Experiences of the 2010 Round of Population and Housing Censuses: A global Overview Margaret Mbogoni United Nations Statistics Division United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Summary Implementation of 2010 census round Country experiences o Census methodology o Enumeration methods o Use of technology o Methods of data dissemination o Collaboration among countries o Successes/achievements o Challenges experienced United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Surveys on country experience during 2010 round Mid-2011 and early 2012 UNSD and USCB conducted survey on country practices for 2010 censuses Objectives of the survey o Document early lessons learned from the 2010 round o Identify preliminary recommendations for the Statistical Commission to consider as planning begins on the 2020 World Programme on Population and Housing Censuses 2009-2010 UNSD survey United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Response to 2011/2012 survey by region 126 countries or areas responded to survey Geographical area Number of responding countries Africa 27 America North 18 America South 7 Asia 31 Europe 36 Oceania 7 United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Salient findings More countries undertaking a census in 2010 round than in 2000 round o 26 did not conduct a census for 2000 round o Only 7 countries with no information on plans for 2010 round o 25 countries rescheduled their censuses for 2010 round (20%) - Initially, 2010 was peak year for census taking for 2010 round - Due to postponements, 2011 became peak for the round Reasons for postponement include: o o o o Budgetary constraints Technical issues Lack of skilled staff Political situations United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Salient findings (contd.) As of 1 November 2012 o 192 countries already conducted census o Population enumerated = 6.1 billion representing 89% of world population Countries already conducted census 36 Population enumerated 7 192 Census conducted Census scheduled No census scheduled United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Salient findings (contd.) Changes in how countries conduct censuses o o o o Increase in use of alternative methodologies from 2000 round Use of multiple sources to generate census data Multi-mode enumeration methods Increased use of improved technology in all phases of census - Implementation of new technologies most cited successful aspect of census Reasons for changes: Reduce cost of census Improve quality of data Improve timeliness of dissemination of census results United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Main methodology for census In 2010 census round: Full field enumeration still dominant methodology for population and housing censuses (85%) Use of alternative methodologies o 10% use administrative registers o 5% use other methods mainly combinations Application of alternative methods not uniform across countries and needs careful documentation and study United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Main census Methodology by region Geographical area Full field enumeration Administrative registers Others Africa 27 100 America North 17 100 America South 7 100 Asia 26 87 2 7 2 7 Europe 22 61 10 28 4 11 Oceania 6 100 Total 105 85 12 10 6 5 United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Use of other sources of data Data source Total countries Administrative registers 33 26 Pre-existing administrative records 11 9 Annual or other regular surveys 22 17 Ad hoc sample surveys 19 15 Other 11 9 United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Use of multi-sources of data Data source Full field enum. Admin. registers Other Administrative registers 26 25 4 33 3 50 Pre-existing administrative records 7 7 2 17 2 33 Annual or other regular surveys 17 16 5 42 Ad hoc sample surveys 12 11 4 33 3 50 Other 9 9 2 17 United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Use of alternative methodologies No. % Used in 2000 and 2010 rounds 13 11 Used in 2010 round only 18 15 Cost and time savings perceived 29 81 Cost and time savings realized 16 73 Will use alternative next census 30 94 United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Enumeration methods Total Countries 126 100 Face-to-face interviewer, paper questionnaire 94 74.6 Face-to-face interviewer, electronic questionnaire 14 12.2 Telephone 14 11.1 Self-enumeration, paper questionnaire, collected by enumerators 30 23.8 Self-enumeration, paper questionnaire, return by mail 18 14.3 Self-enumeration, internet 33 26.2 Register-based enumeration 18 14.3 Pre-existing administrative records 8 6.3 Other 2 1.6 United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Use of technology during 2010round Internet Laptop computers Hand-held/pocket computers Tablet computers Geographical information systems (GIS) Computer-assisted coding Optical mark reading/recognition (OMR) Optical character reading/recognition (OCR) Other imaging techniques and scanner devices Other None of the above 50 31 10 4 75 57 38 49 44 25 6 43 26 9 3 64 49 32 42 38 21 5 United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Use of technology - Cartography Census cartography one of census domains that have benefited the most from technological innovations In 2010 census round: o 58% use digitized maps o 74% use GPS/GIS o 25% aerial photography o 24% satellite imagery Source: UNSD survey conducted in 2009-2010 United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Use of technology (contd.) Predicted cost or time savings by using new technology o Yes: 79 – 76% o No: 25 – 24% Realized cost or time savings by using new technology o Yes: 70 – 74% o No: 25 -26% United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Use of technology (contd.) Benefits of using new technology o o o o o Time savings - 62% Improved data quality - 57% Improved coverage - 37% Cost savings - 36% Increased participation/response rates – 23% Risks of using new technology o Increased cost – 29% Obstacles faced in use of new technology o o Staff resources/expertise – 52% Financial resources – 37% United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Contracting out use of technology Yes: 49% No: 51% Successes about contracting out use of technology o o o o o o Contract management ~ 23 – 18% Staying within scope ~28 - 22% Adhering to budget ~29 – 23% Adhering to schedule ~30 - 24% Improved census integration ~25 - 20% Other ~5 – 4% Challenges of contracting out use of technology o o o Contract management ~ 16 - 13% Adhering to schedule ~ 14 - 11% Adhering to budget ~ 13 - 10% United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Contracting out use of technology (contd.) More in-depth analysis of results on previous slide is needed to show successes and challenges by census methodology United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Data dissemination – primary method Primary method of data dissemination o o o Paper publications ~ 66 - 52% Static web pages (html, pdf, Excel) ~ 34 – 28% Interactive online databases ~ 17 - 14% Africa o o Paper publications – 88% Static web pages – 8% America North o o o Static web pages - 44% Paper publications – 31% CD-Rom/DVD – 19% United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Data dissemination – primary method America South o o o Interactive online databases – 43% Static web pages (29%) Paper publications, CD-Rom/DVD – 14% Asia o o Paper publications – 73% Static web pages – 23% Europe o o o Static web pages – 39% Interactive online databases – 36% Paper publications - 22% Oceania o o Paper publications - 67% Static web pages - 33% United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Collaboration among countries Areas in which collaborated with other countries Total o o o o Data dissemination - 27% Questionnaire design – 21% Alternative methodologies - 21% New technologies – 18% Africa o o o o Post enumeration survey (PES) – 30% Cartography - 26% Data dissemination – 22% Data analysis - 22% United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Collaboration among countries (contd.) Areas in which collaborated with other countries America North o o o Data capture – 39% Questionnaire design – 33% Data processing – 33% America South o Cartography, data processing, data analysis - 29% Asia o o Data dissemination - 26% New technologies, questionnaire design, data capture – 23% United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Collaboration among countries (contd.) Areas in which collaborated with other countries Europe o o o Data dissemination – 31% Alternative methodologies – 28% New technologies – 11% Oceania o o o Alternative meth., questionnaire design, data collection – 57% Cartography, data processing, data dissemination – 43% New technologies, data capture, data analysis – 29% United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Successes in 2010 round Implemented new technologies ~ 70 - 56% Met deadlines ~ 62 - 49% Kept within a budget ~ 59 - 47% Improved/maintained data quality ~ 58 - 46% Improved logistics and coordination ~ 56 - 44% Improved data dissemination ~ 50 - 40% Improved/maintained response/participation rates ~ 47 - 37% Implemented new methodologies ~ 46 – 37% Other ~ 21 - 17% United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Challenges during 2010 round Cost ~ 88 - 70% Timeliness ~ 56 - 44% Data quality ~ 43 - 42% Public perception ~ 46 - 37% Response rates ~ 45 - 36% Privacy ~ 37 - 29% United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Challenges for the 2010 round In spite of achievements during 2010 round, still challenges: Use of new technology (scanning, GIS, PDA) Financing for the census Lack of adequate skilled personnel Institution of annonymization procedures for dissemination of micro-data Census evaluation (both operation and data) Public concerns over privacy issues Enhancing statistical literacy of basic data users Implementing alternative approaches to traditional census Political situations United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea Thank You! United Nations International Seminar on Population and Housing Censuses: Beyond the 2010 Round 27 – 29 November 2012, Seoul, Republic of Korea