Illinois Job Index
Release
06/30/2013
Data
Jan 1990 / May 2013
Issue
2013.06
www.real.illinois.edu
For Feb Illinois Job Index, IL, RMW and the Nation all had positive job growth.
The Illinois Job Index and MSA Report are issued monthly as tools for elected officials, policy leaders and the public. The
objective is to enhance the understanding of the Illinois economy and business climate by comparing and measuring Illinois
employment growth rates against those of the Rest of the Midwest (RMW: Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Missouri, Ohio and
Wisconsin) and the Nation. Data and analysis are provided by the Illinois Economic Observatory / Regional Economics
Applications Laboratory, University of Illinois.
Apr 2013– May 2013

Jun
2013
Positive
Total non-farm
employment
Growth
Rate %
Nation
Last 12 months
Number of
Jobs
May 2013
Number of
Jobs
Growth
Rate%
Shadow
U.R.*
0.13
175,000
1.58
2,115,000
12.0%
RMW
0.41
78,000
0.92
176,100
13.5%
Illinois
0.10
5,600
0.86
49,100
12.3%
*REAL has estimated a shadow unemployment rate; this is calculated as the unemployment rate that would be observed if labor force participation rates matched the
average for the 15-year period from 1990 to 2004.
Talking Points
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Illinois 
Notes
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Nation

Notes
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Illinois added 5,600 jobs in May 2013, compared with a revised 1,900 job loss in Apr 2013. Compared to
May 2012, Illinois has added 49,100 jobs. The three-month moving average of jobs, a more stable
measure of labor market, was down by 4,300 jobs per month.
The Nation added 175,000 jobs at a rate of 0.13%, compared with a revised 149,000 job gains in Apr
2013. The three-month moving average of jobs was up by 155,300 jobs per month.
The RMW added 78,000 jobs in May at a rate of 0.41% after a revised 7,500 job loss in Apr. The threemonth moving average was up by 5,200 jobs per month.
Since the beginning of the recession in Dec 2007, Illinois has posted negative job changes 33 times and
positive job gains 32 times so far. The state of Illinois now has a net loss of 206,700 jobs since the
beginning of the recession in December 2007.
Four sectors in Illinois have employment levels this month that are lower than January 1990 –
Construction, Manufacturing, Information and Financial activities.
Since January 2010, when Illinois employment growth resumed after the national recession, Illinois has
added 197,000 new jobs.
By May 2013, Professional & business services and Leisure & hospitality have both recovered to its
previous employment peak level. The 12-month-ahead job recovery forecasts show that the future
recovery rates will increase for sectors such as Financial activities, Professional & business services,
Leisure & hospitality, Information and Other services.
The shadow unemployment rates for Illinois, RMW and the Nation were 12.3%, 13.5% and 12.0%,
compared to official unemployment rates of 9.1%, 7.3% and 7.6%.
Through May 2013, the cumulative job growth for Illinois, RMW and the Nation compared to January
1990 stood at 9.74%, 12.55%, and 24.27%, respectively.
Total nonfarm payroll employment was up by 175,000 jobs. Sectors such as Construction, Trade,
transportation & utilities, Information, Financial activities, Professional & business services, Education
& health, Leisure & hospitality and Other Services had major job gains.
Since the last employment peak in December 2007, the nation has lost 2,405,000 jobs. However, for
RMW and Illinois, they have not yet recovered from their respective peaks in 2000.
The nation has average growth rates for 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012 and 2013 were 0.07%,
-0.27 %, -0.32%, 0.07%, 0.13%, 0.14% and 0.14%, respectively.
Illinois Jobs Index
release 06/24/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 1
Total Non-farm Employment growth rate Jan 1990 – May 2013
130.00
125.00
120.00
115.00
110.00
105.00
100.00
National
RMW
IL
95.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Total Non-farm Employment and Employment Index
May 2013
Number of Jobs
135,637,000
19,235,500
5,781,200
Nation
RMW
Illinois
Current
Index to Jan 1990
124.27
112.55
109.74
Previous Peak
Index to Jan 1990
126.57 (Dec-2007)
119.44 (Jun-2000)
115.08 (Nov-2000)
Changes in Jobs
since Jan 1990
26,492,000
2,144,900
512,900
Changes in Jobs
since Pervious Peak
-2,405,000
-1,163,500
-275,800
Last 12 months Total Non-farm Employment Growth Rate Jun 2012 – May 2013
Jun-12
Jul-12
Aug-12 Sep-12
Oct-12 Nov-12 Dec-12
Jan-13
Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13
0.50%
Nation
RMW
IL
0.40%
0.30%
0.20%
0.10%
0.00%
-0.10%
-0.20%
-0.30%
-0.40%
Illinois Jobs Index
release 06/24/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 2
Barometer of Job Recovery
Illinois Recovery Scenarios
Growth Rate
To Recover
At the point of
2013- May
At the point of
2010-June
In 5 years
98,900 jobs/year
132,300 jobs/year
In 8 years
61,800 jobs/year
82,700 jobs/year
In 10 years
49,400 jobs/year
66,100 jobs/year
In 15 years
33,000 jobs/year
44,100 jobs/year
* The figure 691,300 is the number of jobs needed for the Illinois economy to recover to the previous employment peak, 2000Nov. The gap between the previous peak 2000-Nov and the previous lowest point 2009-Dec is 472,800. Adding 218,500, the
number of jobs that needed to bring the shadow and official unemployment rates together, the total number of jobs that Illinois
needs to create is 691,300.
**The figure 29,900 represents the jobs recovered from Dec. 2009 (previous lowest level) through June 2010.
*** The figure 197,000 represents the jobs recovered from Dec. 2009 through May 2013.
Illinois Jobs Index
release 06/24/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 3
Employment Growth Rate by Sector:
Total Non-farm Employment growth rate by Sector Apr 2013 – May 2013
20 Construction
30 Manufacturing
40 Trade, transportation & utilities
50 Information
55 Financial activities
60 Professional & business services
65 Education & health
70 Leisure & hospitality
80 Other Services
90 Government
-1.00%
-0.50%
0.00%
Nation


Sector
notes




Illinois Jobs Index
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
RMW
2.50%
IL
Illinois posted Positive change in May 2013 by adding 5,600 jobs. Five out of ten sectors
recorded net gains. Compared to Apr, Construction (-4.21% to 2.20%) had a major
performance gain; Government (0.22% to -0.75%) had a major performance loss. Information
(-0.30% to 1.10%), Professional & business services (0.22% to 0.94%), Leisure & hospitality
(0.11 % to 0.90%) and Other Services (0.28% to 0.55%) experienced net performance gain
while Manufacturing (-0.24% to -0.34%), Trade, transportation & utilities (-0.07% to -0.30%),
Financial activities (0.43% to -0.19%), Education & health (0.19% to -0.15%) and Government
(0.22 % to -0.75%) experienced net losses in performance.
In May at the national level, the top three job-gain sectors were:
o Professional & business services: 57,000 (0.31%)
o Leisure & hospitality: 43,000 (0.31%)
o Trade, transportation & utilities: 33,000 (0.13%)
Major top two losses at the national level in were recorded by:
o Manufacturing: -8,000 (-0.07%)
o Government: -3,000(-0.01%)
For Illinois, the major job-gain sectors in May were:
o Professional & business services: 8,200 (0.94%)
o Leisure & hospitality: 4,800 (0.90%)
o Construction: 3,900(2.20%)
Following are the major top three sectors that lost jobs in May for Illinois:
o Government: -6,200 (-0.75%)
o Trade, transportation & utilities: -3,500 (-0.30%)
o Manufacturing: -2,000 (-0.34%)
For Illinois, four sectors have employment below 1990 levels. Compared to 1990 employment
levels, Manufacturing has -342,300fewer jobs, Construction is down -48,900 jobs, Information
down -30,000 jobs and Financial activities down -500 jobs.
release 06/24/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 4
Total Non-farm Employment growth rate by sector Jan 1990 – May 2013
Illinois
vs.
Number of Jobs
RMW
Nation
Rate
Rate
%
%
Construction
vs. RMW
-
Nation
-
Rate %
-48,900
-21.22
-0.19
7.05
Manufacturing
-
-
-342,000
-37.08
-27.16
-32.75
Trade, transportation & utilities (TTU)
-
-
7,600
0.66
3.64
13.82
Information
-
-
-30,000
-23.02
-19.00
1.01
Financial activities
-
-
-500
-0.13
15.09
19.53
Professional & business services
-
-
307,700
53.79
63.47
71.34
Education & health
-
-
350,900
66.32
66.91
92.30
Leisure & hospitality
+
-
156,600
40.79
31.53
51.86
Other Services
+
-
49,600
24.12
17.08
30.02
Government
-
-
70,400
9.32
9.73
20.37
Illinois job recovery by sector from Dec 2007 – May 2013
Job Changes in
Recession Period*
Job Changes in
Jan 2010-May
2013
Recovery Rate
Forecasted Job
Changes Jan 2010May 2014
Forecasted
Recovery Rate
Construction
-63,800
-22,400
-35.11%
-31,400
-49.22%
Manufacturing
-114,500
25,400
22.18%
12,700
11.09%
Trade, transportation & utilities (TTU)
-97,100
34,700
35.74%
25,500
26.26%
Information
-11,300
-4,100
-36.28%
-3,300
-29.20%
Financial activities
Professional & business services
Education & health
-32,700
-92,700
32,200
7,100
98,800
58,500
21.71%
106.58%
--
12,300
119,400
74,900
37.61%
128.80%
--
Leisure & hospitality
-22,300
28,600
128.25%
35,900
160.99%
Other services
-6,300
-400
-6.35%
300
4.76%
Government
*Recession period: Dec 2007- Dec 2009
5,600
-30,600
--
-32,000
--


Recovery
by Sector



Illinois Jobs Index
During the recession period of Dec 2007-Dec 2009, 8 out of 10 Illinois sectors experienced
negative job growth. Education & health and Government are the only 2 sectors that had
positive job growth during the recession.
Since Jan 2010, Illinois employment resumed. Manufacturing, Trade, transportation &
utilities, Financial activities, Professional & business services and Leisure & hospitality have
recovered 22.18%, 35.74%, 21.71%, 106.58%, 128.25%, respectively, from the job lost during
the recession.
By May 2013, Professional & business services and Leisure & hospitality have both recovered
to its previous employment peak level.
However, recovery rates for sectors such as Construction, Information and Other services are
still negative, namely, -35.11%, -36.28% and -6.35% respectively.
The 12-month-ahead job recovery forecasts show that the future recovery rates will increase
for sectors such as Financial activities, Professional & business services, Leisure &
hospitality, Information and Other services.
release 06/24/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 5
Construction
Apr 2013 – May 2013
Apr 2013 – May 2013
150.00
%
Change
Number of
Jobs
Illinois
2.20
3,900
RMW
1.68
11,400
Nation
0.12
7,000
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
100.00
90.00
80.00
National
RMW
IL
70.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Manufacturing
Apr 2013 – May 2013
Apr 2013 – May 2013
%
Change
Number of
Jobs
Illinois
-0.34
-2,000
RMW
-0.02
-500
Nation
-0.07
-8,000
110.00
100.00
90.00
80.00
70.00
60.00
National
RMW
IL
50.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Trade, transportation & utilities (TTU)
Apr 2013 – May 2013
Apr 2013 – May 2013
120.00
%
Change
Number of
Jobs
Illinois
-0.30
-3,500
RMW
0.23
8,400
Nation
0.13
33,000
115.00
110.00
105.00
100.00
National
RMW
IL
95.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Illinois Jobs Index
release 06/24/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 6
Information
Apr 2013 – May 2013
Apr 2013 – May 2013
140.00
%
Change
Number of
Jobs
Illinois
1.11
1,100
RMW
-0.07
-200
Nation
0.11
3,000
130.00
120.00
110.00
100.00
90.00
80.00
National
RMW
IL
70.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Financial activities
2012 2013
Apr 2013 – May 2013
Apr 2013 – May 2013
130.00
%
Change
Number of
Jobs
Illinois
-0.19
-700
RMW
0.45
4,700
Nation
0.05
4,000
125.00
120.00
115.00
110.00
105.00
100.00
National
RMW
IL
95.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Professional & business services
2012 2013
Apr 2013 – May 2013
Apr 2013 – May 2013
170.00
%
Change
Number of
Jobs
Illinois
0.94
8,200
RMW
1.10
25,500
Nation
0.31
57,000
160.00
150.00
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
100.00
National
RMW
IL
90.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Illinois Jobs Index
2012 2013
release 06/24/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 7
Education & health
Apr 2013 – May 2013
Apr 2013 – May 2013
200.00
%
Change
Number of
Jobs
Illinois
-0.15
-1,300
RMW
0.06
1,900
Nation
0.13
26,000
190.00
180.00
170.00
160.00
150.00
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
National
RMW
IL
100.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Leisure & hospitality
2012 2013
Apr 2013 – May 2013
Apr 2013 – May 2013
150.00
%
Change
Number of
Jobs
Illinois
0.90
4,800
RMW
1.08
20,300
Nation
0.31
43,000
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
100.00
National
RMW
IL
90.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Other Services
2012 2013
Apr 2013 – May 2013
Apr 2013 – May 2013
135.00
%
Change
Number of
Jobs
Illinois
0.55
1,400
RMW
0.15
1,200
Nation
0.24
13,000
130.00
125.00
120.00
115.00
110.00
105.00
100.00
National
RMW
IL
95.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Illinois Jobs Index
2012 2013
release 06/24/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 8
Government
Apr 2013 – May 2013
Apr 2013 – May 2013
130.00
%
Change
Number of
Jobs
Illinois
-0.75
-6,200
RMW
0.14
4,100
Nation
-0.01
-3,000
125.00
120.00
115.00
110.00
105.00
National
RMW
IL
100.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
2012 2013
ABOUT: The Regional Economics Applications Laboratory (REAL) is a unit of the Institute of Government
and Public Affairs of the University of Illinois. REAL undertakes impact and forecasting analyses of the Illinois
and several Midwestern economies and is also engaged in similar analysis in several other countries
including Brazil, Chile, Colombia, and Japan. More information can be found at www.real.illinois.edu.
Illinois Jobs Index
release 06/24/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 9