IllinoisJob Index:
MSA Report
Release
data
Issue
04/23/2011
Jan 1990 / Feb 2012
15.03
Note: IDES revised their estimates for the number of jobs at the beginning of 2012.
www.real.illinois.edu
As a companion to the June 2011 Illinois Job Index that reports an positive rating, this MSA Report provides a localized picture on Illinois job
growth and allows for comparisons between local economies, Illinois, the Nation and the Rest of the Midwest.
Total non-farm employment
March
2012
Nation
Rest of Midwest (RMW)
Illinois
Illinois Metro
Illinois non-Metro (Rural)
Illinois Chicago (Upstate)
Illinois non-Chicago
Feb 2011
Number of
Jobs
132,701,000
18,873,700
5,686,400
5,192,200
494,200
4,047,700
1,638,700
Jan 2012 – Feb 2012
Growth
Rate
(%)
0.18
0.26
0.11
-0.03
1.66
0.05
0.29
Number
of Jobs
240,000
48,600
6,500
-1,600
8,100
1,800
4,700
Last 12 months
Growth
Rate
(%)
1.55
1.00
0.57
0.93
-3.08
1.04
-0.59
Number
of Jobs
2,025,000
186,600
32,000
47,700
-15,700
41,700
-9,700
The monthly Illinois Job Index and MSA Report are provided as tools for elected officials, policy leaders and the public. Understanding the
Illinois economy and business climate is enhanced by comparing and measuring Illinois employment growth rates against those of the Rest of the
Midwest (RMW: Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Missouri, Ohio and Wisconsin) and the Nation. Data and analysis are provided by the Illinois
Economic Observatory / Regional Economics Applications Laboratory, University of Illinois. The MSA data (unless noted) were seasonally
adjusted to be consistent with state totals.
Talking Points

State,
Downstate
& Metro








MSA
page (2-4)



Illinois added 6,500 jobs in Feb 2012 at a rate of 0.11%, compared with a revised 3,900 job gain in Jan 2012.
Compared to Feb 2011, Illinois has added 32,000 jobs. The three-month moving average of jobs, a more stable
measure of labor market, was up by 4,100 jobs per month.
Illinois has lost 299,800 jobs since the economic crisis developed in December 2007.
Since January 2010 when Illinois employment resumed after the national recession, Illinois has added 104,800 new jobs.
The major geographic divisions, Chicago-Downstate had positive performance while Metro-Rural had mixed
performance.
Illinois Rural area added 8,100 jobs at 1.66% this month, compared to a revised 27,900 job losses in Jan. At the
same time, Metro shed 1,600 jobs at -0.03% this month, compared to a revised 31,800 job gain in the previous
month.
Chicago added 1,800 jobs at 0.05% in Feb 2012, compared to a revised 20,900 job gain last month. On the other
hand, Downstate added 4,700 jobs at 0.29%, compared to a revised 17,000 job loss in Jan.
In terms of the 12-month aggregated account, Metro registered a positive 0.93% growth by adding 47,700 jobs
whereas Rural shed 15,700 jobs at -3.08%. Chicago added 41,700 jobs at 1.04% whereas Downstate shed 9,700
jobs at -0.59%.
Through Feb 2011, the cumulative job growth for Metro, Rural, Chicago and Downstate compared to January
1990 stood at 8.39%, 3.43%, 7.72% and 8.48%, respectively.
Illinois Metro shed 1,600 jobs at -0.03% in Feb of 2012. Five out of the ten MSAs posted positive growth in
February.
In terms of growth performance, four MSAs posted a net improvement from Jan to Feb, five declined in terms of
rank.
Metro-East dropped to the last place in terms of monthly growth performance, while Decatur climbed up to the
first place.
Over the last 12-month period, Kankakee raised to the first place while Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul remained in
the last place for the twelfth consecutive months.
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 04/23/2011
www.real.illinois.edu
page 1
Total non-farm Employment growth Jan 1990 – Feb 2012
130.0
125.0
120.0
115.0
110.0
105.0
100.0
US (1)
RMW (2)
IL (3)
IL_NonChicago (4)
Metro (5)
Rural (6)
95.0
90.0
85.0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Talking Points


State,
Downstate
& Metro



While the average growth for Illinois between 1990 and 2008 was 0.04%, the average from December 2007 to
Feb 2012 is -0.10%. This is worse than the performance during the 2000-2001 downturns which saw declines
of -0.07%.
Since the economic crisis in December 2007, the average growth for Metro is -0.10% while for Rural it is
-0.06%. The same rate for Upstate it is -0.11% while for Downstate is -0.08%.
Over the last 12-month period, the average growth rate for Metro was 0.08% and for Rural it was -0.24%.
In 2010, Illinois’s performance was better than the RMW and compared favorably to the nation. In 2011,
Illinois has performed as good as the RMW but worse than the nation. In 2011, the average growth rate for
Illinois and the RMW is 0.05% while for the nation is 0.12%. So far until Feb 2012, the average growth rate
for Illinois is 0.09%, for the RMW is 0.36% while for the nation is 0.19%.
Downstate registered a -0.37% average decline in 2012 compared to an average gain of 0.10% growth in
2007, -0.17% decline in 2008, -0.32% decline in 2009, 0.09% growth in 2010 and 0.04% growth in 2011.
By MSA
Market Area
Bloomington-Normal (B-N)
Champaign-Urbana (C-U-R)
Chicago
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (D-R-M)
Decatur
Kankakee
Peoria
Rockford
Springfield
Metro-East
Illinois
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
Feb 2012
Number of
Jobs
89,800
103,000
4,047,700
177,900
53,400
43,700
183,300
148,300
112,000
233,100
Jan 2012 – Feb 2012
Growth
compared
to Illinois
+
+
+
+
-
Growth
Rate %
0.73
-1.60
0.05
-0.07
2.14
0.52
0.76
-0.08
-0.36
-1.87
0.11
release 04/23/2011
Last 12 months
Number
Of Jobs
Growth
Rate %
Number
of Jobs
700
-1,700
1,800
-100
1,100
200
1,400
-100
-400
-4,400
6,500
-0.82
-1.92
1.04
-1.34
2.04
3.45
2.24
3.00
0.00
0.15
0.57
-700
-2,000
41,700
-2,400
1,100
1,500
4,000
4,300
0
400
32,000
www.real.illinois.edu
page 2
MSA League Tables*: Non-farm Employment Growth Rate
Monthly growth:
Rank
Jan 2011
Feb 2012
Rank
Change**
1
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (3.61%)
Decatur (2.14%)
1
(+9)
2
Metro-East (2.29%)
Peoria (0.76%)
2
(+7)
3
Rockford (1.59%)
Bloomington-Normal (0.73%)
3
(+5)
4
Kankakee (1.13%)
Kankakee (0.52%)
4
(+0)
5
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (0.56%)
Chicago (0.05%)
5
(+1)
6
Chicago (0.52%)
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (-0.07%)
6
(-1)
7
Springfield (0.1%)
Rockford (-0.08%)
7
(-4)
8
Bloomington-Normal (-0.41%)
Springfield (-0.36%)
8
(-1)
9
Peoria (-0.54%)
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (-1.6%)
9
(-8)
10
Decatur (-1.12%)
Metro-East (-1.87%)
10
(-8)
Growth over last 12-months:
Rank
Jan 2011
Feb 2012
Rank
Change**
1
Rockford (2.72%)
Kankakee (3.45%)
1
(+1)
2
Kankakee (2.48%)
Rockford (3%)
2
(-1)
3
Metro-East (2.46%)
Peoria (2.24%)
3
(+1)
4
Peoria (1.52%)
Decatur (2.04%)
4
(+2)
5
Chicago (1.02%)
Chicago (1.04%)
5
(+0)
6
Decatur (0.86%)
Metro-East (0.15%)
6
(-3)
7
Springfield (0.53%)
Springfield (0%)
7
(+0)
8
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (-1.35%)
Bloomington-Normal (-0.82%)
8
(+1)
9
Bloomington-Normal (-1.55%)
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (-1.34%)
9
(-1)
10
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (-2.3%)
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (-1.92%)
10
(+0)
Talking Points


MSA League
Tables





Metro-East (2nd to 10th) and Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (1st to 9th) all experienced the deepest fall this
month.
Rockford (3rd to 7th), Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (5th to 6th) and Springfield (7th to 8th) also dropped in
terms of rank from last month.
The most remarkable upward move in February was recorded for Decatur (10th to 1st).
Peoria (9th to 2nd), Bloomington-Normal (8th to 3rd), Chicago (6th to 5th) also gained in terms of rank from last
month.
In the 12 months growth league table, upward moves were recorded for Kankakee (2nd to 1st) and Peoria (4th
to 3rd), Decatur (6th to 4th) and Bloomington-Normal (9th to 8th) while downward moves were recorded for
Rockford (1st to 2nd), Metro-East (3rd to 6th) and Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (8th to 9th).
Chicago, Springfield and Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul remained in the same place.
In the 12 months growth league table, Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul stayed in the last place for the twelfth
consecutive month.
*MSA League Tables are based on revised employment data. For instances of equal growth rate for multiple MSAs ranks are decided based on change of
growth rate from previous month.
**Changes indicate change in rank position compared to previous month and correspond to the MSA at the right column. Rise is indicated by a ‘’ and
decline by a ‘’ and for an unchanged position a ‘’ is used. Figures in parenthesis indicate relative rank change from previous month.
Shaded area on above chart represents Illinois growth.
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 04/23/2011
www.real.illinois.edu
page 3
Feb 2012 MSA Employment by Sectors (000s) *
Trade,
Construc- Manufac- transportat Information
turing
ion &
tion
(CON)
(MAN)
utilities
(INF)
(TTU)
Market Area
Financial
activities
(FIN)
Profession
al &
Education Leisure &
Other
business & health hospitality Services
services
(EDU)
(LEI)
(OTH)
(PRO)
2.61
4.01
12.71
0.81
12.12
18.36
11.03
9.84
(2.9%)
(4.5%)
(14.3%)
(0.9%)
(13.6%) (20.6%) (12.4%) (11.0%)
3.34
7.87
17.00
2.60
4.34
7.83
13.13
10.2
Champaign-Urbana
(3.2%)
(7.5%)
(16.2%)
(2.5%)
(4.1%)
(7.5%)
(12.5%)
(9.7%)
123.27
378.72
809.03
76.67
276.84
695.29
608.98
377.1
Chicago
(3%)
(9.4%)
(20%)
(1.9%)
(6.8%)
(17.2%) (15.1%)
(9.3%)
7.99
23.05
37.9
2.50
8.06
21.39
25.78
16.77
Davenport-Rock
Island-Moline
(4.5%)
(12.9%) (21.3%)
(1.4%)
(4.5%)
(12%)
(14.5%)
(9.4%)
3.26
10.55
10.81
0.70
2.03
4.04
8.26
4.51
Decatur
(6.2%)
(20.2%) (20.7%)
(1.3%)
(3.9%)
(7.7%)
(15.8%)
(8.6%)
1.25
4.97
10.32
0.51
1.91
2.79
8.91
3.92
Kankakee
(2.9%)
(11.4%) (23.7%)
(1.2%)
(4.4%)
(6.4%)
(20.5%)
(9.0%)
7.69
27.27
34.87
2.55
7.24
22.96
32.78
17.18
Peoria
(4.2%)
(15%)
(19.2%)
(1.4%)
(4.0%)
(12.6%)
(18%)
(9.4%)
4.68
30.1
28.08
1.72
5.87
16.23
23.91
12.36
Rockford
(3.2%)
(20.3%) (18.9%)
(1.2%)
(4.0%)
(10.9%) (16.1%)
(8.3%)
4.66
3.35
17.38
1.91
7.15
12.25
19.43
9.97
Springfield
(4.1%)
(3.0%)
(15.5%)
(1.7%)
(6.4%)
(10.9%) (17.3%)
(8.9%)
189.71
578.26
1136.75
99.73
365.4
842.82
852.9
525.99
IL
(3.3%)
(10.2%)
(20%)
(1.8%)
(6.4%)
(14.8%)
(15%)
(9.3%)
* The Illinois Department of Employment Security does not collect sector employment data for Metro-East
Government
(GOV)
3.08
(3.5%)
3.17
(3.0%)
180.21
(4.5%)
7.43
(4.2%)
2.36
(4.5%)
1.73
(4.0%)
7.97
(4.4%)
8.57
(5.8%)
6.27
(5.6%)
246.85
(4.3%)
BloomingtonNormal
14.69
(16.5%)
35.36
(33.8%)
516.09
(12.8%)
26.96
(15.1%)
5.91
(11.3%)
7.05
(16.2%)
21.24
(11.7%)
16.16
(10.9%)
29.96
(26.7%)
833.17
(14.7%)
Total non-farm Employment growth rate Jan 1990 – Feb 2012
150.0
IL(1)
Bloomington-Normal (2)
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (3)
Chicago (4)
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (5)
Decatur (6)
Kankakee (7)
Peoria (8)
Rockford (9)
Springfield (10)
St.Louis (11)
140.0
130.0
120.0
110.0
100.0
90.0
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
MSA DESCRIPTION: Bloomington-Normal (B-N): McLean Co.Champaign-Urbana (C-U-R): Champaign Co.,
Ford Co. & Piatt Co. Chicago: Cook Co. IL, DeKalb Co. IL, DuPage Co. IL, Grundy Co. IL, Kane Co. IL, Kendall Co.
IL, Lake Co. IL, McHenry Co. IL, Will Co. IL & Kenosha Co. WI Davenport-Moline-Rock Island (D-R-M): Henry
Co. IL, Mercer Co. IL, Rock Island Co. IL & Scott Co. IA Decatur: Macon Co.Kankakee: Kankakee Co. Metro-East:
Bond Co., Calhoun Co., Clinton Co., Jersey Co., Macoupin Co., Madison Co., Monroe Co. & St. Clair Co. Peoria-Pekin
(Peoria): Marshall Co., Peoria Co., Stark Co., Tazewell Co. & Woodford Co.Rockford: Boone Co. & Winnebago Co.
Springfield: Menard Co. &SangamonCo.The MSA data (unless noted) were seasonally adjusted to be consistent with state
totals.
The Illinois Economic Observatory and Illinois Jobs Indexis part of the Institute of Government and Public Affairs
at the University of Illinois.
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 04/23/2011
www.real.illinois.edu
page 4
Employment Forecast for MSAs
MSAs
BloomingtonNormal
Champaign-UrbanaRantoul
Feb 2012*
Feb 2013
(p)*
89,800
Sector with
Highest
Growth Rate
(p)
Sector with
Lowest
Growth
Rate (p)
Number of
Jobs *
Growth Rate
%
Growth
90,250
100~450
0.11%~0.50%
+
PRO (2.9%)
MAN (-9.5%)
103,000
102,800
-200~800
-0.20%~0.80%
-
CON (3.5%)
MAN (-5.4%)
Chicago
4,047,700
4,107,600
10,500~59,900
0.30%~1.50%
+
PRO (4.9%)
CON (-7.5%)
Davenport-Rock
Island-Moline
177,900
175,700
-2,200~400
-1.20%~0.20%
-
EDU (2.3%)
PRO (-7.3%)
Decatur
53,400
53,200
-200~500
-0.40%~0.90%
-
CON (1.7%)
INF (-4.0%)
Kankakee
43,700
43,700
0~400
0%~0.90%
+
EDU (1.8%)
CON (-7.1%)
Peoria
183,300
182,900
-400~1,900
-0.20%~1.00%
-
PRO (5.0%)
MAN (-6.0%)
Rockford
148,300
151,200
2,000~2,900
1.30%~1.90%
+
MAN (9.0%)
FIN (-2.4%)
Springfield
112,000
111,900
-100~100
-0.9%~0.90%
-
EDU (2.9%)
INF (-9.3%)
*Total Non-Farm Jobs
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 04/23/2011
www.real.illinois.edu
page 5
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 04/23/2011
www.real.illinois.edu
page 6