Integrated Economic Statistics Statistics Canada’s Experience Catherine Van Rompaey September 2013 Overview Integration in the Canadian SNA • Current program and its recent evolution • Recent and upcoming comprehensive revisions Statistics Canada’s business register Integrated Business Statistics Program (IBSP) Issues and challenges for the Canadian macroeconomic accounts Core macroeconomic accounts Annual (regional) • Provincial input-output accounts (supply-use) • Provincial economic accounts • Provincial GDP by industry Quarterly • National GDP income and expenditure based • Institutional sector accounts including financial account and balance sheet • Balance of payments Monthly • GDP by industry in real terms Provincial Input-Output Accounts IOFDC Input Table (473 x 235) Final Demand Table (473 x 278) + IOCC IOIC = Gross Output of Commoditie s Intermediate Inputs of Industries Gross Output of Industries + + Intermadiate Use of Primary Inputs (8 x 235) Final Use of Primary Inputs (8 x 235) + IOCC = IOCC Output Table (473 x 235) IOCC IOCC IOIC Outputs = Inputs Value-Added GDP by Industry = Total Inputs of Industries ExpenditureBased GDP = IncomeBased GDP Other programs and extensions Labour and multifactor productivity Environmental accounts • Flow accounts, natural resource stocks Satellite accounts • Tourism, Non profit sector, R&D, Culture Special studies and analyses • Experimental GDP by firm size, municipalities • Underground economy The Canadian SNA: recent evolution Mid 1980s • National SNA programs fully integrated Mid 1990s • Significant investments in provincial economic statistics to meet policy objectives, integrated regional accounts • Comprehensive historical revision SNA 1993 2012 • Comprehensive historical revision SNA 2008 Future • Ongoing targeted comprehensive revisions Comprehensive revision 2012 Quality • Compensation of employees, trade in commercial services, dividends in the household sector Classification systems • Sectors: NPISH, financial vs. nonfinancial, aboriginal government • Industries and products: introduction of NAPCS • Final demand: international trade, household expenditures Relevance • R&D and military capital, consumption of fixed capital, market value of equity Current and future agenda 2014/15 • GFS implementation , COFOG • Head office industry • FISIM and insurance • • Production account by sector Quarterly sectored natural resources wealth • Modernization of capital stock • • Actual final consumption BoP: improvements and convergence to standards • Interest and dividend flow matrix • Residential land and structures Longer term • Goods for processing and merchanting • Micro macro linkages for households • Pension liabilities • • Environmental liabilities Other changes in assets and revaluation accounts • Financial derivatives Statistics Canada’s Business Register Built and updated with a comprehensive universe of administrative data Use as survey frame but also statistical mechanism • For example: benchmarks for compensation of employees, operating surplus allocated by industry Improved via survey feedback Profiling of large complex units via Entreprise Portfolio Manager program Coverage : Sources of Information Primary source of information is the Business Number registration process Registration process in Canada Revenue Agency for all major taxation programs Unique identification number BR maintained with administrative data • 2.85 million simple businesses • 20 thousand complex businesses (Approx. 200,000 OEs) 10 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Legal Operating Entity Types • Corporations • • • • 11 Sole Proprietors Partnerships Government Institutions Trusts Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Recent Evolution Prior to 2008 January 2008 to December 2010 CFDB: New BRS: Corporations, Employers & GST Filers > 30K Corporations, Employers & GST Filers > 30K Sole Proprietors & GST Filers < 30K added January 2011 BRS: Corporations, Employers & GST Filers > 30K Sole Proprietors & GST Filers < 30K added Addition of Sole Proprietors with no BN Reporting Capabilities Organizational and accounting practices differ from business to business Properly identify the reportable data for each operating entity Define types of “Responsibility Centers” associated with data reported 13 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Responsibility Centres Investment Centre • Controls revenues, costs and investment funds Profit Centre • Measures the performance of a division, product line, geographical area, etc. Revenue Centre • Responsible for generating revenue Cost Centre • Production - Concerned with making a product • Support - Provides a service 14 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Statistical Indicators Standardized view of the operations for sampling purposes The information required for assigning statistical indicators is taken from the Responsibility Centers Four statistical indicators: Enterprise Company Establishment Location 15 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 BR Maintenance: Automatic Update Processes Administrative information made available at the BN level on a monthly basis 1. Strong base towards a complete coverage of the business population 2. Dimensions required to identified sub-populations for stratification 16 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Administrative data usage Tombstone information • • • • • • 17 Legal and Operating Names Business Address (***Geographical dimension) Legal Types Incorporation Information International Activity Codes Non-profit Codes Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Administrative data usage Other administrative information: • Activity Description • Business Account Status • Ownership relationships - Schedule 9 of Corporation Income Tax Program 18 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Administrative data usage Size values – Key indicators • GST Sales • Revenue, Expenses & Assets • Number of Employees & Salary & Wages 19 Statistics Canada • Statistique Canada 2016-07-23 Integration in economic surveys Statistics Canada previously had 58 business surveys in the Unified Entreprise Survey (UES) • Manufacturing, distributive trades, services Good practices : • Harmonization of content across economic surveys aligned to SNA needs • Use of tax information • Use of generalized systems for data processing Now going further with the new Integrated Business Statistics Program (IBSP) Objectives of the IBSP Simplify and modernize processes Improve timeliness Reduce response burden Realize efficiencies Reduce development and maintenance costs Features of the IBSP Implemented in phases across all survey programs: annual and sub annual Use of business register as central frame Multi-modal collection emphasizing electronic data reporting, active collection management Modular questionnaires with harmonized content Further integration of tax data as source for financial information Common approaches to survey estimation and processing, meta-data driven Integrating Surveys - Schedule Program Reference Year PHASE 1 PHASE 2 PHASE 3 Existing UES surveys (manufacturing, distributive trades and services) 2013 Capital Expenditure surveys (actual, preliminary and intentions) – 2 survey periods 2013 Energy surveys (13 annual, 2 quarterly and 7 monthly) 2014 Transportation surveys (Annual and quarterly Trucking Financial and Passenger Bus) 2014 RDCI (Research & Development in Canadian Industries) 2014 Agriculture surveys 2015 IOFD program (Enterprise Financial Statistics made up of 3 surveys - Quarterly Survey of Financial Statements, Annual Financial and Taxation Statistics and Survey of Suppliers of Business Financing) 2015 SNA input to survey programs Develop harmonized content that meets essential SNA requirements • Principal statistics and characteristic detail Analysis and feedback on data quality Collaborative work on program development Strategy for evaluating time series breaks due to statistical effects Improve SNA sector codes on BR Recent organizational changes facilitate collaboration, process flows mobility of staff Canadian SNA challenges Managing scope of comprehensive revisions across complex, integrated system Lack of flexibility due to fiscal requirements Maintaining time series continuity across the dimensions of the program Rethinking integration of historical estimates and revision policy Documentation and communicating changes to users Needed investments to maintain relevance (environmental accounts, G20 data gaps)