IllinoisJob Index:
MSA Report
Release
data
Issue
Nov 29/2013
Jan 1990 / October 2013
16.12
Note: IDES revised their estimates for the number of jobs at the beginning of 2013.
www.real.illinois.edu
As a companion to the June 2011 Illinois Job Index that reports an positive rating, this M SA Report provides a localized picture on Illinois job
growth and allows for comparisons between local economies, Illinois, the Nation and the Rest of the Midwest.
Nov
2013
Total non-farm employment
October 2013
Number of
Jobs
Nation
Rest of Midwest (RMW)
Illinois
Illinois Metro
Illinois non-Metro (Rural)
Illinois Chicago (Upstate)
Illinois non-Chicago
136,554,000
19,331,100
5,825,800
5,317,100
508,700
4,170,000
1,655,800
Sep 2013 – Oct 2013
Growth
Rate
(%)
0.15
0.20
0.27
0.20
0.95
0.22
0.37
Number
of Jobs
204,000
38,300
15,400
10,600
4,800
9,300
6,100
Last 12 months
Growth
Rate
(%)
1.74
1.17
0.99
0.90
2.03
1.37
0.16
Number
of Jobs
2,329,000
223,800
57,300
47,200
10,100
56,500
2,600
The monthly Illinois Job Index and MSA Report are provided as tools for elected officials, policy leaders and the public. Understanding the
Illinois economy and business climate is enhanced by comparing and measuring Illinois employment growth rates against those of the Rest of the
Midwest (RMW: Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Missouri, Ohio and Wisconsin) and the Nation. Data and analysis are provided by the Illinois
Economic Observatory / Regional Economics Applications Laboratory, University of Illinois. The MSA data (unless noted) were seasonally
adjusted to be consistent with state totals.
Talking Points

State,
Downstate
& Metro









MSA
page (2-4)



Illinois added 15,400 jobs in October 2013, compared with a job gain of 10,300 in September 2013. Compared to
October 2012, Illinois has added 57,300 jobs. The three-month moving average of jobs, a more stable measure of the
labor market, was up by 9,900 jobs per month.
Illinois has lost 168,700 jobs since the economic crisis developed in December 2007.
Since January 2010 when Illinois employment resumed after the national recession, Illinois has added 238,100 new jobs.
The major geographic divisions, Chicago-Downstate had positive performance and Metro-Rural also had positive
performance.
Illinois Rural area gained 4,800 jobs at 0.95% this month, compared to a revised 15,800 job gain in September.
At the same time, Metro gained 10,600 jobs at 0.20% this month, compared to a revised 5,500 job loss in the
previous month.
Chicago gained 9,300 jobs at 0.22% in October 2013, compared to a revised 2,300 job loss last month.
Meanwhile, Downstate gained 6,100 jobs at 0.37%, compared to a revised 12,600 job gain in September.
In terms of the 12-month aggregated account, Metro registered a positive 0.90% growth by adding 47,200 jobs
whereas Rural gained 10,100 jobs at 2.03%. Chicago added 56,500 jobs at 1.37% whereas Downstate gained 2,600
jobs at 0.16%.
Through October 2013, the cumulative job growth for Metro, Rural, Chicago and Downstate compared to
January 1990 stood at 10.99%, 6.48%, 10.97% and 9.61% respectively.
Illinois Metro added 10,600 jobs at 0.20% in October of 2013. Seven out of the ten MSAs posted positive growth.
Since the job recovery resumed in Jan 2010 in IL state, Chicago Upstate has shown an average growth rate of
10.76% which is the highest among all the IL MSAs; Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul has experienced the lowest
average growth rate, -7.55%.
In terms of growth performance, five MSAs posted a net improvement from September to October and five
declined in terms of rank.
Metro-East dropped to the last place in terms of monthly growth performance, while Davenport-Rock Island-Moline
climbed up to the first place.
Over the last 12-month period, Chicago reached the first place while Decatur remained at the last place.
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 11/29/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 1
Total non-farm Employment growth Jan 1990 – Oct 2013
130.0
125.0
120.0
115.0
110.0
105.0
100.0
95.0
US (1)
RMW (2)
IL (3)
90.0
IL_NonChicago (4)
Metro (5)
Rural (6)
85.0
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Talking Points


State,
Downstate
& Metro



While the average growth for Illinois between 1990 and 2008 was 0.04%, the average from December 2007 to
October 2013 was -0.04%. This is better than the performance during the 2000-2001 downturns which saw
declines of -0.09%.
Since the economic crisis in December 2007, the average growth for Metro is -0.04% while for Rural it is
0.00%. The same rate for Chicago (Upstate) is -0.04% and for Downstate is also -0.04%.
Over the last 12-month period, the average growth rate for Metro was 0.90% and for Rural it was 2.03%.
In 2010, Illinois’s performance was better than the RMW and compared favorably to the nation. In 2011,
Illinois has performed as well as the RMW but worse than the nation. In 2011, the average growth rate for
Illinois and the RMW is 0.05% while for the nation is 0.12%. In 2012, the average growth rate for Illinois is
0.10%, for the RMW it is 0.09% while for the nation it is 0.14%. In 2013, the average growth rate for Illinois
is 0.09%, for the RMW is 0.11% while for the nation is 0.14%.
Downstate registered a -0.03% average job decline in 2013 compared to an average gain of 0.04% growth in
2007, -0.11% decline in 2008, -0.35% decline in 2009, 0.13% growth in 2010, 0.01% growth in 2011 and
0.11% growth in 2012.
By MSA
Market Area
Bloomington-Normal (B-N)
Champaign-Urbana (C-U-R)
Chicago
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (D-R-M)
Decatur
Kankakee
Peoria
Rockford
Springfield
Metro-East
Illinois
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
Oct 2013
Number of
Jobs
89,800
106,100
4,170,000
185,400
50,100
43,700
182,200
148,700
112,100
229,000
Sep 2013 – Oct 2013
Growth
compared
to Illinois
+
+
+
-
Last 12 months
Growth
Rate %
Number
Of Jobs
Growth
Rate %
Number
of Jobs
-0.14
0.13
0.22
0.92
0.69
0.42
-0.22
0.04
0.20
-0.34
0.27
-130
140
9,300
1,700
340
180
-400
60
220
-800
15,400
-1.36
0.99
1.37
0.77
-4.73
-0.28
-2.16
-0.92
0.11
-1.15
0.99
-1,240
1,040
56,500
1,400
-2,500
-120
-4,000
-1,400
130
-2,700
57,300
release 11/29/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 2
MSA League Tables*: Non-farm Employment Growth Rate
Monthly growth:
Rank
Sep 2013
Oct 2013
Rank
Change**
1
Kankakee(0.46%)
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline(0.92%)
1
(+5)
2
Rockford (0.21%)
Decatur(0.69%)
2
(+8)
3
Peoria (0.06%)
Kankakee (0.42%)
3
(-2)
4
Metro-East (-0.05%)
Chicago (0.22%)
4
(+1)
5
Chicago (-0.06%)
Springfield (0.2%)
5
(+4)
6
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (-0.2%)
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (0.13%)
6
(+2)
7
Bloomington-Normal (-0.47%)
Rockford (0.04%)
7
(-5)
8
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (-0.5%)
Bloomington-Normal (-0.14%)
8
(-1)
9
Springfield (-1.43%)
Peoria (-0.22%)
9
(-6)
10
Decatur (-1.47%)
Metro-East (-0.34%)
10
(-6)
Growth over last 12-months:
Rank
Sep 2013
Oct 2013
Rank
Change**
1
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (1.17%)
Chicago (1.37%)
1
(+1)
2
Chicago (1.15%)
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (0.99%)
2
(-1)
3
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (-0.13%)
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (0.77%)
3
(+0)
4
Springfield (-0.19%)
Springfield (0.11%)
4
(+0)
5
Bloomington-Normal (-0.51%)
Kankakee (-0.28%)
5
(+1)
6
Kankakee (-0.67%)
Rockford (-0.92%)
6
(+2)
7
Metro-East (-0.77%)
Metro-East (-1.15%)
7
(+0)
8
Rockford (-0.81%)
Bloomington-Normal (-1.36%)
8
(-3)
9
Peoria (-1.74%)
Peoria (-2.16%)
9
(+0)
10
Decatur (-4.83%)
Decatur (-4.73%)
10
(+0)
Talking Points


MSA League
Tables
Peoria (3rd to 9th) and Metro East (4th to 10th) experienced the deepest fall this month.

Kankakee (1st to 3rd), Rockford (2nd to 7th), Bloomington-Normal (7th to 8th) also dropped in terms of rank
from last month.
The most remarkable upward move in October was recorded for Decatur (10th to 2nd).
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (6th to 1st), Chicago (5th to 4th) Springfield (9th to 5th) and Champaign-UrbanaRantoul (8th to 6th) also gained in terms of rank from last month.
In the 12 months growth league table, upward moves were recorded for Kankakee (6th to 5th), Chicago (2th
to 1st) and Rockford (8th to 6th).
Downward moves were recorded for Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (1st to 2nd) and Bloomington-Normal (5th to


Davenport-Rock Island-Moline, Springfield, Metro-East, Peoria and Decatur remained in the same place.
In the 12 months growth league table, Decatur is in the last place and Chicago climbed up to the first place.



8th).
*MSA League Tables are based on revised employment data. For instances of equal growth rate for multiple MSAs ranks are decided based on change of
growth rate from previous month.
**Changes indicate change in rank position compared to previous month and correspond to the MSA at the right column. Rise is indicated by a ‘’ and
decline by a ‘’ and for an unchanged position a ‘’ is used. Figures in parenthesis indicate relative rank change from previous month.
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 11/29/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 3
October 2013 MSA Employment by Sectors (000s) *
Trade,
Construc- Manufac- transportat Information
turing
ion &
tion
(CON)
(MAN)
utilities
(INF)
(TTU)
Market Area
Financial
activities
(FIN)
Profession
al &
Education Leisure &
Other
business & health hospitality Services
services
(EDU)
(LEI)
(OTH)
(PRO)
BloomingtonNormal
2.37
4.34
13.32
0.8
12.65
17.77
10.66
10.26
(2.6%)
(4.8%)
(14.8%)
(0.9%)
(14.1%) (19.8%) (11.9%) (11.4%)
3.37
7.89
17.53
2.33
4.35
8.68
13.51
10.51
Champaign-Urbana
(3.2%)
(7.4%)
(16.5%)
(2.2%)
(4.1%)
(8.2%)
(12.7%)
(9.9%)
126.23
377.22
835.37
79.87
281.28
749.02
628.48
395.53
Chicago
(3%)
(9%)
(20%)
(1.9%)
(6.7%)
(18%)
(15.1%)
(9.5%)
8.72
24.37
39.62
2.41
7.97
23.97
26.13
18.92
Davenport-Rock
Island-Moline
(4.7%)
(13.1%) (21.4%)
(1.3%)
(4.3%)
(12.9%) (14.1%) (10.2%)
3.28
9.2
10.5
0.7
1.89
3.31
8.76
4.68
Decatur
(6.5%)
(18.3%) (20.9%)
(1.4%)
(3.8%)
(6.6%)
(17.5%)
(9.3%)
1.06
5.5
9.77
0.41
2.08
3.47
8.98
4.02
Kankakee
(2.4%)
(12.6%) (22.3%)
(0.9%)
(4.8%)
(7.9%)
(20.5%)
(9.2%)
7.5
26.89
34.77
2.5
7.38
21.38
34.75
17.51
Peoria
(4.1%)
(14.8%) (19.1%)
(1.4%)
(4.1%)
(11.7%) (19.1%)
(9.6%)
3.6
32.27
27.77
1.63
5.32
16.11
24.42
13.18
Rockford
(2.4%)
(21.7%) (18.7%)
(1.1%)
(3.6%)
(10.8%) (16.4%)
(8.9%)
3.68
2.96
17.33
1.36
7.6
11.97
20.1
10.02
Springfield
(3.3%)
(2.6%)
(15.5%)
(1.2%)
(6.8%)
(10.7%) (17.9%)
(8.9%)
185.1
576.4
1171.5
99.8
371.2
900.9
882.7
544.3
IL
(3.2%)
(9.9%)
(20.1%)
(1.7%)
(6.4%)
(15.5%) (15.2%)
(9.3%)
* The Illinois Department of Employment Security does not collect sector employment data for Metro-East
3.48
(3.9%)
3.22
(3%)
183.17
(4.4%)
7.51
(4.1%)
2.22
(4.4%)
1.69
(3.9%)
8.19
(4.5%)
8.81
(5.9%)
6.77
(6%)
256.9
(4.4%)
Government
(GOV)
14.05
(15.7%)
34.6
(32.6%)
513.37
(12.3%)
25.67
(13.8%)
5.71
(11.4%)
6.78
(15.5%)
21.18
(11.6%)
15.62
(10.5%)
30.38
(27.1%)
830.0
(14.2%)
Total non-farm Employment growth rate Jan 1990 – Oct 2013
150.0
IL(1)
Bloomington-Normal (2)
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (3)
Chicago (4)
Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (5)
Decatur (6)
Kankakee (7)
Peoria (8)
Rockford (9)
Springfield (10)
St.Louis (11)
140.0
130.0
120.0
110.0
100.0
90.0
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
MSA DESCRIPTION: Bloomington-Normal (B-N): McLean Co.Champaign-Urbana (C-U-R): Champaign Co.,
Ford Co. & Piatt Co. Chicago: Cook Co. IL, DeKalb Co. IL, DuPage Co. IL, Grundy Co. IL, Kane Co. IL, Kendall Co.
IL, Lake Co. IL, McHenry Co. IL, Will Co. IL & Kenosha Co. WI Davenport-Moline-Rock Island (D-R-M): Henry
Co. IL, Mercer Co. IL, Rock Island Co. IL & Scott Co. IA Decatur: Macon Co.Kankakee: Kankakee Co. Metro-East:
Bond Co., Calhoun Co., Clinton Co., Jersey Co., Macoupin Co., Madison Co., Monroe Co. & St. Clair Co. Peoria-Pekin
(Peoria): Marshall Co., Peoria Co., Stark Co., Tazewell Co. & Woodford Co.Rockford: Boone Co. & Winnebago Co.
Springfield: Menard Co. &SangamonCo.The MSA data (unless noted) were seasonally adjusted to be consistent with state
totals.
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 11/29/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 4
Employment Forecast for MSAs
MSAs
Oct 2013*
Oct 2014
(p)*
89,800
BloomingtonNormal
Champaign-UrbanaRantoul
Sector with
Highest
Growth
Rate
(p)
Sector with
Lowest
Growth Rate
(p)
Number of
Jobs *
Growth Rate
%
Growth
89,300
-500 ~ -340
-0.56%~ -0.38%
-
LEI (2.54%)
INF (-12.19%)
106,100
106,200
100~240
0.13%~0.23%
+
LEI (1.79%)
MAN (-2.45%)
Chicago
4,170,000
4,209,000
390,00~52,800
0.94%~1.27%
+
PRO(2.50%)
FIN (-1.93%)
Davenport-Rock
Island-Moline
185,400
186,100
700~-1,000
0.35%~ 0.52%
+
EDU (2.23%)
INF (-4.28%)
Decatur
50,100
50,000
-100~300
-0.16%~0.57%
-
PRO (5.26%)
GOV (-3.29%)
Kankakee
43,700
43,500
-200~-50
-0.44%~ -0.11%
-
OTH (1.44%)
FIN (-1.85%)
Peoria
182,200
183,500
1,300~1,400
0.71 %~ 0.76%
+
PRO (5.47%)
TTU (-0.41%)
Rockford
148,700
149,200
500~1,000
0.32%~0.64%
+
PRO (2.16%)
CON (-15.08%)
Springfield
112,100
112,200
100~ 800
0.11%~ 0.70%
+
PRO (3.52%)
INF (-10.02%)
*Total Non-Farm Jobs
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
95000
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Bloomington (BN)
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul (CU)
120000
90000
115000
85000
110000
80000
105000
75000
100000
70000
95000
65000
90000
60000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
85000
2014
1990
Year
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
4400000
1992
1994
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
195000
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Chicago (CHI)
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2010
2012
2014
Year
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Davenport-Rock-Island-Moline (DRM)
190000
4200000
185000
180000
4000000
175000
3800000
170000
165000
3600000
160000
3400000
155000
150000
3200000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
1990
2014
1992
1994
1996
1998
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
Year
Year
release 11/29/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 5
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
62000
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
50000
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Decatur (DE)
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Kankakee (KA)
48000
60000
46000
58000
44000
56000
42000
54000
40000
52000
38000
50000
36000
48000
34000
46000
32000
44000
30000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
Year
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
200000
Year
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Peoria (PE)
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
170000
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Rockford (RO)
165000
190000
160000
180000
155000
170000
150000
160000
145000
140000
150000
135000
140000
130000
130000
125000
120000
120000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
Year
Number of Jobs
(in thousands)
120000
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
Year
Total Non-farm Employment Forecast
Springfield (SP)
118000
116000
114000
112000
110000
108000
106000
104000
102000
100000
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
Year
Illinois Jobs Index: MSA REPORT
release 11/29/2013
www.real.illinois.edu
page 6