TE Centre for Southwest Finland
National Foresight Project of
Employment and Economic
Development Centres (TE-Centres) In
Finland
The Role of TE-Centres in the Finnish Regional Foresight
System
FUTURES WORKSHOP 7.6.2006
Reseacher Jouni Marttinen
TE-Centre for Varsinais-Suomi
PL 236, 20100 Turku
jouni.marttinen@te-keskus.fi
Jouni Marttinen 7.6.2006
TE Centre for Southwest Finland
REGIONAL FORESIGHT PROJECT
at the Employment and Economic Development Centres in Finland
Employment and Economic Development Centres (TE-Centres) were established in 1997. TE-Centres are joint regional service centres of
the Ministry of Trade and Industry, labour districts of the Ministry of Labour and the agricultural, forestry and fishery districts of the
Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry.
Support and Co-ordination project of TEforesight
The project was launched 1998
Managed by Ministry of Labour, Finland Futures Research
Centre, and MTI
Financed by European Social Fund (ESF), Ministry of
Trade and Industry (MTI)
Targets of the project:
to develop a regional foresight system for the TE-Centres
to launch foresight activities in the TE-Centres
to integrate foresight into strategic planning and
management systems of TE-ministries and TE-Centres
(management by targets, EFQM, Balanced ScoreCard,
Executive Information System)
Tasks of the TE-Centres
to support and advise SMEs at the various stages of
their life cycles
to promote technological development in enterprises
and assist in matters associated with export activities
and internationalisation
to implement regional labour policies
to train experts of foresight in every TE-Centre
to develop foresight on a local and regional level in a way
that makes it possible to utilise that information in the
planning of national labour market- and economic
development policy
Launching Plans of Foresight of the Centres
to plan and organise adult training within the official
labour policy framework
mapping the foresight knowledge needs
to promote and develop farming and rural enterprise
activities
how to connect foresight into planning, decision making, and service processes
to develop fisheries
to influence and participate in regional development in
general
vision of the foresight system in the TE-Centres; focus, activities, recourses…
describing the co-operation and networking of local and regional actors
training the personnel for foresight and future thinking
TE Centre for Southwest Finland
FRAMEWORK OF THE FORESIGHT PROJECT OF TECENTRES IN FINLAND
CORE
PROSESSES
FORESIGHT
METHODS
ACTIVITIES
DATABASES
STRATEGIC
PLANNING
DESICIONS
SERVICES
INTERPRETATION
UNDERSTANDING
ACTIONS
DOCUMENTS
REPORTS
PORTALS
Jouni Marttinen 7.6.2006
TE Centre for Southwest Finland
The questions when developing a foresight
system of TE-Centres?
•
Why to do foresight?
•
What is the focus of foresight?
•
How to do foresight?
•
When to do foresight?
•
Who will do foresight?
•
How to manage the foresight data, information and
knowledge?
•
What is the role of TE-Centres in regional and local
foresight system?
Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006
TE Centre for Southwest Finland
Conseption of Foresight (1) by Michel Godet
FUTURE
Anticipation
Action
Appropriation
TE Centre for Southwest Finland
The conseption of TE-foresight (2)
* To produce systematically data, information and
knowledge about future developments of the
envirionment of TE-Centres; trends, weak signals,
possibilities, threats…
* In foresight it is essential to make clear what the
visions concerning the future signify in terms of current
decisions and actions of TE-Centres.
* To regognize new potential business possibilities and
changes in technology, working life, qualifications and
social issues
Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006
TE Centre for Southwest Finland
The Conseption of TE-foresight (3)
* foresight the aim is to make the future, not simply
• With
study it. For this reason it is important in foresight to
bring together the key actors and to build networks
between the actors. Methods that promote interaction
and participation occupy a key role in foresight
* Ultimatelly foresight is used to support the development
of the region as a whole, to strengthen regional
innovation system and to promote the competitiveness
and economic growth in a region
Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006
TE Centre for Southwest Finland
The vision of TE-foresight 2010 (1)
Ministry of Trade and Industry; ’Integrating Foresight
into the TE-Centres’ Activities – a Vision for 2010 and
Development strategy’
The Finnish regional foresight system will be flexible
and will meet the challanges and needs of the time. FS
will be internationally esteemed and of a high standard.
Foresight has become a core function of TE-Centres on
which their planning, decision making and service
processes are based
The foresight activities have been developed as
products of high quality (EFQM)
TE Centre for Southwest Finland
The vision of TE-foresight 2010 (2)
Finland has the best regional
foresight system in Europe
in 2010
TE Centre for Southwest Finland
Foresight methods and activities of TE-Centres in
Finland
•TIME
SPAN
QUANTITATIVE METHODS
QUALITATIVE METHODS
LT (Long term)- model; extrapolation
•Long term
(5-15 years)
GDP, production/employment by industry
Scenarios
MITENNA-model
Delfoi
Occupations, wastage, educational needs
Megatrends
Weak signals
•Middle
term
(2-5 years)
ETLA; regional econometric model
GDP,production/employment by industry
population, migration
Clusteranalyses
Industrial teams of TE-Centres
TKTT- model; interviews (employment offices)
•Short term
(6 monhts2 years)
Barometers
Min of Labour; interviews of firms
EXPERT GROUPS (SWOT)
at local level
Min of Trade and Industry; BM of SME’s
Min of Agriculture; BM of Farms
& 20 others
Jouni Marttinen, TE-Centre for VarsinaisSuomi. 3.6.2004
TE Centre for Southwest Finland
TKTT-PROCESS IN THE TE-CENTRE FOR SOUTHWEST
FINLAND
SELECTING INDUSRTIES
-employment
offices/TE-CENTRE
CONTACTING
COMPANIES
. SUMMARY OF
RESUTLS
. FOR
EXPERT PANEL
. INFORMING
-companies, members of
panels, media
TRAINING INTERVIEWERS
guidance, themes,
top-lists, analysises.
STARTING THE
CAMPAIGN; lists for
interviewers
INTERVIEWS
-EMPL.OFF/EDUCAT
INSTITUT././PROJECTS
UTILIZATION OF
INTERVIEWS/ acute
needs
EXPERT PANEL
SWOT-ANALYSIS.
SUMMARY REPORT
UTILIZATION OF
INTERVIEWS II
-te-centres,empl..offices…
MONITORING
-MEASURES
-INFLUENCE
Jouni Marttinen 22.11.2005
TE Centre for Southwest Finland
The themes of interviews (TKTT)
Job increases and job losses by occupation
Recruitment problems
Training needs by occupation
Changes in skills by occupation
Age structure and retirement
Plans in sub-contracting , networking and new business ideas
Economic situation now and after one year
Plans in outscoursing
Views in export
Investmen plans
R&D
Construction plans
Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006
TE Centre for Southwest Finland
Interviews (TKTT) in Southwest Finland 2005
Industry
Interviews
Expert group
target
interviews
Advertising and media
40
41
Employment office in Turku
Social Services
71
82
Empl. Office in Kaarina
6.6.05, Turku 19.10
Furniture and wood industry
29
24
Empl. Office in Salo
22.6.05
Car repair/garage
52
54
Empl. dep./training unit. 9/05
Whole sale trade and
Retail trade
63
67
Empl.dep/service unit. 3/06
Car sale
21
17
Empl. dep./training unit. 3/06
Electronics
39
30
Employm. Office in Salo. 3/06
Bakeries
28
25
Business dep. 5/06
Maintenance and services of
equipments and machines
40
35
Sub region in Vakka-Suomi;
Educational institutions, empl.
offices, projects 10/05
YHTEENSÄ
383
375
TE Centre for Southwest Finland
Interviews (TKTT) in Southwest Finland 2006
Industry
Expert group
Interviews
Target
Interviews
Subcontracting network
of the shipyard (Aker)
91
Employment Office in Turku
Two groups
House construction
33
Empl. Office in Raisio
Welfare services
54
Employment department
Cleaning services
37
Employment department
Restaurant services
39
Employment department
Safety services
22
Empl. Office in Turku
YHTEENSÄ
300
Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006
TE Centre for Southwest Finland
Foresight databases and portals in
Finland (1)
National
1. Ministry of Labour
- Information Service and analyses (ISA)
- Management Information System (MIS); targets of employment offices
2. Ministry of Trade and Industry
-
Industry OnLine (www.toimialaonline.fi)
-
Customer Relations Management (CMR) – ASKO-TKTT- database
-
Foresight forum; http://www.ennakointifoorumi.fi/
-
Foresight portal of TE-Centres ; http://www2.te-keskus.fi/new/ennakointi/
3. Educational Board of Education
-
Electronical Information System oh Foresight (ENSTI)
(http://www.oph.fi/SubPage.asp?path=1,443,3086,3987)
Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006
TE Centre for Southwest Finland
Foresight databases and portals in
Finland (1)
Regional
 Southwest Finland; www.luotain.fi
 Pirkanmaa; www.pirkanmaanennakointipalvelu.info/java/Index
 Northern Ostrobothnia; http://eennakointi.fi/
 South Ostrobothnia; http://etelapohjanmaa.fi/ennakointi/
Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006
TE Centre for Southwest Finland
The Role of TE-Centres in Regional
Foresight
1. Co-ordination of local and regional foresight
activies (Sectoral teams, expert groups, local
employment strategies).
2. Promotion of networking.
3. Production of new future knowledge, knowledge
management (portals,databases), open
knowledge sharing (foresight service).
4. Development of new foresight activities.
5. Promotion on future thinking and training of
foresight activities.
6. Financing of foresight activities.
Jouni Marttinen 3. 6.2004
TE Centre for Southwest Finland
Challanges in developing regional foresight in Finland
Cooperation and coordination between ministries and TE-Centres,
Cooperation between the actors (TE-Centres, Regional Counsils,
Educational Institutions) at regional level; there are official committees but
no open forums.
The roles of regional and local actors in foresight.
The utilization of foresight data and knowledge in the core prcesses of
regional and local actors.
Open sharing of foresight knowlewdge.
Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006
TE Centre for Southwest Finland
Thank you for your attention !
Researcher Jouni Marttinen
jouni.marttinen@te-keskus.fi
www.te-keskus.fi
Jouni Marttinen 20.4.2006