August 14, 2003 Blackout Summary Based on Interim Report of the United States – Canada Power Outage Task Force November 19, 2003 U.S.-Canada Interim Report ● Released November 19, 2003 ● Result of an exhaustive bi-national investigation Working groups on electric system, nuclear plant performance and security Hundreds of professionals on investigation teams performed extensive analysis ● Interim report produced by the teams and accepted by the bi-national Task Force 2 Overview ● ● ● ● ● ● 3 Overview of power system and reliability Pre-outage conditions on August 14 Trigger events and start of cascade Wide area cascade Root causes Next steps Power System Overview 4 Reliability Overview ● Balance generation and demand ● Balance reactive power supply and demand ● Monitor flows and observe thermal limits ● Observe power and voltage stability limits ● Operate for unplanned contingencies ● Plan, design and maintain a reliable system ● Prepare for emergencies Reliably operate the system you have! 5 3 Interconnections / 10 NERC Regions 6 NERC Control Areas 7 NERC Reliability Coordinators 8 Footprints of Reliability Coordinators in Midwest 9 NERC Immediate Response to Blackout ● First hours Worked closely with NERC Reliability Coordinators Identified what had tripped and extent of outage Assessed restoration efforts Maintained open line with DOE/FERC Communicated with DHS, White House, and NRC ● First days Assigned project manager Established Steering Group with industry executive experts Began organizing investigation teams 90+ volunteers + entire NERC staff 10 Investigation Organization Overview U.S – Canada Task Force Steering Group Investigation Team Lead Project Planning and Support MAAC/ECAR/NPCC Coordinating Group Root Cause Analysis Cooper Systems NERC & Regional Standards/Procedures & Compliance Sequence of Events Restoration Operations - Tools, SCADA/EMS Communications Op Planning Frequency/ACE NPCC Data Requests and Management MEN Study Group System Modeling and Simulation Analysis System Planning, Design, & Studies MAAC ECAR 11 Investigation Process Review Vegetation/ROW Management Transmission System Performance, Protection, Control Maintenance & Damage Generator Performance, Protection, Controls Maintenance & Damage Data Gathering and Analysis ● Three fact-finding meetings August 22 September 8-9 October 1-3 ● Onsite interviews and inspections ● Secure database of outage information ● Extensive corroboration of data to determine facts ● Analysis by teams of technical experts 12 Root Cause Analysis ● Logical structure for investigating complex ● ● ● ● problems Identifies changes, conditions, actions, or inactions at each causal step Starts with final event and drills back through each branch of causal tree. Asks “why?” at each step. Accurate, reliable, defensible understanding of the root causes. Successfully used to investigate root causes of PJM voltage stability condition in July 1999 and established history in nuclear and defense industries. 13 Root Cause Analysis Phases 16:15 BLACKOUT 16:06 Initial Focus Sammis – Star Star – South Canton Hanna – Juniper Chamberlin - Harding 15:05 Pre-Existing Conditions E.g. voltages, wide- area transfers, line and generator outages, etc. 14 August 14 Conditions Prior to Blackout ● Planned outages Cook 2, Davis Besse nuclear plants East Lake 4, and Monroe 1 ● Transfers high to northeast U.S. + Ontario Not unusually so and not above transfer limits ● Critical voltage day Voltages within limits Operators taking action to boost voltages ● Frequency Typical for a summer day ● System was within limits prior to 15:05, 15 on both actual and contingency basis Warm But Not Unusual for August 16 August 14 Imports to Northeast-Central Compared to 6/1 to 8/13/2003 Exports 6000 Max Imports Max Exports Average 4000 14-Aug 0 Imports -6000 16:00 -8000 Hour (EDT) 17 22:00 -4000 20:00 -2000 18:00 16:00 14:00 12:00 10:00 8:00 6:00 4:00 2:00 0:00 MW 2000 Voltages Prior to 15:05 EDT August 14 18 Frequency Typical for Summer Day 19 Blackout was NOT Caused by ● ● ● ● ● ● Heavy wide-area transfers Low voltages, voltage collapse Lack of IPP voltage/reactive support Frequency anomalies Cinergy outages starting at 12:08 East Lake 5 trip at 13:31 Contributing factor to later events, but not by itself causal to the blackout ● DPL Stuart-Atlanta trip at 14:02 Contributing factor to loss of MISO real-time monitoring, but not electrically significant 20 Outage Sequence of Events Transmission Map Key ONTARIO 21 East Lake 5 Trip: 1:31:34 PM ONTARIO 2 1 22 East Lake 5 Exciter Failure Causes Trip 23 Stuart Atlanta Trip: 2:02 PM ONTARIO 24 MISO State Estimator and Reliability Analysis ● MISO state estimator and contingency analysis ineffective from 12:37 to 16:04 State estimator not solving due to missing information on lines out in Cinergy then DPL Human error in not resetting SE automatic trigger ● Using Flowgate Monitoring tool to monitor conditions on previously identified critical flowgates 25 FirstEnergy Computer Failures ● 14:14 Alarm logger fails and operators are not aware No further alarms to FE operators ● 14:20 Several remote consoles fail ● 14:41 EMS server hosting alarm processor and other functions fails to backup ● 14:54 Backup server fails EMS continues to function but with very degraded performance (59 second refresh) FE system data passed normally to others: MISO and AEP AGC function degraded and strip charts flat-lined ● 15:08 IT warm reboot of EMS appears to work but alarm process not tested and still in failed condition ● No contingency analysis of events during the day including loss of East Lake 5 and subsequent line trips 26 Phone Calls to FirstEnergy ● FE received calls from MISO, AEP, and PJM indicating problems on the FE system but did not recognize evolving emergency 14:32 AEP calls regarding trip and reclose of Star-S. 27 Canton 15:19 AEP calls again confirming Star-S. Canton trip and reclose 15:35 Calls received about “spikes” seen on system 15:36 MISO calls FE regarding contingency overload on Star-Juniper for loss of Hanna-Juniper 15:45 FE tree trimming crew calls in regarding Hanna-Juniper flashover to a tree PJM called MISO at 15:48 and FE at 15:56 regarding overloads on FE system Chamberlin-Harding (3:05:41) 28 Chamberlin-Harding Indication of Ground Fault Due to Tree Contact as Measured by DFR at Juniper 29 (3:05:41) 30 Hanna-Juniper (3:32:03) Hanna Juniper Confirmed as Tree Contact at Less than Emergency Ratings of Line 31 Effects of Ambient Conditions on Ratings 32 (3:05:41) Star- S. Canton (3:41:35) 33 (3:32:03) Situation after Initial Trips 3:05:41 – 3:41:35 ONTARIO 34 Canton Central – Tidd (3:45:41) 35 138 kV Lines Overload and Cascade Near Akron Simulated 138 kV Line Loadings 200 Dale-W.Can 138 kV % of Normal Ratings (Amps) 180 W.Ak-PV Q22 138 kV 160 Cham-W.Ak 138 kV 140 E.LimaN.Fin 138 kV 120 CantC Xfmr 100 Dale-W.Can 138 kV W.Ak 138 kV Bkr Failure Cham-W.Ak 138 kV 36 E.Lima-N.Fin 138 kV Outages CantC Xfmr 0 W.Ak-PV Q21 138 kV 20 Babb-W.Ak 138 kV E.LimaN.Lib 138 kV E.Lima-N.Lib 138 kV 40 Clov-Torrey 138 kV Babb-W.Ak 138 kV Star-S.Cant 345 kV 60 Hanna-Jun 345 kV W.Ak-PV Q21 138 kV Hard-Chamb 345 kV 80 Clov-Torrey 138 kV 0 Dale-W.Canton 138 kV W.Akron 138 kV Breaker Chamberlin-W.Akron 138 kV E.Lima-N.Finlay 138 kV 20 Sammis-Star 120 Canton Central Transformer W.Akron-Pleasant Valley 138 kV Babb-W.Akron 138 kV HannaJuniper 60 16:05:55 EDT 15:51:41 EDT 15:32:03 EDT Star-S.Canton 15:41:35 EDT 40 HardingChamberlin 15:05:41 EDT 37 E.Lima-New Liberty 138 kV 80 Cloverdale-Torrey 138 kV 100 % of Normal Ratings 138 kV Cascade Contributes Further to Overload of Sammis-Star 140 Sammis-Star (4:05:57.5) 38 Sammis-Star Zone 3 Relay Operates on Steady State Overload 39 Actual Loading on Critical Lines 1600 Harding - Chamberlin Hanna - Juniper Star - South Canton Sammis - Star Line Trip Sammis - Star Star - South Canton Line Trip Hanna - Juniper Line Trip Flows (MW) 1200 East Lake 5 Trip 800 400 Harding - Chamberlin Line Trip 0 12:00 13:00 14:00 Time - EDT 40 15:00 16:00 Actual Voltages Leading to Sammis-Star 370 Harding - Chamberlin 345 kV Line Trip Hanna - Juniper 345 kV Line Trip Gaps in Data Records 100% Voltage 350 95% Voltage Voltage (kV) 330 90% Voltage 310 Star 290 270 Hanna Star - South Canton 345 kV Line Trip Sammis - Star 345 kV Line Trip Beaver Perry 250 15:00 41 Time - EDT 16:00 Major Path to Cleveland Blocked after Loss of Sammis-Star 4:05:57.5 PM Remaining Paths 42 345 kV Lines Trip Across Ohio to West ONTARIO 43 Generation Trips 4:09:08 – 4:10:27 PM ONTARIO 44 345 kV Transmission Cascade Moves North into Michigan 4:10:36 – 4:10:37 PM 45 Northern Ohio and Eastern Michigan Served Only from Ontario after 4:10:37.5 – 4:10:38.6 PM 46 Power Transfers Shift at 4:10:38.6 PM 47 Eastern Eastern Michigan (Detroit) Unstable Voltage and Frequency Collapse and Pole Slipping Ontario – Michigan Interface Flow and Voltages Beginning 16:10:38 48 Generator Trips to 16:10:38 49 Generator Trips – Next 7 Seconds 50 Overloads on PJM – NY Ties 4:10:39 PM 51 PJM – NY Separating 4:10:44 PM 52 Cleveland – Toledo Island 4:10:39 - 4:10:46 PM Cleveland Blacks Out 53 Northeast Completes Separation from Eastern Interconnection 4:10:43 – 4:10:45 PM North of Lake Superior 54 Conditions at Niagara Indicate Progressively Worsening Stability Conditions with Prior Events 55 Island Breaks Up: 4:10:46 – 4:13 PM 56 Frequency in Ontario and New York during Breakup Niagara Generation Stays with Western NY 57 Generator Trips – After 16:10:44 58 End of the Cascade Some Local Load Interrupted Areas Affected by the Blackout Service maintained in some area 59 Blackout Root Cause Group 1 FE Situational Awareness ● FE did not ensure a reliable system after contingencies occurred because it did not have an effective contingency analysis capability ● FE did not have effective procedures to ensure operators were aware of the status of critical monitoring tools ● FE did not have effective procedures to test monitoring tools after repairs ● FE did not have additional high level monitoring tools after alarm system failed 60 Blackout Out Root Cause Group 2 Vegetation Management ● FE did not adequately manage tree growth in its transmission rights of way 61 Blackout Cause Group 3 Reliability Coordinator Diagnostics ● MISO’s state estimator failed due to a data error. ● MISO’s flowgate monitoring tool didn’t have real- time line information to detect growing overloads ● MISO operators couldn’t easily link breaker status to line status to understand changing conditions. ● PJM and MISO ineffective procedures and wide grid visibility to coordinate problems affecting their common boundaries 62 Near-Term Industry Actions Responses from Control Areas and Reliability Coordinators Due December 15 63 Voltage support/reactive supply Reliability communications Computer failure response & notifications Emergency action plans and capabilities Operator training for emergencies Vegetation management Next Steps ● U.S./Canada Power Outage TF hearings Public hearings to allow comment on report and input on recommendations December 4 December 5 December 8 – Toronto Industry technical conference December 10 – Philadelphia ● NERC next steps NERC executive committees December 11 NERC committees meet January 13-14 Continue investigation Near term analysis and recommendations in support of U.S. Canada Task Force Long term analysis and recommendations for NERC 64