ILLINOIS
MSA Indices & Forecast
Release
data
Issue
www.real.illinois.edu
7/15/2015
May 2004 / May 2015
2015.7
Note: Values shown on the “1 Year” forecast represent a pessimistic – optimistic scenario. For estimated values please see Appendix.
Comparing MSAs Indices with Chicago Indices
50.00
40.00
30.00
20.00
10.00
0.00
-10.00
-20.00
-30.00
-40.00
04 06 08 10 12 14 04 06 08 10 12 14 04 06 08 10 12 14 04 06 08 10 12 14 04 06 08 10 12 14 04 06 08 10 12 14 04 06 08 10 12 14 04 06 08 10 12 14
Bloomington
Champaign
Davenport
Decatur
Peoria
Rockford
Springfield
Kankakee
*Values below (above) zero indicate that an MSA is performing less well (better) than Chicago.

From early 2007 to early 2009, all MSAs performed better than Chicago.

However, from Mid-2009 to late-2011, MSAs generally performed less well than Chicago
except for Bloomington-Normal.

After December 2012, all MSAs performed less well than Chicago.

According to the forecast for May 2016, Champaign-Urbana, Davenport, Decatur, Peoria
and Rockford are likely to perform less well over this period than Chicago. All the other
MSAs will compare favorably to Chicago.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 7/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 1

Bloomington-Normal (Reference Month – May 2015)
Current
84.89
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
85.78
88.06
107.62
Forecast
84.31
85.08
98.45
~
101.47
Bloomington - Normal MSA
130.00
120.00
110.00
100.00
B-N
Chicago
90.00
Other MSAs
80.00
70.00
Jan-16
May-16
Sep-15
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-14
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-13
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-12
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-11
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-10
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-09
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-08
Jan-08
May-08
Sep-07
Jan-07
May-07
Sep-06
Jan-06
May-06
Sep-05
Jan-05
May-05
Sep-04
May-04
60.00
Bloomington-Normal MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate:

Compared to last month, Bloomington-Normal moved up 6 positions reaching the 2nd
place of the rank.

In the 12 month growth league table Bloomington-Normal remained in the 8th place of the
rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 7/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 2

Champaign-Urbana (Reference Month – May 2015)
Current
105.62
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
104.43
101.18
89.59
Forecast
93.66
92.37
88.87
~
104.09
Champaign - Urbana MSA
130.00
120.00
110.00
100.00
C-U
Chicago
90.00
Other MSAs
80.00
70.00
Jan-16
May-16
Sep-15
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-14
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-13
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-12
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-11
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-10
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-09
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-08
Jan-08
May-08
Sep-07
Jan-07
May-07
Sep-06
Jan-06
May-06
Sep-05
Jan-05
May-05
Sep-04
May-04
60.00
Champaign- Urbana MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate:

Compared to last month, Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul moved down 4 positions reaching
the 10th place of the rank.

In the 12-month growth league table, Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul moved up 2 positions
reaching the 2nd place of the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 7/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 3

Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (Reference Month – May 2015)
Current
100.70
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
99.22
97.16
91.07
Forecast
97.72
94.38
68.20
~
81.62
Davenport - Rock Island - Moline MSA
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
D-RI-M
100.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
90.00
80.00
70.00
Jan-16
May-16
Sep-15
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-14
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-13
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-12
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-11
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-10
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-09
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-08
Jan-08
May-08
Sep-07
Jan-07
May-07
Sep-06
Jan-06
May-06
Sep-05
Jan-05
May-05
Sep-04
May-04
60.00
Davenport – Rock Island–Moline MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth
Rate:

Compared to last month, Davenport-Rock Island-Moline moved down 3 positions
reaching the 5th place of the rank.

In the 12-month growth league table, Davenport – Rock Island – Moline moved down 1
position to the 7th place in the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 7/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 4

Decatur (Reference Month – May 2015)
Current
90.65
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
92.12
95.01
89.12
Forecast
89.40
88.36
87.41
~
99.61
Decatur MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Compared to the previous month, Decatur moved down 2 positions reaching the 7th place
in the rank.

In the 12 months growth league table, Decatur moved down 1 position reaching the 10th
place in the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 7/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 5

Kankakee - Bradley (Reference Month – May 2015)
Current
101.98
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
102.31
102.23
93.95
Forecast
98.45
99.07
86.52
~
113.84
Kankakee - Bradley MSA
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
K-B
100.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
90.00
80.00
70.00
Jan-16
May-16
Sep-15
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-14
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-13
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-12
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-11
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-10
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-09
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-08
Jan-08
May-08
Sep-07
Jan-07
May-07
Sep-06
Jan-06
May-06
Sep-05
Jan-05
May-05
Sep-04
May-04
60.00
Kankakee - Bradley MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Kankakee – Bradley moved up 3 places reaching the 6th place in the rank of the monthly
growth league table.

In the 12-month growth league table, Kankakee– Bradley remained in the 1st position of the
rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 7/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 6

Peoria (Reference Month – May 2015)
Current
94.80
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
94.64
94.39
89.00
Forecast
94.70
93.69
85.64
~
107.44
Peoria MSA
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
Peoria
100.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
90.00
80.00
70.00
Jan-16
May-16
Sep-15
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-14
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-13
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-12
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-11
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-10
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-09
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-08
Jan-08
May-08
Sep-07
Jan-07
May-07
Sep-06
Jan-06
May-06
Sep-05
Jan-05
May-05
Sep-04
May-04
60.00
Peoria MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Compared to last month, Peoria moved down 2 positions reaching the 9th place of the
rank.

In the 12-month growth league table, Peoria moved up 1 position reaching the 9th place of
the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 7/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 7

Rockford (Reference Month – May 2015)
Current
100.00
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
100.17
100.81
94.04
Forecast
100.00
99.51
90.80
~
102.85
Rockford MSA
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
Rockford
100.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
90.00
80.00
70.00
Jan-16
May-16
Sep-15
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-14
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-13
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-12
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-11
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-10
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-09
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-08
Jan-08
May-08
Sep-07
Jan-07
May-07
Sep-06
Jan-06
May-06
Sep-05
Jan-05
May-05
Sep-04
May-04
60.00
Rockford MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Compared to last month, Rockford moved up 1 position reaching the 3rd place of the rank.

In the 12-month growth league table, Rockford moved down 2 places reaching the 4th
place of the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 7/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 8
 Springfield (Reference Month – May 2015)
Current
93.71
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
92.53
90.26
84.12
Forecast
94.93
97.98
106.70
~
122.66
Springfield MSA
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
Springfield
100.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
90.00
80.00
70.00
Jan-16
May-16
Sep-15
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-14
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-13
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-12
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-11
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-10
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-09
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-08
Jan-08
May-08
Sep-07
Jan-07
May-07
Sep-06
Jan-06
May-06
Sep-05
Jan-05
May-05
Sep-04
May-04
60.00
Springfield MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Compared to last month, Springfield moved down 7 positions reaching the 8th place of the
rank.

In the 12-month growth league table, Springfield moved down one position reaching the
6th place of the rank.
Notes:
MSA Indices series are available in the appendix
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 7/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 9
Appendix
May-04
Jun-04
Jul-04
Aug-04
Sep-04
Oct-04
Nov-04
Dec-04
Jan-05
Feb-05
Mar-05
Apr-05
May-05
Jun-05
Jul-05
Aug-05
Sep-05
Oct-05
Nov-05
Dec-05
Jan-06
Feb-06
Mar-06
Apr-06
May-06
Jun-06
Jul-06
Aug-06
Sep-06
Oct-06
Nov-06
Dec-06
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
Jul-07
Aug-07
Sep-07
Oct-07
Nov-07
Dec-07
B-N
86.87
86.35
85.59
84.84
84.25
83.92
83.87
84.15
84.88
86.10
87.48
88.73
89.65
90.16
90.28
90.06
89.65
89.23
89.01
89.13
89.56
90.07
90.48
90.66
90.63
90.37
89.86
89.11
88.32
87.62
87.17
87.18
87.70
88.56
89.54
90.51
91.41
92.35
93.45
94.60
95.74
96.80
97.85
98.87
C-U
103.52
102.86
102.56
102.27
102.19
102.80
103.76
104.51
104.65
104.21
103.53
102.84
102.18
101.76
101.39
101.06
100.95
101.55
102.65
103.72
104.51
105.08
105.48
105.83
106.33
107.07
108.12
109.48
111.09
112.99
114.96
116.58
117.56
117.97
117.70
116.97
116.10
115.44
114.86
114.57
114.75
115.50
116.75
118.13
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
D-RI-M
100.09
103.03
103.34
103.73
104.46
105.56
106.85
108.21
109.37
110.12
110.55
110.84
110.99
111.00
110.97
110.93
110.91
110.83
110.74
110.81
111.18
111.72
112.26
112.68
113.02
113.28
113.21
113.06
113.43
114.46
115.70
116.25
115.85
115.08
114.30
113.72
113.54
113.76
114.17
114.60
114.72
114.53
114.41
114.49
Decatur
102.65
92.45
95.73
98.97
101.89
104.33
106.12
107.07
107.52
107.88
108.31
108.88
109.82
111.03
112.70
114.94
117.54
119.72
120.94
121.60
122.29
123.14
123.17
122.04
120.31
118.67
117.70
117.57
118.14
118.99
119.53
119.48
118.96
118.25
117.47
116.67
115.50
113.84
111.96
110.31
109.03
107.95
107.13
106.73
Peoria
96.76
93.92
94.28
94.65
95.11
95.65
96.32
97.35
98.94
100.96
102.85
104.33
105.20
105.53
105.54
105.48
105.47
105.54
105.85
106.46
107.36
108.35
109.09
109.56
109.95
110.40
110.89
111.63
112.75
114.09
115.58
117.12
118.48
119.31
119.83
120.04
120.01
119.76
119.27
118.66
118.17
118.02
118.24
118.67
release 7/15/2014
Rockford
101.22
102.94
103.55
104.04
104.32
104.42
104.42
104.51
104.73
105.08
105.63
106.27
106.94
107.51
107.89
108.10
108.21
108.34
108.55
108.95
109.57
110.32
111.21
112.13
112.96
113.68
114.16
114.50
114.80
115.18
115.70
116.39
117.19
117.96
118.67
119.27
119.71
119.88
119.75
119.40
118.88
118.25
117.62
116.99
Springfield
92.86
92.73
94.10
95.58
97.40
99.43
101.13
102.01
101.79
101.06
100.52
100.53
100.91
101.46
102.06
102.63
103.33
103.94
104.24
104.35
104.31
104.04
103.72
103.43
103.05
102.62
102.30
102.23
102.43
102.77
103.12
103.47
103.90
104.41
105.01
105.81
106.76
107.79
108.95
110.47
112.10
113.54
114.82
116.15
www.real.illinois.edu
K-B
100.07
97.77
97.24
96.82
96.61
96.79
97.48
98.51
99.55
100.49
101.37
102.22
102.98
103.54
103.85
104.13
104.70
105.70
107.23
109.32
111.59
113.11
113.41
112.78
111.70
110.73
110.09
109.87
110.12
110.94
112.33
114.34
116.67
118.66
119.97
120.54
120.60
120.28
119.47
118.15
116.73
115.72
115.27
115.05
page
10
Jan-08
Feb-08
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
Aug-08
Sep-08
Oct-08
Nov-08
Dec-08
Jan-09
Feb-09
Mar-09
Apr-09
May-09
Jun-09
Jul-09
Aug-09
Sep-09
Oct-09
Nov-09
Dec-09
Jan-10
Feb-10
Mar-10
Apr-10
May-10
Jun-10
Jul-10
Aug-10
Sep-10
Oct-10
Nov-10
Dec-10
Jan-11
Feb-11
Mar-11
Apr-11
May-11
Jun-11
Jul-11
Aug-11
Sep-11
Oct-11
Nov-11
99.91
101.08
102.39
103.70
104.81
105.62
105.93
105.67
104.88
103.64
102.28
101.14
100.59
101.05
102.42
104.48
107.03
109.67
112.17
114.44
116.49
118.38
119.90
120.69
120.51
119.34
117.62
115.91
114.42
113.17
112.20
111.45
110.82
110.29
109.92
109.79
109.84
109.96
109.74
109.05
108.20
107.45
107.16
107.46
108.46
110.00
111.53
119.32
120.11
120.41
120.41
120.31
120.13
119.94
119.56
118.66
116.96
114.63
112.11
109.58
107.01
104.32
101.70
99.47
97.70
96.35
95.36
94.58
93.82
93.05
92.26
91.58
91.21
91.46
92.29
93.26
94.01
94.47
94.48
94.06
93.28
92.13
90.70
89.26
88.07
87.26
86.86
86.83
87.05
87.46
87.94
88.33
88.51
88.64
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
114.62
114.52
114.16
113.66
113.21
112.74
112.19
111.54
110.75
109.81
108.64
107.23
105.50
103.40
101.01
98.70
96.66
94.80
93.22
92.06
91.41
91.13
90.92
90.65
90.34
90.00
89.71
89.46
89.10
88.67
88.34
88.14
88.01
87.91
87.73
87.66
87.82
88.15
88.71
89.51
90.26
90.74
90.89
90.75
90.51
90.22
89.88
106.69
106.57
106.20
105.49
104.60
103.59
102.50
101.40
100.21
98.82
97.30
95.65
93.81
91.90
90.69
90.53
90.89
91.45
91.95
92.07
91.81
91.40
91.04
90.76
90.80
91.55
93.05
94.96
96.89
98.37
99.11
99.33
99.32
99.27
99.41
99.61
99.09
97.63
95.93
94.58
93.81
93.63
93.76
93.73
93.41
93.26
93.34
119.10
119.27
118.97
118.36
117.70
117.04
116.46
115.93
115.23
114.06
112.17
109.45
105.94
102.04
98.18
94.78
92.22
90.37
89.14
88.44
88.11
88.02
88.18
88.59
89.06
89.53
90.25
91.39
92.73
94.02
94.92
95.28
95.30
95.16
94.72
93.88
92.64
91.41
90.64
90.32
90.28
90.52
91.05
91.76
92.37
92.80
93.33
release 7/15/2014
116.33
115.59
114.76
113.78
112.61
111.35
110.11
108.86
107.45
105.77
103.79
101.50
98.95
96.35
93.90
91.81
90.14
88.99
88.36
88.17
88.22
88.32
88.38
88.42
88.49
88.69
89.06
89.52
89.95
90.28
90.53
90.71
90.90
91.14
91.44
91.71
91.84
91.75
91.37
90.82
90.21
89.65
89.28
89.08
89.04
89.13
89.29
117.35
118.33
119.17
119.70
119.63
119.08
118.34
117.67
117.24
116.91
116.51
116.03
115.64
115.33
114.79
113.77
112.53
111.24
109.89
108.67
108.04
108.24
108.97
109.69
109.97
109.85
109.45
108.59
107.27
105.77
104.38
103.53
103.30
103.17
102.66
101.43
99.83
98.30
96.98
95.76
94.68
93.63
92.49
91.37
90.62
90.55
91.05
www.real.illinois.edu
114.91
115.31
115.94
116.08
115.82
115.34
114.66
113.75
112.69
111.39
109.56
106.99
104.08
101.62
100.01
99.20
98.94
98.78
98.48
98.04
97.50
96.93
96.54
96.57
97.00
97.67
98.13
98.27
97.85
96.75
95.43
94.16
93.02
92.06
91.04
89.82
88.50
87.20
86.30
85.83
85.72
86.06
86.72
87.63
88.78
89.91
90.69
page
11
Dec-11
Jan-12
Feb-12
Mar-12
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Aug-12
Sep-12
Oct-12
Nov-12
Dec-12
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
July-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
112.34
111.96
110.71
109.13
107.52
105.98
104.69
103.73
103.18
102.94
102.96
103.19
103.55
103.83
103.79
103.60
103.46
103.55
103.95
104.61
105.56
106.64
107.62
108.11
107.98
107.39
106.34
105.18
104.12
103.12
102.06
100.85
99.43
97.70
95.67
93.56
91.56
89.71
88.06
86.80
85.78
84.89
84.31
84.31
85.08
86.65
88.82
89.06
89.99
91.08
92.05
92.68
93.01
93.12
93.12
93.06
93.05
93.01
92.83
92.60
92.51
92.77
93.27
93.64
93.64
93.23
92.55
91.70
90.70
89.59
88.66
88.23
88.44
89.11
90.06
91.18
92.15
92.80
93.20
93.56
94.09
94.75
95.69
97.11
99.03
101.18
103.02
104.43
105.62
93.66
92.82
92.37
92.51
93.19
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
89.58
89.54
89.97
90.72
91.42
91.88
92.11
92.10
91.92
91.70
91.50
91.31
91.23
91.33
91.44
91.33
90.98
90.58
90.32
90.28
90.37
90.65
91.07
91.55
92.00
92.53
93.32
94.38
95.42
96.29
97.17
98.12
98.83
98.67
97.75
96.82
96.39
96.57
97.16
98.04
99.22
100.70
97.72
96.11
94.38
92.38
89.99
93.63
94.06
94.53
95.03
94.96
94.10
92.97
91.88
91.06
90.69
90.73
91.10
91.70
92.46
92.98
92.94
92.54
91.99
91.52
91.14
90.58
89.84
89.12
88.50
87.97
87.78
88.09
88.57
89.32
90.57
92.02
93.36
94.48
95.23
95.80
96.33
96.62
96.19
95.01
93.62
92.12
90.65
89.40
88.59
88.36
88.66
89.38
94.15
95.31
96.69
97.91
98.72
98.93
98.79
98.54
98.13
97.53
96.78
95.82
94.63
93.38
92.23
91.22
90.36
89.77
89.49
89.38
89.24
89.08
89.00
89.13
89.50
90.16
91.12
92.39
93.75
94.96
95.76
96.22
96.43
96.41
96.24
95.80
95.22
94.75
94.39
94.42
94.64
94.80
94.70
94.29
93.69
93.12
92.82
release 7/15/2014
89.48
89.76
90.15
90.56
90.93
91.20
91.36
91.39
91.33
91.31
91.37
91.57
91.92
92.40
92.84
93.10
93.16
93.21
93.31
93.47
93.65
93.82
94.04
94.33
94.61
94.85
95.12
95.46
95.97
96.66
97.47
98.33
99.15
99.89
100.49
100.89
101.05
101.03
100.81
100.45
100.17
100.00
100.00
99.83
99.51
99.10
98.66
91.76
92.28
92.46
92.23
91.78
91.37
91.17
91.19
91.16
90.76
90.04
89.35
88.93
88.91
88.93
88.75
88.64
88.74
88.73
88.45
87.54
85.94
84.12
82.55
81.65
81.87
83.04
84.72
86.52
88.34
90.18
91.90
93.06
93.22
92.43
91.27
90.24
89.77
90.26
91.36
92.53
93.71
94.93
96.31
97.98
99.97
102.22
www.real.illinois.edu
91.18
91.68
92.17
92.29
91.87
91.02
89.99
89.06
88.30
87.60
86.84
86.23
85.82
85.54
85.54
85.92
86.76
87.89
89.23
90.66
92.11
93.29
93.95
94.16
94.08
93.73
93.15
92.94
93.54
94.91
96.77
98.79
100.63
101.89
102.48
102.57
102.36
102.12
102.23
102.41
102.31
101.98
98.45
98.81
99.07
99.22
99.27
page
12
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Apr-16
May-16
91.29
93.75
96.02
98.06
99.95
101.77
103.56
94.20
95.20
95.94
96.27
96.18
95.76
95.09
87.22
84.16
80.98
77.77
74.61
71.51
68.45
90.32
91.34
92.28
92.99
93.31
93.14
92.46
92.90
93.38
94.17
95.09
95.92
96.47
96.58
98.24
97.86
97.49
97.09
96.64
96.07
95.40
104.62
107.06
109.52
111.97
114.41
116.75
118.92
99.23
99.12
99.01
99.02
99.25
99.76
100.56
Notes
B-N=Bloomington-Normal
C-U=ChampaignUrbana
K-B= KankakeeBradley
D-RI-M=Davenport-Rock Island-Moline
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 7/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page
13