IllinoisJob Index:
MSA Report
Release
data
Issue
Oct 29/2013
Jan 1990 / September 2013
16.11
Note: IDES revised their estimates for the number of jobs at the beginning of 2013.
www.real.illinois.edu
As a companion to the June 2011 Illinois Job Index that reports an positive rating, this M SA Report provides a localized picture on Illinois job
growth and allows for comparisons between local economies, Illinois, the Nation and the Rest of the Midwest.
Oct
2013
Total non-farm employment
September
2013 Number
of Jobs
Nation
Rest of Midwest (RMW)
Illinois
Illinois Metro
Illinois non-Metro (Rural)
Illinois Chicago (Upstate)
Illinois non-Chicago
136,350,000
19,292,800
5,810,400
5,306,400
504,000
4,160,700
1,649,700
Aug 2013 – Sep 2013
Growth
Rate
(%)
0.12
-0.12
0.18
-0.10
3.24
-0.06
0.77
Number
of Jobs
163,000
-23,800
10,300
-5,520
15,820
-2,330
12,630
Last 12 months
Growth
Rate
(%)
1.70
1.14
1.00
0.73
3.98
1.15
0.64
Number
of Jobs
2,285,000
217,100
57,800
38,500
19,300
47,260
10,540
The monthly Illinois Job Index and MSA Report are provided as tools for elected officials, policy leaders and the public. Understanding the
Illinois economy and business climate is enhanced by comparing and measuring Illinois employment growth rates against those of the Rest of the
Midwest (RMW: Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Missouri, Ohio and Wisconsin) and the Nation. Data and analysis are provided by the Illinois
Economic Observatory / Regional Economics Applications Laboratory, University of Illinois. The MSA data (unless noted) were seasonally
adjusted to be consistent with state totals.
Talking Points

State,
Downstate
& Metro









MSA
page (2-4)



Illinois added 10,300 jobs in September 2013, compared with a revised 3,900 job gain in August 2013. Compared to
September 2012, Illinois has added 57,800 jobs. The three-month moving average of jobs, a more stable measure of
labor market, was up by 7,233 jobs per month.
Illinois has lost 184,100 jobs since the economic crisis developed in December 2007.
Since January 2010 when Illinois employment resumed after the national recession, Illinois has added 222,700 new jobs.
The major geographic divisions, Chicago-Downstate had positive performance and Metro-Rural also had positive
performance.
Illinois Rural area gained 15,820 jobs at 3.24% this month, compared to a revised 1,760 job gain in August. At the
same time, Metro shed 5,520 jobs at -0.10% this month, compared to a revised 2,140 job gains in the previous
month.
Chicago shed 2,330 jobs at -0.06% in September 2013, compared to a revised 650 job loss last month.
Meanwhile, Downstate gained 12,630 jobs at 0.77%, compared to a revised 4,550 job loss in August.
In terms of the 12-month aggregated account, Metro registered a positive 0.73% growth by adding 38,500 jobs
whereas Rural gained 19,300 jobs at 3.98%. Chicago added 47,260 jobs at 1.15% whereas Downstate gained
10,540 jobs at 0.64%.
Through September 2013, the cumulative job growth for Metro, Rural, Chicago and Downstate compared to
January 1990 stood at 10.72%, 5.47%, 10.72% and 9.21% respectively.
Illinois Metro shed 5,500 jobs at -0.10% in September of 2013. Only four out of the ten MSAs posted positive
growth.
Since the job recovery resumed in Jan 2010 in IL state, MSA Peoria has shown an average growth rate of 10.93%
which is the highest among all the IL MSAs; Decatur has experienced the lowest average growth rate -8.02%.
In terms of growth performance, four MSAs posted a net improvement from August to September, four declined
in terms of rank, two remained unchanged.
Decatur dropped to the last place in terms of monthly growth performance, while Kankakee climbed up to the
first place.
Over the last 12-month period, Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul reached the first place while Decatur dropped to the last
place.
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 09/29/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 1
Total non-farm Employment growth Jan 1990 – Sep 2013
130.0
125.0
120.0
115.0
110.0
105.0
100.0
95.0
US (1)
RMW (2)
IL (3)
90.0
IL_NonChicago (4)
Metro (5)
Rural (6)
85.0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Talking Points


State,
Downstate
& Metro



While the average growth for Illinois between 1990 and 2008 was 0.04%, the average from December 2007 to
September 2013 is -0.04%. This is better than the performance during the 2000-2001 downturns which saw
declines of -0.09%.
Since the economic crisis in December 2007, the average growth for Metro is -0.05% while for Rural it is
-0.01%. The same rate for Chicago (Upstate) it is -0.04% while for Downstate is -0.05%.
Over the last 12-month period, the average growth rate for Metro was 0.09% and for Rural it was also 0.14%.
In 2010, Illinois’s performance was better than the RMW and compared favorably to the nation. In 2011,
Illinois has performed as well as the RMW but worse than the nation. In 2011, the average growth rate for
Illinois and the RMW was 0.05% while for the nation it was 0.12%. In 2012, the average growth rate for
Illinois was 0.10%, for the RMW 0.09% and for the nation 0.14%. In 2013, the average growth rate for
Illinois was 0.07%, for the RMW 0.10% while for the nation it was 0.14%.
Downstate registered a -0.08% average job decline in 2013 compared to an average gain of 0.04% growth in
2007, -0.11% decline in 2008, -0.35% decline in 2009, 0.13% growth in 2010, 0.01% growth in 2011 and
0.11% growth in 2012.
By MSA
Market Area
Bloomington-Normal (B-N)
Champaign-Urbana (C-U-R)
Chicago
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (D-R-M)
Decatur
Kankakee
Peoria
Rockford
Springfield
Metro-East
Illinois
Sep 2013
Number of
Jobs
89,900
105,900
4,160,700
183,700
49,800
43,600
182,600
148,600
111,900
229,700
Aug 2013 – Sep 2013
Growth
compared
to Illinois
+
+
-
Growth
Rate %
-0.47
-0.50
-0.06
-0.20
-1.47
0.46
0.06
0.21
-1.43
-0.05
0.18
Number
Of Jobs
-420
-540
-2,300
-370
-740
200
100
310
-1,600
-110
10,300
Last 12 months
Growth
Rate %
Number
of Jobs
-0.51
1.17
1.15
-0.13
-4.83
-0.67
-1.74
-0.81
-0.19
-0.77
1.00
-460
1,200
47,300
-250
-2,500
-300
-3,200
-1,200
-220
-1,800
57,800
MSA League Tables*: Non-farm Employment Growth Rate
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 09/29/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 2
Monthly growth:
Rank
Aug 2013
Sep 2013
Rank
Change**
1
Bloomington-Normal(1.44%)
Kankakee(0.46%)
1
(+8)
2
Rockford (1.41%)
Rockford (0.21%)
2
(+0)
3
Decatur (0.19%)
Peoria (0.06%)
3
(+5)
4
Metro-East (0.18%)
Metro-East (-0.05%)
4
(+0)
5
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (0.14%)
Chicago (-0.06%)
5
(+2)
6
Springfield (0.09%)
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (-0.2%)
6
(-1)
7
Chicago (-0.02%)
Bloomington-Normal (-0.47%)
7
(-6)
8
Peoria (-0.02%)
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (-0.5%)
8
(+2)
9
Kankakee (-0.08%)
Springfield (-1.43%)
9
(-3)
10
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (-0.26%)
Decatur (-1.47%)
10
(-7)
Growth over last 12-months:
Rank
Aug 2013
Sep 2013
Rank
Change**
1
Kankakee (2.21%)
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (1.17%)
1
(+9)
2
Metro-East (1.6%)
Chicago (1.15%)
2
(+4)
3
Bloomington-Normal (1.39%)
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (-0.13%)
3
(+1)
4
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (0.2%)
Springfield (-0.19%)
4
(+3)
5
Decatur (-0.61%)
Bloomington-Normal (-0.51%)
5
(-2)
6
Chicago (-0.8%)
Kankakee (-0.67%)
6
(-5)
7
Springfield (-1%)
Metro-East (-0.77%)
7
(-5)
8
Rockford (-1.25%)
Rockford (-0.81%)
8
(+0)
9
Peoria (-1.85%)
Peoria (-1.74%)
9
(+0)
10
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (-3.36%)
Decatur (-4.83%)
10
(-5)
Talking Points


MSA League
Tables






Decatur (3rd to 10th) experienced the deepest fall this month.
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (5th to 6th), Bloomington-Normal (1st to 7th), Springfield (6th to 9th) and
Decatur (3rd to 10th) dropped in terms of rank from last month.
The most remarkable upward move in September was recorded for Kankakee (9th to 1st).
Peoria (8th to 5th), Chicago (7th to 5th) and Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (10th to 8th) also gained in terms of
rank from last month.
In the 12 months growth league table, upward moves were recorded for Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (10th to
1st), Chicago (6th to 2nd), Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (4th to 3rd), Springfield (7th to 4th).
Downward moves were recorded for Bloomington-Normal (3rd to 5th), Kankakee (1st to 6th), Metro-East (2nd
to 7th) and Decatur (5th to 10th)
Rockford and Peoria remained in the same place.
In the 12 months growth league table, Decatur is in the last place and Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul climbed up
to the first place.
*MSA League Tables are based on revised employment data. For instances of equal growth rate for multiple MSAs ranks are decided based on change of
growth rate from previous month.
**Changes indicate change in rank position compared to previous month and correspond to the MSA at the right column. Rise is indicated by a ‘’ and
decline by a ‘’ and for an unchanged position a ‘’ is used. Figures in parenthesis indicate relative rank change from previous month.
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 09/29/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 3
September 2013 MSA Employment by Sectors (000s) *
Market Area
Trade,
Construc- Manufac- transportat Information
turing
ion &
tion
(CON)
(MAN)
utilities
(INF)
(TTU)
Financial
activities
(FIN)
Profession
al &
Education Leisure &
Other
business & health hospitality Services
services
(EDU)
(LEI)
(OTH)
(PRO)
BloomingtonNormal
2.4
4.27
13.33
0.7
12.72
18.12
10.48
10.32
(2.7%)
(4.8%)
(14.8%)
(0.8%)
(14.2%) (20.2%) (11.7%) (11.5%)
3.52
7.92
17.4
2.3
4.3
8.55
13.45
10.68
Champaign-Urbana
(3.3%)
(7.5%)
(16.4%)
(2.2%)
(4.1%)
(8.1%)
(12.7%) (10.1%)
125.59
377.52
835.13
79.44
282.37
745.82
626.39
391.52
Chicago
(3%)
(9.1%)
(20.1%)
(1.9%)
(6.8%)
(17.9%) (15.1%)
(9.4%)
8.68
24.51
39.48
2.41
7.99
23.35
26.12
18.17
Davenport-Rock
Island-Moline
(4.7%)
(13.3%) (21.5%)
(1.3%)
(4.3%)
(12.7%) (14.2%)
(9.9%)
3.27
9.08
10.42
0.7
1.89
3.3
8.77
4.62
Decatur
(6.6%)
(18.2%) (20.9%)
(1.4%)
(3.8%)
(6.6%)
(17.6%)
(9.3%)
1.08
5.45
9.86
0.41
2.07
3.44
8.98
3.94
Kankakee
(2.5%)
(12.5%) (22.6%)
(0.9%)
(4.7%)
(7.9%)
(20.6%)
(9%)
7.5
26.72
34.83
2.5
7.43
21.89
34.81
17.39
Peoria
(4.1%)
(14.6%) (19.1%)
(1.4%)
(4.1%)
(12%)
(19.1%)
(9.5%)
3.66
32.4
27.74
1.63
5.33
15.86
24.44
13.17
Rockford
(2.5%)
(21.8%) (18.7%)
(1.1%)
(3.6%)
(10.7%) (16.4%)
(8.9%)
3.74
2.96
17.25
1.39
7.57
11.98
20.02
9.95
Springfield
(3.3%)
(2.6%)
(15.4%)
(1.2%)
(6.8%)
(10.7%) (17.9%)
(8.9%)
185.2
575.9
1169.2
99.2
372.3
891.6
881.0
540.4
IL
(3.2%)
(9.9%)
(20.1%)
(1.7%)
(6.4%)
(15.4%) (15.2%)
(9.3%)
* The Illinois Department of Employment Security does not collect sector employment data for Metro-East
3.47
(3.9%)
3.2
(3%)
182.02
(4.4%)
7.42
(4%)
2.13
(4.3%)
1.69
(3.9%)
8.23
(4.5%)
8.66
(5.8%)
6.65
(5.9%)
255.0
(4.4%)
Government
(GOV)
14.17
(15.8%)
34.57
(32.6%)
513.19
(12.3%)
25.6
(13.9%)
5.73
(11.5%)
6.74
(15.5%)
21.13
(11.6%)
15.69
(10.6%)
30.43
(27.2%)
827.4
(14.2%)
Total non-farm Employment growth rate Jan 1990 – Sep 2013
150.0
IL(1)
Bloomington-Normal (2)
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (3)
Chicago (4)
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (5)
Decatur (6)
Kankakee (7)
Peoria (8)
Rockford (9)
Springfield (10)
St.Louis (11)
140.0
130.0
120.0
110.0
100.0
90.0
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
MSA DESCRIPTION: Bloomington-Normal (B-N): McLean Co.Champaign-Urbana (C-U-R): Champaign Co.,
Ford Co. & Piatt Co. Chicago: Cook Co. IL, DeKalb Co. IL, DuPage Co. IL, Grundy Co. IL, Kane Co. IL, Kendall Co.
IL, Lake Co. IL, McHenry Co. IL, Will Co. IL & Kenosha Co. WI Davenport-Moline-Rock Island (D-R-M): Henry
Co. IL, Mercer Co. IL, Rock Island Co. IL & Scott Co. IA Decatur: Macon Co.Kankakee: Kankakee Co. Metro-East:
Bond Co., Calhoun Co., Clinton Co., Jersey Co., Macoupin Co., Madison Co., Monroe Co. & St. Clair Co. Peoria-Pekin
(Peoria): Marshall Co., Peoria Co., Stark Co., Tazewell Co. & Woodford Co.Rockford: Boone Co. & Winnebago Co.
Springfield: Menard Co. &SangamonCo.The MSA data (unless noted) were seasonally adjusted to be consistent with state
totals.
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 09/29/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 4
Employment Forecast for MSAs
MSAs
Sep 2013*
Sep 2014
(p)*
89,900
BloomingtonNormal
Champaign-UrbanaRantoul
Sector with
Highest
Growth
Rate
(p)
Sector with
Lowest
Growth Rate
(p)
MAN (-5.38%)
Number of
Jobs *
Growth Rate
%
Growth
89,600
-300 ~ -200
-0.33%~ -0.22%
-
LEI (2.23%)
106,000
106,300
320~500
0.30%~0.47%
+
LEI (2.03%)
MAN (-2.59%)
Chicago
4,160,700
4,184,900
242,00~47,600
0.58%~1.14%
+
EDU (1.94%)
MAN (-2.28%)
Davenport-Rock
Island-Moline
183,700
183,800
100~-500
0.05%~ 0.28%
+
EDU (1.74%)
INF (-4.30%)
Decatur
49,800
50,100
280~ -950
0.56%~-1.90%
+
PRO (11.69%)
GOV (-3.87%)
Kankakee
43,600
43,200
-400~-270
-1.53%~ -1.00%
-
OTH (0.27%)
TTU (-2.56%)
Peoria
182,600
183,700
1,100~2,500
0.62 %~ 1.35%
+
PRO (4.21%)
CON (-0.85%)
Rockford
148,600
148,700
100~540
-0.34%~-0.19%
-
PRO (2.32%)
CON (-13.50%)
Springfield
111,900
112,400
540~ 1,200
0.48%~ 1.08%
+
PRO (3.45%)
INF (-8.73%)
*Total Non-Farm Jobs
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
95000
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Bloomington (BN)
90000
115000
85000
110000
80000
105000
75000
100000
70000
95000
65000
90000
60000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
85000
2014
1990
Year
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
4400000
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (CU)
120000
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Chicago (CHI)
1992
1994
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
195000
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
Year
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Davenport-Rock-Island-Moline (DRM)
190000
4200000
185000
4000000
180000
175000
3800000
170000
3600000
165000
160000
3400000
155000
3200000
150000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
Year
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
Year
release 09/29/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 5
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
62000
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
50000
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Decatur (DE)
60000
48000
58000
46000
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Kankakee (KA)
44000
56000
42000
54000
40000
52000
38000
50000
36000
48000
34000
46000
32000
44000
30000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
Year
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
200000
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Peoria (PE)
Year
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
170000
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Rockford (RO)
165000
190000
160000
180000
155000
170000
150000
160000
145000
150000
140000
135000
140000
130000
130000
125000
120000
120000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
1990
1992
1994
1996
Year
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
120000
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
Year
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Springfield (SP)
118000
116000
114000
112000
110000
108000
106000
104000
102000
100000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
Year
The Illinois Economic Observatory and Illinois Jobs Index is part of the Institute of Government and Public Affairs
at the University of Illinois.
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 09/29/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 6