U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study 2001 Glenn Grimes Professor Emeritus University of Missouri-Columbia U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 U.S. Marketings by Producer Size Hogs marketed annually 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 Under 1,000 1,000-1,999 2,000-2,999 3,000-4,999 5,000-9,999 10,000-49,999 50,000 & up 32% 19 11 10 9 12 7 23% 20 13 12 10 13 9 17% 17 12 12 12 13 17 5% 12 10 10 10 16 37 2% 7 5 7 10 18 51 University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Estimated Number of Operators and Share of U.S. Hog Slaughter by Size Category in 2000 Size class (annual mktgs.) < 1,000 1 - 2,000 2 - 3,000 3 - 5,000 5 - 10,000 10 - 50,000 50 - 500,000 500,000+ Total Number operators 54,513 10,034 4,118 3,312 2,627 2,501 136 20 77,260 Market share (percent) 2% 7 5 7 10 18 17 35 University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Number of Large Hog Firms Year Size (thousand head) 50 - 500 500+ 1994 1997 2000 57 127 136 9 18 20 University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Percent of Marketings by Large Hog Farms Year Size (thousand head) 50 - 500 500+ 1994 1997 2000 7 13 17 10 24 35 University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Age of Major Equity Holder Size Class (no. head) 1 - 2,000 2 - 3,000 3 - 5,000 5 - 10,000 10 - 50,000 1 - 50,000 Age 1997 2000 47.6 48.0 48.8 48.4 48.3 48.8 50.0 48.5 49.0 49.0 47.9 49.0 University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Age Distribution of Major Equity Holder Medium Size Operations 1-50,000 hd. marketed annually Percent 40 36 30 25 20 20 10 15 4 0 Under 30 31-40 41-50 51-60 60+ Age University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Percent of Litters Sired by Artificial Insemination 1997 % 2000 95 100 91 84 75 80 70 65 58 60 49 40 33 25 17 20 21 39 40 21 4 0 1-2 2-3 3-5 5 - 10 10-50 50-500 500+ All Size of Operation (thousand head mktd.) University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Percent of Farms Increasing or Decreasing Production since Beginning Marketing Contracts (1,000 - 50,000 hd. size) Farms increasing production Average increase on these farms 12% 73% Farms decreasing production Average decrease on these farms 4% 50% Farms reporting they were larger because they had a contract Average increase on these farms 17% 114% University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Planned and Actual Growth of Hog Producers by Size 1997-2000 Marketings (thousands) 1-2 2-3 3-5 5 - 10 10 - 50 50 & up Planned 10% 6 15 25 39 41 Actual - 22% - 27 - 20 13 37 48 University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes,Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Growth Plans More Modest in 2000 than 1997 Size (thousand head) 1-2 2-3 3-5 5 - 10 10 - 50 50 - 500 500+ 1997-00 10% 6 15 25 39 66 27 2000-03 1% 12 5 12 12 18 12 University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes,Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 How Satisfied Are You with Pork Production? Size Class (no. head) 50,000 500,000 4.67 500,000+ 4.95 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 = not satisfied at all. . . . . . . 6 = extremely satisfied University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Limits on Further Expansion by Size Size Class (no. head) Other loan limits Facility loan limits 2.48 2.44 1 - 2,000 2 - 3,000 2.81 2.54 3 - 5,000 2.81 2.55 3.1 2.92 5 - 10,000 3.15 3.2 10 - 50,000 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 = no effect . . . . . . . 6 = greatly limits University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Limits on Further Expansion by Size Size Class (no. head) Hiring good employees No one to take over 3.34 1 - 2,000 2.53 2 - 3,000 3.12 2.78 3 - 5,000 2.96 3.2 2.85 5 - 10,000 3.76 2.37 10 - 50,000 4.02 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 = no effect . . . . . . . 6 = greatly limits University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Limits on Further Expansion by Size Environmental regulations Size Class (no. head) 1 - 2,000 2.65 2 - 3,000 2.62 Local opposition 3.75 3.57 2.83 3 - 5,000 3.81 5 - 10,000 3.16 10 - 50,000 3.3 4.12 4.19 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 = no effect . . . . . . . 6 = greatly limits University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Limits to Further Expansion Size Class (no. head) Lack of market outlets Lack of profit 1 - 2,000 4.34 4.04 2 - 3,000 4.19 3.52 4.16 3 - 5,000 3.44 4.33 5 - 10,000 3.24 4.22 10 - 50,000 3.26 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 = no effect . . . . . . . 6 = greatly limits University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Percent of Farms with a Profit in 2000 Size Class (no. head) 65 1 - 2,000 77 2 - 3,000 3 - 5,000 79 5 - 10,000 78 10 - 50,000 77 50 - 500,000 90 500,000+ 95 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Percent University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Factors that Limit Expansion 1 - 50,000 sizes 2.83 Facility loans> 2.67 Other loans> 3.16 Hiring good employees> 2.86 Local opposition> Environmental regulations> 3.85 3 No one to take over> 3.54 Lack of market outlets> 4.25 Lack of profits> 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 = no effect . . . . . . 6 = greatly limits University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Percent of Hog Firms that Will Stay in Business until 2003 with $40-42 Hog Prices Size Class (no. head) 69 1 - 2,000 2 - 3,000 71 3 - 5,000 70 5 - 10,000 75 10 - 50,000 75 50 - 500,000 88 500,000+ 89 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Percent University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Type Payment Production Contracts Type No Incentive Incentive Total Pig space 19% 18% 37% Head 37 14 51 Pound 7 2 9 Other -- -- 3 University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Use of Production Contracts as Percent of All U.S. Hogs Size Class (no. head marketed) All Hogs Farrowed by Finished by contractors contractors 1997 2000 1997 2000 Hogs under Contract Farrowed 1997 2000 Finished 1997 2000 --- percent --- --- percent --- --- percent --- --- percent --- 10 5 14 9 1 2 8 3 8 8 9 13 4 7 7 10 500,000+ 22 26 22 33 11 13 16 21 Total 40 39 44 55 17 22 30 34 1 - 50,000 50 - 500,000 University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Pricing Hogs by Large Producers 50,000-500,000 hd. mkt'd. % Use 100 500,000+ 89.1 80 60 41.9 40 17 4.9 2.2 3 1.7 1 r r 0 ge ge o le d ,l ed W in d ow ,n ow W in d ,n ed Fe Fe ed o le d ,l ed ge ge r r tu re s Fu m ea rm ul a Fo Fo rm ul a liv e t 0 10.4 t 1.4 4 13.9 po 7.2 1.3 S 20 Cash Marketing Contracts University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Percent of U.S. Hogs Sold through Various Pricing Methods, 1997 & 2000 1997 % Use 60 2000 52 50 40 43 39 29 30 20 10 3 4 5 7 8 3 0 Formula Futures Fixed, feed Risk share window Cash or spot University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Percent of Market Hogs Sold on Carcass Merit Basis 1997 % 2000 100 88 80 80 65 60 100 97 67 80 70 71 3-5 5 - 10 77 77 87 76 73 61 52 40 20 0 1-2 2-3 10-50 50-500 500+ All Size of Operation (thousand head mktd.) University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Opinions about Marketing Contracts Size (hd. marketed/yr.) 1,000 - 50,000 with without contract contract Better coordinate slaughter Lower cash prices Producers with contracts receive higher prices Undue preference in who is offered a contract Should be made illegal Should be more closely monitored Prefer marketing all on cash Have been fairly treated Plan to continue mktg. on contract 50,000500,000 with 500,000+ with 3.66 4.19 2.94 4.23 4.60 3.78 4.85 2.80 3.88 3.46 3.89 4.06 3.52 2.70 3.97 2.97 4.36 4.19 3.49 3.07 4.01 4.13 3.51 1.69 3.09 2.78 4.63 4.83 2.22 1.37 1.63 2.37 4.38 4.85 1 = strongly disagree; 6 = strongly agree University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Marketing Contract Preference Minimum Price Tied to Feed Costs Size Class (no. head) Give up higher prices Pay back difference at higher prices 3.82 3.9 1 - 2,000 2 - 3,000 3 - 5,000 5 - 10,000 10 - 50,000 1 - 50,000 3.47 3.95 3.67 4.04 3.39 4.14 3.49 3.83 3.55 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 = not important at all . . . . . . . 6 = very important University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Marketing Contract Preference Size Class (no. head) Higher than spot, no risk protection Ability to receive higher price 5.19 1 - 2,000 4.18 4.84 2 - 3,000 4 3 - 5,000 3.86 5 - 10,000 10 - 50,000 1 - 50,000 4.89 4.92 3.28 4.87 3.69 4.93 3.75 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 = not important at all . . . . . . . 6 = very important University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Marketing Contracts Contracts have caused lower prices Packers showed undue preference in offering contracts Size Class (no. head) 4.23 1 - 2,000 4.85 3.93 2 - 3,000 4.81 3.88 3 - 5,000 3.71 5 - 10,000 4.47 10 - 50,000 3.63 3.89 1 - 50,000 3.91 4.58 3.51 3.78 50 - 500,000 500,000+ 4.46 2.22 2.8 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 = strongly disagree . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 = strongly agree University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Marketing Contracts Prefer To Market All Hogs on Cash Market Size Class (no. head) 1 - 2,000 4.78 2 - 3,000 4.21 3 - 5,000 3.81 5 - 10,000 3.59 10 - 50,000 3.27 1 - 50,000 4.03 50 - 500,000 2.78 500,000+ 2.37 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 = strongly disagree . . . . . . . . . 6 = strongly agree University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Marketing Contracts Size Class (no. head) 1 - 2,000 2 - 3,000 3 - 5,000 Increased price 3.75 2.25 3.71 2.85 3.89 2.76 4.13 5 - 10,000 3.46 3.85 10 - 50,000 1 - 50,000 Access to capital 3.35 3.9 3 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 = not important at all . . . . . . . 6 = very important University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Marketing Contracts Size Class (no. head) 1 - 2,000 2 - 3,000 3 - 5,000 Allowed to be in hog business Allowed expansion 2.91 2.14 2.9 2.18 2.95 2.11 3.47 5 - 10,000 10 - 50,000 1 - 50,000 2.96 3.55 2.73 3.18 2.47 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 = not important at all . . . . . . . 6 = very important University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Marketing Contracts Help coordinate slaughter to meet industry needs Producers with contracts received higher prices Size Class (no. head) 1 - 2,000 2 - 3,000 3 - 5,000 5 - 10,000 10 - 50,000 1 - 50,000 50 - 500,000 500,000+ 3.27 4.12 3.99 3.45 3.78 3.49 4.03 3.68 3.78 3.8 3.97 3.5 3.78 4.06 4.6 4.85 1 2 3 4 5 1 = strongly disagree . . . . . . . . . 6 = strongly agree 6 University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Marketing Contracts Should be illegal Should be more closely monitored by USDA Size Class (no. head) 4.78 4.23 4.51 3.93 1 - 2,000 2 - 3,000 4.18 3.88 4.19 3.71 3 - 5,000 5 - 10,000 3.84 3.63 10 - 50,000 4.37 1 - 50,000 50 - 500,000 500,000+ 3.91 3.09 1.69 1.63 1.37 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 = strongly disagree . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 = strongly agree University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Marketing Contracts Have been treated fairly under my contract Plan to continue with contract when current one matures Size Class (no. head) 1 - 2,000 4.08 4.21 2 - 3,000 4.11 3 - 5,000 3.97 4.28 5 - 10,000 10 - 50,000 1 - 50,000 50 - 500,000 500,000+ 4.61 4.35 4.42 4.42 4.18 4.19 4.36 4.83 4.63 4.85 4.38 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 = strongly disagree . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6 = strongly agree University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Marketing Contracts Size Class (no. head) 1 - 2,000 2 - 3,000 3 - 5,000 5 - 10,000 10 - 50,000 1 - 50,000 Producer not treated fairly by packer Locked out higher price 1.84 2.19 1.77 2.3 2.18 2.53 2.2 2.57 2.06 2.51 2.04 2.45 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 = not important at all . . . . . . . 6 = very important University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Marketing Contracts Reduced Price Risk Size Class (no. head) 1 - 2,000 3.14 2 - 3,000 3.67 3 - 5,000 3.61 5 - 10,000 10 - 50,000 1 - 50,000 4.29 3.5 3.73 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 = not important at all . . . . . . . 6 = very important University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Medium-sized Producers Percent Involved in Networking 1997 8 Input purchasing Feed milling 7 5 4 14 15 Hog marketing 9 Information sharing Genetic access 2000 7 6 4 7 Farrow-finish 6 10 Feeder or weaned pigs 7 0% 10% 20% 30% University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Medium-sized Producers Percent of Production Involved in Networking 1997 2000 12 Input purchasing 7 7 Feed milling 5 17 17 Hog marketing 13 Information sharing 10 11 Genetic access 6 8 Farrow-finish 6 13 Feeder or weaned pigs 10 0% 10% 20% 30% University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Medium-sized Producers Maximum Percent of Their Production Involved in Networking % 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1997 2000 81 61 59 50 Farms Production University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Vertical Integration in the U.S. Hog Industry % 30 23 25 20 15 10 9.4 6.4 5 0 1994 1997 2000 University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 Percent of Hogs Sold on Spot Market % 80 70 62 60 50 40 30 43 29 20 10 0 1994 1997 2000 University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing. U.S. Pork Industry Structure Study, 2001 University of Missouri, Iowa State University, National Pork Board, Pork magazine, PIC, Land O’Lakes, Dekalb Choice Genetics, and Research Institute for Livestock Pricing.