STATISTICS 200: SECTIONS 7- 9 (SPRING SEMESTER 2013) ELEMENTARY STATISTICS INSTRUCTOR: Name & Office Location: Patricia (Pat) Buchanan at 309 Thomas Office Hours: Thurs 3:00 – 4:50 PM & Phone: (814)-865-6266 Email: must send under Communicate tab in Angel (quick message option) –also will only respond to emails found inside Angel - usually do not check email after about 7:30 PM. TABLE 1: ROOMS & TIMES Section Lecture (Wed & Thurs) Section 1 101 Thomas 10:10 AM Section 2 101 Thomas 10:10 AM Section 3 101 Thomas 10:10 AM Computer Labs (Fri & Mon) 214 Boucke: 8:00 AM 111 Boucke: 10:10 AM 214 Boucke: 1:25 PM Required Materials: th Textbook: Mind on Statistics, 4 Edition, by Jessica Utts & Robert Heckard The publisher offers several options including a 3-hole punch loose leaf, hard cover, and electronic version. The Aplia code will only be needed for the electronic version. Instructor provides the code. th Find the best deal which may include a rental copy or sharing a copy. Must be 4 edition. International Version may have different problems. Copies available in the Physical and Mathematical Sciences (PAMS) & Pattee Libraries Iclicker (can use iclicker, iclicker+ and iclicker 2: (not web iclicker) need to have your “iclicker” correctly registered on Angel and in good working order (including good AAA batteries) by Wed Jan 23. A handout which will include both policy and procedures for iclicker use will be available at a future date prior to Wed Jan 23. TEACHING ASSISTANT (TA): will oversee most computer labs work with a team of graduate students who will hold shared office hours (25 hours/week). answer questions about grade calculations & respond to email sent inside Angel COURSE FORMAT: Lectures (Wed and Thurs) 1. PowerPoint slides: posted in advance by 5:00 PM on previous day - bring copy to lecture 2. On-line Lecture Quiz: posted to take after lecture prior to lab (does not count for a grade) Computer Labs (Fri & Mon): at scheduled time 1. Lab Activity handout posted in advance by 3:00 PM on previous day - bring copy to lab – encouraged to work on it in advance - bring lecture notes 2. complete “lab activities” either individually or in small groups – submit on-line quiz 3. include both concept application and data analysis where statistical software package: Minitab is used COURSE CALENDAR & WEEKLY AGENDA: Course Calendar: provides due dates for all exams, quizzes, and homework’s Weekly Agenda: includes readings and homework’s for the week COURSE WEB SITE (ANGEL): https://cms.psu.edu: On the Angel web site, you will find: Course: Syllabus, Calendar, Weekly Agenda’s, Grade Book, & Exam Study Guides Lab activity& Homework’s quizzes (also available at a later time for review) Power point slides (bring to lectures) & Lab activity handouts (bring to lab) Announcements & email correspondence (check Angel email daily during the week) 1 COURSE OVERVIEW: Welcome to Stat 200. In today’s world, we are seeing a major trend throughout both industry and government where decisions are data-driven. Statistics is a discipline dedicated to unraveling the mystery of making such decisions in the face of uncertainty. More precisely, statistics is the art and science of using sample data to make generalizations about populations. The objective of this course is to explore and apply basic statistical concepts and procedures that are used when analyzing data. What you should discover is that statistics is not just another math course. While you will be exposed to new terminology and concepts, much of the time you will use statistical software to solve problems that require quantitative solutions. You will not be inundated with repetitive calculations but instead will explore data with a context. Basic algebra is the only prerequisite. The second part of the course is more technical. Success in this course requires an ability to apply reasoning skills over memorization. Additionally you will need to integrate new material with previously-learned material. You are strongly encouraged to read newspapers where you can see how statistics can be applied to every-day life. COURSE GOALS: The two overarching goals are to: 1. explore the scientific method from a statistical perspective being able to identify questions, collect evidence, discover and apply tools needed to interpret the data, and communicate results. While you may never conduct a scientific study, it is still possible that you may encounter data or statistical results over the course of a career. 2. become good “statistical citizens be able to examine the information that you are inundated with, think critically about it, and use to make good decisions LEARNING GOALS: Be able to: 1. appropriately summarize data: both numerically and graphically 2. distinguish between population characteristics and sample information 3. understand the behavior of both distributions and sampling distributions 4. correctly apply procedures to make statistical inferences about population characteristics 5. identify the assumptions required for the validity of a statistical inference 6. recognize the strengths and limitations of both sampling methods and study designs 7. use computer software to find quantitative solutions when possible COURSE AGREEMENT: This syllabus serves as an agreement that begins on the first day of class & ends upon completion of the final exam. With this course, you need to: accept that: 1. this is an in-residence course – don’t disappear for days/weeks expecting to make-up work 2. final grades will: not be changed for purposes of maintaining financial aid and/or academic progress. (also not curved or rounded) - based on mastery of material (not on attendance or negotiations) 3. individual extra credit will not be allowed 4. during class only use cell phones for emergencies (no constant texting) 5. lab activities and LAQ’s must be completed during scheduled time (prepare in advance) 6. all exams, including the final, must be taken at the scheduled time (can’t take early) 7. your iclicker must be: correctly registered & properly working (including new batteries) use Angel: 1. with an acceptable browser and wired connection 2. to send email; under the “Quick Message” option (no response to emails received outside Angel) with polite and acceptable salutations and complete sentences 3. to regularly check: the grade book right after making a submission (can’t report problems days/weeks later) all posted materials and emails come to class: 1. at the scheduled start time, prepared to learn, willing to make the appropriate commitment, and being responsible for all provided information seek immediate help if having problems submit your own work – don’t just copy from other classmates sign up for exams and follow rules when using the computerized testing center 2 COURSE REQUIREMENTS Exams: (4 exams will be given/no drops) each will include 45 multiple choice questions take at Computerized Testing Center on scheduled date & time - 60 minutes some topics carry over from previous exams provided a piece of scratch paper at exam (bring your own pencil) – nothing else allowed must follow the testing center policies – failure to do so will results in a “0” for the exam - evidence can come from witnesses and/or security cameras Final Exam: selectively comprehensive (about 55 questions) – 75 minutes must take on scheduled date & time (posted on Elion - Mon Feb 11) same rules and procedures should be followed as found with exams Homework (HW): keep best 8 out of 9 scores* questions will come from the textbook. will be submitted inside Angel by a scheduled time and date (quiz format) – 30 minutes can take twice (best score will count) – will be open on Mon 2:30 PM – open for 31 hours can’t submit late and no adjustments for computer problems Lab Activity Quizzes (LAQ): keep best 20 out of 23 scores* taken inside Angel after completing each lab activity - 20 minutes consist of about 20 questions based on concepts covered in lectures and activities must take in 214 Boucke during scheduled lab time (one try) Clicker Points: total will updated three times during the semester detailed handout of policy and procedures will be posted by Wed Jan 23 questions will also be placed in a practice lecture quiz which will be available after lecture *Must check Angel grade book immediately after submission – not days later – Angel does not lose grades Pretest: Thurs Jan 10 - Fri Jan 18 (except weekend) take at the Computerized Testing Center (104 Pollock) – 30 minutes (sign up in advance) goal: acquaint you with the computerized testing center & provide instructor with background information with regard to statistical topics will receive 5 points extra credit for a complete submission (no-make-ups) Posttest: Thurs April 25 & Fri April 26 take at the Computerized Testing Center (104 Pollock) – 30 minutes 10 possible extra credit points ( one point for each correct answer) provides adjustments to off-set policies found with a large enrollment course. MAKE-UP POLICY: Lab Activity Quizzes & Homework Quizzes: no make-ups under most circumstances – the course is front-loaded with drops everyone will have to use one drop when sick, need to go to funeral, court, family issue. etc. extended illness/problems will be dealt with on an individual basis will be available for practice after all students have submitted class will be held: Thurs March 28, Fri Mar 29, and Mon April 1 (Easter Weekend) Exams: If you have University-related excuse or a religious conflict, you must talk to the instructor in person and provide documentation with appropriate letterhead and signatures prior to the exam for arrangements. Illnesses will be dealt with on an individual basis based. All exams will be available for review and practice after all students have submitted. STAT SHARED OFFICE HOURS (SOH): at 7B Sparks Times: TBA 3 PENN STATE Expectations include: practicing academic integrity owning individual responsibility for your academic progress maintaining social and personal responsibility respecting the dignity of everyone in the Penn State community ACADEMIC INTEGRITY: Academic integrity includes a commitment to not engage in or tolerate acts of falsification, misrepresentation or deception. Such acts of dishonesty violate the fundamental ethical principles of the Penn State community and compromise the worth of work completed by others. This course will follow the guidelines found under Academic Integrity (Section 49-20) of the University Faculty Senate Policies for Students. DISABILITY POLICY: “Penn State welcomes students with disabilities into the University's educational programs. If you have a disability-related need for reasonable academic adjustments in this course, contact the Office for Disability Services (ODS) at 814-863-1807 (V/TTY), at 116 Boucke. For further information regarding ODS, please visit the Office for Disability Services Web site at http://equity.psu.edu/ods/. In order to receive consideration for course accommodations, you must contact ODS and provide documentation (see the documentation guidelines at http://equity.psu.edu/ods/guidelines/documentation-guidelines). Homework’s and LAQ’s have already been adjusted to accommodate those who need additional time. TABLE 2: SUMMARY OF COURSE REQUIREMENTS Requirement Exams: Exam 1: Fri Feb 1 Exam 2: Fri Feb 22 Exam 3: Fri Mar 22 Exam 4: Fri April 19 Final Exam (must take during scheduled time) Lab Activity Quizzes (LAQ)** - keep best 20 of 23 Homework (HW)** - keep best 8 of 9 Clicker Scores (posted three times) Total Pts/Effort 115 Overall Pts 460 Overall Percent (%) 46% 170 10 15 ? 170 200 120 50 1000 17% 20% 12% 5% 100% FINAL GRADES: based on 1000 points. point ranges for final grades are found in Table 3. do not expect the grades to be curved (also cannot negotiate your grade). will not be rounded. For example, a point total of 929.99 will be assigned a grade of A- , while a point total of 699.99 will be assigned a grade of D. (Posttest adjusts for problems prior to the final exam) TABLE 3: POINT BOUNDARIES FOR FINAL GRADES Final Grade Minimum Points Needed* A 930 points A900 points B+ 870 points B 830 points B800 points C+ 770 points C 700 points D 600 points F 0 points GRADES IN ANGEL GRADE BOOK: based on points not percent’s ( select “grades” with Category under Repots) will appear as a “0” until the grade is recorded LETTERS OF RECOMMENDATION: Will only consider writing one for students who: get to know me through several interactions have final grade of at least a B 4 TABLE 4: CHAPTERS COVERED & CORRESPONDING TOPICS* Chapters Topics Chapter 1 (all sections) Overview of Statistics, Population, Sample, & Statistical Principles Chapter 2 (all sections) Descriptive Methods: (one quantitative) & (one categorical) variable Chapter 3: (all sections) Descriptive Methods: Regression & Correlation Chapter 4: Sections 4.1 – 4.4 Chi-square Procedure: 2X2 tables (also relative risk, etc) Chapter 5: Sections 5.2 Margin of error, polls, & corresponding confidence interval Chapter 6: Sections 6.1-6.3 Design of “Randomized Experiments” &” Observational Studies” Chapter 7: Sections 7.1- 7.2, 7.7 Probability Interpretation & Flawed Intuitive Judgments Chapter 8: Sections 8.1- 8.6 Random variables, Binomial distribution, & Normal distribution Chapter 9: Sections 9.1, 9.2, 9.6, 9.9 Sampling Distributions Chapter 10: (all sections) Confidence Intervals: Population Proportion(s) Chapter 11: Sections 11.1 – 11.5 Confidence Intervals: Population Mean(s) Chapter 12: Sections (all sections) Hypothesis Tests: Population Proportion(s) Chapter 13: Sections 13.1 – 13.6 Hypotheses Tests: Population Mean(s) Chapter 14: Sections 14.3 Hypothesis tests: Population Correlation (link to Population Slope) test Chapter 15: Sections 15.1 & 15.2 Chi-square Procedures: larger than 2X2 tables Chapter 16: Sections 16.1 & 16.2 One-Way ANOVA & briefly Two-Way ANOVA (no replication) Page 502 in textbook Nonparametrics *Not all chapters will be covered in the order found in the textbook. Course Disclaimer: The instructor will adhere to the provided course syllabus and calendar. However if something unexpected happens, such as bad weather where the university closes, adjustments will be made. Entire Course Calendar will be available by Mon Jan 21 Note: Slightly unusual schedule for first couple of weeks because of MLK holiday Course Calendar: Stat 200 Spring 2013: Sections 7- 9 (Through Exam 1) Wk Date Assignment Wed Jan 2 – Mon Jan 7 Background Survey 1 Mon Jan 7 Data Survey (Complete – Meet Your TA) 1 Wed Jan 8 Introductory Lecture 1 Thurs Jan10 No Lecture – Do assigned readings on your own – take Practice Lecture Quiz before lab on Fri 1 Fri Jan 11 Practice LAQ 1 Thurs Jan 10 – Fri Jan 18 PreTest (sign up to take at testing center) 2 Mon Jan 14 LAQ3 2 Wed Jan 16 Lecture 1 2 Thurs Jan 17 Lecture 2 2 Fri Jan 18 LAQ1 3 Mon Jan 21 MLK Day (No Class) 3 Mon Jan 21 – Wed Jan 23 LAQ2 (do on own) & HW1 3 Wed Jan 23 Lecture 3 (First Day Use Clickers) 3 Thurs Jan 24 Lecture 4 3 Fri Jan 25 LAQ4 4 Mon Jan 28 LAQ5 (HW2) 4 Wed Jan 30 Review 4 Thurs Jan 31 No Class – Instructor in office during class time 4 Fri Feb 1 Exam 1 (snow make-up day - Mon Feb 4) – no lab Best wishes for much success with this course. I look forward to working with you. PQB “When it comes to the future, there are three kinds of people: those who let it happen, those who make it happen, and those who wonder what happened.” - John M. Richardson 5