Exports and Imports in the Philippine System of National Accounts (PSNA) Presented by Mark Rex S. Romaraog Statistical Coordination Officer IV National Statistical Coordination Board International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach 25-27 April 2011, Shenzhen, China International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD MRSRomaraog/25-27 April 2011 Outline of the Presentation I. Introduction II. Exports and Imports in the PSNA A. Scope and Coverage B. Sources of Basic Data C. Estimation Methodology D. Some Statistics 2 International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD MRSRomaraog/25-27 April 2011 I. Introduction 1. About the Philippine Statistical System (PSS) • The PSS is a decentralized statistical system • Many government agencies generate statistics National Statistics Office Bureau of Agricultural Statistics Bureau of Labor & Employment Statistics Central Bank of the Philippines Other government agencies • Need for a coordinating agency – the National Statistical Coordination Board International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD MRSRomaraog/25-27 April 2011 I. Introduction 1. About the Philippine Statistical System (PSS) Executive Order (EO) 121 – January 30, 1987 Reorganizing the Philippine Statistical System and for Other Purposes • Created the National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB) as the highest policy-making and coordinating body on statistical matters in the country International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD MRSRomaraog/25-27 April 2011 I. Introduction 2. About the Philippine National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB) Our Services • Coordination services Inter-agency concerns Survey review system Designation of statistics Subnational statistical system (10 out of 17 regions have regional offices) • Online statistical service - http://www.nscb.gov.ph • National Statistical Information Center – a one-stop shop of statistical information in the Philippine Statistical System International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD MRSRomaraog/25-27 April 2011 I. Introduction 2. About the Philippine National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB) Some of Our Products • Statistical Policies • Official Poverty Statistics Poverty Threshold Poverty Incidence • Environmental Accounts • Philippine Statistical Yearbook, Regional Social and Economic Trends, Countryside in Figures • National Accounts of the Philippines GDP, GNP, Income and Outlay Accounts, Regional Accts, Input-Outputs Tables, Satellite Accounts International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD MRSRomaraog/25-27 April 2011 I. Introduction 3. Compiling the PSNA The compilation of the PSNA is a mandate under EO 121 (Reorganizing and Strengthening of the Philippine Statistical System (PSS) and for other purposes) and is a designated activity under EO 352 (Designation of Statistical Activities that will Generate Critical Data for Decision-Making of the Government and Private Sector) as one of the functions of the National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB). International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD MRSRomaraog/25-27 April 2011 I. Introduction 3. Compiling the PSNA Measurement of GDP Three approaches in GDP Measurement 1. Income Approach, GDP (I) 2. Production Approach, GDP (P) 3. Expenditure Approach, GDP (E) Currently GDP is 1985-based and a new base year (2000) will be released in May 2011 International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD MRSRomaraog/25-27 April 2011 I. Introduction 3. Compiling the PSNA Income Frequency of Estimation Annual Geographic Coverage National Schedule of Releases June Production Quarter Annual Expenditure Quarter Annual National National/ Regional National National/ Regional May (Q1), Aug (Q2), Nov (Q3) & Jan (Q4) May (Q1), Aug (Q2), Nov (Q3) & Jan (Q4) Nat: Jan & May Reg: July Nat: Jan & May Reg: June International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD MRSRomaraog/25-27 April 2011 II. Exports and Imports in the PSNA GDP by Type of Expenditure: 2009 at Constant Prices 100.0% 80.0% 80.5% 60.0% 40.0% 31.6% 20.0% 8.8% 8.5% 7.3% 7.1% 1.2% 0.0% -0.3% -3.3% -20.0% -40.0% -40.1% -60.0% PCE EOG CNS EOS DEQ GCE BSOD CIS IOS IOG International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD MRSRomaraog/25-27 April 2011 II. Exports and Imports in the PSNA Scope and Coverage Exports and imports of goods and services consist mainly of transactions between the residents of a given country and the rest of the world These transactions are categorized into: 1. Goods 2. Services International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD MRSRomaraog/25-27 April 2011 II. Exports and Imports in the PSNA Scope and Coverage 1. Goods Exports Imports Monetization of Gold Merchandise Exports Merchandise Imports - 22 Principal Merchandise Exports - 15 Principal Merchandise Imports - Others - Others - Imports on Consignment International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD MRSRomaraog/25-27 April 2011 II. Exports and Imports in the PSNA Scope and Coverage 2. Services Exports Imports Transportation Transportation Insurance Insurance Travel Travel Government Government Miscellaneous Services Miscellaneous Services International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD MRSRomaraog/25-27 April 2011 II. Exports and Imports in the PSNA Sources of Basic Data Exports Goods Foreign Trade Statistics (Philippine National Statistics Office(NSO)) Imports Foreign Trade Statistics (Philippine National Statistics Office(NSO)) Balance of Payment (Central Bank of the Philippines(BSP)) Services Balance of Payment (Central Bank of the Philippines(BSP)) Balance of Payment (Central Bank of the Philippines(BSP)) Visitors Sample Survey Travel Tax (Philippine (Department of Tourism Authority Tourism (DOT)) (PTA)) International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD MRSRomaraog/25-27 April 2011 II. Exports and Imports in the PSNA Estimation Methodology 1. Goods At Current Prices EXPORTS NSO FTS IMPORTS Cost, Insurance & Freight (CIF) In USD Free on Board (FOB) In USD Midpoint PesoDollar Exchange Rate Free on Board (FOB) In Php Cost, Insurance & Freight (CIF) In Php FTS are adjusted for national accounts purposes by deducting (i) replacements and goods returned to the country when exported/imported (ii) articles temporarily exported/imported, and (iii) replacements and goods returned to the country when imported/exported Monetization of Gold is estimated using BOP data from the BSP International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD MRSRomaraog/25-27 April 2011 II. Exports and Imports in the PSNA Estimation Methodology 1. Goods At Constant Prices Exports Deflation method using the corresponding export unit value index as computed in the FTS Imports Deflation method using the corresponding import unit value index as computed in the FTS International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD MRSRomaraog/25-27 April 2011 II. Exports and Imports in the PSNA Estimation Methodology 1. Services At Current Prices EXPORTS BSP BOP IMPORTS Imports Service Item In USD Exports Service Item In USD Midpoint PesoDollar Exchange Rate Exports Service Item In Php Imports Service Item In Php Exports of Travel Services are estimated using the data on tourist receipts from the Department of Tourism (DOT) Imports of Travel Services are derived from constant using the data on Travel Tax Payment from the Philippine Tourism Authority (PTA) International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD MRSRomaraog/25-27 April 2011 II. Exports and Imports in the PSNA Estimation Methodology 1. Services At Constant Prices Exports Deflation method using relevant price index (CPI and WPI) Imports Deflation method using the weighted average CPI of selected trading partners of the Philippines adjusted for relevant exchange rates. International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD MRSRomaraog/25-27 April 2011 II. Exports and Imports in the PSNA Some Statistics 100% 90% Exports and Imports Percent Distribution At Constant Prices: 2009 7.7% 21.1% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 92.3% 78.9% 30% 20% 10% 0% Exports Goods Services Imports International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD MRSRomaraog/25-27 April 2011 II. Exports and Imports in the PSNA Some Statistics Top 5 Principal Exported Goods At Constant Prices: 2009 14.0% 12.0% 11.5% 11.2% 10.0% 8.0% 6.7% 6.0% 4.0% 2.5% 2.0% 1.6% 0.0% Semiconductors and Electronic Microcircuits Finished Electrical Machinery Garments Crude Coconut Oil Cathodes & Section of Cathodes, of Refined Copper International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD MRSRomaraog/25-27 April 2011 II. Exports and Imports in the PSNA Some Statistics Top 5 Principal Imported Goods At Constant Prices: 2009 18.0% 16.0% 15.8% 14.0% 12.0% 9.8% 10.0% 9.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.1% 4.0% 3.4% 2.0% 0.0% Electrical Machinery, Apparatus and Appliances Mineral Fuels, Lubricants and Related Materials Machinery Other Than Electrical Machinery Cereals and Cereal Products Chemical Elements and Compounds International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD MRSRomaraog/25-27 April 2011 II. Exports and Imports in the PSNA Some Statistics Exports and Imports of Services Percent Distribution At Constant Prices: 2009 60.0% 53.6% 50.0% 40.0% 39.7% 34.0% 33.9% 30.0% 21.2% 20.0% 10.4% 10.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% Miscellaneous services Travel Transportation Exports Government Insurance Imports International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD MRSRomaraog/25-27 April 2011 REFERENCES • NSCB, Philippines, Manual on the Philippine System of National Accounts: Framework, Sources and Methods • NSCB, Philippines, various National Accounts presentations • NSCB Websites • NSCB, Philippines, National Accounts Publication 23 International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD MRSRomaraog/25-27 April 2011 Maraming Salamat po! URL: http://www.nscb.gov.ph e-mail: info@nscb.gov.ph 24 International Workshop on Measuring GDP by Final Demand Approach NATIONAL STATISTICAL COORDINATION BOARD MRSRomaraog/25-27 April 2011