Econ 522 Economics of Law Dan Quint Fall 2013 Lecture 4 Reminder HW1 due 11:59 p.m. Thursday via Learn@UW 1 Last week, we… Defined efficiency Maximizing total surplus achieved by everyone in society… …with value measured by willingness-to-pay Asked whether efficiency is a good normative goal for a legal system Posner: yes, because ex ante (before we knew which part we would play), we’d all agree to efficient rules Cooter and Ulen: yes, because even if society has other goals in mind, such as redistribution, it’s better to make the law efficient and achieve redistribution through taxes Open discussion question What are other plausible normative goals for a legal system? When would you expect them to conflict with efficiency? 2 Some basic game theory 3 A brief introduction to game theory Today, we focus on static games Also known as simultaneous-move games A static game is completely described by three things: Who the players are What actions are available to each player What payoff each player will get, as a function of his own action, and the actions of the other players Any complete description of these three things fully characterizes a static game 4 A classic example: the Prisoner’s Dilemma (Story) Players: player 1 and player 2 Two actions available to each player: rat on the other, or keep mum Payoffs: u1(mum, mum) = -1 u1(rat, mum) = 0 u1(mum, rat) = -10 u1(rat,rat) = -5 Same for player 2 5 In two-player games with finite actions, one way to present game is payoff matrix Player 2’s Action Always Player 1 Mum Rat Mum -1, -1 -10, 0 Rat 0, -10 -5, -5 Player 1’s Action Player 1’s Payoff Player 2’s Payoff 6 Nash Equilibrium We solve a game by looking for a Nash equilibrium Nash equilibrium is a strategy profile (an action for each player) such that: No player can improve his payoff by switching to a different action… …given what his opponent/opponents are doing 7 A strategy profile is a Nash Equilibrium if no player can gain by deviating Is (Mum, Mum) an equilibrium? Player 2’s Action Player 1’s Action If any player can improve his payoff by changing his action, given his opponents’ actions, then it is not a Nash equilibrium Mum Rat Mum -1, -1 -10, 0 Rat 0, -10 -5, -5 No, if player 2 is playing Mum player 1 gains by deviating 8 In two-player games, we find Nash equilibria by highlighting best responses My best response to a particular play by the other player is whichever action(s) give me the highest payoff To find Nash Equilibria… Circle payoff from player 1’s Mum best response to each action by his opponent -1, -1 Mum Circle payoff from player 2’s best response to each action 0, -10 Rat Any box with both payoffs circled is an equilibrium Because each player is playing a best-response to his opponent’s action… …so neither one can improve by changing his strategy Player 1’s Action Player 2’s Action Rat -10, 0 -5, -5 9 Some games will have more than one equilibrium Another classic: Battle of the Sexes (Story) Circle player 2’s best responses We find two equilibria: (ballgame, ballgame) and (opera, opera) Player 1’s Action Circle player 1’s best responses Player 2’s Action Baseball Game Opera Baseball Game 6, 3 0, 0 Opera 0, 0 3, 6 Game theory usually doesn’t have that much to say about which equilibrium will get played when there are more than one 10 Sometimes, there will be a “good” and a “bad” equilibrium Growth model (Story) Circle player 2’s best responses Two equilibria: (invest, invest) and (consume, consume) Player 1’s Action Circle player 1’s best responses Player 2’s Action Invest Consume Invest 2, 2 0, 1 Consume 1, 0 1, 1 Some papers explain differences in growth across countries by saying some are in “good” equilibrium and some are in “bad” one 11 Some games don’t have any equilibrium where players only play one action Look for Nash Equilibria by circling best responses No square with both payoffs circled No equilibrium where each player plays a single action Player 1’s Action Scissors, Paper, Rock for $1 Player 2’s Action Scissors Paper Rock Scissors 0, 0 1, -1 -1, 1 Paper -1, 1 0, 0 1, -1 Rock 1, -1 -1, 1 0, 0 In this class, we’ll focus on games with a pure-strategy Nash equilibrium 12 That’s a very quick introduction to static games Now on to… 13 Property Law 14 Why do we need property law in the first place? We already saw one reason Tragedy of Commons – overuse of land is held in common For another example, imagine two neighboring farmers Each has two choices: farm his own land, or steal crops from his neighbor Stealing is less efficient than planting my own crops Have to carry the crops from your land to mine Might drop some along the way Have to steal at night move slower If I steal your crops, I avoid the effort of planting and watering 15 Why do we need property law in the first place? Suppose that planting and watering costs 5, the crops either farmer could grow are worth 15, and stealing costs 3 With no legal system, the game has the following payoffs: We look for equilibrium Player 1 Player 2 Farm Steal Farm 10, 10 -5, 12 Steal 12, -5 0, 0 Like Prisoner’s Dilemma both farmers stealing is the only equilibrium but that outcome is Pareto-dominated by both farmers farming 16 So how do we fix the problem? Suppose there were lots of farmers facing this same problem They come up with an idea: Institute some property rights And some type of government that would punish people who steal Setting up the system would cost something Suppose it imposes a cost c on everyone who plays by the rules 17 ORIGINAL GAME MODIFIED GAME Player 2 Player 2 Farm Steal Farm 10, 10 -5, 12 Steal 12, -5 0, 0 Farm Player 1 Player 1 So how do we fix the problem? Steal Farm 10 – c, 10 – c -5 – c, 12 – P Steal 12 – P, -5 – c -P, -P If P is big, and c is not too big, then 12 – P < 10 – c In that case, (Farm, Farm) is an equilibrium Payoffs are (10 – c, 10 – c), instead of (0, 0) from before 18 So the idea here… Anarchy is inefficient I spend time and effort stealing from you You spend time and effort defending your property from thieves Instead of doing productive work Establishing property rights, and a legal process for when they’re violated, is one way around the problem 19 But once we have property rights, yours will sometimes conflict with mine 20 Overview of Property Law Cooter and Ulen: property is “A bundle of legal rights over resources that the owner is free to exercise and whose exercise is protected from interference by others” Property rights are not absolute Appendix to ch. 4 discusses different conceptions of property rights Any system has to answer four fundamental questions: What things can be privately owned? What can (and can’t) an owner do with his property? How are property rights established? What remedies are given when property rights are violated? 21 Answers to many of these seem obvious BUT… source: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21088150/ 22 How do we design property law to achieve efficient outcomes? 23 Coase 24 How should property rights be allocated to achieve efficiency? Coase’s surprising answer: it doesn’t matter (Under certain conditions) 25 The Coase Theorem Ronald Coase (1960), “The Problem of Social Cost” In the absence of transaction costs, if property rights are well-defined and tradable, voluntary negotiations will lead to efficiency. It doesn’t matter how rights are allocated initially… …because if they’re allocated inefficiently at first, they can always be sold/traded… so the allocation will end up efficient anyway Ronald Coase 1910-2013 Initial allocation does matter for distribution, though And if there are transaction costs, may matter for efficiency too 26 Example of Coase: you have a car worth $3,000 to you, $4,000 to me Obviously, efficient for me to own it… …but we don’t need the law to give me the car If I start out owning the car: no reason for you to buy it, I end up with it efficient If you start out owning the car: clear incentive for me to buy it, I end up with it efficient Regardless of who owns the car at first, we get to the efficient outcome I’d rather start out with the car – so I don’t have to pay you for it You’d rather start out with it – so you end up with more money Efficiency doesn’t care about distribution – how much money we each end up with – just who ends up with the car at the end. And that doesn’t depend on who starts with it. The key: lack of transaction costs 27 Another example: you want to have a party in the house next door to mine If it’s efficient for you to have the party… Your benefit from having the party is greater than my benefit from a good night’s sleep If you start out with the right to have the party, no problem If I start out with the right to quiet, you can pay me for the right to have the party If it’s efficient for you not to have the party… Good night sleep is worth more to me If I have right to silence, no problem If you have right to party, I can pay you not to have it The point: either way, we achieve efficiency If it’s efficient to have the party, you have the party If it’s efficient not to, you don’t Regardless of who started off with the right 28 The conditions for this to hold Property rights have to be well-defined… We need to be clear on who has what rights, so we know the starting point for negotiations …and tradable… We need to be allowed to sell/transfer/reallocate rights if we want …and there can’t be transaction costs It can’t be difficult or costly for us to buy/sell the right 29 Coase’s example: a rancher and a farmer 30 Rancher’s versus farmer’s rights English common law: “closed range” or “fencing-in” (or “farmer’s rights”) Ranchers have responsibility to control their cattle Rancher must pay for any damage done by his herd Much of the U.S. at various times: “open range” or “fencing-out” (or “rancher’s rights”) Rancher can let his cattle roam free Not liable for damage they do to farmer’s crops (unless farmer had a good fence and they broke through anyway) Which rule is more efficient? 31 Open range versus closed range 32 Coase: either law will lead to efficiency If it’s cheaper for the farmer to protect his crops than for the rancher to control his herd… Under open range law, that’s what he’ll do Under closed range law, rancher can pay farmer to build fence If smaller herd is more efficient, farmer can pay rancher to keep fewer cattle Coase: Whatever is the efficient combination of cattle, crops, fences, etc.… …the rancher and farmer will negotiate to that efficient outcome, regardless of which law is in place… …as long as the rights are well-defined and tradable and there are no transaction costs 33 Note that there’s no sense of “blame” here Pigovian tax (Arthur Pigou) Penalize firms for causing negative externalities Requires us to “blame” one party Coase: doesn’t matter who is “causing” the harm “It is true that there would be no crop damage without the cattle. It is equally true that there would be no crop damage without the crops.” Coase isn’t worried about “justice”, just efficiency Doesn’t matter if a polluter is actually charged for polluting… …or is allowed to pollute, but could be bribed to not pollute Either way, without transaction costs, we’ll end up getting the efficient amount of pollution! 34 Rancher and farmer: numerical example Three possibilities: Rancher builds fence around herd… costs $400 Farmer builds fence around crops… costs $200 Do nothing, live with damage… costs nothing If expected crop damage = $100 Open range: farmer lives with damage rather than building fence Closed range: rancher pays for damage rather than fence If expected crop damage = $500 Open range: farmer builds fence – efficient Coase: closed range: rancher pays farmer to build fence So efficient outcome under either rule 35 Other examples from Coase Lots of examples from case law a building that blocked air currents from turning a windmill a building which cast a shadow over the swimming pool and sunbathing area of a hotel next door a doctor next door to a confectioner a chemical manufacturer a house whose chimney no longer worked well after the neighbors rebuilt their house to be taller In each case, regardless of who is initially held liable, the parties can negotiate with each other and take whichever remedy is cheapest to fix (or endure) the situation 36 Quoting from Coase (p. 13): Judges have to decide on legal liability but this should not confuse economists about the nature of the economic problem involved. In the case of the cattle and the crops, it is true that there would be no crop damage without the cattle. It is equally true that there would be no crop damage without the crops. The doctor’s work would not have been disturbed if the confectioner had not worked his machinery; but the machinery would have disturbed no one if the doctor had not set up his consulting room in that particular place… 37 Quoting from Coase (p. 13): If we are to discuss the problem in terms of causation, both parties cause the damage. If we are to attain an optimum allocation of resources, it is therefore desirable that both parties should take the harmful effects into account when deciding on their course of action. It is one of the beauties of a smoothly operating pricing system that… the fall in the value of production due to the harmful effect would be a cost for both parties. 38 What does Coase mean by “a cost for both parties”? If the cheapest alternative is for the farmer to build a fence for $200… The cost to build a fence is $200 But the cost to not build a fence is more than $200 – since under a closed-range law, the farmer could ask the rancher for more than $200 to build the fence “Opportunity cost” 39 So, summing up… Coase Theorem: In the absence of transaction costs, if property rights are well-defined and tradeable, voluntary negotiations will lead to efficiency. The initial allocation of property rights therefore does not matter for achieving efficiency… …provided there are no transaction costs (But if there are transaction costs, then the initial allocation can matter for efficiency… …and it will always matter for distribution) 40 Foxes 41 One early, “classic” property law case Pierson v. Post (NY Supreme Court, 1805) Lodowick Post organized a fox hunt, was chasing a fox Jesse Pierson appeared “out of nowhere,” killed the fox and took it Post sued to get the fox back Lower court sided with Post; Pierson appealed to NY Supreme Court Question: when do you own an animal? 42 One early, “classic” property law case Court ruled for Pierson (the one who killed the fox) “If the first seeing, starting, or pursuing such animals… should afford the basis of actions against others for intercepting and killing them, it would prove a fertile source of quarrels and litigation” (Also: just because an action is “uncourteous or unkind” does not make it illegal) Dissenting opinion: a fox is a “wild and noxious beast,” and killing foxes is “meritorious and of public benefit” Post should own the fox, in order to encourage fox hunting 43 Same tradeoff we saw earlier: Pierson gets the fox simpler rule (finders keepers) easier to implement fewer disputes Post gets the fox more efficient incentives (stronger incentive to pursue animals that may be hard to catch) Just like Fast Fish/Loose Fish vs Iron Holds The Whale Fast Fish/Loose Fish is the simpler rule, leads to fewer disputes Iron Holds the Whale is more complicated, but is necessary with whales where hunting them the old-fashioned way is too dangerous 44 Doesn’t Coase make Pierson v Post irrelevant? Coase seems to say: for efficiency, it doesn’t matter who starts off with the right to the fox If Post values it more, he can buy it from Pierson, or vice versa Seems to imply: one rule is just as good as the other, as long as we all know what the rule is So why does Pierson v Post matter? Transaction costs! Majority: if Post gets the fox back, “it would prove a fertile course of quarrels and litigation” – the ensuing lawsuits would be costly Dissent: killing foxes is a good thing (externality), so lots of people benefit – so hard to get efficient amount of fox hunting through bargaining 45 Transaction costs Coase: “in the absence of transaction costs, if property rights are well-defined and tradable, voluntary negotiations will lead to efficiency.” This suggests that if there are transaction costs, voluntary negotiations may not lead to efficiency Car example (yet again) If transactions are costly, we may not trade And if we do trade, we incur that cost 46 Quoting Coase… “If market transactions were costless, all that matters (questions of equity apart) is that the rights of the various parties should be well-defined and the results of legal actions easy to forecast. But… the situation is quite different when market transactions are so costly as to make it difficult to change the arrangement of rights established by the law. In such cases, the courts directly influence economic activity. …Even when it is possible to change the legal delimitation of rights through market transactions, it is obviously desirable to reduce the need for such transactions and thus reduce the employment of resources in carrying them out. 47 We can see the Coase Theorem as either a positive or negative result “In the absence of transaction costs, if property rights are well-defined and tradable, voluntary negotiations will lead to efficiency.” We can read this as… “As long as transaction costs aren’t a big deal, we’ll get efficiency” Or as, “we’ll only get efficiency automatically if there are no transaction costs” Coase also gives two examples of institutions that may emerge in response to high transaction costs: Firms Government regulation 48 Many externalities can be thought of as missing property rights Overfishing in communal lake? It’s because property rights over those fish aren’t well-defined Firm polluting too much? It’s because property rights over clean air aren’t well-defined So one solution… Make property rights complete enough to cover “everything,” and tradable, and use the law to minimize transaction costs… …Then Coase kicks in and we get efficiency! (Booya!) So why not do this? COSTS! 49 That’s it for today HW1 due (online submission) midnight Thursday For Wednesday Demsetz, “Toward a Theory of Property Rights” Calabresi and Melamed, “Property Rules, Liability Rules, and Inalienability: One View of the Cathedral” 50 Bargaining (we won’t get to this on Monday) 51 Some vocabulary about bargaining Example from before: Your car is worth $3,000 to you, and $4,000 to me Suppose I have $10,000 $10,000 is my threat point the payoff I can get on my own, by refusing to cooperate with you also called reservation utility, or outside option $3,000 is your threat point Any outcome we both agree to must make us both at least as well-off as our threat point 52 Some vocabulary about bargaining If I don’t buy the car from you… my payoff is 10,000 (my threat point) your payoff is 3,000 combined payoffs are 13,000 If I buy the car for some price P my payoff is 4,000 + 10,000 – P = 14,000 – P your payoff is P combined payoffs are 14,000 – P + P = 14,000 $1,000 are the gains from trade (or gains from cooperation) no trade combined payoffs of $13,000 I buy car combined payoffs of $14,000 if we cooperate, our combined payoffs increase by $1,000 53 Some vocabulary about bargaining Threat points: 10,000 and 3,000 Gains from cooperation: 1,000 Suppose the gains from cooperation were split equally we’d each get 500 more than threat point my payoff would be 10,500, yours 3,500 which means P = $3,500 (Coase doesn’t specify gains will be divided equally, just that they’ll be divided in some way) 54 Let’s go back to the rancher and farmer Cows do $500 damage; fence around herd costs $400; fence around crops costs $200 Rancher’s Rights Rancher’s Threat Point Farmer’s Rights 0 -400 -200 0 Gains From Cooperation 0 200 Rancher’s Payoff (IF…) 0 -300 Farmer’s Threat Point Farmer’s Payoff -200 Combined Payoffs -200 100 = -200 55 Relating Coase to general equilibrium/ first welfare theorem General equilibrium given prices, consumers maximize utility given prices, firms maximize profits prices are such that all markets clear First Welfare Theorem: general equilibrium is efficient But not when there are externalities, or “missing markets” Allowing the consumer to negotiate with the firm is like introducing a “missing market” in air rights 56 Relating Coase to general equilibrium/ first welfare theorem General equilibrium given prices, consumers maximize utility given prices, firms maximize profits prices are such that all markets clear First Welfare Theorem: general equilibrium is efficient But not when there are externalities, or “missing markets” Allowing the consumer to negotiate with the firm is like introducing a “missing market” in air rights 57