IllinoisJob Index:
MSA Report
Release
data
Issue
Aug 29/2013
Jan 1990 / July 2013
16.09
Note: IDES revised their estimates for the number of jobs at the beginning of 2013.
www.real.illinois.edu
As a companion to the August 2011 Illinois Job Index that reports an positive rating, this M SA Report provides a localized picture on Illinois job
growth and allows for comparisons between local economies, Illinois, the Nation and the Rest of the Midwest.
Total non-farm employment
Aug
2013
Nation
Rest of Midwest (RMW)
Illinois
Illinois Metro
Illinois non-Metro (Rural)
Illinois Chicago (Upstate)
Illinois non-Chicago
July 2013
Number of
Jobs
135,964,000
19,315,700
5,795,300
5,314,040
481,260
4,167,830
1,627,470
Jun 2013 – Jul 2013
Growth
Rate
(%)
0.08
0.21
0.11
0.22
-1.02
0.27
-0.29
Number
of Jobs
104,000
40,500
6,600
11,550
-4,950
11,300
-4,700
Last 12 months
Growth
Rate
(%)
1.65
1.37
0.97
1.25
-2.06
1.74
-0.97
Number
of Jobs
2,202,000
260,900
55,500
65,600
-10,100
71,390
-15,890
The monthly Illinois Job Index and MSA Report are provided as tools for elected officials, policy leaders and the public. Understanding the
Illinois economy and business climate is enhanced by comparing and measuring Illinois employment growth rates against those of the Rest of the
Midwest (RMW: Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Missouri, Ohio and Wisconsin) and the Nation. Data and analysis are provided by the Illinois
Economic Observatory / Regional Economics Applications Laboratory, University of Illinois. The MSA data (unless noted) were seasonally
adjusted to be consistent with state totals.
Talking Points

State,
Downstate
& Metro









MSA
page (2-4)



Illinois added 6,600 jobs in Jul 2013, compared with a revised 8,300 job gains in Jun 2013. Compared to Jul 2012,
Illinois has added 55,500 jobs. The three-month moving average of jobs, a more stable measure of labor market, was up
by 6,567 jobs per month.
Illinois has lost 192,600 jobs since the economic crisis developed in December 2007.
Since January 2010 when Illinois employment resumed after the national recession, Illinois has added 211,100 new jobs.
The major geographic divisions, Chicago-Downstate and Metro-Rural both had mixed performance.
Illinois Rural area shed 4,950 jobs at -2.06% this month, compared to a revised 2,240 job gains in Jun. At the
same time, Metro added 11,550 jobs at 0.22% this month, compared to a revised 6,056 job gains in the previous
month.
Chicago added 11,300 jobs at 0.27% in Jul 2013, compared to a revised 6,485 job gains last month. Meanwhile,
Downstate shed 4,700 jobs at -0.29%, compared to a revised 1,815 job gains in June.
In terms of the 12-month aggregated account, Metro registered a positive 1.25% growth by adding 65,600 jobs
whereas Rural shed 10,100 jobs at -2.06%. Chicago added 71,390 jobs at 1.74% whereas Downstate shed 15,890
jobs at -0.97%.
Through Jul 2013, the cumulative job growth for Metro, Rural, Chicago and Downstate compared to January
1990 stood at 10.93%, 1.80%, 10.91% and 7.74% respectively.
Illinois Metro added 11,550 jobs at 0.22% in Jul of 2013. Four out of the ten MSAs posted positive growth.
Since the job recovery resumes in Jan 2010 in IL state, MSA Peoria has shown an average growth rate of 10.78%
which is the highest among all the IL MSAs; Decatur has experienced the lowest average growth rate -7.68%.
In terms of growth performance, seven MSAs posted a net improvement from Jun to Jul, three declined in terms
of rank.
Springfield dropped to the last place in terms of monthly growth performance, while Davenport-Rock IslandMoline climbed up to the first place.
Over the last 12-month period, Rockford reached the first place while Springfield remained in the last place.
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 08/29/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 1
Total non-farm Employment growth Jan 1990 – Jul 2013
130.0
125.0
120.0
115.0
110.0
105.0
100.0
95.0
US (1)
RMW (2)
IL (3)
90.0
IL_NonChicago (4)
Metro (5)
Rural (6)
85.0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Talking Points


State,
Downstate
& Metro



While the average growth for Illinois between 1990 and 2008 was 0.04%, the average from December 2007 to
Jul 2013 is -0.05%. This is better than the performance during the 2000-2001 downturns which saw declines
of -0.09%.
Since the economic crisis in December 2007, the average growth for Metro is -0.04% while for Rural it is
-0.08%. The same rate for Upstate it is -0.04% while for Downstate is -0.07%.
Over the last 12-month period, the average growth rate for Metro was 0.10% and for Rural it was -0.20%.
In 2010, Illinois’s performance was better than the RMW and compared favorably to the nation. In 2011,
Illinois has performed as good as the RMW but worse than the nation. In 2011, the average growth rate for
Illinois and the RMW is 0.05% while for the nation is 0.12%. In 2012, the average growth rate for Illinois is
0.10%, for the RMW is 0.09% while for the nation is 0.14%. In 2013, the average growth rate for Illinois is
0.06%, for the RMW is 0.14% while for the nation is 0.13%.
Downstate registered a -0.30% average job decline in 2013 compared to an average gain of 0.04% growth in
2007, -0.11% decline in 2008, -0.35% decline in 2009, 0.13% growth in 2010, 0.01% growth in 2011 and
0.11% growth in 2012.
By MSA
Market Area
Bloomington-Normal (B-N)
Champaign-Urbana (C-U-R)
Chicago
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (D-R-M)
Decatur
Kankakee
Peoria
Rockford
Springfield
Metro-East
Illinois
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
Jul 2013
Number of
Jobs
90,486
106,807
4,167,828
183,849
49,949
43,580
182,090
147,951
111,457
230,039
Jun 2013 – Jul 2013
Growth
compared
to Illinois
+
+
+
+
+
Growth
Rate %
0.23
0.64
0.27
-0.29
-0.56
-0.06
0.00
-0.15
-0.06
0.22
0.11
release 08/29/2013
Number
Of Jobs
205
684
11,297
-539
-283
-27
-4
-229
-69
511
6,600
Last 12 months
Growth
Rate %
Number
of Jobs
-0.51
2.40
1.74
0.19
-3.97
0.57
-2.02
-0.54
-0.10
-0.73
0.97
-463
2,504
71,391
341
-2,063
248
-3,755
-806
-108
-1,684
55,500
www.real.illinois.edu
page 2
MSA League Tables*: Non-farm Employment Growth Rate
Monthly growth:
Rank
Jun 2013
Jul 2013
Rank
Change**
1
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul(3.9%)
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline(0.64%)
1
(+1)
2
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline(0.49%)
Chicago (0.27%)
2
(+1)
3
Chicago (0.14%)
Bloomington-Normal (0.23%)
3
(+6)
4
Springfield (-0.04%)
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (0.22%)
4
 (-3)
5
Rockford (-0.06%)
Peoria (0%)
5
(+1)
6
Peoria (-0.15%)
Metro-East (-0.06%)
6
(+1)
7
Metro-East (-0.16%)
Decatur (-0.06%)
7
(+1)
8
Decatur (-0.55%)
Rockford (-0.15%)
8
 (-3)
9
Bloomington-Normal (-0.61%)
Kankakee(-0.29%)
9
(+1)
10
Kankakee (-1.35%)
Springfield (-0.56%)
10
 (-6)
Jun 2013
Jul 2013
Rank
Change**
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (1.85%)
Rockford (2.4%)
1
(+2)
Chicago (1.52%)
Kankakee (1.74%)
2
(+4)
Rockford (0.78%)
Bloomington-Normal (0.57%)
3
(+5)
4
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (0.14%)
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (0.19%)
4
 (+0)
5
Springfield (-0.1%)
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (-0.1%)
5
 (-4)
6
Kankakee (-0.16%)
Chicago (-0.51%)
6
 (-4)
Metro-East (-0.92%)
Peoria (-0.54%)
7
(+2)
Bloomington-Normal (-1.4%)
Decatur (-0.73%)
8
(+2)
Peoria (-1.89%)
Metro-East (-2.02%)
9
 (-2)
Decatur (-4.31%)
Springfield (-3.97%)
10
 (-5)
Growth over last 12-months:
Rank
1
2
3
7
8
9
10
Talking Points




MSA League
Tables




Springfield (4th to 10th) experienced the deepest fall this month.
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (1st to 4th) and Rockford (5th to 8th) dropped in terms of rank from last month.
The most remarkable upward move in Jul was recorded for Bloomington-Normal (9th to 3rd).
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (2nd to 1st), Chicago (3th to 2nd), Peoria (6th to 5th), Metro-East (7th to 6th),
Decatur (8th to 7th) and Kankakee (10th to 9th) also gained in terms of rank from last month.
In the 12 months growth league table, upward moves were recorded for Rockford (3th to 1st), Kankakee (6th
to 4th), Bloomington-Normal (8th to 3rd), Peoria (9th to 7th) and Decatur (10th to 8th).
Downward moves were recorded for Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (1st to 5th), Chicago (2nd to 4rd), MetroEast (7th to 9th) and Springfield (5th to 10th).
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline remained in the same place.
In the 12 months growth league table, Springfield is in the last place and Rockford climbed up to the first
place.
*MSA League Tables are based on revised employment data. For instances of equal growth rate for multiple MSAs ranks are decided based on change of
growth rate from previous month.
**Changes indicate change in rank position compared to previous month and correspond to the MSA at the right column. Rise is indicated by a ‘’ and
decline by a ‘’ and for an unchanged position a ‘’ is used. Figures in parenthesis indicate relative rank change from previous month.
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 08/29/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 3
Jun 2013 MSA Employment by Sectors (000s) *
Market Area
Trade,
Construc- Manufac- transportat Information
turing
ion &
tion
(CON)
(MAN)
utilities
(INF)
(TTU)
Financial
activities
(FIN)
Profession
al &
Education Leisure &
Other
business & health hospitality Services
services
(EDU)
(LEI)
(OTH)
(PRO)
2.7
4.3
13.3
0.8
13
18.3
10.4
10.5
(3%)
(4.9%)
(15%)
(0.9%)
(14.7%) (20.7%) (11.7%) (11.9%)
3.9
8
17.4
2.2
4.4
8.8
13.4
11.4
Champaign-Urbana
(3.8%)
(7.7%)
(16.8%)
(2.1%)
(4.3%)
(8.5%)
(13%)
(11%)
139
379.3
831.4
80.4
287.6
758.8
616.8
408.7
Chicago
(3.3%)
(9%)
(19.8%)
(1.9%)
(6.9%)
(18.1%) (14.7%)
(9.8%)
9.2
24.8
39.5
2.4
8.2
24.5
25.9
18.9
Davenport-Rock
Island-Moline
(4.9%)
(13.3%) (21.2%)
(1.3%)
(4.4%)
(13.2%) (13.9%) (10.2%)
3.4
9.3
10.5
0.7
1.9
3.3
8.6
4.7
Decatur
(6.8%)
(18.6%)
(21%)
(1.4%)
(3.8%)
(6.6%)
(17.2%)
(9.4%)
1.2
5.5
9.8
0.4
2.1
3.5
8.8
4.1
Kankakee
(2.8%)
(12.6%) (22.5%)
(0.9%)
(4.8%)
(8%)
(20.2%)
(9.4%)
8.2
27.3
34.7
2.5
7.5
22
34.2
18
Peoria
(4.5%)
(15%)
(19%)
(1.4%)
(4.1%)
(12.1%) (18.7%)
(9.9%)
4
32.5
27.7
1.6
5.4
15.6
24.1
13.8
Rockford
(2.7%)
(21.9%) (18.6%)
(1.1%)
(3.6%)
(10.5%) (16.2%)
(9.3%)
4.1
3
17.2
1.4
7.7
11.7
20
10.4
Springfield
(3.7%)
(2.7%)
(15.5%)
(1.3%)
(6.9%)
(10.5%)
(18%)
(9.4%)
188.9
577.1
1171.8
99.1
373.8
889.8
875.1
540.9
IL
(3.3%)
(9.9%)
(20.2%)
(1.7%)
(6.4%)
(15.3%) (15.1%)
(9.3%)
* The Illinois Department of Employment Security does not collect sector employment data for Metro-East
BloomingtonNormal
3.5
(4%)
3.3
(3.2%)
183.1
(4.4%)
7.4
(4%)
2.3
(4.6%)
1.7
(3.9%)
8.2
(4.5%)
8.8
(5.9%)
6.6
(5.9%)
253.2
(4.4%)
Government
(GOV)
11.8
(13.3%)
30.6
(29.6%)
505.1
(12.1%)
25.1
(13.5%)
5.4
(10.8%)
6.4
(14.7%)
19.9
(10.9%)
15.2
(10.2%)
29
(26.1%)
823.7
(14.2%)
Total non-farm Employment growth rate Jan 1990 – Jul 2013
150.0
IL(1)
Bloomington-Normal (2)
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (3)
Chicago (4)
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (5)
Decatur (6)
Kankakee (7)
Peoria (8)
Rockford (9)
Springfield (10)
St.Louis (11)
140.0
130.0
120.0
110.0
100.0
90.0
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
MSA DESCRIPTION: Bloomington-Normal (B-N): McLean Co.Champaign-Urbana (C-U-R): Champaign Co.,
Ford Co. & Piatt Co. Chicago: Cook Co. IL, DeKalb Co. IL, DuPage Co. IL, Grundy Co. IL, Kane Co. IL, Kendall Co.
IL, Lake Co. IL, McHenry Co. IL, Will Co. IL & Kenosha Co. WI Davenport-Moline-Rock Island (D-R-M): Henry
Co. IL, Mercer Co. IL, Rock Island Co. IL & Scott Co. IA Decatur: Macon Co.Kankakee: Kankakee Co. Metro-East:
Bond Co., Calhoun Co., Clinton Co., Jersey Co., Macoupin Co., Madison Co., Monroe Co. & St. Clair Co. Peoria-Pekin
(Peoria): Marshall Co., Peoria Co., Stark Co., Tazewell Co. & Woodford Co.Rockford: Boone Co. & Winnebago Co.
Springfield: Menard Co. &SangamonCo.The MSA data (unless noted) were seasonally adjusted to be consistent with state
totals.
The Illinois Economic Observatory and Illinois Jobs Indexis part of the Institute of Government and Public Affairs
at the University of Illinois.
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 08/29/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 4
Employment Forecast for MSAs
Sector with
Lowest
Growth Rate
(p)
Number of
Jobs *
Growth Rate
%
Growth
Sector with
Highest
Growth
Rate
(p)
-385 ~ -74
-0.43%~ -0.08%
-
LEI (2.21%)
INF (-8.64%)
106780
-27~199
-0.03%~0.19%
-
PRO (1.25%)
MAN (-2.93%)
4167800
4238500
70700~102700
1.70%~2.46%
+
PRO (4.44%)
MAN (-1.75%)
Davenport-Rock
Island-Moline
183850
183200
-631~-171
-0.34%~ -0.09%
-
OTH (2.75%)
INF (-5.12%)
Decatur
49900
48900
-1000~ -503
-2.1%~-1.01%
-
PRO (4.83%)
MAN (-6.23%)
Kankakee
43600
43400
-209~136
-0.48%~0.31%
-
OTH (1.12%)
FIN (-3.26%)
Peoria
182100
180,900
-1191~269
-0.65 %~0.15%
-
GOV (1.92%)
PRO (-5.36%)
Rockford
148000
147100
-870~ -890
-0.60%~-0.59%
-
PRO (1.75%)
CON (-15.0%)
Springfield
111500
111600
180~270
0.16%~0.25%
+
PRO (3.67%)
INF (-12.2%)
Jul 2013*
Jul 2014
(p)*
90500
90100
106800
Chicago
MSAs
BloomingtonNormal
Champaign-UrbanaRantoul
*Total Non-Farm Jobs
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
95000
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Bloomington (BN)
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (CU)
120000
90000
115000
85000
110000
80000
105000
75000
100000
70000
95000
65000
90000
60000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
85000
2012
1990
Year
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
4400000
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Chicago (CHI)
1992
1994
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
195000
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
Year
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Davenport-Rock-Island-Moline (DRM)
190000
4200000
185000
4000000
180000
175000
3800000
170000
3600000
165000
160000
3400000
155000
3200000
150000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
1990
1992
1994
1996
Year
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
Year
release 08/29/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 5
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
62000
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
50000
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Decatur (DE)
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Kankakee (KA)
48000
60000
46000
58000
44000
56000
42000
54000
40000
52000
38000
50000
36000
48000
34000
46000
32000
44000
30000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
Year
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
200000
Year
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Peoria (PE)
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
170000
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Rockford (RO)
165000
190000
160000
180000
155000
170000
150000
160000
145000
140000
150000
135000
140000
130000
130000
125000
120000
120000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
Year
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
120000
Year
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Springfield (SP)
118000
116000
114000
112000
110000
108000
106000
104000
102000
100000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
Year
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 08/29/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 6