Econ 522 Economics of Law Dan Quint Fall 2012 Lecture 16 Reminder HW3 due tomorrow night MT2 November 19 1 Today A few last odds and ends from contract law The basic economic model we’ll be using for tort law 2 Contract Law 3 Repeated games 4 Repeated games Player 1 (you) Don’t Trust me Player 2 (me) (100, 0) Share profits (150, 50) Keep all the money (0, 200) Suppose we’ll play the game over and over After each game, 10% chance relationship ends, 90% chance we play at least once more… 5 Repeated games Suppose you’ve chosen to trust me Keep all the money: I get $200 today, nothing ever again Share profits: I get $50 today, $50 tomorrow, $50 day after… Value of relationship = 50 500 50 50 .9 50 .9 50 .9 ... 1 .9 2 3 Since this is more than $200, we can get cooperation 6 Repeated games Suppose you’ve chosen to trust me Keep all the money: I get $200 today, nothing ever again Share profits: I get $50 today, $50 tomorrow, $50 day after… Value of relationship = 50 500 50 50 .9 50 .9 50 .9 ... 1 .9 2 3 Since this is more than $200, we can get cooperation 7 Repeated games and reputation Diamond dealers in New York (Friedman) “…people routinely exchange large sums of money for envelopes containing lots of little stones without first inspecting, weighing, and testing each one” “Parties to a contract agree in advance to arbitration; if… one of them refuses to accept the arbitrator’s verdict, he is no longer a diamond merchant – because everyone in the industry now knows he cannot be trusted.” 8 Repeated games and reputation The first purpose of contract law is to enable cooperation, by converting games with noncooperative solutions into games with cooperative solutions The sixth purpose of contract law is to foster enduring relationships, which solve the problem of cooperation with less reliance on courts to enforce contracts Law assigns legal duties to certain long-term relationships Bank has fiduciary duty to depositors McDonalds franchisee has certain duties to franchisor 9 Repeated games and the endgame problem Suppose we’ll play agency game 60 times $50 x 60 = $3,000 > $200, so cooperation seems like no problem But… In game #60, reputation has no value to me Last time we’re going to interact So I have no reason not to keep all the money So you have no reason to trust me But if we weren’t going to cooperate in game #60, then in game #59… 10 Repeated games and the endgame problem Endgame problem: once there’s a definite end to our relationship, no reason to trust each other Example: collapse of communism in late 1980s Communism believed to be much less efficient than capitalism But fall of communism led to decrease in growth Under communism, lots of production relied on gray market Transactions weren’t protected by law, so they relied on long-term relationships Fall of communism upset these relationships 11 One other bit I like from Friedman 12 Friedman on premarital sex 13 Friedman on premarital sex 14 That’s it for contract law Purposes for contract law: Encourage cooperation Encourage efficient disclosure of information Secure optimal commitment to performance Secure efficient reliance Provide efficient default rules and regulations Foster enduring relationships End of material on second midterm 15 Tort Law 16 Monday Two liability rules we’ll be looking at Strict Liability If I cause an accident, I owe victim damages (Harm + Causation Liable) Negligence If I cause an accident, I only owe victim damages if I was negligent (Harm + Causation + Breach of Duty/Negligence Liable) 17 “Classic” legal theory of torts Harm Causation Breach of Duty 18 Element 3: Breach of Duty (Sometimes required, sometimes not) Strict Liability • Harm • Causation Negligence • Harm • Causation • Breach of duty (fault) When someone breaches a duty he owes to the defendant, and this leads to the harm, the injurer is at fault, or negligent Injurers owe victims the duty of due care Negligence rule: I’m only liable if I failed to take the required standard of care – not if I was careful and the accident happened anyway 19 Hence the language in the trolly example “A tree fell on a moving trolly, injuring passengers. One of them sued. He succeeded in demonstrating that in order for the trolly to be where it was when the tree fell on it the driver had to have driven faster than the speed limit at some point during the trip. Breaking the law is per se negligence, so the driver was legally negligent whether or not his driving was actually unsafe. If he had not driven over the speed limit, the trolly would not have been under the tree when it fell, so, the plaintiff argued, the driver’s negligence caused the injury.” 20 So under a negligence rule… If I breach my duty of due care and injure you, I am liable If I exercise the appropriate level of care but still injure you, I’m not liable How is the standard of care determined? That is, how careful do I have to be to avoid liability, and who decides? Is it negligent to drive 40 MPH on a particular road at a particular time of day? What about 41 MPH? 42? 21 How is the standard of care determined? Some settings: government imposes safety regulations that are also used as standard for negligence Speed limits for highway driving Requirement that bicycles have brakes Workplace regulations Some standards are left vague “Reckless driving” may depend on road, time of day, weather… Common law focuses on duty of reasonable care Level of care a reasonable person would have taken (Civil law relies less on “reasonableness” tests, tries to spell out what level of care is required) 22 Strict liability versus negligence Strict liability rule: plaintiff must prove harm and causation Negligence rule: must prove harm, causation, and negligence A little history Early Europe: strict liability was usual rule By early 1900s, negligence became usual rule Second half of 1900s, strict liability became more common again, especially for manufacturer liability in American consumer products U.S. manufacturers now held liable for harms caused by defective products, whether or not they were at fault 23 Next question Like with contract law, our main concern is with the incentives created by liability rules So… what incentives are we interested in? 24 Precaution 25 Precaution The more carefully I drive, the less likely I am to hit you But, driving more carefully is also more costly to me Must be some efficient level of care Similarly… Construction company can reduce accidents with better safety equipment, better training, working shorter days, all of which cost money Manufacturer can reduce accidents by designing/inspecting products more carefully – again, more expensive 26 Actions by both injurer and victim impact number of accidents • speed like hell • drive slowly • drive drunk while texting • drive carefully • cheap, hasty manufacturing • careful quality control • save money • install smoke detectors, other safety equipment • wear helmet and use light • bicycle at night wearing black LESS EFFORT TO PREVENT ACCIDENTS “LESS PRECAUTION” GREATER EFFORT TO PREVENT ACCIDENTS “MORE PRECAUTION” 27 We will call all these things precaution Precaution: anything either injurer or victim could do to reduce likelihood of an accident (or damage done) The next two questions should be obvious… How much precaution do we want? What is efficient level of precaution? How do we design the law to get it? 28 To answer these questions, we’ll introduce a very simple model of accidents Car hits a bicycle In real life: driver probably has insurance In real life: some damage to bicycle, some damage to driver’s car In real life: driver and bicyclist may not even know what the law is We’ll simplify things a lot, by assuming… Only one party is harmed Parties know the law, don’t have insurance (for now) We’ll focus on one party’s precaution at a time 29 Simple economic model for thinking about tort law 30 Model of unilateral harm x w p(x) A level of precaution marginal cost of precaution probability of an accident cost of an accident Unilateral harm – just one victim Precaution – costly actions that make accident less likely Could be taken by either victim or injurer We’ll consider both, but one at a time Notation x – the amount of precaution that is taken w – the cost of each “unit” of precaution p(x) – probability of an accident, given precaution x so total cost of precaution is wx p is decreasing in x A – cost of accident (to victim) so expected cost of accidents is p(x) A 31 Model of unilateral harm x w p(x) A level of precaution marginal cost of precaution probability of an accident cost of an accident efficient precaution: minx { wx + p(x) A } $ w + p’(x) A marginal social cost of precaution w marginal social benefit of precaution = 0 = – p’(x) A wx + p(x) A (Total Social Cost) wx (Cost of Precaution) p(x) A (Cost of Accidents) x* (Efficient Level of Precaution) x < x* x > x* Precaution (x) 32 Effect of liability rules on precaution We know what’s efficient Level of precaution that minimizes total social cost = wx + p(x) A We’ll consider what happens if there is… no liability rule in place a strict liability rule a negligence rule 33 Benchmark: what happens without any liability rule? 34 Benchmark: No Liability In a world with no liability… Injurer does not have to pay for accidents So, bears cost of any precautions he takes, but does not receive any benefit Injurer has no incentive to take precaution Victim bears cost of any accidents, plus cost of precaution he takes (Victim precaution imposes no externality on injurer) Victim precaution will be efficient 35 Benchmark: No Liability $ Injurer’s private cost is just wx Private cost to injurer Private cost to victim Minimized at x = 0 Victim’s private cost is p(x) A + wx wx + p(x) A wx Minimized at efficient precaution level x = x* p(x) A x* x So rule of no liability leads to efficient precaution by victims, no precaution by injurers 36 Benchmark: No Liability No Liability Injurer Precaution Victim Precaution Zero Efficient 37 Precaution isn’t the only thing that determines number of accidents Precaution – actions which make an activity less dangerous Driving carefully Wearing bright-colored clothing while bicycling The amount we do each activity also affects the number of accidents I decide how much to drive You decide how much to bicycle Liability rules create incentives for activity levels as well as precaution 38 With no liability rule… With no liability, I’m not responsible if I hit you I don’t consider cost of accidents when deciding how fast to drive… …and I also don’t consider cost of accidents when deciding deciding how much to drive So I drive too recklessly, and I drive too much (or: if there is no liability, social cost of driving includes cost of accidents, but private cost to me does not; driving imposes negative externality, so I do it too much) So with no liability, injurer’s activity level is inefficiently high 39 What about victims? With no liability, victim bears full cost of accidents Greater activity by victim (more bike-riding) leads to more accidents Victim weighs cost of accidents when deciding how carefully to ride, and when deciding how much to ride (Private cost = social cost) Victim takes efficient level of precaution, and efficient level of activity A rule of no liability leads to an inefficiently high level of injurer activity, but the efficient level of victim activity 40 Benchmark: No Liability No Liability Injurer Precaution Victim Precaution Injurer Activity Victim Activity Zero Efficient Too High Efficient 41 Next: what happens under a strict liability rule? 42 Strict Liability Perfect compensation: damages D = A Under strict liability… Injurer pays damages for any accidents he causes So injurer bears cost of accidents, plus his own precaution Injurer internalizes externality his actions cause chooses efficiently Victim is fully insured, no incentive for precaution 43 Strict Liability $ (Damages = A) Injurer’s private cost is p(x) A + wx Private cost to injurer Private cost to victim Minimized at efficient precaution level x = x* wx + p(x) A Victim’s private cost is just wx wx p(x) A Minimized at x = 0 x* x So rule of strict liability leads to efficient precaution by injurers, no precaution by victims 44 Strict Liability No Liability Strict Liability Injurer Precaution Victim Precaution Injurer Activity Victim Activity Zero Efficient Too High Efficient Efficient Zero 45 What about activity level? Under strict liability, injurer internalizes cost of accidents Weighs benefit from driving against cost of accidents Takes efficient activity level Under strict liability, victim does not bear cost of accidents Ignores cost of accidents when deciding how much to bike Sets inefficiently high activity level A rule of strict liability leads to the efficiently level of injurer activity, but an inefficiently high level of victim activity 46 Strict Liability No Liability Strict Liability Injurer Precaution Victim Precaution Injurer Activity Victim Activity Zero Efficient Too High Efficient Efficient Zero Efficient Too High 47 So… For both precaution and activity level… “No liability” leads to inefficient behavior by injurer, efficient behavior by victim “Strict liability” leads to efficient behavior by injurer, inefficient behavior by victim Reminiscent of paradox of compensation One rule sets multiple incentives… …can’t get them all right But in tort law, we have a trick… 48 Negligence (won’t get to) 49 Negligence Rule Negligence rule: injurer is liable if he breached the duty of due care Within our model: Legal standard of care xn Injurer owes damages if precaution level was below that level x < xn D = A x xn D = 0 So on our graph from before, private cost to injurer is… wx + p(x) A wx for x < xn for x xn Best shot at achieving efficiency is to set xn = x* 50 “Simple Negligence”: Injurer precaution $ Private cost to injurer wx + p(x) A wx p(x) A xn = x* x Private cost is wx + p(x) A if x < xn, only wx otherwise If standard of care is set efficiently (xn = x*), injurer minimizes private cost by taking efficient precaution 51 “Simple Negligence”: Victim precaution What about victim? We just said, injurer will take efficient precaution Which means injurer will not be liable So victim bears costs of any accidents (Victim bears residual risk) So victim’s private cost is wx + p(x) A Victim minimizes private cost by taking efficient level of precaution too! $ Private cost to victim (assuming injurer takes efficient level of precaution and is therefore not liable for damages) wx + p(x) A wx p(x) A x* 52 Simple Negligence Injurer Precaution Victim Precaution Injurer Activity Victim Activity Zero Efficient Too High Efficient Strict Liability Efficient Zero Efficient Too High Simple Negligence, xn = x* Efficient Efficient No Liability 53 Other negligence rules Rule we just saw is called “simple negligence” Only consider injurer’s actions in determining liability But we could also consider whether victim was negligence in deciding whether injurer is liable “Negligence with a defense of contributory negligence” – injurer owes nothing if victim was also negligent “Comparative negligence” – if both were negligent, share cost “Strict liability with defense of contributory negligence” – injurer is liable (even if he wasn’t negligence), unless victim was negligent Any of these rules (with efficient standard of care) will lead to efficient precaution by both parties! 54 Discrete example of bilateral precaution A w p $1,000 $20 for either party 10% / 6% / 2% No “levels” of precaution – each party can either take precaution or not Each accident causes $1,000 of harm Precaution costs $20 for each party Chance of an accident is 10% if nobody takes precaution 6% if one party takes precaution 2% if both parties take precaution Note that precaution is efficient for both parties Costs $20; reduces expected accidents by 4% X $1,000 = $40 55 Different negligence rules A w p $1,000 $20 for either party 10% / 6% / 2% Does injurer owe victim damages when… Neither party negligent? Only victim negligent? Only injurer negligent? Both parties negligent? Simple Negligence No No Yes Yes Negligence with Defense of Contributory Negligence No No Yes No 56 Negligence with a Defense of Contributory Negligence A w p $1,000 $20 for either party 10% / 6% / 2% If injurer is not taking precaution, victim wants to avoid liability If injurer is taking precaution, victim bears residual risk, wants to minimize accidents Injurer victim pays for Injurer is liable if he failed to take precaution… precaution, and any accidents that happen Unless victim did too injurer pays for Victim precaution, not liable Precaution is always for accidents Precaution None best-response for victim Precaution -20, -40 -20, -60 None -60, -20 0, -100 For injurer, precaution is the best-response to precaution “Both take precaution” is the only Nash equilibrium And, is the efficient outcome 57 Different negligence rules A w p $1,000 $20 for either party 10% / 6% / 2% Does injurer owe victim damages when… Neither party negligent? Only victim negligent? Only injurer negligent? Both parties negligent? Simple Negligence No No Yes Yes Negligence with Defense of Contributory Negligence No No Yes No Comparative Negligence No No Yes Partial 58 A w p Comparative Negligence $1,000 $20 for either party 10% / 6% / 2% If both parties were negligent… Precaution is again a dominant strategy for victim Injurer …divide cost proportionally Now it’s a dominant strategy for injurer too Victim Precaution None Precaution -20, -40 -20, -60 None -60, -20 -50, -50 Again, “both take precaution” is the only equilibrium (And the efficient outcome) 59 Different negligence rules A w p $1,000 $20 for either party 10% / 6% / 2% Does injurer owe victim damages when… Neither party negligent? Only victim negligent? Only injurer negligent? Both parties negligent? Simple Negligence No No Yes Yes Negligence with Defense of Contributory Negligence No No Yes No Comparative Negligence No No Yes Partial Strict Liability with Defense of Contributory Negligence Yes No Yes No 60 Strict Liability with a Defense of Contributory Negligence Now, injurer is liable, regardless of whether he took precaution… $1,000 $20 for either party 10% / 6% / 2% Victim Injurer …unless victim was negligent A w p Precaution None Precaution -40, -20 -20, -60 None -60, -20 0, -100 Once again, “both take precaution” is the only equilibrium 61 Negligence Injurer Precaution Victim Precaution Injurer Activity Victim Activity Zero Efficient Too High Efficient Strict Liability Efficient Zero Efficient Too High Simple Negligence Efficient Efficient No Liability Negligence with a Defense of Contributory Negligence Efficient Efficient Comparative Negligence Efficient Efficient Strict Liability with Defense of Contributory Negligence Efficient Efficient assuming all relevant standards of care are set to the efficient levels 62