Econ 522 Economics of Law Dan Quint Fall 2013 Lecture 16 Reminders HW3 (contract law) due next Thursday 1 Results of Monday’s Experiment (trust) 2 The game we played Player A starts with $10 Chooses how much of it to give to player B That money is tripled Player B has $10, plus 3x whatever A gave him/her Chooses how much (if any) to give back to player A Tried it three ways: Anonymous On paper, but with names Face to face in front of the class 3 So, is trust a problem? With anonymity, yes Average A sent $5.33, got back $7.41 Trust was rewarded, but there was some risk Of those A’s who sent money, 29% got back less than they sent Worse, only about half of the potential gains were realized 18% of A’s sent nothing, only 25% sent 10 With names – less of a problem Average A sent $6.98, got back $11.64, so 70% of gains realized Only 8% of A’s sent nothing, almost half sent $10 Of those who sent something… 13% got back less than they sent (9% got nothing) 49% got back at least twice what they sent Face-to-face: every A sent $10, but B’s varied 4 So, is trust a problem? With Names Anonymous A sent # Obs Avg back Avg gain % less % zero 0 11 0.00 +0.00 1-3 4 4.00 +2.25 0% 0% 4-6 23 7.48 +2.61 30% 22% 7-9 7 7.29 +0.00 43% 29% 10 15 13.73 +3.73 27% 20% >0 Avg: 6.53 9.08 +2.55 29% 20% A sent # Obs Avg back Avg gain % less % zero 0 5 0.00 +0.00 1-3 4 2.50 +0.25 0% 0% 4-6 17 8.79 +3.85 18% 12% 7-9 7 9.71 +1.71 14% 14% 10 27 17.44 +7.44 11% 7% 12.70 +5.08 13% 9% >0 Avg: 7.62 5 Back to work 6 Monday Remedies for breach of contract Specific performance – similar to injunctive relief Court-ordered damages – different bases for calculation Party-specified remedies – but “penalty damages” not always enforceable in common-law courts Today: effects of remedy on four decisions 7 Effects of different remedies on… decision to perform or breach decision to sign or not sign investment in performing investment in reliance 8 Plane worth $500,000 to you Price $350,000 Cost: either $250,000 or $1,000,000 Remedies and breach Expectation Damages Specific Performance Costs Low – Perform Costs High – Perform Costs High – Breach I get 100,000 -650,000 -150,000 You get 150,000 150,000 150,000 Total 250,000 -500,000 0 Costs Low – Perform Costs High – Perform Costs High – Renegotiate I get 100,000 -650,000 -400,000 –650,000 + ½ (500,000) You get 150,000 150,000 400,000 150,000 + ½ (500,000) Total 250,000 -500,000 0 Transaction costs low either leads to efficient breach, but seller prefers “weaker” remedy Transaction costs high S.P. leads to ineff. performance 9 Remedies and breach Opportunity cost damages, or reliance damages Inefficient breach when transaction costs are high Renegotiate contract to get efficient performance when transaction costs are low Like nuisance law: any remedy leads to efficient breach with low TC But only expectation damages do when TC are high Unfortunate contingency and fortunate contingency 10 Efficient signing Specific Performance If costs stay low, I get $350,000 – $250,000 = $100,000 profit If costs rise, I take $400,000 loss Am I willing to sign this contract? Even expectation damages face this problem Expectation damages: costs stay low, same $100,000 profit Costs rise, $150,000 loss If probability of high costs is ½, I won’t sign contract Expectation damages lead to efficient breach, but may not lead to efficient signing 11 Reliance – did example a while ago If reliance investments increase the damages you receive, we expect to get overreliance To get efficient reliance, need to exclude gains from reliance in calculation of expectation damages But then promisor’s liability < promisee’s benefit, leading to inefficient breach With low transaction costs, fix this through renegotiation But what about unobservable actions the promisor needs to take, to make breach less likely? Investment in performance 12 Investment in performance Some investment I can make to reduce likelihood that breach becomes necessary Suppose probability of breach is initially ½… but for every $27,726 I invest, I cut the probability in half Invest nothing probability of breach is 1/2 Invest $27,726 probability is 1/4 Invest $55,452 probability is 1/8 Any investment z probability is .5 * (.5) z / 27,726 Wrote it this way so p = .5 e – z / 40,000 13 Investment in performance (continuing with airplane example) Suppose you’ve built a $90,000 hangar Increases value of performance by $180,000… …so value of performance is $150,000 + $180,000 = $330,000 Probability of breach = .5 e – z/40,000 Let D = damages I owe if I breach Same questions as before: What is efficient level of investment in performance? How much will I choose to invest in performance? 14 Investment in performance (continuing with airplane example) Suppose you’ve built a $90,000 hangar Increases value of performance by $180,000… …so value of performance is $150,000 + $180,000 = $330,000 Probability of breach = .5 e – z/40,000 Let D = damages I owe if I breach Same questions as before: What is efficient level of investment in performance? Enough to reduce probability of breach to 40,000/430,000 How much will I choose to invest in performance? Enough to reduce probability of breach to 40,000/(100,000 + D) 15 What do these results mean? What is the efficient level of investment in performance? Enough so that p(z) = 40,000/430,000 What will promisor do under various rules for damages? Enough so that p(z) = 40,000/(100,000 + D) So if D = 330,000, efficient investment in performance D = 330,000 is promisee’s benefit, including reliance So expectation damages, with benefit of reliance, leads to efficient investment in performance If D < 330,000, too little investment in performance If D > 330,000, too much Makes sense – think about externalities 16 Effects of different remedies on… decision to perform or breach decision to sign or not sign investment in performing investment in reliance 17 Paradox of compensation Expectation damages include benefit from reliance investments Expectation damages exclude benefit from reliance investments • Efficient breach • Inefficient breach • Efficient investment in performance • Underinvestment in performance • Over-reliance • Efficient reliance Is there a way to get efficient behavior by both parties? Skip 18 We already saw one possible solution Have expectation damages include benefit from reliance… …but only up to the efficient level of reliance, not beyond That is, have damages reward efficient reliance investments, but not overreliance Promisee has no incentive to over-rely efficient reliance Promisor still bears full cost of breach efficient performance Problem: this requires court to calculate efficient level of reliance after the fact 19 Another clever (but unrealistic) solution The problem: Damages promisor pays should include gain from reliance if we want to get efficient performance Damages promisee receives should exclude gain from reliance if we want to get efficient reliance Solution: make damages promisor pays different from damages promisee receives! How do we do this? Need a third party 20 “Anti-insurance” You (promisee) and I (promisor) offer Bob this deal: If you rely and I breach, I pay Bob value of promise with reliance (airplane plus hangar) Bob pays you value of promise without reliance (airplane alone) Bob keeps the difference You receive damages without benefit from reliance; I pay damages with benefit from reliance 21 “Anti-insurance” You (promisee) and I (promisor) offer Bob this deal: If you rely and I breach, I pay Bob value of promise with reliance (airplane plus hangar) Bob pays you value of promise without reliance (airplane alone) Bob keeps the difference You receive damages without benefit from reliance; I pay damages with benefit from reliance Offer the deal to two people, make them pay up front for it 22 Reminder: what do courts actually do? Foreseeable reliance Include benefits reliance that promisor could have reasonably anticipated 23 Repeated interactions 24 Repeated games 25 Repeated games Player 1 (you) Don’t Trust me Player 2 (me) (100, 0) Share profits (150, 50) Keep all the money (0, 200) Suppose we’ll play the game over and over After each game, 10% chance relationship ends, 90% chance we play at least once more… 26 Repeated games Suppose you’ve chosen to trust me Keep all the money: I get $200 today, nothing ever again Share profits: I get $50 today, $50 tomorrow, $50 day after… Value of relationship = 50 500 50 50 .9 50 .9 50 .9 ... 1 .9 2 3 Since this is more than $200, we can get cooperation 27 Repeated games Suppose you’ve chosen to trust me Keep all the money: I get $200 today, nothing ever again Share profits: I get $50 today, $50 tomorrow, $50 day after… Value of relationship = 50 500 50 50 .9 50 .9 50 .9 ... 1 .9 2 3 Since this is more than $200, we can get cooperation 28 Repeated games and reputation Diamond dealers in New York (Friedman) “…people routinely exchange large sums of money for envelopes containing lots of little stones without first inspecting, weighing, and testing each one” “Parties to a contract agree in advance to arbitration; if… one of them refuses to accept the arbitrator’s verdict, he is no longer a diamond merchant – because everyone in the industry now knows he cannot be trusted.” 29 Repeated games and reputation The first purpose of contract law is to enable cooperation, by converting games with noncooperative solutions into games with cooperative solutions The sixth purpose of contract law is to foster enduring relationships, which solve the problem of cooperation with less reliance on courts to enforce contracts Law assigns legal duties to certain long-term relationships Bank has fiduciary duty to depositors McDonalds franchisee has certain duties to franchisor 30 Repeated games and the endgame problem Suppose we’ll play agency game 60 times $50 x 60 = $3,000 > $200, so cooperation seems like no problem But… In game #60, reputation has no value to me Last time we’re going to interact So I have no reason not to keep all the money So you have no reason to trust me But if we weren’t going to cooperate in game #60, then in game #59… 31 Repeated games and the endgame problem Endgame problem: once there’s a definite end to our relationship, no reason to trust each other Example: collapse of communism in late 1980s Communism believed to be much less efficient than capitalism But fall of communism led to decrease in growth Under communism, lots of production relied on gray market Transactions weren’t protected by law, so they relied on long-term relationships Fall of communism upset these relationships 32 One other bit I like from Friedman 33 Friedman on premarital sex 34 Friedman on premarital sex 35 That’s it for contract law Purposes for contract law: Encourage cooperation Encourage efficient disclosure of information Secure optimal commitment to performance Secure efficient reliance Provide efficient default rules and regulations Foster enduring relationships 36 Recapping our story to date… (may not get to this) 37 Our story so far Efficiency Maximizing total surplus realized by everyone in society Scarce resources are owned by whoever values them most Actions are taken if social benefit exceeds social cost Design a legal system that leads to efficient outcomes Once we set up the rules, we don’t expect people to act based on what’s efficient We expect people to do whatever’s in their own best interest So the goal is set up the rules such that people acting in their own best interest will naturally lead to efficiency 38 Our story so far Coase gives us one way to do that If property rights are clearly defined and tradable, and there are no transaction costs, people have incentive to trade until each resource is efficiently owned So initial allocation of rights doesn’t matter for efficiency But if there are transaction costs, we may not get efficiency this way Led us to two normative views of the legal system: 1. Minimize transaction costs (“lubricate” private exchange) 2. Allocate rights as efficiently as possible Tradeoff between injunctive relief and damages 39 Our story so far Property law works well for simultaneous trade Contracts allow for non-simultaneous trade Contract law can… Enable cooperation Encourage efficient disclosure of information Secure optimal commitment to performance Secure efficient reliance Supply efficient default rules and regulations Foster enduring relationships 40 Our story so far So far, we’ve been talking about voluntary exchange Coase is predicated on exchange being voluntary for both parties Contracts are an extension of voluntary trade Up next: “involuntary trade” You’re bicycling to class, I’m texting while driving and I hit you You didn’t want to deal with me, I didn’t want to deal with you… 41 Our story so far To put it another way… Property law covers situations where transaction costs are low enough to get agreement ahead of time Exceptions to property law – private necessity, eminent domain – when this isn’t the case Contract law covers situations when transaction costs are low enough for us to agree to a contract, high enough that we may not want to renegotiate the contract later Tort law covers situations where transaction costs are too high to agree to anything in advance 42 Tort law 43 An example 44 An example punish the choice • criminal law • regulations Choice + Bad Luck Outcome 45 An example punish the choice punish the outcome • criminal law • “strict liability” • regulations Choice + Bad Luck Outcome punish the combination of choice and outcome • “negligence” 46 Tort law Tort, noun. from French word meaning injury Contract law: situations where someone harms you by breaking a promise they had made Tort law: situations where someone harms you without having made any promises “If someone shoots you, you call a cop. If he runs his car into yours, you call a lawyer.” 47 As always, we’ll be focused on achieving efficiency I hit you with my car, do $1,000 worth of damage You’re $1,000 worse off (No damage to me or my car) Should I have to pay you damages? I owe nothing I owe $1,000 I owe $50,000 –1,000 0 49,000 My payoff 0 –1,000 –50,000 Combined payoffs –1,000 –1,000 –1,000 Your payoff 48 Something to remember distribution but not efficiency efficiency 49 Tort law Question: how to structure the law to get people to behave in a way that leads to efficient outcomes? Deliberate harms: make punishment severe (criminal law) Accidental harms: trickier Goal isn’t “no accidents”; goal is “efficient number of accidents” 50 Tort law Question: how to structure the law to get people to behave in a way that leads to efficient outcomes? Deliberate harms: make punishment severe (criminal law) Accidental harms: trickier Goal isn’t “no accidents”; goal is “efficient number of accidents” Unlike nuisance law, injunctive relief is not an option Unlike contract law, no agreement ahead of time Cooter and Ulen: essence of tort law is “the attempt to make injurers internalize the externalities they cause, in situations where transaction costs are too high to do this through property or contract rights” 51