Current Observational Constraints on Dark Energy Chicago, December 2001 Wendy Freedman Carnegie Observatories, Pasadena CA Current Observational / Experimental Questions • What is the nature of dark matter? • Is the universe accelerating? • What is the nature of dark energy? Current Evidence for Dark Energy 1. Two independent teams studying type Ia supernovae at high z: Riess et al. (1998); Perlmutter et al. (1999) 2. Flat universe (CMB anisotropies) +Low matter density (several independent measurements) = Missing energy component 0.7 = 1.0 – 0.3 Tests for Dark Energy •Evidence for acceleration (SNIa, SZ) • CMB anisotropies and W0 = 1 PLUS Matter density estimates: Wm ~ 0.3, LSS • Weak lensing, strong lensing, galaxy counts, angular diameter (Alcock-Paczynski) tests • Direct measure of the expansion rate Dark Energy (Wx) • characterize by equation of state w = P(z) / r(z) • w = -1 for a cosmological constant • can be time dependent need observations over a range of redshifts Evidence for Acceleration •Riess et al. 1998 Perlmutter et al. 1999 Type Ia supernovae Advantages: • small dispersion • single objects (simpler than galaxies) • can be observed over wide z range Challenges: • dust (grey dust) • chemical composition • evolution • photometric calibration • environmental differences Wm = 0.3, WL=0.7 Evidence for Acceleration (cont’d) Perlmutter et al. 1999 Evidence for Acceleration (cont’d) • Riess et al. (2001) • NICMOS serendipitous SN 1997ff z = 1.7 Wm Current evidence: Galaxy kinematics Wm ~ 0.3 Cluster baryons • fb ~ 10-20% • Wb h2 = 0.02 • Wm ~ 0.3-0.4 X-ray gas Lensing Boomerang: Netterfield et al. (2001) W0 = 1.03 0.06 W0 DASI: Pryke et al. (2001) W0 = 1.04 0.06 •For same matter content, very different geometry allowed •CMB measurements give no information w(z) To break degeneracies: H0, galaxy power spectrum, weak lensing (Hu, Huterer, Turner) CMB and Supernovae • de Bernardis et al (2001) • Boomerang + SNIa • orthogonal constraints Wm = 0.31 WL = 0.71 0.13 0.11 Combining Constraints CMB & LSS SNIa Combined constraints Perlmutter, Turner & White Phys. Rev. Lett. (1999) • LSS & CMB constraints are orthogonal to supernova constraints • sample of ~ 50 supernovae • Peacock & Dodds power spectrum Huterer & Turner (2001) Constraining Quintessence Solid line: wq = -0.8 Dashed line: w = -1 A Challenge!!! Baccigalupi et al. 2001 Best fit: wq = -0.8 Wq = 0.72 Combining Constraints Combined maximum likelihood analysis: Wang et al. (2000) -1 < w < -0.6 Gravitational Lens Statistics Challenges: • Mass distribution of lenses (SIS) • Evolution dependence (merger rates not well constrained) • Extinction due to dust • Small number statistics Dev et al. (2001): • w < -0.04, Wm < 0.9 at 68%CL • If w = -1, Wm = 0.3 at 68%CL • w = -0.33, Wm = 0.0 BEST FIT Gravitational Lenses Wm=1.0 Wm=0.3,open Wm=0.3,flat N(z) versus z Predicted & observed Flat universe, Wm = 0.2 Fundamental plane for lens galaxies Cheng & Krauss (1998) Kochanek et al. (1999) Age Constraints • • H0t0 consistency check on acceleration not probe of w(z) 0.25 0.35 Wm Huterer & Turner (2001) H0r/H0t0 • H0 = 72 • t0 = 13 8 km/sec/Mpc (Freedman et al. 2001) 1.5 Gyr (Chaboyer 2001, Krauss 2000) H0 t0 = 0.93 0.15 w < -0.5 (Huterer & Turner 2001) The Future Direct Measure of the Expansion Rate Loeb (1998) : Lyman alpha clouds •~2 m/s/CENTURY! • not yet feasible Freedman (2001) No one said this would be easy… Challenges: Supernovae: • Evolution • Dust • Metallicity • Calibration • Environment • K-corrections Lensing Statistics: •Evolution (merging) •Dust extinction •Velocity dispersions •Model dependence •Numbers small Weak Lensing: •Seeing effects •Shear signal small •Intrinsic alignment •Instrumental noise •Crowding of galaxies •PSF anisotropy •Cosmic variance CMB anisotropies: •Many parameters •Strong degeneracies •No w(z) constraint No one said this would be easy… Challenges: Angular Diameters: (correlation functions) • Geometry • Small effect • Peculiar Velocities Age comparison: •Limits to H0 t0 •Model uncertainties (stellar evolution) •Zero point calibrations •Dust, metallicity •Cosmic variance •No w(z) information Number counts: •Counting statistics •Galaxy evolution •Infall •Velocity errors •Incompleteness •Modeling (N-body) •Cosmic variance Summary of Current Observational Constraints • Tantalizing evidence of acceleration in redshift range 0.5 < z < 1.0 • Perhaps first evidence of deceleration at z~1.7 • CMB anisotropies and W0 = 1 strong indication of missing energy component • Consistency checks from numerical simulations, galaxy power spectrum, age • w(z) not yet observationally constrained