Guaranteed Sustainability Label: is it a way of promoting sustainable agriculture? Cristina Marta-Pedroso Gonçalo M. Marques Tiago Domingos Environment and Energy Section, DEM, Instituto Superior Técnico, Lisbon, Portugal Project EXTENSITY Environmental and Sustainability Management Systems in Extensive Agriculture www.extensity.ist.utl.pt Extensity Approach in promoting to Sustainable Extensive Agriculture to Extensive Biodiversity Sown biodiverse permanent pasture rich in leguminous Productivity increase Stocking rate increase Soil organic matter increase Water retention increasing Commercial fertilizers use decrease Economic viability increasing Carbon sequestration Erosion decreasing Flooding regulation Decrease of Greenhouse gas emission Norm of Guaranteed Sustainability Guaranteed Sustainability Label: is it a way of promoting sustainable agriculture? A consumers preferences assessment for sustainability labeled beef Cristina Marta-Pedroso Gonçalo M. Marques Tiago Domingos Environment and Energy Section, DEM, Instituto Superior Técnico, Lisbon, Portugal Project EXTENSITY Environmental and Sustainability Management Systems in Extensive Agriculture www.extensity.ist.utl.pt Outline Motivation and Objectives Method and Experimental design Results Conclusions Motivation and Objectives (1) The label is expected to convey consumers relevant information for their purchase decisions; The label aimed to differentiate beef regarding: Production process (environmentally friendly) Animal welfare (decrease of the confinement period) Health and food safety (rastreability) Independent control of quality Voluntary labelling mechanism Compliance with the Guaranteed Sustainability Norm Farmers will adopt the label if it would become a mechanism that effectively facilitates farmers capturing the rewards of their superior performance in relation to the conventional production process. Motivation and Objectives (2) There is a general agreement on the increasing of consumers’ preference for green and safety agri-food products Only a few studies aimed at investigating the Portuguese consumers’ preferences for certified agrifood products have been carried out. Research on ascertaining the preferences of Portuguese’s consumers for such differentiated products is then needed. Objectives Estimating the maximum WTP for SLB Obtaining a demand curve for SLB Method and Experimental Design (1) In the recognition of the importance of revealing consumer preferences for such differentiated products a contingent valuation survey was carried out across a sample of Portuguese consumers. The contingent valuation survey Face to face interviews were used for administering contingent valuation questionnaire; Only beef consumers were approached; Interviews were carried out by a survey and opinion studies company at hypermarkets area of Lisbon. in the metropolitan Visual material was used as interview support. Method and Experimental Design (3) WTP Elicitation Design Visual Support Yes Description of SLB against conventional you would pay more for Interaction with the good description Price Yes offer Guaranteed pay for a Share kilo of Sustainabilit Labeled Beef than y labeled you pay for beef? be willing to Guaranteed Sustainability conventional Visual Support €/kg maximum Are you willing to 1st What is the No No beef? €/kg Comparação entre modos de produção Production systems Convencional Conventional Pastagens naturais ou semi-naturais temporário ou permanente Sustentabilidade Garantida de carácter Temporary or permanent natural or semi-natural pastures A engorda dos novilhos é feita em confinamento (15 meses) e à(steers base de rações Fattening after compostas weaned) por concentrados de alimento prod uzidos occurs in confinement (15 months). industrialmente Diet is based on concentrates. Guaranteed Sustainability Pastagens semeadas permanentes e biodiversas ricas em leguminosas, mais produtivas o que permite um maior encabeçamento e evita abiodiverse invasão por matos. Permanent Sown pastures rich in leguminous. More productive Higher stocking rate A engorda dos novilhos é feita predominantemente em regime in de direct pastoreio Steers fattening occurs directo suplementada com forragens produzidas grazing supplemented by localmente. O período de confinamento dos hay and silage novilhos, se aplicado, não pode exceder os 3 meses Impactos ambientais Environmental Impact Gases com efeito de estufa Gases com efeito de estufa Emissões: 9,1 KgCO carne/ano 2eq/kg Emissions: 9.1 kgCO eq/kg/meat Emissões: 10,1 KgCO carne/ano Emissions: 9.12eq/kg kgCO2eq/kg/meat Sequester: kgCO2eq/kg/meat Sequestro: 0 KgCO 20 eq/kg carne/ano Sequestro: 25,2 KgCO carne/ano Sequester: 25.2 kgCO2eq/kg/meat 2 eq/kg Greenhouse Gases: 2 Greenhouse Gases: There is a deficit 400 kgCO2eq/inhabitant Existe um déficit previsto para 2010of de about cerca de 400 kgCO 2 eq/habitante, no que diz respeito ao das obrigações impostas pelo Protocolo Quioto. Protocol for 2010cumprimento in terms por of Portugal Portuguese compliance with thedeKyoto Erosão do soloSoil erosion 12.8 kg 12,8solo/kg/meat/year kg solo/kg carne/ano Erosão do soloSoil erosion 7.2 kg 7,2solo/kg/meat/year kg solo/kg carne/ano A formação do solo é um processo muito lento sendo por isso este considerado um recurso finito e não Soil formation is a very slowly process (non-renewal resource) renovável Uso de fertilizantes Industrialazotados fertilizers 75.3 kgN/kg meat 75,3 kgN/kg carne Uso de fertilizantes Industrialazotados fertilizers 51.9 kgN/kg meat 51,9 kgN/kg carne Redução das fontes causadoras da diminuição qualidade da água Decrease of diffuse water da pollution Quality food safety Controlo decontrol qualidade and e segurança alimentar Autocontrolo Self control Independent certification bodies Certificado por entidades independentes Comparação entre modos de produção Production systems Convencional Conventional Pastagens naturais ou semi-naturais temporário ou permanente Sustentabilidade Garantida de carácter Temporary or permanent natural or semi-natural pastures A engorda dos novilhos é feita em confinamento (15 meses) e à(steers base de rações Fattening after compostas weaned) por concentrados de alimento prod uzidos occurs in confinement (15 months). industrialmente Diet is based on concentrates. Guaranteed Sustainability Pastagens semeadas permanentes e biodiversas ricas em leguminosas, mais produtivas o que permite um maior encabeçamento e evita abiodiverse invasão por matos. Permanent Sown pastures rich in leguminous. More productive Higher stocking rate A engorda dos novilhos é feita predominantemente em regime in de direct pastoreio Steers fattening occurs directo suplementada com forragens produzidas grazing supplemented by localmente. O período de confinamento dos hay não andpode silage novilhos, se aplicado, exceder os 3 meses Impactos ambientais Environmental Impact Gases com efeito de estufa Gases com efeito de estufa Emissões: 9,1 KgCO carne/ano 2eq/kg Emissions: 9.1 kgCO eq/kg/meat Emissões: 10,1 KgCO carne/ano Emissions: 9.12eq/kg kgCO2eq/kg/meat Sequester: kgCO2eq/kg/meat Sequestro: 0 KgCO 20 eq/kg carne/ano Sequestro: 25,2 KgCO carne/ano Sequester: 25.2 kgCO2eq/kg/meat 2 eq/kg Greenhouse Gases: 2 Greenhouse Gases: There is a deficit 400 kgCO2eq/inhabitant Existe um déficit previsto para 2010of de about cerca de 400 kgCO 2 eq/habitante, no que diz respeito ao das obrigações impostas pelo Protocolo Quioto. Protocol for 2010cumprimento in terms por of Portugal Portuguese compliance with thedeKyoto Erosão do soloSoil erosion 12.8 kg solo/kg/meat/year 12,8 kg solo/kg carne/ano Erosão do soloSoil erosion 7.2 kg solo/kg/meat/year 7,2 kg solo/kg carne/ano A formação do solo é um processo muito lento sendo por isso este considerado um recurso finito e não Soil formation is a very slowly process (non-renewal resource) renovável Uso de fertilizantes Industrialazotados fertilizers 75.3 kgN/kg meat 75,3 kgN/kg carne Uso de fertilizantes Industrialazotados fertilizers 51.9 kgN/kg meat 51,9 kgN/kg carne Redução das fontes causadoras da diminuição qualidade da água Decrease of diffuse water da pollution Quality food safety Controlo decontrol qualidade and e segurança alimentar Autocontrolo Self control Independent certification bodies Certificado por entidades independentes Bid vector: 11-25 € Given as baseline Varied across subjects Experimental Design and methodological approach (4) Modelling Framework 0, P(WTP <w)= p, p+(1-p)F(w), n p i 1 i 1 i (1 p)f (Wi ) w<0 w=0 w>0 n p (1 p) f (W ) 1 i i 1 n i 1 i wi 0 p (1 p) i i 1 i f (W ) wi 0 i Experimental Design and methodological approach (5) Modelling Framework L i ; p n 1 exp(X i 1 i €/kg Yes exp( X i p ) i p What is the ) maximum you would be Yes Are you willing to Price willing to pay offer for a kilo of Guaranteed pay more for Sustainability Guaranteed labeled beef? Sustainability No Labeled Beef than €/kg you pay for conventional W X i F 1 bi 1 L Wi 2 ; F , , i 2 1 i 1 1 beef? N 1 Ii X i F No Logistic Regression Log Linear Regression Anchoring correction Ii Results (2) Logistic Regression (Probability of WTP=0) P(WTPi 0) exp( log Incomei ) 1 exp( log Incomei ) Variable Income = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 μ -1.055 - 0.801 Predicted Probability 1- [385.91 - 771.82] 0.258 2- [771.83 - 1,157.73] 0.167 3- [1,157.74 - 1.543,64] 0.126 4- [1,583.65 - 1,929.55] 0.103 5- [≥ 1,929.56] 0.088 Results (3) Log Linear Regression; Anchoring correction Without anchoring With anchoring p-value p-value 13.56260709 0 ** 11.9832191 0 ** 2.15012219 - 3.1253616 - 0 - 0.3713805 0 ** Log(Income) 0.78938883 0.00037 ** 1.1234402 0.00051 ** Children -0.24550912 0.293 -0.6762203 0.047 ** Comp Import 0.05443948 0.466 0.2244985 0.040 ** Log-Likelihood -1204.04 -1141.08 Results (3) Log Linear Regression; Anchoring correction wi1 Xi F i wi 1 ln Incomei 2Childreni 3CompImporti Variable Estimated WTP Spike adjusted WTP Income = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 Children = 1 / 0 1- [385.91 - 771.82] 12.879 12.135 2 - [771.83 - 1,157.73] 13.657 13.048 3- [1,157.74 - 1.543,64] 4 - [1,583.65- 1,929.55] 5- [ 1,929.56] 14.113 14.436 14.686 13.594 13.979 CompImport = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 μ 11.983 γ 0.371 1 1.123 14.276 2 - 0.676 3 0.224 Results (4) Demand Curve for sustainability labeled beef Empirical data: Respondent i total monthly consumption of beef Consumption pattern of SLB (share, [0,1]) Assumptions: Respondent i total monthly consumption of beef is constant (Q) Respondent i total expense with beef is constant; substitution takes place Q q1WTP q2WTP q1WTP Q q2WTP Q(1 ) ETot q1WTP WTPMax q2WTP 10 Results (5) Demand Curve for sustainability labeled beef WTPMaxi 10 q1i (p) Min Qi , Qii p 10 Results (6) Demand Curve for sustainability labeled beef In average, monthly household consumption of SLB decreases 0.8 kg per 1 € increment in its price. Conclusions Consumers are willing to pay an extra price premium ranging between 3 and 3.5 € per kilo of SLB. In average, household consumption of SLB decreases 0.8 kg per 1 € increment in its price. Regarding my initial broad question about whether guaranteed sustainability label beef is a way of promoting sustainable agriculture we concluded that there is demand and that the estimated WTP should be framed in farms financial analysis.