MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS OF LEAD IN URBAN SOIL IN SACRAMENTO, CALIFORNIA Michael J. Solt B.S., West Virginia University, 2002 THESIS Submitted in partial satisfaction of the requirements for the degree of MASTER OF SCIENCE in GEOLOGY at CALIFORNIA STATE UNIVERSITY, SACRAMENTO SPRING 2010 MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS OF LEAD IN URBAN SOIL IN SACRAMENTO, CALIFORNIA A Thesis by Michael J. Solt Approved by: __________________________________, Committee Chair Dr. Daniel Deocampo __________________________________, Second Reader Dr. Michelle Norris __________________________________, Third Reader Dr. David Evans ____________________________ Date ii Student: Michael J. Solt I certify that this student has met the requirements for format contained in the University format manual, and that this thesis is suitable for shelving in the Library and credit is to be awarded for the thesis. __________________________, Department Chair Dr. David Evans Department of Geology iii ___________________ Date Abstract of MULTIVARIATE ANALYSIS OF LEAD IN URBAN SOIL IN SACRAMENTO, CALIFORNIA by Michael J. Solt Lead contamination in soil is a common problem in urban areas. Sacramento is no exception. Seventy soil samples were collected in Sacramento and analyzed by 4-acid digestion followed by inductively coupled plasma- atomic emission spectrometry and inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry for 43 elements. In addition to the soil samples collected for this study, 43 soil samples collected and analyzed by the same methods supplemented the data. Twenty-eight additional soil samples collected in central Sacramento were analyzed by hand-held X-ray fluorescence spectrometry for Pb and Zn. Two-hundred and fifty-seven samples collected within the area of Sacramento County from the late 1970s to 1980 by the National Uranium Resource Evaluation and Hydrogeochemical Stream Sediment Reconnaissance Program were analyzed by the United States Geological Survey by 4-acid digestion followed by inductively coupled plasma- atomic emission spectrometry and inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry for 42 elements. A prediction map of the lead concentrations in soil from the recent data collected in Sacramento was generated by ordinary kriging. The prediction map shows elevated lead concentrations in soil located in the central, older area of Sacramento where traffic density and industrial activity are spatially and iv temporally persistent. The historic data collected by the NURE program and a subset of recent data collected for this study, were analyzed independently by factor analysis. Both independent analyses identified three lithogenic factors. One such factor includes correlations among Co, Cr, Fe, Mg, and Ni, which are associated with mafic and ultramafic rocks. Another factor identified by both independent analyses includes correlations among Rare Earth Elements, K, and Rb, which are associated with felsic rocks. The last factor identified by both independent analyses includes correlations among Ca, Na, and Sr, which are associated with felsic rocks enriched in these elements. An additional factor was identified by the recent data, which includes correlations among Pb, Cd, Cu, and Zn associated with anthropogenic contamination from vehicle emissions. The presence of the anthropogenic factor in the new data and its subsequent absence from the NURE data is explained by the greater density of recent soil samples collected within the city of Sacramento where anthropogenic contamination is present. _______________________, Committee Chair Dr. Daniel Deocampo _______________________ Date v ACKNOWLEDGMENTS Dr. Daniel Deocampo, Dr. Michelle Norris, Dr. David Evans, Wendy Oor, Barb Dalgish, Sacramento County, Georgia State University, Charlie Alpers, CSUS Geology Department, U. S. Geological Survey vi TABLE OF CONTENTS Page Acknowledgments.................................................................................................................... vi List of Tables ........................................................................................................................... ix List of Figures .......................................................................................................................... xi Chapter 1. INTRODUCTION.……………..………………………………………………………… 1 2. BACKGROUND ................................................................................................................ 5 Lead Uses..................................................................................................................... 5 Adverse Health Effects of Lead Ingestion ................................................................... 5 Natural and Anthropogenic sources of Lead................................................................ 6 Soil Limits for Lead ..................................................................................................... 8 Naturally Occurring Sacramento and Yolo County Soils ............................................ 9 Sacramento Geology .................................................................................................. 10 Previous Work ........................................................................................................... 14 Factor Analysis of Geochemical Variability.............................................................. 18 Ordinary Kriging of Geospatial Data ......................................................................... 24 3. METHODS ....................................................................................................................... 28 Soil Sample Site Selection ......................................................................................... 28 Soil Sample Collection .............................................................................................. 31 Soil Sample Preparation............................................................................................. 33 Laboratory Analysis ................................................................................................... 33 Spatial Analysis ......................................................................................................... 34 Statistical Analysis ..................................................................................................... 37 4. RESULTS ......................................................................................................................... 43 Environmental Analysis ............................................................................................. 43 Replicate Analysis ..................................................................................................... 45 Lead Concentrations and Spatial Analysis................................................................. 47 Ordinary Kriging........................................................................................................ 51 vii Factor Analysis: Maximum Likelihood Estimation ................................................... 53 Factor Analysis: Principal Component Estimation .................................................... 60 5. DISCUSSION ................................................................................................................... 67 Proximity to Roads .................................................................................................... 67 Ordinary Kriging Discussion ..................................................................................... 68 Interpretation of Factors............................................................................................. 72 6. CONCLUSIONS............................................................................................................... 85 Appendix A. Tables ............................................................................................................... 88 Appendix B. Figures ............................................................................................................ 122 Appendix C. The Geochemical Procedure for Ultra-Trace Level Using ICP-AES and ICP-MS .................................................................................................................................. 183 References ............................................................................................................................. 189 viii LIST OF TABLES Page 1. Table 1 Non-regulated soil limits for lead ...................................................................... 88 2. Table 2 Soil attributes of Sacramento and Yolo Counties .............................................. 88 3. Table 3 Geologic attributes of units occurring in the study area ............................... 89 4. Table 4 Elemental concentrations of Sacramento soil analyzed by method MEMS -61 89 5. Table 5 Summary statistics of elemental concentrations analyzed by method MEMS-61 .. ..................................................................................................................... 104 6. Table 6 Elements with skewed distributions, which have been normalized ................. 105 7. Table 7 a) Concentrations of lead in Sacramento soil analyzed by hand- held XRF ..... 105 8. Table 7 b) Concentrations of zinc in Sacramento soil analyzed by hand- held XRF..... 105 9. Table 8 NURE HSSR summary statistics for Sacramento County ............................... 107 10. Table 9 Replicate and environmental results, analysis by MEMS-61 method of soil samples collected in Sacramento, CA.................................................................................... 108 11. Table 10 Summary Statistics of lead concentrations for replicates analyzed by the MEMS-61 method for soil samples collected in Sacramento, CA ............................................ 111 12. Table 11 Percent difference of lead concentrations for replicates analyzed by the MEMS-61 method for soil samples collected in Sacramento, CA ............................................ 111 13. Table 12 Comparison of MEMS-61 method and XRF method for lead and zinc concentrations in Sacramento soils .......................................................................... 112 14. Table 13 List of historic industry using heavy metals .................................................. 112 15. Table 14 Summary statistics of predicted and observed lead concentrations in parts per million .................................................................................................................... 112 16. Table 15 Results and summary statistics for leave-one-out cross validation ................ 112 17. Table 16 MEMS-61 Factor loadings for maximum likelihood estimation of elemental analysis of surface soils form Sacramento, CA ....................................................... 115 18. Table 17 Uniqueness values for maximum likelihood and principal component estimation methods .................................................................................................................... 116 ix 19. Table 18 NURE Factor loadings for maximum likelihood estimation of elemental analysis of surface soils form Sacramento, CA ......................................................................... 117 20. Table 19 NURE Uniqueness values for maximum likelihood and principal component estimation methods .................................................................................................. 118 21. Table 20. MLE and PCE summary statistics from residual matrices of factor analysis of soil samples from Sacramento, CA ................................................................................ 119 22. Table 21 MLE and PCE summary statistics from residual matrices of factor analysis of soil samples from Sacramento, CA ................................................................................ 119 23. Table 22 NURE Factor loadings for principal component estimation of elemental analysis of surface soils form Sacramento, CA ......................................................................... 122 x LIST OF FIGURES Page 1. Figure 1 Study area ...................................................................................................... 122 2. Figure 2 Lead poisoning cases by zip code in Sacramento County .............................. 123 3. Figure 3 Historic lead-use in paint and gasoline in the United States ........................... 124 4. Figure 4 Sierra Nevada rock composition ..................................................................... 125 5. Figure 5 Quaternary geology of the southern Sacramento Valley map ........................ 126 6. Figure 6 Prediction map of lead concentrations in Pueblo, CO .................................... 127 7. Figure 7 Sacramento and Yolo County land use map ................................................... 128 8. Figure 8 Sample sites (2008) location map ................................................................... 129 9. Figure 9 XRF sample location map .............................................................................. 130 10. Figure 10 MEMS-61 sample site locations Oor & Deocampo ..................................... 131 11. Figure 11 MEMS-61 sample site location map............................................................. 132 12. Figure 12 Scree plot ...................................................................................................... 133 13. Figure 13 a) Histogram and b) Box plot of lead concentrations for MEMS-61............ 134 14. Figure 14 MEMS-61 lead concentration map .............................................................. 135 15. Figure 15 a) Histogram of non-normally distributed elements ..................................... 136 16. Figure 15 b) Histogram of non-normally distributed elements ..................................... 137 17. Figure 15 c) Histogram of non-normally distributed elements ..................................... 138 18. Figure 15 d) Histogram of non-normally distributed elements ..................................... 139 19. Figure 15 e) Histogram of non-normally distributed elements ..................................... 140 20. Figure 15 f) Histogram of non-normally distributed elements ..................................... 141 21. Figure 15 g) Histogram of non-normally distributed elements ..................................... 142 22. Figure 16 XRF lead concentration map ........................................................................ 143 xi 23. Figure 17 a) Histogram, b) Box plot of lead concentrations for XRF data ................... 144 24. Figure 18 NURE lead concentration map ..................................................................... 145 25. Figure 19 a) Histogram and b) Box plot of lead concentrations for NURE data .......... 146 26. Figure 20 MEMS-61 and XRF replicate comparison ................................................... 147 27. Figure 21 MEMS-61 & XRF lead concentration and soil map..................................... 148 28. Figure 22 Distribution of lead concentrations and clay percentage in soil ................... 149 29. Figure 23 MEMS-61 & XRF lead concentration and Quaternary geology map ........... 150 30. Figure 24 Distribution of lead concentrations within Quaternary geology ................... 151 31. Figure 25 MEMS-61 & XRF lead concentration and land use map ............................. 152 32. Figure 26 Distribution of lead concentrations within land use areas ............................ 153 33. Figure 27 Location of metal-working industry map (1952) .......................................... 154 34. Figure 28 Rose diagrams of wind direction from a) Sacramento Executive Airport and b) Natomas during year-round and dry-month intervals .............................................. 155 35. Figure 29 Scatter plot of lead concentrations and distances to roads............................ 156 36. Figure 30 MEMS-61 lead concentrations and prediction map ..................................... 157 37. Figure 31 Semivariogram of MEMS-61 data................................................................ 158 38. Figure 32 MEMS-61 lead concentrations and variance prediction map ....................... 159 39. Figure 33 a) MEMS-61 factor loadings 1 & 4 .............................................................. 160 40. Figure 33 b) MEMS-61 factor loadings 2 & 3 ............................................................... 161 41. Figure 34 a) NURE factor loadings 1 & 3 .................................................................... 162 42. Figure 34 b) NURE factor loadings 2 & 3 .................................................................... 163 43. Figure 35 MEMS-61 factor 1 score and prediction map ............................................... 164 44. Figure 36 MEMS-61 factor 2 score and prediction map ............................................... 165 45. Figure 37 MEMS-61 factor 3 score and prediction map ............................................... 166 xii 46. Figure 38 MEMS-61 factor 4 score and prediction map ............................................... 167 47. Figure 39 NURE factor 1 score and prediction map ..................................................... 168 48. Figure 40 NURE factor 2 score and prediction map ..................................................... 169 49. Figure 41 NURE factor 3 score and prediction map ..................................................... 170 50. Figure 42 Historic roadmap of Sacramento (1933) ....................................................... 171 51. Figure 43 Coal-burning smoke stack (1939) ................................................................. 172 52. Figure 44 Histogram of a) Observed and b) Predicted lead concentrations .................. 173 53. Figure 45 a) MEMS-61 and NURE Factor 1 loadings .................................................. 174 54. Figure 45 b) MEMS-61 and NURE Factor 2 loadings.................................................. 175 55. Figure 45 c) MEMS-61 and NURE Factor 3 & 4 loadings ........................................... 176 56. Figure 46 Occurrence of mafic rocks in relation to the study area .............................. 177 57. Figure 47 Occurrence of marine sedimentary rocks in relation to the study area. ........ 178 58. Figure 48 Occurrence of granitic rocks in relation to the study area ............................ 179 59. Figure 49 Coincidence of factor 2 scores with the Lower Riverbank formation .......... 180 60. Figure 50 Distribution of factor 2 scores among Quaternary geology .......................... 181 61. Figure 51 Residual matrix bar chart .............................................................................. 182 xiii 1 Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION Lead contamination in soil is a common problem in urban areas. While lead occurs naturally, no significant sources of lead are found in Sacramento or the surrounding areas. This implies that the origin of elevated concentrations of lead found in the soils of Sacramento is mainly anthropogenic. The purpose of this study is to assess the extent of lead contamination in the soils of Sacramento, California and to identify potential sources (Figure 1). In order to achieve this objective, soil samples collected in Sacramento were analyzed for lead and other trace metals. Lead concentration data was spatially compared to land use, geology, and soil type to determine if a relationship was present. In addition, factor analysis was applied to metal concentrations to identify correlations among these metals. Kriging was used to generate a prediction map of lead concentrations at unsampled locations. Lead has served various purposes throughout human history because of its malleability, density, and ease of extraction. However, its usefulness is overshadowed by its toxicity, especially in young children. The link between lead in soil and lead in blood is the subject of much research, which has identified a link between elevated loadings of lead in house dust and elevated concentrations of lead in soil tracked in homes from outside (Laidlaw et al., 2008). Although lead has been phased out of several products in recent decades, its persistence in the environment remains a serious problem. Urban areas have shown to be especially vulnerable to elevated levels of lead in soil (Mielke et al., 2007; Yassoglou et 2 al., 1987; Filippelli et al., 2005; Francek, 1992). These areas of elevated lead levels reflect a diffuse pattern of redistributed lead from their original point sources. Filippelli et al., 2005, suggest lead particles from automobile exhaust emissions, originally deposited in roadside soils, can be re-suspended and transported greater distances eventually leaving a city-wide “bulls-eye” pattern of lead contamination. Elevated levels of lead in soil have been indirectly linked to elevated blood-lead levels through dust lead loadings in residences (Tsuji & Serl, 1996; Johnson & Bretsch, 2002; Laidlaw et al., 2008; Lanphear et al., 1998). Lead loading of dust is defined as mass of lead per unit area (Laidlaw et al., 2008). In residences, an appreciable portion of dust lead loadings originates from re-suspension of dust as well as outside dust and soil tracked in from lead contaminated soil (Laidlaw et al., 2008). House dust lead concentrations increase as a function of traffic density indicating a large portion of lead in house dust is due to gasoline combustion (Mielke et al., 1998). Lanphear et al., (1998) and Filippelli et al., (2005) state that lead-contaminated house dust is a major source for lead exposure for children. According to the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), lead-based paint, urban soil and dust, and lead in drinking water are three major sources of elevated blood-lead levels (Mielke et al, 1998). Children between the ages of 6 and 36 months are at great risk of lead exposure because of increased hand-mouth behavior (Lanphere et al, 1998). Lead from soil, air, and paint accumulate in house dust. The dust is picked up by children’s hands and then transferred to their mouths. The lead particles are then transferred through biological processes into the bloodstream (Mielke et al., 1998). According to Lanphere et al. (1998) 3 children residing in urban areas have higher blood-lead levels and exposure to lead than children living in suburban or rural areas or in towns with nearby lead-related industries. Lead deposited from anthropogenic activities is usually partitioned into more highly bioavailable carbonate, iron, and manganese hydroxide soil fractions (Filippelli et al., 2005). Bioavailability of lead species refers to the amount of lead that is available to be incorporated into biological processes. Particle size and chemical species are important factors in human absorption and retention of lead (Mielke et al., 1998). Smaller particles are more easily absorbed by the digestive system allowing lead in soil and dust to be up to three times more bioavailable than lead from paint (Mielke et al., 1998). In addition, research shows that an upper limit of lead absorption limits the transfer of high doses of lead from paint chips into the body (Mielke et al., 1998). However, low levels of lead can pose significant risks. Recent studies reveal significant cognitive impairment can occur at blood-lead levels below the current post-abatement clearance standards of 10 μg/dL (Laidlaw et al., 2008). Mostly, lead poisoning occurs among children. Huffman, (2010) reported the rare occurrence of adult cases (1-2 per year) among men working in construction or the automotive industry. Orr, (2005) reports 257 reported cases of lead poisoning between the years of 1989 and 2004 in Sacramento County. The Center for Disease Control (CDC) lists 92 of 118 children having blood lead levels of 10 μg/dL or greater between 2002 and 2006 in Sacramento (CDC, 2006). A study published in 1992, identifying Sacramento as one of three high-risk cities in California, reports 1 percent of children in 4 the 232 households participating have blood lead levels over 20 μg/dL (CDC, 1992). Between January 1st, 2008 and December 1st, 2008 15,457 intravenous and capillary tests were conducted in Sacramento County. Of those, 15,350 cases had blood-lead levels below 10 μg/dL; forty cases had blood-lead levels between 10 and 14.9 μg/dL; sixtyseven cases (including false positives) had blood-lead levels above 15 μg/dL (Huffman, 2010). Blood-lead concentrations of 5-10 μg/dL result in a telephone call to the residence to discuss possible sources of contamination (Huffman, 2010). Blood-lead concentrations above 15 μg/dL result in further investigation by the County of Sacramento. (Figure 2) shows a map of Sacramento County zip codes and the number of lead poisoning cases between July 1st, 2008 and June 30th, 2009. Twenty-eight cases of lead poisoning occurred within this time with 9 false positives. The U.S. EPA developed a model to predict health risk associated with lead in soil. The Integrated Exposure Uptake Biokinetic (IEUBK) Model assesses the routes of environmental exposure to lead and determines the distribution of lead in human tissues (EPA, 2010). Environmental exposure pathways for lead considered by the model include air, diet, water, soil, and paint (Tsuji & Serl, 1996). The model assumes the behavior of lead in the body and predicts mean blood-lead levels and the percent risk of exceeding 10 μg/dL (Tsuji & Serl, 1996). 5 Chapter 2 BACKGROUND Lead Uses Lead (Pb) is a soft gray metal that has had many applications throughout human history. Lead was used in Turkey as early as 6500 BC and used for indoor plumbing by the Romans (Stanford University, 2010). It has been used historically in goblets, ceramic glaze, water pipes, and as a Pb-salt preservative in wine. More recently, applications of lead include bullets, solder, pesticides, car batteries, and x-ray shielding, many of which are no longer in use. Two of the most common uses of lead in our industrial society were as paint and gasoline additives. Approximately the same amount of lead was used in paint from 1884 to 1989 as was used as a gasoline additive from 1929 to 1989 in the United States (Mielke et al., 1998) (Figure 3.). As a result, a residue of 4 to 5 million metric tons was dispersed into the environment from the use of leaded gasoline (Mielke et al., 1998). Adverse Health Effects of Lead Ingestion Despite the recognition of lead as an environmental contaminant and its subsequent removal or reduction in usage, it remains a serious and persistent health concern. Children younger than six years are in the highest health risk group. Lead, which is normally ingested via soil on fingers and toys, is taken up by the child’s underdeveloped gastrointestinal pathway (Filippelli et al., 2005). Because of similar charge and ionic radii, lead replaces calcium in neural signal processing and bone 6 formation (Filippelli et al., 2005; Laidlaw et al., 2008). Placement of lead instead of calcium in neurons causes permanent neural differentiation defects resulting in mental retardation, learning disorders, and attention deficit hyper-activity disorder (Filippelli et al., 2005; Laidlaw et al., 2008). Lead accumulation in bone acts as a long-term source to blood levels (Filippelli et al., 2005; Laidlaw et al., 2008). Natural and Anthropogenic Sources of Lead Lead is found naturally in hydrothermal sulfide deposits. Its most common form occurs as the mineral galena (PbS). Other mineral forms include anglesite (PbSO4), cerussite (PbCO3), crocoite (PbCrO4), Wulfenite (PbMoO4), pyromorphite (Pb5(PO4)3Cl, vanadinite (Pb5(VO4)3Cl and jamesonite (Pb4FeSb6S14) (Perkins, 1998). Sacramento soils are derived mainly from the Sierra Nevada Mountain Range to the east and the Coast Range Mountains to the west, which are not substantial sources of naturally occurring lead. Therefore, high concentrations of lead in soil in Sacramento are of anthropogenic origin. The most common sources of anthropogenic lead contamination are automobile exhaust (prior to 1996 when leaded gasoline was phased out of production), industrial smelting, and lead used in paint in high quantities prior to the 1920s. Facchinelli et al., (2000) list less common sources of anthropogenic lead, which include manure, sewage sludge, lead-arsenate pesticides, industrial fumes, and coal burning. Wang et al., (2005) also attribute addition of lead into the environment to the combustion of coal. 7 Automobile exhaust The addition of lead into gasoline began in the 1920s in an attempt to control the “knocking” of cylinders in a combustion engine (Filippelli et. al., 2005). Tetra-ethyl lead or TEL (CH3CH2)4Pb is combined with 1,2-dibromoethane (BrCH2CH2Br), 1,2dichloroethane (C2H4Cl2), and red dye to produce ethyl fluid, which is then added to gasoline (Seyferth, 2003). TEL produces water, carbon dioxide, and lead when burned. (CH3CH2)4Pb + 13 O2 → 8 CO2 + 10 H2O + Pb 1,2-dibromoethane and 1,2-dichloroethane are added to prevent lead oxide accumulation (Seyferth, 2003). This results in expulsion of lead (II) bromide and lead (II) chloride from the exhaust (Seyferth, 2003). In 1973 the Environmental Protection Agency proposed a gradual phasedown of leaded gasoline (EPA, 1996). Beginning in 1975 lighter trucks and cars were manufactured with a catalytic converter in the exhaust system which required unleaded fuel (EPA, 1996). Finally on January 1, 1996 the Clean Air Act banned the sale of leaded gasoline with the exception of aircraft, racing cars, farm equipment, and marine engines (EPA, 1996). Industrial smelting Industrial production of metals from ore can result in the release of lead and other trace metals associated with the ore into the environment. Industrial smelting has been identified as the cause of lead contamination in Pueblo, Colorado (Diawara et al., 2006). Particulate matter and sulfur dioxide are the main air pollutants emitted from lead and zinc smelting processes (World Bank Group, 1998). 8 Lead in paint Lead added to paint is used mainly as a pigment in the form of lead (II) chromate (PbCrO4), and lead (II) carbonate (PbCO3), but is also used to speed drying, increase durability, and resist moisture. Lead in exterior paints contributes to the occurrence of lead in the environment. Improper removal of such exterior paint poses the greatest risk of dispersion into the environment. In 1978, the U.S. Consumer Product Safety Commission banned the use of lead paint in consumer products, where lead content is 0.06 percent (600 ppm) of the total weight of dried paint, including paints accessible to consumers, furniture, and toys (USCPSC, 1977). Soil Limits for Lead There are several non-regulated limits for soil concentrations of lead published in California and the United States (Table 1.). The US Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA) publishes Regional Screening Levels (RSLs) for Chemical Contaminants at Superfund Sites. These RSLs are risk-based concentrations that take into account human exposure and toxicity but are not necessarily used for regulatory purposes. For lead in soil located in the upper 3 meters, the residential Screening Level is 400 mg/kg and the industrial Screening Level is 800 mg/kg (USEPA Regional Screening Levels, 2010). The California Environmental Protection Agency (CalEPA) publishes Human Health Screening Levels for California (CHHSLs) for contaminated Properties that indicate concentrations of chemicals that are considered to be below thresholds of concern for 9 risks to human health. For lead in residential land use, the California Human Health Screening Level is 150 mg/kg and the CHHSL for commercial/industrial land use is 3,500 mg/kg (CalEPA, 2005). The California Department of Toxic Substances Control (CDTSC) publishes Total Threshold Limit Concentrations (TTLCs) to help characterize hazardous waste. If a substance in a waste equals or exceeds the TTLC level, it is considered a hazardous toxic waste. For lead in soil, the TTLC is 1,000 mg/kg (CADTSC, 2005). The California Regional Water Quality Control Board for the San Francisco Bay Region publishes Environmental Screening Levels (ESLs) for sites with contaminated soil and groundwater. Generally, the presence of a chemical in soil at concentrations below the corresponding ESL can be assumed to not pose a significant, long-term (chronic) threat to human health and the environment (in particular groundwater used for public drinking water supply). In a residential area, the ESL for lead in shallow soil (<3m) is 200 mg/kg, whereas in a commercial/industrial land use area the ESL for lead in shallow soil (<3m) is 750 mg/kg (SFBRWQCB, 2008). Naturally Occurring Sacramento and Yolo County Soils The U. S. Department of Agriculture’s Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS), the Soil Conservation Service, and the University of California, Agricultural Experiment Station, in a joint effort for the National Cooperative Soil Survey (NCSS) produced reports to characterize the soils of Sacramento and Yolo counties (NRCS, 1993). These reports characterize the soil based on observations of physical and chemical properties. All of these characteristics are incorporated into the soil type and are 10 named accordingly. The naming convention used by the NRCS and other agencies conveys the location of the soil unit, some descriptive characteristics, and/or a degree of mixing. For example: ‘Cosumnes silt loam’ refers to a location where soils exhibit properties typical of this soil, Cosumnes, and a descriptive property of the soil, silty loam; ‘San Joaquin urban land complex’ refers to a location where soils exhibit properties typical of this soil, ‘San Joaquin’, and ‘urban land complex’ refers to areas covered by impervious surfaces such as roads, sidewalks, and buildings. The classification of the soils collected for the purpose of this study is based on location within the boundaries specified by the NRCS for each soil unit. A table of soil units describes characteristics of soils from which samples were collected (Table 2). Sacramento Geology The geology of the Sacramento Valley is dominated by the Sierra Nevada Mountains flanking it to the east and the Coast Ranges to the west. The Sierra Nevada Mountains are mainly comprised of a granitic pluton of Mesozoic age with some metamorphic and marine sedimentary rocks as roof pendants. The rocks that make up the granitic pluton of the Sierra Nevada Mountains are mainly granite, granodiorite, tonalite, and some diorite (Figure 4). The granitic rocks, which extend far beneath the surface, are bordered by a metamorphic belt that crops out at the surface on the west side of the Sierran foothills. These accreted oceanic terraces of the Sierran foothills include the 500million-year-old Shoo Fly Complex consisting of oceanic metamorphic, metasedimentary, and meta-volcanic rocks, late Paleozoic and Mesozoic subduction 11 complexes of submarine volcanic, plutonic, metamorphic, and sedimentary origin known as the Calaveras Complex, and the foothills terrane of middle to late Jurassic age consisting of meta-volcanic and meta-sedimentary rocks (Harden, 2004). The Foothills Terrane contains assemblages of blue and green schist, unweathered meta-volcanics high in iron content known as greenstone and slate as well as schist metamorphosed from marine sandstone and shale (Harden, 2004). It also contains the Mariposa Formation consisting of gabbro and ultramafic rocks as well as Mariposite schist containing minor amounts of chromium (Harden, 2004). The Coast Ranges to the west of the Sacramento Valley formed after the Sierra Nevada batholith near the close of the late Cretaceous (Page, 1986). These mountains consist of a complex assemblage of marine sediments, metamorphic rock, and volcanic rock that make up the Franciscan Complex (Harden 1998). The rocks that are found within the Franciscan Complex include sedimentary rocks comprised of sandstone, shale and some limestone, slightly metamorphosed volcanic basalt such as greenstone pillows, and metamorphic rocks including blueschist, eclogite, and perodotic serpentenite (Harden, 2004). Minerals like glaucophane, and jadeite can be found in the metamorphic assemblages (Harden, 2004). Following the formation of the Coast Ranges, sediment began to accumulate in the Sacramento Valley. The Sacramento Valley is the northern section of the Central Valley, which is a large asymmetrical structural trough filled with as much as 10 vertical miles of pre-Tertiary marine sediment, Tertiary marine and continental deposits, and Quaternary continental sediment eroded primarily from the Sierra Nevada Mountains 12 (Page 1986). The Great Valley Sequence crops out on either side of the Sacramento Valley. This sequence consists of various episodes of deposition from transgressions and regressions of Lake Clyde, the ancient lake that once filled the Great Valley (Harden, 2004). The older, lower sequence of Jurassic and Cretaceous age sedimentary rocks consists of mainly sandstone. Volcanic rock fragments can also be found from the Sierran arc (Harden, 2004). The younger sandstone from the great valley sequence is rich in feldspar and quartz. Overlying the older sequences, the Quaternary sediments in the sample area consist of alluvium, basin deposits, stream channel deposits, and tailings of Holocene age, upper and lower members of the Modesto Formation, upper and lower members of the Riverbank Formation, and Turlock Lake Formation sediments of Pleistocene age, and Laguna Formation sediments of Pliocene age (Table 3). The following descriptions are adapted from Helly & Harwood, (1986) and can be seen in Figure 5. The Stream Channel deposits (Qsc) can be found along active stream channels under constantly changing conditions at the surface to a depth of 0 – 25 meters (Helly & Harwood, 1986). Presumably, the natural levees formed by the stream channel deposits of the Sacramento River restrict sediment transport across the Sacramento River allowing the identification of chemically distinct valley soils derived from the Sierra Nevada and Coast Ranges observed by Goldhaber et al., (2009). Alluvium (Qa) found in the study area consists of un-weathered gravel, sand, and silt derived from the Sierra Nevada, Coastal, and Klamath mountains. It can be found extending beyond stream channel 13 deposits and ranges from a few centimeters to as much as 10 meters depth (Helly & Harwood, 1986). The Modesto formation of Pleistocene age consists of upper and lower members, which are both present in the study area. The upper and lower formations are found in alluvial terraces, alluvial fans, and some abandoned channel ridges. These low-lying sediments are found along streams and in valleys at higher elevations than younger Holocene sediments, which have been put in place by stream incision then deposition. The sediments are typically tan and light gray gravely sand, silt, and clay, except where derived from volcanic rocks of the Tuscan formation. These sediments are found to be red and black with minor brown clasts. The upper member for the Modesto formation (Qmu) is typically comprised of unconsolidated, un-weathered gravel, sand, silt, and clay only a few meters thick. The soils of the upper Modesto formation exhibit A and Chorizons but lack an argillic B-horizon. The sediments of the lower Modesto formation (Qml) consist of unconsolidated, slightly weathered gravel, sand, silt, and clay. These soils contain an argillic B-horizon and more clays than the upper Modesto member. The Riverbank formation sediments of Pleistocene age exhibit reddish gravel, sand, and silt and are found on alluvial terraces and alluvial fans. These sediments are older than the Modesto formation and generally have thicker argillic horizons in soils and paleosols. The upper member of the Riverbank formation (Qru) consists of compact, unconsolidated, dark brown to red gravel, sand, silt, and some clay. The upper member sediments are found on dissected alluvial fans on the northwest and southeast side of the Sacramento Valley. The dissected alluvial fans of the lower member of the Riverbank 14 formation (Qrl) consist of red semi-consolidated gravel, sand, and silt. The arkosic alluvium near Sacramento indicates that the lower member of the Riverbank formation was derived from the Sierra Nevada Mountains and deposited by the American River. The sediments of the Laguna and Turlock Lake formations as well as the Basin deposits appear sparsely in the study area and are not represented by soil samples. The Laguna formation of Pliocene age consists of interbedded alluvial gravel, sand, and silt containing pebbles and cobbles of quartz and metamorphic rock as well as arkosic gravelly units and finer sediments. The deeply weathered and dissected arkosic gravels of the Turlock Lake formation of Pleistocene age contain small amounts of metamorphic rock fragments and quartz pebbles. Sand and silt are present along the south and east sides of the Sacramento Valley. The plutonic rocks of the Sierra Nevada Mountains are the primary source for these sediments of eroded alluvial fans. The undivided Basin deposits of Holocene age consist of fine grain silt and clay derived from the same sources as modern alluvium. Previous Work Anthropogenic contamination of soils by lead has been the focus of research around the world. Researchers have found that the spatial distribution of anthropogenic lead contamination can be correlated to land-use. Areas of land-use where contamination of lead in soil has been documented include roads, industrial areas, and residential areas. Statistical and geochemical tools are used to delineate and decipher the extent and sources of contamination. These tools are often employed in conjunction with one 15 another to help fully understand the origins and extent of metal contamination. Generally a map is constructed to portray the extent and intensity of such contamination. Research of the soils and streambed sediments of the southern Sacramento Valley has been conducted using data collected in the late 1970s and early 1980s by the U. S. Department of Energy’s National Uranium Resource Evaluation Hydrogeochemical Stream Sediment Reconnaissance (NURE HSSR) Program and further analyzed by the U. S. Geological Survey (Goldhaber et al., 2009; Wanty et al., 2009; Morrison et al., 2009). These studies examined the chemical composition of southern Sacramento Valley soils. Goldhaber et al., (2009), shows three distinctive groupings of elements, indicating the geologic, hydrologic, geomorphic, and anthropogenic factors relating to their deposition. The three groups identified by Goldhaber et al., (2009), are mafic, silicic, and anthropogenic. Morrison et al., (2009), focus on chromium and nickel concentrations of soil and groundwater in order to identify soils derived from ultramafic rocks in the Coast Ranges and Sierra Nevada. This research has shown that weathering of ultramafic material and subsequent transport results in enrichment of chromium and nickel. Wanty et al., (2009), compare surface- and groundwater chemistry of the east and west side of the southern Sacramento Valley to soil chemistry of the NURE data. This research reveals differences between the groundwater of the east and west side of the southern Sacramento Valley as well as similarities between groundwater concentrations and soil concentrations. In addition, the U. S. Geological Survey has conducted research of metal loading in the Sacramento River (Alpers et al., 2000). This research has shown Spring Creek, a 16 northern tributary of the Sacramento River System, to be a source for metals such as cadmium, copper, lead, and zinc. These metals are present because of the historic West Shasta Cu-mining of sulfide deposits. Dunlap et al., (2008), used lead concentrations and isotope ratios of water colloids and streambed samples to show that the extent of lead from the sulfide deposits is limited to 60 km downstream and suggest that leaded gasoline emissions and hydraulic Au-mining are dominant sources for lead downstream. Oor, (2005) has conducted work pertaining to lead concentrations in soil of Sacramento, CA under the advisement of Dr. Daniel Deocampo at California State University, Sacramento. Oor, (2005), examined the lead concentrations in soil coupled with the location of blood lead levels by zip code in Sacramento and surrounding areas. Findings reveal correlations between lead and cadmium as well as lead and zinc. In addition, reported lead poisoning coincided with high lead concentrations in soil. Zhang’s senior thesis focused on a transect across a major road and the concentrations of lead compared to the distance from the road. Dr. Daniel Deocampo collected multiple soil samples in the Sacramento and surrounding areas and collaborated with Sacramento County to fund this project. Their work and sampling efforts laid the foundation for this research project. Land use Diawara et al., 2006 used ArcGIS to generate a prediction map to estimate the concentration of arsenic, cadmium, lead, and mercury in Pueblo, CO (Figure 6) The source of lead contamination is attributed to a local smelter operating since the early 17 1900s. Diawara et al., (2006) also explored the socioeconomic status in relation to the spatial distribution of lead. Filippelli et al., (2005) examined the occurrence of lead toxicity in blood in urban children and its spatial relationship to metropolitan roadways in Indianapolis, Indiana. Mielke et al., (2007) evaluated the association between concentrations of lead in soil and lead levels in blood of children in urban New Orleans, LA and developed an index for the potential for blood level exposure. Yassoglou et al., (1987) examined the heavy metal contamination of roadside soils in the greater Athens area, Greece. This paper evaluated the relationship between heavy metal contamination and the distance from roadways with heavy traffic loads. In addition, metals that are associated with automobiles such as cadmium and zinc were correlated with lead and each other. Francek, (1992) examined lead pollution in a small town environment of Mt. Pleasant, Michigan. Results indicate that lead loading of small cities is less than that of major urban areas. Geochemical mapping Lax and Selinus, (2005) constructed geochemical maps of Sweden, some for the purpose of displaying contamination, others for the purpose of preliminary bedrock investigation. Fordyce et al, (2005) mapped urban geochemistry of soils in Great Britain for the purpose of providing an overview of the urban geochemical signature. Bityukova et al, (2000) mapped the elemental distributions from a major industrial area of Tallinn, Estonia. The resulting analysis showed that the major chemical elements of the soil depended mainly upon the composition of the underlying rocks. 18 Factor analysis Researchers employ factor analysis and principal component analysis to determine the origin of chemical element concentrations in various regions across the world. These statistical techniques are used in lead studies to show the connection between lead and other contaminants associated with human activities (Bityukova et al., 2000; Cicchella et al., 2008; Davies and Wixson, 1986; Facchinelli et al., 2001; Garcia and Millan, 1998; Ratha and Sahu, 1992; Wang et al., 2005). In addition, these studies reveal the origin of the sediments in which samples were collected by virtue of separating out anthropogenic inputs. Bityukova et al., (2000) applied factor analysis to chemical data from the largest industrial region of Estonia. Two sources of industrial contamination were detected based on correlations among elements as well as elemental signatures reflecting the composition of underlying rock Factor Analysis of Geochemical Variability Factor analysis was developed by Karl Pearson, Charles Spearman, and others in the field of psychology to define and measure intelligence. In addition to applications in the field of psychology, factor analysis is applied in the fields of marketing, ecology, and geochemistry. Multivariate data occur when several variables are measured on each sample item. Reading comprehension, vocabulary, and mathematics are examples of measured 19 variables associated with intelligence testing for each student. In the case of geochemical modeling, elemental concentrations serve as variables at individual sample sites. If a multivariate data set contains a few groups of highly correlated variables, it may be possible to explain the data’s correlation structure more simply by using a few underlying factors. These factors are unobserved variables that manifest themselves throughout the observed correlations among measured variables. Verbal intelligence may manifest itself on different tests like reading comprehension and vocabulary. Where as mathematical ability may manifest itself on tests related to mathematics. In the case of urban soils of Sacramento, parent material of soil may be inferred from correlations derived from elemental concentrations. Factor analysis is a statistical technique for quantifying the relationship between unobserved factors and the observed data. Highly correlated variables exist in groups. Less correlated variables from one group may be correlated together in a relatively independent factor group (Tabachnick & Fidell, 1983). Since the factors are unobserved, they must be inferred by the analyst based on correlations among variables in a data set and the analyst’s scientific knowledge of the data. Model description A factor analysis model assumes that each response variable is a linear combination of the latent factors plus an error term. The error term accounts for the variability in the response variable that is not explained by the factors. Mathematically, the model may be explained as follows 20 X 1i 1 l11 F1i l12 F2i ... l1m Fmi 1i X 2i 2 l 21 F1i l 22 F2i ... l 2 m Fmi 2i X pi p l p1 F1i l p 2 F2i ... l pm Fmi pi X1i = the observed data for the 1st variable on the ith subject 1 = the mean of the 1st variable. l11 = the loading of the 1st variable on the 1st factor F1i = the 1st common factor on the ith subject. 1i = the 1st specific factor on the ith subject. (Johnson & Wichern, 1998). The common factor (F) represents the latent variable that is not directly observed but inferred for each group of variables. The loading l11, quantifies the relationship between the ith observed variable and the jth unobserved factor. Since the factors are not observed, some assumptions are needed to make this model identifiable. Therefore we assume the random vectors F and ɛ satisfy the following conditions. E(F) = 0, Cov(F) = I E() = 0, Cov() = Ψ Where the specific variance, Ψ, is a diagonal matrix and F and are independant. Specific variance represents a random component of each variable not associated with any of the factors. It can be shown that this model leads to Cor ( X ) LL' . This 21 demonstrates how the factor loadings and uniqueness may be used to reproduce, approximately, the correlation matrix of the multivariate data. Specifically for this study, the observed data for a sample site, (X1i, X2i,…Xpi), are the elemental concentrations of the soil. The unobserved factors (F) are inferred and represent the postulated parent material of the soil based on correlations of chemical data identified by the loadings (l). The random variation of elemental concentrations among sample sites is accounted for in the error term (ε). Parameter estimation Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) and Principal Component Estimation (PCE) are two of several methods used to estimate the parameters of this model. MLE estimates the loadings and uniquenesses as the values which maximize the probability of reproducing the observed data. The data likelihood depends on the loading matrix and specific variance matrix. Although the estimated covariance matrix is unique, the factor loadings are not unique unless a uniqueness condition is imposed (Johnson & Wichern, 1998). The uniqueness condition defines the matrix loadings (L) below. L' 1 L Where is a diagonal matrix (Johnson & Wichern, 1998). PCE proceeds by computing the spectral decomposition of the observed correlation matrix to obtain the eigenvalue-eigenvector pairs. The eigenvalue and eigenvectors are then used for estimating the loading matrix in PCE. The factor loadings are the scaled coefficients of the first few sample principal components where the first 22 few principal component eigenvalues are arranged in decreasing value from greatest to least (Johnson & Wischern, 1998). The factor loading matrix times its transpose is exactly equal to the observed correlation matrix when the number of factors equals the number of variables. However the purpose of factor analysis is to reduce a large number of observed variables to a small number of factors (Korre, 1999), so it is necessary to choose the lowest number of eigenvalues with the greatest value that sufficiently explain the variability of the data. The exclusion of the smaller eigenvalues prevents the observed correlation matrix from being exactly reproduced by the loading matrix times its transpose. Now, the specific variances are estimated by subtracting LL’ from the sample correlation matrix, then taking the diagonal of the result: ˆ ˆ LL' (Johnson & Wichern, 1998). MLE and PCE methods of parameter estimation should yield similar results if the factor model is a suitable solution to the problem (Johnson & Wichern, 1998). Factor rotation For a data set, the factor loadings are not unique. Since for any orthogonal matrix, T, we have that TT’ is the p x p identity matrix. Therefore, ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ L L' L TT ' L L* L *' (Johnson & Wichern, 1998). Thus, both the loadings L and L* will result in the same estimated correlation matrix. Factor rotation, applied to the loading matrix, assists the 23 analyst in finding the loading matrix that leads to the most useful interpretation of the data at hand. Orthogonal factor rotation helps interpret factor loading through a rigid rotation of the factor axes without changing the estimated correlation matrix. Varimax rotation, a type of orthogonal rotation, maximized the variance of the loadings for all variables in each factor (Tabachnick & Fidell, 1983). This accentuates the higher magnitude loadings and diminishes the lower magnitude loadings (Korre, 1999). Oblique rotations are best suited to common factors that are correlated (Tabachnick & Fidell, 1983; Johnson & Wichern, 1998). If the factors are uncorrelated both the orthogonal and oblique rotations produce similar results (Costello and Osborne, 2005). Model adequacy One way to determine how well the factor model accounts for the observed correlation structure in the data is to compare the sample correlation matrix and the correlation matrix estimated using the loadings and the uniquenesses. A residual correlation matrix can be calculated by subtracting the estimated correlation matrix from the observed correlation matrix. Low values in the off-diagonal positions of the matrix indicate near reproduction of the observed correlation matrix. A factor model that adequately accounts for the correlation structure in the data nearly reproduces the observed correlation matrix. 24 Prediction of factor scores Once the factor analysis calculations are complete and the model sufficiently explains the variability of the data, factor scores are calculated. Factor scores are predictions of latent variables as if they were measured directly (Tabachnick & Fidell, 1983). Several methods are available for the prediction of factor scores, for example, the weighted least squares method. Weighted least squares calculation entails obtaining predicted factor scores by minimizing the sum of the squares of the errors weighted by the reciprocal of their variance (Johnson & Wichern, 1998). Factor scores are useful because they assess how strongly or weakly a factor is associated with a particular subject. In the case of the soils of urban Sacramento, the estimates of latent variables can be assigned to the locations from which soil samples were collected. Assigning a location to the estimates of latent variables allow the factors to be assessed spatially. This is especially useful when attempting to postulate the location of the origin of these unobserved variables. Ordinary Kriging of Geospatial Data Lead concentrations can be predicted at unsampled locations using data from sampled locations by the statistical technique called kriging. Kriging was named for Daniel Gerhardus Krige who employed distance-weighted averages of data from sampled locations to predict gold grade in South Africa. Georges Matheron refined the technique. The statistical properties of a kriging model minimize error to produce the best prediction. The prediction is optimized if the observed data exhibits spatial correlation. 25 A semivariogram links the spatial correlation of the observed data to the kriging estimates. Kriging is a method of interpolating a value such as elevation at an unobserved location based on a weighted average of observed values at near-by locations. Kriging is used in predicting ore concentrations and metal contamination in the respective fields of geology and geochemistry (Diawara et al., 2006; McGrath et al., 2003; Fordyce et al., 2005; Markus and McBratney, 2001). If data are collected at spatial locations x1, x2,…, xn and the data are denoted V(x1), V(x2),…, V(xn) then the predicted value at an unobserved location x0 is n V ( xo ) wi V ( xi ) i 1 (Isaaks & Srivastava, 1989). Where the wi are weights that sum to one, which are calculated so that the resulting prediction has desirable statistical properties. A random function model underlies kriging and enables one to obtain estimated margins of error for interpolated values. In addition, ordinary kriging produces the best linear, unbiased estimator by minimizing the variance of modeled errors. The weights, wi are selected to minimize the kriging error. w C 1 D Where C-1 is the inverse of the correlation matrix and D represents the ordinary kriging system (Isaaks & Srivastava, 1989). 26 Kriging uses the spatial correlation of the data to improve interpolation. In kriging applications, spatially correlated data refers to data in which data values resemble values of nearby data. The data must exhibit spatial correlation for kriging to result in an improved interpolation over simpler methods. A semivariogram quantifies spatial correlation as a function of distance between points and is used to calculate the weights. The semivariogram values are computed for each distance, h. First all points with distance h between them are identified. Second, for each such pair of points, the squared difference in observed values at the two locations is calculated. Third, the semivariogram value at h is one-half the average of the values computed in the second step. More Succinctly, ( h) 1 N ( h) ( xi y i ) 2 2 N (h) i 1 N(h) = number of pairs separated by distance h. (Isaaks & Srivastava, 1989). This distance, h, is called the lag distance. Since few pairs of sites will be exactly h units apart, each lag distance has a tolerance so the semivariogram estimate for distance, h, includes the distances that lie between before and beyond h according to the tolerance. Terminology related to the semivariogram includes the range, sill, and nugget effect. The range describes the distance at which the maximum variation among spatially correlated samples is achieved. The sill describes the maximum variation, which occurs at the range. A nugget effect accounts for the jump of values associated with the 27 discontinuity at the origin. Typically an idealized model is fit to the semivariogram estimated from the data. Commonly used idealized models include the spherical, Gaussian, and linear models. This idealized curve is plotted against the semivariogram values calculated from the data. This permits the analyst to determine how well the data fits the model. Once the semivariogram model is fit, the kriging weights and interpolated values can be calculated. 28 Chapter 3 METHODS Soil Sample Site Selection A few factors determined the specific sample site selection. Soil samples were collected from public land in the City of Sacramento and nearby areas. Public parks, public schools, and verges between sidewalks and roads yielded a majority of the sample site locations. Physical access to each site was necessary to obtain each sample. Fences and other obstacles prevented access to potential sample sites. Another consideration in sample site location was the presence of vegetation. Because lead and other metals are taken-up by plant roots, soil collected from a heavily vegetated area may contain less metals than actually deposited in the area (Wang et al., 2005), thus negatively biasing the reported concentration in the area. Finally, sound sample site selection depends upon the likelihood that the soil has been relatively undisturbed. When collecting soil samples representative of the accumulated anthropogenic contaminants in a geomorphologically passive setting it is important to consider land use. Unacceptable collection sites include areas where soil may have recently accumulated or eroded rapidly. Riverbanks and steep slopes are particular examples of areas where soil was avoided. Construction areas where massive amounts of earth may have been moved are also unacceptable for this type of study. Fields where farmers may have tilled represent areas where an undisturbed soil sample cannot be collected. All of these examples present the problem of introducing soil from below a depth of 5 cm, and thus negatively biasing the sample. 29 MEMS-61 site selection Seventy soil sample sites selected for heavy metal analysis by MEMS-61 method in Sacramento, CA were visited. The MEMS-61 method consists of acid digestion and chemical analysis by inductively coupled plasma-atomic emission spectroscopy (ICPAES) and inductively coupled plasma-mass spectroscopy (ICP-MS). MEMS-61 sites were used to produce a prediction map for lead concentrations in soil in Sacramento, California. The MEMS-61 sample sites were chosen based on their proximity to major roads, industrial areas, and their proximity to each other. Various maps were used for the site selection process. Land-use maps from the county of Sacramento displayed the industrial areas of the city proper (Figure 7). Sample sites were located in these areas in order to ascertain the contribution of lead in Sacramento soils form the industrial areas. Potential sample sites were chosen from aerial photos obtained from Google Earth. The location of major roads and highways, Interstate 5, Interstate 80, and Highway 50, were considered when selecting sample sites to include possible contributions of lead to Sacramento soils from lead additives in gasoline (Filippelli et al., 2005; Yassoglou et al., 1987; Garcia & Millan, 1998; Mielke et al., 2005). The location of potential sites selected along a transect were modified according to conditions dictated in the field. These conditions included site accessibility, vegetation, and the appearance that the soil has been undisturbed. The majority of the samples fall along two northwest/southeast trending transects (Figure 8). These two parallel transects span from the industrial area of West Sacramento to the industrial area of southeast Sacramento. The sample sites along each transect were spaced approximately 1 km apart to assure a relatively dense 30 sampling frequency with respect to the total size of the field area. The remaining sites supplement transects to the northeast and southwest, ultimately forming a rectangular shape. XRF site selection Thirty-four soil samples were collected for analysis by hand-held X-Ray Fluorescence spectrometry (XRF) (Figure 9). These samples were collected for the purpose of verifying the results of the prediction map and establishing a baseline for comparison between the analytical methods. The elevated lead concentration contours generated by kriging the ME-MS61 sites are oriented in an elliptical shape. The XRF samples were collected along the major and minor axes of the ellipse at a distance of 0.25 kilometers. Replicate splits of samples analyzed by MEMS-61 method were analyzed by XRF. Previous sample sites In addition to the 70 sites and 8 replicates along and around transects, 43 sites had been sampled in the greater Sacramento area in previous preliminary studies (Figure 10). Wendy Oor, Dr. Daniel Deocampo, and Brian Zhou have compiled these 43 samples using the same field techniques and analytical methods as the MEMS-61 samples collected in 2008 (Orr, 2005; Deocampo & Oor, 2006). The locations of these sites include: Elk Grove, North highlands, Woodland, Rio Linda, West Sacramento, and Sacramento. Some of these sites will serves as duplicate samples. Other samples with 31 low levels of lead concentrations provide an estimate of the background concentrations of lead in the Sacramento and surrounding soils. Other sites will be omitted from the factor analysis and prediction map because of their distance from the main sample cluster. The MEMS-61 sample sites are combined with the previously sampled sites (Oor, 2005) to complete the data set and will be referred to as MEMS-61_XRF data (Figure 11). Soil Sample Collection Soil samples were collected with a stainless steel hand spade. Stainless steel, because of its toughness is ideal for sample collection. One square foot of soil collected to a depth of 5 cm. Studies have shown the upper 5 cm of soil represents the accumulation of lead from anthropogenic activities (Yassoglou et al., 1987; Filippelli et al., 2005). Because of uptake of heavy metals to roots (Wang, 2005), samples were collected in sparsely vegetated areas. Ziploc plastic bags contained the samples until baking. The samples collected for hand-held XRF analysis were not baked. A Garmin Etrex GPS unit catalogued the latitude and longitude coordinates with respect to the North American Datum (1983). Photographs were taken of the sample site and in the four cardinal directions (north, south, east, and west) to assess land-use. Site maps were drawn to identify the locations of the sample sites from streets. Characteristics of the soil such as compaction, field estimate of grain size, and the presence of vegetation were noted. In addition to the main sample set, three replicate splits and five duplicate samples from the ME-MS61 collection event were sent to ALS Chemex lab for analysis. A 32 duplicate sample was collected at five sample sites in different areas of the same general site location to measure the variability of metal concentrations within that site. In addition to measuring the variability of metal concentrations within a sample location, variation within the samples themselves is measured. Replicate splits, derived from a single location at a sample site, divide the sample from each collection vessel to measure variations in metal concentrations of the sub samples. The purpose of duplicate analyses was to test the variability of metal concentrations in soil at the sample site. Ideally, a replicate sample collected 10 – 20 feet from the environmental sample would show similar concentrations. Each sample was assigned the site name corresponding to the environmental sample plus a letter. The letter “a” is used to denote a split from a single sample, where the letter “b” is used to signify that the sample was collected as a duplicate sample separate from the environmental sample. The three split samples and their associated environmental samples include Lead 1 & Lead 1a, Lead 2 & Lead 2a, and Lead 5 & Lead 5a. The five duplicate samples and their associated environmental samples include Lead 14 & Lead 14b, Lead 31 & Lead 31b, Lead 38 & Lead 38b, Lead 52 & Lead 52b, and Lead 61 & Lead 61b. In addition to the replicate samples analyzed by the MEMS-61 method, ten replicate splits were also analyzed by XRF. The XRF replicate samples consisted of sample splits previously analyzed by the MEMS-61 method. The comparison of the XRF and MEMS-61 allows their combined use in spatial and statistical analyses. The split samples include Lead 3, Lead 4, Lead 5, Lead 6, lead 7, Lead 8, Lead 24, Lead 29, Lead 47, and Lead 61b. 33 Soil Sample Preparation Samples collected for the MEMS-61 method were prepared before shipping to ALS Chemex. In order to claim a representative sample, soil samples were mixed thoroughly in the collection bag. Sub-samples collected from the bag were placed in glass Pyrex dishes. Pyrex was selected because of its resistance to heat and relatively simple composition, whereas other materials may leach trace metals when heated. Some gravel and vegetation, if present, were removed from various samples. Residual moisture was removed by baking overnight at 80º C. The baked samples were then sieved at 500 μm to remove pebbles and debris. Approximately 250 grams of baked and sieved samples were collected into zip-lock bags and labeled according to their sample site. The dishes were washed with soap and water, then rinsed with tap water, then dried, and reused. The bags of samples were stored in a temperature-controlled lab. The sub samples were shipped to ALS Chemex Lab. Laboratory Analysis MEMS-61 The soil samples were analyzed by ALS Chemex laboratory in Reno, NV using a ME-MS61 geochemical method. Samples were pulverized so that 85% of the grains passed through a 75 micron (200 mesh) sieve. The samples were decomposed with a 4acid digestion prior to the (ICP-AES) and ICP-MS) of the ME-MS61 method. The fouracid digestion includes perchloric, nitric, hydrofluoric, and hydrochloric acids. The samples are analyzed by ICP-AES. In addition, samples containing high concentrations 34 of bismuth, mercury, molybdenum, silver and tungsten are analyzed by ICP-MS. Additional information can be found in the appendix ‘The Geochemical Procedure for Ultra-Trace Level Using ICP-AES and ICP-MS’. XRF Thirty soil samples were analyzed using a hand-held, Innov-X, α-4000 X-Ray Fluorescence (XRF) spectrometer at Georgia State University. This instrument uses a tungsten x-ray tube and an energy-dispersive spectrometer. A trial of three analyses is conducted per sample and the concentrations are reported with a standard deviation. NURE HSSR The U. S. Geological Survey analyzed 257 soil samples collected by the NURE HSSR program in Sacramento County (USGS, 1997). The analysis of these samples yielded 42 major, minor, and trace elements were determined by digestion of perchloric, nitric, hydrofluoric, and hydrochloric acids, followed by a combination of ICP-AES and ICP-MS (Goldhaber et al., 2009). Spatial Analysis Four individuals collected the samples and noted the location of the soil samples at different stages of the study. The location for data from previous collection events was recorded as a description of cross streets. These sample sites were located on aerial photographs from Google Earth and assigned a degree, minute, second coordinate in the 35 North American Datum (1983) based on their location description. The final stage of sample collection for this study effort employed a GPS unit to locate the sample sites. Google Earth and GPS coordinates collected in the NAD83 system as degrees, minutes, and seconds were converted into decimal degrees. These coordinates added into Arc GIS as sample site locations serve as place markers for the sample sites. The concentrations were matched with the site locations at each of the sampling points. The metal concentrations at each point display the amount of metal in the soil collected at each site. Factor scores, which display the magnitude of influence of each factor, were predicted for each location. Other spatial features such as soil type, geology, and land-use are considered in order to determine their relationship with elevated lead concentrations in Sacramento. The combination of these features coupled with statistical analyses allow a better understanding of the processes that lead to elevated lead concentrations. GIS analysis Various map layers have been added to locate sample sites, examine potential contamination sources, and understand the relationship between elevated levels of lead and the map layers. Land use and topography were assessed from aerial photos obtained from Google Earth and USA images (USGS). These map features are especially useful in obtaining additional distances not collected from the field. Sanborne fire insurance maps were used to understand local historic land use and pinpoint possible point sources that may contribute to anomalous data or locate trends within downtown Sacramento. Geologic, soil, and land use maps were examined in conjunction with the distribution of 36 lead concentration and sampling frequency to explore possible links between lead concentration and surface geology, soil, and land use. Street maps were used to estimate distances from roads to sample sites in order to establish a direct connection between lead concentrations and distance to roads. Prediction maps generated from interpolated lead concentrations and factor scores were visually compared to geology, soil, and land use map layers. A visual comparison provides a qualitative assessment of the spatial orientation of these variables. Wind directions and magnitudes measured at two stations around the Sacramento area provide an estimate of possible avenues of particulate transport. The University of California Statewide Integrated Pest Management Program compiled the information between 1995 and 2009. These stations provide daily maximum wind direction and magnitude. The direction of the wind was compiled and reported as degrees on the azimuth scale. Rose diagrams generated in Rockworks were used to compare the frequency of maximum and or average wind direction. A subset of the data collected between the months May and October was extracted from the analysis. These data have been extracted to only account for wind direction and magnitude during dry months when particulates are most likely transported from the ground (Filippelli et al., 2005). Rose diagrams were used to compare the frequency and magnitude of maximum and/or average wind to its direction for the subset. 37 Statistical Analysis Statistics is useful in presenting data and communicating the key features of data sets. In addition, statistics are useful for making inferences based on sampled data and evaluating the accuracy of the inferences about relationships between variables. Summary statistics display the maximum, minimum, and average values in data but often overlook the more subtle aspects of data. In order to define relationships and explain the variability among data further evaluation is necessary. Analyses of multiple variables allow patterns to emerge that are otherwise unnoticed. Factor analysis allows the relationship among variables to be explained by grouping them into fewer unobserved variables. The groups of these variables are interpreted as underlying factors. Since it is impractical to measure the lead concentrations in soil throughout an entire area, discrete measurements were taken and geostatistics was employed to interpolate values between measurements. Spatial statistics such as kriging help visualize emerging patterns through smooth interpolation of trends. Statistical tests were also used to assess the accuracy of the resulting prediction. A semivariogram measured the spatial correlation of data to assess the propriety of kriging. Summary statistics for the environmental and replicate data were calculated. These include the minimum, maximum, median, and mean of metal concentrations. Standard deviation was computed for the environmental data set. Calculation of summary statistics aids in the detection of anomalous data. 38 Factor Analysis Maximum likelihood estimation The statistical program R version 2.8.1(The R Foundation for Statistical Computing, 2008) computed factor analysis model parameters employing the maximum likelihood method for 43 elemental concentrations collected from 93 sites for the MEMS61 data. In addition, 29 elemental concentrations from the 257 NURE data sites across Sacramento County underwent an independent factor analysis employing the maximum likelihood method. The purpose of these separate analyses was to test two independent data sets. The model for factor analysis assumes a normal distribution for the input data (Johnson & Wichern, 1998). Elements that exhibited a skewed distribution were log transformed then standardized prior to factor analysis (Davies & Wixson, 1986; Ratha and Sahu, 1993; Garcia & Millan, 1998; Bityukova et al., 2000; Costello & Osborne, 2005; Cicchella et al., 2008). Standardization allows elements on different scales to be compared to each other. Standardization of data is common practice among researchers applying factor analysis and principal component methods (Bityukova et al., 2000; Costello & Osborne, 2005). Four underlying factors were identified for the factor analysis under the maximum likelihood model estimation, which used the MEMS-61 data. Three underlying factors were identified for the NURE data using the maximum likelihood method of parameter estimation. These factors were iteratively determined based on the amount of total variability explained by the model and each factor’s stability. Factor stability is measured by counting the number of variables with significant loadings, 0.50 or greater (Cicchella et al., 2005), in a single factor. Less than 39 three significant loadings and the factor is said to be unstable (Korre, 1999). A varimax rotation was applied to the factors for ease of interpretation. Varimax minimizes the number of variables that have high loadings on each factor (Cicchella et al., 2005). Varimax is a type of orthogonal rotation intended for uncorrelated factors, which has proved a reliable analytical technique (Ratha & Sahu et al., 1993; Bityukova et al., 2000). A residual matrix displays the difference between the data correlation matrix and an estimated matrix from the factor analysis model. This comparison serves as a test to determine model fit. Generating a kriged prediction map of factor scores using ArcGIS allows the visual assessment of the influence of underlying factors. Principal component estimation Principal component estimation (PCE) provides an additional tool for identifying communality among the elemental variables. It also serves as a method to check against other estimators to determine if the use of factor analysis is appropriate. Although PCE and MLE are different estimation methods they should yield similar parameter estimates if factor analysis is appropriate (Johnson & Wischern, 1998). PCE was used in this study to verify the adequacy of MLE for parameter estimation. Since parameter estimates were similar under PCE and MLE, PCE was not used to calculate factor scores or for subsequent calculations. MLE was used instead as the primary mode of factor analysis. The same data analyzed by MLE was also analyzed using PCE. The normalization and standardization of the data mentioned above were applied prior to principal component estimation. A spectral decomposition, performed by the computing 40 program “R”, provided the eigenvalue/eigenvector pairs. The first four eigenvalues were chosen to represent the number of factors. This determination was based on three aspects of the analysis. First, the Scree test provides an initial inspection of the eigenvalues that represent the majority of the communality (Figure 12). The proportion of cumulative variance explained by each factor determined the number of factors chosen in PCE extraction. If a sufficient portion of the variability is explained additional factors may not be necessary. Second, an iterative process of varying the number of eigenvalues selected examined the stability of the resulting factor loadings. A stable factor, according to Korre, 1999, displays significant loadings, 0.50 or greater (Cicchella et al., 2005), for three or more variables. Third, near reproduction of the observed correlation matrix was an indication that a sufficient number of factors have been selected (Johnson & Wichern, 1998). A poor reproduction of the original matrix may indicate the need for addition or subtraction of factors. The factor loadings were rotated using an orthogonal varimax rotation. This rotation simply accentuates high loadings on each factor while diminishing the lower loadings (Korre, 1999). The subsequent construction of a specific variance matrix displays the uniqueness of each element and allows computation of an estimation matrix. The estimation matrix was subtracted element-wise from the observed correlation matrix, R, yielding the residual matrix. The resulting residual matrix enables the researcher to examine how closely the parameter estimates of the PCE method reproduced the observed correlation matrix (R). This was done as a final step to decide if PCE or MLE adequately explained the variability of the data. Inspection of the residual matrix may also disclose individual variables not well modeled by factor analysis. 41 Ordinary kriging Ordinary kriging was applied to 103 sites sampled for lead concentrations in the Sacramento area. The mean concentration of five samples located in essentially the same location was calculated and input as one site reducing the number of sites used in the kriging analysis to 99. Predictions of lead concentration in Sacramento were calculated by ordinary kriging with the statistical software program R. Specifically, the “gstat” computing package (The R Foundation for Statistical Computing, 2008) provides the tools necessary to complete the kriging exercises. In this case the gstat package assumes the data are projected so the location coordinates are converted from latitude/longitude to Universal Transverse Mercator (UTM) coordinates. The latitude/longitude coordinates were converted to UTM in WGS 84 datum. In R the data were converted from a data frame format to a spatial points data frame format in order for the program to perform the kriging operation. Once the spatial data were in the proper format a semivariogram of the log-transformed lead concentrations was constructed. Model parameters, such as range and lag size, were specified and a model was fit to the available data. An ideal model of the semivariogram was plotted with the semivariogram estimated of the data. A spherical model was fit to the estimated semivariogram equation. A lag size of 500 and a maximum range of 10,000 were used. The error is the departure of the data from the ideal model. An omni-directional semivariogram model was used to since spatial correlation is assumed to be independent of direction. A directional semivariogram can model a 42 preferential pattern in anisotropic data. Next, the kriging calculations were applied to a predefined grid using the log of the lead concentrations and the semivariogram parameters discussed earlier. The ordinary kriging map exhibits the predicted lead values based on the linear, weighted combination of nearby observed lead concentrations. A variance map displays the uncertainty in the kriging prediction across the region being analyzed. Regions of high variation indicate where the prediction may diverge substantially from the observed values. An additional method used to assess the accuracy of predicted concentrations is leave-one-out cross validation. This method extracts a single observed value and generates a prediction map without the use of the extracted value. The predicted value at the location of the extracted datum is compared to the value of the observed datum that was extracted. The difference indicates how well the model predicts the values. 43 Chapter 4 RESULTS Environmental Analysis MEMS-61 environmental analysis The results for elemental analysis of soils by the MEMS-61 method are reported in parts per million (ppm) and presented in (Table 4). Summary statistics are presented for the metals analyzed by the ME-MS61 method in (Table 5). The maximum concentration of lead in the 103 soil samples collected for this project is 1540ppm. This value is almost twice the next highest value of 863ppm. The minimum is 10.6ppm. The mean is 127.99ppm, the median is 52.6ppm, and the standard deviation is 204.9ppm. Lead concentrations in soils of Sacramento follow a positively skewed distribution (Figure 13 a & b). Seventy-three percent of the lead concentrations lie within the first 10% of the range of concentrations. The locations of sample sites displayed with lead concentrations are presented in Figure 14. The distribution of lead concentrations is divided into four categories. Green indicates the concentration value is between 10 and 100 ppm, yellow represents concentrations of less than 100 to 300 ppm, orange represents concentrations of 300 to 863 ppm, and red represents concentrations greater than 863 ppm. It is evident from the map that the lowest concentrations of lead in the soils of Sacramento occur outside the central portion of the city. Conversely, the higher concentrations of lead occur within the central portion of the city. While the majority of elevated concentrations occur in the central portion of the city, some of the highest concentrations do occur beyond this central area. 44 Histograms and box plots were used to evaluate the distribution of each elemental concentration. The MLE method requires normally distributed data in order to properly run the factor analysis model. In addition, Korre, 1999, Wang et al., 2005 cite non-normal distributions as an indication of pollution. The elemental concentrations displaying nonnormal distributions are presented in (Table 6 and figure 15 a-g). XRF environmental analysis The results for the analysis of Pb and Zn of soils by the XRF method are reported in ppm and presented in Table 7 (a & b). The results are reported as an average of three readings measured by the instrument for each sample site. The XRF lead concentration data are represented spatially in Figure 16. The distribution of lead concentrations is divided into four categories. Green symbols indicate the concentration value is between 10 and 100 ppm, yellow represents concentrations of less than 100 to 300 ppm, orange represents concentrations of 300 to 863 ppm, and red represents concentrations greater than 863 ppm. None of the XRF data fall into the last category, and the same symbol convention is used between data sets for ease of comparison. The maximum lead concentration in soil measured using a hand-held XRF is 746ppm. The minimum concentration of lead in soil analyzed by this method is 7ppm. The mean, median, and standard deviation are 181, 147, and 154 respectively (Table 7 a). The Pb concentration of the XRF data is graphically displayed by a histogram and box plot (Figure 17). 45 NURE HSSR environmental analysis Two hundred and fifty seven samples of soil collected by the NURE program in Sacramento County were analyzed for lead and other elemental concentrations (Figure 18). The results for elemental analysis of soils determined by 4-acid digestion followed by analysis by ICP-AES and ICP-MS are reported in parts per million. Summary statistics are presented for the NURE samples in (Table 8). The maximum concentration of lead in the 257 soil samples collected by the NURE program is 1039ppm. The minimum is non-detect reported as 0.0. The mean is 49ppm, the median is 22ppm, and the standard deviation is 91ppm. Lead concentrations of the NURE data set follow a slightly positively skewed distribution, but are tightly clustered relative to the samples of the MEMS-61 data (Figure 19). The distribution of lead concentrations is presented in the same four categories as described above for the MEMS-61 and XRF mentioned data. Most elevated lead concentrations are proximal to the city of Sacramento, although some elevated lead concentrations occur outside of the city. Histograms and box plots were used to evaluate the distribution of each elemental concentration. Korre, 1999; Wang et al., 2005 cite non-normal distributions as an indication of pollution. Replicate Analysis MEMS-61 replicate analysis 46 Eight replicate samples were collected and analyzed with the MEMS-61 method (Table 9). These samples are compared with the corresponding environmental samples to help determine variability in collection and analysis processes. Three of the eight replicate samples were taken as sample splits from single locations at randomly selected sample sites. The purpose of analyzing sample splits from a single sample is to test the variability of metal concentrations within the sample split selected for analysis at the laboratory. The remaining 5 replicate samples were collected separately as duplicate samples at randomly selected sites at different locations within the same site as their corresponding environmental sample. Summary statistics were applied to the replicates, corresponding environmental samples, and both replicate and environmental samples. In addition, the split samples and duplicate samples, collected at different locations within the same site, were evaluated separately and together (Table 10). Percent difference was calculated between the replicate samples and associated environmental samples (Table 11). The 5 duplicate samples, collected at different locations within the same site from the associated environmental samples, when compared to their corresponding environmental sample, all exhibited percent differences less than 5%. Two of the three split samples, split form the original collection bag, exhibit a percent difference greater than 5% in lead concentrations. The environmental sample Lead 2 and its corresponding replicate Lead 2a exhibit a 22% difference of lead concentrations. The lead concentration measured in the environmental sample Lead 2 is 216 ppm, much higher than the associated replicate split Lead 2a with a concentration of 47 83.9 ppm. The environmental sample Lead 5 and its corresponding replicate split Lead 5a exhibit a 5.5% difference in lead concentrations. The lead concentration measured in the environmental sample Lead 5 is 509 ppm, greater than the associated replicate split Lead 5a with a concentration of 408 ppm. XRF replicate analysis Ten replicate split samples analyzed by MEMS-61 methods were also analyzed by hand-held XRF for zinc and lead concentrations. Soil samples analyzed by method MEMS-61 and by XRF using a hand-held instrument exhibit comparable concentrations (Table 12 and Figure 20). A scatter plot of these samples yields a linear trend with an rsquared value of 0.95. The maximum difference between the average XRF concentrations and the MEMS-61 concentrations is 76ppm. Percent difference between the concentration of lead between the XRF and MEMS methods ranges from 1.1 to 111 percent with a standard deviation of 32. Lead Concentrations and Spatial Analysis Soil type The distribution of lead concentrations from MEMS_XRF data in soils of Sacramento compared to varying types of geology, land use, and soil type that occur in the study area reveal relationships with various aspects of the region. Analysis of the distribution of lead concentrations compared to ranges of the percentage of clay in soil as described by the NRCS soil report of Sacramento County does not reveal any significant 48 relationship (Figure 21). Category 1 represents a range of 5 to 18 percent clay and includes 15 percent of the data. Category 2 represents a range of 10 to 25 percent clay and includes 62 percent of the data. Category 3 represents a range of 15 to 27 percent clay and includes 17 percent of the data. Category 4 represents a range from 27 to 60 percent clay and includes only six percent of the lead concentrations (Figure 22). Twenty-two samples were excluded from the analysis because no information corresponding to the percentage of clay in the soils was available. Average lead concentrations do not vary significantly between the ranges of clay percent in soils. Category 4 exhibits a lower average lead concentration but does not represent a significant portion of the data. Category 2 contains the highest values of the data set, however the average values and upper and lower quartiles are similar among the plots. It is important to note that actual clay content of urban areas may vary more than indicated by the NRCS. Geology The distribution of lead concentrations from MEMS_XRF data is also compared to geologic units in which the samples were collected (Figure 23). The samples were collected from four geologic units present in the study area. These units include alluvium, Qa, which encompasses 42 percent of the sites sampled for lead concentrations; undivided basin deposits, Qb, which encompass only six percent of the sites; Upper Modesto Formation, Qmu, with only one sample comprising just under one percent of the sites; and the Lower Riverbank Formation, Qrl, encompassing 51 percent of the sites 49 (Figure 24). Although the highest concentrations occur in the Lower Riverbank Formation, the average lead concentration is slightly higher in the Alluvium. The upper quartile of data within the alluvium is also greater than that of the Riverbank Formation. The samples contained in the undivided basin deposits and Upper Modesto Formation are too few to be significant. It is important to realize that the study area of Sacramento is located mostly within the bounds of the Riverbank Formation, which does not appear to be related to the distribution of lead. Land use The lead concentrations from MEMS_XRF data are more evenly distributed among the categories of land use in the study area (Figure 25). The categories of land use include agriculture, encompassing four percent of the sites sampled for lead concentrations; commercial, encompassing 17 percent of the sample sites; industrial, encompassing 21 percent of the sample sites; park, encompassing 17 percent of the sample sites; and residential, encompassing 41 percent of the sample sites (Figure 26). The average value of lead concentrations is higher for the commercial and recreational land uses. The industrial and residential land use categories exhibit lower average lead concentrations, although the residential category exhibits the largest variation between the 25th and 75th percentile. Some of the highest lead concentrations occur in the residential land use category. 50 Historic industry Sanborne fire insurance maps of downtown Sacramento from 1952 list locations of potential heavy metal sources (Figure 27). A list of companies and their associated industry is presented in Table 13. Wind direction Historical data from two weather stations in Natomas and the Sacramento Airport were compiled in order to ascertain the prevailing wind direction within the study area. Rose diagrams display the frequency of the direction of maximum wind currents for each area for year-round and dry-month conditions (Figure 28 a & b). Dry-month intervals were subtracted from yearly data by removing data occurring during the months of November through March. Minimal discrepancies are observed between wind direction frequencies plotted for “dry” months and year-round observations with the exception of the Sacramento Airport site. The Sacramento airport site exhibits a clearly dominant pattern of wind coming from a southwest and minor influence from the northwest directions during year-round observations. This trend is present during “dry month” observations with an increased frequency of wind vectors from the northwest and south. The Natomas site shows wind direction predominantly from the southwest for year-round conditions. In addition, wind from the north and northeast directions increases during “dry months”. The persistent wind direction for both of these sites originates from the southwest. 51 Distance to roads The distance from sample sites to roads was measured by field observation as well as in Google Earth and Arc GIS. A scatter plot of lead concentrations, from MEMS61 data, and distances to roads for each sample indicates the relationship between lead concentration and distance to road with an R-squared value of 0.02 is not strong (Figure 29). High lead concentrations occur with higher probability close to roads. However, other unobserved factors are likely to affect lead concentration. Since some sites close to the road have low lead concentrations, factors might include vehicle traffic density and proximity to older areas of town. Ordinary Kriging Ordinary kriging was used to interpolate lead values at unsampled locations based on measured lead concentrations at sampled sites. Kriging was used to produce a prediction map, which displays sample sites and prediction contours of lead concentrations (Figure 30). The lead concentration contours reveal downtown/midtown Sacramento located in the central portion of the study area and the northeast portion of the study area to contain the highest concentration of lead in soil. Elevated concentrations predicted by kriging of lead in soils are also present just south of downtown, continuing to the south central portion of the study area. The lowest concentrations predicted by the kriging calculation occur in the southeast portion of the study area below the American River, as well as the southwest, west, and northwest portions of the study area. It is evident that high predicted values for lead in the soils of 52 Sacramento are concentrated in the most developed areas. The maximum concentration of lead in soils of Sacramento predicted by the kriging analysis does not exceed 173 ppm. The minimum value predicted for lead in Sacramento soils is 23.7 ppm. The mean, median, and standard deviation are 58.9 ppm, 45.6 ppm, and 31.6 ppm respectively. The summary statistics of the kriging interpolation are compared to the summary statistics of the observed lead concentrations (Table 14). The semivariogram for Pb is shown in Figure 31. The lag distances are displayed in meters. Each lag distance is 500 meters with a tolerance of approximately +/- 250 meters. Each point on the semivariogram corresponds to a particular lag distance and is calculated with a tolerance. The tolerance enables sites of approximately similar distances apart to be grouped together. At the range the distance between sample sites becomes too great to be spatially correlated. The range is reached at a distance of approximately 8,000 meters where the semivariance approaches the sill at around 1.5 γ. Semivariance, γ, equals one-half the average squared difference of values among locations. The nugget effect is evident at a gamma value of approximately 0.7. The greatest departure from the model occurs at a distance of approximately 1,000 meters. An increase in the semivariance (γ), at a distance of approximately 1,000 m, indicates high and low lead concentrations at a specific distance apart. Conversely, a decrease in γ, at a distance of 3,300 m, indicates lead concentrations are similar for the specified distance. A variance map of the ordinary kriging exercise displays the variation of predicted lead concentrations (Figure 32). The variation was calculated from lead 53 concentrations in ppm that have been log transformed and are reported as the difference between observed lead concentrations that have been log transformed and predicted concentrations from those values. The central region of the study area exhibits the least amount of variance. This indicates a small prediction error for the kriging model. The fringes of the study area exhibit the greatest amount of variation with the exception of the northeast corner. The northeast corner displays a moderate amount of variance. The leave-one-out cross-validation results display the deviation of predicted values from observed values at locations where the prediction is made from nearby variables excluding the observed variable at that location (Table 15). The cross validation analysis reports predicted values at locations of observed concentrations. The maximum value predicted by the cross validation analysis is 165 ppm, much lower than the corresponding observed lead concentration of 1,540 ppm. The minimum, mean, median, and standard deviation are 18, 75, 67, and 41 ppm respectively. The minimum, mean, median, and standard deviation of the observed values are 10.6, 127.9, 52.5, and 204.9 ppm respectively. The difference between observed concentrations and predicted concentrations generated by the cross validation analysis are referred to as residuals. The maximum residual value is 1,467 ppm, which reflects a large underestimation of the predicted value from the observed value. The greatest overestimation occurs with a residual of –144 ppm. The median values of the observed data and the predicted data are similar. 54 Factor Analysis: Maximum Likelihood Estimation Factor loadings Factor loadings quantify the relationship between observed elemental concentrations and the unobserved factors. Variables with high to moderate factor loading values, in the range of 0.80 to 0.40, can be considered well correlated to other variables with high to moderate loadings in that factor and are selected for factor interpretation (Costello & Osborne, 2005). Dominant variables within a single factor may exhibit negative loadings. Negative values observed within a factor contrast positive values, but do not affect the analysis among other factors (Johnson & Wichern, 1998). Low factor loading values, below 0.40, indicate that the variable may not be related to other variables (Costello & Osborne, 2005). Tabachinick and Fidell (1983) cite 0.32 as a minimum loading for related values. MEMS-61 data The following results represent rotated factor loadings for a model with four factors using a subset of MEMS-61 data that has been standardized and transformed by log base 10 (Bityukova et al., 2000; Costello & Osborne, 2005) when its distribution is skewed (Figure 15 a-g) (Table 16). The cumulative variation explained by these four factors is 69.5 percent. The cumulative variation represents the percentage of data variation accounted for by the latent factors. A graphical representation of the factor loadings of MEMS-61 data by MLE is presented in Figure 33 a & b. Factor I shows high to moderate loadings for the elements Al, Co, Cs, Fe, Ga, Li, Mg, Mn, Ni, Ti, V, and Y. No high negative loadings are present in this factor. All other 55 variables show low correlations and loadings. Factor I explains 23.1% of the cumulative variance. Factor II shows high to moderate loadings for the elements Al, Ba, Be, Ce, Ga, Hf, K, La, Nb, Rb, Ta, Th, Tl, and U. All other variables exhibit little correlation within the factor. Factor II explains 20.4% of the total variance explained. Factor III shows high to moderate loadings for the elements Ag, Bi, Cd, Cu, Mo, P, Pb, S, Sb, Sn, W, and Zn. No high negative loadings are present in this factor. All other variables show low correlations and loadings. Factor II explains 18.4% of the cumulative variance. Factor IV shows high loadings for the elements Ca, Na, and Sr. Factor IV also shows high to moderate negative loadings for the elements Cs, Li, and Rb. All other elements exhibit low loadings, which correspond to little or no correlation within this factor. Factor IV explains 7.6% of the cumulative variance. Crossloading of factors occurs when the variables are moderately loaded on two or more factors. Costello & Osborne, (2005), cite any variable with a loading of 0.32 or higher on two or more factors as an example of crossloading. Since most factors of the MEMS-61 data exhibit strong loadings, the criteria for crossloading includes a loading of at least 0.40 for two or more factors and the absence of a strong loading on other factors. Factor crossloadings are observed between factors I and II for the elements Al, Be, Cs, Ga, Ti, U, and Y. Factor crossloadings are observed between factors I and III for the elements As, Cu, and In. 56 The variation of each variable is described by its loading and uniqueness values (Table 17). Uniqueness represents the random aspect of each variable that is not explained by the latent factors. Variables with uniqueness values above 0.33 are not well defined by the underlying factors and include Ag, As, Cr, Ge, In, K, Mn, Mo, P, S, Th, Tl, U, W and Zn NURE data The following results represent rotated factor loadings for a model with three factors using data from NURE elemental concentrations that have been standardized and transformed by log base 10 (Bityukova et al., 2000; Costello et al., 2005) when their distribution is skewed (Table 18). These four factors explain 52.7% of the cumulative variation. A graphical representation of the factor loadings of NURE data by MLE is presented in Figure 34 a & b. Factor I of the NURE data shows high to moderate loadings for the elements Al, Co, Cr, Cu, Fe, Li, Mg, Mn, Ni, P, Sc, V, Y, and Zn. Low factor I loadings exist for Ca, Ce, and La. The elements B, Be, Pb, Sr, Th, U, and Zr have zero loadings. Negative loadings include Ba, K, Na, Nb, and Ti. Factor I explains 27.1% of the cumulative variance of the NURE data. This factor corresponds to the Factor I of the MEMS-61 data. Factor II of the NURE data shows high to moderate loadings for the elements Al, Ba, Be, Ce, La, Nb, Th, Ti, Y, and Zr. Low factor II loadings exist for the elements B, Be, Co, Fe, K, Li, Mn, Sr, and U indicating low correlation of these elements within 57 factor II. The elements Ca, Cr, Cu, Na, Ni, P, Pb, Sc, V, and Zn show zero factor II loadings. Mg is negatively loaded for factor II. Factor II explains 14.2% of the total variance explained of the NURE data. This factor corresponds to factor II of the MEMS61 data. Factor III of the NURE data shows high to moderate loadings for the elements Al, Ca, Na, and Sr. Low correlations are indicated by low factor III loadings for Ba, Be, Fe, Mg, Mn, Nb, Pb, Sc, V, and Y. Elements B, Cu, Li, Ni, U, and Zr have zero loadings for factor III. The elements that exhibit negative loadings for factor III of the NURE data include B, Cu, Li, Ni, U, and Zr. Factor III explains 11.4% of the cumulative variance of the NURE data. Factor III extracted from the factor analysis of the NURE data corresponds to factor IV of the MEMS-61 data. Less variability is explained for the NURE data than the MEMS-61 data, therefore loadings of 0.32 or higher on two or more factors for the NURE data will be considered crossloaded (Costello & Osborne, 2005). Crossloadings exist between all three factors of the NURE data for Al. Yttrium is crossloaded between factors I and II. Crossloading between factor I and III, although weak, exist between the elements Mg and Ca. Variables with uniqueness values above 0.33 are not well defined by the underlying factors for the NURE data include Al, B, Ba, Be, K, Li, Mn, Nb, P, Pb, Th, Ti, V, Y, Zn, and Zr (Table 19). 58 Residual matrix A residual matrix displays how closely the estimated factor analysis model reproduces the observed correlation matrix. Recall that the observed correlation matrix is simply a correlation matrix of the elemental concentrations. The difference between the observed matrix and the estimated matrix produced by factor analysis produces the residual matrix. The residual matrix from the MLE that nearly reproduces the observed matrix indicates a sufficient number of factors chosen to represent the underlying variables. An exact reproduction of the observed correlation matrix would result in a residual matrix consisting of all zeros. The maximum and minimum values of the residual matrix represent the greatest variation from the reproduction of the observed matrix. MEMS-61 data A summary of the residual matrix for the MEMS-61 data shows the overall deviation of the estimated matrix from the observed matrix (Table 19). The estimated matrix exhibits a maximum difference of 0.312 above zero and 0.163 below zero from the observed correlation matrix. The average variation of all elements from zero is 0.0005, with a median of zero and an average standard deviation of 0.0489. NURE data A summary of the residual matrix for the NURE data shows the overall deviation of the estimated matrix from the observed matrix (Table 20). The MLE estimation matrix generated from the NURE data exhibits a maximum difference of 0.413 above zero and –0.266 below zero from the observed correlation matrix. The average variation 59 of all elements from zero is 0.00898, with a median of zero and an average standard deviation of 0.0798. Factor scores Factor scores calculated by the weighted least squares method were displayed for each factor of the MEMS-61 and NURE data sets by means of a prediction map. The factor scores were used to assess the spatial distribution of each factor. The prediction map was generated by the Geostatistical Analyst package in Arc GIS 9.3.1. MEMS-61 data Factor I scores (Figure 35) are shown to be the highest in the northwest and western portion of the study area. Moderate values of factor I occur in isolated areas of the southeast and central east portion of the study area. Low and negative values of factor I scores occur primarily in the eastern portion of the study area dropping sharply from west to east in the north and more gradually from west to east in the south. Factor II scores (Figure 36) occur in greatest concentration in the northern and south-central and southeastern portions of the study area. The American River bisects these two areas of high concentration. Moderate concentrations of factor II scores are present in the central-east side of the area. Negative factor II scores are concentrated to the west of the Sacramento River in the west-central portion of the area. The location of the American and Sacramento Rivers coincide with concentration isopleths. Factor III scores (Figure 37) occur in greatest concentration in the central portion of the study area coinciding with downtown Sacramento and decrease outward. Negative 60 values occur mostly in the eastern portion of the study area with isolated regions in the west-central and southwest study area. The northern and southwestern portions of the prediction map display erratic concentration isopleths. Factor IV scores (Figure 38) occur in greatest concentration in the northeast and eastern portion of the map. Negative values occur west and northeast of the confluence of the Sacramento and American Rivers. NURE data Factor I scores from the NURE data (Figure 39) are elevated along reaches of the Sacramento River and in the northeast area of Sacramento County, south of Folsom Lake. Moderate factor I scores occur in sediments near the American and Cosumnes Rivers. Negative values of factor I scores for the NURE data are generally concentrated midway between the Sacramento River to the west and the foothills to the east. Factor II scores from the NURE data (Figure 40) show higher values in the southeast and south areas of Sacramento County, with the exception of the limb of samples that extend southwest toward the delta. These samples exhibit moderate factor scores with some intermittent negative scores along with samples collected within the remainder of the county. Negative factor II scores occur most densely in the northern half of Sacramento County. Factor III scores from the NURE data (Figure 41) exhibit high values along the northern boarder of Sacramento County, as well as along the American and Cosumnes Rivers. Negative factor III values occur in the areas south of the American and 61 Cosumnes Rivers. A few negative factor III score values are observed along the Sacramento River in the southwest area of the county. Factor Analysis: Principal Component Estimation Results of the principal component estimation (PCE) of factor analysis parameters with a varimax rotation are presented. All data have been standardized and those data with concentration distributions that deviate from a normal distribution have been transformed to log base 10 prior to standardization (Bityukova et al, 2000; Costello et al, 2005). Factor loadings MEMS-61 data Factor loadings calculated by PCE exhibit a slightly higher percent of cumulative variance explained, 72.1%, than those calculated by MLE (69.5%) (Table 21). Factor I of the rotated principal component analysis reveals high to moderate loadings for the elements Al, As, Co, Cr, Cs, Cu, Fe, Ga, Ge, In, Li, Mg, Mn, Ni, Ti, V, and Y. The remaining elements show little or no correlation with each other or the high to moderately loaded elements of factor I. Factor I explains 22.2% of the cumulative variance and corresponds to factor I extracted by MLE for the NURE and MEMS-61 data. Factor II of the rotated principal component analysis displays high to moderate negative loadings for the elements Al, Ba, Be, Ce, Cs, Ga, Hf, K, La, Nb, Rb, Ta, Th, Ti, 62 Tl, U, and Y. Cr exhibits a moderate positive loading reflecting a negative correlation to the elements of this factor. The remaining elements show little or no correlation with each other or the high to moderately loaded elements of factor I. Factor II explains 22.5% of the cumulative variation and corresponds to factor II of the NURE and MEMS61 data when MLE is used. Factor III of the rotated principal component analysis reveals high to moderate negative loadings for the elements Ag, As, Bi, Cd, Cu, In, Mo, P, Pb, S, Sb, Sn, W, and Zn. The remaining elements show little or no correlation with each other or the high to moderately loaded elements of factor III. Factor III explains 19.1% of the cumulative variability and corresponds to factor III of the MEMS-61 data when MLE is used to extract the factors. Factor analysis of the NURE data did not produce a corresponding factor. Factor IV of the rotated principal component analysis, which corresponds to the MLE extraction of factor IV from MEMS-61 data and factor III of NURE data, reveals high to moderate positive loadings for the elements Ca, Na, and Sr. Moderate negative loadings are associated with the elements Cs and Li for Factor IV. The remaining elements show little or no correlation with each other or the high to moderately loaded elements of factor IV. Factor IV explains 8.2% of the cumulative variability. Factor crossloadings for PCE are observed between factors I and II and occur among the elements As, Cu, and In. Cross loadings are observed between factors I and III for the elements Al, Cs, Ga, Ti, and Y. 63 The variables with specific variance values above 0.33 are not explained well by these similar factors. These include Ag, As, Cr, Ge, In, Mn, Mo, P, S, Th, Tl, U, W and Zn (Table 16). These are similar elements not well explained by MLE with the exception of K. NURE data Factor loadings extracted by PCE for the NURE data exhibit a higher percent of cumulative variance explained, 56.9%, than those calculated by MLE (52.7%) (Table 22). These factors correspond to the resulting extractions from the previous extraction methods with the exception of Factor III, which corresponds to factor IV of the MLE and PCE extractions from MEMS-61 data. Factor III extracted from the MEMS-61 data is not accounted for in the NURE analysis. Factor I of the rotated principal component analysis of the NURE data displays high to moderate loadings (>0.40) for the elements Al, Co, Cr, Cu, Fe, Li, Mg, Mn, Ni, P, Sc, V, Y, and Zn. The remaining elements show little or no correlation with each other or the high to moderately loaded elements of factor I. The elements with loadings less than 0.40 include B, Ca, Ce, La, Th, and Ti. The elements U, Be, Pb, Sr, and Zr exhibit a zero loading. Elements with negative loadings include Ba, k, Na, and Nb. Factor I of the NURE data represents 28.3 percent of the variability explained by the PCE. Factor II of the rotated principal component analysis of the NURE data reveals high to moderate negative loadings for the elements Al, Ba, Ce, K, La, Nb, Th, Ti, U, and Zr. These negatively loaded elements represent the dominant elements of the NURE data 64 for factor II. The remaining elements show little or no correlation with each other or the high to moderately loaded elements of factor II. These elements include low negative loadings of B, Be, Co, Fe, Li, Mn, Sr, and Y. Elements exhibiting zero loadings include Ca, Cr, Cu, Na, Ni, P, Pb, Sc, V, and Zn. Magnesium is the only positively loaded element in this factor. Factor II of the NURE data represents 16.0 percent of the variability explained by the PCE. Factor III of the rotated principal component analysis of NURE data reveals high to moderate negative loadings for the elements Al, Ca, Na, and Sr. These negatively loaded elements represent the dominant elements of factor III for the NURE data. The remaining elements show little or no correlation with each other or the high to moderately loaded elements of factor III. These elements include low negative loadings of Ba, Be, Fe, Mg, Mn, Nb, Sc, Ti, V, and Y. Elements exhibiting zero loadings include Ce, Co, Cr, K, La, Pb, Th, and Zn. Positively loaded elements include B, Cu, Li, Ni, P, U, and Zr. Factor III of the NURE data represents 12.6 percent of the variability explained by the PCE. Less variability is explained for the NURE data than the MEMS-61 data, therefore loadings of 0.32 or higher on two or more factors for the NURE data will be considered crossloaded (Costello & Osborne, 2005). Crossloadings exist between all three factors of the NURE data for Al and Y. Variables with specific variance values above 0.33 are not well defined by PCE for the NURE data include B, Ba, Be, K, Li, Mg, Nb, P, Pb, Th, Ti, V, Y, Zn, and Zr (Table 18). 65 Residual matrix MEMS-61 data The summary statistics of the residual matrix of the MEMS-61 data computed by PCE is presented in (Table 19). The residual matrix is the difference between the correlation matrix from the observed elemental concentrations and the estimation matrix calculated by factor analysis. The PCE estimation matrix computed from the MEMS-61 data exhibits a maximum difference of 0.279 above zero and 0.166 below zero from the observed correlation matrix. The average variation of all elements from zero is -0.006, with an average median of –0.004 and an average standard deviation of 0.050. NURE data The residual matrix computed from the NURE data by PCE is displayed in (Table 19). The estimation matrix calculated from the PCE of NURE data yields a maximum difference of 0.372 above zero and –0.342 below zero from the observed correlation matrix. The average variation of all elements from zero is –0.008, with an average median value calculated for all elements of –0.012, and an average standard deviation calculated for all elements of 0.084. A comparison between the summary statistics of the residual matrices of MLE and PCE for the MEMS-61 and NURE data is presented in (Table 24). In both data sets, (MEMS-61 and NURE) the MLE matrix produces a higher maximum value. However, it exhibits a lower average variation from the observed correlation matrix than the PCE 66 matrix. This lower average variation indicates that MLE estimates the observed correlation matrix better than PCE in both data sets. The similarity between parameter estimates under PCE and MLE indicate the factor analysis model is appropriate. 67 Chapter 5 DISCUSSION Proximity to Roads The nature of collecting soil samples in a heavily populated area restricts the samples to areas where collection is possible. This includes verge between sidewalks and roads. Although it has been shown roadside soils can be a source of lead due to automobile exhausts predating the ban on the use leaded gasoline, the proximity to roads does not exclude other potential sources of lead contamination in soils. Many of the sample sites for this study are within a close distance to a road, which introduces bias to the study. A plot of lead concentrations and distances to the nearest road (figure 28) does not show a strong correlation between these variables. While some of the highest concentrations occur at a short distance from roads, many low concentrations are also present at close proximity to roads. Perhaps unobserved variables such as traffic density or proxy to central, older areas of Sacramento influence lead concentrations near roads. It is important to understand that the samples were collected at various locations around Sacramento and not along transects as in other studies. The comparison of lead concentrations to distance to roads in this study was for the purpose of identifying possible bias introduced by collecting soil near roadsides. In studies by Filippelli et al., (2005) and Yassoglou et al., (1987) samples were collected along transects perpendicular to a single road to ascertain the relationship between lead concentrations and distance to a specific road. These studies observed an exponential relationship between lead concentrations and distance to road. 68 Ordinary Kriging Discussion A prediction map generated by ordinary kriging interpolation displays a concentration of elevated lead values in Sacramento soils in the central, south central, and northeastern portions of the study area (Figure 30). The lead predictions in the central portion of the study area are substantiated by the occurrence of multiple observations of elevated lead concentrations. Compared to soil samples collected in the outskirts of the study area, these observations contain a considerable amount of lead. The connection between developed areas of Sacramento and elevated lead concentrations indicates an anthropogenic origin of the lead. Korre, (1999) and Wang et al., (2005) cite statistical characteristics of concentration data, such as non-normally distributed data and the combination of high concentrations and high standard deviations, as an indicator for anthropogenic input. Distributions of lead concentration for MEMS-61 data samples displayed by a histogram and box plot support this claim (Figure 13 a & b). In addition, soil samples analyzed by XRF were collected in the central portion of the study area and exhibit elevated lead concentrations (Figure 16). In general, because the XRF samples were collected in a localized central portion of the study area known to have greater concentrations than the outskirts, their concentration distribution is higher than the MEMS-61 sample set (Figure 17 a & b). The elevated lead concentrations coincide with the older areas of Sacramento. Brown et al., (2008) observe a similar case in Lubbock, Texas where elevated lead concentrations decrease with distance from the central, older sections of town. In the case 69 of Lubbock, Texas, the anthropogenic input of lead was attributed to lead additives in gasoline emitted by vehicle traffic. Lead additives in gasoline were officially banned in the 1990s and may be a contributor to elevated lead concentrations in Sacramento soils. Historic road maps from 1933 and 1967 show the downtown area of Sacramento to be well established as an urban area (Figure 42). In addition to vehicle traffic, Sanborne fire insurance maps drafted in 1952 of the western downtown area of Sacramento list industry involved with processes utilizing heavy metals (Figure 27). In particular, the Southern Pacific Railroad (SPRR) locomotive shops operating from the 1860s to 1999 maintained, repaired, and constructed railroad equipment (CPRR, 2009). This site, located southeast of the confluence of the American and Sacramento Rivers, eventually covered 200 acres and contained a coal-burning smokestack (Figure 43) that may have emitted lead into the environment (Wang et al., 2005). The frequency of the direction of the daily maximum wind vectors for sites located at Natomas and the Sacramento Executive Airport were evaluated to assess the impact of the railroad shop on the distribution of lead in Sacramento. Rose diagrams display a strong northeast trend as well as moderate southsoutheast and northwest trends in air current for the study area (Figure 28 a & b). The frequency of direction for maximum wind currents coupled with the location of the historic railroad shop does not indicate an apparent connection to the distribution of lead in Sacramento and the SPRR locomotive shops. This qualitative assessment is based upon the location of the railroad shops at the northwest fringe of the elevated lead concentrations predicted by ordinary kriging and the frequency of the maximum direction 70 of wind vectors at nearby locations trending in a direction other than southeast, toward elevated lead concentrations. Several studies have demonstrated lead contamination in urban areas is a function of traffic density and age (Mielke et al., 1998; Filippelli et al., 2005; Laidlaw et al., 2008; Brown et al., 2008). Elevated lead concentrations in soil were observed in the central, older sections of Sacramento and are consistent with previous findings in other urban areas. A bull’s-eye of lead concentrations is evident when predicted lead concentrations are contoured (Figure 30). This is an indication of lead deposition, redistribution, and smearing of original point sources (Filippelli et al., 2005). A prediction map of the variance of predicted lead concentrations generated in Arc-GIS displays moderate variance in the southern area of the study (Figure 32). The southern predictions represent interpolations based on observed lead concentrations, which exhibit a few very high concentration values. With the exception of the few high values, the remaining lead concentrations are generally low with very few moderate concentration values. The occurrence of observed lead concentration of high values nested within lower-valued observations indicates localized contributions of lead at these locations. Lead in paint from point sources such as homes can generate localized spikes in lead concentrations. Grinding and improper removal of paint containing lead is likely to distribute lead locally. Elevated predictions generated from the northeast portion of the study area exhibiting high lead concentrations are suspect. Only two observed points, both exhibiting lead concentrations greater than 300ppm, are present in the section of the study area identified to have elevated lead concentrations. In addition, distance between 71 observed data points in this section of the study area is larger than that of other sections. The lack of data in this portion of the study area indicates the instability of the prediction map in the area and is exemplified by the higher value of variance contours found in the northern section of the map (Figure 32). The semivariogram measuring the spatial correlation of the data displays a good fit to the spherical semivariogram model (Figure 31). The distance to the range is much greater than the sampling interval indicating spatial structure will be adequately displayed on the prediction map (McGrath et al., 2004). Departure of the semivariogram data from the ideal semivariogram occurs above and below the model line. The values above the line indicate greater variation of data values at a particular distance. Variation in data is caused by the observation of lead values with high concentrations near lead values with low concentrations. The values below the model line indicate that more similar values occur at that particular distance than calculated by the model. Comparison of the summary statistics of the observed lead concentrations and the summary statistics from the predicted lead concentrations generated by kriging reveals the degree of smoothing the data has undergone. The maximum value of the predicted lead concentrations, 173 ppm, is far below the highest observed value of lead concentrations, 1540 ppm. The average lead concentration of the observed values is slightly more than double the predicted values. The standard deviation of the observed values is almost greater than the predicted values of lead concentration by a factor of seven. The median value, however, is only slightly higher for the observed lead concentrations than for the predicted lead concentrations. The minimum values are also 72 similar between the observed lead concentrations and the predicted lead concentrations. The large difference among the average and standard deviation values coupled with the low difference between the median values of the observed and predicted lead concentrations implies the presence of localized point sources that are not easily modeled at this level of spatial resolution. Histogram plots of the observed values and the predicted values exhibit similar shapes with the exception of outliers (Figure 44 a & b). Interpretation of Factors Factor analysis was applied separately to two independent data sets from the same general area. The two data sets consist of the MEMS-61 data collected and analyzed for the purpose of this study and the NURE data collected by the NURE HSSR program and analyzed by the U. S. Geological Survey. The NURE data was collected in a much larger area encompassing Sacramento County, while the MEMS-61 data was collected in the Sacramento city area, within the bounds of the NURE data area. The comparison of these two independent data sets serves to validate the findings of each other. Factor analysis extracted the same lithogenic factors from each set. A comparison of factor loadings is displayed in Figure 45 (a-c). These include a mafic factor with elemental loadings indicating associations with mafic and ultramafic rocks; a pegmatite factor with elemental loadings associated with pegmatite dikes; and a base cation factor with elemental loadings indicating the weathering of plagioclase. An additional, anthropogenic factor was extracted from the MEMS-61 data that did not manifest itself in the factor analysis of the NURE data. Four factors extracted from the MEMS-61 data by the MLE method explained 69.5% of the cumulative variance. Three factors extracted 73 from the NURE data by the MLE method explain 52.7% of the variability. The absence of the anthropogenic factor from the factor analysis of the NURE data is attributed to the distribution of the NURE samples throughout Sacramento County rather than being focused on the city of Sacramento where the anthropogenic inputs are shown to be greatest. Goldhaber et al., (2009), cite the Sacramento River, rivers and streams draining the Sierra Nevada on the east, and rivers and streams draining the Coast Ranges on the west as three major transport pathways for surficial materials residing in the southern Sacramento Valley. In addition, the maintenance of natural and artificial levees acts to spatially segregate west and east sediment sources (Goldhaber et al., 2009). Factor scores used to assess the influence of each factor at a site location indicate an association between geologic materials and location. Ideally, the location of elevated factor scores coupled with evidence of a transport mechanism can indicate a source for the deposited sediment. Although the depositional sources for the southern Sacramento Valley are well defined, mixing and redistribution of soil in the process of urbanization can mask provenance. Factor I lithogenic, mafic Factor I derived from the MEMS-61 data is dominated by Al, As, Be, Co, Cs, Cu, Fe, Ga, Ge, Hf, In, Li, Mg, Mn, Ni, Ti, U, V, and Y and explains 23.1% of the cumulative variability. Factor I derived from the NURE data is dominated by Al, Co, Cr, Cu, Fe, Li, Mg, Ni, P, Sc, V, Y, and Zn and explains 27.1 % of the cumulative variability. The 74 dominant elements of factor I indicate the source to be weathering of mafic and ultramafic rocks. Goldhaber et al., (2009), observes elemental groupings of Cr, Ni, V, Co, Cu, and Mg in the soil on the west side of the Sacramento Valley and suggests sediment contributions are dominated by the Coast Ranges. Morrison et al., (2009), observed elevated concentrations of Cr and Ni in soils of the Sacramento Valley west of the Sacramento River reflecting contribution from ultramafic rocks of the Coast Range Ophiolite (CRO). In addition, Morrison et al., (2009), observed lower concentrations of Cr and Ni in Sacramento Valley soils east of the Sacramento River reflecting contribution from ultramafic rocks of the Western Metamorphic Belt (WMB) of the Sierra Nevada diluted by granitic material. Figure 46 shows occurrence of mafic rocks on the east and west side of the southern Sacramento Valley in relation to the study area. Similar associations found in other published multivariate analyses indicate mafic parent rocks as the source of dominant elements. Wang et al., (2005) cite Al, Ga, Li, Mn, Ti, and V distributions as being controlled by the parent rock. D.S. Ratha & Sahu et al., (1993) observe through factor analysis Co, Cr, Cu, Fe, Mn, and Ni to be weathering products of basaltic source rocks, although they do not all occur in the same factor. Facchinelli et al., (2000) state Co, Cr, and Ni appear to be derived from ultramafic parent rock and suggest serpentinized ocean floor peridotites to be the source. Cicchella et al., (2008) associate the location of Al, Co, Ga, and Ti, among other elements, with Mt. Somma-Vesuvius volcanics cropping out on the eastern part of Napoli, Italy. Davies & Wixson, (1986) state Cr is associated with Mg and Ni during magmatic fractionation and accumulates in ultra basic rocks such as serpentinite. Since Al is common in the earth’s crust, it is no 75 surprise to observe its presence among other elements derived from the crust. Goldhaber et al., (2009), observe elevated concentrations of Li in the sediments of Cache Creek located on the west side of the southern Sacramento Valley associated with marine sedimentary rocks of the Great Valley Group. Figure 47 shows the occurrence of marine rock of the Great Valley Sequence in the southern Sacramento Valley. Factor I scores (figure 35) from the MEMS-61 data are highest in the west side of the study area with sporadic occurrences of elevated factor I scores to the east. Goldhaber et al., (2009) cite the Coast Ranges as the major sediment source for the western Valley with Cache and Putah Creeks being the largest tributaries to the Sacramento River system in the western study area. Harden, (2004) notes that sediments eroded from the Coast Ranges are deposited on the floodplains and bottomlands of the central valley. In addition to the sedimentary rocks of the Great Valley Group found in the Coast Ranges, slightly metamorphosed volcanic basalt such as greenstone pillows, metamorphic rocks like blueschist, eclogite, and sepentinized peridotite, which include minerals such as glaucophane and jadeite (Harden, 2004), and ultramafic rocks of Mesozoic age mostly serpentine with minor amounts of gabbro, peridotite, and diabase (Jennings et al., 1977) are present. The composition of these mafic rocks are consistent with the elements identified by factor I (Blatt & Tracy, 1996). The factor I scores generated from the NURE data appear to be elevated along the Sacramento, American, and Cosumnes Rivers (Figure 39), which all have ultramafic sources near their headwaters. Goldhaber et al., (2009), hypothesizes that in addition to the contribution to Sacramento River levee and floodplain deposits by Cache and Putah Creeks, Sacramento 76 River levee and floodplain deposits contain a component of material derived from the Klamath Mountains, which are comprised of accreted oceanic terrains and contain mafic rocks similar to those of the WMB. As noted in Morrison et al., (2009), the occurrence of ultramafic rocks in the WMB of the Sierra Nevada foothills contribute to Cr and Ni in sediment east of the Sacramento River, but are diluted by granitic material of the Sierra Nevada. The dilution of the ultramafic signature in the soil east of the Sacramento River is supported by the sporadic occurrence of factor I anomalies generated by the factor I score prediction map of the MEMS-61 data. The presence of natural and artificial levees segregating soil geochemistry across the Sacramento River (Goldhaber et al., 2009) supports the CRO and WMB as separate sources for soils derived from mafic and ultramafic rocks. As noted in studies by Korre, (1999) and Wang et al., (2005) loading of elemental concentrations by anthropogenic activities tends to skew distributions of elemental concentrations. Since the distributions of the dominant elements of factor I are not skewed (Figure 32), they are not likely due to anthropogenic activity indicating natural deposition. As a result, Factor I is designated as a lithogenic factor derived from mafic rocks. Factor II lithogenic, felsic Factor II of the MEMS-61 data is dominated by the elements Al, Ba, Be, Ce, Cs, Ga, Hf, K, La, Nb, Rb, Ta, Th, Ti, Tl, and U and comprises 20.4% of the cumulative variability. Factor II, generated from the NURE data is dominated by Al, Ba, Ce, La, Nb, 77 Th, Ti, Y, and Zr and accounts for 14.2 % of the cumulative variability. The dominant elements of this factor indicate felsic rocks with K and incompatible elements as a source. These elements are sometimes associated with pegmatite dikes (Perkins, 1998). A pegmatite is an intrusive igneous rock, typically forming as masses in dikes and veins along the margins of batholiths (USGS, 2009). After partial crystallization, the pegmatite intrusion consists of slowly cooling magmas containing water and incompatible elements such as K, Rb, Li, Be, B, and Rare Earth Elements (REE) (Perkins, 1998). Pegmatite intrusions also include minerals like gold Au, tantalite (Fe,Mn)(Nb,Ta)2 O6, monazite (Ce,La,Th,Y) PO4, and uraninite UO2 (Perkins, 1998). Many of these heavier minerals can be found concentrated in stream bottoms of placer deposits, which occur from weathered vein deposits in the Sierra Nevada Mountains (Perkins, 1998). Goldhaber et al., (2009), observe the dominance of silicic soils enriched with REE (typified by La and Ce), as well as Ti, Th, and U on the east side of the Sacramento Valley. Helly & Harwood, (1986) also note the arkosic nature of these sediments in the Sacramento area and the probability that they are derived from the western slope of the Sierra Nevada. Figure 48 shows the occurrence of granitic rocks of the Sierra Nevada batholith, east of the study area. A prediction map generated from factor II scores generated from the MEMS-61 data shows two regions of elevated values on the east portion of the study area bisected by the American River, which runs east to west (Figure 40). The geology of the eastern side of the study area is defined mostly by the American River including geologic units such as Stream Channel Deposits, Alluvium, and Undivided Basin Deposits of Holocene 78 age and Upper and Lower Riverbank Deposits, Upper Modesto Formation, and Turlock Lake Formation of Pleistocene age (Helly & Harwood, 1986). Goldhaber et al., (2009), attributes the dominance of the more silicic alluvium on the east side of the Sacramento Valley to sediment derived from the Sierra Nevada glaciation and the hydraulic mining of gold in the northern Sierra Nevada. The geomorphic setting of Sacramento sediments is such that the American River is incising the older sediments and depositing younger sediments along the riverbanks (Helly & Harwood, 1986). The prediction map of factor II scores from the MEMS-61 data follows a similar pattern where elevated values of factor II coincide with Lower Riverbank Formation sediments north and south of the American River (Figure 49). This observation is supported by the elevated distribution of positive factor II scores within the lower Riverbank Formation among the samples collected within the Quaternary geology (Figure 50). The factor II scores generated from the NURE data show elevated areas in the eastern and southern Sacramento County (Figure 40). The elevated factor II scores from the NURE data occur in moderate amounts north of the American River, west of Folsom Lake and on the eastern edge of Sacramento County proceeding down along the Cosumnes River and to the south where they become more clustered. The presence of elevated factor II scores along the Cosumnes River indicate the parent rock for soils dominated by factor II elements is present in locations other than the sediment sources for the study area. 79 Factor III anthropogenic Factor III, generated from the MEMS-61 data, is dominated by the elements Ag, As, Bi, Cd, Cu, In, Mo, P, Pb, S, Sb, Sn, W, and Zn, which explain 18.4% of the variability. Factor analysis of the NURE data did not yield a comparable factor to the anthropogenic factor III of the MEMS-61 data. The dominant elements in factor III indicate a combination of anthropogenic activities. Korre (1999) states that data generated from potentially polluted areas are likely to include variables that are not normally distributed. Wang et al., (2005) report that high concentrations coupled with high standard deviations suggest anthropogenic sources. Box plots and histograms of the distribution of elemental concentrations for Ag, As, Bi, Cd, Cu, Mo, Pb, S, Sb, Sn, and Zn display a positive skew, which indicates contamination (Figure 15 a-g). The correlation of Pb, Cd, Cu, Mo, and Zn suggest contamination from vehicular traffic. Wang et al., (2005) note the influence of traffic on Zn, Cd, and Pb concentrations in their evaluation of an urban soil in China using Principal Component Analysis (PCA). The presence of Zn is attributed to corrosion of engine parts; tire wear, and its use in lubricating oils. Cadmium and Cu are also associated with wear of engine parts. In addition, Wang et al., (2005) reports the use of Ni, Cu, and Mo in automobile oil pumps and their eventual release into the urban environment. Goldhaber et al., (2009), recognize that Pb and Zn concentrations in northern California are impacted by anthropogenic inputs such as leaded gasoline and tire wear, respectively. In an isotope analysis of river colloid and stream bed sediments, Dunlap et al., (2008), conclude past leaded gasoline emissions and hydraulic Au- mining dominate lead inputs to the 80 Sacramento River within the study area. In a factor analysis of urban soils in Bombay, India, Ratha & Sahu et al., (1993) cite anthropogenic sources such as industrial chimneys and vehicular exhausts to be the source of Cd, and Pb enrichment. Cicchella et al., (2008) report Pb and Zn to be enriched from leaded gasoline and tire wear, respectively, based on factor analysis of Napoli, Italy soils. Using factor analysis Garcia & Millan, (1998) cite traffic activity as the cause for metal contamination of roadside soils in Gipuzkoa, Spain, since Pb, Cd, Cu, and Zn are associated with gasoline, engines, tires, lubricant oils, and galvanized parts of vehicles. Bityukova et al., (2000) noted Fe, Mn, Pb, and Zn near gasoline pumps and industrial railway stations in the soils of Tallinn, Estonia. Vehicular traffic, however, does not account for all of the dominant elements of factor III indicating there are some other anthropogenic sources to consider. Elements with significant correlations such as Bi, S, Sb, Sn, and W occur in factor III. Other combinations of some of the dominant elemental concentrations and proposed sources of factor III include ore mining (Cu, Ni, Co, Pb, Zn, and Mn (Davies, 1987)), coal burning (Bi, Cr, As, Hg, Sb and S (Wang et al, 2005)), and industries working and building ferrous metal products (Cd, Cr, Fe, Pb, Sn, and Zn (Bityukova et al., 2000)). Davies & Wixson, (1987) determined mining operations in Madison County, Missouri, U.S.A. to be the cause of enrichment of Co, Cu, Ni, Pb, Zn, and to a lesser extent Mn in soils through PCA. Wang et al., (2005) identify Bi, Cr, As, Hg, and Sb as tracers of anthropogenic pollution linked with coal burning. Bityukova et al., (2000) identified, through PCA, the locations of factories of metal-working and ferrous metal building industries associated with Cd, Cr, Fe, Pb, Sn, and Zn. 81 A prediction map of factor scores of factor III indicate that the highest concentrations of this factor occur in the downtown area near the confluence of the American and Sacramento Rivers (Figure 37). It is conceivable that a portion of the metal contamination can be attributed to vehicular traffic. This area of Sacramento happens to be the oldest and most central area of the city. The duration of the historical vehicle traffic and the traffic density support this result. Another portion of the contamination could be attributed to historical industry in the downtown/old-town area. Box plots comparing the distribution of factor III scores to land use observed at sample sites reveal the highest factor III scores to coincide with industrial land use (Figure 26). Sanborne fire insurance maps provide a historical snapshot of the location of business and industry in the city of Sacramento. A record of the industry of Sacramento in 1952 describes the location of metal working industries in and near downtown Sacramento (Table 14). The Southern Pacific Railroad locomotive shop, located southeast of the confluence of the American and Sacramento Rivers, featured various shops for constructing, maintaining, and repairing railroad equipment as well as a coal-burning powerhouse and smokestack. Steam engine and boiler repair, which require metalworking, are some of the tasks performed at the railroad shops and may have contributed to the correlated elements of factor III. The absence of an anthropogenic factor among the factors extracted from the NURE data is best explained by the fact that the countywide NURE samples were not collected at a sampling frequency within the city of Sacramento great enough to detect the metal contamination. It should be noted that some of the highest concentrations for 82 lead of the data collected for the NURE program were located within the bounds of the city. Factor IV lithogenic, felsic Factor IV generated from the MEMS-61 data is dominated by the elements Ca, Na, and Sr, which explain 7.6% of the variability. Moderate negative loadings are observed in the elements Cs and Li indicating that as the influence of factor IV increases these elements have lower concentrations. Factor analysis of NURE data yielded a comparable factor to the felsic factor IV of the MEMS-61 data. The elements Al, Ca, Na, and Sr dominate this factor and account for 11.4% of the variability of the NURE data. Similarly, Li is found to be negatively loaded among the elements of this lithogenic, felsic factor. The dominant elements in factor IV indicate the soils dominated by this factor are derived from parent rocks with strong sodic and calcic associations. Several rocks and minerals contain Ca and Na, including granodiorite. A prediction map of factor IV scores associated with the MEMS-61 data displays the greatest concentration in the northeast portion of the study area (Figure 38). The eastern shore of the Sacramento River south of the confluence of the Sacramento and American Rivers mark the boundaries of the positive factor scores displayed by the prediction map of factor IV scores to the west. Another prominent feature of the prediction map of the factor IV scores is the swath of negative values dominating the western portion of the study area. The distinct pattern of low factor IV scores west of the Sacramento River confirms Goldhaber et al., (2009), statement that the Sacramento River 83 serves as an east-west sediment divide and indicates sedimentary input from the east. Goldhaber et al., (2009) cite the Sierra Nevada glaciation and Au-hydraulic mining as a source for silicic sediments on the east side of the Sacramento Valley. Factor IV scores generated from the NURE data show elevated scores in the north and northeast areas of Sacramento County near Folsom Lake as well as along the American and Cosumnes Rivers. Stream sediment samples evaluated in Goldhaber et al., (2009), show higher concentrations of Ca, Na, and Sr presumably reflecting the composition of rocks weathering from higher elevations. Golddich’s weathering series of silicate rocks explained in terms of bond strength (Railback, 2007), identifies Na and Ca as cations that are susceptible to preferential weathering from silicate rocks. Figure 47 shows the occurrence of the granitic rocks of the Sierra Nevada batholith. Cross loading Cross loadings between factor I and factor II of the elements Al, Be, Cs, Ga, Ti, U, and Y is explained by the fact that both of these factors group elements derived from lithogenic material. Al is among the dominant elements of all three factors extracted by the factor analysis of NURE data. In addition, factor I and factor II computed from the NURE data exhibit crossloading of Y. Many of these elements are ubiquitous in the environment. Aluminum is a common element in the earth’s crust and should be expected to show up in factors related to sediments with lithogenic origins. Titanium is also common in the earth’s crust and can be expected to be present in lithogenic factors. Cross loading also occurs between factor I and factor III in the factor analysis of the 84 MEMS-61 data for the elements As, Cu, and In. This represents their presence in both lithogenic and anthropogenic factors. Cu is a major constituent of ore deposits in the Sacramento Valley drainage basin with As as an accessory mineral (Goldhaber et al., 2009). Both elements have been identified in Sacramento River levee deposits and Cu has also been associated with mafic elements (Goldhaber et al., 2009). The anthropogenic factor III list As and Cu among the contaminants associated with urbanization and human activity. The occurrence of these elements in both lithogenic and anthropogenic factors simply demonstrates that they are derived from both natural and human sources. Residual matrix The residual matrix of the MEMS-61 data generated by MLE nearly reproduces the observed correlation matrix indicating the factor analysis is adequate for explaining the variability of the data (Table 24). The correlations between lead and other elements are explained well by the factor analysis model using MLE. The elements with residuals most frequently occurring above 0.08 include Cr, Ti, Na, K, and S (Figure 51). Other elemental pairs with relatively high residuals include Th and U and Ba and K. Little guidance is offered in the literature about acceptable residual values. Since the correlation coefficient is on a scale from 0-1, the fact that most residuals are below 0.08 suggests an acceptable model fit. Aside from Ti, the other elements in this group are fairly mobile, so perhaps weathering and transport of these elements complicates the analysis of these elements. 85 Chapter 6 CONCLUSIONS Analysis of lead and other elemental concentrations from soil samples collected in Sacramento, CA partially reveal the origin and location of lead contamination in Sacramento soils. Factor analysis makes correlations among elements more evident and can indicate associations with potential source rocks. Ordinary kriging predicts the location of elevated lead concentrations and factor scores. Factor analysis indicates that elevated lead concentrations in Sacramento are of anthropogenic origin. Although lead is ubiquitous in the environment, the portion of the Sierra Nevada and Coast Ranges, which provide sediments to Sacramento, do not contain any significant sources of lead. In addition, values observed in urban areas exceed values measured outside of developed areas, thought to represent background values, by a factor of ten in some cases. This trend is evident in the distribution of lead concentrations among soil samples, which show a greater density of low concentrations (background) compared to a lower density of elevated concentrations (pollution). The pattern of distribution exhibited by lead concentrations is also evident among other elements thought to be of anthropogenic origin, which are grouped by statistical analysis. Elevated lead concentrations in Sacramento are due to a combination of industrial and vehicular pollutant sources. Factor analysis reveals a correlation among lead and other elements including antimony, arsenic, bismuth, molybdenum, silver, sulfur, tin, and 86 tungsten, indicating industrial processes as a source for contamination. Within the same factor, factor analysis also groups lead with cadmium, zinc, and copper, which are elements known to be related to vehicle emissions. Lead concentration in Sacramento soils range from 10 ppm to 1,540ppm, averaging 128 ppm. The greatest concentrations of lead in the surface soils of Sacramento are focused in the downtown area. In addition, prediction maps of lead concentrations and anthropogenic factor scores indicate the greatest concentrations of lead and anthropogenic elements occur in the downtown area of Sacramento. Since this area of Sacramento was one of the first to be developed, it is likely that the occurrence of elevated lead concentrations in Sacramento is linked to the density and duration of traffic and industry over the years. Independent factor analysis of NURE data extracted similar factor groupings to those extracted from the MEMS-61 data. Three of the four factors extracted from the MEMS61 data manifested themselves in the NURE data. The exception in the case of the NURE data was the anthropogenic factor observed from the MEMS-61 data. The presence of the anthropogenic factor in the MEMS-61 data and its subsequent absence from the NURE data is explained by the greater density of MEMS-61 soil samples collected within the city of Sacramento where anthropogenic contamination is present. The extraction of the other three lithogenic factors for both independent analyses was successful because the elemental groupings for each factor were present in the soil at both sampling scales. 87 APPENDICES 88 APPENDIX A Tables Table 1 Non-regulated soil limits for lead. USEPA residential industrial CalEPA residential industrial SFBRWQCB residential industrial CDTSC hazardous waste RSLs (mg/kg) 400 800 CHHSLs (mg/kg) 150 3500 ESLs (mg/kg) 200 750 TTLCs (mg/kg) 1000 USEPA - U. S. Environmental Protection Agency; CalEPA - California Environmental Protection Agency; SFBRWQCB - San Francisco Bay Regional Water Quality Control Board; CDTSC - California Department of Toxic Substances Control. RSL - Regional Screening Level; CHHSL - California Human Health Screening Level; ESL - Environmental Screening Level; TTLC - Total Threshold Limit Concentration. Table 2 Soil attributes of Sacramento and Yolo Counties. Map Unit Name Depth (in) Clay (%) LANG SANDY LOAM 0-6 8-18 LANG SANDY LOAM DEEP 0-6 15-25 LANG SILT LOAM 0-6 15-25 SACRAMENTO SILTY CLAY LOAM 0-16 30-40 SYCAMORE SILT LOAM 0-14 15-27 YOLO SILTY CLAY LOAM 0-26 27-35 AMERICANOS-URBAN LAND COMPLEX 0-8 20-20 COLUMBIA SANDY LOAM 0-11 8-18 COLUMBIA-URBAN LAND COMPLEX 0-11 8-18 COSUMNES SILT LOAM 0-8 20-27 COSUMNES 0-8 20-27 COSUMNES-URBAN LAND COMPLEX 0-8 20-27 DUMPS N/A N/A EGBERT-URBAN LAND COMPLEX 0-18 40-55 HEDGE LOAM 0-14 12-20 JACKTONE 0-11 40-60 KIMBALL-URBAN LAND COMPLEX 0-24 15-25 LAUGENOUR LOAM 0-16 10-20 LAUGENOUR-URBAN LAND COMPLEX 0-16 10-20 ORTHENTS-URBAN LAND COMPLEX N/A N/A Texture Description sandy loam sandy loam silt loam silty clay loam silt loam silty clay loam silt loam sandy loam sandy loam silt loam silt loam silt loam variable clay loam clay silt loam loam loam variable 89 ROSSMOOR-URBAN LAND COMPLEX SAILBOAT SILT LOAM, PARTIALLY DRAINED SAILBOAT-URBAN LAND COMPLEX SAN JOAQUIN FINE SANDY LOAM SAN JOAQUIN SILT LOAM SAN JOAQUIN SILT LOAM SAN JOAQUIN-URBAN LAND COMPLEX SAN JOAQUIN-URBAN LAND COMPLEX URBAN LAND URBAN LAND-NATOMAS COMPLEX URBAN LAND-XERARENTS-FIDDYMENT COMPLEX VALPAC LOAM VALPAC-URBAN LAND COMPLEX XERARENTS-URBAN LAND-SAN JOAQUIN COMPLEX 0-6 0-16 0-16 0-13 0-23 0-23 0-23 0-13 N/A 0-17 5-15 15-27 15-27 10-20 15-25 15-25 15-25 10-20 N/A 15-25 0-8 0-10 0-10 10-18 fine sandy loam 18-27 loam 18-27 variable 0-13 10-20 fine sandy loam N/A, not available; %, percent. fine sandy loam silt loam silt loam fine sandy loam silt loam silt loam silt loam fine sandy loam variable variable adapted from NRCS Table 3 Geologic attributes of units occurring in the study area Lithology Lithology Name Age Qa* Alluvium Holocene Qb* Basin Deposits, Undivided Holocene Qml Lower Member, Modesto Formation Pleistocene Qmu* Upper Member, Modesto Formation Pleistocene Qrl* Lower Member, Riverbank Formation Pleistocene Qru Upper Member, Riverbank Formation Pleistocene Qsc Stream Channel Deposits Holocene Qtl Turlock Lake Formation Pleistocene t Tailings Holocene Tla Laguna Formation Pliocene Helly & Harwood * sample collected within the geologic unit (1986). Table 4 Elemental concentrations of Sacramento soil analyzed by method MEMS-61. ppm, parts per million; %, percent; na, no analysis. Site Name Ag_ppm Al_% As_ppm Ba_ppm Be_ppm Bi_ppm Ca_% Lead_1 0.09 4.75 7.20 460.00 0.68 0.10 1.32 Lead_2 0.14 4.52 6.70 570.00 0.81 0.14 1.49 Lead_3 0.34 6.49 27.90 680.00 1.27 0.49 1.97 Lead_4 0.24 6.56 9.70 630.00 1.26 0.28 2.87 Lead_5 0.25 5.77 8.80 570.00 1.25 0.67 2.06 Lead_6 0.22 5.85 7.80 500.00 1.10 0.19 1.98 Lead_7 0.16 5.70 7.20 580.00 1.19 0.19 1.54 90 Lead_8 Lead_9 Lead_10 Lead_11 Lead_12 Lead_13 Lead_14 Lead_15 Lead_16 Lead_17 Lead_18 Lead_19 Lead_20 Lead_21 Lead_22 Lead_23 Lead_24 Lead_25 Lead_26 Lead_27 Lead_28 Lead_29 Lead_30 Lead_31 Lead_32 Lead_33 Lead_34 Lead_35 Lead_36 Lead_37 Lead_38 Lead_39 Lead_40 Lead_41 Lead_42 Lead_43 Lead_44 Lead_45 Lead_46 Lead_47 Lead_48 Lead_49 Lead_50 Lead_51 Lead_52 Lead_53 0.14 0.08 0.09 0.09 0.06 0.09 0.11 0.05 0.10 0.11 0.10 0.14 0.14 0.10 0.13 0.09 0.18 0.10 0.13 0.12 0.14 0.27 0.10 0.12 0.13 0.08 0.08 0.11 0.09 0.14 0.15 0.10 0.25 0.15 0.38 0.07 0.11 0.12 0.17 0.18 0.14 0.81 0.09 0.09 0.12 0.10 6.40 5.60 6.56 6.22 6.79 6.37 6.29 5.97 6.91 5.71 5.95 5.51 7.33 5.40 6.09 6.93 6.57 6.57 5.47 6.87 5.39 6.21 7.12 6.25 5.47 6.50 5.87 7.81 7.55 6.66 6.76 7.05 6.06 6.67 5.72 5.80 4.77 6.06 5.62 6.99 7.12 6.30 6.10 5.94 5.14 7.13 6.70 7.00 8.10 6.40 6.10 5.10 5.90 5.70 6.60 7.00 7.40 6.20 12.60 4.50 6.50 6.20 13.50 8.00 5.50 10.20 9.20 4.90 6.80 5.60 6.20 6.30 5.30 8.70 6.90 7.50 7.50 7.80 11.30 15.20 8.00 3.60 11.10 15.20 8.80 16.30 15.30 8.50 4.60 20.80 8.00 10.40 650.00 600.00 680.00 590.00 660.00 670.00 610.00 620.00 660.00 590.00 510.00 450.00 550.00 490.00 600.00 600.00 620.00 650.00 580.00 660.00 540.00 720.00 700.00 660.00 620.00 660.00 670.00 710.00 650.00 610.00 550.00 520.00 590.00 660.00 680.00 580.00 490.00 580.00 580.00 710.00 680.00 620.00 550.00 560.00 500.00 650.00 1.60 0.97 1.50 1.27 1.22 1.29 1.22 1.26 1.49 1.01 0.89 0.80 1.24 0.90 1.09 1.33 1.33 1.17 1.11 1.49 0.98 1.38 1.41 1.27 0.89 1.21 1.06 1.79 1.59 1.38 1.10 1.13 1.21 1.39 1.09 0.97 1.00 1.27 0.97 1.46 1.35 1.20 1.34 1.15 1.12 1.25 0.18 0.11 0.14 0.13 0.16 0.13 0.20 0.12 0.15 0.11 0.12 0.08 0.16 0.11 0.16 0.14 0.21 0.11 0.13 0.20 0.15 0.45 0.20 0.15 0.18 0.14 0.11 0.18 0.17 0.12 0.19 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.40 0.07 0.09 0.16 0.18 0.15 0.16 0.19 0.12 0.13 0.11 0.19 2.14 1.62 1.44 1.49 1.29 1.64 1.64 1.13 1.54 5.10 1.74 2.05 1.13 2.20 2.30 2.23 1.68 2.09 2.18 1.50 1.52 1.89 1.70 1.45 2.01 1.36 1.61 1.50 1.15 1.47 1.65 2.15 1.30 1.44 3.25 2.45 1.19 1.89 2.50 1.84 1.96 1.93 1.58 1.76 1.46 1.60 91 Lead_54 Lead_55 Lead_56 Lead_57 Lead_58 Lead_59 Lead_60 Lead_61b Lead_62 Lead_63 Lead_64 Lead_65 Lead_66 Lead_67 Lead_68a Lead_68b Lead_69 Lead_70 SACSAC6 SACSAC8 SACSAC11 SACSECT12 SACSECT13 SACSECT14 SACSECT15 SACSECT16 SACSAC17 SACSAC18 SACSAC19 SACSAC20 SACSAC21 SACSAC22 YOLWS23 SACSAC24 SACSAC25 SACSAC26 SACSAC27 SACSAC28 SACNUT29 SACNH30 SACSA-1 SACSA-2 SACSA-3 SACSA-4 SACSA-5 SACSA-6 0.07 0.08 0.15 0.12 0.11 0.13 0.37 0.15 0.15 0.09 0.09 0.03 0.11 0.12 0.21 0.09 0.12 0.14 0.11 0.16 0.10 0.09 0.09 0.07 0.06 0.11 0.12 0.10 0.07 0.07 0.26 0.14 0.12 0.15 0.11 0.13 0.08 0.09 0.18 0.06 na na na na na na 5.86 4.53 8.85 8.24 7.94 6.07 5.89 6.36 5.56 7.02 6.99 5.75 7.83 6.33 7.04 6.03 6.59 7.02 7.03 6.84 5.20 7.03 6.22 6.25 6.17 6.20 7.70 6.78 7.29 7.13 7.43 5.85 5.77 6.24 6.65 6.51 6.56 6.51 9.59 6.80 na na na na na na 3.60 4.20 20.50 10.00 14.20 7.30 8.10 12.10 27.20 9.80 7.90 2.70 16.00 8.80 9.00 15.20 5.40 6.50 5.70 10.00 10.90 6.00 5.00 4.90 4.80 6.00 6.90 7.90 5.50 8.80 16.10 7.00 4.90 12.70 8.90 13.40 7.10 4.60 19.10 3.30 na na na na na na 630.00 530.00 590.00 600.00 580.00 550.00 580.00 570.00 600.00 630.00 700.00 590.00 610.00 510.00 650.00 540.00 700.00 710.00 670.00 610.00 620.00 580.00 550.00 570.00 580.00 560.00 620.00 640.00 580.00 650.00 660.00 580.00 470.00 550.00 610.00 570.00 570.00 550.00 640.00 620.00 na na na na na na 1.20 0.79 1.57 1.68 1.48 1.22 1.02 1.18 1.16 1.27 1.28 1.13 1.33 1.00 1.51 1.25 1.23 1.18 1.44 1.19 0.83 1.18 1.15 1.08 1.10 1.14 1.21 1.25 1.24 1.21 1.37 1.00 0.82 1.07 1.24 1.05 1.07 0.98 1.56 1.34 na na na na na na 0.09 0.09 0.20 0.16 0.17 0.13 0.16 0.15 0.28 0.15 0.13 0.09 0.16 0.10 0.16 0.20 0.27 0.19 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.11 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.09 0.22 0.24 0.12 0.16 0.13 0.17 0.09 0.10 0.21 0.11 na na na na na na 1.24 1.23 0.78 1.85 1.30 1.72 2.36 2.01 2.02 1.89 2.02 1.41 1.31 1.50 2.09 1.98 1.64 1.96 1.54 1.84 1.66 1.73 1.39 1.31 1.13 1.64 2.20 1.98 1.63 2.11 1.70 2.60 2.25 1.54 1.32 2.30 2.48 2.86 1.16 1.58 na na na na na na 92 SACSA-7 SACSA-8 SACSA-9 SACSA-10 na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na Table 4 (continued) Elemental concentrations of Sacramento soil analyzed by method MEMS-61. ppm, parts per million; %, percent; na, no analysis. Site Name Cd_ppm Ce_ppm Co_ppm Cr_ppm Cs_ppm Cu_ppm Fe_% Lead_1 0.23 25.90 12.90 164.00 1.65 27.10 2.60 Lead_2 0.39 29.20 15.00 235.00 1.36 39.90 3.13 Lead_3 0.74 45.60 18.80 180.00 2.32 84.10 4.21 Lead_4 0.99 50.40 19.20 146.00 2.28 49.30 3.79 Lead_5 0.97 42.70 17.10 193.00 1.92 65.80 3.48 Lead_6 0.46 40.30 15.90 156.00 1.82 45.90 3.12 Lead_7 0.62 51.50 16.10 123.00 1.91 40.40 3.00 Lead_8 0.91 48.00 17.20 185.00 2.15 45.00 3.40 Lead_9 0.34 31.00 12.20 108.00 1.60 28.80 2.74 Lead_10 0.30 52.90 16.90 133.00 2.40 33.60 3.13 Lead_11 0.23 45.80 15.40 149.00 2.01 30.30 3.16 Lead_12 0.24 53.80 19.60 124.00 2.40 33.90 3.44 Lead_13 0.20 44.50 13.70 86.00 1.96 29.60 2.77 Lead_14 0.34 51.60 18.30 144.00 2.19 34.60 3.39 Lead_15 0.17 56.40 18.70 148.00 2.32 33.20 2.92 Lead_16 0.71 55.00 19.50 148.00 2.61 40.90 3.81 Lead_17 0.23 35.20 14.10 172.00 1.48 31.70 3.21 Lead_18 0.36 33.00 18.40 177.00 2.08 97.00 3.32 Lead_19 0.46 24.70 17.00 202.00 1.76 32.90 3.04 Lead_20 0.34 42.10 20.30 166.00 2.64 48.60 3.67 Lead_21 0.44 30.00 15.30 264.00 1.38 37.60 3.19 Lead_22 0.43 37.90 18.30 160.00 1.76 51.40 3.59 Lead_23 0.24 48.50 19.60 135.00 2.16 42.80 3.98 Lead_24 0.41 48.60 18.90 141.00 2.31 44.80 3.65 Lead_25 0.19 34.30 14.20 120.00 1.77 35.30 3.01 Lead_26 0.86 38.80 14.10 163.00 1.54 32.90 2.89 Lead_27 0.34 54.70 19.90 136.00 2.49 47.40 3.65 Lead_28 0.72 42.00 14.50 206.00 1.91 40.60 2.90 Lead_29 0.55 36.40 12.20 114.00 1.74 35.60 2.61 Lead_30 0.24 48.00 17.40 101.00 2.65 36.50 3.39 Lead_31 0.16 53.10 17.80 129.00 2.29 30.10 2.95 Lead_32 1.37 38.90 13.20 127.00 1.46 52.60 2.89 Lead_33 0.31 45.50 16.80 126.00 2.23 33.70 3.22 Lead_34 0.25 40.50 12.40 125.00 1.84 33.00 2.54 Lead_35 0.27 56.00 20.50 128.00 2.69 52.90 4.19 Lead_36 0.14 56.50 20.60 123.00 2.85 39.30 3.91 93 Lead_37 Lead_38 Lead_39 Lead_40 Lead_41 Lead_42 Lead_43 Lead_44 Lead_45 Lead_46 Lead_47 Lead_48 Lead_49 Lead_50 Lead_51 Lead_52 Lead_53 Lead_54 Lead_55 Lead_56 Lead_57 Lead_58 Lead_59 Lead_60 Lead_61b Lead_62 Lead_63 Lead_64 Lead_65 Lead_66 Lead_67 Lead_68a Lead_68b Lead_69 Lead_70 SACSAC6 SACSAC8 SACSAC11 SACSECT12 SACSECT13 SACSECT14 SACSECT15 SACSECT16 SACSAC17 SACSAC18 SACSAC19 0.17 0.37 0.25 0.50 0.31 2.04 0.20 0.31 0.38 0.57 0.50 0.38 1.15 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.34 0.15 0.15 0.36 0.23 0.31 0.25 0.63 0.29 2.26 0.34 0.24 0.15 0.30 0.24 0.34 0.24 0.16 0.24 0.53 0.48 0.58 0.24 0.15 0.10 0.08 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.10 50.20 34.40 32.80 38.70 44.40 37.00 38.00 25.50 42.80 31.20 44.00 50.90 40.20 45.30 41.40 37.40 48.90 41.70 29.00 45.40 43.20 45.60 37.40 36.60 43.60 37.90 48.50 49.30 36.60 42.10 34.80 45.90 44.00 48.50 50.60 46.10 45.60 34.70 55.80 50.00 49.00 61.60 47.80 43.40 44.90 41.80 17.30 19.40 22.20 16.20 18.70 17.20 14.40 15.40 17.90 12.80 16.60 20.90 16.80 16.40 15.10 13.90 18.30 13.70 10.90 23.10 25.50 22.00 18.10 15.10 17.00 14.80 20.70 17.40 12.20 23.60 19.90 20.20 18.00 11.10 12.60 15.50 22.30 12.10 16.30 14.60 14.60 15.60 16.40 22.20 16.50 16.30 107.00 154.00 179.00 172.00 152.00 230.00 308.00 168.00 144.00 144.00 109.00 156.00 132.00 170.00 139.00 176.00 165.00 108.00 157.00 159.00 162.00 156.00 181.00 143.00 185.00 157.00 170.00 140.00 173.00 182.00 181.00 153.00 173.00 89.00 87.00 99.00 174.00 136.00 127.00 122.00 130.00 126.00 143.00 188.00 116.00 118.00 2.01 2.74 2.67 2.39 2.42 1.76 1.18 1.74 2.02 1.57 2.25 2.90 2.13 1.94 1.95 1.67 2.59 1.59 1.33 3.33 3.06 3.02 2.02 1.57 1.80 1.75 2.26 2.10 1.37 3.31 2.30 2.33 1.75 2.04 2.13 2.15 2.51 1.26 2.02 1.93 1.91 2.02 1.87 2.48 2.20 2.37 32.40 50.50 50.40 43.60 43.50 104.50 22.80 27.40 70.50 40.90 44.60 55.40 65.70 30.90 31.20 31.70 55.00 57.80 18.90 64.40 58.80 55.60 39.80 49.30 32.60 44.90 43.00 36.00 14.70 55.20 35.80 41.30 33.40 20.80 33.00 27.00 42.70 29.00 35.60 26.60 26.60 22.50 31.70 41.20 32.30 25.90 3.29 3.79 4.05 3.46 3.69 3.84 3.72 2.66 3.72 2.76 3.50 3.91 3.49 3.12 3.33 3.00 3.71 2.40 2.18 4.36 4.48 4.05 3.46 3.24 3.39 2.98 4.00 3.72 2.32 4.33 3.65 3.79 3.71 2.44 3.59 3.22 4.10 2.67 3.93 3.12 3.11 2.92 3.28 4.67 3.30 3.48 94 SACSAC20 SACSAC21 SACSAC22 YOLWS23 SACSAC24 SACSAC25 SACSAC26 SACSAC27 SACSAC28 SACNUT29 SACNH30 SACSA-1 SACSA-2 SACSA-3 SACSA-4 SACSA-5 SACSA-6 SACSA-7 SACSA-8 SACSA-9 SACSA-10 0.11 1.24 0.72 1.06 1.75 0.38 0.86 0.23 0.51 0.29 0.11 0.56 0.23 1.98 0.66 0.20 1.24 0.15 1.29 2.63 0.40 64.30 53.50 35.60 32.10 41.50 44.10 45.40 39.00 38.20 51.10 47.10 na na na na na na na na na na 23.20 21.70 17.90 18.40 16.80 16.20 22.30 17.60 14.10 25.50 12.20 na na na na na na na na na na 372.00 163.00 138.00 166.00 146.00 114.00 209.00 139.00 184.00 154.00 67.00 na na na na na na na na na na 1.72 2.61 1.57 2.14 1.95 2.30 1.65 1.53 1.24 3.58 1.77 na na na na na na na na na na 33.20 76.90 53.30 51.00 50.50 37.60 54.40 32.30 29.70 63.60 17.60 na na na na na na na na na na 4.76 4.31 3.57 3.40 3.44 3.06 4.51 4.16 3.76 4.82 2.72 na na na na na na na na na na Table 4 (continued) Elemental concentrations of Sacramento soil analyzed by method MEMS-61. ppm, parts per million; %, percent; na, no analysis. Site Name Ga_ppm Ge_ppm Hf_ppm In_ppm K_% La_ppm Li_ppm Lead_1 9.70 0.08 1.30 0.03 0.97 14.00 13.20 Lead_2 9.36 0.09 1.10 0.06 0.96 14.70 12.90 Lead_3 14.65 0.13 1.90 0.05 1.31 24.80 19.70 Lead_4 15.95 0.13 1.90 0.05 1.27 26.00 21.20 Lead_5 13.10 0.13 1.70 0.10 1.09 21.10 18.60 Lead_6 13.00 0.15 1.50 0.04 1.10 20.40 17.00 Lead_7 13.40 0.14 1.90 0.04 1.17 25.20 16.50 Lead_8 14.90 0.14 1.90 0.04 1.34 24.20 21.70 Lead_9 12.60 0.13 1.30 0.03 1.33 16.10 14.10 Lead_10 15.65 0.14 2.00 0.05 1.51 26.80 18.80 Lead_11 15.05 0.13 1.90 0.04 1.30 23.40 18.90 Lead_12 16.50 0.14 2.20 0.05 1.34 26.20 20.60 Lead_13 15.10 0.13 1.80 0.04 1.40 22.80 15.30 Lead_14 14.95 0.13 2.20 0.04 1.17 24.70 18.30 Lead_15 14.40 0.15 2.20 0.04 1.38 25.80 17.30 Lead_16 17.00 0.15 2.20 0.05 1.38 26.10 19.70 Lead_17 12.35 0.13 1.60 0.04 1.17 18.60 14.60 Lead_18 13.80 0.14 1.60 0.04 1.01 16.50 22.00 Lead_19 12.10 0.12 1.30 0.04 0.95 12.50 21.10 95 Lead_20 Lead_21 Lead_22 Lead_23 Lead_24 Lead_25 Lead_26 Lead_27 Lead_28 Lead_29 Lead_30 Lead_31 Lead_32 Lead_33 Lead_34 Lead_35 Lead_36 Lead_37 Lead_38 Lead_39 Lead_40 Lead_41 Lead_42 Lead_43 Lead_44 Lead_45 Lead_46 Lead_47 Lead_48 Lead_49 Lead_50 Lead_51 Lead_52 Lead_53 Lead_54 Lead_55 Lead_56 Lead_57 Lead_58 Lead_59 Lead_60 Lead_61b Lead_62 Lead_63 Lead_64 Lead_65 17.70 12.10 14.05 16.70 16.05 15.25 12.90 17.05 12.60 14.70 18.00 15.35 12.15 15.60 13.65 20.00 19.15 15.40 15.55 16.20 14.20 15.85 12.80 14.00 11.05 14.10 12.45 16.85 17.20 14.85 14.75 14.40 12.75 17.20 13.45 10.55 23.20 20.30 19.50 14.20 13.30 15.25 12.95 17.55 16.90 12.45 0.14 0.13 0.13 0.14 0.15 0.13 0.13 0.15 0.14 0.15 0.13 0.14 0.13 0.15 0.13 0.15 0.16 0.12 0.15 0.15 0.13 0.13 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.15 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.16 0.14 0.12 0.15 0.16 0.18 0.13 0.14 0.14 0.13 0.16 0.16 0.14 2.10 1.50 1.70 2.10 2.00 1.70 1.60 2.20 1.70 1.70 1.90 2.10 2.30 1.90 1.70 2.50 2.50 2.10 1.80 2.00 1.80 1.90 1.60 1.40 1.30 1.70 1.30 1.60 2.00 1.70 1.70 1.80 1.50 2.10 1.70 1.30 2.40 2.30 2.10 1.60 1.60 1.80 1.60 1.90 1.80 1.70 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.03 0.07 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.07 0.03 0.03 0.07 0.06 0.06 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.03 1.03 1.02 1.12 1.14 1.23 1.39 1.19 1.25 1.05 1.51 1.51 1.46 1.16 1.51 1.42 1.37 1.32 1.15 1.05 0.90 1.26 1.30 1.13 1.30 1.04 1.19 1.11 1.50 1.32 1.25 1.22 1.15 1.07 1.47 1.37 1.16 1.14 1.10 1.06 1.12 1.12 1.21 1.21 1.29 1.49 1.41 21.20 15.60 19.20 24.30 25.10 17.90 20.60 26.80 20.80 19.40 23.90 26.20 18.00 22.80 20.10 28.00 27.40 24.70 16.60 16.10 19.90 23.00 18.90 19.60 12.70 22.00 15.90 22.40 26.20 20.60 22.50 21.00 18.80 25.40 21.50 14.60 22.80 21.20 22.90 19.00 18.80 22.00 19.30 25.10 25.50 19.30 27.50 17.10 19.40 21.00 21.60 18.20 16.20 24.10 17.70 14.40 20.90 16.50 13.40 18.60 14.80 25.60 25.10 17.20 33.50 32.00 22.80 20.30 18.00 10.50 17.40 17.90 16.60 21.10 28.70 19.80 16.30 16.20 14.10 24.00 12.90 11.00 35.30 32.40 31.30 20.80 14.90 16.80 14.90 21.70 18.40 11.60 96 Lead_66 Lead_67 Lead_68a Lead_68b Lead_69 Lead_70 SACSAC6 SACSAC8 SACSAC11 SACSECT12 SACSECT13 SACSECT14 SACSECT15 SACSECT16 SACSAC17 SACSAC18 SACSAC19 SACSAC20 SACSAC21 SACSAC22 YOLWS23 SACSAC24 SACSAC25 SACSAC26 SACSAC27 SACSAC28 SACNUT29 SACNH30 SACSA-1 SACSA-2 SACSA-3 SACSA-4 SACSA-5 SACSA-6 SACSA-7 SACSA-8 SACSA-9 SACSA-10 19.05 15.30 18.15 15.00 14.90 15.90 17.10 17.10 11.50 17.50 15.10 14.75 14.75 14.55 17.65 16.20 17.45 17.20 17.75 13.65 12.40 14.65 15.80 15.60 14.80 14.75 24.50 15.50 na na na na na na na na na na 0.16 0.14 0.15 0.15 0.06 0.08 0.16 0.13 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.14 0.12 0.11 0.14 0.14 0.12 0.11 0.11 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.11 0.12 0.11 na na na na na na na na na na 2.10 1.70 1.90 1.80 1.80 2.00 1.80 1.80 1.40 2.00 2.00 1.80 2.00 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.60 1.90 1.60 1.40 1.50 1.80 1.70 1.50 1.40 2.20 1.90 na na na na na na na na na na 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.03 na na na na na na na na na na 1.19 1.06 1.36 1.20 1.59 1.48 1.52 1.29 1.36 1.16 1.12 1.17 1.22 1.20 1.22 1.26 1.12 0.99 1.35 1.10 0.90 1.15 1.24 1.16 1.16 1.28 1.32 1.32 na na na na na na na na na na 21.30 17.50 23.40 22.00 24.90 24.70 24.10 23.90 16.50 26.10 25.70 25.80 27.60 24.30 23.50 23.10 22.50 28.60 28.60 18.50 19.90 21.80 22.90 22.00 21.20 18.70 26.60 25.10 na na na na na na na na na na 42.60 22.70 24.90 16.80 12.50 17.00 16.80 23.40 9.80 18.40 14.80 14.00 13.80 14.90 24.80 19.70 19.10 16.90 25.10 17.10 26.90 16.80 18.20 16.60 13.80 10.60 33.80 12.20 na na na na na na na na na na Table 4 (continued) Elemental concentrations of Sacramento soil analyzed by method MEMS-61. ppm, parts per million; %, percent; na, no analysis. Site Name Mg_% Mn_ppm Mo_ppm Na_% Nb_ppm Ni_ppm P_ppm Lead_1 0.77 521.00 1.97 0.74 4.60 44.10 600.00 Lead_2 0.90 539.00 2.82 0.88 4.40 53.80 440.00 97 Lead_3 Lead_4 Lead_5 Lead_6 Lead_7 Lead_8 Lead_9 Lead_10 Lead_11 Lead_12 Lead_13 Lead_14 Lead_15 Lead_16 Lead_17 Lead_18 Lead_19 Lead_20 Lead_21 Lead_22 Lead_23 Lead_24 Lead_25 Lead_26 Lead_27 Lead_28 Lead_29 Lead_30 Lead_31 Lead_32 Lead_33 Lead_34 Lead_35 Lead_36 Lead_37 Lead_38 Lead_39 Lead_40 Lead_41 Lead_42 Lead_43 Lead_44 Lead_45 Lead_46 Lead_47 Lead_48 1.21 1.37 1.20 1.10 0.72 1.04 0.76 0.74 0.82 0.71 0.65 0.77 0.46 0.83 1.09 1.25 1.32 0.99 1.27 1.37 1.13 1.22 0.93 1.03 0.92 0.73 0.63 0.75 0.65 0.88 0.75 0.61 1.07 0.90 0.69 1.47 1.46 1.10 1.15 1.09 0.98 0.88 1.16 0.97 1.07 1.53 735.00 684.00 660.00 712.00 663.00 705.00 614.00 697.00 622.00 837.00 615.00 759.00 902.00 807.00 661.00 626.00 604.00 583.00 588.00 655.00 729.00 661.00 550.00 531.00 772.00 585.00 559.00 706.00 745.00 545.00 656.00 503.00 769.00 768.00 816.00 656.00 789.00 552.00 698.00 670.00 605.00 505.00 660.00 633.00 643.00 786.00 2.61 1.17 2.54 1.95 1.27 2.03 1.08 1.38 0.98 1.42 1.03 1.42 1.66 1.52 1.86 1.28 1.67 2.32 1.76 1.83 1.70 1.49 2.62 1.25 1.40 1.26 1.17 1.03 1.08 2.75 1.25 1.56 1.19 1.28 0.95 1.56 1.41 1.62 1.88 4.13 0.76 1.83 3.30 2.04 1.48 1.48 0.94 1.14 0.99 1.12 1.05 1.15 1.14 1.08 1.05 0.99 1.29 1.07 0.93 1.03 1.24 1.04 1.16 0.65 1.23 1.22 1.16 0.98 1.47 1.11 1.04 0.95 1.40 1.21 1.11 1.22 1.12 1.18 1.04 0.95 1.02 0.98 1.25 0.92 0.81 1.06 1.38 0.78 0.91 1.17 1.17 1.08 7.10 7.80 6.70 6.10 7.80 7.80 5.40 8.50 7.70 8.40 7.60 8.40 9.00 9.20 5.80 5.60 4.60 7.50 5.30 6.20 7.70 7.90 5.80 5.80 8.50 6.80 6.20 8.40 9.30 6.00 8.20 7.40 9.70 9.50 7.30 5.60 5.30 6.30 7.00 6.00 6.10 4.40 6.70 4.60 6.70 7.70 73.20 77.70 67.20 59.70 56.10 74.10 44.90 58.00 62.00 62.70 41.00 57.30 49.20 64.40 52.10 86.70 84.70 76.80 68.30 71.50 72.10 76.70 51.50 58.10 74.50 70.90 37.60 52.80 55.40 50.20 56.20 40.90 87.10 75.30 57.10 98.50 111.00 76.40 75.20 70.30 39.30 56.20 67.40 50.90 65.80 97.20 1110.00 1210.00 1180.00 1190.00 630.00 870.00 490.00 580.00 370.00 690.00 410.00 430.00 830.00 490.00 460.00 920.00 1300.00 760.00 730.00 650.00 650.00 680.00 410.00 920.00 570.00 780.00 650.00 440.00 420.00 650.00 550.00 420.00 450.00 420.00 400.00 670.00 550.00 680.00 820.00 800.00 430.00 570.00 1030.00 630.00 980.00 930.00 98 Lead_49 Lead_50 Lead_51 Lead_52 Lead_53 Lead_54 Lead_55 Lead_56 Lead_57 Lead_58 Lead_59 Lead_60 Lead_61b Lead_62 Lead_63 Lead_64 Lead_65 Lead_66 Lead_67 Lead_68a Lead_68b Lead_69 Lead_70 SACSAC6 SACSAC8 SACSAC11 SACSECT12 SACSECT13 SACSECT14 SACSECT15 SACSECT16 SACSAC17 SACSAC18 SACSAC19 SACSAC20 SACSAC21 SACSAC22 YOLWS23 SACSAC24 SACSAC25 SACSAC26 SACSAC27 SACSAC28 SACNUT29 SACNH30 SACSA-1 1.09 0.78 0.93 0.92 1.05 0.47 0.54 1.13 1.47 1.19 1.09 1.09 1.14 0.87 1.32 1.11 0.41 1.47 1.22 1.40 1.21 0.52 0.77 0.66 1.42 0.63 0.93 0.64 0.62 0.52 0.84 1.54 0.91 0.70 1.04 1.34 1.28 1.31 1.07 0.74 1.41 1.35 1.28 1.36 0.50 na 651.00 634.00 602.00 500.00 679.00 449.00 422.00 625.00 831.00 589.00 634.00 595.00 684.00 728.00 749.00 721.00 436.00 665.00 612.00 660.00 697.00 537.00 561.00 623.00 755.00 491.00 625.00 547.00 571.00 626.00 612.00 935.00 601.00 659.00 790.00 710.00 646.00 729.00 587.00 596.00 786.00 695.00 634.00 723.00 460.00 na 1.26 1.60 1.44 2.12 3.79 0.73 1.64 1.72 1.36 1.54 2.06 1.62 1.96 1.94 1.28 2.13 0.65 1.59 1.36 1.23 1.20 1.26 1.45 0.73 1.07 1.50 1.38 0.99 0.89 0.80 0.94 0.83 1.16 0.68 0.80 1.65 1.66 1.72 3.65 1.77 1.97 1.24 1.42 1.86 0.57 na 1.13 1.09 1.11 0.87 1.07 1.09 0.86 0.57 1.09 0.76 0.99 1.17 1.19 1.06 1.17 1.26 1.17 0.82 1.04 1.16 1.13 1.41 1.36 1.23 0.99 1.08 1.04 0.97 0.97 1.01 1.03 1.25 1.03 1.11 1.15 0.91 1.08 0.93 0.83 0.81 1.26 1.30 1.53 0.71 1.32 na 6.30 7.00 6.80 5.80 7.90 6.30 5.10 8.00 7.20 7.30 5.80 5.70 7.10 6.00 7.40 7.50 6.20 6.80 5.90 7.40 6.80 7.50 7.20 7.50 7.50 5.90 7.40 7.90 7.50 8.10 7.30 7.20 7.20 8.10 9.10 7.70 5.90 4.90 6.40 7.10 6.20 5.70 6.70 8.30 7.40 na 62.50 59.10 52.60 49.40 80.60 52.90 33.30 97.50 107.00 92.60 72.70 55.80 62.10 50.30 93.70 60.80 54.10 112.50 83.50 87.40 62.30 25.50 33.70 43.30 86.80 35.30 62.60 46.50 45.10 41.60 51.50 108.50 58.90 49.10 66.30 87.80 58.40 86.10 62.80 57.20 74.30 51.70 40.30 104.00 23.50 84.30 1040.00 600.00 880.00 700.00 920.00 360.00 420.00 630.00 540.00 670.00 640.00 590.00 620.00 1310.00 620.00 850.00 300.00 700.00 620.00 420.00 660.00 470.00 410.00 600.00 1340.00 490.00 460.00 380.00 330.00 230.00 520.00 540.00 490.00 280.00 340.00 1020.00 780.00 860.00 950.00 760.00 610.00 540.00 590.00 810.00 240.00 na 99 SACSA-2 SACSA-3 SACSA-4 SACSA-5 SACSA-6 SACSA-7 SACSA-8 SACSA-9 SACSA-10 na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na na 66.40 88.90 96.00 53.80 59.40 75.20 46.80 46.90 74.80 na na na na na na na na na Table 4 (continued) Elemental concentrations of Sacramento soil analyzed by method MEMS-61. ppm, parts per million; %, percent; na, no analysis. Site Name Pb_ppm Rb_ppm S_% Sb_ppm Sc_ppm Sn_ppm Sr_ppm Ta_ppm Lead_1 15.80 42.80 0.02 0.97 10.10 1.10 167.50 0.38 Lead_2 216.00 41.40 0.04 2.42 9.90 4.20 180.50 0.36 Lead_3 441.00 58.90 0.03 8.17 14.20 20.50 232.00 0.56 Lead_4 189.50 60.20 0.02 1.47 15.20 8.10 260.00 0.58 Lead_5 509.00 51.10 0.06 3.63 13.90 35.10 239.00 0.50 Lead_6 141.50 51.60 0.04 1.33 12.70 5.50 253.00 0.44 Lead_7 178.50 63.60 0.05 1.69 11.90 4.90 213.00 0.57 Lead_8 174.00 63.40 0.04 1.64 14.10 3.80 258.00 0.62 Lead_9 129.00 51.10 0.02 1.49 10.70 2.50 230.00 0.42 Lead_10 62.10 75.60 0.02 0.93 13.40 4.10 214.00 0.62 Lead_11 49.10 60.80 0.02 0.88 13.30 1.80 218.00 0.58 Lead_12 38.00 67.50 0.03 0.88 14.30 2.70 201.00 0.63 Lead_13 23.00 62.40 0.02 0.89 12.50 2.20 253.00 0.57 Lead_14 32.70 61.40 0.02 1.00 14.30 3.10 222.00 0.60 Lead_15 18.20 71.80 0.03 0.73 12.50 1.40 174.00 0.64 Lead_16 56.40 78.00 0.02 1.20 15.30 2.30 219.00 0.64 Lead_17 20.00 45.70 0.09 1.13 12.60 1.60 343.00 0.46 Lead_18 87.20 56.60 0.04 1.00 14.90 1.80 201.00 0.40 Lead_19 33.10 38.90 0.03 1.01 13.30 2.90 208.00 0.32 Lead_20 40.70 50.90 0.03 1.69 19.80 2.30 144.00 0.56 Lead_21 120.00 39.70 0.03 1.09 13.90 3.80 250.00 0.38 Lead_22 56.00 49.80 0.04 2.13 15.70 3.70 300.00 0.44 Lead_23 17.10 54.90 0.04 0.90 16.70 1.60 292.00 0.53 Lead_24 148.00 68.30 0.03 1.89 16.00 4.00 228.00 0.56 Lead_25 38.70 52.60 0.02 1.71 13.30 3.00 278.00 0.44 Lead_26 113.50 52.20 0.05 1.21 12.60 3.60 283.00 0.42 Lead_27 217.00 65.70 0.03 1.21 16.00 3.60 223.00 0.61 Lead_28 75.50 59.50 0.07 1.38 12.50 2.40 189.00 0.51 Lead_29 229.00 59.60 0.02 1.87 11.20 8.20 282.00 0.49 Lead_30 83.70 72.90 0.02 1.09 15.00 3.60 237.00 0.64 Lead_31 35.40 75.70 0.02 0.87 14.20 2.20 227.00 0.66 Lead_32 260.00 48.70 0.06 2.37 12.30 3.20 276.00 0.45 100 Lead_33 Lead_34 Lead_35 Lead_36 Lead_37 Lead_38 Lead_39 Lead_40 Lead_41 Lead_42 Lead_43 Lead_44 Lead_45 Lead_46 Lead_47 Lead_48 Lead_49 Lead_50 Lead_51 Lead_52 Lead_53 Lead_54 Lead_55 Lead_56 Lead_57 Lead_58 Lead_59 Lead_60 Lead_61b Lead_62 Lead_63 Lead_64 Lead_65 Lead_66 Lead_67 Lead_68a Lead_68b Lead_69 Lead_70 SACSAC6 SACSAC8 SACSAC11 SACSECT12 SACSECT13 SACSECT14 SACSECT15 79.50 50.60 26.50 31.50 16.20 30.70 17.30 48.90 66.60 475.00 16.90 52.60 81.10 261.00 109.50 58.40 217.00 38.40 87.00 21.20 53.90 35.60 26.30 25.20 17.00 35.80 52.90 143.00 48.30 200.00 47.90 58.00 18.20 26.90 12.70 20.30 33.70 57.70 40.80 24.80 61.10 524.00 29.50 20.80 18.00 16.60 71.50 63.40 72.90 75.80 50.40 52.00 43.70 58.10 63.80 49.00 44.00 45.90 56.30 43.90 70.00 93.20 63.10 57.10 54.00 47.30 72.70 51.50 44.50 64.50 59.30 64.20 51.50 45.60 59.30 56.00 61.10 65.50 49.10 63.90 52.20 64.90 55.40 67.50 56.60 64.80 58.90 47.10 52.30 55.90 56.80 62.30 0.03 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.08 0.01 0.02 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.04 0.02 0.05 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.03 0.05 0.05 0.03 0.08 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.06 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.94 0.98 0.80 0.75 0.77 1.28 1.01 2.03 1.66 6.86 0.89 1.10 5.93 1.38 1.85 1.66 2.15 1.89 1.29 1.11 2.03 0.79 0.98 1.59 1.29 1.60 1.10 3.18 1.08 3.11 0.98 0.85 0.60 1.16 0.93 0.83 1.02 1.84 2.13 0.90 1.06 1.68 1.15 0.86 0.70 0.68 13.80 11.70 17.50 16.80 13.20 17.90 18.70 14.00 15.90 13.90 14.70 11.50 14.70 11.70 15.00 17.70 14.90 14.40 14.10 12.80 16.70 9.70 9.20 24.70 23.00 21.60 15.70 14.30 15.20 12.50 17.60 15.50 9.40 21.80 17.50 17.90 15.80 10.40 12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 2.30 3.20 1.70 1.60 1.90 1.50 7.90 2.10 64.10 1.90 1.20 13.70 4.20 10.90 3.00 8.00 3.10 1.90 1.30 3.40 1.50 1.90 1.80 1.50 1.80 2.80 6.50 2.10 5.10 1.70 1.50 1.10 2.00 1.60 1.90 1.50 1.70 1.90 1.90 3.40 2.40 1.80 1.50 1.40 1.30 210.00 232.00 248.00 196.50 225.00 196.50 206.00 188.50 193.50 279.00 314.00 156.00 242.00 290.00 261.00 253.00 237.00 216.00 246.00 199.00 215.00 218.00 182.50 106.00 203.00 153.50 209.00 280.00 268.00 239.00 258.00 300.00 235.00 170.00 183.50 253.00 261.00 272.00 334.00 255.00 238.00 241.00 269.00 221.00 211.00 204.00 0.59 0.58 0.66 0.66 0.61 0.57 0.40 0.51 0.55 0.48 0.58 0.34 0.54 0.39 0.54 0.60 0.52 0.57 0.55 0.48 0.63 0.54 0.41 0.62 0.54 0.55 0.46 0.47 0.58 0.50 0.58 0.59 0.58 0.52 0.46 0.59 0.55 0.58 0.60 0.55 0.59 0.44 0.54 0.59 0.53 0.57 101 SACSECT16 SACSAC17 SACSAC18 SACSAC19 SACSAC20 SACSAC21 SACSAC22 YOLWS23 SACSAC24 SACSAC25 SACSAC26 SACSAC27 SACSAC28 SACNUT29 SACNH30 SACSA-1 SACSA-2 SACSA-3 SACSA-4 SACSA-5 SACSA-6 SACSA-7 SACSA-8 SACSA-9 SACSA-10 19.80 25.50 46.90 16.40 10.60 420.00 171.00 78.80 375.00 82.60 666.00 15.80 154.50 24.40 23.00 114.50 18.60 289.00 269.00 29.00 863.00 21.40 342.00 1540.00 283.00 57.00 51.00 58.40 52.10 37.60 65.60 45.50 43.00 57.10 59.50 46.90 43.60 40.50 70.80 51.80 na na na na na na na na na na 0.03 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.05 0.08 0.13 0.05 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.02 na na na na na na na na na na 0.84 0.83 0.95 0.79 0.83 1.87 2.99 1.20 2.12 1.30 1.84 0.98 1.90 1.54 0.77 na na na na na na na na na na 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 na na na na na na na na na na 1.40 1.70 1.80 1.40 1.30 4.90 9.50 3.10 3.50 2.20 2.70 1.10 2.30 2.00 1.40 na na na na na na na na na na 235.00 268.00 239.00 229.00 276.00 221.00 303.00 193.50 214.00 183.50 378.00 326.00 378.00 172.00 275.00 na na na na na na na na na na 0.53 0.50 0.52 0.58 0.65 0.54 0.41 0.33 0.45 0.55 0.45 0.42 0.52 0.57 0.58 na na na na na na na na na na Table 4 (continued) Elemental concentrations of Sacramento soil analyzed by method MEMS-61. ppm, parts per million; %, percent; na, no analysis. Site Name Th_ppm Ti_% Tl_ppm U_ppm V_ppm W_ppm Y_ppm Zn_ppm Lead_1 3.90 0.29 0.23 1.20 86.00 1.50 10.70 73.00 Lead_2 4.40 0.27 0.23 1.20 87.00 1.40 12.50 211.00 Lead_3 6.90 0.36 0.79 1.80 114.00 1.90 15.30 354.00 Lead_4 7.10 0.38 0.33 2.80 112.00 1.40 15.70 210.00 Lead_5 5.90 0.33 0.29 1.80 100.00 2.00 13.40 261.00 Lead_6 5.40 0.31 0.27 1.50 85.00 1.40 12.60 232.00 Lead_7 7.20 0.33 0.32 1.60 89.00 1.50 13.90 163.00 Lead_8 7.20 0.35 0.33 1.80 101.00 2.30 14.40 198.00 Lead_9 4.60 0.26 0.27 1.30 78.00 1.10 10.70 117.00 Lead_10 7.90 0.35 0.39 2.00 96.00 1.40 14.70 112.00 Lead_11 6.90 0.34 0.34 1.80 100.00 1.20 14.50 101.00 Lead_12 7.80 0.36 0.36 2.00 104.00 1.60 15.60 86.00 Lead_13 6.60 0.32 0.31 1.60 87.00 1.30 13.60 83.00 Lead_14 7.50 0.38 0.33 1.80 106.00 1.30 14.10 134.00 Lead_15 7.60 0.38 0.36 2.00 95.00 1.30 13.50 87.00 Lead_16 8.10 0.40 0.41 1.90 120.00 1.30 14.40 110.00 102 Lead_17 Lead_18 Lead_19 Lead_20 Lead_21 Lead_22 Lead_23 Lead_24 Lead_25 Lead_26 Lead_27 Lead_28 Lead_29 Lead_30 Lead_31 Lead_32 Lead_33 Lead_34 Lead_35 Lead_36 Lead_37 Lead_38 Lead_39 Lead_40 Lead_41 Lead_42 Lead_43 Lead_44 Lead_45 Lead_46 Lead_47 Lead_48 Lead_49 Lead_50 Lead_51 Lead_52 Lead_53 Lead_54 Lead_55 Lead_56 Lead_57 Lead_58 Lead_59 Lead_60 Lead_61b Lead_62 5.80 4.50 3.20 6.10 4.60 6.20 6.60 7.30 5.20 4.90 7.70 5.70 5.50 8.70 7.30 5.40 6.60 6.10 9.00 9.30 7.40 5.00 4.30 6.10 7.00 5.60 8.40 3.90 7.10 4.90 6.70 7.80 6.30 6.40 6.40 5.50 7.70 6.80 4.60 7.50 6.30 7.00 5.90 5.60 6.80 5.80 0.29 0.31 0.28 0.42 0.29 0.32 0.39 0.36 0.30 0.27 0.37 0.31 0.27 0.36 0.40 0.31 0.36 0.32 0.40 0.41 0.36 0.34 0.37 0.33 0.36 0.31 0.38 0.26 0.36 0.25 0.31 0.37 0.33 0.37 0.34 0.31 0.38 0.27 0.27 0.47 0.43 0.41 0.32 0.31 0.36 0.29 0.24 0.25 0.20 0.32 0.22 0.29 0.30 0.37 0.30 0.26 0.36 0.28 0.31 0.41 0.38 0.26 0.35 0.32 0.40 0.42 0.31 0.30 0.26 0.35 0.39 0.26 0.25 0.25 0.34 0.24 0.36 0.40 0.33 0.32 0.30 0.28 0.40 0.29 0.25 0.43 0.34 0.38 0.29 0.26 0.30 0.31 1.50 1.80 1.10 2.20 1.20 1.70 1.80 1.90 1.50 1.50 1.70 1.40 1.60 2.00 2.20 1.30 1.80 1.50 1.80 2.00 1.70 1.70 1.40 1.80 2.20 1.50 1.80 1.20 1.80 1.40 2.50 2.20 1.90 1.50 1.80 1.80 1.80 1.60 1.20 2.70 2.10 2.60 1.70 1.80 2.10 1.60 107.00 99.00 91.00 139.00 99.00 105.00 124.00 114.00 98.00 84.00 101.00 82.00 78.00 109.00 104.00 84.00 102.00 79.00 124.00 122.00 100.00 123.00 131.00 107.00 123.00 99.00 137.00 82.00 104.00 79.00 99.00 118.00 97.00 99.00 100.00 98.00 111.00 70.00 74.00 173.00 147.00 139.00 108.00 98.00 105.00 89.00 1.40 1.30 1.40 1.80 1.40 1.80 1.20 1.30 1.10 0.90 1.50 2.20 1.50 1.80 1.30 1.80 1.40 2.30 1.30 1.40 1.10 1.50 1.10 1.30 1.60 2.90 0.70 1.30 1.50 1.60 1.40 1.70 1.60 1.40 1.20 1.40 1.80 0.90 1.10 2.20 1.60 1.90 2.30 1.50 1.50 1.70 12.40 13.80 12.10 17.60 12.00 13.20 15.80 15.40 13.00 11.40 16.70 12.50 12.20 15.20 14.60 11.30 13.60 12.20 17.10 15.20 13.80 15.40 17.30 13.30 14.60 12.50 12.70 10.40 13.10 10.90 14.10 16.40 13.90 14.10 12.40 11.40 16.70 12.90 8.90 20.40 19.70 18.50 13.40 12.70 14.10 12.60 88.00 166.00 148.00 110.00 130.00 224.00 91.00 126.00 121.00 317.00 171.00 690.00 178.00 140.00 76.00 224.00 103.00 102.00 90.00 86.00 70.00 174.00 104.00 148.00 108.00 529.00 73.00 91.00 183.00 176.00 187.00 130.00 240.00 94.00 124.00 86.00 162.00 55.00 60.00 109.00 101.00 110.00 103.00 136.00 85.00 6010.00 103 Lead_63 Lead_64 Lead_65 Lead_66 Lead_67 Lead_68a Lead_68b Lead_69 Lead_70 SACSAC6 SACSAC8 SACSAC11 SACSECT12 SACSECT13 SACSECT14 SACSECT15 SACSECT16 SACSAC17 SACSAC18 SACSAC19 SACSAC20 SACSAC21 SACSAC22 YOLWS23 SACSAC24 SACSAC25 SACSAC26 SACSAC27 SACSAC28 SACNUT29 SACNH30 SACSA-1 SACSA-2 SACSA-3 SACSA-4 SACSA-5 SACSA-6 SACSA-7 SACSA-8 SACSA-9 SACSA-10 7.00 8.00 7.70 6.50 5.00 7.20 6.90 7.10 8.30 7.30 6.90 5.40 8.60 11.90 25.50 8.70 7.40 6.70 7.00 6.70 7.40 8.10 6.10 3.80 6.40 6.90 6.30 5.90 4.20 8.30 7.30 na na na na na na na na na na 0.38 0.35 0.27 0.39 0.36 0.36 0.37 0.32 0.32 0.40 0.41 0.34 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.42 0.38 0.42 0.37 0.45 0.60 0.40 0.33 0.32 0.35 0.35 0.39 0.36 0.40 0.48 0.37 na na na na na na na na na na 0.36 0.36 0.24 0.39 0.27 0.37 0.29 0.33 0.33 0.31 0.35 0.20 0.26 0.29 0.27 0.30 0.28 0.31 0.32 0.29 0.22 0.37 0.23 0.20 0.27 0.31 0.26 0.23 0.19 0.42 0.27 na na na na na na na na na na 1.80 2.20 1.70 2.10 1.70 1.50 1.90 1.80 2.00 1.90 2.50 1.30 1.70 2.00 3.00 1.80 1.70 1.60 1.50 1.60 1.60 2.60 1.50 1.20 1.90 1.80 1.60 1.50 1.30 2.90 1.70 na na na na na na na na na na 125.00 113.00 67.00 148.00 121.00 118.00 114.00 81.00 101.00 108.00 134.00 88.00 124.00 104.00 106.00 104.00 110.00 144.00 110.00 118.00 174.00 136.00 119.00 108.00 116.00 110.00 147.00 146.00 142.00 186.00 97.00 na na na na na na na na na na 1.30 1.90 0.80 1.90 1.10 1.40 1.10 1.50 1.30 1.10 1.10 1.10 1.30 0.90 0.90 0.90 1.00 1.50 2.10 1.00 1.60 1.80 1.70 1.30 1.40 1.50 1.00 0.90 1.10 2.00 0.90 na na na na na na na na na na 15.90 14.80 11.40 18.00 14.90 16.20 13.80 13.40 14.10 13.20 15.00 8.60 13.70 12.00 11.50 11.90 11.70 15.60 12.70 15.50 19.00 15.90 11.60 12.60 12.00 13.60 11.60 12.40 13.00 19.00 13.40 na na na na na na na na na na Table 5 Summary statistics of elemental concentrations analyzed by method MEMS-61. 155.00 163.00 123.00 114.00 76.00 90.00 104.00 73.00 116.00 193.00 147.00 189.00 120.00 78.00 66.00 52.00 77.00 105.00 112.00 62.00 81.00 350.00 333.00 301.00 280.00 108.00 241.00 73.00 159.00 108.00 54.00 150.00 101.00 344.00 206.00 82.00 402.00 92.00 204.00 783.00 199.00 104 inorganic maximum minimum mean median standard deviation constituent (ppm) (ppm) (ppm) (ppm) (ppm) Ag 0.81 0.03 0.14 0.11 0.09 Al% 9.59 4.52 6.42 6.36 0.85 As 27.9 2.7 8.91 7.5 4.72 Ba 720 450 602.04 600 60.69 Be 1.79 0.68 1.20 1.21 0.21 Bi 0.67 0.07 0.16 0.15 0.09 Ca% 5.1 0.78 1.80 1.68 0.55 Cd* 2.63 0.08 0.49 0.34 0.47 Ce 64.3 24.7 43.29 44 8.08 Co 25.5 10.9 17.16 17 3.24 Cr 372 67 154.08 149 43.33 Cs 3.58 1.18 2.08 2.02 0.48 Cu 104.5 14.7 41.90 39.3 15.68 Fe% 4.82 2.18 3.43 3.4 0.57 Ga 24.5 9.36 15.21 15 2.53 Ge 0.18 0.06 0.13 0.13 0.02 Hf 2.5 1.1 1.80 1.8 0.29 In 0.098 0.026 0.04 0.043 0.01 K% 1.59 0.9 1.23 1.21 0.16 La 28.6 12.5 21.90 22.4 3.77 Li 42.6 9.8 19.31 18.2 5.95 Mg% 1.54 0.41 0.99 1.03 0.29 Mn 935 422 651.00 651 99.90 Mo 4.13 0.57 1.58 1.48 0.66 Na% 1.53 0.57 1.07 1.08 0.18 Nb 9.7 4.4 6.93 7.1 1.20 Ni* 112.5 23.5 64.91 62.1 19.33 P 1340 230 655.59 620 251.25 Pb* 1540 10.6 127.99 52.6 204.93 Rb 93.2 37.6 57.12 56.8 10.34 S% 0.13 0.01 0.03 0.03 0.02 Sb 8.17 0.6 1.54 1.16 1.18 Sn 64.1 1.1 4.19 2.2 7.65 Sr 378 106 236.07 232 47.83 Ta 0.66 0.32 0.53 0.55 0.08 Th 25.5 3.2 6.77 6.7 2.41 Ti% 0.596 0.251 0.35 0.36 0.05 Tl 0.79 0.19 0.31 0.31 0.08 U 3 1.1 1.78 1.8 0.39 V 186 67 108.97 105 22.52 W 2.9 0.7 1.44 1.4 0.39 Y 20.4 8.6 13.88 13.6 2.24 Zn* 6010 52 215.7961 120 588.22 * includes additional samples collected for these constituents (Cd, Ni, Pb, Zn) na, information not reported; mg, milligram; kg, kilogram; ppm, parts per million 105 Table 6 Elements with skewed distributions, which have been normalized. Elements Ag As Bi Cd Cr Cu Li Mo Pb S Sb Sn Zn Table 7 a) Concentrations of lead in Sacramento soil analyzed by handheld XRF. error Pb 1 error Pb 2 error Pb3 mean standard Site (ppm) (ppm) (ppm) (ppm) (ppm) (ppm) (ppm) deviation (ppm) XRF 1 (+/-) 11 172 (+/-) 12 193 (+/-) 11 168 177.67 13.43 XRF 2 (+/-) 6 25 (+/-) 6 30 (+/-) 6 23 26.00 3.61 XRF 3 (+/-) 10 149 (+/-) 10 157 (+/-) 11 179 161.67 15.53 XRF 4 (+/-) 16 389 (+/-) 15 380 (+/-) 17 485 418.00 58.20 XRF 4a (+/-) 11 203 (+/-) 12 235 (+/-) 14 301 246.33 49.97 XRF 5 (+/-) 17 0 (+/-) 6 21 (+/-) 17 0 7.00 12.12 XRF 6 (+/-) 11 185 (+/-) 10 169 (+/-) 10 161 171.67 12.22 XRF 7 (+/-) 14 308 (+/-) 14 334 (+/-) 15 354 332.00 23.07 XRF 8 (+/-) 9 92 (+/-) 9 103 (+/-) 10 105 100.00 7.00 XRF 8a (+/-) 8 74 (+/-) 17 0 (+/-) 7 47 40.33 37.45 XRF 9 (+/-) 11 172 (+/-) 10 142 (+/-) 11 181 165.00 20.42 XRF 10 (+/-) 12 233 (+/-) 12 221 (+/-) 13 295 249.67 39.72 XRF 11 (+/-) 15 375 (+/-) 16 419 (+/-) 15 356 383.33 32.32 XRF 12 (+/-) 8 83 (+/-) 8 81 (+/-) 8 79 81.00 2.00 XRF 12a (+/-) 7 26 (+/-) 7 32 (+/-) 7 31 29.67 3.21 XRF 13 (+/-) 7 36 (+/-) 17 0 (+/-) 6 26 20.67 18.58 XRF 14 (+/-) 10 150 (+/-) 10 138 (+/-) 10 153 147.00 7.94 XRF 15 (+/-) 9 93 (+/-) 8 83 (+/-) 8 90 88.67 5.13 XRF 16 (+/-) 9 101 (+/-) 9 105 (+/-) 9 109 105.00 4.00 XRF 16a (+/-) 12 236 (+/-) 13 231 (+/-) 14 243 236.67 6.03 XRF 17 (+/-) 11 196 (+/-) 10 164 (+/-) 11 189 183.00 16.82 XRF 18 (+/-) 11 183 (+/-) 12 207 (+/-) 11 189 193.00 12.49 XRF 17 (+/-) 7 68 (+/-) 7 72 (+/-) 8 77 72.33 4.51 106 XRF 20 XRF 20a XRF 22 XRF 23 XRF 24 XRF 25 XRF 26 XRF 27 XRF 28 XRF 29 XRF 30 max min mean median standard deviation (+/-) 10 (+/-) 10 (+/-) 8 (+/-) 8 (+/-) 9 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 13 (+/-) 10 (+/-) 9 (+/-) 11 (+/-) 24 130 142 61 55 95 224 261 137 133 203 777 (+/-) 9 (+/-) 10 (+/-) 7 (+/-) 7 (+/-) 9 (+/-) 13 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 9 (+/-) 10 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 23 106 154 55 51 105 240 253 130 139 241 750 (+/-) 9 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 8 (+/-) 7 (+/-) 9 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 10 (+/-) 9 (+/-) 13 (+/-) 22 104 180 69 39 96 242 245 140 121 280 713 113.33 158.67 61.67 48.33 98.67 235.33 253.00 135.67 131.00 241.33 746.67 746.67 20.67 172.26 135.67 14.47 19.43 7.02 8.33 5.51 9.87 8.00 5.13 9.17 38.50 32.13 147.038 Table 7 b) Concentrations of zinc in Sacramento soil analyzed by hand-held XRF. Site XRF 1 XRF 2 XRF 3 XRF 4 XRF 4a XRF 5 XRF 6 XRF 7 XRF 8 error (ppm) (+/-) 15 (+/-) 9 (+/-) 11 (+/-) 17 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 9 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 13 (+/-) 12 Zn1 (ppm) 294 70 140 342 185 76 174 217 152 error (ppm) (+/-) 16 (+/-) 9 (+/-) 11 (+/-) 15 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 9 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 13 (+/-) 13 XRF 8a XRF 9 XRF 10 XRF 11 XRF 12 XRF 12a XRF 13 XRF 14 XRF 15 XRF 16 XRF 16a XRF 17 XRF 18 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 10 (+/-) 11 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 10 (+/-) 8 (+/-) 8 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 11 (+/-) 14 (+/-) 15 (+/-) 11 (+/-) 12 148 107 151 158 123 54 61 157 123 238 274 133 179 (+/-) 0 (+/-) 11 (+/-) 11 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 11 (+/-) 9 (+/-) 9 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 10 (+/-) 15 (+/-) 15 (+/-) 11 (+/-) 14 Zn2 (ppm) 305 81 151 290 175 75 175 198 171 non detect 119 146 182 136 68 68 148 103 266 258 145 203 error (ppm) (+/-) 18 (+/-) 9 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 16 (+/-) 13 (+/-) 10 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 14 (+/-) 15 Zn3 (ppm) 413 64 163 333 198 100 173 235 213 mean (ppm) 337.33 71.67 151.33 321.67 186.00 83.67 174.00 216.67 178.67 standard deviation (ppm) 65.76 8.62 11.50 27.79 11.53 14.15 1.00 18.50 31.21 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 10 (+/-) 11 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 10 (+/-) 8 (+/-) 9 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 10 (+/-) 14 (+/-) 18 (+/-) 11 (+/-) 12 164 103 149 172 129 67 69 164 114 239 334 145 155 156.00 109.67 148.67 170.67 129.33 63.00 66.00 156.33 113.33 247.67 288.67 141.00 179.00 11.31 8.33 2.52 12.06 6.51 7.81 4.36 8.02 10.02 15.89 40.07 6.93 24.00 107 XRF 17 XRF 20 XRF 20a XRF 22 XRF 23 XRF 24 XRF 25 XRF 26 XRF 27 XRF 28 XRF 29 XRF 30 max min mean median standard deviation (+/-) 10 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 13 (+/-) 10 (+/-) 9 (+/-) 15 (+/-) 14 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 11 (+/-) 14 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 15 129 158 187 113 70 253 234 150 135 241 183 251 (+/-) 11 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 11 (+/-) 10 (+/-) 13 (+/-) 14 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 11 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 13 (+/-) 14 189 150 166 126 104 191 215 183 147 146 217 242 (+/-) 11 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 14 (+/-) 10 (+/-) 9 (+/-) 13 (+/-) 13 (+/-) 13 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 12 (+/-) 15 152 163 213 107 85 200 196 197 166 159 193 267 156.67 157.00 188.67 115.33 86.33 214.67 215.00 176.67 149.33 182.00 197.67 253.33 288.67 63.00 165.09 157.00 30.27 6.56 23.54 9.71 17.04 33.50 19.00 24.13 15.63 51.51 17.47 12.66 54.51696 Table 8 NURE HSSR summary statistics for Sacramento County. Sample ID U ppm Al ppm B ppm Ba ppm Be ppm Ca ppm Ce ppm Co ppm max 6.50 93500 597.00 1052.00 2.00 38500 58.00 38.00 min 0.00 27800 0.00 106.00 0.00 1400 0.00 4.00 mean 2.46 61613 22.55 509.94 1.04 15521 27.08 12.79 median 2.40 62300 14.00 509.00 1.00 15400 27.00 13.00 stdev 0.79 11671 44.88 108.01 0.43 6788 8.36 4.33 Table 8 (continued) NURE HSSR summary statistics for Sacramento County. Sample ID Cr ppm Cu ppm Fe ppm K ppm La ppm Li ppm Mg ppm Mn ppm max 206.00 125.00 59300 23100.00 31.00 56.00 20100 1570.00 min 16.00 7.00 12000 2400.00 2.00 6.00 1300 189.00 mean 79.42 31.09 32021 9293.77 13.58 17.62 7517 624.00 median 79.00 28.00 32200 9300.00 14.00 15.00 7200 606.00 stdev 30.65 15.51 8810 2289.57 3.94 8.01 3793 181.01 Table 8 (continued) NURE HSSR summary statistics for Sacramento County. Sample ID Na ppm Nb ppm Ni ppm P ppm Pb ppm Sc ppm Sr ppm Th ppm max 23600 18.00 110.00 1801.00 1039.00 24.00 675.00 272.00 min 1200 0.00 8.00 68.00 0.00 3.00 41.00 0.00 mean 11824 7.27 42.74 434.11 48.76 11.11 220.97 5.80 median 12300 7.00 38.00 375.00 22.00 11.00 213.00 4.00 stdev 3900 2.52 22.73 262.94 90.62 3.42 87.45 17.05 108 Table 8 (continued) NURE HSSR summary statistics for Sacramento County. Sample ID Ti ppm V ppm Y ppm Zn ppm Zr ppm max 10776 295.00 49.00 858.00 151.00 min 1868 43.00 4.00 25.00 11.00 mean 4069 125.08 11.25 84.55 42.16 median 3860 123.00 11.00 70.00 40.00 stdev 1217 38.76 3.84 75.78 13.14 Table 9 Replicate and environmental results, analysis by MEMS-61 method of soil samples collected in Sacramento, CA. ppm, parts per million; %, percent Site Name Ag Al As Ba Be Bi Ca ppm % ppm ppm ppm ppm % Lead 1 0.09 4.75 7.2 460 0.68 0.1 1.32 Lead 1a 0.08 4.8 7 460 0.63 0.08 1.36 Lead 2 0.14 4.52 6.7 570 0.81 0.14 1.49 Lead 2a 0.14 4.37 6.3 530 0.76 0.11 1.46 Lead 5 0.25 5.77 8.8 570 1.25 0.67 2.06 Lead 5a 0.25 5.83 8.6 570 1.22 0.45 2.08 Lead 14 0.11 6.29 5.9 610 1.22 0.2 1.64 Lead 14b 0.1 6.41 5.9 600 1.35 0.14 1.85 Lead 31 0.12 6.25 5.6 660 1.27 0.15 1.45 Lead 31b 0.08 6.17 6.2 610 1.15 0.13 1.56 Lead 38 0.15 6.76 7.5 550 1.1 0.19 1.65 Lead 38b 0.23 6.98 7.9 560 1.22 0.22 1.7 Lead 52 0.12 5.14 8 500 1.12 0.11 1.46 Lead 52b 0.11 5.72 16 510 1.06 0.13 1.54 Lead 61b 0.15 6.36 12.1 570 1.18 0.15 2.01 Lead 61bR 0.08 5.95 11.2 530 1.21 0.12 2.06 Table 9 (continued) Replicate and environmental results, analysis by MEMS-61 method of soil samples collected in Sacramento, CA. ppm, parts per million; %, percent Site Name Cd Ce Co Cr Cs Cu ppm ppm ppm ppm ppm ppm Lead 1 0.23 25.9 12.9 164 1.65 27.1 Lead 1a 0.27 25.7 13 138 1.59 26.5 Lead 2 0.39 29.2 15 235 1.36 39.9 Lead 2a 0.43 26.8 14.2 181 1.34 39.3 Lead 5 0.97 42.7 17.1 193 1.92 65.8 Lead 5a 0.93 42.8 17.1 151 1.94 121 Lead 14 0.34 51.6 18.3 144 2.19 34.6 Lead 14b 0.38 50 17.9 137 2.16 35.1 Lead 31 0.16 53.1 17.8 129 2.29 30.1 Fe % 2.6 3.04 3.13 3.2 3.48 3.67 3.39 3.59 2.95 109 Lead 31b Lead 38 Lead 38b Lead 52 Lead 52b Lead 61b Lead 61bR 0.23 0.37 0.4 0.27 0.33 0.29 0.26 52.4 34.4 34.8 37.4 42.6 43.6 41.5 17.9 19.4 19.9 13.9 14 17 16 136 154 157 176 144 185 196 2.25 2.74 2.79 1.67 1.92 1.8 1.58 45.9 50.5 52.9 31.7 32.7 32.6 28 Table 9 (continued) Replicate and environmental results, analysis by MEMS-61 method of soil samples collected in Sacramento, CA. ppm, parts per million; %, percent Site Name Ga Ge Hf In K La ppm ppm ppm ppm % ppm Lead 1 9.7 0.08 1.3 0.033 0.97 14 Lead 1a 9.8 0.09 1.4 0.03 0.98 13.9 Lead 2 9.36 0.09 1.1 0.06 0.96 14.7 Lead 2a 8.97 0.1 1.2 0.055 0.98 13.5 Lead 5 13.1 0.13 1.7 0.098 1.09 21.1 Lead 5a 13.6 0.13 1.8 0.071 1.1 20.9 Lead 14 14.95 0.13 2.2 0.043 1.17 24.7 Lead 14b 15.35 0.16 2.1 0.04 1.18 24.3 Lead 31 15.35 0.14 2.1 0.046 1.46 26.2 Lead 31b 15.3 0.16 2 0.045 1.3 25.6 Lead 38 15.55 0.15 1.8 0.049 1.05 16.6 Lead 38b 16 0.13 1.8 0.048 1.03 17 Lead 52 12.75 0.13 1.5 0.035 1.07 18.8 Lead 52b 14 0.16 1.7 0.044 1.11 21.9 Lead 61b 15.25 0.14 1.8 0.045 1.21 22 Lead 61bR 14.25 0.16 1.7 0.04 1.14 20.9 3.21 3.79 3.99 3 3.54 3.39 3.48 Li ppm 13.2 13.3 12.9 12.7 18.6 18.9 18.3 17.8 16.5 18 33.5 32.9 14.1 15.7 16.8 14.8 Table 9 (continued) Replicate and environmental results, analysis by MEMS-61 method of soil samples collected in Sacramento, CA. ppm, parts per million; %, percent Site Name Mg Mn Mo Na Nb Ni P % ppm ppm % ppm ppm ppm Lead 1 0.77 521 1.97 0.74 4.6 44.1 600 Lead 1a 0.78 549 1.05 0.77 4.6 43.6 580 Lead 2 0.9 539 2.82 0.88 4.4 53.8 440 Lead 2a 0.89 547 1.75 0.86 4.5 51.8 430 Lead 5 1.2 660 2.54 0.99 6.7 67.2 1180 Lead 5a 1.21 681 1.39 1 6.7 66.3 1170 Lead 14 0.77 759 1.42 1.07 8.4 57.3 430 Lead 14b 0.93 732 1.28 1.15 8.3 58.9 480 Lead 31 0.65 745 1.08 1.11 9.3 55.4 420 110 Lead 31b Lead 38 Lead 38b Lead 52 Lead 52b Lead 61b Lead 61bR 0.76 1.47 1.45 0.92 1.02 1.14 1.11 712 656 661 500 538 684 669 0.9 1.56 1.22 2.12 1.47 1.96 1.07 1.06 0.98 0.94 0.87 0.95 1.19 1.18 9 5.6 5.6 5.8 6.6 7.1 6.8 57.2 98.5 94.5 49.4 50.4 62.1 55.6 480 670 630 700 1170 620 600 Table 9 (continued) Replicate and environmental results, analysis by MEMS-61 method of soil samples collected in Sacramento, CA. ppm, parts per million; %, percent Site Name Pb Rb S Sb Sc Sn Sr ppm ppm % ppm ppm ppm ppm Lead 1 15.8 42.8 0.02 0.97 10.1 1.1 167.5 Lead 1a 15.2 42.9 0.02 0.99 10.1 1 172.5 Lead 2 216 41.4 0.04 2.42 9.9 4.2 180.5 Lead 2a 83.9 41.1 0.03 2.48 9.5 4.8 176.5 Lead 5 509 51.1 0.06 3.63 13.9 35.1 239 Lead 5a 408 50.8 0.06 2.59 14.1 41.3 241 Lead 14 32.7 61.4 0.02 1 14.3 3.1 222 Lead 14b 30.8 60.4 0.03 0.99 15.3 1.7 235 Lead 31 35.4 75.7 0.02 0.87 14.2 2.2 227 Lead 31b 40 70.2 0.03 1 14.6 1.9 225 Lead 38 30.7 52 0.05 1.28 17.9 1.9 196.5 Lead 38b 33.3 52.7 0.05 1.61 18.6 2.1 198.5 Lead 52 21.2 47.3 0.02 1.11 12.8 1.3 199 Lead 52b 22.7 52 0.03 0.99 14.3 1.4 211 Lead 61b 48.3 59.3 0.03 1.08 15.2 2.1 268 Lead 61bR 52 56.8 0.03 1.07 14.6 2.3 267 Table 9 (continued) Replicate and environmental results, analysis by MEMS-61 method of soil samples collected in Sacramento, CA. ppm, parts per million; %, percent Site Name Ta Th Ti Tl U V W Y Zn ppm ppm % ppm ppm ppm ppm ppm ppm Lead 1 0.38 3.9 0.285 0.23 1.2 86 1.5 10.7 73 Lead 1a 0.36 3.8 0.285 0.22 1.2 85 1 10.8 73 Lead 2 0.36 4.4 0.271 0.23 1.2 87 1.4 12.5 211 Lead 2a 0.36 3.9 0.268 0.22 1.2 85 0.8 11.4 204 Lead 5 0.5 5.9 0.328 0.29 1.8 100 2 13.4 261 Lead 5a 0.49 5.7 0.332 0.28 1.8 99 1.4 13.4 252 Lead 14 0.6 7.5 0.376 0.33 1.8 106 1.3 14.1 134 Lead 14b 0.6 7.3 0.376 0.34 1.7 110 1.3 14.3 97 Lead 31 0.66 7.3 0.402 0.38 2.2 104 1.3 14.6 76 111 Lead 31b Lead 38 Lead 38b Lead 52 Lead 52b Lead 61b Lead 61bR 0.65 0.57 0.45 0.48 0.51 0.58 0.54 7.5 5 5.4 5.5 6.6 6.8 6.1 0.387 0.339 0.346 0.314 0.338 0.36 0.359 0.37 0.3 0.3 0.28 0.3 0.3 0.26 2.4 1.7 1.8 1.8 2.5 2.1 1.7 99 123 129 98 105 105 107 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.5 1 14.6 15.4 15.5 11.4 13.2 14.1 13.4 97 174 165 86 78 85 80 Table 10 Summary Statistics of lead concentrations for replicates analyzed by the MEMS-61 method for soil samples collected in Sacramento, CA. Split Duplicate Both Env Rep Env+Rep Env Rep Env+Rep Env Rep Env+Rep min 15.8 15.2 15.2 21.2 22.7 21.2 15.8 15.2 15.2 max 509.0 408.0 509.0 48.3 52.0 52.0 509.0 408.0 509.0 mean 246.9 169.0 208.0 33.7 35.8 34.7 113.6 85.7 99.7 median 216.0 83.9 150.0 32.7 33.3 33.0 34.1 36.7 34.4 standard deviation 248.1 209.8 209.8 9.8 11.0 9.9 172.7 131.9 149.1 Table 11 Percent difference of lead concentrations for replicates analyzed by the MEMS-61 method for soil samples collected in Sacramento, CA. Split Samples Env Rep Lead 1 Lead 1a Lead 2 Lead 2a Lead 5 Lead 5a percent difference 10% 22% 6.00% Duplicate Samples Env Rep Lead 14 Lead 14b Lead 31 Lead 31b Lead 38 Lead 38b Lead 52 Lead 52b Lead 61b Lead 61bR percent difference <5% <5% <5% <5% <5% Table 12 Comparison of MEMS-61 method and XRF method for lead and zinc concentrations in Sacramento soils. 112 ppm, parts per million; avg, average MEMS-61 XRF Site Name Pb_ppm Pb_avg Pb % diff Lead_3 441.00 365.00 18.9 Lead_4 189.50 187.33 1.1 Lead_5 509.00 437.67 15.1 Lead_6 141.50 149.33 5.4 Lead_7 178.50 149.33 17.8 Lead_8 174.00 167.33 3.9 Lead_24 148.00 111.33 28.3 Lead_29 229.00 267.33 15.4 Lead_47 109.50 90.00 19.5 Lead_61b 48.30 13.67 111.8 standard deviation 145 129 32 Table 13 List of historic industry using heavy metals Company Palm Iron Works Alling Iron Works Union Auto Freight Depot, Iron Works Southern Pacific Co., Railroad Shop & Roundhouse Table 14 Summary statistics of predicted and observed lead concentrations in parts per million. lead (ppm) lead (ppm) predicted observed Max 173.1 1540.0 Min 23.7 10.6 Mean 58.9 128.0 Median 45.6 52.6 StndDev 31.7 204.9 Table 15 Results and summary statistics for leave-one-out cross validation. lead (ppm) lead (ppm) (ppm) Site Name predicted observed Residual Lead_1 66.8 15.8 -51.0 Lead_2 86.8 216.0 129.2 Lead_3 105.7 441.0 335.3 Lead_4 108.0 189.5 81.5 Lead_5 107.3 509.0 401.7 Lead_6 139.4 141.5 2.1 113 Lead_7 Lead_8 Lead_9 Lead_10 Lead_11 Lead_12 Lead_13 Lead_14 Lead_15 Lead_16 Lead_17 Lead_18 Lead_19 Lead_20 Lead_21 Lead_22 Lead_23 Lead_24 Lead_25 Lead_26 Lead_27 Lead_28 Lead_29 Lead_30 Lead_31 Lead_32 Lead_33 Lead_34 Lead_35 Lead_36 Lead_37 Lead_38 Lead_39 Lead_40 Lead_41 Lead_42 Lead_43 Lead_44 Lead_45 Lead_46 Lead_47 Lead_48 Lead_49 Lead_50 Lead_51 Lead_52 132.7 133.1 120.4 94.9 68.0 63.3 61.9 35.1 37.0 25.4 27.1 27.8 38.3 42.9 63.0 96.9 140.9 107.8 157.0 152.5 158.8 163.1 111.0 117.5 85.0 62.4 63.0 55.2 48.5 32.2 27.6 42.1 42.5 101.0 106.7 98.4 73.5 39.9 125.1 116.7 116.6 46.6 76.9 156.9 102.2 38.6 178.5 174.0 129.0 62.1 49.1 38.0 23.0 32.7 18.2 56.4 20.0 87.2 33.1 40.7 120.0 56.0 17.1 148.0 38.7 113.5 217.0 75.5 229.0 83.7 35.4 260.0 79.5 50.6 26.5 31.5 16.2 30.7 17.3 48.9 66.6 475.0 16.9 52.6 81.1 261.0 109.5 58.4 217.0 38.4 87.0 21.2 45.8 40.9 8.6 -32.8 -18.9 -25.3 -38.9 -2.4 -18.8 31.0 -7.1 59.4 -5.2 -2.2 57.0 -40.9 -123.8 40.2 -118.3 -39.0 58.2 -87.6 118.0 -33.8 -49.6 197.6 16.5 -4.6 -22.0 -0.7 -11.4 -11.4 -25.2 -52.1 -40.1 376.6 -56.6 12.7 -44.0 144.3 -7.1 11.8 140.1 -118.5 -15.2 -17.4 114 Lead_53 Lead_54 Lead_55 Lead_56 Lead_57 Lead_58 Lead_59 Lead_60 Lead_61b Lead_62 Lead_63 Lead_64 Lead_65 Lead_66 Lead_67 Lead_68a Lead_68b Lead_69 Lead_70 SACSAC6 SACSAC8 SACSAC11 SACSECT12 SACSECT13 SACSECT14 SACSECT15 SACSECT16 SACSAC17 SACSAC18 SACSAC19 SACSAC20 SACSAC21 SACSAC22 YOLWS23 SACSAC24 SACSAC25 SACSAC26 SACSAC27 SACSAC28 SACNUT29 SACNH30 SACSA-1 SACSA-2 SACSA-3 SACSA-4 SACSA-5 59.9 39.3 49.9 29.8 32.6 46.9 106.4 95.0 128.8 79.7 59.0 25.6 50.7 37.1 34.0 32.9 22.7 73.3 73.1 27.9 52.7 52.1 18.2 18.4 19.2 19.8 18.6 31.8 44.3 36.0 73.7 114.5 113.6 35.6 54.6 79.4 34.9 97.8 37.7 36.3 73.4 127.5 155.2 105.2 112.3 102.3 53.9 35.6 26.3 25.2 17.0 35.8 52.9 143.0 48.3 200.0 47.9 58.0 18.2 26.9 12.7 20.3 33.7 57.7 40.8 24.8 61.1 524.0 29.5 20.8 18.0 16.6 19.8 25.5 46.9 16.4 10.6 420.0 171.0 78.8 375.0 82.6 666.0 15.8 154.5 24.4 23.0 114.5 18.6 289.0 269.0 29.0 -6.0 -3.7 -23.6 -4.6 -15.6 -11.1 -53.5 48.0 -80.5 120.3 -11.1 32.4 -32.5 -10.2 -21.3 -12.6 11.0 -15.6 -32.3 -3.1 8.4 471.9 11.3 2.4 -1.2 -3.2 1.2 -6.3 2.6 -19.6 -63.1 305.5 57.4 43.2 320.4 3.2 631.1 -82.0 116.8 -11.9 -50.4 -13.0 -136.6 183.8 156.7 -73.3 115 SACSA-6 SACSA-7 SACSA-8 SACSA-9 SACSA-10 Max Min Mean Median StndDev 61.3 165.3 80.7 73.4 150.3 165.3 18.2 75.2 66.8 41.4 863.0 21.4 342.0 1540.0 283.0 1540.0 10.6 128.0 52.6 204.9 801.7 -143.9 261.3 1466.6 132.7 1466.6 -143.9 52.8 -4.6 203.0 Table 16 MEMS-61 Factor loadings for maximum likelihood estimation of elemental analysis of surface soils form Sacramento, CA. Element Ag Al As Ba Be Bi Ca Cd Ce Co Cr Cs Cu Fe Ga Ge Hf In K La Li Mg Mn Mo Na Nb Ni P Pb Factor1 0.167 0.759 0.468 0.447 0.114 0.268 0.931 0.347 0.708 0.527 0.92 0.745 0.417 0.44 0.496 -0.226 0.292 0.822 0.784 0.62 -0.214 0.272 0.865 0.201 -0.209 Factor2 0.508 0.799 0.734 0.351 -0.272 -0.17 0.842 0.121 -0.496 0.425 0.114 0.548 0.206 0.702 0.227 0.738 0.85 -0.364 0.292 -0.242 0.88 -0.13 -0.162 Factor3 Factor4 0.757 -0.123 0.506 -0.2 0.166 0.21 -0.109 0.763 0.26 0.733 0.843 -0.166 -0.156 0.129 -0.453 0.705 0.112 0.171 -0.139 0.134 -0.134 -0.199 0.434 -0.192 0.181 -0.125 0.19 -0.354 0.337 0.222 0.127 0.657 -0.101 -0.117 0.806 -0.196 0.211 -0.244 0.687 0.817 0.151 116 Rb S Sb Sn Sr Ta Th Ti Tl U V W Y Zn Proportion Cumulative 0.182 -0.105 0.191 0.653 0.303 0.431 0.874 0.217 0.805 0.775 -0.221 0.106 0.639 0.839 0.857 -0.265 0.876 0.495 0.428 0.607 0.534 -0.194 -0.253 -0.321 0.272 0.989 0.111 0.389 -0.112 -0.14 0.572 -0.266 -0.197 -0.21 -0.195 0.752 Factor1 Factor2 Factor3 Factor4 0.231 0.204 0.184 0.076 0.231 0.435 0.619 0.695 Table 17 Uniqueness values for maximum likelihood and principal component estimation methods. MLE PCE Element Uniqueness Uniqueness Ag 0.397 0.39 Al 0.149 0.161 As 0.483 0.423 Ba 0.29 0.214 Be 0.248 0.221 Bi 0.281 0.259 Ca 0.317 0.249 Cd 0.253 0.222 Ce 0.191 0.215 Co 0.089 0.071 Cr 0.616 0.496 Cs 0.111 0.105 Cu 0.214 0.211 Fe 0.099 0.079 Ga 0.118 0.121 Ge 0.748 0.726 Hf 0.266 0.255 In 0.477 0.45 117 K 0.372 0.267 La 0.175 0.184 Li 0.154 0.17 Mg 0.09 0.14 Mn 0.504 0.441 Mo 0.495 0.42 Na 0.285 0.225 Nb 0.108 0.135 Ni 0.131 0.151 P 0.454 0.418 Pb 0.265 0.244 Rb 0.284 0.223 S 0.531 0.471 Sb 0.284 0.249 Sn 0.25 0.241 Sr 0.005 0.068 Ta 0.156 0.171 Th 0.688 0.656 Ti 0.287 0.262 Tl 0.395 0.343 U 0.489 0.444 V 0.201 0.178 W 0.569 0.52 Y 0.162 0.153 Zn 0.414 0.367 Table 18 NURE Factor loadings for maximum likelihood estimation of elemental analysis of surface soils form Sacramento, CA. NURE Factor1 Factor2 Factor3 U_ppm AL_ppm B_ppm Ba_ppm 0.52 0.33 0.426 -0.126 0.47 -0.151 0.116 0.551 -0.135 0.183 0.35 0.141 Be_ppm Ca_ppm 0.337 0.884 Ce_ppm 0.196 0.96 Co_ppm 0.829 0.212 118 Cr_ppm 0.846 Cu_ppm Fe_ppm 0.834 0.793 0.29 K_ppm -0.358 0.298 La_ppm Li_ppm Mg_ppm Mn_ppm 0.213 0.79 0.825 0.393 0.955 0.158 -0.115 0.3 -0.25 0.324 0.168 Na_ppm Nb_ppm -0.11 -0.19 0.641 0.844 0.161 Ni_ppm 0.847 P_ppm 0.679 -0.152 Pb_ppm Sc_ppm -0.175 0.181 0.147 0.863 0.223 Sr_ppm 0.122 Th_ppm 0.48 0.961 Ti_ppm 0.136 0.444 V_ppm Y_ppm 0.766 0.621 0.425 0.146 0.34 Zn_ppm 0.47 0.584 -0.236 0.142 0.413 0.114 0.527 Zr_ppm Proportion Cumulative 0.271 0.271 Table 19 NURE Uniqueness values for maximum likelihood and principal component estimation methods. MLE PCE Element Uniqueness Uniqueness U_ppm 0.892 0.739 AL_ppm 0.346 0.265 B_ppm 0.961 0.871 Ba_ppm 0.64 0.468 Be_ppm 0.881 0.790 Ca_ppm 0.102 0.119 Ce_ppm 0.141 0.279 Co_ppm 0.267 0.253 119 Cr_ppm Cu_ppm Fe_ppm K_ppm La_ppm Li_ppm Mg_ppm Mn_ppm Na_ppm Nb_ppm Ni_ppm P_ppm Pb_ppm Sc_ppm Sr_ppm Th_ppm Ti_ppm V_ppm Y_ppm Zn_ppm Zr_ppm 0.283 0.273 0.295 0.78 0.043 0.41 0.201 0.727 0.276 0.527 0.258 0.535 0.977 0.205 0.061 0.76 0.775 0.392 0.34 0.774 0.604 0.278 0.232 0.229 0.665 0.184 0.336 0.235 0.657 0.274 0.397 0.240 0.460 0.993 0.168 0.148 0.757 0.673 0.345 0.334 0.721 0.390 Table 20 MLE and PCE summary statistics from residual matrices of factor analysis of soil samples from Sacramento, CA. MEMS-61 NURE MLE PCE MLE PCE max 0.3120 0.2785 0.4130 0.3717 min -0.1630 -0.1663 -0.2660 -0.3424 mean 0.0005 -0.0055 0.0090 -0.0080 median -0.0002 -0.0040 0.0000 -0.0116 mean (stdev) 0.0489 0.0499 0.0799 0.0836 Table 21 MLE and PCE summary statistics from residual matrices of factor analysis of soil samples from Sacramento, CA. Element Ag Al As Ba Be Bi Ca Factor1 Factor2 Factor3 Factor4 -0.166 -0.763 -0.696 -0.58 0.119 -0.461 -0.527 -0.281 -0.835 -0.188 0.226 -0.382 -0.785 -0.126 -0.355 -0.778 -0.12 0.285 -0.278 0.76 120 Cd Ce Co Cr Cs Cu Fe Ga Ge Hf In K La Li Mg Mn Mo Na Nb Ni P Pb Rb S Sb Sn Sr Ta Th Ti Tl U V W Y Zn Proportion Cumulative -0.237 -0.931 -0.46 -0.641 -0.534 -0.926 -0.682 -0.427 -0.385 -0.515 0.32 -0.247 -0.785 -0.799 -0.643 0.217 -0.234 -0.86 -0.223 0.202 0.19 -0.837 -0.182 0.522 -0.5 -0.169 -0.617 -0.245 -0.734 -0.242 -0.772 -0.859 -0.172 0.297 -0.32 0.262 -0.879 0.156 -0.821 0.263 -0.151 -0.664 -0.237 -0.376 -0.882 -0.223 -0.784 -0.878 -0.525 -0.44 -0.661 -0.597 -0.136 -0.105 -0.444 0.139 -0.856 0.159 -0.161 -0.117 -0.697 -0.107 0.136 -0.122 -0.44 0.118 -0.174 -0.324 -0.686 0.106 0.189 -0.184 -0.704 -0.83 -0.114 -0.675 -0.861 -0.861 0.183 0.26 0.321 -0.277 0.14 -0.606 -0.482 -0.134 0.15 -0.12 -0.13 -0.224 -0.183 0.185 -0.394 0.168 0.185 -0.177 0.843 -0.267 -0.111 0.151 -0.285 0.114 0.957 -0.295 -0.239 -0.227 -0.187 -0.778 Factor1 Factor2 Factor3 Factor4 0.222 0.225 0.191 0.082 0.222 0.447 0.638 0.721 121 Table 22 NURE Factor loadings for principal component estimation of elemental analysis of surface soils form Sacramento, CA. Element U_ppm AL_ppm B_ppm Ba_ppm Be_ppm Ca_ppm Ce_ppm Co_ppm Cr_ppm Cu_ppm Fe_ppm K_ppm La_ppm Li_ppm Mg_ppm Mn_ppm Na_ppm Nb_ppm Ni_ppm P_ppm Pb_ppm Sc_ppm Sr_ppm Th_ppm Ti_ppm V_ppm Y_ppm Zn_ppm Zr_ppm Proportion Cumulative Factor1 0.493 0.102 -0.149 0.308 0.22 0.85 0.847 0.859 0.816 -0.384 0.242 0.741 0.81 0.408 -0.153 -0.197 0.855 0.721 Factor2 -0.448 -0.451 -0.207 -0.702 -0.393 -0.818 -0.158 -0.232 -0.433 -0.869 -0.198 0.121 -0.292 -0.728 0.856 0.103 0.162 0.783 0.631 0.524 0.283 0.283 Factor3 0.245 -0.538 0.274 -0.131 -0.23 -0.882 -0.124 -0.471 -0.52 0.173 -0.228 0.276 -0.307 -0.301 -0.837 -0.185 0.165 0.121 -0.312 -0.914 -0.346 -0.173 -0.204 -0.384 -0.725 0.287 0.16 0.443 0.126 0.569 122 APPENDIX B Figures Figure 1 Study area 123 Distribution of lead poisoning cases by zip code in Sacramento County between July 1, 2008 and June 30, 2009. n=28 (Lea Huffman, Sacramento County) Figure 2 Lead poisoning cases by zip code in Sacramento County 124 (Laidlaw et al., 2008) Figure 3 Historic lead-use in paint and gasoline in the United States 125 (Harden, 2004) Granitic rock of the Sierra Nevada Figure 4 Sierra Nevada rock composition. 126 (Helly & Harwood, 1986) Figure 5 Quaternary geology of southern Sacramento Valley map 127 (Diawara et al., 2006) Figure 6 Prediction map of lead concentrations in Pueblo, CO 128 (Sacramento & Yolo Counties, 2005) Figure 7 Sacramento and Yolo County land use map 129 Figure 8 Sample sites (2008) location map 130 Figure 9 XRF sample location map 131 Figure 10 MEMS-61 sample site location map Oor & Deocampo 132 Figure 11 MEMS-61 sample site location map 133 Scree test Eigenvalues selected for principal component estimation loadings 16 14 eigenvalues 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 factors Figure 12 Scree plot 30 35 40 45 50 134 a) Percent 75 60 45 30 15 0 10 160 320 470 620 780x 10 930 -3 1008 Pb ppm Pb (ppm) 1230 1390 1540 b) (ppm) Figure 13 a) Histogram and b) box plot of lead concentrations for MEMS-61 data 135 Figure 14 MEMS-61 lead concentration map 136 a) percent 43 Ag 34 26 17 9 0 0.03 0.11 0.18 0.26 0.34 0.42 0.50 0.57 0.65 0.73 0.81 (ppm) 33 percent As 26 20 13 7 0 2.7 5.2 7.7 10.3 12.8 15.3 17.8 20.3 22.9 (ppm) Figure 15 a) Histograms of non-normally distributed elements 25.4 27.9 137 b) 38 percent Bi 30 28 15 8 0 0.07 0.13 0.19 0.25 0.31 0.37 0.43 0.49 0.55 0.61 0.67 (ppm) 54 percent Cd 43 32 22 11 0 0.1 0.35 0.61 0.86 1.11 1.37 1.62 1.87 2.12 2.38 2.63 (ppm) Figure 15 b) Histograms of elemental concentrations displaying non-normal distributions 138 c) 31 percent Cr 25 19 12 6 0 67 27 97 128 159 189 219 250 (ppm) 281 311 342 372 96 104 percent Cu 22 16 11 5 0 15 24 33 42 51 60 69 78 87 (ppm) Figure 15 c) Histograms of elemental concentrations displaying non-normal distributions 139 d) 29 percent Li 23 17 12 6 0 9.8 13.1 16.4 19.6 22.9 26.2 29.5 32.8 36 39.3 42.6 (ppm) percent 24 Mo 19 14 10 5 0 0.57 0.93 1.28 1.64 1.99 2.35 2.71 3.06 3.42 3.77 4.13 (ppm) Figure 15 d Histograms of elemental concentrations displaying non-normal distributions 140 e) percent 75 Pb 60 45 30 15 0 10 160 320 470 620 780 930 1008 1230 1390 1540 (ppm) percent 40 S 32 24 16 8 0 100 220 340 460 580 700 820 940 1060 1180 1300 (ppm) Figure 15 e Histograms of elemental concentrations displaying non-normal distributions 141 f) percent Sb 52 42 32 21 10 0 0.6 1.36 2.11 2.87 3.63 4.38 5.14 (ppm) 5.9 6.66 7.41 8.17 percent Sn 79 63 47 32 16 0 1.1 7.4 13.7 20 26.3 32.6 38.9 (ppm) 45.2 51.5 57.8 64.1 Figure 15 f Histograms of elemental concentrations displaying non-normal distributions 142 g) percent 96 Zn 77 58 38 19 0 50 650 1250 1840 2440 3030 3630 4220 4820 5410 6010 (ppm) Figure 15 g Histograms of elemental concentrations displaying non-normal distributions 143 Figure 16 XRF lead concentration map 144 a) 7 81 155 229 303 377 (ppm) 451 525 599 673 747 b) (ppm) Figure 17 a) Histogram and b) box plot of lead Concentrations for XRF data 145 Figure 18 NURE lead concentrations map 146 a) 23 percent 18 14 9 4.5 0 10 90 200 300 410 510 620 720 830 930 1040 Pb (ppm) b) Pb (ppm) Figure 19. a) Histogram and b) box plot of lead concentrations for NURE data 147 MEMS-61 & XRF Pb replicates (ppm) 500 R2 = 0.95 XRF 400 300 200 100 0 0 200 400 MEMS-61 Figure 20 MEMS-61 and XRF replicate comparison 600 148 Figure 21 MEMS and XRF lead concentrations and soil map 149 Pb (ppm) 1 = 5-18 % clay 2 = 10-25 % clay 3 = 15-27 % clay 4 = 27-60% clay Figure 22 Distribution of lead concentrations compared to clay percentage in soil 150 Figure 23 MEMS-61 and XRF lead concentrations and Quaternary geology map 151 Pb (ppm) Figure 24 Distribution of lead concentrations within Quaternary geology 152 Figure 25 MEMS-61 and XRF lead concentrations and land use map 153 Pb (ppm) Figure 26 Distribution of lead concentrations within land use areas 154 Figure 27 Locations of metal-working industry map (1952) 155 a.) b.) Year-round Sacramento Executive Airport Year-round Dry-month Dry-month Natomas (UC Davis Integrated Pest Management, 2009) Figure 28 Rose diagrams of wind directions from: a) Sacramento Executive Airport and b) Natomas during year-round and dry-month intervals. 156 Pb vs distance to road 1800.00 1600.00 R2 = 0.02 Pb concentration 1400.00 1200.00 1000.00 800.00 600.00 400.00 200.00 0.00 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 -200.00 Feet Figure 29 Scatter plot of lead concentrations and distance to roads 800 900 157 Figure 30 MEMS-61 lead concentrations and prediction map 158 (γ) Model Data (meters) Figure 31 Semivariogram of MEMS-61 data 159 Figure 32 MEMS-61 lead concentrations and variance prediction map 160 Factor 1 0 Factor 4 0 Figure 33 a) MEMS-61 factor loadings 1 & 4 161 Factor 3 0 Factor 2 0 Figure 33 b) MEMS-61 factor loadings 2 & 3 162 Factor 1 Factor 3 Figure 34 a) NURE factor loadings 1 & 3 163 Factor 2 Factor 3 Figure 34 b) NURE factor loadings 2 & 3 164 Figure 35 MEMS-61 factor 1 scores and prediction map 165 Figure 36 MEMS-61 factor 2 scores and prediction map 166 Figure 37 MEMS-61 factor 3 scores and prediction map 167 Figure 38 MEMS-61 factor 4 scores and prediction map 168 Figure 39 NURE factor 1 scores and prediction map 169 Figure 40 NURE factor 2 scores and prediction map 170 Figure 41 NURE factor 3 scores and prediction map 171 (Historic Photos and Maps of California Highways, 2009) Figure 42 Historic roadmaps of Sacramento (1933) 172 (Sacramento History Online, 2009) Figure 43 Coal-burning smoke stack (1939) 173 a) Percent 75 60 45 30 15 0 10 160 320 470 54 69 620 780 930-3 1008 Pb ppm Pb x 10 Observed (ppm) 1230 1390 1540 b) percent 53 43 32 21 11 0 24 39 83 98 113 Predicted Pb (ppm) 128 143 158 173 Figure 44 Histogram of a) observed and b) predicted lead concentrations 174 Figure 45 a) MEMS-61 and NURE factor 1 loadings 175 Figure 45 b) MEMS-61 and NURE factor 2 loadings 176 Figure 45 c) MEMS-61 Factor 4 and NURE factor 3 loadings 177 Figure 46 Occurrence of mafic Rocks in relation to the study area 178 Figure 47 Occurrence of marine sedimentary rocks in relation to the study area 179 Figure 48 Occurrence of granitic rocks in relation to the study area 180 Figure 49 Coincidence of factor 2 scores with the Lower Riverbank formation 181 Figure 50 Distribution of factor 2 scores among Quaternary geology Figure 51 Residual matrix bar chart Zn _ pp m pm m S W _p Cr _p p pp m pp m 16 U Ti _ m In Ta _ Mn Sn _p p S_ pp m m pm Pb _p p i_ p m pm 14 N a_ p K N pm n_ pp Ce M Ge Li _p 8 K_ pp m f_ pp m pp m pm m 12 H G a_ u_ p 18 C pm pm m r_ pp e_ p a_ p 10 C C C m pp m Be _p p As _ Ag _p p 182 Frequency above 0.08 Ti Na V Sb 6 4 2 0 183 APPENDIX C The Geochemical Procedure for Ultra-Trace Level Using ICP-AES and ICP-MS 184 185 186 187 188 189 REFERENCES Alpers, C. 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