Public policy and European society University of Castellanza Session 3(a) Inequality in Europe and the USA March 2 2012 Outline Inequality » Measuring » Causes How and why is the USA so different? Recent changes in Europe Income distributions Proportion of Population in Income Bands USA UK >200 150 to 200 Sw eden >120 to <150 >80 to <120 Italy >50 to <80 <50% Germany France 0% 20% 40% 60% Population (adult equivalent) 80% 100% Income distributions are more or less equal and have different shapes Defining income Different sources of income » Primary employment » Property income » State transfers » Imputed income (e.g. state education) Before or after tax Unit: Individual or household Sources: surveys, tax returns Income distributions Continuous distribution » Groups are statistical not social Measuring Income inequality » Gini coefficients – 0=complete equality, 1 = complete inequality » Percentages of units (people/ households) – What is the income of (e.g.) the poorest 10%? – Decile (or quintile) ratios (ratio of richest to poorest) » Percentages of income – What percentage of units have (e.g.) less than 50% of the average (mean or median) income? Income inequality within EU: Gini coefficients U Es K to nia La t Po via rtu ga l Sl ov en Sw ia e De den nm a Fi rk n Cz lan ec d h Re Au p s Be tria Lu lg xe ium m Ne bo t h urg er lan ds Cy p Hu rus ng ar Fr y a G nce er m Lit any hu an ia M alt a Sp ai Po n lan Ire d lan G d re ec e I Sl t aly ov ak ia 40.0 35.0 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 The Gini coefficient is the simplest measure of inequality of any distribution: 0 means total equality (everybody is equal) and 1 total inequality (1 person has everything). Are rich countries more equal? Growing inequality in USA Source: Ryscavage, p59. The table is based on percentages of units: It shows the share of all income (‘Percentage of Income’ received by each 20% (‘Quintile’) of the population Gender equality and social inequality…. Source: Ryscavage. P.98. Chart shows during the 1960s and 1970s growing equality amongst women (the period when women began to enter the workforce), but then from the late 1970s inequality amongst women increases. By contrast inequality amongst men has been rising since the And what does this say early 1970s. about inequality between households? Growing inequality in USA… For the last 40 years: the very rich have got richer; the poor have stayed the same Why is USA more unequal than Europe? Overall government spending » State programmes » » » » » Income support Health care Sickness and injury Disability Pensions Impact of » » » » Higher in Europe (EU15) than USA, especially on social programmes transferring to households; US military spending far higher Taxation Labour market regulation Goods market regulation But charity? Overall – USA more equal than Europe especially because (a) ‘The American poor are reall]y poor’ (b) Big government tend to reduce inequality (but Italy) [c] American rich are really rich Source: Alesina and Glaser, chapter 2 Growing inequality: some possible causes Globalisation – Falling demand for unskilled labour – Competition for unskilled jobs through outsourcing and/or mass immigration Sectoral and structural change – – – – Earnings inequality within sectors – – – – Fewer well-paid male manual jobs (see ‘Full Monty’ film) Service sector more polarised than manufacturing industry Mass unemployment New impact of women’s labour force participation Privatisation & marketisation Lower demand for unskilled Winner takes all job market’ Managers able to demand higher ‘remuneration’ especially in financial services Political » » » Tax cuts and changes benefit rich Reduced income support and welfare Decline of trade unions The big difference between the USA and Europe seems to be political UK: more equal Germany: more unequal European convergence Equal societies (e.g. Sweden, Germany) have been getting more unequal; but some unequal societies (e.g UK) have got more equal