Newcastle Symposium on the Goals of Ageing Research 24th-25th April 2001 International Centre for Life Times Square, Newcastle Session 2. Implications for Healthcare Session 2.1 Session 2.2 Discussion Points Contents of Session 2 Chair: Professor Rose Anne Kenny Paper 2.1: Research on Ageing - Julian C. Hughes Paper 2.2: Drug Development in an Ageing World - Gary Ford Points from Discussions top Implications for Healthcare Paper 2.1 Research on Ageing: Implications for Healthcare Julian C. Hughes Healthcare is often measured in terms of efficiency and effectiveness. In this paper I shall argue that there is also an ethical imperative for healthcare. To understand the implications of ageing research for healthcare, therefore, we must consider not only efficiency and effectiveness, but the ethical imperative too. I shall start by considering efficiency and I shall use the notion of ‘intermediate care’ as my example. ‘Intermediate care’ has recently become something of a buzz phrase in the care of the elderly: it is the strategic aim of services up and down the country; it is the way to obtain money for development. It has recently been defined (and its importance emphasized) in the National Service Framework for Older People: ‘A short period (normally no longer than six weeks) of intensive rehabilitation and treatment to enable patients to return home following hospitalisation, or to prevent admission to long term residential care; or intensive care at home to prevent unnecessary hospital admission’. (1) One thing to note about this definition is that care is not intermediate in terms of place: it is intermediate in terms of intensity, where hospitals are presumed to be places of high intensity care (e.g. intensive care, coronary care, etc.) and home is normally associated with low intensity care. Intermediate care is between the two. It might be provided on a hospital site (but without intensive medical and nursing input), or it might be provided at home (by increasing the intensity of the input from medical and allied professions); or it might be provided in the community in, for instance, a social service’s establishment, again with increased input from medical, nursing, physiotherapy, occupational therapy, speech and language therapy. These will be ‘intermediate care facilities’, which I should like to call, facetiously and atavistically, ‘cottage hospitals’. So what will the effects of ageing research be on intermediate care? It rather depends on what ageing research achieves. If ageing research merely increases the length of life, i.e. the quantity, then the need for intermediate care will go up. There will be more frail elderly people at home and more in the hospitals and a greater need to find somewhere for them to go that is neither the one nor the other. (This is whether we regard intermediate care positively, as an attempt to discourage dependency, foster independence, and get people as close to home as possible; or whether we regard the enthusiasm for intermediate care negatively as simply a way to stop spending money on expensive acute hospital beds.) If ageing research merely increases the quantity of life it looks straightforwardly as if things will be just as they are now, but worse. More interestingly, what if ageing research improves the quality of life for the elderly? This becomes more speculative, but if the effect is that there is less morbidity, then there will be less need for the diagnostic and therapeutic skills of the intensity found in a hospital. People will spend more time able to live independently at home, should they so wish. There might then be a decreased need for rehabilitation, but perhaps a greater need for palliation, when the question is not cure (the province of hospital medicine), but care. This is interesting because it suggests that the care in ‘intermediate care’ will need to be in no sense ‘intermediate’. (2) This seeming oddity in our use of words points to the extent to which we have accepted that ‘care’ is to be thought of in a technological and scientific manner. Home has no medical technology, hospitals are full of it; intermediate care is somewhere between the two. Of course, we are also talking about skill and training, but the same holds true: the paradigm suggests that skill and training in hospitals are greater than they are at home and intermediate care will be between the two. By implication, ‘care’ is linked to technology and science, skill and training. There is the interesting possibility, however, that ageing research, by emphasizing the care in ‘intermediate care’, might sever the link between care on the one hand, and technology, science, skill and training on the other. Rather than a ‘step down’ (to use the present parlance) in the level of care, as people move from the technological and scientific atmosphere of hospitals towards home, they might expect the level of care to ‘step up’. But this is a reversal of the paradigm: as you move away from hospital the care increases. The ambiguity lurks in the use of the word ‘care’: caring for someone might need a good deal of expertise and technology (if they are in a coma say); caring about a person is quite different. If ageing research decreases the need for hospital care, it might increase the need for intermediate care in the form of palliative care, but in so doing it might help to emphasize the need to care about the elderly, not just to care for them. Ageing research might help to clarify the need for a human face to the cottage hospital. (3) What, then, about effectiveness? My example here will be the antidementia drugs. As will be known, the National Institute for Clinical Excellence has recently pronounced that these drugs (the cholinesterase inhibitors) ‘… should be made available in the NHS as one component of the management of those people with mild and moderate Alzheimer’s disease …’. (4) What will be the impact of ageing research on the effectiveness of our treatment of the dementias? Well, without further ado, it seems quite likely that ageing research, from the point of view of effectiveness, will be beneficial. Even if vaccines to destroy amyloid plaques in the brain do not come to fruition, it seems likely that our increasing knowledge of the genetics and pathophysiology of Alzheimer’s disease will increase our ability to treat such disorders. All in all, therefore, the implications of ageing research for healthcare (in terms of efficiency and effectiveness) are good - unless all we get is quantity and not quality of life - if not very good. I must insert an important caveat. If ageing research is to have the sort of beneficial effects I have described, its fruits need to be delivered to the shop floor. I hope it is not disloyal to point out that, whilst in the Institute for Ageing and Health here in Newcastle there is some of the most impressive research in the world going on, in the Centre for the Health of the Elderly (the clinical part of the same building) we sometimes simply do not have enough nurses. (I do not in any way suggest this is unique to Newcastle!) Delivering good quality healthcare requires more than just good quality research: it also requires the right social, economic and political circumstances. Efficiency and effectiveness, however, are not the only parameters in town. Healthcare is also a matter of ethics: the ethical imperative. It is imperative for two reasons. First, because issues of right and wrong occur ubiquitously as part and parcel of clinical practice. Many clinical decisions are, at the same time, ethical decisions (e.g. whether to treat someone, whether to perform the next investigation, how frank to be with them). Secondly, the ethical imperative of healthcare is imperative because matters of value (in contradistinction to matters of fact) are implicit in many of the concepts used in clinical practice. I can demonstrate this point by asking what we are aiming at in healthcare. The answer is clearly ‘health’, but it is notoriously difficult to define health. I do not wish to enter the thorny debate concerning health and disease: health as the absence of disease, disease as dysfunction, or disease understood in terms of illness and health as a complete state of well-being and the absence of illness. (5) But I do wish to stress that health and illness are notions that involve values. The ethical imperative in healthcare involves the recognition of values. Talk of values - values which are deeply embedded at a conceptual level in the very meaning of what it is to be healthy and what it is to be ill - should make our consideration of healthcare less facile. From the point of view of efficiency, what is required is not just efficiency, but efficiency that enhances those aspects of life that are important to human beings. Not just caring for old people (the factual, science-based side of medicine), but caring about them (which involves engagement with values and the humanistic aspects of medical practice) in an environment that makes this care evident: my atavistic impression of the cottage hospital perhaps. We also want healthcare to be effective, but again there are values at stake: will life with improved cognitive function be worthwhile? Will there be real opportunities for us as older people to flourish in our individual ways even if we are well? Having accepted that ageing research will have an impact on healthcare, we are left with a further question: how will ageing research be affected by and how will it affect the implicit and explicit values of healthcare in the elderly? Will ageing research reflect the values of older people? Or will it reflect societal concerns? How do we know what these values are? Will it be the values of researchers, funding authorities, drug companies or governments that count? Research into palliative care in dementia, into quality of life in old age, into the quality of care in residential and nursing homes, or into the use of psychotherapy in old age, these sort of research projects are not as sexy as research into genes and neuroscience, but they can tell us directly about what is important in old age. Such research might seem soft, but it is closer, perhaps, to the concerns of older people and their carers than some more "scientific" research. So there is certainly a question concerning the setting of priorities in ageing research. If we take a broad view of health, then ageing research, to inform healthcare, must be broadly based. I suggest that ageing research must involve ethical research, that is research into the ethical issues that surround ageing; but also more conceptual research, philosophical research even, into the nature of the issues themselves. The distinction, for instance, between normal and abnormal ageing is not solely a matter for science to determine. We shall need qualitative research, as well as quantitative, backed up by clear thinking about the concepts and values involved. The ethical imperative in healthcare, therefore, should encourage ageing research, if it is to have a broad impact, to look at meaning and value in old age. This will involve the whole context within which healthcare is provided: the economic, social and political context. It should also focus our attention on the individuals themselves, the older people who need to be cared for, but also cared about. References: 1. Department of Health. (2001). National Service Framework for Older People. London: Department of Health. p 156. 2. Cf. Grimley Evans, J. and Tallis, R. C. (2001). A new beginning for care for elderly people? British Medical Journal, 322: 807-808. 3. My atavistic talk of the ‘cottage hospital’ elicited some opposition in the symposium on the grounds (a) that cottage hospitals were not all good; and (b) that intermediate care, as the definition shows, can involve care at home and need not involve other facilities or institutions. My use of the notion of ‘cottage hospital’, however, is intended to be redolent of old fashioned standards of care which many people feel, rightly or wrongly, to be missing in today’s culture of efficiency and effectiveness. Betjeman’s cottage hospital nurses, with "inflexible nurses’ feet", might have been intimidating, but at least they were probably nursing and not managing the budgets! The rallying cry, ‘Save our Cottage Hospital!’, might not have been altogether rational, but is more immediately appealing than ‘Save our Intermediate Care Facility!’. As for intermediate care at home, since we have the notion of ‘Hospital at Home’, why not the notion of ‘Cottage Hospital at Home’? 4. National Institute for Clinical Excellence. (2001). Guidance on the Use of Donepezil, Rivastigmine and Galantamine for the Treatment of Alzheimer’s Disease. National Health Service. p 1. 5. National Institute for Clinical Excellence. (2001). Guidance on the Use of Donepezil, Rivastigmine and Galantamine for the Treatment of Alzheimer’s Disease. National Health Service. p 1. top Implications for Healthcare Paper 2.2 Drug Development in an Ageing World Gary Ford "The successful development of more than nine thousand new drugs in the last twenty five years has saved countless lives and relieved millions of victims of acute and chronic illnesses. These new drugs present greater hazards as well as greater potential benefits than ever before – for they are widely used, they are often very potent and they are promoted by aggressive sales campaigns that may tend to overstate their merits and fail to indicate the risks involved in their use." President J F Kennedy, 1962 "As my journey through the pharmaceutical jungle progressed, I came to realise that, by comparison with the reality, the story was as tame as a holiday postcard." The Constant Gardener, John Le Carre, 2000 The pharmaceutical industry has had great success in the last 50 years in delivering effective drugs to the developed world, but they are still viewed by some as immoral organisations without a social conscience motivated only by profit. Recent discussion of the industries pricing and patent protection of HIV drugs for the developing world illustrates some of these concerns, with GSK said by some to stand for Global Serial Killer rather than GlaxoSmithKline. These slogans whilst attractive are not helpful in engendering long-term desirable change in drug development. It is also important to distinguish between the morals and attitudes of scientists and clinicians within the industry and the morals of an organisation acting within a highly regulated capitalist global economy where share holder profit is the primary aim of the organisation. In this talk I want to raise for discussion the issue of how the gerontology/geriatrics research community, health services and older people themselves should influence the development and marketing of drugs by the pharmaceutical industry. My perspective comes as someone who has been interested in drug development for more than 20 years, and has had and continues to have extensive interactions with the industry. I want to first mention three items of background information relevant to the discussion. The first is that older people in the developed world now receive the majority of prescribed drug therapy, and the trends indicate there will be further increases. The proportion of total prescriptions received by older people in the UK increased from 39% to 45% between 1985 and 1995 with a further remarkable increase to 50% three years later in 1998. Demographic changes and increasing evidence of the benefits of drug therapy In older people will lead to further increases in the volume of prescribing to older people such that by 2020 around two thirds of all drugs prescribed in the UK are likely to be to the older population. The second is that drug expenditure is accounting for an increased proportion of health services expenditure, in the developed world, with an increase in the UK from 9% to 13% in the last 10 years. Current valuations of global pharmaceutical company research budgets and anticipated returns on investment indicate that the financial community anticipates continuing real increases in global drug expenditure. The third is the major changes occurring in the structure of the pharmaceutical industry. Significant changes are occurring in the structure of the pharmaceutical industry. Historically there were many small pharmaceutical industries, often with a strong national base and culture, such as Wellcome prior to the merger with Glaxo, or part of larger agro-chemical companies, such as ICI prior to the separation of Zeneca. Considerable consolidation has occurred and is predicted to take place in the industry, the most recent example being the GlaxoSmithKline merger. Most industry observers believe the industry will ultimately consist of 4 or 5 large pharma companies primarily focused on phase III trials and marketing. A new model of small biotechnology companies (who develop new chemical entities) and contract research organisations (who undertake clinical trials) supporting the large pharmaceutical companies appears to be evolving; the "virtual" drug company. The pharmaceutical industry may also become increasingly involved in the marketing of other health care interventions with drug therapy as part of a managed care package. Traditional pharmaceutical companies could also become more involved in the marketing of alternative and "complementary" therapies, such as nutriceuticals. Pharmaceutical research and marketing is a much more globally focused activity than was the case 25 years ago. These changes present a number of challenges to individual countries and the regulatory bodies. The ability of companies to shift their research base to the most attractive economic base, and threats to move research away from countries who block marketing of specific products (e.g.: Glaxo Wellcome’s response last year to the initial judgement by NICE on relenza) may influence regulatory decision making and governmental controls on marketing. The pharmaceutical industry has only partially recognised the specific challenges surrounding drug development for the older population. A number of small initiatives were mounted in the late eighties to develop skills in this area. However the majority of pharmaceutical companies appear to have no specific expertise or research strategies addressing the broader issues of drug development and drug use in older people. The main reason I believe lies in the focus on drug development of specific disease conditions, to the neglect of a broader consideration of the overall health needs of individuals or the community. The structure of scientific investigation of drugs leads inevitably to the exclusion of many older patients and the recruitment of a pure disease population with a focus on measuring disease specific outcomes. Fries exposition that interventions in middle aged and older people should compress disability mortality curves has become accepted as a key philosophy in academic gerontology and geriatrics ("Adding life to years"). These considerations suggest trials of interventions should either look at long-term outcomes of disability or at least model the likely effects on lifetime disability. In contrast approaches to drug development have focused around short-term outcomes of treatment, particularly mortality, rather than the long-term health of target populations. The mapping of the human genome and improvements in screening of drugs for biological activity has resulted in a large excess of new chemical entities suitable for drug development. Thus choosing the drugs and drug targets for further clinical development has become a major issue in pharmaceutical industry R&D. The market economy dictates that decisions about which drugs are developed is decided independently by individual pharmaceutical companies, albeit after discussion with key opinion leaders in health care. Drug development is now increasingly driven by market considerations. Hence the major research programmes into obesity. Because of the marketing perspective it is highly likely that pharmaceutical companies would wish to advertise life extending anti-ageing drugs", and indeed some herbal/complimentary companies do so already. Even if it is accepted that marketing perspective have an important role there are problems. Perspectives are often based on historical experience and the potential of drug treatments to change market need, and general management of patients, is often not recognised by health care professionals and the industry. The extensive prescription of acid suppressant drugs was not anticipated by most observers because peptic ulceration and oesophagitis were considered diseases requiring surgical treatment. Regulatory bodies have in essence a yes/no veto role after completion of clinical trials but no involvement in the decision making strategic development. The internationalisation of drug regulation needs to be considered. The FDA and EMEA are now the two international bodies with significant influence on licensing of drugs but not research strategy in relating to the choice of targets or treatment population (except in only minor ways, such as some data being required in older people). There are recent encouraging examples of how the medical community can influence research strategy. The development of the Meningitec vaccine occurred after pressure from public health bodies. There has been concern about the lack of studies examining drug efficacy and safety in children. The recent decision by the FDA to extend patent life of drugs in the adult population for products where data on drug efficacy and safety has been obtained in children, has led to companies investing in obtaining such data. I suggest that older people, health services and the gerontology/geriatrics community need to develop a framework to discuss desirable drug interventions, to move away from responding to developments only after licensing and to create a forum for active dialogue with the pharmaceutical industry. The dialogue we have now is unfortunately often driven by single disease interest groups such as Alzheimer’s or MS patient groups. Academia probably exerts more influence than generally believed through research identifying disease pathophysiology and methodologies that allow testing of drug efficacy. Since industry now operates as multinational companies, international and national networks would need to be established to exert influence. Regulatory bodies need to review the influence of their current structure and processes on involvement of older patients in clinical trials, perhaps by seeking data on the effects of drug interventions on healthy life span and lifetime disability. If we want to avoid the development of drugs advertised as anti-ageing, we should be cautious in establishing an environment where human ageing targets and biomarkers are used as measures of drug outcome, and ensure the used of disease (problematic for the reasons discussed earlier) or more general functional outcomes. The pharmaceutical industry and developed world should consider their ethical responsibility, and role in providing drugs to older people in developing countries, and with governments of the developed world decide how the regulatory and market economy support rather than conspire against appropriate drug development. We need to use the market to direct appropriate drug development at a much earlier stage, and not only after drug licensing. Finally society and older people themselves need to consider more explicitly their desires and wishes with respect to the appropriate level of resource allocation to drug development and health care expenditure in relation to other competing activities such as housing, community infrastructure, and education, all of which have large potential health benefits. Which brings me to the most difficult point, cost effectiveness. How do we decide the appropriate allocation of resources to older people within a community? Even more troubling is how does the academic community facilitate redistribution of health care resources away from the developed world to the developing world? Finally any controls and interventions need to be structured to not inadvertently kill the pharmaceutical goose that has laid so many golden eggs (drugs). top Implications For Health Care Discussion Points from Session 2: There is research to suggest that the use of information technology may lead to the more effective use of drugs. It might be that drug costs will go up, but there is the potential for overall health costs to come down. Pharmacogenetics might allow more focused and effective prescribing, but it will be extremely expensive and the costs will need to be re-allocated in some way. In addition, such advances in medical knowledge will impose a burden of technical information on medical school syllabuses and on doctors. There is tension between this high-tech and expensive side of medicine and the humanities-based aspects. Against this concern, however, it is possible to be sceptical about pharmacogenetics being able to help with complex problems such as hypertension. Efficiency and effectiveness tends to focus on health care, but in terms of social care what people need is time to make decisions. Intermediate care should not be solely about place, but about time for convalescence. A separate worry about intermediate care is that it simply might be second-rate medical care for older people. One aspect of this might be that hospitals nowadays do not allow enough time for people to talk. Hospitals used to allow more social life in which, for instance, the ancillary staff played an important staff. If we suggest that the health care needs of older people are distinct from those of other groups, then we will find ourselves in an ethical, political and sociological debate concerning the needs of older people over against (for instance) the needs of children. In this debate it often seems that children win out. There is a tension between societal needs and individual needs. Given that decisions are politically driven and given that the agenda is often set by the pharmaceutical industry, societal wants and individual needs must be inserted into the decision-making process earlier. The increase in the use of drugs in the elderly might be a result of the focus in modern medicine on the diagnostic and treatment side of health care. Against this, there is an increasing tendency for quality of care issues to be considered in the evaluation of drug treatments. Certainly in primary care the main issue is often not "the diagnosis" but "the problem". A good example of the factual or scientific sign of medical practice coming together with the human/value side is seen in the increasing role of the community pharmacist who both attends to the technical and factual business of checking tablets and possible interactions, but also might personally deliver dosette boxes to allow older people to remain supported in the community. The National Service framework for older people puts a heavy emphasis on rooting out ageism. The basic tenant is that age does not determine where a person’s needs are best met. The notion of "the person" is a way of uniting the science side and the humanistic side of medical practice. If ageing is not seen as a disease then there is no need to regulate drugs that affect ageing. Drugs that reduce cholesterol, for instance, could be seen (as long as they are safe) as in no greater need of regulation than wrinkle cream. But this opens the possibility of real resources being diverted away from health care to the benefit of the pharmaceutical industry. Numerical decisions have to be made in all sorts of areas of human endeavour (e.g. education). The quality of health care and the quality of these other areas often go together. The problem of the dichotomy between facts and values probably reflects deeper social forces and values, although this does not negate the responsibility of individuals to try to be aware of values in the context of health care. There is a need for older people themselves to be engaged in qualitative research. This goes beyond consulting. For instance, Better Government for Older People engaged older people in designing a house and the same process will be used to consider intermediate care, which at present is viewed with some suspicion. Since there is to be so much investment in intermediate care it seems sensible for this to reflect the views of older people. The concept of an intermediate care facility (as opposed to a cottage hospital) might be a more honest use of language, lacking as it does the tincture of benign civility. There is a point to be made about the professionalisation of care. Whilst we generally wish to have good quality communication with health care professionals, we do not normally wish to develop close personal relationships with them. The natural instinct to care about people needs to be demonstrated within the professional business of caring for them. Given that in the market place simple solutions (such as drugs) are favoured for complex problems as opposed to complicated solutions (such as intermediate care), how can we keep both the scientific knowledge and the requirements of broader public policy both in view? Hypertension provides a useful model for discussion. There is a continuum and blood pressures which require treatment are judged in terms of the relative risk posed. However, this does not tell us what is "normal". For what is normal in our society is not necessarily in other countries. In fact, the normal (by which we mean average) blood pressure in other countries is considerably lower than that which is counted normal in Britain. Social change, therefore, might be more significant than tinkering with drugs. The social also comes in when we think about cost-effectiveness. Actually no money is saved by treating blood pressure, but our society has decided that it is worthwhile to treat blood pressure in order to save the morbidity and mortality associated with strokes and heart disease. It may be that in the future dementia will be added to this list. We have to beware of medicalising what might be considered as normal age-related changes in our society. Intermediate care might after all meet a need. It might be more positive to think in terms of the needs of older people, rather than in terms of the needs of those providing care. Intermediate care also involves intensive care at home, rather than care in some other building. The thrust of the National Service Framework for Older People is for patientcentred care, a single point of entry with a single assessment, with integration between Social Services and healthcare and joint management structures. This sort of model is seen to some extent in a new nurse-led unit in Newcastle which allows more time, more individual care, with lower technology, all of which is aimed at understanding and meeting the persons real needs. The move towards qualitative research that includes older people as participants is reflected in the broader move from representative to participative democracy. Similarly, on the global scale, the tendency for the developed world to use developing countries for their research has been replaced by a greater emphasis on participative and democratic research. top Ageing pages constructed by Andrew J. Palmer Jan 2002