IllinoisJob Index:
MSA Report
Release
data
Issue
Sep 29/2013
Jan 1990 / August 2013 16.10
Note: IDES revised their estimates for the number of jobs at the beginning of 2013.
www.real.illinois.edu
As a companion to the August 2011 Illinois Job Index that reports an positive rating, this M SA Report provides a localized picture on Illinois job
growth and allows for comparisons between local economies, Illinois, the Nation and the Rest of the Midwest.
Sep
2013
Total non-farm employment
August 2013
Number of
Jobs
Nation
Rest of Midwest (RMW)
Illinois
Illinois Metro
Illinois non-Metro (Rural)
Illinois Chicago (Upstate)
Illinois non-Chicago
136,133,000
19,316,600
5,801,000
5,311,967
489,033
4,163,013
1,637,987
Jul 2013 – Aug 2013
Growth
Rate
(%)
0.12
0.09
0.08
0.04
0.55
-0.02
0.33
Number
of Jobs
169,000
17,400
4,800
2,140
2,650
-650
5,450
Last 12 months
Growth
Rate
(%)
1.65
1.27
0.96
0.98
0.76
1.39
-0.11
Number
of Jobs
2,206,000
242,500
55,400
51,710
3,680
57,180
-1,780
The monthly Illinois Job Index and MSA Report are provided as tools for elected officials, policy leaders and the public. Understanding the
Illinois economy and business climate is enhanced by comparing and measuring Illinois employment growth rates against those of the Rest of the
Midwest (RMW: Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Missouri, Ohio and Wisconsin) and the Nation. Data and analysis are provided by the Illinois
Economic Observatory / Regional Economics Applications Laboratory, University of Illinois. The MSA data (unless noted) were seasonally
adjusted to be consistent with state totals.
Talking Points

State,
Downstate
& Metro









MSA
page (2-4)



Illinois added 4,800 jobs in August 2013, compared with a revised 7,700 job gains in July 2013. Compared to August
2012, Illinois has added 55,400 jobs. The three-month moving average of jobs, a more stable measure of labor market,
was up by 6,867 jobs per month.
Illinois has lost 186,900 jobs since the economic crisis developed in December 2007.
Since January 2010 when Illinois employment resumed after the national recession, Illinois has added 216,800 new jobs.
The major geographic divisions, Chicago-Downstate had mixed performance while Metro-Rural had positive
performance.
Illinois Rural area gained 2,650 jobs at 0.55% this month, compared to a revised 300 job loss in July. At the same
time, Metro added 2,140 jobs at 0.04% this month, compared to a revised 7,800 job gains in the previous month.
Chicago shed 650 jobs at -0.02% in Aug 2013, compared to a revised 7,740 job gains last month. Meanwhile,
Downstate gained 5,450 jobs at 0.33%, compared to a revised 240 job loss in July.
In terms of the 12-month aggregated account, Metro registered a positive 0.98% growth by adding 51,710 jobs
whereas Rural gained 3,680 jobs at 0.76%. Chicago added 57,180 jobs at 1.39% whereas Downstate shed 1,780
jobs at -0.11%.
Through Aug 2013, the cumulative job growth for Metro, Rural, Chicago and Downstate compared to January
1990 stood at 10.89%, 2.35%, 10.79% and 8.43% respectively.
Illinois Metro added 2,140 jobs at 0.04% in August of 2013. Six out of the ten MSAs posted positive growth.
Since the job recovery resumes in Jan 2010 in IL state, MSA Peoria has shown an average growth rate of 11.05%
which is the highest among all the IL MSAs; Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul has experienced the lowest average
growth rate -7.05%.
In terms of growth performance, five MSAs posted a net improvement from July to August, four declined in
terms of rank, one remains unchanged.
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul dropped to the last place in terms of monthly growth performance, while
Bloomington-Normal climbed up to the first place.
Over the last 12-month period, Kankakee reached the first place while Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul dropped to
the last place.
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 09/29/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 1
Total non-farm Employment growth Jan 1990 – Aug 2013
130.0
125.0
120.0
115.0
110.0
105.0
100.0
95.0
US (1)
RMW (2)
IL (3)
90.0
IL_NonChicago (4)
Metro (5)
Rural (6)
85.0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Talking Points


State,
Downstate
& Metro



While the average growth for Illinois between 1990 and 2008 was 0.04%, the average from December 2007 to
August 2013 is -0.05%. This is better than the performance during the 2000-2001 downturns which saw
declines of -0.09%.
Since the economic crisis in December 2007, the average growth for Metro is -0.04% while for Rural it is
-0.06%. The same rate for Upstate it is -0.04% while for Downstate is -0.06%.
Over the last 12-month period, the average growth rate for Metro was 0.08% and for Rural it was also 0.08%.
In 2010, Illinois’s performance was better than the RMW and compared favorably to the nation. In 2011,
Illinois has performed as good as the RMW but worse than the nation. In 2011, the average growth rate for
Illinois and the RMW is 0.05% while for the nation is 0.12%. In 2012, the average growth rate for Illinois is
0.10%, for the RMW is 0.09% while for the nation is 0.14%. In 2013, the average growth rate for Illinois is
0.06%, for the RMW is 0.12% while for the nation is 0.13%.
Downstate registered a -0.18% average job decline in 2013 compared to an average gain of 0.04% growth in
2007, -0.11% decline in 2008, -0.35% decline in 2009, 0.13% growth in 2010, 0.01% growth in 2011 and
0.11% growth in 2012.
By MSA
Market Area
Bloomington-Normal (B-N)
Champaign-Urbana (C-U-R)
Chicago
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (D-R-M)
Decatur
Kankakee
Peoria
Rockford
Springfield
Metro-East
Illinois
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
Aug 2013
Number of
Jobs
90,320
106,490
4,163,010
184,100
50,530
43,360
182,500
148,310
113,490
229,860
Jul 2013 – Aug 2013
Growth
compared
to Illinois
+
+
+
+
+
+
-
Last 12 months
Growth
Rate %
Number
Of Jobs
Growth
Rate %
Number
of Jobs
-0.26
0.14
-0.02
0.09
1.41
-0.02
0.18
0.19
1.44
-0.08
0.08
-230
150
-650
170
700
-10
320
280
1,620
-190
4,800
-1.25
2.21
1.39
0.20
-3.36
-0.80
-1.85
-0.61
1.60
-1.00
0.96
-1,150
2,300
57,180
370
-1,760
-350
-3,450
-910
1,790
-2,320
55,400
release 09/29/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 2
MSA League Tables*: Non-farm Employment Growth Rate
Monthly growth:
Rank
Jul 2013
Aug 2013
Rank
Change**
1
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline(0.64%)
Bloomington-Normal(1.44%)
1
(+2)
2
Chicago (0.27%)
Rockford (1.41%)
2
(+6)
3
Bloomington-Normal (0.23%)
Decatur (0.19%)
3
(+4)
4
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (0.22%)
Metro-East (0.18%)
4
(+2)
5
Peoria (0%)
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (0.14%)
5
(-4)
6
Metro-East (-0.06%)
Springfield (0.09%)
6
(+4)
7
Decatur (-0.06%)
Chicago (-0.02%)
7
(-5)
8
Rockford (-0.15%)
Peoria (-0.02%)
8
(-3)
9
Kankakee(-0.29%)
Kankakee (-0.08%)
9
(+0)
10
Springfield (-0.56%)
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (-0.26%)
10
(-6)
Growth over last 12-months:
Rank
Jul 2013
Aug 2013
Rank
Change**
1
Rockford (2.4%)
Kankakee (2.21%)
1
(+1)
2
Kankakee (1.74%)
Metro-East (1.6%)
2
(+7)
3
Bloomington-Normal (0.57%)
Bloomington-Normal (1.39%)
3
(+0)
4
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (0.19%)
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (0.2%)
4
(+0)
5
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (-0.1%)
Decatur (-0.61%)
5
(+3)
6
Chicago (-0.51%)
Chicago (-0.8%)
6
(+0)
7
Peoria (-0.54%)
Springfield (-1%)
7
(+3)
8
Decatur (-0.73%)
Rockford (-1.25%)
8
(-7)
9
Metro-East (-2.02%)
Peoria (-1.85%)
9
(-2)
10
Springfield (-3.97%)
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (-3.36%)
10
(-5)
Talking Points


MSA League
Tables






Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (4th to 10th) experienced the deepest fall this month.
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (1st to 5th), Chicago (2nd to 7th), Peoria (5th to 8th) and ChampaignUrbana-Rantoul (4th to 10th) dropped in terms of rank from last month.
The most remarkable upward move in August was recorded for Rockford (8th to 2nd).
Bloomington-Normal (3rd to 1st), Decatur (7th to 3th), Metro-East (6th to 4th), Springfield (10th to 6th),
also gained in terms of rank from last month.
In the 12 months growth league table, upward moves were recorded for Kankakee (2nd to 1st), Metro-East
(9th to 7th), Decatur (8th to 5th), Springfield (10th to 7th).
Downward moves were recorded for Rockford (1st to 8th), Peoria (7th to 9th) and Champaign-UrbanaRantoul (5th to 10th).
Bloomington-Normal, Davenport-Rock Island-Moline and Chicago remained in the same place.
In the 12 months growth league table, Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul is in the last place and Kankakee climbed
up to the first place.
*MSA League Tables are based on revised employment data. For instances of equal growth rate for multiple MSAs ranks are decided based on change of
growth rate from previous month.
**Changes indicate change in rank position compared to previous month and correspond to the MSA at the right column. Rise is indicated by a ‘’ and
decline by a ‘’ and for an unchanged position a ‘’ is used. Figures in parenthesis indicate relative rank change from previous month.
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 09/29/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 3
August 2013 MSA Employment by Sectors (000s) *
Market Area
Trade,
Construc- Manufac- transportat Information
turing
ion &
tion
(CON)
(MAN)
utilities
(INF)
(TTU)
Financial
activities
(FIN)
Profession
al &
Education Leisure &
Other
business & health hospitality Services
services
(EDU)
(LEI)
(OTH)
(PRO)
BloomingtonNormal
2.43
4.24
13.3
0.79
12.71
17.62
10.64
10.44
(2.7%)
(4.7%)
(14.7%)
(0.9%)
(14.1%) (19.5%) (11.8%) (11.6%)
3.55
7.92
17.5
2.37
4.32
8.59
13.54
10.81
Champaign-Urbana
(3.3%)
(7.4%)
(16.4%)
(2.2%)
(4.1%)
(8.1%)
(12.7%) (10.2%)
127.33
377.34
832.96
79.3
283.78
747.34
630.07
390.77
Chicago
(3.1%)
(9.1%)
(20%)
(1.9%)
(6.8%)
(18%)
(15.1%)
(9.4%)
8.62
24.45
39.26
2.42
8.07
24.05
26.02
18.37
Davenport-Rock
Island-Moline
(4.7%)
(13.3%) (21.3%)
(1.3%)
(4.4%)
(13.1%) (14.1%)
(10%)
3.29
9.15
10.47
0.7
1.89
3.38
8.76
4.83
Decatur
(6.5%)
(18.1%) (20.7%)
(1.4%)
(3.7%)
(6.7%)
(17.3%)
(9.6%)
1.09
5.44
9.83
0.4
2.07
3.49
8.88
3.9
Kankakee
(2.5%)
(12.5%) (22.7%)
(0.9%)
(4.8%)
(8.1%)
(20.5%)
(9%)
7.39
26.85
34.76
2.5
7.47
21.76
34.52
17.39
Peoria
(4%)
(14.7%)
(19%)
(1.4%)
(4.1%)
(11.9%) (18.9%)
(9.5%)
3.65
32.12
27.79
1.62
5.27
15.67
24.31
13.28
Rockford
(2.5%)
(21.7%) (18.7%)
(1.1%)
(3.6%)
(10.6%) (16.4%)
(9%)
3.69
3.04
17.51
1.44
7.59
12.04
20.02
10.41
Springfield
(3.2%)
(2.7%)
(15.4%)
(1.3%)
(6.7%)
(10.6%) (17.6%)
(9.2%)
186.2
576.8
1168.6
98.8
372.5
889.7
880.9
540.5
IL
(3.2%)
(9.9%)
(20.1%)
(1.7%)
(6.4%)
(15.3%) (15.2%)
(9.3%)
* The Illinois Department of Employment Security does not collect sector employment data for Metro-East
Government
(GOV)
3.5
(3.9%)
3.2
(3%)
181.29
(4.4%)
7.26
(3.9%)
2.26
(4.5%)
1.68
(3.9%)
8.18
(4.5%)
8.81
(5.9%)
6.85
(6%)
253.8
(4.4%)
14.61
(16.2%)
34.4
(32.3%)
511.16
(12.3%)
25.58
(13.9%)
5.66
(11.2%)
6.63
(15.3%)
22.06
(12.1%)
15.65
(10.5%)
30.87
(27.2%)
821.4
(14.2%)
2011
2013
Total non-farm Employment growth rate Jan 1990 – Aug 2013
150.0
IL(1)
Bloomington-Normal (2)
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (3)
Chicago (4)
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (5)
Decatur (6)
Kankakee (7)
Peoria (8)
Rockford (9)
Springfield (10)
St.Louis (11)
140.0
130.0
120.0
110.0
100.0
90.0
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2012
MSA DESCRIPTION: Bloomington-Normal (B-N): McLean Co.Champaign-Urbana (C-U-R): Champaign Co.,
Ford Co. & Piatt Co. Chicago: Cook Co. IL, DeKalb Co. IL, DuPage Co. IL, Grundy Co. IL, Kane Co. IL, Kendall Co.
IL, Lake Co. IL, McHenry Co. IL, Will Co. IL & Kenosha Co. WI Davenport-Moline-Rock Island (D-R-M): Henry
Co. IL, Mercer Co. IL, Rock Island Co. IL & Scott Co. IA Decatur: Macon Co.Kankakee: Kankakee Co. Metro-East:
Bond Co., Calhoun Co., Clinton Co., Jersey Co., Macoupin Co., Madison Co., Monroe Co. & St. Clair Co. Peoria-Pekin
(Peoria): Marshall Co., Peoria Co., Stark Co., Tazewell Co. & Woodford Co.Rockford: Boone Co. & Winnebago Co.
Springfield: Menard Co. &SangamonCo.The MSA data (unless noted) were seasonally adjusted to be consistent with state
totals.
The Illinois Economic Observatory and Illinois Jobs Indexis part of the Institute of Government and Public Affairs
at the University of Illinois.
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 09/29/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 4
Employment Forecast for MSAs
Aug 2013*
Aug 2014
(p)*
90,300
Sector with
Lowest
Growth Rate
(p)
Sector with
Highest
Growth
Rate
(p)
Number of
Jobs *
Growth Rate
%
Growth
90,100
-200 ~ -80
-0.21%~ -0.09%
-
LEI (2.62%)
106,500
106,600
150~440
0.14%~0.41%
+
PRO (1.85%)
MAN (-2.70%)
Chicago
4,163,000
4,215,000
518,00~64,900
1.24%~1.56%
+
PRO (3.15%)
MAN (-2.35%)
Davenport-Rock
Island-Moline
184,100
184,200
100~-700
0.05%~ -0.36%
+
EDU (1.84%)
INF (-4.66%)
Decatur
50,500
50,000
-500~ -20
-0.91%~-0.04%
-
PRO (8.81%)
MAN (-3.90%)
Kankakee
43,400
42,900
-500~-340
-1.08%~ -0.78%
-
OTH (0.68%)
FIN (-3.04%)
Peoria
182,500
183,600
1100~2400
0.62 %~ 1.35%
+
PRO (3.05%)
INF (-0.51%)
Rockford
148,300
147,800
-500~ -280
-0.34%~-0.19%
-
PRO (2.10%)
CON (-14.90%)
Springfield
113,500
112,700
-800~ -250
-0.67%~ -0.22%
-
PRO (2.76%)
INF (-9.80%)
MSAs
BloomingtonNormal
Champaign-UrbanaRantoul
INF (-8.28%)
*Total Non-Farm Jobs
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
95000
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Bloomington (BN)
90000
115000
85000
110000
80000
105000
75000
100000
70000
95000
65000
90000
60000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
85000
2014
1990
Year
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
4400000
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (CU)
120000
1992
1994
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
195000
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Chicago (CHI)
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2010
2012
2014
Year
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Davenport-Rock-Island-Moline (DRM)
190000
4200000
185000
180000
4000000
175000
3800000
170000
165000
3600000
160000
3400000
155000
150000
3200000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
1990
2014
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
Year
Year
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 09/29/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 5
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
62000
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
50000
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Decatur (DE)
60000
48000
58000
46000
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Kankakee (KA)
44000
56000
42000
54000
40000
52000
38000
50000
36000
48000
34000
46000
32000
44000
30000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
Year
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
200000
2014
Year
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
170000
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Peoria (PE)
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Rockford (RO)
165000
190000
160000
180000
155000
170000
150000
160000
145000
140000
150000
135000
140000
130000
130000
125000
120000
120000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
Year
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
120000
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
Year
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Springfield (SP)
118000
116000
114000
112000
110000
108000
106000
104000
102000
100000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
Year
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 09/29/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 6