Econ 522 Economics of Law Dan Quint Fall 2013 Lecture 7 Logistics HW2 online, due in two weeks (Thurs Oct 10, 11:59 p.m.) First midterm is Wednesday October 23 Midterms will be in different room – Education L196 Starting next week, Nathan’s office hours are switched Mondays 4-5 and Wednesdays 1-2 1 Example of Coasian bargaining I found yesterday source: http://www.thestar.com/yourtoronto/education/2013/09/19/u_of_t_students_trade_cash_for_seats_in_full_classes.html#sthash.ukMK1JYp.dpuf 2 Monday, we “tested the Coase Theorem” Can UW undergrads reallocate poker chips efficiently? (Cost me $172 to find out) What happened? 3 Our experiment… Take 1: Full Information (values on nametags) starting allocation efficient allocation actual final allocation 12 red chip red chip 10 purple chip purple chip 10 purple chip purple chip purple chip purple chip purple chip purple chip 60 60 8 red chip 8 6 fraction of potential gains realized purple chip 6 4 purple chip 4 purple chip 2 purple chip 32 100% 4 Our experiment… Take 2: Private Information (values hidden) starting allocation efficient allocation actual final allocation 10 red chip red chip 8 purple chip purple chip 8 purple chip purple chip 6 red chip 6 4 fraction of potential gains realized purple chip purple chip purple chip purple chip purple chip 4 3 purple chip 3 purple chip 2 purple chip 24 48 46 22/24 = 92% 5 Our experiment… Take 3: Uncertainty All three chips got sold, at prices around $8 Rolls were 3, 5, and 6, so buyers all made money… …but trade would still have been efficient if they hadn’t And we achieved 100% of gains from trade Take 4: Asymmetric Information Rolled 6 and 6 Nobody traded So we achieved 0% of gains from trade 6 Conclusion Coase seems to work pretty well, except when there’s asymmetric information Full info: 100% of gains achieved Private info: 92% of gains Uncertainty: 100% Asymmetric info: 0% 7 Observation: information can be bad for the person who has it! Consider a seller in the last two cases Your value = 2 x die roll, EV = $7.00 If you know nothing… Trade at some price between $7 and $10.50 Expected payoff might be $8 If you know value exactly… Asymmetric information might mean you can’t sell If so, expected payoff is $7 So information can have negative value! 8 Back to property law… 9 Four questions we need to answer what can be privately owned? what can an owner do? how are property rights established? what remedies are given? 10 Our conclusions (from Calabresi/Melamed) When transaction costs are low, use injunctive relief Either rule will lead to efficient allocation (Coase)… …but injunctions are cheaper to implement (court doesn’t have to assess level of harm) When transaction costs are high, use damages If bargaining is impossible, damages more efficient outcomes (Example: polluter can choose to pollute and pay when that’s more efficient than preventing the damage) Agrees with principle from textbook TC low: design law to facilitate trade (normative Coase) TC high: design law to not rely on bargaining (normative Hobbes) 11 So, do we buy it? Coase Theorem depends on parties being able to negotiate privately Low-TC case: injunctions more efficient, assuming bargaining will work if “wrong” party is awarded the right Does it really work? Our experiment showed asymmetric information can prevent trade For more evidence… 12 So, do we buy it? Ward Farnsworth (1999), Do Parties to Nuisance Cases Bargain After Judgment? A Glimpse Inside The Cathedral 20 nuisance cases: no bargaining after judgment “In almost every case the lawyers said that acrimony between the parties was an important obstacle to bargaining… Frequently the parties were not on speaking terms... …The second recurring obstacle involves the parties’ disinclination to think of the rights at stake… as readily commensurable with cash.” So “no TC” case may be rare in real life… 13 Third way to protect an entitlement: inalienability Inalienability: when an entitlement is not transferable or saleable Allocative externalities (enriched uranium) 14 Third way to protect an entitlement: inalienability Inalienability: when an entitlement is not transferable or saleable Allocative externalities (enriched uranium) “Indirect” externalities (human organs) 15 Third way to protect an entitlement: inalienability Inalienability: when an entitlement is not transferable or saleable Allocative externalities (enriched uranium) “Indirect” externalities (human organs) Paternalism source: http://www.shanghaidaily.com/nsp/ National/2011/06/02/Boy%2Bregrets%2Bselling %2Bhis%2Bkidney%2Bto%2Bbuy%2BiPad/ 16 Another interpretation of inalienability: bans on “repugnant markets” “Repugnant markets” markets that are illegal because people find them morally or aesthetically objectionable CA ban on serving horse and dog meat Paying birth mother to adopt a child Bans on dwarf tossing Ticket scalping, price gouging, gambling, drugs, prostitution 2012 Nobel Prize winner Al Roth Roth: repugnance an important constraint on markets What people find repugnant changes over time Dwarf tossing Charging interest used to be repugnant! Repugnance has to be considered in practical market design 17 Four questions we need to answer what can be privately owned? what can an owner do? how are property rights established? what remedies are given? 18 Public versus Private Goods Private Goods rivalrous – one’s consumption precludes another excludable – technologically possible to prevent consumption example: apple Public Goods non-rivalrous non-excludable examples defense against nuclear attack infrastructure (roads, bridges) parks, clean air, large fireworks displays 19 Public versus Private Goods When private goods are owned publicly, they tend to be overutilized/overexploited 20 Public versus Private Goods When private goods are owned publicly, they tend to be overutilized/overexploited When public goods are privately owned, they tend to be underprovided/undersupplied 21 Public versus Private Goods When private goods are owned publicly, they tend to be overutilized/overexploited When public goods are privately owned, they tend to be underprovided/undersupplied Efficiency suggests private goods should be privately owned, and public goods should be publicly provided/regulated 22 Public versus Private Goods When private goods are owned publicly, they tend to be overutilized/overexploited When public goods are privately owned, they tend to be underprovided/undersupplied Efficiency suggests private goods should be privately owned, and public goods should be publicly provided/regulated 23 This accords with the principle from Monday Transaction costs low facilitate voluntary trade Private goods – low transaction costs Private ownership facilitates trade Transaction costs high allocate rights efficiently Public goods – high transaction costs Public provision/regulation required to get efficient amount 24 A different view: transaction costs Clean air Large number of people affected transaction costs high injunctive relief unlikely to work well Still two options One: give property owners right to clean air, protected by damages Two: public regulation Argue for one or the other by comparing costs of each Damages: costs are legal cost of lawsuits or pretrial negotiations Regulation: administrative costs, error costs if level is not chosen correctly 25 How do we design an efficient property law system? what can be privately owned? what can an owner do? how are property rights established? what remedies are given? 26 What can an owner do with his property? For efficiency: principle of maximum liberty Owners can do whatever they like with their property… …provided that doesn’t interfere with others’ property or rights That is, you can do anything you like so long as it doesn’t impose an externality (nuisance) on anyone else Textbook: common law often approximates rule of maximum liberty Does it really? What about bans on repugnant markets? And… 27 “Maximum liberty” vs. government’s right to regulate Ruling two years ago by a Dane County judge Plaintiffs argued they had a “fundamental right to own a cow, and to use their cows in a manner that does not cause harm to a third party” Judge responded: “Plaintiffs do not have a fundamental right to own and use a dairy cow or a dairy herd Plaintiffs do not have a fundamental right to consume the milk from their own cow Plaintiffs do not have a fundamental right to board their cow at the farm of a farmer The private contract does not fall outside the scope of the States’ police power Plaintiffs do not have a fundamental right to produce and consume the foods of their choice DATCP has jurisdiction to regulate the Plaintiffs’ conduct” 28 How do we design an efficient property law system? what can be privately owned? what can an owner do? how are property rights established? what remedies are given? 29 Fugitive property Hammonds v. Central Kentucky Natural Gas Co. Central Kentucky leased land lying above natural gas deposits Geological dome lay partly under Hammonds’ land Central Kentucky drilled down and extracted the gas Hammonds sued, claiming some of the gas was his (Anybody see “There Will Be Blood”?) Hammonds Central KY 30 Two principles for establishing ownership First Possession nobody owns fugitive property until someone possesses it first to “capture” a resource owns it Central Kentucky would own all the gas Tied Ownership ownership of fugitive property tied to something else (here, surface) so ownership already determined before resource is extracted Hammonds would own some of the gas, since under his land principle of accession – a new thing is owned by the owner of the proximate or prominent property 31 First Possession versus Tied Ownership First Possession simpler to apply – easy to determine who possessed property first incentive to invest too much to early in order to establish ownership example: $100 of gas, two companies drilling fast or slow drilling slowly costs $5, drilling fast costs $25 drill same speed each gets half the gas, one drills fast 75/25 Firm 2 Firm 1 Slow Fast Slow 45, 45 20, 50 Fast 50, 20 25, 25 32 First Possession versus Tied Ownership First Possession simpler to apply – easy to determine who possessed property first incentive to invest too much to early in order to establish ownership Tied Ownership encourages efficient use of the resource 2 but, difficulty of establishing andFirm verifying ownership rights Firm 1 Slow Fast Slow 45, 45 45, 25 Fast 25, 45 25, 25 33 This brings us to the following tradeoff: Rules that link ownership to possession have the advantage of being easy to administer, and the disadvantage of providing incentives for uneconomic investment in possessory acts. Rules that allow ownership without possession have the advantage of avoiding preemptive investment and the disadvantage of being costly to administer. 34 We’ve already seen two examples of this “Fast fish/loose fish” and “the guy who kills a fox, owns it” are examples of a first possession rule You can’t own a resource until you physically possess it “Iron holds the whale” and “the guy chasing a fox owns it” are examples of a tied ownership rule You can establish ownership of something before you actually possess it (A harpoon, or chasing a fox, gives you a right to it) More complicated/costly to enforce “if the first seeing, starting, or pursuing such animals… should afford the basis of actions against others for intercepting and killing them, it would prove a fertile source of quarrels and litigation” But avoids incentive to poach someone else’s resource 35 Another nice historical example: the Homestead Act of 1862 Meant to encourage settlement of the Western U.S. Citizens could acquire 160 acres of land for free, provided head of a family or 21 years old “for the purpose of actual cultivation, and not… for the use or benefit of someone else” had to live on the claim for 6 months and make “suitable” improvements Basically a first possession rule for land – by living on the land, you gained ownership of it Friedman: caused people to spend inefficiently much to gain ownership of the land 36 Friedman on the Homestead Act of 1862 “The year is 1862; the piece of land we are considering is… too far from railroads, feed stores, and other people to be cultivated at a profit. …The efficient rule would be to start farming the land the first year that doing so becomes profitable, say 1890. But if you set out to homestead the land in 1890, you will get an unpleasant surprise: someone else is already there. …If you want to get the land you will have to come early. By farming it at a loss for a few years you can acquire the right to farm it thereafter at a profit. 37 Friedman on the Homestead Act of 1862 How early will you have to come? Assume the value of the land in 1890 is going to be $20,000, representing the present value of the profit that can be made by farming it from then on. Further assume that the loss from farming it earlier than that is $1,000 a year. If you try to homestead it in 1880, you again find the land already taken. Someone who homesteads in 1880 pays $10,000 in losses for $20,000 in real estate – not as good as getting it for free, but still an attractive deal. …The land will be claimed about 1870, just early enough so that the losses in the early years balance the later gains. It follows that the effect of the Homestead Act was to wipe out, in costs of premature farming, a large part of the land value of the United States.” 38 So, what does an efficient property law system look like? What things can be privately owned? Private goods are privately owned, public goods are publicly provided What can owners do with their property? Maximum liberty How are property rights established? (Tradeoff between first possession and tied ownership; more examples to come) What remedies are given? Injunctions when transaction costs are low; damages when transaction costs are high 39 Sequential Rationality 40 Dynamic games and sequential rationality Game theory we’ve seen so far: static games “everything happens at once” (nobody observes another player’s move before deciding how to act) Dynamic games one player moves first second player learns what first player did, and then moves 41 Let’s go back to a game we’ve seen – the Battle of the Sexes Player 1 Player 2 Ballgame Opera Ballgame 6, 3 0, 0 Opera 0, 0 3, 6 Now change the game so that player 1 moves first Player 1 goes somewhere Player 2 learns what 1 did, then decides where to go 42 Dynamic games are typically shown as “game trees” PLAYER 1 Ballgame Opera PLAYER 2 Ballgame (6, 3) PLAYER 2 Opera (0, 0) Ballgame (0, 0) Opera (3, 6) A strategy is one player’s plan for what to do at each decision point he/she acts at Player 1: “Ballgame” or “Opera” Player 2’s strategy is more complicated – can depend on P1’s choice 43 We can expand the matrix to accommodate Player 2’s additional options Player 1 Player 2 Ballgame, Ballgame Ballgame, Opera Opera, Ballgame Opera, Opera Ballgame 6, 3 6, 3 0, 0 0, 0 Opera 0, 0 3, 6 0, 0 3, 6 Player 2 has four options “Go to the ballgame no matter what” “Go to the ballgame if P1 went to the ballgame, otherwise opera” “Opera if P1 went to the ballgame, otherwise ballgame” “Opera no matter what” 44 We can solve this game for equilibrium in the “usual” way Player 1 Player 2 Ballgame, Ballgame Ballgame, Opera Opera, Ballgame Opera, Opera Ballgame 6, 3 6, 3 0, 0 0, 0 Opera 0, 0 3, 6 0, 0 3, 6 Three equilibria: 1 goes to ballgame, 2 plays “ballgame no matter what” 1 goes to ballgame, 2 plays “do what 1 did” 1 goes to opera, 2 plays “opera no matter what” Are all of these “reasonable”? 45 Are all these equilibria “reasonable”? Consider the equilibrium where player 2 plans to go to the opera no matter what player 1 therefore goes to the opera Player 1 might wonder… “Suppose I changed my mind and went to the ballgame. Once I’m there, player 2 has to choose between sticking to the plan, going to the opera, and getting 0… …versus following me to the ballgame and getting 3. If player 2 is rational and I go to the ballgame, she should follow me there, and I’ll end up with a payoff of 6!” 46 Sequential rationality Sequential rationality is when a player can count on the other players to behave rationally from that point forward Similar to “dynamic consistency” (macro) When an equilibrium satisfies sequential rationality, we call it a Subgame-Perfect Equilibrium Players play best-responses both in the game as a whole, and in each “subgame,” or part of the game Rules out the opera-opera equilibrium: in the subgame where P1 had already gone to the ballgame, P2 wasn’t playing a best-response In fact, P2 only has one strategy that is sequentially rational: do whatever player 1 did! 47 Subgame Perfect Equilibria are found by Backward Induction PLAYER 1 Ballgame Opera PLAYER 2 Ballgame (6, 3) PLAYER 2 Opera (0, 0) Ballgame (0, 0) Opera (3, 6) Start at the “bottom,” solve for what P2 would do at each point If P2 is rational and P1 knows it, P1 can infer what payoff he would get from each move Now figure out what P1 would do, given those payoffs 48 Subgame Perfect Equilibria are found by Backward Induction PLAYER 1 Ballgame Opera PLAYER 2 Ballgame (6, 3) PLAYER 2 Opera (0, 0) Ballgame (0, 0) Opera (3, 6) This game has a unique subgame-perfect equilibrium Player 1 plays Ballgame Player 2 plays Ballgame if 1 plays Ballgame, Opera if 1 plays Opera “Most” dynamic games have just one SPE 49 Moving first can be good or bad, depending on the game Battle of the sexes: moving first is good You know your partner will accommodate whatever you do… …so you get your first choice Some games: being able to “commit” to a decision, while your opponent still has to decide, can be good! (Another example: entry game) Scissors-paper-rock: moving first is terrible You always lose Some games: reacting to your opponent’s move is good! 50 When we look at dynamic games, we’ll always look only at subgame-perfect equilibrium Key assumption: common knowledge of rationality Player 1 knows player 2 is rational… …so whatever he does, she’ll do what’s best for her… …so player 1 can confidently go to the ballgame This is the key to sequential rationality The assumption that, whatever happens first, players will continue to act rationally in their own best interest Which means we can “solve the game” from the end, and figure out the beginning players’ optimal moves (Backward induction has been used to solve checkers – it’s a draw – and will eventually solve chess…) 51