Econ 522 Economics of Law Dan Quint Spring 2013 Lecture 3 Logistics HW1 is now online Due next Thursday (Feb 7), end of the day (11:59 p.m.), so you can discuss it in section the next day Submit online via dropbox at Learn@UW Talk to Nathan or me if you have problems submitting Also lecture notes – try View Notes Page Monday, we defined efficiency Efficiency: “all available Kaldor-Hicks improvements made” roughly, maximizing total value, or total surplus, or total payoffs, to everyone in society… …where everything is translated into dollars, so we’re able to add/compare across people Means that… each scarce resource is owned by whoever values it most goods are produced whenever their value is greater than their cost and so on Also Monday, we discussed some forces that lead to inefficiency Externalities People make choices based on private cost and private benefit Efficiency is based on social cost and social benefit When social cost > private cost, negative externality people will do something more than efficient amount When social benefit > private benefit, positive externality people will do something less than efficient amount Barriers to trade, taxes Monopoly/private information Finally, we posed the question, should efficiency be the normative goal of the law? Positive statements – fact or theoretical prediction Normative statements – value judgment “Should” the law be designed to achieve efficient outcomes? Do we “want” the legal system to be efficient? We began with Posner, who’s a big fan of efficiency Yes, normative goal of legal system should be efficiency “Ex-ante consent” – everyone would have agreed to efficient rules before they knew “which role they would play” (Like lottery ticket with highest expected payoff – no use complaining if you don’t like your outcome) Even with asymmetries, efficient rules could be better for everyone (landlord/tenant example) But Posner’s argument has important limitations The “lottery ticket” analogy requires risk neutrality Is a 50% chance at $1,000,000 and a 50% chance at nothing… …really as good as $500,000 for sure? If $500,000 is “worth more to you” when you’re broke than when you already have $500,000, this argument doesn’t work Counterpoint to Posner: Hammond (1982) Efficiency is really a special case of utilitarianism, and subject to the same limitations “Value” = “willingness to pay” $1 worth the same to everyone This highlights some of the things efficiency is not efficiency is not equity efficiency is not fairness efficiency is not maximizing happiness “Suppose that pituitary extract is in very short supply… and is therefore very expensive. A poor family has a child who will be a dwarf if he doesn’t get some of the extract, but the family cannot afford the price [or borrow the money]. A rich family has a child who will grow to normal height, but the extract will add a few inches more, and his parents decide to buy it for him. In the sense of value used in this book, the pituitary extract is more valuable to the rich family… because value is measured by willingness to pay, but the extract would confer greater happiness in the hands of the poor family.” - Posner, Economic Analysis of Law A more pragmatic defense of efficiency as a goal for the law Cooter and Ulen (textbook ch. 1) Efficiency should not necessarily be the goal of society But efficiency should be the goal of the legal system If redistribution is desirable, it’s better to make the legal system efficient, and address distribution through taxes Cooter and Ulen offer four reasons why the tax system is a better way to redistribute wealth than the legal system Four reasons the tax system is a better way to redistribute wealth than the legal system 1. Taxes can target “rich” and “poor” more precisely than the legal system can 2. Distributional effects of legal changes are harder to predict 3. Lawyers are more expensive than accountants 4. More narrowly-targeted taxes cause greater distortion than broad-based taxes To make this last point, an example Two goods: beer (x), pizza (y) One consumer, with $60 and utility u(x,y) = x0.5 y0.5 a. Given prices p for beer and q for pizza, calculate demand. (x,y) = (30/p, 30/q) Beer and pizza are produced at $1 per unit, and perfectly competitive markets So without any taxes, p = q = $1 b. Calculate demand, and utility, with no tax. (x,y) = (30, 30) u(x,y) = 300.5 300.5 = 30 c. Calculate demand and utility with $0.50 tax on beer. (x,y) = (20, 30) u(x,y) = 200.5 300.5 = 6000.5 24.49 d. How much revenue does $0.50 tax on beer raise? 20 X $0.50 = $10 e. Calculate demand and utility with $0.20 tax on both goods. (x,y) = (25, 25) u(x,y) = 250.5 250.5 = 25 f. How much revenue does $0.20 tax on both goods raise? 25 X $0.20 + 25 X $0.20 = $10 g. Which is the better way to raise revenue? 10 So, summing up… is efficiency a good goal for the law? We’ve seen two arguments in favor Posner: it’s what we all would have agreed on ex-ante C&U: if you want to redistribute, it’s better to do it through taxes But there are definitely some problems with efficiency Distribution matters; not everything is monetizable; people might care about procedural fairness My take In this class, we’ll mostly focus on the positive questions But in the background, I think of efficiency as a “pretty good”, but definitely imperfect, measure of “goodness” A nice blog post about why policy evaluation should at least start with efficiency… Let’s first dispense with the straw man. I’ve never heard of an economist who believes that every efficient policy is good, and I’ve heard of very few who believe that every inefficient policy is bad. It’s true that most economists do seem to believe that any good policy analysis should start by considering efficiency. That doesn’t mean it should end there. I think economists are right to emphasize efficiency, and I think so for (at least) two reasons. First, emphasizing efficiency forces us to concentrate on the most important problems. Second, emphasizing efficiency forces us to be honest about our goals. – Steven Landsburg http://www.thebigquestions.com/2010/08/30/efficiency-experts “Emphasizing efficiency forces us to be honest about our goals” Politician: Here’s my program to make the health care system work better by subsidizing health care for the poor. Economist: Your program costs a billion dollars and delivers half a billion dollars worth of benefits. That’s inefficient. Politician: So what? Economist: Well, the “so what” is that maybe you could take that billion dollars and deliver a full billion dollars worth of benefits instead if you spent it a little differently. Why not just hand the cash out to poor people? Politician: Because I don’t want to help all poor people. I only want to help sick poor people – and this is the only way I can think of to do that. Economist: Ah. So your goal here is not to make the health care system work better at all. Instead it’s to transfer resources to sick poor people. Politician: I guess so. Economist: That’s fine. Now we can have a healthy debate about whether that’s what we want to do. A quick digression Before we move on, a quick digression… I don’t have many “absolute beliefs” about economics Some people do I hope that doesn’t make things too confusing 15 Before we move on, a quick digression… I don’t have many “absolute beliefs” about economics Some people do I hope that doesn’t make things too confusing Relatedly, if I don’t see economics as a set of rules to memorize, how do I know what I know? I need to see a model, or an example, that demonstrates it 16 Rest of today: introduce some basic game theory begin property law (if time allows) 17 Some basic game theory 18 A brief introduction to game theory Today, we focus on static games Also known as simultaneous-move games A static game is completely described by three things: Who the players are What actions are available to each player What payoff each player will get, as a function of his own action, and the actions of the other players Any complete description of these three things fully characterizes a static game 19 A classic example: the Prisoner’s Dilemma (Story) Players: player 1 and player 2 Two actions available to each player: rat on the other, or keep mum Payoffs: u1(mum, mum) = -1 u1(rat, mum) = 0 u1(mum, rat) = -10 u1(rat,rat) = -5 Same for player 2 20 In two-player games with finite actions, one way to present game is payoff matrix Player 2’s Action Always Player 1 Mum Rat Mum -1, -1 -10, 0 Rat 0, -10 -5, -5 Player 1’s Action Player 1’s Payoff Player 2’s Payoff 21 Nash Equilibrium We solve a game by looking for a Nash equilibrium Nash equilibrium is a strategy profile (an action for each player) such that: No player can improve his payoff by switching to a different action… …given what his opponent/opponents are doing 22 A strategy profile is a Nash Equilibrium if no player can gain by deviating Is (Mum, Mum) an equilibrium? Player 2’s Action Player 1’s Action If any player can improve his payoff by changing his action, given his opponents’ actions, then it is not a Nash equilibrium Mum Rat Mum -1, -1 -10, 0 Rat 0, -10 -5, -5 No, if player 2 is playing Mum player 1 gains by deviating 23 In two-player games, we find Nash equilibria by highlighting best responses My best response to a particular play by the other player is whichever action(s) give me the highest payoff To find Nash Equilibria… Circle payoff from player 1’s Mum best response to each action by his opponent -1, -1 Mum Circle payoff from player 2’s best response to each action 0, -10 Rat Any box with both payoffs circled is an equilibrium Because each player is playing a best-response to his opponent’s action… …so neither one can improve by changing his strategy Player 1’s Action Player 2’s Action Rat -10, 0 -5, -5 24 Some games will have more than one equilibrium Another classic: Battle of the Sexes (Story) Circle player 2’s best responses We find two equilibria: (ballgame, ballgame) and (opera, opera) Player 1’s Action Circle player 1’s best responses Player 2’s Action Baseball Game Opera Baseball Game 6, 3 0, 0 Opera 0, 0 3, 6 Game theory usually doesn’t have that much to say about which equilibrium will get played when there are more than one 25 Sometimes, there will be a “good” and a “bad” equilibrium Growth model (Story) Circle player 2’s best responses Two equilibria: (invest, invest) and (consume, consume) Player 1’s Action Circle player 1’s best responses Player 2’s Action Invest Consume Invest 2, 2 0, 1 Consume 1, 0 1, 1 Some papers explain differences in growth across countries by saying some are in “good” equilibrium and some are in “bad” one 26 Some games don’t have any equilibrium where players only play one action Look for Nash Equilibria by circling best responses No square with both payoffs circled No equilibrium where each player plays a single action Player 1’s Action Scissors, Paper, Rock for $1 Player 2’s Action Scissors Paper Rock Scissors 0, 0 1, -1 -1, 1 Paper -1, 1 0, 0 1, -1 Rock 1, -1 -1, 1 0, 0 In this class, we’ll focus on games with a pure-strategy Nash equilibrium 27 That’s a very quick introduction to static games Now on to… Skip 28 Property Law 29 To begin, a story 30 Why do we need property law in the first place? We already saw one reason Tragedy of Commons – overuse of land is held in common For another example, imagine two neighboring farmers Each has two choices: farm his own land, or steal crops from his neighbor Stealing is less efficient than planting my own crops Have to carry the crops from your land to mine Might drop some along the way Have to steal at night move slower If I steal your crops, I avoid the effort of planting and watering 31 Why do we need property law in the first place? Suppose that planting and watering costs 5, the crops either farmer could grow are worth 15, and stealing costs 3 With no legal system, the game has the following payoffs: We look for equilibrium Player 1 Player 2 Farm Steal Farm 10, 10 -5, 12 Steal 12, -5 0, 0 Like Prisoner’s Dilemma both farmers stealing is the only equilibrium but that outcome is Pareto-dominated by both farmers farming 32 So how do we fix the problem? Suppose there were lots of farmers facing this same problem They come up with an idea: Institute some property rights And some type of government that would punish people who steal Setting up the system would cost something Suppose it imposes a cost c on everyone who plays by the rules 33 ORIGINAL GAME MODIFIED GAME Player 2 Player 2 Farm Steal Farm 10, 10 -5, 12 Steal 12, -5 0, 0 Farm Player 1 Player 1 So how do we fix the problem? Steal Farm 10 – c, 10 – c -5 – c, 12 – P Steal 12 – P, -5 – c -P, -P If P is big, and c is not too big, then 12 – P < 10 – c In that case, (Farm, Farm) is an equilibrium Payoffs are (10 – c, 10 – c), instead of (0, 0) from before 34 So the idea here… Anarchy is inefficient I spend time and effort stealing from you You spend time and effort defending your property from thieves Instead of doing productive work Establishing property rights, and a legal process for when they’re violated, is one way around the problem 35 Overview of Property Law Cooter and Ulen: property is “A bundle of legal rights over resources that the owner is free to exercise and whose exercise is protected from interference by others” Property rights are not absolute Appendix to ch. 4 discusses different conceptions of property rights Any system has to answer four fundamental questions: What things can be privately owned? What can (and can’t) an owner do with his property? How are property rights established? What remedies are given when property rights are violated? 36 Answers to many of these seem obvious BUT… source: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21088150/ 37 Monday: Coase Take a look at Coase, “The Problem of Social Cost” Have a good weekend – see you Monday 38