1 Compilation of Energy Intensity Indicators Prepared for the 6th meeting of the Oslo Group on Energy Statistics Canberra, Australia 2-5 May 2011 Elisabeth Isaksen Division for Energy Statistics Statistics Norway elisabeth.isaksen@ssb.no 1 Link to IRES • Chapter in IRES: 11, C • Refer to the joint publication by IAEA, UNDESA, IEA, Eurostat and EEA (2005) – Social dimension – Economic dimension – Environmental dimension • Countries are encouraged to develop the list of indicators according to their policy concerns and data availability 2 Economic Dimension Sub-theme Energy indicator 1 Overall use Energy use per capita 2 Overall productivity Energy use per unit of GDP 3 Supply efficiency Efficiency of energy conversion and distribution 4 Production Reserves/Production Resources/Production 5 End Use Industrial energy intensity Agricultural energy intensity Service energy intensity Househould energy intensity Transport energy intensity 6 Diversification Fuel shared in energy and electricity Non-carbon energy share in energy and electricity Renewable energy share in energy and electricity 7 Prices End-use prices by fuel an sector 8 Security Net energy import dependency 3 Link to the ESCM • Chapter 7 • This chapter will provide details on country practice in compilation of various energy indicators including those for sustainable energy development (…) 4 Energy Indicators for Norway • The Division for Energy Statistics at Statistics Norway is currently working on a report on energy indicators for Norway from 1990-2009 • Focus: Energy intensity and energy efficiency • Goal of the report: – Present indicators that show the coherence between energy consumption and economic activity in Norway, and by this indicate if the energy consumption has become more or less efficient. 5 What is an energy indicator • Energy use • Main drivers behind energy use – – – – – – • GDP/value added (constant prices) Production value (constant prices) Population Passenger and freight transport Income (households) Residence and office buildings (heated floor area) Background indicators/Basic Statistics: Published regularly at most statistical offices Energy intensity indicators – Energy per production value, energy per value added, energy per man-hours, energy per passenger-km etc. 6 Why make indicators? • Why are indicators useful – Summarize information – Monitor trends • Why are energy indicators useful – Link energy use to relevant activity measures – Guide policymaking and strategic decisions – Predict future development in energy use Why is energy efficiency desirable: – – – – Reduce the energy consumption Reduce emission to air Reduce energy expenditures Increase self-sufficiency 7 Energy intensity vs. energy efficiency • • Energy intensity is not the same as energy efficiency • Energy intensity does not automatically say something about how efficient energy is used. The energy intensity of a country depends (among other things) on: Energy intensity is a measure of how much energy is used compared to a relevant activity measure (for instance GDP). – The structure of the economy (industry based, service based) – The climate (heating, cooling) – The landscape (long stretched, compact) Have to have this in mind when we compare indicators across countries • For a country’s economy the change in energy intensity from one period to another can be illustrated as: – ∆Energy intensity = ∆structure * ∆efficiency 8 What is a ‘good indicator’? • Clear goal – What is the indicator suppose to measure? – Does the indicator measure what it is supposed to measure? – Heterogeneity within a sector/industry/country need for different indicators or complementary indicators • Identify main users – Who will use the indicators? (authorities, the public, agencies) • User friendly – Easy to understand – Not too many indicators • International comparable – IEA, ODYSEE (EU), ESCM 9 Data sources - overview • Energy accounts – Total energy use, energy use for different sectors (SIC), energy use by fuel type • Energy balance – Energy use for transport purposes • National accounts – GDP in constant prices, Value added in constant prices, Production value in constant prices – Population, Income, households, persons pr households – Man-hours, Full-time equivalent • Other data sources – Floor area – Passenger-km travel, tonne-km freight, 10 (1) National Indicators • • • • Energy use per production value (constant prices) Energy use per GDP (constant prices) Energy use per capita Energy use per income 11 (1) National Energy Indicators (cont.) Energy use, Production Value and Energy use per production value. 1990-2009. Index 1990=1 2,50 2,00 Energy Use 1,50 Production Value (constant prices) 1,00 Energy use / Production Value (constant prices) 0,50 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 - 12 (2) Energy indicators by industries Manufacturing Service industry Primary industries Construction Energy Accounts (Industries by SIC) Energy producing industries Energy used for transport purposes Households (residential) Energy Balance/ Surveys 13 Manufacturing • • Energy use per production value (excl. and incl. energy used as feedstock) Energy use per physical unit produced (excl. and incl. energy used as feedstock) Energy use per production value. Excl. energy used as feedstock. 1990-2009 Basic metals 900 Basic chemicals 800 Pulp, paper and paper products 700 Food 600 500 Machinery, Repair, shipyard,oil plattforms 400 woodware 300 Refined petroleum, chemical and mineral products Other industry 200 100 Manufacuring TOTAL 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Average - Norwegian economy 14 Service sector Production value National accounts Employment National accounts Man-hours National accounts Floor area Survey on energy use in buildings in service sector Energy use per man-hours Energy use per floor area Challenges: – Combine energy use and floor area (new survey) – Secure comparable aggregates (EA and NA) Energy indicators for the service industry. Index 1990=1. 1990-2009 1,20 1,00 Energy use/ Production value Energy use/ man-hours 0,80 0,60 Energy use/employed 0,40 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 1997 1996 - 1995 – Climate adjusted energy use 0,20 1994 Improvement 1993 • Energy accounts 1992 • Energy use per employed Energy use 1991 • • • Energy use per production value in constant prices Data source 1990 • Variable 15 Primary industries & construction Energy use per production value Primary industries and construction. Energy use per production value. 19902009. Farming 1 000 900 800 700 600 Forestry Fishing Fish farming 500 400 Construction 300 200 100 - Average primary industries Average Norwegian economy 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 • 16 Energy producing industries Energy use (excl. flaring) per production value Energy use (excl. flaring) per physical unit Extraction of crude oil and natural gas. Energy use, production and energy intensities. Index 1990=1 2,50 Energy use (excl. Flaring) 2,00 Physical production 1,50 Production value 1,00 Indicator 1: Energy use/physical production 0,50 Indicator 2: energy use/production value Indicator 3: Energy use / value added - 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01 20 02 20 03 20 04 20 05 20 06 20 07 20 08 20 09 • • 17 Transport • Energy intensity – Energy use per passengerkm – Energy use per tonne-km • Challenges – Comparable aggregates. – Split energy into passanger and freight transport vs. weighted index of the two transport measures Variable Data source Energy use Energy Balance Passengem-km Division for transport statistics (survey, calculations ,++) Tonn-km Division for transport statistics (survey, calculations ,++) Energy use for transport purposes, passanger-km and tonnkm. 1990.2009. Index, 1990=1 2,50 2,00 1,50 1,00 0,50 1990 1995 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Passenger transport Freight transport Energy use for transport purposes 18 Households • Energy indicators – – – – Energy use per capita Energy use per household Energy use per income/consumption Energy use per (heated) floor area • Other – Appliance ownership – Effect of heat pump • Sources: Household survey (Energy accounts) • Important things to considerate – Temperature – Prices 19 Energy use - 3 different scenarios Development in energy use. 3 Different Scenarios. Index 1990=1 2,5 2 1,5 1 0,5 09 08 20 07 20 20 06 05 20 04 20 03 20 02 20 01 20 00 20 99 20 19 98 97 19 96 19 19 95 94 19 93 19 19 92 91 19 19 19 90 0 Energy use - Actual (1) Only allow changes in production value (2) Only allow changes in structure (3) Only allow changes in energy intensity 20 Decomposition Analysis • Can use a decomposition model to identify – The activity effect – The structure effect – The intensity (efficiency) effect • Methods available from different publications – IEA – ODYSEE (EU) – Country practice • Illustration of decomposition of the development in energy use for the whole economy (fictitious example) 25 % 18 % 20 % 15 % 10 % 5% 3% 0% -5 % Useful with a description of the methods in ESCM – Residual term? – Easy & ‘inaccurate’ vs. more complicated and ‘accurate’.? -3 % -10 % -10 % -15 % Actual change in energy use (1) Acitivy effect (2) Structure effect (3) Intensity effect 21 Challenges/improvements • Secure comparable aggregates for energy use and activity measures (production value, value added, man-hours, floor area) • Lack of good data sources on energy use in buildings – But lot of effort put into this area A new sample survey Energy labelling of buildings • Climate adjusted energy use • Moving average instead of annual numbers – Avoid the problem of one extreme basis year influencing the per cent change for the period as a whole 22 Work being done on energy indicators • IEA – Collection of country practice – Database – Publications • Eurostat – Publications • ODYSSEE – network – Database – Publications 23 Previous presentations on Energy Indicators by Oslo Group Members • Energy indicators: Objective, methods and results by Peter Dal, Denmark (Oslo, 2006) – http://og.ssb.no/ogmeetings/firstmeeting/agendafirstmeeting • Indicators for Sustainable Energy Development in Mexico by Roberto Lopez, Mexico (Oslo 2006) – http://og.ssb.no/ogmeetings/firstmeeting/agendafirstmeeting • Energy efficiency indicators by Chris Bryant, United Kingdom (Oslo 2006) – http://og.ssb.no/ogmeetings/firstmeeting/agendafirstmeeting • Monitoring Energy efficiency in Poland by Szymon Peryt, Poland presented (Delhi, India 2007) – http://og.ssb.no/escmmainpage/countrypractises/poland_new_delhi.ppt/file_view?portal_status_m essage=File%20changes%20saved. • Introduction to Energy Efficiency Indicators by Jean-Yves Garnier, IEA (Mexico, 2008) – http://unstats.un.org/unsd/energy/Workshops/mexico2008/Presentations/Session%207%20%20Energy-Efficiency-Indicators%20IEA.pdf 24 Thank you for your attention For more information about energy statistics in Norway, visit: http://www.ssb.no/english/subjects/01/03/10/energi_en/ 25