Econ 522 Economics of Law Dan Quint Spring 2014

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Econ 522
Economics of Law
Dan Quint
Spring 2014
Lecture 3
Logistics
 First homework due at noon next Thursday

Feel free to work together, but write up your own answers!
 If you want to read ahead for Monday…

Ronald Coase, “The Problem of Social Cost”
Lecture notes – try View  Notes Page
Monday, we defined efficiency
 Efficiency: “all available Kaldor-Hicks improvements made”


roughly, maximizing total value, or total surplus, or total payoffs, to
everyone in society…
…where everything is translated into dollars, so we’re able to
add/compare across people
 Means that…



each scarce resource is owned by whoever values it most
goods are produced whenever their value is greater than their cost
and so on
Also Monday, we discussed some forces
that lead to inefficiency
 Externalities




People make choices based on private cost and private benefit
Efficiency is based on social cost and social benefit
When social cost > private cost, negative externality
 people will do something more than efficient amount
When social benefit > private benefit, positive externality
 people will do something less than efficient amount
 Barriers to trade, taxes
 Monopoly/private information
Finally on Monday, we posed the question:
 Is efficiency a good goal for the law?
 …and then we ran out of time
Is efficiency a good
goal for the law?
6
Important distinction: positive versus
normative economics
 positive statements are statements of fact



can be descriptive: “in 2007, U.S. GDP was $13.8 trillion”
can be theoretical predictions: “if prices rise, demand will fall”
“economics of what is”
 normative statements contain value judgments



for example, “less inequality is better”
or, “government should encourage innovation”
“economics of what ought to be”
7
Most of this class will be positive analysis
 Predicting behavior, and outcomes, that follow from a law
or legal system is positive economics


“Law X will lead to more car accidents than law Y”
“Law X will lead to more efficient outcomes than law Y”
 But in the background, we’d like some sense of what is
the normative goal of the legal system

“Law X is better than law Y”
 One candidate for that normative goal is efficiency
8
Friedman gives a few arguments for
studying efficiency
“The central question [in this book]… is a simple one: what set of
rules and institutions maximize the size of the pie? What legal
rules are economically efficient?
There are at least three reasons why that is the question we ask.
The first is that while economic efficiency… is not the only thing
that matters to human beings, it is something that matters quite a
lot to most human beings.
The second reason is that there is evidence that considerable parts
of the legal system we live in can be explained as tools to generate
efficient outcomes… It is a lot easier to make sense out of a tool if
you know what it is designed to do.
A final reason is that figuring out what rules lead to… efficient
outcomes is one of the things economists know how to do –
and when you have a hammer, everything looks like a nail.”
- Friedman, Law’s Order, p. 312
9
But…
 This answers the question, “Why is it interesting to study
efficiency?”
 Not the question, “Should the law be designed with the
goal of achieving efficiency?”
 To answer this latter question…
10
Posner gives us one argument why the law
should aim to be efficient
 Richard Posner (1980), The Ethical and Political Basis of
Efficiency Norm in Common Law Adjudication
 Starts with the observation: if you buy a lottery ticket and
don’t win anything, you can’t complain
 Imagine before we all started driving, everyone in the
world got together and negotiated a liability rule for traffic
accidents
 If one rule is more efficient than another, we’d all vote for
that rule ex-ante – ex-ante consent
11
Ex-ante consent – simple example
 Suppose there are two candidate rules for accident liability
 One favors pedestrians, one favors drivers
 The one favoring car drivers is more efficient
Expected
Expected Expected payoff if you
payoff,
payoff,
don’t know which one
drivers
pedestrians
you’ll be
Strict liability rule
-100
0
-50
Negligence rule
-20
-60
-40
 Posner’s point: before we know who we’ll be, everyone
would unanimously agree to the second rule
12
Things are a little more complicated…
 People without cars would prefer a less efficient system
if it meant drivers were responsible
 Posner deals with heterogeneity with a different example
 Landlord-friendly versus tenant-friendly laws




Might think tenants would prefer pro-tenant laws
But rents are determined competitively
If laws become more tenant-friendly, rents might go up to
compensate
And if tenant-friendly law is less efficient, it could make both
sides worse off!
13
Example: new law requiring landlords to pay
for their tenants’ heat







Suppose tenants get $1000 value from apartment, minus rent
Landlords pay $100 for heat, $600 in other costs
Without this law, tenants would pay for their own heat
They’d heat apartment less, get $980 value and pay $60 for heat
Might think tenants would prefer inefficient tenant-friendly law…
But rents are set competitively, would go up to compensate…
So both landlords and tenants do better under the old law!
Landlord pays for heat
Tenant pays for heat
Tenants’
payoffs
Landlords’
payoffs
Tenants
Landlords
1000 – rent
rent – 600 – 100
1000 – 850
= 150
850 – 600 – 100
= 150
980 – 60 – rent
rent – 600
980 – 60 – 760
= 160
760 – 600
= 160
14
Ex-ante consent, ex-ante compensation
 Posner’s basic argument: if we choose the most efficient
legal system, everyone is “compensated ex-ante” for the
choice, and should willingly accept the outcome they get
 Of course, all this consent is hypothetical…
 …and it does have certain limitations
15
Limitations to Posner’s argument
 The “lottery ticket” analogy requires risk neutrality


50% chance at $1,000,000 is just as good as 50% chance at
$900,000 and 50% chance at $100,000
If $100,000 is “worth more to you” when you’re broke than when
you already have $900,000, this argument doesn’t work
 Counterpoint to Posner: Hammond (1982)



Efficiency is really a special case of utilitarianism, and subject to
the same limitations
“Value” = “willingness to pay”
$1 worth the same to everyone
16
This highlights some of the things efficiency
is not
 efficiency is not equity
 efficiency is not fairness
 efficiency is not maximizing happiness
“Suppose that pituitary extract is in very short supply… and is
therefore very expensive. A poor family has a child who will be a
dwarf if he doesn’t get some of the extract, but the family cannot
afford the price [or borrow the money].
A rich family has a child who will grow to normal height, but the
extract will add a few inches more, and his parents decide to buy it
for him.
In the sense of value used in this book, the pituitary extract is more
valuable to the rich family… because value is measured by
willingness to pay, but the extract would confer greater happiness in
the hands of the poor family.”
- Posner, Economic Analysis of Law
17
A more pragmatic defense of efficiency as a
goal for the law
 Cooter and Ulen (textbook ch. 1)
 Efficiency should not necessarily be the goal of society
 But efficiency should be the goal of the legal system
 If redistribution is desirable, it’s better to make the legal
system efficient, and address distribution through taxes

Cooter and Ulen offer four reasons why the tax system is a better
way to redistribute wealth than the legal system
18
Four reasons the tax system is a better way
to redistribute wealth than the legal system
1.
Taxes can target “rich” and “poor” more precisely than the
legal system can
2.
Distributional effects of legal changes are harder to
predict
3.
Lawyers are more expensive than accountants
4.
More narrowly-targeted taxes cause greater distortion
than broad-based taxes
19
To make this last point, an example
Two goods: beer (x), pizza (y)
One consumer, with $60 and utility u(x,y) = x0.5 y0.5
a. Given prices p for beer and q for pizza, calculate demand.
(x,y) = (30/p, 30/q)
Beer and pizza are produced at $1 per unit, and perfectly competitive markets
So without any taxes, p = q = $1
b. Calculate demand, and utility, with no tax.
(x,y) = (30, 30)
u(x,y) = 300.5 300.5 = 30
c. Calculate demand and utility with $0.50 tax on beer.
(x,y) = (20, 30)
u(x,y) = 200.5 300.5 = 6000.5  24.49
d. How much revenue does $0.50 tax on beer raise?
20 X $0.50 = $10
e. Calculate demand and utility with $0.20 tax on both goods.
(x,y) = (25, 25)
u(x,y) = 250.5 250.5 = 25
f. How much revenue does $0.20 tax on both goods raise?
25 X $0.20 + 25 X $0.20 = $10
g. Which is the better way to raise revenue?
20
So, summing up… is efficiency a good goal
for the law?
 We’ve seen two arguments in favor


Posner: it’s what we all would have agreed on ex-ante
C&U: if you want to redistribute, it’s better to do it through taxes
 But there are definitely some problems with efficiency

Distribution matters; not everything is monetizable; people might
care about procedural fairness
 My take


In this class, we’ll mostly focus on the positive questions
But in the background, I think of efficiency as a “pretty good”, but
definitely imperfect, measure of “goodness”
A nice blog post about why policy evaluation
should at least start with efficiency…
Let’s first dispense with the straw man. I’ve never heard of an
economist who believes that every efficient policy is good, and I’ve
heard of very few who believe that every inefficient policy is bad.
It’s true that most economists do seem to believe that any good policy
analysis should start by considering efficiency. That doesn’t mean it
should end there.
I think economists are right to emphasize efficiency, and I think so for
(at least) two reasons. First, emphasizing efficiency forces us to
concentrate on the most important problems. Second,
emphasizing efficiency forces us to be honest about our goals.
– Steven Landsburg
http://www.thebigquestions.com/2010/08/30/efficiency-experts
“Emphasizing efficiency forces us to be
honest about our goals”
Politician: Here’s my program to make the health care system work better by
subsidizing health care for the poor.
Economist: Your program costs a billion dollars and delivers half a billion
dollars worth of benefits. That’s inefficient.
Politician: So what?
Economist: Well, the “so what” is that maybe you could take that billion
dollars and deliver a full billion dollars worth of benefits instead if you spent it a
little differently. Why not just hand the cash out to poor people?
Politician: Because I don’t want to help all poor people. I only want to help
sick poor people – and this is the only way I can think of to do that.
Economist: Ah. So your goal here is not to make the health care system work
better at all. Instead it’s to transfer resources to sick poor people.
Politician: I guess so.
Economist: That’s fine. Now we can have a healthy debate about whether
that’s what we want to do.
A quick
digression
Before we move on, a quick digression…
 I don’t have many “absolute beliefs” about economics

Some people do
 I hope that doesn’t make things too confusing
25
Before we move on, a quick digression…
 I don’t have many “absolute beliefs” about economics

Some people do
 I hope that doesn’t make things too confusing
 Relatedly, if I don’t see economics as a set of rules to
memorize, how do I know what I know?

I need to see a model, or an example, that demonstrates it
26
Rest of today:
 introduce some basic game theory
 begin property law (if time allows)
27
Some basic
game theory
28
A brief introduction to game theory
 Today, we focus on static games

Also known as simultaneous-move games
 A static game is completely described by three things:



Who the players are
What actions are available to each player
What payoff each player will get, as a function of


his own action, and
the actions of the other players
 Any complete description of these three things fully
characterizes a static game
29
A classic example: the Prisoner’s Dilemma
 (Story)
 Players: player 1 and player 2
 Two actions available to each player: rat on the other, or
keep mum
 Payoffs:





u1(mum, mum) = -1
u1(rat, mum) = 0
u1(mum, rat) = -10
u1(rat,rat) = -5
Same for player 2
30
In two-player games with finite actions, one
way to present game is payoff matrix
Player 2’s Action
Always Player 1
Mum
Rat
Mum
-1, -1
-10, 0
Rat
0, -10
-5, -5
Player 1’s Action
Player 1’s Payoff
Player 2’s Payoff
31
Nash Equilibrium
 We solve a game by looking for a Nash equilibrium
 Nash equilibrium is a strategy profile (an action for each
player) such that:


No player can improve his payoff by switching to a different action…
…given what his opponent/opponents are doing
32
A strategy profile is a Nash Equilibrium if no
player can gain by deviating
 Is (Mum, Mum) an
equilibrium?

Player 2’s Action
Player 1’s Action
 If any player can improve
his payoff by changing his
action, given his opponents’
actions, then it is not a Nash
equilibrium
Mum
Rat
Mum
-1, -1
-10, 0
Rat
0, -10
-5, -5
No, if player 2 is playing Mum
player 1 gains by deviating
33
In two-player games, we find Nash equilibria
by highlighting best responses
 My best response to a particular play by the other player
is whichever action(s) give me the highest payoff
 To find Nash Equilibria…




Circle payoff from player 1’s
Mum
best response to each action
by his opponent
-1, -1
Mum
Circle payoff from player 2’s
best response to each action
0, -10
Rat
Any box with both payoffs
circled is an equilibrium
Because each player is playing
a best-response to his opponent’s action…
…so neither one can improve by changing his strategy
Player 1’s Action

Player 2’s Action
Rat
-10, 0
-5, -5
34
Some games will have more than one
equilibrium
 Another classic: Battle of the Sexes
 (Story)
 Circle player 2’s
best responses
 We find two equilibria:
(ballgame, ballgame)
and (opera, opera)

Player 1’s Action
 Circle player 1’s
best responses
Player 2’s Action
Baseball Game
Opera
Baseball
Game
6, 3
0, 0
Opera
0, 0
3, 6
Game theory usually doesn’t have that much to say about which
equilibrium will get played when there are more than one
35
Sometimes, there will be a “good” and a
“bad” equilibrium
 Growth model
 (Story)
 Circle player 2’s
best responses
 Two equilibria:
(invest, invest)
and (consume, consume)

Player 1’s Action
 Circle player 1’s
best responses
Player 2’s Action
Invest
Consume
Invest
2, 2
0, 1
Consume
1, 0
1, 1
Some papers explain differences in growth across countries by
saying some are in “good” equilibrium and some are in “bad” one
36
Some games don’t have any equilibrium
where players only play one action



Look for Nash
Equilibria by
circling best
responses
No square with
both payoffs
circled
No equilibrium
where each
player plays a
single action
Player 1’s Action
 Scissors, Paper, Rock for $1
Player 2’s Action
Scissors
Paper
Rock
Scissors
0, 0
1, -1
-1, 1
Paper
-1, 1
0, 0
1, -1
Rock
1, -1
-1, 1
0, 0
 In this class, we’ll focus on games with a pure-strategy
Nash equilibrium
37
That’s a very quick introduction to static
games
 Now on to…
Skip
38
Property Law
39
To begin, a story
40
Why do we need property law in the first
place?
 We already saw one reason
 Tragedy of Commons – overuse of land is held in common
 For another example, imagine two neighboring farmers
 Each has two choices: farm his own land, or steal crops
from his neighbor

Stealing is less efficient than planting my own crops




Have to carry the crops from your land to mine
Might drop some along the way
Have to steal at night  move slower
If I steal your crops, I avoid the effort of planting and watering
41
Why do we need property law in the first
place?
 Suppose that planting and watering costs 5, the crops either
farmer could grow are worth 15, and stealing costs 3
 With no legal system,
the game has the
following payoffs:
 We look for equilibrium
Player 1
Player 2
Farm
Steal
Farm
10, 10
-5, 12
Steal
12, -5
0, 0
 Like Prisoner’s Dilemma


both farmers stealing is the only equilibrium
but that outcome is Pareto-dominated by both farmers farming
42
So how do we fix the problem?
 Suppose there were lots of farmers facing this same
problem
 They come up with an idea:


Institute some property rights
And some type of government that would punish people who steal
 Setting up the system would cost something

Suppose it imposes a cost c on everyone who plays by the rules
43
ORIGINAL GAME
MODIFIED GAME
Player 2
Player 2
Farm
Steal
Farm
10, 10
-5, 12
Steal
12, -5
0, 0
Farm
Player 1
Player 1
So how do we fix the problem?
Steal
Farm 10 – c, 10 – c -5 – c, 12 – P
Steal 12 – P, -5 – c
-P, -P
 If P is big, and c is not too big, then 12 – P < 10 – c
 In that case, (Farm, Farm) is an equilibrium

Payoffs are (10 – c, 10 – c), instead of (0, 0) from before
44
So the idea here…
 Anarchy is inefficient



I spend time and effort stealing from you
You spend time and effort defending your property from thieves
Instead of doing productive work
 Establishing property rights, and a legal process for when
they’re violated, is one way around the problem
45
Overview of Property Law
 Cooter and Ulen: property is
“A bundle of legal rights over resources that the owner is free to
exercise and whose exercise is protected from interference by others”
 Property rights are not absolute

Appendix to ch. 4 discusses different conceptions of property rights
 Any system has to answer four fundamental questions:




What things can be privately owned?
What can (and can’t) an owner do with his property?
How are property rights established?
What remedies are given when property rights are violated?
46
Answers to many of these seem obvious
 BUT…
source:
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21088150/
47
Monday: Coase
 Take a look at Coase, “The Problem of Social Cost”
 Have a good weekend – see you Monday
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