The Principles and Recommendations for Population and Housing Censuses – Major changes United Nations Statistics Division 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 World Programmes Timeline World programmes UN Statistical Commission on censuses Principles and recommendations for population and housing censuses 1947 56 58 Supplementary P&R 65 66 74 80 84 87 Year 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 94 98 04 06 Map of the 2000 World Programme The 2010 World Programme of Population and Housing Censuses and changes in the Principles and Recommendations for conducting censuses 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 2010 World Census Programme Endorsed by the United Nations Statistical Commission in March 2005 and adopted by the United Nations Economic and Social Council in July 2005 Three essential goals of Programme: • for Member States to carry out a population and housing census during the period 2005-2014 and to disseminate census results in a timely manner • to agree on a set of acceptable international principles and recommendations governing the conduct of a census • to facilitate countries in conducting censuses 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 The revision of the United Nations Principles and Recommendations for Population and Housing Censuses 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Revision of the Principles and Recommendations Principles and Recommendations for Population and Housing Censuses, Rev. 2 adopted by the United Nations Statistical Commission in March 2007 Published in English and available on UNSD website before translation into the other 5 UN official langages http://unstats.un.org/unsd/census2010.htm 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Principles and Recommendations Main features of the review process Extensive international consultative process Gradual process through regional and international consultations • Meetings • E-mail exchanges • On-line discussion forum 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Principles and Recommendations - major changes Orientation Emphasis on production of outputs for evidence-based decision making Recognition of an integrated statistical system for the production of outputs Non-prescription of data sources for outputs 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Outputs/tabulations Basic/essential tabulations Top priority Providing minimum statistics for countries in difficult circumstances Population (20) Housing (7) Recommended tabulations Adequate for meeting essential data needs for evidence-based planning, monitoring and implementation of national policies Population (33) Housing (19) Optimal tabulations Meet the needs of most data users nationally and internationally 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 On the recommended tabulations Reflect essential data needs - relevance at national and international levels Potential for production of detailed statistics at lowest geographical level Developed independently of source Produced at least once in the period 20052014 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Set of recommended tabulations Number of recommended by broad topic (51 tables) • • • • • • • • • Geographical and internal migration characteristics – 6 International migration characteristics – 4 Household and family characteristics – 3 Demographic and social characteristics – 2 Fertility and mortality - 4 Educational characteristics - 3 Economic characteristics – 8 Disability characteristics – 3 Housing characteristics - 19 Produced at least once in the period 2005-2014 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Metadata for recommended tabulations All recommended tabulations require metadata Metadata necessary for understanding underlying concepts and methodology Type of metadata • • • • Core topics represented Source of statistics Type of population count Definition of urban/rural 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Core topics Topics of high relevance across countries Permit national and international comparability of data by use of common concepts and definitions Developed through international consultative process Main variables for recommended tabulations • Population - 31 core topics with 25 direct and 6 derived • Housing - 21 core topics 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Changes in core topics - Population Non-core to core Date of birth of the last child born alive Births in the past 12 months Household deaths in the past 12 months Deaths among children born in the past 12 months Country of birth Year or period of arrival Disability status Core to non-core Time worked Alternate core topics Place of previous residence Place of residence at a specified date in the past 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Changes in core topics – Housing New core Fuel used for cooking Main source of drinking water Information technology and communication devices in the household Core to non-core Year or period of construction Useful floor space Rental and owneroccupied housing costs Separate core topics – previously one Type of toilet Sewage disposal 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Principles and Recommendations - major changes Introducing definition of Place of usual residence (a) The place at which the person has lived continuously for most of the last 12 months (that is, for at least six months and one day), not including temporary absences for holidays or work assignments, or intends to live for at least six months; OR (b) The place at which the person has lived continuously for at least the last 12 months, not including temporary absences for holidays or work assignments, or intends to live for at least 12 months. Impact on regional and international data comparability 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Principles and Recommendations - major changes New classification of living quarters: With clearer distinction between conventional and non-conventional housing units Enlarges the taxonomy of collective living quarters 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Principles and Recommendations – major changes: Previous classification of living quarters Living quarters Housing units Collective living quarters Conven. dwellings Hotels Basic dwellings Institutions Temp. Hous. units Camps Mobile Hous. units Other Marginal Hous. units Improvised Not for habit. Other 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Principles and Recommendations – major changes: Revision 2 classification of living quarters Living quarters Collective living quarters Housing units Conventional dwellings Other housing units Hotels Mobile Hous. units Has all basic facilities Institutions Camps Temp. Hous. units Does not have all basic facilities Other Marginal Hous. units Improvised Not for habitation Hospitals Correctional Military Religious Retirement Students Other Staff quarters 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Principles and Recommendations - major changes Alternative approaches Introducing elaboration of alternative approaches • • • Traditional census – most countries Register based census Rolling surveys (with national variants) UNSD website – national examples of alternative approaches 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Concerns raised against traditional censuses Periodicity of data production Prohibitive costs Untimeliness of census results Under-coverage In some cases questionable data quality Inflexibility 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Principles and Recommendations – Alternative approaches Register based census - Prerequisites Personal identification number Comprehensive and functioning system of registers Legal basis Public trust Unique and uniform coding systems Record linking across registers 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Principles and Recommendations – Alternative approaches Register based census - Advantages Timeliness of data Reduced cost associated with data compilation Reduced respondent burden Maximizes use of data collected by different agencies Flexibility in terms of reference date and periodicity 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Principles and Recommendations – Alternative approaches Register based census - Disadvantages Lack of flexibility – expanding data items Completeness of data limited to data available in registers High initial investment setting up registers Need continuous financial and other resources to sustain registers Harmonization of concepts and definitions across registers could be an issue 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Principles and Recommendations – Alternative approaches Rolling surveys - Prerequisites Convincing stakeholders Substantial annual funding High level of professional staff throughout decade Complex methodology to minimize sampling and non-sampling errors 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Principles and Recommendations – Alternative approaches Rolling surveys - Advantages Proving data more frequently Enhancing the value of information by constant updates Spreading the cost of data collection over a period of time Room for technological innovations 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Principles and Recommendations – Alternative approaches Rolling surveys - Disadvantages Technically demanding Multi-year planning and testing necessary Possibility of double-reporting 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Principles and Recommendations – Alternative approaches National examples of variants of rolling surveys USA approach based on a combination of • Traditional 10-year census using the short form, and • American Community Survey (continuous cumulative survey) French rolling census (continuous cumulative survey) 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Principles and Recommendations – Alternative approaches USA approach - Traditional censuses with yearly updates Census year: Total population count and basic characteristics based on short questionnaire Every year: Large household survey that replaces decennial long form Data from survey used to model estimates 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Principles and Recommendations – Alternative approaches USA approach - Traditional censuses with yearly updates Some issues Requires building and keeping the address frame up-to-date Some operational risks likely reduced – short questionnaire only Work in progress – lessons learnt on the go 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Principles and Recommendations – Alternative approaches French approach - rolling census Data collected each year used for modeling of estimates Quinquennial rolling cycle: Every year, Y, data are produced on the basis of data collected in Y-4, Y-3, Y-2, Y-1 and Y with the average on Y-2 • For communes less than 10,000 – full count once in a five year period • For communes over 10,000 – sample of 8% of dwellings each year for five years 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Principles and Recommendations – Alternative approaches French approach - rolling census Some issues Inventory of buildings – continuously updated building register Close relationship between statistical office and communes Work in progress – lessons learnt on the go 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Principles and Recommendations – major changes Contracting out Funding for the census Quality assurance (instead of quality control) Enhanced section on census mapping including on geo-coding and contemporary GIS Focus on hard to capture and enumerate population groups • • Homeless Indigenous populations Promotion of, and training on, use of data 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007 Principles and Recommendations – concluding remarks Submitted for printing Translation into all UN official languages Accompanied by: • set of handbooks • technical reports • web-based knowledge base Other activities of the 2010 World Programme 3rd Africa Symposium on Statistical Development Accra, Ghana, 3 – 7 December 2007