Data Requirements for National
Policy Needs in Turkish Economy
Ertan APAYDIN
MINISTRY of DEVELOPMENT
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
Contents
• Main Administrative Bodies in the Economy,
• Main Policy Documents,
• Statistics used in Policy Documents by theme,
• Data Requirements for National Policy Needs in Turkish
Economy.
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
Main Administrative Bodies in the
Economy and Policy Documents
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
Main Administrative Bodies
Main Bodies for Economic Policy Making and Coordination
Economic
Coordination Council
High Planning
Council
Money, Credit and
Coordination
Council
Chairman: Deputy Prime
Minister
Chairman: Prime
Minister
Chairman: Deputy
Prime Minister
-Minister of Finance,
-Minister of Science,
Industry and Trade
-Minister of Energy and
National Resources,
-Minister of
Development,
-Deputy Prime Minister
-Minister of Finance
-Minister of Economy
-Governor of CBRT
-Undersecretaries of
MoD, MoF, MoE
-Minister of Economy,
-Minister of Finance
-Minister of Science,
Industry and Trade
-Minister of Energy
and National
Resources,
-Minister of
Development,
-Minister of Economy,
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
Economic and
Social Council
Representatives of
-Public Institutions
-Employers
-Workers
-Chambers of
Occupation
-And other Civilian
Society Organizations
Main Policy Documents
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General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
Development Plan/Long Term Strategy
Medium Term
Program
Medium Term Fiscal
Plan
SSectoral-Thematic
SStrategies
IInstitutional
SStrategic Plans
Annual Program
BUDGET
NNational Program
PPre-Accession
Economic Pr.
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
Investment Program
Tenth Development Plan
(2014-2018)
- Five-year documents (non rolling),
- Five-year macroeconomic policies and targets,
- Guides all macroeconomic, sectoral and regional
policies and implementations,
- Sets the general framework of economic, social and
regional indicative targets,
- Based on findings of the committees formed by
representatives of universities, public institutions,
private sector and NGO’s,
- Prepared by MoD; approved by the Parliament.
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
Tenth Development Plan
2012
2013
Main Economic Indicators
GDP Growth (%)
GDP (Billions of Dollar)
GDP Per Capita (Dollar)
CPI (12 Monthly Changes)
2,2
786,3
10.504
6,2
4,0
850,5
11.183
5,3
2018
2014-2018
5,9
1.285,5
15.996
4,5
5,5
8,6
7,4
4,8
6,3
3,0
1,2
5,7
2,9
1,1
Production Factors (%)
Capital Stock
Employment
Total Factor Productivity
5,6
2,9
-1,1
5,2
4,2
-0,5
Labor Market
Labor Force Participation Rate
Employment (Millions of
Persons)
Employment Rate (%)
Unemployment Rate (%)
50,0
51,1
53,8
52,6
24,8
25,9
29,9
2,9
45,4
9,2
46,4
9,2
49,9
7,2
48,2
8,2
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
MEDIUM TERM PROGRAM (MTP)
(Law No. 5018 / Art.16)
- Sets priorities, macroeconomic policies, targets and
projections,
- 3-year documents (yearly rolling),
- Program based approach,
- Covers all public sector institutions,
- Consistent with the Development Plan,
- Prepared by MoD with the collaboration of MoF,
Treasury and CBRT in the light of views of public
institutions and NGO’s,
- Approved by the Council of Ministers.
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
MEDIUM TERM FISCAL PLAN (MTFP)
(Law No. 5018 / Art.16)
- Institutional budget appropriation proposal
-
ceilings ,
3-year documents (yearly rolling),
Based on Medium Term Program,
Prepared by MoF with the collaboration of MoD
and Treasury,
Approved by the High Planning Council.
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
ANNUAL PROGRAM
- Sets measures to implement the policies,
- Institutional responsibilities and timetable,
- Prepared by MoD,
- Approved by the Council of Ministers.
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BUDGET
- Rules regarding the implementation,
- Appropriations,
- Revenue estimations,
- Approved by the Parliament.
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General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
PUBLIC INVESTMENT PROGRAM
- Project based distribution of investment
-
appropriations,
Institutional distribution of investment
appropriations,
Covers whole public sector,
Indicates the total cost of all projects, as well as
individual projects,
Indicates the total amount appropriated up to
present of all projects.
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
Utilised and Required Statistics in
National level
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
Statistics Used in Policy Documents by Theme(1)
Development Plan
MTP
Annual Program
PEP
 National Accounts
 Foreign Trade and Factors Affecting the Foreign Trade
 Balance of Payment
 Public Balances
 Inflation, Price Statistics includes Agricultural Crop Prices
 Employment, Unemployment and Wages
 Population, Demography, Poverty Statistics
 Banking Sector Statistics (by BRSA) and Selected Monetary
Aggregates and Items in Central Bank Balance Sheet
 ICT Indicators
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General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
Statistics Used in Policy Documents by Theme(2)
Development Plan
MTP
Annual Program
PEP
 World Economic Indicators, Competitiveness Ranking,
Business Climate Indicators, Patent Statistics
 Purchasing Power Parity
 Public Investment
 Debt Stock
 Sectoral Detailed Statistics
 Education and Health Statistics
 Turkey’s Official Development Assistance
 Judicial Statistics
 Regional Statistics
 Social Assistance Expenditures
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General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
WHAT WE NEED?(1)
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
The Supply-Use and Input-Output Tables Of The Turkish Economy (1973,
1979, 1985,1990,1998,2002) No data since 2002
Gross Domestic Product by Income Approach, No data since 2006
GNDI,Public and private sector disposable income, MoD statistics
Public and private sector saving rates, MoD statistics
A decomposition of private saving by households and by firms,
Sectoral breakdown of private sector investments. MoD statistics-10
sectors
Greenfield FDI statistics,
Sectoral breakdown of private sector capital stock.
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General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
WHAT WE NEED?(2)
9. More detailed statistics, especially in national
account and labor force statistics,
10. More Back- Casted series.
11. More Seasonal and Calendar Adjusted Statistics
12. Harmonizing statistics between different data
producer institutions.
13. Because of data privacy policy, policy makers can
not reach some statistics.
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General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
THANK
YOU
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations
General Directorate of Annual Programs and Conjunctural Evaluations