Determining the Feasibility of the Recovery of Woody Biomass Bob Rummer, US Forest Service Mark Engle, Four Corners Consulting Feasibility Technical – Performance – Meeting constraints Introduction Economic – Market values of goods and services – Costs of operation Determining Feasibility Contractors bidding on a project Grantors or investors Wood purchasers Resource managers Policy makers Introduction Current Condition Desired Future Prescription • What to treat Introduction Forest Operation • How to treat Forest Products and Ecosystem Services Introduction Outline Technical feasibility issues Needs and constraints Biomass system technology Performance estimation Economic feasibility issues Business planning Prescription Piece size Species Volume per acre Acres per landing Residual spacing Utilization Terrain (slopes, riparian) Additional work Needs and Constraints Prescription Constraints Soil disturbance Residual damage Exclusions (arch sites, nesting) Operating season Activity fuels Noise Needs and Constraints Example: WUI Work hours limited 700-1700 Road impacts (no steel grousers) Unit size <5 ac Landings limited Terrain relatively flat Control risk to public High visibility Needs and Constraints Needs and Constraints Kyle Canyon, NV Needs and Constraints Los Alamos, NM Products and Markets Needs and Constraints Current wood users – Products – Market size Merchandizing operations – Size – Processing or conversion Generic Technical Solutions Functions System Technology – Felling, skidding, processing, loading Systems – Ground-based Whole tree or tree length Log length – Cable – Helicopter Biomass Recovery Added component of multi-product harvesting Biomass harvesting smallwood Biomass harvesting brush/understory Short-rotation woody crops System Technology System Technology: Roadside Multi-product harvest 15% 85% System Technology: Roadside Clean chips + biomass 80% 20% System Technology: Roadside Biomass Processing System Technology: Roadside Mobile Conversion System Technology: Roadside Recovering Residues Chipping/grinding with harvesting Chipping/grinding separately Hauling residues Keep the chipper busy Can get complex Don’t haul slash very far System Technology: In-woods Forwarding or skidding Payload = 1/3 solid wood System Technology: In-woods Forwidder System Technology: In-woods Biomass Bundling System Technology: In-woods In-woods biomass harvest System Technology: In-woods In-woods residue collection Very sensitive to volume per acre Concentration by previous work Payload is critical Generally can’t pay for itself System Technology: Swath 1980—Nicholson Koch System Technology: In-woods Texas A&M Mesquite Photo: Texas A&M Univ System Technology: Swath Swath Harvesters Sensitive to volume per acre Less sensitive to small piece size Takes everything Cleaning machines Alternative to mastication How to move the chips? System Technology: Fuel Thinning WT to chipper System Technology: Fuel Thinning Photo: BLM, Alturas System Technology: Fuel Thinning Fuel Thinning System Technology: Fuel Thinning Biomass Thinning Low-value product Generally facing smaller diameters Many special treatments Tend to be lower system output Performance Estimation Put a number on Productivity Need to know output Need to know time required Productivity = output / time Performance Estimation If you have a system … Gross production estimate – simple – Includes all effects, delays – Only applies to specific conditions Do your own time study – Small sample of only productive time – Measure things that affect time Performance Estimation Example: skidding Key variable is distance Get your data 16 14 Cycle Time (min) Performance Estimation Skidder Production 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 0 100 200 Distance (ft) 300 400 Performance Estimation Summarize Results Watch skidding for a truckload Total volume skidded/# turns – Volume per turn Total time Calculate the average skid distance “Skidder got 20 tons per hour at an average skid distance of 300 ft” Performance Estimation Unknown Machine Look at spec sheets for payload Estimate operational speeds “Feller-buncher can cut 2 trees/min that are 250 lbs each for a productivity of 15 tons per hour” Performance Estimation Be Careful How many productive hours can you get in a year? Did you see all work tasks? What limited production? Don’t overlook overhead Performance Estimation Look at the Whole System System output is limited by slowest operat Felling Skidding Loading $75/hr $75/hr 20 tons/hr 12 tons/hr $50/hr 80 tons/hr Performance Estimation Technical Feasibility Meets required performance Estimate of production rate Some idea of how output is affected by key factors Now the key question is, “Can you make money with it?” Why is feasibility an issue? Constraints generally decrease options Constraints not treated as tradeoffs There are unsolvable problems New product opportunities/requirements “There be monsters …” – Wide range of risks/unknowns