ILLINOIS
MSA Indices & Forecast
Release
data
Issue
www.real.illinois.edu
11/15/2015
May 2004 / Sep 2015
2015.11
Note: Values shown on the “1 Year” forecast represent a pessimistic – optimistic scenario. For estimated values please see Appendix.
Comparing MSAs Indices with Chicago Indices
80.00
60.00
40.00
20.00
0.00
-20.00
-40.00
-60.00
04 06 08 10 12 14 16
Bloomington
Champaign
Davenport
Decatur
Peoria
Rockford
Springfield
Kankakee
*Values below (above) zero indicate that an MSA is performing less well (better) than Chicago.

From early 2007 to early 2009, all MSAs performed better than Chicago.

However, from Mid-2009 to late-2011, MSAs generally performed less well than Chicago
except for Bloomington-Normal.

After December 2012, all MSAs performed less well than Chicago.

According to the forecast for September 2016, Champaign-Urbana, Decatur, Peoria,
Rockford and Springfield are likely to perform less well over this period than Chicago.
All the other MSAs will compare favorably to Chicago.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 11/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 1

Bloomington-Normal (Reference Month – September 2015)
Current
88.55
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
89.91
91.95
115.51
Forecast
87.28
86.14
99.32
~
99.35
Bloomington - Normal MSA
130.00
120.00
110.00
100.00
B-N
Chicago
90.00
Other MSAs
80.00
70.00
Jan-16
Jun-16
Aug-15
Oct-14
Mar-15
May-14
Jul-13
Dec-13
Feb-13
Apr-12
Sep-12
Jun-11
Nov-11
Jan-11
Aug-10
Oct-09
Mar-10
Dec-08
May-09
Jul-08
Feb-08
Apr-07
Sep-07
Nov-06
Jan-06
Jun-06
Aug-05
Oct-04
Mar-05
May-04
60.00
Bloomington-Normal MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate:

Compared to last month, Bloomington-Normal moved down one position reaching the 5th
place of the rank.

In the 12 month growth league table Bloomington-Normal moved up 2 positions reaching
the 3rd place of the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 11/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 2

Champaign-Urbana (Reference Month – September 2015)
Current
105.38
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
106.48
107.78
89.33
Forecast
104.11
101.11
81.50
~
98.40
Champaign - Urbana MSA
130.00
120.00
110.00
100.00
C-U
Chicago
90.00
Other MSAs
80.00
70.00
Jan-16
Jun-16
Aug-15
Oct-14
Mar-15
May-14
Jul-13
Dec-13
Feb-13
Apr-12
Sep-12
Jun-11
Nov-11
Jan-11
Aug-10
Oct-09
Mar-10
Dec-08
May-09
Jul-08
Feb-08
Apr-07
Sep-07
Nov-06
Jan-06
Jun-06
Aug-05
Oct-04
Mar-05
May-04
60.00
Champaign- Urbana MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate:

Compared to last month, Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul moved up 4 positions reaching the
2nd place of the rank.

In the 12-month growth league table, Champaign-Urbana-Rantoul remained in the 1st
place of the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 11/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 3

Davenport-Rock Island-Moline (Reference Month – September 2015)
Current
98.21
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
100.59
104.98
97.94
Forecast
96.23
94.15
87.59
~
110.36
Davenport - Rock Island - Moline MSA
120.00
110.00
100.00
D-RI-M
90.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
80.00
70.00
Jan-16
Jun-16
Aug-15
Oct-14
Mar-15
May-14
Jul-13
Dec-13
Feb-13
Apr-12
Sep-12
Jun-11
Nov-11
Jan-11
Aug-10
Oct-09
Mar-10
Dec-08
May-09
Jul-08
Feb-08
Apr-07
Sep-07
Nov-06
Jan-06
Jun-06
Aug-05
Oct-04
Mar-05
May-04
60.00
Davenport – Rock Island–Moline MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth
Rate:

Compared to last month, Davenport-Rock Island-Moline remained in the 7th place of the
rank.

In the 12-month growth league table, Davenport – Rock Island – Moline remained in the
10th place in the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 11/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 4

Decatur (Reference Month – September 2015)
Current
93.37
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
93.47
93.05
86.91
Forecast
93.28
93.42
82.63
~
97.74
Decatur MSA
130.00
120.00
110.00
Decatur
100.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
90.00
80.00
Jan-16
Jun-16
Aug-15
Oct-14
Mar-15
May-14
Jul-13
Dec-13
Feb-13
Apr-12
Sep-12
Jun-11
Nov-11
Jan-11
Aug-10
Oct-09
Mar-10
Dec-08
May-09
Jul-08
Feb-08
Apr-07
Sep-07
Nov-06
Jan-06
Jun-06
Aug-05
Oct-04
Mar-05
May-04
70.00
Decatur MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Compared to the previous month, Decatur moved down 8 positions reaching the 9th place
of the rank.

In the 12 months growth league table, Decatur moved down 2 positions reaching the 8th
place in the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 11/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 5

Kankakee - Bradley (Reference Month – September 2015)
Current
100.64
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
101.86
104.12
105.40
Forecast
101.15
102.25
85.74
~
115.97
Kankakee - Bradley MSA
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
K-B
100.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
90.00
80.00
70.00
May-04
Sep-04
Jan-05
May-05
Sep-05
Jan-06
May-06
Sep-06
Jan-07
May-07
Sep-07
Jan-08
May-08
Sep-08
Jan-09
May-09
Sep-09
Jan-10
May-10
Sep-10
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-11
Jan-12
May-12
Sep-12
Jan-13
May-13
Sep-13
Jan-14
May-14
Sep-14
Jan-15
May-15
Sep-15
Jan-16
May-16
60.00
Kankakee - Bradley MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Kankakee – Bradley moved up 9 positions reaching the 1st place of the monthly
performance rank table.

In the 12-month growth league table, Kankakee– Bradley moved up 2 positions reaching the
7th place of the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 11/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 6

Peoria (Reference Month – September 2015)
Current
88.93
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
91.28
95.67
91.99
Forecast
86.66
82.13
56.17
~
70.12
Peoria MSA
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
Peoria
100.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
90.00
80.00
70.00
Jan-16
Jun-16
Aug-15
Oct-14
Mar-15
May-14
Jul-13
Dec-13
Feb-13
Apr-12
Sep-12
Jun-11
Nov-11
Jan-11
Aug-10
Oct-09
Mar-10
Dec-08
May-09
Jul-08
Feb-08
Apr-07
Sep-07
Nov-06
Jan-06
Jun-06
Aug-05
Oct-04
Mar-05
May-04
60.00
Peoria MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Compared to last month, Peoria moved up 6 positions reaching the 3rd place of the rank.

In the 12-month growth league table, Peoria moved down 1 position reaching the 9th place
of the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 11/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 7

Rockford (Reference Month – September 2015)
Current
100.74
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
100.53
100.31
95.05
Forecast
98.99
98.28
88.84
~
100.98
Rockford MSA
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
Rockford
100.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
90.00
80.00
70.00
Jan-16
Jun-16
Aug-15
Oct-14
Mar-15
May-14
Jul-13
Dec-13
Feb-13
Apr-12
Sep-12
Jun-11
Nov-11
Jan-11
Aug-10
Oct-09
Mar-10
Dec-08
May-09
Jul-08
Feb-08
Apr-07
Sep-07
Nov-06
Jan-06
Jun-06
Aug-05
Oct-04
Mar-05
May-04
60.00
Rockford MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Compared to last month, Rockford moved down 7 positions reaching the 10rd place of the
rank.

In the 12-month growth league table, Rockford moved down 3 positions reaching the 6th
place of the rank.
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 11/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 8
 Springfield (Reference Month – September 2015)
Current
93.47
1 Month
3 Month
1 Year
Historical
94.29
94.94
83.11
Forecast
92.56
91.27
83.41
~
98.30
Springfield MSA
140.00
130.00
120.00
110.00
Springfield
100.00
Chicago
Other MSAs
90.00
80.00
70.00
Jan-16
Jun-16
Aug-15
Oct-14
Mar-15
May-14
Jul-13
Dec-13
Feb-13
Apr-12
Sep-12
Jun-11
Nov-11
Jan-11
Aug-10
Oct-09
Mar-10
Dec-08
May-09
Jul-08
Feb-08
Apr-07
Sep-07
Nov-06
Jan-06
Jun-06
Aug-05
Oct-04
Mar-05
May-04
60.00
Springfield MSA League: Non-Farm Employment Growth Rate

Compared to last month, Springfield moved down 3 positions reaching the 8th place of the
rank.

In the 12-month growth league table, Springfield moved up 2 positions reaching the 5th
place of the rank.
Notes:
MSA Indices series are available in the appendix
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 11/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page 9
Appendix
May-04
Jun-04
Jul-04
Aug-04
Sep-04
Oct-04
Nov-04
Dec-04
Jan-05
Feb-05
Mar-05
Apr-05
May-05
Jun-05
Jul-05
Aug-05
Sep-05
Oct-05
Nov-05
Dec-05
Jan-06
Feb-06
Mar-06
Apr-06
May-06
Jun-06
Jul-06
Aug-06
Sep-06
Oct-06
Nov-06
Dec-06
Jan-07
Feb-07
Mar-07
Apr-07
May-07
Jun-07
Jul-07
Aug-07
Sep-07
Oct-07
Nov-07
Dec-07
B-N
86.87
86.60
85.45
84.29
83.28
82.53
82.05
81.97
82.51
83.57
84.97
86.49
87.79
88.60
88.84
88.66
88.21
87.69
87.38
87.46
87.99
88.80
89.67
90.41
90.97
91.26
91.14
90.57
89.82
89.06
88.51
88.45
88.95
89.75
90.65
91.49
92.19
92.85
93.57
94.25
94.80
95.23
95.65
96.14
C-U
103.52
101.07
100.82
100.67
100.76
101.39
102.33
103.06
103.23
102.95
102.44
101.96
101.62
101.48
101.30
101.09
101.02
101.47
102.36
103.12
103.57
103.83
104.21
104.72
105.48
106.56
107.89
109.48
111.26
113.14
114.98
116.45
117.27
117.45
117.07
116.34
115.47
114.75
114.09
113.76
113.97
114.83
116.28
117.87
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
D-RI-M
100.09
96.05
96.54
97.14
98.13
99.54
101.20
102.94
104.39
105.29
105.83
106.25
106.50
106.60
106.68
106.74
106.85
106.94
107.01
107.25
107.75
108.42
109.17
109.81
110.39
110.88
110.96
110.95
111.58
113.05
114.77
115.62
115.23
114.39
113.62
113.18
113.27
113.82
114.55
115.21
115.44
115.28
115.21
115.44
Decatur
102.65
93.16
95.72
98.24
100.52
102.50
104.08
105.08
105.71
106.24
106.71
107.20
107.94
108.92
110.27
112.10
114.27
116.24
117.62
118.80
120.20
121.71
122.36
121.82
120.65
119.48
118.84
118.88
119.46
120.21
120.60
120.38
119.79
119.08
118.37
117.67
116.67
115.24
113.63
112.18
111.03
110.05
109.27
108.86
Peoria
96.76
89.07
89.77
90.38
91.00
91.71
92.58
93.83
95.62
97.81
99.96
101.72
102.87
103.48
103.65
103.62
103.64
103.79
104.13
104.73
105.58
106.50
107.28
107.85
108.41
109.05
109.73
110.60
111.88
113.49
115.30
117.16
118.77
119.86
120.37
120.56
120.63
120.55
120.26
119.82
119.48
119.48
119.82
120.24
release 11/15/2014
Rockford
101.22
102.91
103.56
104.07
104.38
104.49
104.51
104.61
104.79
105.13
105.70
106.37
107.05
107.63
108.02
108.23
108.35
108.47
108.69
109.10
109.72
110.46
111.36
112.32
113.19
113.95
114.44
114.76
115.04
115.40
115.89
116.58
117.41
118.26
119.07
119.74
120.22
120.40
120.25
119.87
119.30
118.59
117.88
117.17
Springfield
92.86
88.77
90.40
92.16
94.30
96.66
98.65
99.72
99.56
98.77
98.21
98.30
98.82
99.53
100.32
101.05
101.92
102.65
102.98
103.05
102.93
102.62
102.25
101.95
101.57
101.11
100.82
100.84
101.24
101.83
102.46
103.08
103.69
104.26
104.81
105.55
106.43
107.37
108.44
109.95
111.64
113.19
114.66
116.30
www.real.illinois.edu
K-B
100.07
95.74
94.93
94.33
94.08
94.37
95.31
96.63
97.88
98.94
99.93
100.91
101.86
102.63
103.14
103.67
104.55
105.84
107.61
109.89
112.27
113.61
113.45
112.22
110.57
109.16
108.24
107.92
108.30
109.42
111.16
113.43
115.87
117.82
119.07
119.60
119.55
119.04
118.01
116.61
115.32
114.68
114.73
114.95
page
10
Jan-08
Feb-08
Mar-08
Apr-08
May-08
Jun-08
Jul-08
Aug-08
Sep-08
Oct-08
Nov-08
Dec-08
Jan-09
Feb-09
Mar-09
Apr-09
May-09
Jun-09
Jul-09
Aug-09
Sep-09
Oct-09
Nov-09
Dec-09
Jan-10
Feb-10
Mar-10
Apr-10
May-10
Jun-10
Jul-10
Aug-10
Sep-10
Oct-10
Nov-10
Dec-10
Jan-11
Feb-11
Mar-11
Apr-11
May-11
Jun-11
Jul-11
Aug-11
Sep-11
Oct-11
Nov-11
96.84
97.94
99.43
101.06
102.55
103.79
104.46
104.36
103.46
101.77
99.71
97.80
96.58
96.60
97.80
99.84
102.33
104.80
107.09
109.30
111.57
113.90
115.90
117.08
117.06
115.76
113.78
111.84
110.18
108.82
107.77
106.98
106.33
105.87
105.85
106.41
107.42
108.49
108.81
108.17
107.16
106.34
106.14
106.75
108.30
110.65
113.06
119.19
119.89
120.04
119.90
119.70
119.60
119.64
119.57
118.94
117.38
115.16
112.78
110.28
107.50
104.40
101.26
98.55
96.46
95.09
94.21
93.55
92.80
91.92
90.99
90.16
89.76
90.29
91.61
93.12
94.30
94.91
94.88
94.21
93.02
91.40
89.50
87.68
86.31
85.49
85.20
85.35
85.83
86.62
87.47
88.13
88.38
88.50
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
115.76
115.87
115.72
115.50
115.41
115.29
115.02
114.54
113.81
112.76
111.28
109.38
106.97
103.99
100.66
97.54
94.84
92.38
90.32
88.84
88.08
87.84
87.73
87.58
87.34
87.02
86.73
86.48
86.10
85.66
85.37
85.26
85.27
85.32
85.31
85.42
85.76
86.35
87.23
88.40
89.51
90.27
90.55
90.46
90.21
89.90
89.55
108.81
108.73
108.44
107.88
107.23
106.53
105.78
105.06
104.28
103.28
102.03
100.44
98.38
96.01
94.16
93.23
92.90
92.91
93.02
92.92
92.52
91.96
91.52
91.23
91.29
91.99
93.39
95.21
97.04
98.40
99.04
99.15
98.98
98.69
98.48
98.30
97.70
96.66
95.61
94.93
94.77
95.07
95.57
95.83
95.76
95.74
95.78
120.54
120.61
120.23
119.43
118.51
117.71
117.11
116.75
116.34
115.49
113.89
111.49
108.21
104.17
99.76
95.73
92.64
90.51
89.16
88.38
88.01
87.84
87.83
87.98
88.15
88.45
89.26
90.63
92.19
93.64
94.78
95.46
95.80
95.94
95.82
95.28
94.22
92.92
91.85
91.17
90.81
90.76
91.11
91.75
92.33
92.69
93.07
release 11/15/2014
116.43
115.65
114.78
113.76
112.61
111.39
110.15
108.87
107.40
105.64
103.58
101.24
98.72
96.15
93.74
91.65
89.98
88.82
88.20
88.02
88.09
88.20
88.21
88.19
88.22
88.41
88.81
89.31
89.75
90.09
90.33
90.50
90.67
90.88
91.14
91.37
91.46
91.37
91.03
90.54
89.99
89.47
89.12
88.93
88.91
89.04
89.23
117.91
119.24
120.34
121.09
121.17
120.71
120.03
119.45
119.13
118.93
118.63
118.22
117.77
117.13
116.09
114.56
112.88
111.27
109.72
108.44
107.95
108.53
109.82
111.15
111.92
111.99
111.33
110.06
108.33
106.49
104.87
103.97
103.84
103.89
103.53
102.38
100.75
99.16
97.80
96.62
95.62
94.65
93.55
92.44
91.68
91.63
92.15
www.real.illinois.edu
115.10
115.63
116.27
116.42
116.24
115.87
115.31
114.61
113.84
112.77
110.89
107.97
104.59
101.69
99.74
98.70
98.28
98.01
97.61
97.11
96.51
95.88
95.52
95.77
96.59
97.74
98.62
99.01
98.67
97.56
96.31
95.17
94.17
93.34
92.39
91.08
89.47
87.76
86.45
85.69
85.42
85.71
86.42
87.47
88.75
89.94
90.63
page
11
Dec-11
Jan-12
Feb-12
Mar-12
Apr-12
May-12
Jun-12
Jul-12
Aug-12
Sep-12
Oct-12
Nov-12
Dec-12
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Oct-14
Nov-14
Dec-14
Jan-15
Feb-15
Mar-15
Apr-15
May-15
Jun-15
July-15
Aug-15
Sep-15
Oct-15
114.59
114.61
113.38
111.51
109.40
107.28
105.43
104.14
103.51
103.37
103.59
104.08
104.69
105.18
105.42
105.40
105.35
105.65
106.58
108.10
110.04
112.12
114.17
115.69
116.39
116.35
115.51
114.24
112.97
111.78
110.52
109.12
107.54
105.74
103.67
101.54
99.49
97.47
95.61
94.18
93.17
92.54
91.95
91.07
89.91
88.55
87.28
88.94
89.97
91.24
92.34
92.99
93.20
93.12
93.02
92.91
92.94
93.15
93.21
93.07
92.97
93.22
93.78
94.24
94.28
93.83
92.92
91.79
90.58
89.51
88.71
88.44
88.71
89.33
90.18
91.30
92.37
93.10
93.57
94.06
94.86
96.13
97.81
99.96
102.47
104.99
106.80
107.74
107.98
107.78
107.32
106.48
105.38
104.11
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
89.28
89.35
89.98
91.01
91.98
92.67
93.11
93.31
93.36
93.38
93.41
93.39
93.45
93.64
93.79
93.61
93.11
92.59
92.34
92.41
92.69
93.21
93.92
94.75
95.61
96.61
97.94
99.57
101.08
102.32
103.56
104.92
106.05
106.08
105.14
104.21
103.90
104.31
105.09
105.82
106.26
106.14
104.98
102.94
100.59
98.21
96.23
96.02
96.49
97.08
97.62
97.43
96.28
94.71
93.08
91.71
90.81
90.35
90.28
90.50
90.96
91.29
91.14
90.65
90.04
89.51
89.07
88.49
87.79
87.15
86.66
86.33
86.38
86.91
87.55
88.38
89.59
90.92
92.08
92.97
93.49
93.79
94.06
94.17
93.76
92.94
92.31
92.12
92.45
93.05
93.44
93.47
93.37
93.28
93.73
94.83
96.30
97.79
98.99
99.69
99.95
99.99
99.73
99.08
98.16
97.05
95.84
94.61
93.61
92.89
92.25
91.71
91.31
90.98
90.62
90.32
90.14
90.14
90.37
90.94
91.99
93.43
95.00
96.43
97.43
98.03
98.36
98.49
98.60
98.60
98.56
98.62
98.61
98.55
98.23
97.27
95.67
93.61
91.28
88.93
86.66
release 11/15/2014
89.47
89.78
90.18
90.58
90.92
91.14
91.25
91.24
91.17
91.15
91.27
91.54
91.97
92.52
92.97
93.19
93.20
93.19
93.24
93.37
93.53
93.69
93.92
94.21
94.50
94.75
95.05
95.43
95.94
96.64
97.45
98.33
99.16
99.89
100.48
100.87
101.02
100.99
100.81
100.52
100.33
100.29
100.31
100.37
100.53
100.74
98.99
92.81
93.17
93.16
92.93
92.55
92.19
92.02
92.04
91.98
91.50
90.67
89.89
89.38
89.28
89.13
88.70
88.36
88.33
88.38
88.22
87.38
85.76
83.88
82.25
81.37
81.72
83.11
85.08
87.26
89.51
91.78
93.89
95.35
95.65
94.88
93.68
92.63
92.14
92.52
93.43
94.22
94.75
94.94
94.82
94.29
93.47
92.56
www.real.illinois.edu
90.89
91.09
91.18
90.92
90.23
89.21
88.09
87.16
86.41
85.74
85.12
84.74
84.62
84.69
85.06
85.81
86.94
88.35
89.98
91.65
93.16
94.18
94.48
94.34
94.18
94.14
94.19
94.78
96.18
98.21
100.55
102.83
104.57
105.40
105.52
105.38
105.19
105.12
105.34
105.47
105.09
104.23
104.12
101.71
101.86
100.64
101.15
page
12
Nov-15
Dec-15
Jan-16
Feb-16
Mar-16
Apr-16
May-16
June-16
July-16
Aug-16
Sep-16
86.39
86.14
86.63
87.85
89.64
91.84
94.25
96.77
99.33
101.96
104.68
102.70
101.11
99.35
97.49
95.62
93.85
92.23
90.79
89.55
88.57
87.89
94.89
94.15
93.82
93.69
93.72
94.01
94.77
96.18
98.32
101.12
104.43
93.28
93.42
93.64
93.76
93.59
93.04
92.13
91.01
89.87
88.84
87.97
84.42
82.13
79.71
77.16
74.50
71.80
69.12
66.52
64.03
61.67
59.45
98.66
98.28
97.87
97.42
96.95
96.45
95.92
95.34
94.72
94.03
93.28
91.79
91.27
90.98
90.84
90.77
90.70
90.63
90.58
90.55
90.49
90.33
102.29
102.25
102.03
101.84
101.63
101.29
100.71
99.84
98.72
97.44
102.97
Notes
B-N=Bloomington-Normal
C-U=ChampaignUrbana
K-B= KankakeeBradley
D-RI-M=Davenport-Rock Island-Moline
Illinois MSA Indices & Forecast
release 11/15/2014
www.real.illinois.edu
page
13