Econ 522 Economics of Law Dan Quint Spring 2010 Lecture 16 The law as a set of incentives 1 The law as incentives – HW2 Q3 (from old midterm) A physician comes upon an auto accident, stops, and treats an unconscious and badly bleeding victim. A week later the victim receives a bill for services rendered. Must he pay it? Under current U.S. law the answer is yes. Consider the following alternatives: i. The victim need not pay anything ii. The victim must pay only the value of whatever materials were used up in treating him (bandages, etc.) iii. The victim must pay the going market rate for comparable medical services iv. The victim must pay whatever the doctor demands Which of these do you expect to lead to the most efficient outcomes? Why? 2 If we think about payoffs after the fact (after accident, after treatment)… Suppose value of treatment is $100,000, cost of materials $50, value of doctor’s time $450, market rate $1,000 Pay Nothing Cost of Materials Market Rate Whatever Doc Asks Patient’s Payoff $100,000 $99,950 $99,000 -$900,000 Doctor’s Payoff -500 -450 500 999,500 99,500 99,500 99,500 99,500 Combined Payoffs After the fact, all remedies are equally efficient So this can’t be the right way to think about the problem! 3 So what is the right way to think about the problem? Need to think about incentive each rule creates, therefore the behavior it will lead to Patient pays nothing Patient pays for materials Patient pays market rate Patient pays whatever doctor asks 4 Something to remember distribution but not efficiency efficiency 5 Back to tort law 6 Monday… Elements of a tort Harm; causation; breach of duty (negligence) Strict liability: no need to prove negligence, just harm and causation Negligence: need to prove all three elements Precaution: any actions taken to reduce likelihood of an accident Today: economic model of torts 7 Precaution The more carefully I drive, the less likely I am to hit you But, driving more carefully is also more costly to me Must be some efficient level of care 8 Precaution The more carefully I drive, the less likely I am to hit you But, driving more carefully is also more costly to me Must be some efficient level of care What determines how carefully I drive is what I think will happen if I hit you Tort law creates incentives We ended Monday with two questions: What is the efficient level of precaution? How do we design the law to achieve it? Like with nuisance and contract law… easiest way is to design the law so that I internalize the externality I cause when I hit you 9 Model of unilateral harm x w p(x) A level of precaution marginal cost of precaution probability of an accident cost of an accident Unilateral harm – just one victim Precaution – costly actions that make accident less likely Could be taken by either victim or injurer We’ll focus on one at a time Notation x – the amount of precaution that is taken w – the cost of each “unit” of precaution p(x) – probability of an accident, given precaution x so total cost of precaution is wx p is decreasing in x A – cost of accident (to victim) so expected cost of accidents is p(x) A 10 Model of unilateral harm x w p(x) A level of precaution marginal cost of precaution probability of an accident cost of an accident $ wx + p(x) A (Total Social Cost) wx (Cost of Precaution) p(x) A (Cost of Accidents) x* (Efficient Level of Precaution) Precaution (x) 11 x w p(x) A Model of unilateral harm efficient precaution: minx { wx + p(x) A } w + p’(x) A marginal social cost of precaution w level of precaution marginal cost of precaution probability of an accident cost of an accident = = 0 – p’(x) A marginal social benefit of precaution Under reasonable assumptions (p(x) convex)… x < x* w < – p’(x) A MSC < MSB more precaution efficient x > x* w > – p’(x) A MSC > MSB less precaution efficient x = x* MSC = MSB 12 Model of unilateral harm x w p(x) A level of precaution marginal cost of precaution probability of an accident cost of an accident $ wx + p(x) A wx p(x) A x < x* x* x > x* x 13 Model of unilateral harm We haven’t yet said who is taking precaution Some situations, only injurer can reduce accidents Some situations, victim can too Bilateral precaution is a little bit tricky, but if we look at the two parties one at a time, everything works fine Next: consider effect of different liability rules on precaution 14 Effect of Liability Rules on Precaution 15 Effect of liability rules on precaution Three rules we’ll consider: No liability Strict liability Negligence 16 Rule 1: No Liability In a world with no liability… Victim bears the cost of any accidents, plus the cost of any precaution he takes Injurer bears cost of any precaution he takes, does not have to pay for accidents 17 Rule 1: No Liability Injurer precaution $ Private cost to injurer wx + p(x) A wx p(x) A x* x Injurer’s private cost is just wx Injurer minimizes private cost by setting x = 0 18 Rule 1: No Liability Victim precaution $ Private cost to victim wx + p(x) A wx p(x) A x* x Victim’s private cost is wx + p(x) A To minimize this, victim takes efficient level of precaution 19 Rule 1: No Liability So in a world with no liability… Injurer takes inefficiently low level of precaution (zero, or minimal amount) Victim takes efficient amount of precaution 20 Rule 2: Strict Liability Perfect compensation: damages D = A Under strict liability… Injurer pays damages for any accidents he causes So injurer bears cost of accidents, plus his own precaution Victim pays only for his precaution 21 Rule 2: Strict Liability Injurer precaution $ Private cost to injurer wx + p(x) A wx p(x) A x* x Injurer’s private cost is wx + p(x) A Injurer minimizes this by taking efficient level of precaution 22 Rule 2: Strict Liability Victim precaution $ Private cost to victim wx + p(x) A wx p(x) A x* x Victim’s private cost is wx No incentive to take any precaution, victim sets x = 0 23 Effect of liability rules on precaution No Liability Strict Liability Victim precaution Injurer precaution Efficient Zero Zero Efficient 24 So for accidents with unilateral precaution… When it’s the injurer who can take precautions, a rule of strict liability is more efficient When it’s the victim who can take precautions, a rule of no liability is more efficient Each rule works well for one incentive, poorly for other Similar to paradox of compensation we saw in contract law Negligence rule may allow us to get both incentives right 25 Rule 3: Simple Negligence “Simple Negligence” rule Legal standard of care xn Injurer is liable for damages if precaution level was below the legal standard of care x < xn D = A x xn D = 0 So on our graph from before, private cost to injurer is… wx + p(x) A wx for x < xn for x xn 26 Rule 3: Simple Negligence Injurer precaution $ Private cost to injurer wx + p(x) A wx p(x) A xn = x* x Private cost is wx + p(x) A if x < xn, only wx otherwise If standard of care is set efficiently (xn = x*), injurer minimizes private cost by taking efficient precaution 27 Rule 3: Simple Negligence Victim precaution What about victim? We just said, injurer will take efficient precaution Which means injurer will not be liable So victim bears costs of any accidents (Victim bears residual risk) So victim’s private cost is wx + p(x) A Victim minimizes private cost by taking efficient level of precaution too! $ Private cost to victim (assuming injurer takes efficient level of precaution and is therefore not liable for damages) wx + p(x) A wx p(x) A x* 28 Effect of liability rules on precaution No Liability Strict Liability Simple Negligence, with xn = x* Victim precaution Injurer precaution Efficient Zero Zero Efficient Efficient Efficient 29 For bilateral precaution, there are several ways to implement a negligence rule Rule we just saw: injurer is liable if he was negligent, not liable if he was not “Simple Negligence” But we can consider both whether injurer was negligent… …and whether victim was negligent… …when determining whether injurer owes damages (and how much) 30 Different negligence rules Does injurer owe victim damages when… Neither party negligent? Only victim negligent? Only injurer negligent? Both parties negligent? Simple Negligence No No Yes Yes Negligence with Defense of Contributory Negligence No No Yes No 31 Different negligence rules Does injurer owe victim damages when… Neither party negligent? Only victim negligent? Only injurer negligent? Both parties negligent? Simple Negligence No No Yes Yes Negligence with Defense of Contributory Negligence No No Yes No Comparative Negligence No No Yes Partial Strict Liability with Defense of Contributory Negligence Yes No Yes No 32 Here’s the cool part… When standards of care for both injurer and victim are set to the efficient level… …any of these negligence rules lead to efficient level of precaution by both parties! Already saw this works for simple negligence Could show the others the same way Instead, we’ll do a discrete example 33 Discrete example of bilateral precaution A w p $1,000 $20 for either party 10% / 6% / 2% No “levels” of precaution – each party can either take precaution or not Each accident causes $1,000 of harm Precaution costs $20 for each party Chance of an accident is 10% if nobody takes precaution 6% if one party takes precaution 2% if both parties take precaution Note that precaution is efficient for both parties Costs $20; reduces expected accidents by 4% X $1,000 = $40 34 Negligence with a Defense of Contributory Negligence If injurer is not taking precaution, victim wants to avoid liability If injurer is taking precaution, victim bears residual risk, wants to minimize accidents Injurer Injurer is liable if he was negligent… Unless victim was negligent too Precaution is a dominant strategy for victim A w p $1,000 $20 for either party 10% / 6% / 2% Victim Precaution None Precaution -20, -40 -20, -60 None -60, -20 0, -100 For injurer, precaution is the best-response to precaution “Both take precaution” is the only Nash equilibrium 35 A w p Comparative Negligence $1,000 $20 for either party 10% / 6% / 2% If both parties were negligent… Victim Precaution is again a dominant strategy for victim Injurer …divide cost proportionally Precaution None Precaution -20, -40 -20, -60 None -60, -20 -50, -50 Now it’s a dominant strategy for injurer too Again, “both take precaution” is the only equilibrium 36 Strict Liability with a Defense of Contributory Negligence Now, injurer is liable, regardless of whether he was negligent… $1,000 $20 for either party 10% / 6% / 2% Victim Injurer …unless victim was negligent A w p Precaution None Precaution -40, -20 -20, -60 None -60, -20 0, -100 Once again, “both take precaution” is the only equilibrium 37 Victim precaution Injurer precaution Efficient Zero Zero Efficient Simple negligence Efficient Efficient Negligence with Defense of Contributory Negligence Efficient Efficient Comparative negligence Efficient Efficient Strict Liability with Defense of Contributory Negligence Efficient Efficient No Liability Strict Liability assuming standards of care are set equal to efficient levels So even with bilateral precaution… 38 (I mentioned, with bilateral precaution, things occasionally get more complicated…) Redundant precaution – either party could take precaution, efficiency only requires one of them If precaution is continuous, any negligence rule still leads to efficient precaution level by both When precaution is discontinuous, not always Driver can fasten seatbelt, or car company can design seatbelt that buckles itself (more costly) Simple negligence: car company might be liable if designed manual seatbelt and driver didn’t use it, so car company might design automatic belt Negligence with defense of contributory negligence: car company escapes liability, so designs manual belt, rational driver uses it But as long as precaution is continuous, no problem 39 So far, our results seem to favor negligence rules… but… No Liability Strict Liability Any negligence rule with efficient legal standards of care Victim precaution Injurer precaution Efficient Zero Zero Efficient Efficient Efficient Next week: activity levels Steven Shavell, “Strict Liability Versus Negligence” 40