IllinoisJob Index:
MSA Report
Release
data
Issue
05/07/2011
Jan 1990 / Mar 2012
15.04
Note: IDES revised their estimates for the number of jobs at the beginning of 2012.
www.real.illinois.edu
As a companion to the June 2011 Illinois Job Index that reports an positive rating, this MSA Report provides a localized picture on Illinois job
growth and allows for comparisons between local economies, Illinois, the Nation and the Rest of the Midwest.
Total non-farm employment
April
2012
Nation
Rest of Midwest (RMW)
Illinois
Illinois Metro
Illinois non-Metro (Rural)
Illinois Chicago (Upstate)
Illinois non-Chicago
Mar 2011
Number of
Jobs
132,874,000
18,867,100
5,698,000
5,203,600
494,400
4,059,300
1,638,800
Feb 2012 –Mar 2012
Growth
Rate
(%)
0.12
-0.04
0.16
0.19
-0.14
0.25
-0.05
Number
of Jobs
154,000
-7,300
9,100
9,800
-700
9,900
-800
Last 12 months
Growth
Rate
(%)
1.49
0.78
0.56
0.96
-3.45
1.12
-0.80
Number
of Jobs
1,952,000
146,900
31,700
49,400
-17,700
44,900
-13,200
The monthly Illinois Job Index and MSA Report are provided as tools for elected officials, policy leaders and the public. Understanding the
Illinois economy and business climate is enhanced by comparing and measuring Illinois employment growth rates against those of the Rest of the
Midwest (RMW: Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Missouri, Ohio and Wisconsin) and the Nation. Data and analysis are provided by the Illinois
Economic Observatory / Regional Economics Applications Laboratory, University of Illinois. The MSA data (unless noted) were seasonally
adjusted to be consistent with state totals.
Talking Points

State,
Downstate
& Metro








MSA
page (2-4)



Illinois added 9,100 jobs in Mar 2012 at a rate of 0.16%, compared with a revised 9,000 job gain in Feb 2012.
Compared to Mar 2011, Illinois has added 31,700 jobs. The three-month moving average of jobs, a more stable
measure of labor market, was up by 7,300 jobs per month.
Illinois has lost 289,900 jobs since the economic crisis developed in December 2007.
Since January 2010 when Illinois employment resumed after the national recession, Illinois has added 116,400 new jobs.
The major geographic divisions, Chicago-Downstate and Metro-Rural both had mixed performance.
Illinois Rural area shed 700 jobs at -0.14% this month, compared to a revised 9,100 job gains in Feb. At the same
time, Metro added 9,800 jobs at 0.19% this month, compared to a revised 100 job losses in the previous month.
Chicago added 9,900 jobs at 0.25% in Mar 2012, compared to a revised 3,600 job gain last month. On the other
hand, Downstate shed 800 jobs at -0.05%, compared to a revised 5,400 job gains in Feb.
In terms of the 12-month aggregated account, Metro registered a positive 0.96% growth by adding 49,400 jobs
whereas Rural shed 17,700 jobs at -3.45%. Chicago added 44,900 jobs at 1.12% whereas Downstate shed 13,200
jobs at -0.80%.
Through Mar 2011, the cumulative job growth for Metro, Rural, Chicago and Downstate compared to January
1990 stood at 8.62%, 3.48%, 8.03% and 8.48%, respectively.
Illinois Metro added 9,800 jobs at 0.19% in Mar of 2012. Three out of the ten MSAs posted positive growth in
February.
In terms of growth performance, five MSAs posted a net improvement from Feb to Mar, four declined in terms of
rank.
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul dropped to the last place in terms of monthly growth performance, while Peoria
climbed up to the first place.
Over the last 12-month period, Kankakee stayed in the first place while Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul remained in
the last place for the thirteenth consecutive months.
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 05/07/2011
www.real.illinois.edu
page 1
Total non-farm Employment growth Jan 1990 – Mar 2012
130.0
125.0
120.0
115.0
110.0
105.0
100.0
US (1)
RMW (2)
IL (3)
IL_NonChicago (4)
Metro (5)
Rural (6)
95.0
90.0
85.0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Talking Points


State,
Downstate
& Metro



While the average growth for Illinois between 1990 and 2008 was 0.04%, the average from December 2007 to
March 2012 is -0.09%. This is worse than the performance during the 2000-2001 downturns which saw
declines of -0.07%.
Since the economic crisis in December 2007, the average growth for Metro is -0.10% while for Rural it is
-0.06%. The same rate for Upstate it is -0.10% while for Downstate is -0.08%.
Over the last 12-month period, the average growth rate for Metro was 0.08% and for Rural it was -0.26%.
In 2010, Illinois’s performance was better than the RMW and compared favorably to the nation. In 2011,
Illinois has performed as good as the RMW but worse than the nation. In 2011, the average growth rate for
Illinois and the RMW is 0.05% while for the nation is 0.12%. So far until Mar 2012, the average growth rate
for Illinois is 0.13%, for the RMW is 0.23% while for the nation is 0.17%.
Downstate registered a -0.26% average decline in 2012 compared to an average gain of 0.10% growth in
2007, -0.17% decline in 2008, -0.32% decline in 2009, 0.09% growth in 2010 and 0.04% growth in 2011.
By MSA
Market Area
Bloomington-Normal (B-N)
Champaign-Urbana (C-U-R)
Chicago
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (D-R-M)
Decatur
Kankakee
Peoria
Rockford
Springfield
Metro-East
Illinois
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
Mar 2012
Number of
Jobs
89,500
102,300
4,059,200
179,000
53,400
43,600
184,200
147,900
111,500
233,000
Feb 2012 – Mar 2012
Growth
compared
to Illinois
+
+
+
-
Growth
Rate %
Number
Of Jobs
-0.12
-0.70
0.25
0.38
-0.10
-0.57
0.42
-0.09
-0.17
-0.05
0.16
-100
-700
9,900
700
-100
-200
800
-100
-200
-100
9,100
release 05/07/2011
Last 12 months
Growth
Rate %
Number
of Jobs
-1.42
-2.53
1.12
-0.73
1.80
2.99
2.91
2.27
-0.60
-0.12
0.56
-1,300
-2,700
44,900
-1,300
1,000
1,300
5,200
3,300
-700
-300
31,700
www.real.illinois.edu
page 2
MSA League Tables*: Non-farm Employment Growth Rate
Monthly growth:
Rank
Feb 2011
Mar 2012
Rank
Change**
1
Decatur (2%)
Peoria (0.42%)
1
(+1)
2
Peoria (0.82%)
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (0.38%)
2
(+4)
3
Kankakee (0.78%)
Chicago (0.25%)
3
(+2)
4
Bloomington-Normal (0.33%)
Metro-East (-0.05%)
4
(+6)
5
Chicago (0.09%)
Rockford (-0.09%)
5
(+2)
6
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (0.08%)
Decatur (-0.1%)
6
(-5)
7
Rockford (-0.25%)
Bloomington-Normal (-0.12%)
7
(-3)
8
Springfield (-0.46%)
Springfield (-0.17%)
8
(+0)
9
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (-1.59%)
Kankakee (-0.57%)
9
(-6)
10
Metro-East (-1.88%)
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (-0.7%)
10
(-1)
Growth over last 12-months:
Rank
Feb 2011
Mar 2012
Rank
Change**
1
Kankakee (3.69%)
Kankakee (2.99%)
1
(+0)
2
Rockford (2.84%)
Peoria (2.91%)
2
(+1)
3
Peoria (2.24%)
Rockford (2.27%)
3
(-1)
4
Decatur (2.22%)
Decatur (1.8%)
4
(+0)
5
Chicago (1.01%)
Chicago (1.12%)
5
(+0)
6
Metro-East (0.14%)
Metro-East (-0.12%)
6
(+0)
7
Springfield (-0.19%)
Springfield (-0.6%)
7
(+0)
8
Bloomington-Normal (-1.05%)
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (-0.73%)
8
(+1)
9
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (-1.18%)
Bloomington-Normal (-1.42%)
9
(-1)
10
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (-1.84%)
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (-2.53%)
10
(+0)
Talking Points




MSA League
Tables



Kankakee (3rd to 9th) experienced the deepest fall this month.
Decatur (1st to 6th), Bloomington-Normal (4th to 7th) and Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (9th to 10th) also
dropped in terms of rank from last month.
The most remarkable upward move in March was recorded for Metro-East (10th to 4th).
Rockford (7th to 5th), Chicago (5th to 3rd), Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (6th to 2nd) and Peoria (2nd to 1st)
also gained in terms of rank from last month.
In the 12 months growth league table, upward moves were recorded for Peoria (3rd to 2nd) and DavenportRock Island-Moline (9th to 8th) while downward moves were recorded for Rockford (2nd to 3th) and
Bloomington-Normal (8th to 9th).
Kankakee, Decatur, Chicago, Metro-East, Springfield and Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul remained in the same
place.
In the 12 months growth league table, Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul stayed in the last place for the thirteenth
consecutive month.
*MSA League Tables are based on revised employment data. For instances of equal growth rate for multiple MSAs ranks are decided based on change of
growth rate from previous month.
**Changes indicate change in rank position compared to previous month and correspond to the MSA at the right column. Rise is indicated by a ‘’ and
decline by a ‘’ and for an unchanged position a ‘’ is used. Figures in parenthesis indicate relative rank change from previous month.
Shaded area on above chart represents Illinois growth.
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 05/07/2011
www.real.illinois.edu
page 3
Mar 2012 MSA Employment by Sectors (000s) *
Market Area
Trade,
Construc- Manufac- transportat Information
turing
ion &
tion
(CON)
(MAN)
utilities
(INF)
(TTU)
Financial
activities
(FIN)
Profession
al &
Education Leisure &
Other
business & health hospitality Services
services
(EDU)
(LEI)
(OTH)
(PRO)
2.62
4.01
12.75
0.80
12.17
18.24
11.04
9.85
(2.9%)
(4.5%)
(14.2%)
(0.9%)
(13.6%) (20.4%) (12.3%) (11.0%)
3.27
8.00
16.88
2.40
4.24
7.89
13.02
9.88
Champaign-Urbana
(3.2%)
(7.8%)
(16.5%)
(2.3%)
(4.1%)
(7.7%)
(12.7%)
(9.7%)
122.93
383.06
807.7
76.67
276.03
706.95
609.8
379.98
Chicago
(3%)
(9.4%)
(19.9%)
(1.9%)
(6.8%)
(17.4%)
(15%)
(9.4%)
8.01
23.73
38.01
2.48
8.09
21.14
25.96
16.94
Davenport-Rock
Island-Moline
(4.5%)
(13.3%) (21.2%)
(1.4%)
(4.5%)
(11.8%) (14.5%)
(9.5%)
3.31
10.55
11.05
0.71
2.03
4.20
8.46
4.68
Decatur
(6.2%)
(19.7%) (20.7%)
(1.3%)
(3.8%)
(7.9%)
(15.8%)
(8.8%)
1.18
5.08
10.31
0.51
1.93
2.80
8.83
3.96
Kankakee
(2.7%)
(11.7%) (23.7%)
(1.2%)
(4.4%)
(6.4%)
(20.3%)
(9.1%)
7.52
28.38
34.91
2.55
7.21
23.81
33.71
17.21
Peoria
(4.1%)
(15.4%)
(19%)
(1.4%)
(3.9%)
(12.9%) (18.3%)
(9.3%)
4.86
30.32
27.9
1.68
5.84
16.46
23.79
12.47
Rockford
(3.3%)
(20.5%) (18.9%)
(1.1%)
(4.0%)
(11.1%) (16.1%)
(8.4%)
4.65
3.35
17.31
1.83
7.00
12.08
19.32
9.84
Springfield
(4.2%)
(3.0%)
(15.5%)
(1.6%)
(6.3%)
(10.8%) (17.3%)
(8.8%)
188.4
586.49
1135.85
100.3
364.34
854.41
853.76
529.68
IL
(3.3%)
(10.3%) (19.9%)
(1.8%)
(6.4%)
(15%)
(15%)
(9.3%)
* The Illinois Department of Employment Security does not collect sector employment data for Metro-East
BloomingtonNormal
3.04
(3.4%)
3.09
(3.0%)
179.51
(4.4%)
7.46
(4.2%)
2.45
(4.6%)
1.72
(3.9%)
8.11
(4.4%)
8.56
(5.8%)
6.21
(5.6%)
245.6
(4.3%)
Government
(GOV)
15.03
(16.8%)
33.68
(32.9%)
514.88
(12.7%)
27.11
(15.1%)
6.00
(11.2%)
7.10
(16.3%)
21.19
(11.5%)
16.17
(10.9%)
29.97
(26.9%)
831.62
(14.6%)
Total non-farm Employment growth rate Jan 1990 – Mar 2012
150.0
IL(1)
Bloomington-Normal (2)
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (3)
Chicago (4)
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (5)
Decatur (6)
Kankakee (7)
Peoria (8)
Rockford (9)
Springfield (10)
St.Louis (11)
140.0
130.0
120.0
110.0
100.0
90.0
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
MSA DESCRIPTION: Bloomington-Normal (B-N): McLean Co.Champaign-Urbana (C-U-R): Champaign Co.,
Ford Co. & Piatt Co. Chicago: Cook Co. IL, DeKalb Co. IL, DuPage Co. IL, Grundy Co. IL, Kane Co. IL, Kendall Co.
IL, Lake Co. IL, McHenry Co. IL, Will Co. IL & Kenosha Co. WI Davenport-Moline-Rock Island (D-R-M): Henry
Co. IL, Mercer Co. IL, Rock Island Co. IL & Scott Co. IA Decatur: Macon Co.Kankakee: Kankakee Co. Metro-East:
Bond Co., Calhoun Co., Clinton Co., Jersey Co., Macoupin Co., Madison Co., Monroe Co. & St. Clair Co. Peoria-Pekin
(Peoria): Marshall Co., Peoria Co., Stark Co., Tazewell Co. & Woodford Co.Rockford: Boone Co. & Winnebago Co.
Springfield: Menard Co. &SangamonCo.The MSA data (unless noted) were seasonally adjusted to be consistent with state
totals.
The Illinois Economic Observatory and Illinois Jobs Indexis part of the Institute of Government and Public Affairs
at the University of Illinois.
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 05/07/2011
www.real.illinois.edu
page 4
Employment Forecast for MSAs
Mar 2012*
Mar 2013
(p)*
89,800
Sector with
Highest
Growth Rate
(p)
Sector with
Lowest
Growth
Rate (p)
Number of
Jobs *
Growth Rate
%
Growth
90,250
100~450
0.11%~0.50%
+
PRO (2.9%)
MAN (-9.5%)
103,000
102,800
-200~800
-0.20%~0.80%
-
CON (3.5%)
MAN (-5.4%)
Chicago
4,047,700
4,107,600
10,500~59,900
0.30%~1.50%
+
PRO (4.9%)
CON (-7.5%)
Davenport-Rock
Island-Moline
177,900
175,700
-2,200~400
-1.20%~0.20%
-
EDU (2.3%)
PRO (-7.3%)
Decatur
53,400
53,200
-200~500
-0.40%~0.90%
-
CON (1.7%)
INF (-4.0%)
Kankakee
43,700
43,700
0~400
0%~0.90%
+
EDU (1.8%)
CON (-7.1%)
Peoria
183,300
182,900
-400~1,900
-0.20%~1.00%
-
PRO (5.0%)
MAN (-6.0%)
Rockford
148,300
151,200
2,000~2,900
1.30%~1.90%
+
MAN (9.0%)
FIN (-2.4%)
Springfield
112,000
111,900
-100~100
-0.9%~0.90%
-
EDU (2.9%)
INF (-9.3%)
MSAs
BloomingtonNormal
Champaign-UrbanaRantoul
*Total Non-Farm Jobs
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 05/07/2011
www.real.illinois.edu
page 5
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 05/07/2011
www.real.illinois.edu
page 6