Is the Stage Set for Mainstreaming Trade into National Development Strategy of India? Pramod Dev M Policy Analyst, Cuts International Concept of Mainstreaming Trade into National Development Strategy Process of integrating trade policies and priority areas of action within the overall national development plan or strategy A process of bargaining among key stakeholders and establishing a correct balance between trade liberalisation and companion policies. Approaches can take place at three levels- Policy, institutional and government-donor relations. Source: Taufiqur Rahman (2004), Concepts and Approaches to Mainstreaming Trade Objective of the study Go beyond impact analysis of trade and enquire about the prevailing conditions for mainstreaming trade into national development strategy. To understand the benefit deficits in globalisation and liberalisation. Why is there a pattern for winners and losers, especially in a participatory democracy? How do the political and economic decision chains work? How inclusive and responsive the processes are? Hence the analysis of demand for and supply of support policies and programs forms the basic frame work for this study Trade Policy Making in India Marred in secrecy - limited or selective public consultation Decisions taken by small group of officials with out enough prior political consultation Process is still top-down and not in a position to factor in ground realities. Influence of vulnerable agricultural stakeholders limited due to their capacities and lack of organisation. Though the consultation processes have been initiated, inclusiveness is still an issue. Methodology of the study Rajasthan and West Bengal as indicated by the project proposal. Agriculture sector was selected for its economic, political and social importance within the country. Impact of globalisation and liberalisation are most noticeable in livelihoods and economic security in the agriculture sector. Sectoral analysis deemed desirable as the mainstreaming process could vary across sectors. Field Research Field research was conducted in three phases among three broad stakeholder groups like: Peoples’ representatives and political functionaries at the local, state, and national levels and government officials on the supply side The households, and local community based organizations on the demand side Separate questionnaires for government officials, peoples’ representatives, and households and gram panchayat. Criteria for Selection of Districts Analyse disaggregated HDI data to chose Best, Moderate and Worst performing districts in terms of development. Percentage of Agricultural population, especially rural, in the total. Production of Agriculture- considerable contribution to the State’s agricultural out put and variety of cultivation. Access to Public amenities like PHCs, education institutions, water & sanitation etc. Allocation of government funds Districts Selected Rajasthan West Bengal Best Hanumangarh Hughly Moderate Bundi Jalpaiguri Worst Banswara, Barmer Purulia, Malda Criteria for the selection of Blocks from the Districts Tentative list of blocks- final selection on the basis of inputs from the district level. Select two blocks per district on the basis of following selection criteria Chose the best and worst blocks on the basis of development indicators and poverty. High percentage of agricultural population (Agricultural labourers + cultivators) in each block. Ensure that each block produce different crops; where ever possible. To ensure heterogeneity not to select contiguous blocks; unless there is stark difference in terms of development or major crops cultivated. Distribution of funds Criteria for the selection of Panchayats from the Blocks Select two panchayats from the selected block based on Ratio of agricultural population to total working population in the villages. Concentration of agricultural activities. Based on the inputs from prior interviews and CBOs on development and agricultural problems; choose the worst and best performing panchayat on development Criteria for choice of Household from Selected Panchayat Identify the prominent agricultural area using information from the interviews at the district, block and panchayat levels. Establish a direct link with agricultural like a) agricultural labourers b) Cultivators c) Agricultural Land owners etc. If the person is earning/earned part/ full of his income from agriculture she/ he is eligible. Try to maintain 50:50 sex ratio of the interviewees, as far as possible. Choose respondents according to the share of each social, religious and occupational group in the total population of the village to ensure an accurate representation of the society and agricultural activity of the panchayat. Why Focus on Pachayati Raj Institutions (PRIs)? The three-tier PRI System was intended to provide the people a larger role in political decision making. Expected to reduce the transaction costs and improve efficiency of services delivery. First tier of signalling of needs and demands and last tier of service delivery. Proximity to hot-spots of impact- testing the possibility of swift action. Results of Field Survey Basic Information Participation of the female stakeholders in the survey was limited due to the prevailing socio-cultural aspects and their lower level of awareness Elected female representatives operated in constraining environments that favored men as the only important actor Functional literacy was poor among the farmers Raja sthan West Bengal Total Total Respondents 366 412 778 Female 30 65 95 Male 336 347 683 SC 63 135 198 ST 92 74 166 Muslim/ OBC 177 122 299 General 31 78 109 No Response 3 3 6 Education: Illiterate 112 109 221 Education: 10th or lower 178 260 438 Education: Above 10th 56 38 94 Occupational Profile The small- scale farmers constituted almost 45 per cent of the total households surveyed Multiple role in West Bengal indicates high incidence of outward migration and seasonal agricultural employment. Above 70% of the total respondents depended on agriculture for more than half of their incomesusceptibility to the changes in the international and domestic arena. Rajastha n West Bengal Total Agricultu ral Labour 30 64 94 Smallscale farmer 194 163 357 Medium scale farmer 53 32 85 Large scale farmer 56 33 89 Multiple Role 26 118 144 Is agricultural income sufficient for survival? Different responses according to scale of activity: Large and Medium farmers receive sufficient income. Sufficiency for small farmers’ depend on rain, local prices, affordability and availability of credit. Coping measures- migration, animal husbandry in Rajasthan (walking cash reserves!) Rajasth an West Bengal Total Yes 105 113 218 No 207 222 429 Family Members Work 43 53 96 Others 2 5 7 Knowledge on International Trade Awareness on international trade in agricultural trade and globalization is abysmally low, even in the export zones. Lack of awareness amongst government officials and people’s representatives on trade and globalization Domestic trade is misunderstood as international trade Inability to trace the value chain beyond the point of sale. Higher procurement price and stopping imports as desired government action against cheaper imports. Rajasthan West Bengal Total Have Knowledge 37 38 75 Don't know 240 316 556 Sell to exporters 6 2 8 Don't Know if it goes abroad 8 10 18 Know Someone else 3 6 9 Better price for exported items 16 4 20 Reasons for Cultivating Current Crops Propensity to try new crops low due to availability of water, concerns on subsistence. Increased vulnerabilities due to dependence on traditional varieties. Demonstration effect important in cultivation of better varieties of traditional crops. Timely incentives(especially input) induce shift to cash crops and vegetables Market demand, government incentives alone not enough Rajasth an West Ben gal Total Traditional 254 324 578 Government subsidies and incentives 0 2 2 Recent Market Demand 16 14 30 Contract Farming 1 2 3 Others 18 2 20 Most Important Point of Sale •Lack of marketing facilities for agricultural goods as the important cause of underdevelopment •Most small-scale farmers sell produce close to the farm due to high transportation costs, lack of awareness about regulated markets(Rajasthan) and storage facilities(West Bengal). •Result: low prices, wastage and exploitation. •Low awareness about government procurement. Rajasthan West Bengal Total Government procurement 1 0 1 Local Private Agents 136 67 203 Directly at Mandis 114 208 322 Multiple Points 46 28 74 Self Consumption 59 45 104 Knowledge about Govt. Support Programmes/ Subsidy for Agriculture •Low: despite the ‘yes’ as most of them could not single out specific support for agriculture or its size. •Government support for housing was held as agricultural support •Knowledge limited to ‘minikits’ and subsidy for drip irrigation . •Delivery of support inefficientuntimely, insufficient; and corruption Rajasthan West Bengal Total Know About Govt. programs 227 260 487 Don't Know 133 127 260 Access to Agricultural Credit •Difficult to access government funds •Unwillingness to pledge land •Local money lenders, traders better source as corruption and delay make the bank funds costly. •Sivana, Rajasthan medium and large farmers have easy access to credit: middlemen- bank officials nexus. Indebted beyond their means in anticipation of waiver. Rajasthan West Bengal Total Requested 169 118 287 Not Requested 182 229 411 Difficult to get funds 124 100 224 Not difficult to get funds. 58 79 137 Primary Contact on Government Support •GP members best informants and primary access points. •Capacity of the GP members as facilitators limited due to lack of information and dependence on govt. officials. •Outreach programmes of the agricultural departments ineffective •Difference of opinion between officials and political functionaries on the best access points. Rajasthan West Bengal Total Approach Dept Directly 124 78 202 Go through Political Leader 37 40 77 Panchayat Members 155 172 327 Others 36 59 95 Who could deliver support at the time of need? •Farming has become speculative- Increased Vulnerability •Uncertainties in the form of price shocks and crop loss •More than profit margins, resources and time needed to recover after a loss determine the impact of shock in the era of globalisation. •Important to assess stakeholder confidence in the available mechanisms Wide variation in responses •Rajasthan- Government, as neighbours will also be affected. •West Bengal- Sceptical about government support- community and self help. Rajasthan West Bengal Total Local Panchayat 61 33 94 Agri Dept./ State Govt. 121 20 141 Neighbours 39 136 175 None/self 27 109 136 Others 14 56 70 Preferred form of Support •West Bengal preference for monetary support •In Rajasthan, the stakeholders preferred food grains as the best form of support in Banswara; input subsidies in Barmer and work in Bundi. Rajasthan West Bengal Total Money 55 244 299 Food Grains 80 30 110 SubsidyInput 58 29 87 Work 66 39 105 Other 13 13 26 NREGS as a Support Measure Teething problems: Less than legal wages and work Higher awareness, unforeseen transparency Positives •Just five percent of the willing respondents did not receive any work. •General satisfaction with wages; not with work. •Rural wage rate has gone up; and out-migration has come down •Employment for women in the vicinity of their homes and equal wages. •Creation of rural infrastructure Points to Ponder •The scheme needs to be reinvented to sustain- should not be too successful •Should only supplement rural employment and not replace •Incorporate labour mobility. •Ward- off ensuing nexus and misuse with more transparency and audits. Perceptions on NREGS Experience with NREGS( 596 respondents) Rajasthan West Bengal Total Applied/ has Job Card 146 317 463 Did not seek work 22 22 44 Doesn't Know about NREGS 4 22 26 Less Than 100 Days Work Received 106 234 340 No Work Received 3 47 50 Less than Stipulated Wage 107 7 114 Satisfied With Work Received 67 32 99 Not Satisfied with Work Received 44 112 156 Satisfied With Wage Received 61 36 97 Not Satisfied With Wage Received 46 23 69 Gram Sabha in Mainstreaming Development •High participation and information on Gram sabha; barring few exceptions •Scepticism about its utility •Functions of gram sabha are not well understood by polity- Requests largely relate to personal needs. •Idea as a tool to aggregate articulate demands has not caught up in the villages. •Policy makers do not pay enough attention to the action plans of gram sabha. • Predetermined thrust areas affect Grama sabha’s effectiveness in responding to local needs • Burueacratic- responsibility to draw plans and financial authority, limited authority to people’s representatives. •Misuse of gram sabha in West Bengal due to competitive politics. •Process of elimination of requests problematic and snaps the signalling process. Perceptions on Gram Sabha Rajasthan West Bengal Total Attended Gramsabha 197 262 459 Not attended 142 61 203 Not Interested 22 20 42 Don't Know about Gramsabha 30 48 78 Proposed Activities 162 182 344 Recommendations of Gram Sabha are Implemented 85 119 204 Recommendations of Gram Sabha are not Implemented 131 116 247 Funds Available to GP •Considerable lack of knowledge and secrecy about funds available at the GP level •Available funds are insufficient. •Mostly, funds are underutilised due to untimely allocation and improper planning •More funds may not translate into more development Rajasthan West Bengal Total Sufficient 80 68 148 Not Sufficient 116 131 247 Don't Know 155 168 323 People as Policy Makers Are common people capable of participating in governance? •More than 60 per cent respondents had suggestions to offer. •Most suggestions were on personal needs Need to strengthen existing avenues of consultation and introducing fool-proof methods to ensure effective stakeholder participation in political decision making. Impediments to Mainstreaming Development •The Missing Opinion: Women in Decision Making. •War & peace between government officials & peoples’ representatives at the GP level. •Convenient Coalitions: Peoples representatives from Weaker Sections •Lack of reach and responsiveness of government support mechanisms. •Irrelevant eligibility criterion- misuse of BPL Cards •Inefficient use of government funds •Ignorance about issues related to globalisation and its impact • Asymmetric information and adverse selection by stakeholders on markets and prices. In retrospect… •Lack of stakeholder participation in political decision making •Gram panchayat cannot respond to contingencies •Complex signalling process to gather information on demands from the •ground with multiple actor involvement. •Multiple layers of decision making often result in inefficient implementation of support schemes. • Absence of an inclusive mechanism that could reflect the ground realities in the formulation of national development strategy. The need is to mainstream development in the national development strategy- democratisation of the process. Development, when inclusive, is the best strategy to mainstream trade. Way Forward? • Strengthening the capacity of central government and its officials in effective assimilation of poverty and livelihood concerns. • Wider stakeholder consultation at the state and district levels. • Strengthening State Governments’ capacities on trade issues. • Raising awareness and ensuring transparency on old and new development and support schemes at the GP level • Contingency funds for GPs to act swiftly in the time of need. • Enhancing the authority of people’s representatives at GP • Enhancing the capacities of local civil society and media on trade and globalisation. Thank You