08 May-08 Sep-07 Jan-07 May-07 Sep-06 Jan-06 May-06 Sep-05 Jan-05 May-05 Sep-04 May-04 70.00 Decatur MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate Compared to the previous month, Decatur remained in the same position in the rank. In the 12 months growth league table, Decatur remained in the last place in the rank. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 04/15/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 5 Kankakee - Bradley (Reference Month – Mar 2013) Current 99.67 1 Month 3 Month 1 Year Historical 99.67 89.88 98.52 Forecast 99.14 96.31 86.72 ~ 100.59 Kankakee - Bradley MSA 140.00 130.00 120.00 110.00 K-B 100.00 Chicago Other MSAs 90.00 80.00 70.00 Jan-14 Sep-13 Jan-13 May-13 Sep-12 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-11 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-10 Jan-10 May-10 Sep-09 Jan-09 May-09 Sep-08 Jan-08 May-08 Sep-07 Jan-07 May-07 Sep-06 May-06 Jan-06 Sep-05 Jan-05 May-05 Sep-04 May-04 60.00 Kankakee - Bradley MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate Compared to last month, Kankakee – Bradley moving up 5 positions reaching the 1st place in the rank. In the 12 months growth league table, Kankakee– Bradley moved down 1 position reaching the 2nd position of the rank. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 04/15/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 6 Peoria (Reference Month – Mar 2013) Current 85.16 1 Month 3 Month 1 Year Historical 85.16 86.84 97.88 Forecast 84.78 85.15 80.12 ~ 93.12 Peoria MSA 140.00 130.00 120.00 110.00 Peoria 100.00 Chicago Other MSAs 90.00 80.00 70.00 Jan-14 Sep-13 May-13 Jan-13 Sep-12 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-11 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-10 Jan-10 May-10 Sep-09 May-09 Jan-09 Sep-08 Jan-08 May-08 Sep-07 Jan-07 May-07 Sep-06 Jan-06 May-06 Sep-05 May-05 Jan-05 Sep-04 May-04 60.00 Peoria MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate Peoria remained in the same position of the rank. In the 12 months growth league table, Peoria moved down 4 positions reaching the 9th place in the rank. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 04/15/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 7 Rockford (Reference Month – Mar 2013) Current 90.81 1 Month 3 Month 1 Year Historical 90.81 89.09 92.40 Forecast 91.14 92.07 90.01 ~ 103.82 Rockford MSA 140.00 130.00 120.00 110.00 Rockford 100.00 Chicago Other MSAs 90.00 80.00 70.00 Jan-14 Sep-13 May-13 Jan-13 Sep-12 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-11 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-10 Jan-10 May-10 Sep-09 Jan-09 May-09 Sep-08 Jan-08 May-08 Sep-07 Jan-07 May-07 Sep-06 Jan-06 May-06 Sep-05 Jan-05 May-05 Sep-04 May-04 60.00 Rockford MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate Rockford remained in the same place of the rank. In the 12 months growth league table, Rockford also remained in the same place in the rank. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 04/15/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 8 Springfield (Reference Month – Mar 2013) Current 99.63 1 Month 3 Month 1 Year Historical 99.63 98.25 101.81 Forecast 99.65 102.45 102.58 ~ 116.25 Springfield MSA 140.00 130.00 120.00 110.00 100.00 Springfield Chicago 90.00 Other MSAs 80.00 70.00 60.00 Jan-14 Sep-13 Jan-13 May-13 Sep-12 Jan-12 May-12 Sep-11 Jan-11 May-11 Sep-10 Jan-10 May-10 Sep-09 May-09 Jan-09 Sep-08 Jan-08 May-08 Sep-07 Jan-07 May-07 Sep-06 Jan-06 May-06 Sep-05 Jan-05 May-05 Sep-04 May-04 50.00 Springfield MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate Springfield gained 2 positions in the rank reaching the 6th place. In the 12 months growth league table Springfield lost 2 positions reaching the 5th place in the rank. Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast release 04/15/2012 www.real.illinois.edu page 9