Math 311-01 The First Exam Name: _____________ ___________ All pertinent work must be shown clearly and completely. Complete English sentences should be used for all “short-answer” type questions. Regardless of the final answer, credit will not be given for unclear or incorrect work. ___________________________________________________________________________________________ Go to http://www.cwu.edu/~englundt/Data.htm and download the exam1 data set (exam1.mpj) 1. Mrs. Clark belongs to an age/body-type group for which the mean weight is 112 pounds with a standard deviation of 11 pounds. Mr. Clark belongs to an age/body-type group for which the mean weight is 163 pounds with a standard deviation of 18 pounds. Mrs. Clark weighs 132 pounds and Mr. Clark weighs 193 pounds. a. (7 points) What weight do 70% of the people in Mrs. Clark’s age/body-type group weigh more than? b. (7 points) What percentage of the people in Mr. Clark’s age/body-type group weigh less than him? c. (7 points) Which of the two Clarks is relatively more overweight compared to his/her age/body-type group? That is, which is relatively further from the mean of his/her group? Justify your answer. 2. 81 94 91 76 91 53 82 74 Based upon 1997 figures, the following are 110 “waiting times” (in minutes) between eruptions of the Old Faithful Geyser in Yellowstone National Park. These times are also recorded in the Minitab worksheet. 83 89 80 69 83 83 89 98 a. 3. 94 35 83 78 67 62 76 94 73 80 91 42 85 107 55 82 78 74 89 76 60 60 98 82 94 91 82 82 65 85 74 73 89 118 82 69 69 89 89 83 105 60 82 92 98 112 80 64 73 65 40 69 80 82 56 69 82 71 87 85 83 85 94 80 60 80 98 51 78 73 83 69 71 91 67 73 33 82 78 73 73 73 74 87 65 74 74 108 87 83 73 67 64 80 (10 points) Describe the data. Include the 5-number summary, the mean, the standard deviation, the distribution, the spread, etc. Include any and all numerical or graphical summaries you feel are appropriate. DO NOT simply list a series of numbers. Explain your findings. The booming economy of the 1990’s created many new billionaires. The 1999 Forbes 400 ranks the 400 wealthiest people in the United States. The top 15 billionaires on this list are described in the following table. The data in this table can also be found in the Minitab worksheet. Name: Age: Net Worth ($ millions) Gates, William Allen, Paul Buffett, Warren Ballmer, Steven Dell, Michael Walton, Jim Walton, Helen Walton, Alice 43 40 69 43 34 51 80 50 85000 40000 31000 23000 20000 17300 17000 16900 Name: Walton, John Walton, Robson Moore, Gordon Ellison, Lawrence Anschutz, Philip Kluge, John Anthony, Barbara Age: 53 55 70 55 59 85 76 Net Worth ($ millions) 16800 16600 15000 13000 11000 11000 9700 a. (5 points) Construct a scatterplot of these data. Include this graph with your exam. What does the plot suggest about the relationship between the age and the net worth of billionaires? b. (5 points) Find the coefficient of correlation and explain what it tells you about the relationship between age and net worth. 4. (12 points) Because of the recent electricity crisis in California, the government and the utility companies have subjected the citizens of California to a media campaign/onslaught in hopes of reducing their electricity usage. To measure the effectiveness of their media blitz, they compiled the energy used (in kilowatt hours) in 20 homes both one month before and one month after the campaign began. What do the data show about the effect of the campaign? Be specific, using (only) the language and analysis tools we have learned. Use every graphical and numerical summary that is appropriate and that we discussed in class to justify your claim. The data recorded below are also in the Minitab worksheet. Before the campaign After the campaign 380 283 361 487 321 349 447 407 366 402 383 427 356 480 375 420 356 350 434 477 410 384 403 392 329 316 393 430 399 325 426 339 345 360 406 410 465 431 318 326 5. Delbert Yankandpull has noticed that there appears to be a relation between Y, the number of otter haunch sandwiches that his sweetheart, Bewfeena Twinklepuckey, eats for dinner, and X, the number of country western songs that she sings to him that evening. He has observed the following data over the course of several truly memorable evenings (which are, of course, also recorded in the Minitab worksheet): X Y 6 2 7 3 9 4 4 2 3 1 1 0 5 2 a. (3 points) If Delbert is interested in predicting the number of country western songs she’ll serenade him with, which variable is the explanatory variable and which is the response variable? b. (5 points) Describe the strength of the association of these variables using the appropriate quantifications. c. (3 points) Find the equation of the regression line for this data. d. (4 points) What does the value of r2 tell the informed viewer? e. (4 points) If Bewfeena ate 12 otter haunch sandwiches for dinner, what value would you predict for the number of songs she’ll sing that night? f. (3 points) The prediction you just made is hazardous because: