Illinois Job Index
Release
010/30/2013
Data
Jan 1990 / Sep 2013
Issue
2013.09
www.real.illinois.edu
For August Illinois Job Index, IL and the Nation all had positive job growth. RMW had negative growth.
The Illinois Job Index and MSA Report are issued monthly as tools for elected officials, policy leaders and the public. The
objective is to enhance the understanding of the Illinois economy and business climate by comparing and measuring Illinois
employment growth rates against those of the Rest of the Midwest (RMW: Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Missouri, Ohio and
Wisconsin) and the Nation. Data and analysis are provided by the Illinois Economic Observatory / Regional Economics
Applications Laboratory, University of Illinois.
Aug 2013– Sep 2013

Oct
2013
Positive
Total non-farm
employment
Last 12 months
Number of
Jobs
163,000
Growth
Rate%
1.70
Number of
Jobs
2,285,000
Sep 2013
Nation
Growth
Rate %
0.12
Shadow
U.R.*
RMW
-0.12
-23,800
1.14
217,100
14.6%
Illinois
0.18
10,300
1.00
57,800
13.1%
12.5%
*REAL has estimated a shadow unemployment rate; this is calculated as the unemployment rate that would be observed if labor force participation rates matched the
average for the 15-year period from 1990 to 2004.
Talking Points
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Illinois 
Notes
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Nation 
Notes
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Illinois added 10,300 jobs in September 2013, compared with a revised 3,900 job gains in August 2013.
Compared to September 2012, Illinois has added 57,800 jobs. The three-month moving average of jobs,
a more stable measure of labor market, was up by 7,200 jobs per month.
The Nation added 163,000 jobs at a rate of 0.12%, compared with a revised 238,000 job gains in August
2013. The three-month moving average of jobs was up by 163,300 jobs per month.
The RMW shed 23,800 jobs in September at a rate of -0.12% after a revised 17,400 job gains in August.
The three-month moving average was up by 5,900 jobs per month.
Since the beginning of the recession in December 2007, Illinois has posted negative job changes 33 times
and positive job gains also 36 times so far. The state of Illinois now has a net loss of 177,500 jobs since
the beginning of the recession in December 2007.
Two sectors in Illinois have employment levels this month that are lower than January 1990 –
Construction and Information.
Since January 2010, when Illinois employment growth resumed after the national recession, Illinois has
added 226,200 new jobs.
By September 2013, Professional & business services and Leisure & hospitality have both recovered to
its previous employment peak level. The 12-month-ahead job recovery forecasts show that the future
recovery rates will increase for sectors such as Manufacturing, Trade, transportation & utilities (TTU),
Professional & business services, Leisure & hospitality and Other services.
The shadow unemployment rates for Illinois, RMW and the Nation were 13.1%, 14.6% and 12.0%,
compared to official unemployment rates of 9.1%, 7.6% and 7.3%.
Through September 2013, the cumulative job growth for Illinois, RMW and the Nation compared to
January 1990 stood at 10.29%, 12.89%, and 24.93%, respectively.
Total nonfarm payroll employment was up by 163,000 jobs. Sectors such as Trade, transportation &
utilities, Professional & business services, Information and Construction had major job gains.
Since the last employment peak in December 2007, the nation has lost 1,692,000 jobs. However, for
RMW and Illinois, they have not yet recovered from their respective peaks in 2000.
The nation had average growth rates for 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012 and 2013 that were 0.07%,
-0.27 %, -0.32%, 0.07%, 0.13%, 0.14% and 0.14%, respectively.
Illinois Jobs Index
release 10/30/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 1
Total Non-farm Employment growth rate Jan 1990 – Sep 2013
130.00
125.00
120.00
115.00
110.00
105.00
100.00
National
RMW
IL
95.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Total Non-farm Employment and Employment Index
Nation
RMW
Illinois
September 2013
Number of Jobs
136,350,000
19,292,800
5,810,400
Current
Index to Jan 1990
124.93
112.89
110.29
Previous Peak
Index to Jan 1990
126.57 (Dec-2007)
119.44 (Jun-2000)
115.08 (Nov-2000)
Changes in Jobs
since Jan 1990
27,205,000
2,202,200
542,100
Changes in Jobs
since Pervious Peak
-1,692,000
-1,106,200
-246,600
Last 12 months Total Non-farm Employment Growth Rate Oct 2012 – Sep 2013
Oct/12 Nov/12 Dec/12 Jan/13 Feb/13 Mar/13 Apr/13 May/13 Jun/13
0.50%
Nation
RMW
Jul/13 Aug/13 Sep/13
IL
0.40%
0.30%
0.20%
0.10%
0.00%
-0.10%
-0.20%
-0.30%
-0.40%
Illinois Jobs Index
release 10/30/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 2
Barometer of Job Recovery
Illinois Recovery Scenarios
Growth Rate
To Recover
At the point of
2013- Sep
At the point of
2010-June
In 5 years
104,800 jobs/year
143,900 jobs/year
In 8 years
65,500 jobs/year
90,000 jobs/year
In 10 years
52,400 jobs/year
72,000 jobs/year
In 15 years
34,900 jobs/year
48,000 jobs/year
* The figure 749,600 is the number of jobs needed for the Illinois economy to recover to the previous employment peak, 2000Nov. The gap between the previous peak 2000-Nov and the previous lowest point 2009-Dec is 472,800. Adding 276,800, the
number of jobs that needed to bring the shadow and official unemployment rates together, the total number of jobs that Illinois
needs to create is 749,600.
**The figure 29,900 represents the jobs recovered from December 2009 (previous lowest level) through June 2010.
*** The figure 225,800 represents the jobs recovered from December 2009 through September 2013.
Illinois Jobs Index
release 10/30/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 3
Employment Growth Rate by Sector:
Total Non-farm Employment growth rate by Sector Aug 2013 – Sep 2013
20 Construction
30 Manufacturing
40 Trade, transportation & utilities
50 Information
55 Financial activities
60 Professional & business services
65 Education & health
70 Leisure & hospitality
80 Other Services
90 Government
-1.00%
-0.50%
0.00%
0.50%
Nation

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Sector
notes
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Illinois Jobs Index
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
RMW
2.50%
3.00%
IL
Illinois posted Positive change in September 2013 by adding 10,300 jobs. Six out of ten sectors
recorded net gains. Compared to August, Other services (0.04% to 2.64%) had a major
performance gain; Leisure & hospitality (0.65% to -0.20%) had a major performance loss.
Information (-0.30% to 0.40%), Government (-0.13% to 0.63%), Professional & business
services (0.03% to 0.04%), Financial activities (-0.24% to 0.11%) and Construction (-2.17% to
-0.22%) experienced net performance gain, while Trade, transportation & utilities (0.19% to
0.06%), Education & health(0.64% to -0.20%) and Manufacturing(-0.09% to -0.17%)
experienced net losses in performance.
In September at the national level, the top three job-gain sectors were:
o Construction: 18,000 (0.31%)
o Trade, transportation & utilities: 66,000 (0.25%)
o Professional & business services: 32,000 (0.17%)
Major loss at the national level in September were recorded by:
o Financial Activities: -1,000(-0.01%)
For Illinois, the major job-gain sectors in September were:
o Other Services: 6,600 (2.64%)
o Government: 5,200(0.63%)
o Information: 400(0.40%)
Following are the major top three sectors that lost jobs in September for Illinois:
o Construction: -400 (-0.22%)
o Education & health: -1,800 (-0.20%)
o Leisure & hospitality: -1,100 (-0.20%)
For Illinois, three sectors have employment below 1990 levels. Compared to 1990 employment
levels, Manufacturing has -348,100 fewer jobs, Construction are down -46,100 jobs and
Information down -31,000 jobs.
release 10/30/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 4
Total Non-farm Employment growth rate by sector Jan 1990 – Sep 2013
Illinois
vs.
Number of Jobs
RMW
Nation
Rate
Rate
%
%
Construction
vs. RMW
-
Nation
-
Rate %
-46,100
-20.01
-0.83
7.40
Manufacturing
-
-
-348,100
-37.74
-27.32
-32.75
Trade, transportation & utilities (TTU)
-
-
23,100
2.01
4.49
14.80
Information
-
-
-31,000
-23.79
-19.28
0.49
Financial activities
-
-
700
0.19
15.26
20.00
Professional & business services
-
-
319,700
55.89
64.57
73.15
Education & health
-
-
352,500
66.62
66.80
93.18
Leisure & hospitality
+
-
156,200
40.69
32.16
53.19
Other Services
+
-
51,300
24.95
17.02
30.06
Government
-
-
72,000
9.53
10.28
20.49
Illinois job recovery by sector from Dec 2007 – Sep 2013
Job Changes in
Recession Period*
Job Changes in
Jan 2010-Sep
2013
Recovery Rate
Forecasted Job
Changes Jan 2010Sep 2014
Forecasted
Recovery Rate
Construction
-63,800
-19,600
-30.72%
-22,100
-34.64%
Manufacturing
-114,500
19,300
16.86%
17,600
15.37%
Trade, transportation & utilities (TTU)
-97,100
50,200
51.70%
68,400
70.44%
Information
-11,300
-5,100
-45.13%
-5,400
-47.79%
Financial activities
Professional & business services
Education & health
-32,700
-92,700
32,200
8,300
110,800
60,100
25.38%
119.53%
--
14,400
137,000
81,600
44.04%
147.79%
--
Leisure & hospitality
-22,300
28,200
126.46%
39,300
176.23%
Other services
-6,300
1,300
20.63%
4,100
65.08%
Government
*Recession period: Dec 2007- Dec 2009
5,600
-29,000
--
-26,700
--

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Recovery
by Sector
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Illinois Jobs Index
During the recession period of December 2007-December 2009, 8 out of 10 Illinois sectors
experienced negative job growth. Education & health and Government are the only 2 sectors
that had positive job growth during the recession.
Since January 2010, Illinois employment resumed. Manufacturing, Trade, transportation &
utilities, Financial activities, Professional & business services, Leisure & hospitality and Other
services have recovered 16.86%, 51.70%, 25.38%, 119.53%, 126.46%, 20.63%, respectively,
from the job lost during the recession.
By September 2013, Professional & business services and Leisure & hospitality have both
recovered to their previous employment peak level.
However, recovery rates for sectors such as Construction and Information are still negative,
namely, -30.72% and -45.13% respectively.
The 12-month-ahead job recovery forecasts show that the future recovery rates will increase
for sectors such as Trade, transportation & utilities (TTU), Financial activities, Professional &
business services, Leisure & hospitality and Other services.
Construction and Information will continue to lose jobs with faster rates
release 10/30/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 5
Construction
Aug 2013 – Sep 2013
Aug 2013 – Sep 2013
150.00
%
Change
Number of
Jobs
Illinois
-0.22
-400
RMW
-0.44
-3,000
Nation
0.31
18,000
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
100.00
90.00
80.00
National
RMW
IL
70.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Manufacturing
Aug 2013 – Sep 2013
Aug 2013 – Sep 2013
%
Change
Number of
Jobs
Illinois
-0.17
-1000
RMW
0.00
100
Nation
0.03
4,000
110.00
100.00
90.00
80.00
70.00
60.00
National
RMW
IL
50.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Trade, transportation & utilities (TTU)
Aug 2013 – Sep 2013
Aug 2013 – Sep 2013
120.00
%
Change
Number of
Jobs
Illinois
0.06
700
RMW
0.05
1,900
Nation
0.25
66,000
115.00
110.00
105.00
100.00
National
RMW
IL
95.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Illinois Jobs Index
release 10/30/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 6
Information
Aug 2013 – Sep 2013
Aug 2013 – Sep 2013
140.00
%
Change
Number of
Jobs
Illinois
0.4
400
RMW
-0.66
-1,900
Nation
0.15
4,000
130.00
120.00
110.00
100.00
90.00
80.00
National
RMW
IL
70.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Financial activities
Aug 2013 – Sep 2013
Aug 2013 – Sep 2013
130.00
%
Change
Number of
Jobs
Illinois
0.11
400
RMW
-0.01
-100
Nation
-0.01
-1,000
125.00
120.00
115.00
110.00
105.00
100.00
National
RMW
IL
95.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Professional & business services
Aug 2013 – Sep 2013
Aug 2013 – Sep 2013
170.00
%
Change
Number of
Jobs
Illinois
0.04
400
RMW
-0.22
-5,200
Nation
0.17
32,000
160.00
150.00
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
100.00
National
RMW
IL
90.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Illinois Jobs Index
release 10/30/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 7
Education & health
Aug 2013 – Sep 2013
Aug 2013 – Sep 2013
200.00
%
Change
Number of
Jobs
Illinois
-0.20
-1,800
RMW
-0.27
-8,300
Nation
0.03
6,000
190.00
180.00
170.00
160.00
150.00
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
National
RMW
IL
100.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Leisure & hospitality
Aug 2013 – Sep 2013
Aug 2013 – Sep 2013
150.00
%
Change
Number of
Jobs
Illinois
-0.20
-1,100
RMW
0.04
800
Nation
0.09
13,000
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
100.00
National
RMW
IL
90.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Other Services
Aug 2013 – Sep 2013
Aug 2013 – Sep 2013
135.00
%
Change
Number of
Jobs
Illinois
2.64
6,600
RMW
-0.58
-4,600
Nation
0.05
3,000
130.00
125.00
120.00
115.00
110.00
105.00
100.00
National
RMW
IL
95.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Illinois Jobs Index
release 10/30/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 8
Government
Aug 2013 – Sep 2013
Aug 2013 – Sep 2013
130.00
%
Change
Number of
Jobs
Illinois
0.63
5,200
RMW
-0.14
-4,100
Nation
0.06
13,000
125.00
120.00
115.00
110.00
105.00
National
RMW
IL
100.00
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
ABOUT: The Regional Economics Applications Laboratory (REAL) is a unit of the Institute of Government
and Public Affairs of the University of Illinois. REAL undertakes impact and forecasting analyses of the Illinois
and several Midwestern economies and is also engaged in similar analysis in several other countries
including Brazil, Chile, Colombia, and Japan. More information can be found at www.real.illinois.edu.
Illinois Jobs Index
release 10/30/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 9