Econ 522 Economics of Law Dan Quint Spring 2013 Lecture 21 What’s a life worth? 1 What’s a life worth? Assessing damages in a wrongful death lawsuit requires some notion of what a life is worth Safety regulators also need some notion of what a life is worth Kip Viscusi, The Value of Risks to Life and Health Regulation Estimated cost per life saved Airplane cabin fire protection $ 200,000 Car side door protection standards $ 1,300,000 OSHA asbestos regulations $ 89,300,000 EPA asbestos regulations $ 104,200,000 Proposed OSHA formaldehyde standard $72,000,000,000 Regulators need to decide “where to draw the line” 2 Kip Viscusi, The Value of Risks to Life and Health Let w be starting wealth, p probability of death There might be some amount of money M such that p u(death) + (1 – p) u(w+M) = u(w) Breaks down when p = 1 not because can’t equate death with compensation, but because second term vanishes If we can find M, we can “solve for” u(death)! Ask a bunch of people how much money they would need to take a 1/1000 chance of death? Do a lab experiment where you expose people to a risk of death? Better idea: impute how much compensation people require from the real-life choices they make 3 Kip Viscusi, The Value of Risks to Life and Health Lots of day-to-day choices increase or decrease our risk of death Choose between Volvo and sports car with fiberglass body Take a job washing skyscraper windows, or office job that pays less Buy smoke detectors and fire extinguishers, or don’t “Hand Rule Damages” Hand Rule: precaution is cost-justified if cost of precaution < reduction in accidents X cost of accident Suppose side-curtain airbags reduce risk of fatal accident by 1/1000 If someone pays $1,000 extra for a car with side-curtain airbags, it must mean that $1,000 < 1/1000 * value of their life or, implicitly, they value their life more than $1,000,000 4 Kip Viscusi, The Value of Risks to Life and Health Viscusi surveys lots of existing studies which impute value of life from peoples’ decisions Many use wage differentials How much higher are wages for risky jobs compared to safe jobs? Others look at… Decisions to speed, wear seatbelts, buy smoke detectors, smoke cigarettes Decision to live in very polluted areas (comparing property values) Prices of newer, safer cars versus older, more dangerous ones Some used surveys to ask how people would make tradeoffs between money and safety Each paper reaches some estimate for implicit value people attach to their lives 5 What does Viscusi find? 6 ie sn e Sm r & ith Lee th Th & (1 a G Ar ler ilbe 991 rt no & ) ul Ro (19 d & sen 84) Ni (1 D cho 976 illi ng ls (1 ) ha 9 m 83) Bu (19 tle 85 ) r G Bro (19 e wn 83 M g M a ar ) in oor x e (19 e t. & 80 Ps & V al. ) (1 ac is 99 Kn har cus sp i (1 1) ie sn ou 98 er lo 8) C s ou & L ( si e 19 ne et h 82 au (1 ) 99 D et 1) illi al n Vi ( sc gha 19 us m 88) i( 19 (19 78 85 ) S m , 19 ith 79) O ( 19 ls 76 o ) Vi n ( sc 19 us 8 1 M i( ) oo re Sm 198 ith & 1) M oo Vi s ( 19 r Kn e & cus 74 Vi i (1 ) ie sn s 98 e cu 8) Vi r & si H Le (19 er scu zo si et 88 h ) & g & M (19 S o 9 Le chl ore 1) ot ig tm (19 h Le & F an 89 ( ol ig so 198 h & m 7 Fo (1 ) ls om 984 ) Le ( 19 84 ig M h ) oo re Ga (19 & ren 87) M oo Vi sc (19 re us 8 8 & Vi i (1 ) sc 9 us 9 0 ) i( 19 90 ) Implicit value of life Kn What does Viscusi find? 24 studies based on wage differentials 20,000,000 15,000,000 10,000,000 5,000,000 0 7 What does Viscusi find? 7 studies using other risk-money tradeoffs Nature of Risk, Year Component of the Monetary Tradeoff Implicit Value of life ($ millions) Highway speed-related accident risk, 1973 Value of driver time based on wage rates 0.07 Automobile death risks, 1972 Estimated disutility of seat belts 1.2 Fire fatality risks without smoke detectors, 1974-1979 Purchase price of smoke detectors 0.6 Mortality effects of air pollution, 1978 Property values in Allegheny Co., PA 0.8 Cigarette smoking risks, 1980 Estimated monetary equivalent of effect of risk info 0.7 Fire fatality risks without smoke detectors, 1968-1985 Purchase price of smoke detector 2.0 Automobile accident risks, 1986 Prices of new automobiles 4.0 8 What does Viscusi find? 6 studies based on surveys Nature of Risk Survey Methodology Implicit Value of Life ($ millions) Improved ambulance service, post-heart attack lives Willingness to pay question, door-to-door small (36) Boston sample Airline safety and locational life expectancy risks Mail survey willingness to accept increased risk, small (30) U.K. sample, 1975 Job fatality risk Willingness to pay, willingness to accept change in job risk in mail survey, 1984 3.4 (pay), 8.8 (accept) Motor vehicle accidents Willingness to pay for risk reduction, U.K. survey, 1982 3.8 Automobile accident risks Interactive computer program with pairwise auto risk-living cost tradeoffs until indifference achieved, 1987 Traffic safety Series of contingent valuation questions, New Zealand survey, 1989-1990 0.1 15.6 2.7 (median) 9.7 (mean) 1.2 9 What does Viscusi find? Wide range of results Most suggest value of life between $1,000,000 and $10,000,000 Many clustered between $3,000,000 and $7,000,000 Even with wide range, he argues this is very useful: “In practice, value-of-life debates seldom focus on whether the appropriate value of life should be $3 or $4 million… However, the estimates do provide guidance as to whether risk reduction efforts that cost $50,000 per life saved or $50 million per life saved are warranted.” “The threshold for the Office of Management and Budget to be successful in rejecting proposed risk regulations has been in excess of $100 million.” C&U: NHTSA uses $2.5 million for value of traffic fatality Current: EPA $9.1 MM, FDA $7.9 MM, Transpo Dept $6 MM 10 More twists on liability 11 Vicarious Liability Vicarious liability is when one person is held liable for harm caused by another Parents may be liable for harm caused by their child Employer may be liable for harm caused by employee Respondeat superior – “let the master answer” Employer is liable for torts of employee if employee was acting within the scope of his employment 12 Vicarious Liability Gives employers incentive to... be more careful who they hire be more careful what they assign employees to do supervise employees more carefully Employers may be better able to make these decisions than employees… …and employees may be judgment-proof 13 Vicarious Liability Vicarious liability can be implemented through… Strict liability rule: employer liable for any harm caused by employee (as long as employee was acting within scope of employment) Negligence rule: employer is only liable if he was negligent in supervising employee Which is better? It depends. If proving negligent supervision is too hard, strict vicarious liability might work better But an example favoring negligent vicarious liability… 14 Joint and Several Liability Suppose you were harmed by accident caused by two injurers Joint liability: you can sue them both together Several liability: you can sue each one separately Several liability with contribution: each is only liable for his share of damage Joint and several liability: you can sue either one for the full amount of the harm Joint and several liability with contribution: the one you sued could then sue his friend to get back half his money 15 Joint and Several Liability Joint and several liability holds under common law when… Defendants acted together to cause the harm, or… Harm was indivisible (impossible to tell who was at fault) Good for the victim, because… No need to prove exactly who caused harm Greater chance of collecting full level of damages Instead of suing person most responsible, could sue person most likely to be able to pay 16 Punitive damages 17 Inconsistency of damages Damage awards vary greatly across countries, even across individual cases We saw last week: As long as damages are correct on average, random inconsistency doesn’t affect incentives (under either strict liability or negligence) But, if appropriate level of damages isn’t well-established, more incentive to spend more fighting 18 One problem with inconsistent damages: more incentive to fight hard Example: each side can hire cheap lawyer or expensive lawyer Cheap lawyer costs $10, expensive lawyer costs $45 If two lawyers are equally good, expected judgment is $100 If one is better, expected judgment is doubled or halved Plaintiff Defendant Cheap Lawyer Expensive Lawyer Cheap Expensive 90, -110 40, -95 155, -210 55, -145 19 Punitive damages What we’ve discussed so far: compensatory damages Meant to “make victim whole”/compensate for actual damage done In addition, courts sometimes award punitive damages Additional damages meant to punish injurer Create stronger incentive to avoid initial harm Punitive damages generally not awarded for innocent mistakes, but may be used when injurer’s behavior was “malicious, oppressive, gross, willful and wanton, or fraudulent” 20 Punitive damages Calculation of punitive damages even less well-defined than compensatory damages Level of punitive damages supposed to bear “reasonable relationship” to level of compensatory damages Not clear exactly what this means U.S. Supreme Court: punitive damages more than ten times compensatory damages will attract “close scrutiny,” but not explicitly ruled out 21 Example of punitive damages: Liebeck v McDonalds (1994) (“the coffee cup case”) Stella Liebeck was badly burned when she spilled a cup of McDonalds coffee in her lap Awarded $160,000 in compensatory damages, plus $2.9 million in punitive damages Case became “poster child” for excessive damages, but… 22 Liebeck v McDonalds (1994) Stella Liebeck dumped coffee in her lap while adding cream/sugar Third degree burns, 8 days in hospital, skin grafts, 2 years treatment Initially sued for $20,000, mostly for medical costs McDonalds offered to settle for $800 McDonalds serves coffee at 180-190 degrees At 180 degrees, coffee can cause a third-degree burn requiring skin grafts in 12-15 seconds Lower temperature would increase length of exposure necessary McDonalds had received 700 prior complaints of burns, and had settled with some of the victims Quality control manager testified that 700 complaints, given how many cups of coffee McDonalds serves, was not sufficient for McDonalds to reexamine practices 23 Liebeck v McDonalds (1994) Rule in place was comparative negligence Jury found both parties negligent, McDonalds 80% responsible Calculated compensatory damages of $200,000 times 80% gives $160,000 Added $2.9 million in punitive damages Judge reduced punitive damages to 3X compensatory, making total damages $640,000 During appeal, parties settled out of court for some smaller amount Jury seemed to be using punitive damages to punish McDonalds for being arrogant and uncaring 24 What is the economic purpose of punitive damages? We’ve said all along: with perfect compensation, incentives for injurer are set correctly. So why punitive damages? Example… Suppose manufacturer can eliminate 10 accidents a year, each causing $1,000 in damages, for $9,000 Clearly efficient If every accident victim would sue and win, company has incentive to take this precaution But if some won’t, then not enough incentive Suppose only half the victims will bring successful lawsuits Compensatory damages would be $5,000; company is better off paying that then taking efficient precaution One way to fix this: award higher damages in the cases that are brought 25 This suggests… Punitive damages should be related to compensatory damages, but higher the more likely injurer is to “get away with it” If 50% of accidents will lead to successful lawsuits, total damages should be 2 X harm Which requires punitive damages = compensatory damages If 10% of accidents lead to awards, damages should be 10 X harm So punitive damages should be 9 X compensatory damages Seems most appropriate when injurer’s actions were deliberately fraudulent, since may have been based on costbenefit analysis of chance of being caught 26 Some empirical observations about tort system in the U.S. (might not get to) Skip 27 U.S. tort system In 1990s, tort cases passed contract cases as most common form of lawsuit Most handled at state level: in 1994, 41,000 tort cases resolved in federal courts, 378,000 in state courts in largest 75 counties Most involve a single plaintiff (many contract cases involve multiple plaintiffs) Among tort cases in 75 largest U.S. counties… 60% were auto accidents 17% were “premises liability” (slip-and-fall in restaurants, businesses, government offices, etc.) 5% were medical malpractice 3% were product liability 28 U.S. tort system Punitive damages historically very rare 1965-1990, punitive damages in product liability cases were awarded 353 times Average damage award was $625,000, reduced to $135,000 on appeal Average punitive damages only slightly higher than compensatory In many states, punitive damages limited, or require higher standard of evidence Civil suits generally require “preponderance of evidence” In many states, punitive damages require “clear and convincing” evidence 29 U.S. tort system Medical malpractice New York study in 1980s: 1% of hospital admissions involved serious injury due to negligent care Some estimates: 5% of total health care costs are “defensive medicine” – procedures undertaken purely to prevent lawsuits Some states have considered caps on damages for medical malpractice 30 U.S. tort system Product liability Recent survey of CEOs: “liability concerns caused 47% of those surveyed to drop one or more product lines, 25% to stop some research and development, and 39% to cancel plans for a new product.” Liability standard for product-related accidents is “strict products liability” Manufacturer is liable if product determined to be defective Defect in design Defect in manufacture Defect in warning 31 Vaccines Most vaccines are weakened version of disease itself Make you much less likely to acquire the disease But often come with very small chance of contracting disease directly from vaccine Salk polio vaccine wiped out polio, but caused 1 in 4,000,000 people vaccinated to contract polio 1974 case established maker had to warn about risk Since then, some people were awarded damages after their children developed polio from vaccine If liability can’t be avoided, built into cost of the drug And discourages companies from developing vaccines 32 Mass torts Since health risks of asbestos understood, over 600,000 people have brought lawsuits against 6,000 defendants DES (drug administered to pregnant women in 1950s) Impossible to establish which firm produced dose given to a particular woman California Supreme Court introduced “market share liability” Class action lawsuit Small, dispersed harms – no plaintiff might find it worthwhile to sue Class action suits allow large lawsuits with lots of plaintiffs Give more incentive for precaution against diffuse harms But… 33 Cooter and Ulen’s overall assessment of U.S. tort system Critics claim juries routinely hand out excessive awards and tort system is out of control… …but actually it functions reasonably well Outside of occasional, well-publicized outliers, damage awards are generally reasonable… …and liability has led to decreases in accidents in many industries 34 My favorite problem from an old exam 35 To wrap up tort law, a funny story from Friedman… “A tort plaintiff succeeded in collecting a large damage judgment. The defendant’s attorney, confident that the claimed injury was bogus, went over to the plaintiff after the trial and warned him that if he was ever seen out of his wheelchair he would be back in court on a charge of fraud. The plaintiff replied that to save the lawyer the cost of having him followed, he would be happy to describe his travel plans. He reached into his pocket and drew out an airline ticket – to Lourdes, the site of a Catholic shrine famous for miracles.” 36