Big Data for Official Statistics*
Herman Smith
UNSD
10 th Meeting of the Advisory Expert
Group on National Accounts
13-15 April 2016, Paris
* Prepared by Ronald Jansen, UNSD
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o o o
Availability of automatically generated data in electronic format, such as mobile phone, social media, electronic commercial transactions, sensor networks, smart meters, GPS tracking device, or satellite images
Higher frequency, more granularity, wider coverage, lower cost for data collection
Modernisation of statistical production and services
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Big Data for core national statistics – for integrated economic, social and environmental policies
Big Data for agile statistics – for emergency issues
Big Data to keep official statistics relevant – private sector moves fast
Big Data as part of modernization of statistical
systems – new production processes and partnerships
Big Data to meet the data demand of the 2030
agenda – monitoring policies – “leave no one bend”
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Benefits – Example of Social media data o o
Widespread use of social media, also in developing countries
Timely, high frequency and wide coverage o o
Great potential in tracking sentiments , such as consumer confidence
Potential use for tracking prices and outbreak of diseases, and useful in combination with other data, such as population census and geo-spatial data
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Examples 1:
Telenor Big Data project on Poverty prediction (SDG 1)
Among the major mobile operators in the world
Approaching 200 million mobile subscriptions
(e.g. in Bangladesh, India, Pakistan, Myanmar and
Thailand)
33 000 employees
Present in markets with 1.6 billion people
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A team of 9 Data scientists
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Collaboration partners at leading academic research institutions
• Bridge between academic research and all business units
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Explore and develop new ways to utilize customer data across markets
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Billions of data points collected each day
A number - Caller
Date & time
B number –
Receiving party
Type: Call, SMS,
Data, etc
Cell_ID: Location
Data volume
IMSI: SIM card
TAC: Handset
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Survey data
• Telco surveys
• DHS
• PPI
Mobile phone data
• Basic phone usage
• Advanced phone usage
• Social Network
• Mobility
• Top-up
• Revenue
• Handset
PREDICTION
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Satellite layers
Population
Aridity index
Evapotranspiration
Various animal densities
Night time lights
Elevation
Vegetation
Distance to roads/waterways
Urban/Rural
Land cover
Pregnancy data
Births
Ethnicity
Precipitation
Annual temperature
Global human settlement layer
• # poor per km 2
• Prediction maps
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Introducing mobile phone data in
Poverty prediction
Poverty Prediction map
Methods
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Spatial prediction
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Bayesian geostatistical modelling
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Prediction maps
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Individual classification using machine learning methods
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RF
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GBM
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SVM
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Deep learning
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October 2015
BIG DATA and Monitoring
SDG 16 in Tunisia?
SOCIAL MEDIA as a BIG data source
Kamel ABDELLAOUI,
Direction de la diffusion , INS- Tunisie
Eduardo López-Mancisidor,
Programme des Nations Unies pour le développement - Tunisie
Analyzing Social media for SDG 16: Why?
Could social media data provide similar or new insights on public opinion to potentially complement or substitute household survey data?
Social media, WHY?
Internet users in Tunisia (in thousands)
6 000
5 000
Free, public, easy access
No privacy issues
Express opinion
4 000
3 000
2 000
Opinions in here
1 000
0
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Analyzing Social media for SDG 16: How?
Selecting sources
Taxonomy of keywords
Categ orising
Training
Exploring Analysing
Comparing Exporting
Analyzing Social media for SDG 16: Outputs
Volume
Data Sources
Sentiment
Word Cluster
Word Cloud
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What can be gained from linking the
SBR with Geo-spatial Information?
Cross-sectional views of enterprise characteristics by (sub-national) regions:
• Are there regional patterns of economic activity?
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• Are larger enterprises equally spread over the country?
Is FDI equally spread over the country?
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Statistics Canada – Geolocation of SBR data
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To study the potential of conducting economic analysis of small geographic areas by using Business Register (BR) microdata
Using BR data geocoded at the census subdivision
(CSD) level, in combination with travel distance data generated from the Google Maps API
The identification of resource sectors is based on the aggregation of business data at the CSD level from the BR
A database was created, containing: o
BR employment data, derived from payroll deduction files o o
BR revenue data, derived from the General Index of Financial
Information, and the six-digit North American Industrial Classification System
(NAICS) code from the Business Register.
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Statistics Canada – employment by community & economic activity
11/04/2020 United Nations Statistics Division
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United Nations Global Working Group on Big Data for Official Statistics o Created in March 2014 o 32 Members –
22 Countries and 10 International Agencies
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Global survey on Big Data Projects
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Global survey on Big Data Projects
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Telenor Research http://www.telenor.com/media/press-releases/2015/telenor-research-deploys-big-dataagainst-dengue/
Mexico - Business Register on Google Earth http://www3.inegi.org.mx/sistemas/mapa/denue/default.aspx
Geo-location of Business Register https://www.unece.org/fileadmin/DAM/stats/documents/ece/ces/ge.42/2015/Session_III_Can ada_-_Geolocation_of_BR_data__room_document_.pdf
Global Survey on Big Data http://unstats.un.org/unsd/trade/events/2015/abudhabi/presentations/day1/04/UNSD%20-
%20Global%20Survey%20on%20Big%20Data.pdf
Big Data Quality Framework http://unstats.un.org/unsd/trade/events/2015/abudhabi/presentations/day3/01/3_Quality_Fra mework_Righiv3.pdf
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United Nations Statistics Division http://unstats.un.org/unsd/ http://unstats.un.org/unsd/dnss/QualityNQAF/nqaf.aspx
United Nations Statistics Division/ Trade Statistics Branch http://unstats.un.org/unsd/trade/default.asp
United Nations Statistical Commission http://unstats.un.org/unsd/statcom/commission.htm
United Nations Global Working Group on Big Data for official statistics http://unstats.un.org/unsd/bigdata/ http://unstats.un.org/unsd/trade/events/2014/Beijing/default.asp
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/trade/events/2015/abudhabi/default.asp
United Nations General Assembly Resolutions http://www.un.org/en/ga/70/resolutions.shtml
United Nations History Publications http://www.unhistory.org/publications/
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United Nations Sustainable Development https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/ https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/topics
United Nations Global Pulse http://www.unglobalpulse.org/
Project 8 http://demandinstitute.org/projects/project-8/
United Nations Data Revolution http://www.undatarevolution.org/
United Nations Statistics Division / SDG indicators http://unstats.un.org/sdgs/
United Nations Statistics Division/ Modernization of Statistical Systems http://unstats.un.org/unsd/nationalaccount/workshops/2015/NewYork/lod.asp
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United Nations Global Pulse http://www.unglobalpulse.org/
World Pop http://www.worldpop.org.uk/
Data Pop http://datapopalliance.org/
Flowminder http://www.flowminder.org/
UNU-EHS http://ehs.unu.edu/
Future Earth http://www.futureearth.org/
UProject http://ureport.ug/
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