The Business of Biomass Removal Bob Rummer, Research Engineer Forest Operations Research Unit Auburn, AL Outline Look around at some exogenous factors Developments in biomass New technology for harvest and transport Business of forest operations Are you ready for the future? Look around … Fire … Rising Costs Increasing exposure Climate effects Insects and Disease … CSU Extension It just keeps growing … * 1.4 Billion ft3/yr "tot arboreus, tantillus dies" US Forest Products … www.usendowment.org Energy for Our Way of Life The Cost of Energy … Energy Security … Figure from: Resources for the Future, 2007; http://www.rff.org/ National Policy … EISA Biomass R&D Farm Bill Natl BAP www.brdisolutions.com Greenhouse gases … $1.20/ton Economic issues … So … We must address biomass removal in fire-prone forests Energy is the opportunity to use biomass Important connections to the Forest Products Industry Constrained by economic reality The Business of Biomass Removals #1: You need a market Feedstock Specifications Size (max, min, range) Bark or no bark? Dirt content Moisture content Market interactions Montana #2: You need transport Maximize payload Reduced tare weight Lightweight bolsters Super singles Alloy frames What is a ton worth? Assume trucking is paid 0.20/ton-mi Multiply by total haul miles/yr $0.20/ton-mi * 50 mi/trip * 2.0 trips/day * 250 days = $5000/yr Stinger-steer Chip Van San Dimas Technology Development Center, US Forest Service Reloads Two-stage Site specific Containers Transport Analysis Transport Analysis FoRTS (www.srs.fs.usda.gov/forestops) BioSAT (www.BioSAT.net) Logistics Management www.trimbleforestryautomation.com Trucking ~100 ton-mi/gal Rail ~450 ton-mi/gal Ocean ~1000 ton-mi/gal Alaska Carbon Footprint Trucking Chipping Felling and Skidding #3: Stump to roadside Forest residue collection Integrated harvesting systems Energywood harvesting Roadside Chipping New Chippers Integrated Biomass Integrated Functions Felling Extraction Processing Mississippi Pick Up Sticks Square Bales www.forestconcepts.com 32 x 64 x 48—1600 lbs Understory Harvesting Mulch and Bale www.fldbiomass.com Stump Harvesting Smallwood Logging Multi-function Machines New Equipment Integrating biomass recovery Adapting to feedstock requirements Finding specialized systems to work in different places But—Can You Make Money Doing It? Selection Pressures Natural selection “Survival of the fittest” Selection pressures Loss of markets Tight rates, rising costs of operation Labor availability Increasing constraints on operations Social license New products New prescriptions Strategies for survival Specialization Migration Adaptation Mutation Specialization Avoid competition by being the only one in the niche Tightly defined niche Significant barrier to entry—special equipment, special skills, higher cost Underwater logging Animal Logging Contractors Small-scale logging Urban Logging Low-impact logging Specialization Opportunities Small tracts Urban wood and salvage Unique landowner values Difficult to access tracts Specialty fiber markets Specialization Considerations Limited competition Focus is on the capability not cost Opportunity to price work at premium Your costs may be higher ($/ton) Non-monetary incentives/drivers Security of the niche? Migration Heading to greener pastures Opportunities Cautions: Local conditions may not be any better Make sure the problem isn’t you Adaptation Reactive “How do I …” Competition within the bigger niche Adaptation –competitive edge “If there was another logger working in the same area with the same mix of equipment, which of you would take home more money at the end of the month? Which of you would still be in business in a year?” Efficiency A measure of how much output you get from a set of inputs Labor $ 20MBF Production Level $1000 Production Frontier $2000 Eqpt $ High Capital Efficiency Use depreciated equipment Substitute labor costs Better maintenance programs Fully utilize capacity Right-sized operations Preferred suppliers Know your costs Adaptation Changing productive capacity (losing eqpt and/or people) Finding alternative utilization opportunties Fine-tuning operations Balancing systems Planning Transport efficiency Changing the type of equipment Mutation Proactive “What if I …” Trial change to see if there is an edge Somewhat random Benefits may not be immediately obvious What if …chipper/harvester What if … What if … The “Beast” What if …? What if … Evolution and Survival Specialize Migrate Adapt to changes as they happen Mutate into new approaches There will be survivors … Be willing to change Be forward-thinking about the niche Seek efficiency Don’t overspecialize Warnings from Darwin Questions?