The Selfie and How We Go From Students as Consumers to Students as Creators http://polls.bb/2376 Dan Peters @danspeters dan.peters@blackboard.com 19 March 2014 A photograph that one has taken of oneself, typically one taken with a smartphone or webcam and uploaded to a social media website Oxford Dictionaries 2013 word of the year 2013 Word of the year in Sweden, Belgium, Holland Självporträtt publicerat i sociala medier. 2013 Den bild som skapas när vi fotograferar oss själva med våra mobiltelefoner kallas just så – selfie. Det är en lek med engelskans ord för den egna identiteten. Dagens Nyheter 18 maj 2013 [även egobild och självis förekommer i samma betydelse] Two Hats? (revisited) 4 5 • Video of DVP typing 6 7 8 9 10 13 14 Some Meanings of the Selfie • A symptom of media driven narcissism • A new way not only of representing ourselves to others, but of communicating with one another through images • Traditional portraits are meant to portray some sense of permanence but selfies are representative of the moment and fleeting in nature • An empowering form of self-creation that puts everyone in a position of celebrity 15 How Does This Relate to Education? The selfie is the coming together of trends in mobile, Internet, social networks, and individualism that already affect us greatly… Trends in education are a reflection (often delayed) of overall trends in society Technology Makes People Antisocial MMORPGs vs. MOOCs • • • • Quests vs. Projects Guilds vs. Groups Powers vs. Skills Quality? World of Warcraft took 5 years to develop. We are less than 3 years from Sebastian Thrun’s MOOC that popularized the xMOOC format 3D Printing Consumer Driven Computing Models • 89% of colleges and universities in the US and UK support Bring Your Own Device (BYOD) • 79% deploy mobile apps Bradford Networks 2013. Campus Computing 2013 We can predict future educational trends by observing current societal trends Prediction – Bayes Theorem Prior Probability Initial Estimate of likelihood of plane hitting Manhattan skyscraper in terrorist attack x 0.005% Probability of plane hitting if terrorists are attacking Manhattan skyscrapers y 100% Probability of plane hitting by accident z 0.008% New Event Posterior Probability Revised estimate of probability of terror attack given first plane hitting xy xy + z(1- x) 38% Nate Silver’s World Trade Center Example Silver, Nate (2012-09-27). The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't Prediction Prior Probability Revised Prior Estimate of likelihood of terror attack given first plane hitting x 38% Probability of plane hitting if terrorists are attacking Manhattan skyscrapers y 100% Probability of plane hitting by accident z 0.008% xy xy + z(1- x) 99.99% New Event Posterior Probability Revised estimate of probability of terror attack given second plane hitting Nate Silver’s World Trade Center Example Silver, Nate (2012-09-27). The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't 3-5 Year Trend Rise of DataDriven Learning and Assessment NMC Horizon Report 2014 The Swedish Tabellverket in 1749 is thought to be the first data collection exercise using demographic and economic data to inform policy decisions The Key Questions of Analytics Past Present Future Information Reports & Descriptions Alerting Extrapolation Insight Key Questions Positioning Models & Explanations Recommendations Prediction T. 29H. Davenport, J. G. Harris, and R. Morison, Analytics at Work: Smarter Decisions, Better Results. Harvard Business Press, 2010. Data Mining and Artificial Intelligence Past Present Future Information Reports & Descriptions Alerting Extrapolation Insight Key Questions Positioning Models & Explanations Recommendations Prediction • Generally concerned with patterns • Examples: shopping basket analysis, insurance fraud T. 30H. Davenport, J. G. Harris, and R. Morison, Analytics at Work: Smarter Decisions, Better Results. Harvard Business Press, 2010. Business Intelligence Past Present Future Information Reports & Descriptions Alerting Extrapolation Insight Key Questions Positioning Models & Explanations Recommendations Prediction • Allows users to combine and visualize data from a range of sources. • Often dashboards and reports focus on key performance indicators in a form suited to continuous monitoring. T. 31H. Davenport, J. G. Harris, and R. Morison, Analytics at Work: Smarter Decisions, Better Results. Harvard Business Press, 2010. Data Mining in Education How MOOC video production affects student engagement • Analysis of 862 videos viewed 6,900,000 times by 128,000 students Conclusions • Shorter videos are much more engaging. Engagement drops sharply after 6 minutes. • Videos that intersperse an instructor’s talking head with PowerPoint slides are more engaging than showing only slides. • Videos produced with a more personal feel could be more engaging than high-fidelity studio recordings. • Khan-style tablet drawing tutorials are more engaging than PowerPoint slides or code screencasts. • Even high-quality prerecorded classroom lectures are not as engaging when chopped up into short segments for a MOOC. • Videos where instructors speak fairly fast and with high enthusiasm are more engaging. • Students engage differently with lecture and tutorial videos. Philip J. Guo, Juho Kim, Rob Rubin How Video Production Affects Student Engagement: An Empirical Study of MOOC Videos. 2014 32 Data Mining Selfies “The idea was to confront the generalizations about selfies, which are not based on data, with actual data. We wanted to look at what the actual patterns are.” • • • • Analysis of selfies from New York City, Berlin, Bangkok, Moscow, and Sao Paolo between 4 December and 12 December 2013 Women take more selfies than men, particularly in Moscow where 80 percent of the selfies are from women. The trend reverses after approximately age 40 when men are more likely to take and post selfies on Instagram than women. Women are more likely to tilt their heads in photos, with the average amount of head tilt in women being 150 percent higher than in men. And in Sao Paulo, on average women tilt their heads to 16.9 degrees whereas in NYC, women only tilt their head to 11 degrees. According to Selfiecity’s mood analysis, people in Bangkok and Sao Paulo appear to be happier than people in Moscow. Or at least they smile more in their selfies. http://selfiecity.net 33 3-5 Year Trend “The relative immaturity of the education sector…and the absence of data at the scale typical of much-publicised commercial-sector applications of data mining (e.g. ebay, Amazon) suggests that a period of experimentation within the sector would be more appropriate than adoption as a core business tool” 3-5 Year Trend Shift from Students as Consumers to Students as Creators CHANGE IS BEING DRIVEN BY THE CONSUMER ? Some Drivers for Change (UK HE) • Institutional reputation – National Student Survey • Learners as consumers – value for money • Increased competition among course providers – flexible provision • Generational changes in educational and social expectations / experiences • And a lot more…….. Curriculum Documentation Focus on outputs: • Learning outcomes • Assessment criteria • Reading lists • Timetable • Plus supporting narrative Provides an overall framework but doesn’t capture the “essence” of a course for a learner. Essence (for the learner) – can be OR Focusing On That Essence “My job now is to get kids excited and give them the tools to be able to access the knowledge to be able create, to be able to analyze, to be able to compare and contrast, to be able to synthesize and to be able to design new things out of the learning that they’re able to access via a touch of a button” Students as Change Agents • Students change agents act as the “innovators” in the Diffusion of Innovations model • Student developers are used at many institutions to create apps in agile approaches to change – if it’s becoming easier to make bad predictions it needs to be easier to correct them “There is a subtle, but extremely important, difference between an institution that ‘listens’ to students and responds accordingly, and an institution that gives students the opportunity to explore areas that they believe to be significant, to recommend solutions and to bring about the required changes.” 41 Dunne in Foreword to Dunne and Zandstra, 2011, 4 Makerspaces Tell me, I’ll forget Show me, I’ll remember Involve me, I’ll understand • Makers work with a variety of media on projects of their own creation • All students can learn by doing and making • Stanford Transformative Learning Technologies Lab initiative to create open source makerspace curriculum http://fablearn.stanford.edu/2013/uncategorized/fablearn-fellows/ 42 FabLab Example Back to Selfies… • “Making” should always have been the goal of our education systems • Selfies are a symptom of the desire to produce rather than consume • What do we do to help our students be producers? Thank You Dan Peters @danspeters dan.peters@blackboard.com 19 March 2014