Econ 805 Advanced Micro Theory 1 Dan Quint Fall 2009

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Econ 805
Advanced Micro Theory 1
Dan Quint
Fall 2009
Lecture 2
Today
 Common auction formats
 The Independent Private Values model
1
Common Auction Formats
and Strategic Equivalences
2
Dutch Auction
 Auctioneer begins at a high price and lowers it until a
buyer claims the object at the current price
 A slightly abstracted view: the price falls continuously
(on a clock) instead of in increments
 In a literal sense, a bidder’s strategy can be thought
of as a choice of whether or not to buy at each price;
but for practical purposes, it can be reduced to a
decision of at what price to shout “mine!” if the item’s
still available
3
“Sealed Tender” or “First-Price” Auction
 Each bidder submits a sealed bid
 The object goes to the bidder with the highest bid, at
that price
 A strategy is simply a choice of how much to bid
4
Dutch Auction = First-Price Auction
 If all the matters is who wins the object and how
much they pay, then the Dutch Auction and the FirstPrice Auction are equivalent

In each, a bidder’s strategy is reduced to picking a number;
the highest number wins, and pays that much
5
English (Ascending) Auction
 Think of art auctions
 Price begins low; auctioneer solicits bids at the next
price, keeps naming higher prices until no one is
willing to raise their bid
 Or, bidders name their own prices until no one is
willing to outbid the high bidder – think of online
auctions without proxy bidding
 High bidder pays what he bid
6
Simplified English Auction (or Button
Auction)
 Price begins low, rises continuously
 At each price, bidders can remain active (hold down
a button) or drop out permanently
 Bidders only know the current price (not who has
dropped out and at what price)
 When the second-to-last bidder drops out, the last
man standing pays the current price
 A bidder’s strategy can be reduced to choosing a
price at which to drop out if he hasn’t won
7
Second-Price (or Vickrey) Auction
 Each bidder submits a sealed bid
 The object goes to the highest bidder, but the price
they pay is the second-highest bid
8
Simplified English = Second-Price
 Again, if we reduce the game to the question of who
wins and how much they pay, the Simplified English
Auction and Second Price Auction are equivalent

Strategies are reduced to picking a number
 Highest number wins; payment is second-highest number
 But the Simplified English Auction changes if bidders
can see who is still active at each price
If I’m unsure of the exact value of the object, I may revise
my estimate depending on how other bidders bid
 Then strategies can no longer be reduced to picking a
single number, and the equivalence breaks down

9
All-Pay Auctions and Wars of Attrition
 In an All-Pay Auction, bidders submit sealed bids, the
high bid wins the object, but everyone pays what they
bid

All-Pay Auctions are sometimes used to model lobbying,
attempts to buy political influence, and patent races – the
losers already made their contributions or incurred their
costs
 War of Attrition is the same, but dynamic – like an allpay button auction where bidders can see who’s still
active

Great game for an undergrad game theory class – auction
off a $20 bill, highest bid wins, highest two bids both pay
what they bid
10
Multi-Unit Auctions with Unit Demand
 Suppose there are k > 1 identical items for sale, but
each bidder can only have one
 “Pay-as-bid” auction is like a first-price auction – the k
highest bidders win and pay their bids
 Analog to the second-price auction is the “k+1st-price”
auction
 Button auction works similarly, ends when the k+1st
bidder left drops out
11
The Independent
Private Values Model
12
Baseline model of an auction as a Bayesian
Game: Symmetric Independent Private Values
 N > 1 bidders in an auction for a single object
 Nature moves first, assigning each bidder a private
valuation vi for the object
Each bidder’s value vi is an independent draw from a
common probability distribution F
 Each bidder knows his own value vi but not that of his
opponents
 F is common knowledge

 Bidder i’s payoff is vi – p if he wins, 0 if he loses,
where p is the price he pays for the object

Like the Cournot game, i’s payoff depends on j’s type only
through j’s action – this is what’s meant by “private values”
13
Note all the implicit assumptions we’re
making
 The number of bidders is fixed – there is no decision
over whether or not to participate
 Each bidder knows his own valuation perfectly, does
not care what the other bidders think of the object
 The bidders are symmetric ex-ante – valuations are
drawn from the same distribution, which is common
knowledge
 Valuations are statistically independent
 Bidders are risk-neutral
14
Auctions to sell versus auctions to buy
 Suppose the government holds an auction for a
contract to provide some service

Bids are now offers to provide the service at a given price,
and the lowest bid wins
 Where buyers were distinguished by their valuations for
winning their object, firms can be thought of as
distinguished by their cost of providing the service
 So firm i’s payoffs would be p – ci, where p is the price
received, and all the same analysis goes through
15
Solving for Equilibrium in the
First- and Second-Price Auctions
16
Second-price (Vickrey) auctions in the
IPV world
 Claim. In a second-price sealed-bid auction,
submitting a bid equal to your value is a weakly
dominant strategy
 Proof. Let B be the highest of your opponents’ bids.

When B > v, you could only win the object at price B, for a
payoff of v – B < 0; bidding b = v gives you 0, which is as
good as you can do
 When B < v, any bid b > B gives the same payoff, v – B > 0,
which is payoff from bidding b = v and the best you can do
 When B = v, any bid gives the same payoff, 0
 Corollary. Every bidder playing the strategy
bi(vi) = vi is a Bayesian Nash Equilibrium of the
second-price auction
17
Similarly…
 In a button auction, it’s a dominant strategy to drop out when the price
reaches your private value vi
 Doesn’t matter if you can observe who’s already dropped out or not
 In an open-outcry ascending auction…

Equilibrium strategies are not clear
 But it is a dominant strategy to never bid above your private value vi, nor
to let the auction end at price below vi – d (where d is the minimum bid
increment)
 So any equilibrium will involve the highest-value bidder winning (unless
the highest two are within d of each other), and paying within d of the
second-highest value
 So with private values, as d gets small, second-price or button auctions
give approximately the same outcome as ascending auctions
 Also similar is a first-price auction with proxy bidding, a la eBay

Bidders can name a maximum, then the computer raises their bid to the
minimum required to win until that maximum is reached
18
Sadly, “everyone bids their value” is not the
only equilibrium of the second-price auction
 Suppose bidder values were drawn from a
distribution with support [0,10]
 The following is an equilibrium of the second-price
auction:

Bidder 1 bids 15 regardless of his type
 All other bidders bid 0 regardless of their type
 bi(vi)=vi is “nearly” the only symmetric equilibrium;
and it involves bidders playing a strict best-response
at nearly every type; and it’s the equilibrium we’ll
19
focus on
First-price auctions in the symmetric
IPV world
 We’ll look for “nice” equilibria:

Symmetric (bidders all play the same strategy)
 Bids are increasing in valuations
 Tomorrow, we’ll learn a trick that makes finding this
type of equilibrium much easier
 Suppose such an equilibrium exists, and let
b : [0,V]  R+ be the common bid function; then at a
given type v, b(v) must be a solution to
max x  R+ (v – x) Pr(win | bid x, opponents bid b(-))
= max x  R+ (v – x) Pr(b(vj) < x " j  i)
= max x  R+ (v – x) Pr(vj < b-1(x) " j  i)
= max x  R+ (v – x) FN-1(b-1(x))
20
If there is a symmetric, increasing
equilibrium in a first-price auction…
max x (v  x) F N 1 (b1 ( x))
b(v) must solve
0  F
N 1
0  F
N 1
b ' (v ) F
N 1

dF N 1 1
(b ( x))  (v  x)
(b ( x))(b 1 )' ( x)
dv
1
d
(v)  (v  b(v)) F N 1 (v) / b' (v)
dv
b(v) F
(b-1)’ = 1/b’
x = b(v) in equilibrium
d N 1
d N 1
(v )  b (v ) F (v )  v F (v )
dv
dv

d
d N 1
N 1
b ( v ) F (v )  v F (v )
dv
dv
N 1
First-order condition
so integrating from 0 to v,
v
(v)   sd ( F N 1 (s))
0
21
So if there is a “nice” equilibrium, it must be
b(v) = 0v sd(FN-1(s)) / FN-1(v)
 What is this?
 Well, if a random variable y has cumulative
distribution G with positive support, then
0v s dG(s) / G(v) = E(y | y < v)
 And FN-1(v) is the cumulative distribution function of
the highest of N-1 independent draws from F
 So if we let v1 and v2 refer to the highest and secondhighest valuations in a symmetric IPV model, then
b(v) = E(v2 | v1 = v)
22
Now here’s where it gets cool…
 In the symmetric equilibrium of the second-price auction, the
price paid is v2, so the seller’s expected revenue is simply E(v2)
 In the symmetric, increasing equilibrium in the first-price
auction (if it exists),



The bidder with the highest value wins
If the highest value is v, the winner pays E(v2 | v1 = v)
So the seller’s expected revenue is
E v1 E(v2 | v1) = E(v2)
 So the seller’s expected revenue is the same in both auctions!
23
And similarly…
 In the first-price auction…


A bidder with type v expects to win with probability FN-1(v), and to
pay b(v) = E(v2 | v1 = v) when he wins
So his expected payoff is FN-1(v) [ v – E(v2 | v1 = v) ]
 In the second-price auction…



A bidder with type v expects to win whenever he has the highest
value (v1 = v), and to pay v2 when he wins
So his expected payment, conditional on winning, is E(v2 | v1 = v)
And so his expected payoff is FN-1(v) [ v – E(v2 | v1 = v) ]
 So each type of bidder gets the same expected payoff in the
two auctions
24
This turns out not to be a fluke
 This is exactly what we’ll prove more generally next class:
 With independent private values, any two auctions in
which, in equilibrium,


the player with the highest value wins the object, and
any player with the lowest possible type gets expected payoff of 0
will give the same expected payoff to each type of each
player, and the same expected revenue to the seller
 So, (a) this is pretty interesting, and (b) once we’ve
proven this, we can use it to calculate equilibrium
strategies much more easily
25
In Case We Have Time,
A Few Slides on Second-Order
Stochastic Dominance
26
When is one probability distribution less
risky than another?

Two random variables X and Y with the same
mean, with distributions F and G

Three conditions to consider:
1. “Every risk-averse utility maximizer prefers X to Y”, i.e.,
E u(X)  E u(Y) for every nondecreasing, concave u,
or - u(s) dF(s)  - u(s) dG(s)
(also called SOSD)
2. “Y is a mean-preserving spread of X”, or “Y = X + noise”:
$ r.v. Z s.t. Y =d X + Z, with E(Z|X) = 0 for every value of X
3. For every x,
-x F(s) ds  -x G(s) ds

Rothschild-Stiglitz (1970): 1  2  3
27
What does this tell us?

Risk-averse buyers greatly impact auction design –
changes equilibrium strategies – we’ll get to that in
a few lectures (Maskin and Riley)

Risk-averse sellers have less impact – equilibrium
strategies are the same, all that changes is seller’s
valuation of different distributions of revenue

Claim. With symmetric IPV, a risk-averse seller
prefers a first-price to a second-price auction
28
Proof: we’ll show revenue in second-price
auction is MPS of revenue in first-price


Recall that revenue in a second-price auction is v2, and
revenue in a first-price auction is E(v2 | v1)
Let X, Y, and Z be random variables derived from bidders’
valuations, as follows:







X = g(v1)
Z = v2 – g(v1)
Y = v2
where g(t) = 0t s dFN-1(s) / FN-1(t) = E(v2 | v1 = t)
Note that Y = X + Z, and
E(Z | X=g(t)) = E(v2 | v1 = t) – E(v2 | v1 = t) = 0
So Y is a mean-preserving spread of X, so any risk-averse
utility maximizer prefers X to Y
But X is the revenue in the first-price auction, and Y is the
29
revenue in the second-price auction – Q.E.D.
A cool proof SOSD 
“-x F(s) ds  -x G(s) ds everywhere”
 We’ll use the “extremal method” or “basis function method”
 We’ll rewrite our generic (increasing concave) function u(s) as a
positive sum of basis functions
u(s) = - w(q) h(s,q) dq
with w(q)  0, where these basis functions are themselves increasing
and concave
 Then we’ll show that X SOSD Y if and only if
- h(x,q) dF(x)  - h(y,q) dG(y)
for all the basis functions
 (“Only if” is trivial, since h(s,q) is increasing and concave; “if” just
involves multiplying this inequality by w(q) and integrating over q)
30
A cool proof SOSD 
“-x F(s) ds  -x G(s) ds everywhere”
 We’ll do the special case of u twice differentiable. Our basis functions
will be a constant, a linear term, and the functions
h(x,q) = min(x,q)
 Claim is that
u(x) = a + bx + 0 (-u’’(q)) h(x,q) dq
 Note that -u’’(q) is nonnegative, since u is concave
 To see the equality, integrate by parts, with db = -u’’ dq, a = h:
a db
= a b – b da
= –h(x,q)u’(q)|q=- – - –u’(q) 1q<x dq
= –xu’() + constant + -x u’(q) dq
 Since X and Y have the same mean,
- (a+bx) dF(x)  - (a+by) dG(y)
31
A cool proof SOSD 
“-x F(s) ds  -x G(s) ds everywhere”
 So all that’s left is to determine when
- h(s,q) dF(s)  - h(s,q) dG(s)
 Integrate by parts: u = h(s,q), dv = dF(s), LHS becomes
h(,q) F() – h(-q) F(-) – -F(s) hs(s,q) ds
= q – 0 – -F(s) 1s<q ds
= q – -qF(s) ds
 Similarly, the right-hand side becomes q – -qG(s) ds
 So Es~F h(s,q)  Es~G h(s,q)

-qF(s) ds  -qG(s) ds
 So X SOSD Y if and only if this holds for every q
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