Agency on statistics under the President
of the Republic of Tajikistan
Training Workshop on the Compilation of Quarterly
National Accounts for Economic Cooperation
Organization Member Countries
Nasriddinov A.
Economist of the National Account department
Agency of the statistics under the President of
Republic of Tajikistan
8 – 11 March 2015 Tehran, Iran (Venue: Statistical Research and Training Centre of Iran)
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The introduction of SNA -93
With the transition of the Republic of
Tajikistan to the market economy emerged
historical due to the transition from the
balance of the national economy to the system
of national accounts to be used for the
reflection of macroeconomic processes in the
transition period of the republic to the socio -
oriented market economy
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The introduction of SNA -93
The practical implementation of System of
National Accounts in Tajikistan started in 19941995
The implementation of SNA -93 was spent in
statistics:
- with cooperation of the international
organization
- Statistical Committee of the Commonwealth of
Independent States, rendering the consultative and
methodical help in assimilation of SNA.
3
The introduction of SNA -93
The national accounts (NA) are compiled by the
Agency in line with SNA 1993 methodology by using data
collected
by
various
Agency
departments
and
administrative data submitted by other government
agencies, including National bank of Tajikistan (NBT) and
Ministry of finance (MF). The Agency produces all main
current accounts, some accounts for institutional sectors,
monthly – annual GDP, gross regional product GRP
(estimation)
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GDP calculated by three methods:
In Tajikistan GDP calculated
by three method:
 production
method
 expenditure method
 income method
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GDP calculated by three methods:
PRODUCTION METHOD – production of branches
of economy by statistical report, data of taxes and subsidies by
state budget of Ministry of Finance, the intermediate
consumption calculated by statistical reports which included
material expenditure.
EXPENDITURE METHOD - expenditure of
households estimated by goods streams and data of
household’s survey, expenditure of government on the basis of
state budget, fixed capital formation definite on the basis of
information of construction department, changes in inventories
complained by annual report of account balance of enterprises
and estimated by methodical calculation, export and import
estimated by data of external trade statistics and then
corrected with “Payment Balance” of National Bank.
INCOME METHOD - data of labor statistics and data
of state budget by taxes and subsidies.
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Currently in Tajikistan implemented calculations accounts
 Account
of goods and services
 Production
account
 Generation
of income account
 Allocation
of primary income account
 Secondary
distribution of income account
 Used
of disposable income account
 Capital
account
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Main data sources of National Account

Statistical information (annual and quarterly)

Data of state budget of Ministry of Finance

Selective services of branches of economy

Data of household survey

Data of Labour Force survey
Estimation of aggregates of SNA
 Production
side all aggregates
compiled in current and constant prices.
 Expenditure
side - all aggregates
compiled in current and constant prices.
 Constant
prices
–all
aggregates
calculated only in prices of previous
year
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Quarter GDP
AS start to produce QNA in 2008, with
technical support international expert
(Slovakia) in the framework SNSS project
(WB);
For calculation of QNA used
cumulative data and we made estimated
quarterly data, because in more statistics
areas we have not quarterly reporting forms
(agricultural, trade, services, construction etc.
10
Quarter GDP 2011 (est.)
mln. dollar
Output
Intermediate
consumption
Gross value
added
Taxes
GDP
QI
1563
762
801
157
958
Q II
2408
1175
1233
229
1462
Q III
3407
1705
1702
219
1921
Q IV
3764
1786
1978
204
2182
Total
11142
5427
5715
809
6524
11
Quarter GDP 2012
mln. dollar
Output
Intermediate
consumption
Gross value
added
Taxes
GDP
QI
1807
828
979
180
1158
Q II
2780
1319
1461
277
1738
Q III
4001
1935
2066
256
2322
Q IV
4145
1993
2151
217
2369
Total
12733
6075
6657
929
7587
12
Quarter GDP 2013
mln. dollar
Output
Intermediate
consumption
Gross value
added
Taxes
GDP
QI
2192
1036
1157
242
1399
Q II
3226
1502
1724
207
1931
Q III
3891
2272
1620
300
1920
Q IV
5177
2254
2923
333
3256
Total
14486
7063
7423
1083
8506
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The future plan is to do the following 1:
 strengthening
human capacity, skills and
knowledge in the of national accounts
department AS;
 Improved data on industry statistics, use of
quarterly price index to calculate the QNA;
 improvement of estimates of GDP at
constant prices;
 improvement of the quarterly calculations
simultaneously organization collecting
quarterly data in branch departments
agencies;
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The future plan is to do the following 2:
 improvement
of methods of measurement of the
output of the informal sector and illegal activities;
 improvement of calculation of consumption of
fixed capital;
 improvement in the method of calculation of
holding gains;
 improvement of calculation of FISIM;
 financial accounts;
 completion of the implementation of the SNA
1993 and phased transition to the SNA2008
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Conclusion
The very high turnover and weak capacity of the
personnel
require
that
their
practical
skills
are
strengthened in the compilation of national accounts, indepth methodological recommendations and directions
for improvement of further work.
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Conclusion
For this reason we need to prepare and teach
people on the one of the main sector of statistics –
National accounts.
The important issues also is to
Learn from
experience of other countries.
Also improvement of the quality of economic
statistics is important.
17
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www.stat.tj
E-mail office: stat@tajikistan.com
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THANK YOU FOR ATTENTION !
!‫با تشکر از توجه‬
İLGİNİZ İÇİN TEŞEKKÜR EDERİZ!
НАЗАРЛАРЫҢЫЗҒА РАХМЕТ
DİQQƏTİNİZƏ GÖRƏ TƏŞƏKKÜR
EDİRƏM
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