Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry Thai Farmer’s Research Center May 2002 Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry The purpose of this report is to make publicly available some charts and tables that may be informative or helpful while formulating strategies related to the gems and jewelry industry. The charts and tables refer to jewelry exports to different parts of the world, and focus in particular on the United States, Japan, and major markets in Europe. The following charts show both Thai market share over time, and growth of imports in various gem and jewelry sectors. Each of the following graphs has two parts: 1) Market share from Thailand and her major competitors 2) The total value of imports into the importing country. By using these two parts, the following information may be obtained. Growth by Sector - Useful to see what sectors are growing rapidly. The graph in the upper right hand corner of each chart shows total imports of that product over a number of years. If a certain product, such as semi-precious gems, is growing rapidly, it will be evident in that part of the chart. Market Share over Time – Useful for determining our competitiveness by sector, and for designing government and industry strategy. The main body of each chart shows the market share of exports from Thailand and from other competing countries for a given sector. Market share for each year is calculated so that we can see whether our market share is increasing or decreasing. If Thailand is doing well in a sector such as silver, or rubies and sapphires, it will be evident from this section. Imports of Thai Products – Useful for tracking the value of exports over time. By taking the Thai market share for a given year and multiplying it by the Total Imports for that year, it is possible to approximate the value of Thai imports of a certain sector for a certain year. So for instance, if Thailand’s US market share for silver jewelry in 2001 was about 28 percent, and Total Imports of silver jewelry into the US was valued at 597 million dollars, Thai exports of silver jewelry to the US would be about: .28*597 = 167 or about 167 million dollars. In this case Thailand has a large market share of a smallish market. The value of exports to the US from other countries can also be calculated. The charts are based on data from 1993 until 2001. Generally the top 10 competitors as of 2001 are shown, but if the chart can be expanded slightly to include Thailand, the chart may contain as many as 15 competitors. The products covered in each chart are those given by the included HS code. For the sake of brevity or clarity, in some cases the title of the chart refers to only the major product or products covered under that HS code. Meanwhile, a variety of minor products may actually be included which have little effect on the total. Although there may be some objection to this strategy, it was felt that this would give a better feel for what the category represented. The report is divided into three sections representing the USA, Japan and Europe. The USA section begins with charts of the major classifications, followed by tariff information, and then detail tables for some sub-sectors. The Japanese section is structured so that the detail tables are together with the major classifications since longer time series were often available for the detailed data. The European data only looks at the major classifications. There is more detailed information available about European costume jewelry, but it was not included because of space considerations. Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 2 Summary Tables Showing Market Share in Some Broad Categories in the US Gold jewelry is the biggest precious gem and jewelry category, and is larger than all other categories combined. Thailand has been doing well in gold jewelry since the economic crisis, with market share now at about ten percent, up from near 5 percent in 1998. The loss of market share from Italy hides continued dominance in gold chains. China is growing more quickly than we are and India is also a strong competitor. Market Share of US Imports of Gold Jewelry, 1996-2001 Hs711319 40% US Mil$ 6,000 35% 5,000 30% 3,000 25% 1,000 Size of Market 4,000 2,000 3,338 3,837 4,312 3,245 1996 1997 1998 1999 4,876 4,704 2000 2001 0 20% 15% 10% 5% ea K or ep R D om in i ca n rk Tu C an ad a ey l g Is r ae na C hi g on 1997 K 1996 H on ai la nd Th di a In Ita ly 0% 1998 1999 2000 2001 Source: TFRC, USITC Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 3 Thailand has long been a market leader in silver jewelry, but the loss of GSP benefits for most (> 18$/dozen) silver jewelry has left us with merely stable market share in the US. China is an enormous threat. Indian exports are also doing well, but they are starting from a low base. Market Share of US Imports of Silver Jewelry, 1996-2001 Hs711311 35% US Mil$ 700 Size of Market 600 30% 500 400 300 25% 200 394 487 529 555 1997 1998 1999 621 597 2000 2001 100 20% 0 1996 15% 10% 5% 1996 ad a Po C an la nd ai n Sp H on g K In on g di a a es i In do n ic o ex M C hi na ly Ita Th ai la nd 0% 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Source: TFRC, USITC Thailand has maintained a stable presence in the US imports of gemstones with its dominance of the ruby and sapphire markets. Indian exports are rising rapidly which is a result of dominance in the so called semi-precious gemstones. Israel is doing well with emeralds, but not in other categories. Colombian exports are mainly emeralds. Market Share of US Imports of Gemstones, 1996-2001 Hs7103 30% US Mil$ 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 25% 20% 532 15% 1996 Size of Market 635 615 667 711 1997 1998 1999 2000 572 2001 10% 5% m y gd o U ni te d G K in er m an l B ra zi ka iL Sr itz Sw H on an la n d el ra er K g Is on g a bi om In di a C ol Th ai la nd 0% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Source: TFRC, USITC Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 4 Costume jewelry - Thailand lately has shown high growth rates in this low value, high employment sector. As is clear, China dominates this sector completely due to price, though jewelry with a nice fashion sense can survive in many countries. Market Share of US Imports of Costume Jewelry, 1996-2001 Hs7117 70% US Mil$ 700 Size of Market 600 60% 500 400 300 50% 462 464 493 546 1996 1997 1998 1999 200 619 655 2000 2001 100 40% 0 30% 20% 10% 1997 1998 ce Ph Fr ili p an s pi ne ly Ita on K g H on Th 1996 g di a In ai la nd ic o ex M Ta iw an ea K or C hi na 0% 1999 2000 2001 Source: TFRC, USITC Our diamonds are almost entirely sent to other countries for reshipment, so we barely appear on this chart. The close relationship between the US and Israel supports the high level of diamond trade that flows from there. Market Share of US Imports of Diamonds, 1996-2001 Hs7102 US Mil$ 50% 40% 30% Size of Market 6,625 7,635 8,522 1996 1997 1998 Em 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 d 60% 12,093 9,929 1999 2000 10,656 2001 20% 10% 1996 ai la nd Th ad a C an nc e Fr a U ni te d A ra b itz er la n si a te d Sw R us m K in K g U ni H on gd o on g a A fr ic di a So ut h In m gi u B el Is ra el 0% 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Source: TFRC, USITC Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 5 Jewelry and the US GSP Gold and silver jewelry (HS 7113) exported to the US are increasing brought in under the Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) program designed to help developing countries. Thai Jewelry Imports to the US with and without GSP 700 600 Not GSP 182 200 500 400 186 300 200 249 250 291 467 425 307 GSP 100 106 66 119 1996 1997 1998 0 GSP 1999 2000 No program claimed 2001 Source: TFRC, USITC The above table hides the fact that SILVER jewelry mostly enters the US WITHOUT GSP benefits, while GOLD jewelry enters WITH benefits. That factor alone probably explains most of why gold jewelry is doing well while silver jewelry is not. See tables below for details. Chinese Jewelry does not receive US GSP benefits in any category, yet is still doing well. THAI EXPORTS - Share under US GSP Program 7103 Value US Mil$ Gemstones 7103 Grow th Rate (free anyway) Silver Jewelry (lost GSP for silver > 18$/doz) Gold Jewelry (regained GSP for gold jewelry) Imitation Jewelry (cheapest types free anyway) 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 133 147 143 153 175 2001 141 11% -3% 6% 14% -19% 7103 % GSP 0% 0% 4% 5% 1% 0% 7103 % Not GSP 100% 100% 96% 95% 99% 100% 7103 Market Share 24.9% 23.1% 23.3% 22.9% 24.6% 24.7% 711311 Value US Mil$ 122 148 153 160 175 171 711311 Grow th Rate 22% 3% 5% 9% -3% 711311 % GSP 80% 35% 7% 22% 22% 21% 711311 % Not GSP 20% 65% 93% 78% 78% 79% 711311 Market Share 30.9% 30.5% 28.9% 28.9% 28.2% 28.6% 711319 Value US Mil$ 232 478 711319 Grow th Rate 711319 % GSP 711319 % Not GSP 97% 94% 50% 18% 14% 10% 711319 Market Share 7.1% 6.2% 5.6% 7.7% 9.2% 10.2% 7117 Value US Mil$ 21 7117 Grow th Rate 7117 % GSP 7117 % Not GSP 7117 All Jewelry & Precious Stones 71 3% 208 215 332 449 -10% 4% 54% 35% 6% 6% 50% 82% 86% 90% 22 22 19 18 22 9% -3% -12% -5% 18% 91% 95% 94% 91% 84% 81% 9% 5% 6% 9% 16% 19% Market Share 4.5% 4.8% 4.4% 3.5% 3.0% 3.3% Value US Mil$ 555 557 566 704 869 840 0% 2% 24% 24% -3% 58% 71 Grow th Rate 71 % GSP 24% 17% 26% 48% 51% 71 % Not GSP 76% 83% 74% 52% 49% 42% 71 Market Share 3.3% 3.0% 2.6% 2.9% 2.9% 3.3% Data Source: USITC, Prepared by Thai Farmers Research Center Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 6 In the following tables, tariff rates for Thailand and some other countries are given for each Jewelry category. A zero tariff rate may be due to the GSP or to a variety of other US trade agreements. Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 7 Details about US GSP (or other tariffs) for Jewelry from Thailand and competing nations HTS Number Current Since Country (7113) Tariff (%) (at least) Silver rope, curb, etc. in continuous lengths, whether or not plated/clad with other precious metal, suitable for jewelry manufacture Value (US Th $) Thailand 142 World 4,785 MS Share in Year 2000 3.0% HS71131110 Canada 0 Jan-99 HS71131110 China 6.3 Jan-99 HS71131110 Dominican Rep 0 Jan-99 HS71131110 Hong Kong 6.3 Jan-99 HS71131110 India 0 Jan-99 HS71131110 Israel 0 Jan-99 HS71131110 Italy 6.3 Jan-99 HS71131110 Korea 6.3 Jan-99 HS71131110 Mexico 0 Jan-99 HS71131110 Thailand 0 Jan-99 HS71131110 Turkey 0 Jan-99 Silver articles of jewelry and parts thereof, nesoi, valued not over $18 per dozen pieces or parts Value (US Th $) Thailand 42,969 World 88,423 Share in Year 2000 48.6% HS71131120 Canada 0 Jan-99 HS71131120 China 13.5 Jan-99 HS71131120 Dominican Rep 0 Jan-99 HS71131120 Hong Kong 13.5 Jan-99 HS71131120 India 0 Jan-99 HS71131120 Israel 0 Jan-99 HS71131120 Italy 13.5 Jan-99 HS71131120 Korea 13.5 Jan-99 HS71131120 Mexico 0 Jan-99 HS71131120 Thailand 0 Jan-99 HS71131120 Turkey 0 Jan-99 Silver articles of jewelry and parts thereof, nesoi, valued over $18 per dozen pieces or parts Value (US Th $) Thailand 132,196 World 527,940 Share in Year 2000 25.0% HS71131150 Canada 0 Jan-98 HS71131150 China 5.0 Jan-98 HS71131150 Dominican Rep 0 Jan-98 HS71131150 Hong Kong 5.0 Jan-98 HS71131150 India 0 Jan-98 HS71131150 Israel 0 Jan-98 HS71131150 Italy 5.0 Jan-98 HS71131150 Korea 5.0 Jan-98 HS71131150 Mexico 0 Jan-98 HS71131150 Thailand 5.0 Jan-98 No GSP HS71131150 Turkey 0 Jan-98 Precious metal (o/than silver) rope, curb, etc. in continuous lengths, whether or not plated/clad precious metal, for jewelry manufacture Value (US Th $) Thailand 567 World 65,975 Share in Year 2000 0.9% HS71131910 Canada 0 Jan-95 HS71131910 China 7.0 Jan-95 HS71131910 Dominican Rep 0 Jan-95 HS71131910 Hong Kong 7.0 Jan-95 HS71131910 India 0 Jan-95 HS71131910 Israel 0 Jan-95 HS71131910 Italy 7.0 Jan-95 HS71131910 Korea 7.0 Jan-95 HS71131910 Mexico 0 Jan-95 HS71131910 Thailand 0 Jan-95 HS71131910 Turkey 0 Jan-95 Gold rope necklaces and neck chains Value (US Th $) Thailand 54 World 40,190 Share in Year 2000 0.1% HS71131921 Canada 0 Jan-99 HS71131921 China 5.0 Jan-99 HS71131921 Dominican Rep 0 Jan-99 HS71131921 Hong Kong 5.0 Jan-99 HS71131921 India 0 Jan-99 HS71131921 Israel 0 Jan-99 HS71131921 Italy 5.0 Jan-99 HS71131921 Korea 5.0 Jan-99 HS71131921 Mexico 0 Jan-99 HS71131921 Thailand 0 Jan-99 HS71131921 Turkey 0 Jan-99 Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry Details about US GSP (or other tariffs) for Jewelry from Thailand and competing nations Gold mixed link necklaces and neck chains Value (US Th $) Thailand 676 World 70,373 Share in Year 2000 1.0% HS71131925 Canada 0 Jul-00 HS71131925 China 5.8 Jul-00 HS71131925 Dominican Rep 0 Jul-00 HS71131925 Hong Kong 5.8 Jul-00 HS71131925 India 0 8/22/01 GSP reinstated HS71131925 Israel 0 Jul-00 HS71131925 Italy 5.8 Jul-00 HS71131925 Korea 5.8 Jul-00 HS71131925 Mexico 0 Jul-00 HS71131925 Thailand 0 Jul-00 HS71131925 Turkey 0 Jul-00 Gold necklaces and neck chains (o/than of rope or mixed links) Value (US Th $) Thailand 25,787 World 923,769 Share in Year 2000 2.8% HS71131929 Canada 0 Jan-97 HS71131929 China 5.5 Jan-97 HS71131929 Dominican Rep 0 Jan-97 HS71131929 Hong Kong 5.5 Jan-97 HS71131929 India 0 22-Aug-01 GSP reinstated (Last revoked in 7/14/98) HS71131929 Israel 0 Jan-97 HS71131929 Italy 5.5 Jan-97 HS71131929 Korea 5.5 Jan-97 HS71131929 Mexico 0 Jan-97 HS71131929 Thailand 0 Jan-97 HS71131929 Turkey 5.5 1-Jul-01 GSP Revoked Precious metal (o/than silver) clasps and parts thereof Value (US Th $) Thailand 567 World 33,936 Share in Year 2000 1.7% HS71131930 Canada 0 Jan-99 HS71131930 China 5.8 Jan-99 HS71131930 Dominican Rep 0 Jan-99 HS71131930 Hong Kong 5.8 Jan-99 HS71131930 India 0 Jan-99 HS71131930 Israel 0 Jan-99 HS71131930 Italy 5.8 Jan-99 HS71131930 Korea 5.8 Jan-99 HS71131930 Mexico 0 Jan-99 HS71131930 Thailand 0 Jan-99 HS71131930 Turkey 0 Jan-99 Precious metal (o/than silver) articles of jewelry and parts thereo, whether or not plated or clad with precious metal,nesoi Value (US Th $) Thailand 421,464 World 3,741,552 Share in Year 2000 11.3% HS71131950 Canada 0 Jan-98 HS71131950 China 5.5 Jan-98 HS71131950 Dominican Rep 5.5 Jan-98 No GSP HS71131950 Hong Kong 5.5 Jan-98 HS71131950 India 0 8/22/01 GSP Reinstated HS71131950 Israel 0 Jan-98 HS71131950 Italy 5.5 Jan-98 HS71131950 Korea 5.5 Jan-98 HS71131950 Mexico 0 Jan-98 HS71131950 Thailand 0 7/14/98 GSP Reinstated HS71131950 Turkey 5.5 6/30/98 No GSP Base metal clad w/precious metal, rope, curb & like articles in continuous lengths, suitable for use in jewelry manufacture Value (US Th $) Thailand 0 World 703 Share in Year 2000 0.0% HS71132010 Canada 0 Jan-94 HS71132010 China 7.0 Jan-94 HS71132010 Dominican Rep 0 Jan-94 HS71132010 Hong Kong 7.0 Jan-94 HS71132010 India 0 Jan-94 HS71132010 Israel 0 Jan-94 HS71132010 Italy 7.0 Jan-94 HS71132010 Korea 7.0 Jan-94 HS71132010 Mexico 0 Jan-94 HS71132010 Thailand 0 Jan-94 HS71132010 Turkey 0 Jan-94 8 Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 9 Details about US GSP (or other tariffs) for Jewelry from Thailand and competing nations Base metal clad Value (US Th $) HS71132021 HS71132021 HS71132021 HS71132021 HS71132021 HS71132021 HS71132021 HS71132021 HS71132021 HS71132021 HS71132021 Base metal clad Value (US Th $) HS71132025 HS71132025 HS71132025 HS71132025 HS71132025 HS71132025 HS71132025 HS71132025 HS71132025 HS71132025 HS71132025 Base metal clad Value (US Th $) HS71132029 HS71132029 HS71132029 HS71132029 HS71132029 HS71132029 HS71132029 HS71132029 HS71132029 HS71132029 HS71132029 Base metal clad Value (US Th $) HS71132030 HS71132030 HS71132030 HS71132030 HS71132030 HS71132030 HS71132030 HS71132030 HS71132030 HS71132030 HS71132030 Base metal clad Value (US Th $) HS71132050 HS71132050 HS71132050 HS71132050 HS71132050 HS71132050 HS71132050 HS71132050 HS71132050 HS71132050 HS71132050 w/gold rope necklaces and neck chains Thailand 0 World 57 Share in Canada 0 Jan-99 China 5.8 Jan-99 Dominican Rep 0 Jan-99 Hong Kong 5.8 Jan-99 India 0 8/22/01 GSP reinstated Israel 0 Jan-99 Italy 5.8 Jan-99 Korea 5.8 Jan-99 Mexico 0 Jan-99 Thailand 0 Jan-99 Turkey 0 Jan-99 w/gold mixed link necklaces and neck chains Thailand 0 World 645 Share in Canada 0 Jul-00 China 5.8 Jul-00 Dominican Rep 0 Jul-00 Hong Kong 5.8 Jul-00 India 0 8/22/01 GSP reinstated Israel 0 Jul-00 Italy 5.8 Jul-00 Korea 5.8 Jul-00 Mexico 0 Jul-00 Thailand 0 Jul-00 Turkey 0 Jul-00 w/gold necklaces and neck chains, nesoi Thailand 44 World 1,180 Share in Canada 0 Jan-99 China 5.2 Jan-99 Dominican Rep 0 Jan-99 Hong Kong 5.2 Jan-99 India 0 8/22/01 GSP reinstated Israel 0 Jan-99 Italy 5.2 Jan-99 Korea 5.2 Jan-99 Mexico 0 Jan-99 Thailand 0 Jan-99 Turkey 0 Jan-99 w/precious metal clasps and parts thereof Thailand 0 World 427 Share in Canada 0 Jan-99 China 5.8 Jan-99 Dominican Rep 0 Jan-99 Hong Kong 5.8 Jan-99 India 0 Jan-99 Israel 0 Jan-99 Italy 5.8 Jan-99 Korea 5.8 Jan-99 Mexico 0 Jan-99 Thailand 0 Jan-99 Turkey 0 Jan-99 w/precious metal articles of jewelry and parts thereof, nesoi Thailand 420 World 11,785 Share in Canada 0 Jan-99 China 5.2 Jan-99 Dominican Rep 0 Jan-99 Hong Kong 5.2 Jan-99 India 0 Jan-99 Israel 0 Jan-99 Italy 5.2 Jan-99 Korea 5.2 Jan-99 Mexico 0 Jan-99 Thailand 0 Jan-99 Turkey 0 Jan-99 Year 2000 0.0% Year 2000 0.0% Year 2000 3.7% Year 2000 0.0% Year 2000 3.6% Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 10 Details about Competition in the Silver Jewelry Category In silver chain, we have GSP benefits and pay zero tariffs. Countries who must pay tariffs of 6.3% ad valorem include Italy, Germany, and China. This category is small, almost beneath concern. Market Share of US Imports of Silver Chain, 1996-2001 Hs71131110 80% US Mil$ 14 Size of Market 12 70% 10 8 60% 12 6 4 50% 6 6 7 1997 1998 1999 2 5 4 2000 2001 0 40% 1996 30% 20% 10% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 ai la nd na Th Po C hi la n d y er m an a G Tu B ol rk iv i ey ad a C an ic o M ex di a In Ita ly 0% 2001 Source: TFRC, USITC In Silver Jewelry <18$/doz, we have US GSP benefits and China does not. Countries on this list with duty free status include India, Indonesia, Dominican Republic, Mexico, Mauritius, Turkey. Other countries on this list pay 13.5 percent! (Italy, China, Hong Kong) With (GSP) protection from China we are competing very strongly, even against other countries with zero tariffs. MS of US Imports of Silver Jewelry <18$/doz, 1996-2001 Hs71131120 60% US Mil$ 100 Size of Market 80 50% 60 84 88 81 1999 2000 2001 40 40% 20 59 49 34 0 30% 1996 1997 1998 20% 10% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 K on g ey rk Tu H on g M au rit iu s o ic ex M D om in ic an R ep a do ne si na di a In ly Ita C hi In Th ai la nd 0% Source: TFRC, USITC Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 11 In Silver Jewelry >18$/doz, we do NOT have US GSP benefits nor does China. This category accounts for most silver jewelry imports into the US. Countries on this list with duty free status include Mexico, Indonesia, India, Poland and Canada. Other countries on this list pay 5 percent ad valorem and include Italy, Thailand, China, Hong Kong, and Spain. Without a tariff differential we cannot compete with China. China, however, is doing fine even with the 5% tariff against others. MS of US Imports of Silver Jewelry >18$/doz, 1996-2001 Hs71131150 35% US Mil$ 600 Size of Market 500 30% 400 300 25% 200 348 431 464 463 1997 1998 1999 528 512 2000 2001 100 20% 0 1996 15% 10% 5% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 ad a C an nd la ai n 2001 Po K H on g Sp on g di a In In M do n es i a ic o ex na C hi ai la nd Th Ita ly 0% Source: TFRC, USITC Details about Competition in the Gemstone Category Note the amazing fall in demand for Rubies (Size of Market) over the past four years. We are doing very well in terms of market share for rubies with no significant competition, but the overall market is shrinking very Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 12 quickly. Market Share of US Imports of Rubies, 1996-2001 Hs7103910010 70% 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 60% 50% 40% US Mil$ Size of Market 119 111 110 86 85 1996 1997 1998 1999 68 2000 2001 30% 20% 10% 0% ) ia nd nd ng ar d om a a o l l n d m i I r K g n a e g in ya n itz Th K o (M d H Sw a te i m n U ur B 1996 1997 l ae r Is 1998 ce n a ly Ita 1999 Fr 2000 iu lg m e B i Sr k an a an rm L y e G Source: TFRC, USITC 2001 Sapphires enjoy much more stable demand, but the size of the market is not growing much. Again Thailand enjoys more than 50 percent of the market share, with the only possible threat from Sri Lanka, where exports have been increasing steadily. Market Share of US Imports of Sapphires, 1996-2001 Hs7103910020 70% US Mil$ 200 60% Size of Market 150 100 50% 50 40% 95 124 123 129 1997 1998 1999 156 122 0 1996 2000 2001 30% 20% 10% 1996 ly Ita y nc e Fr a m an m G er gi u ar ) B el el B ur m a (M ya nm ra Is gd om di a K in In U ni te d Th ai la nd Sr iL an Sw ka itz er la nd H on g K on g 0% 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Source: TFRC, USITC Emeralds come mainly from South America. Originally they were mostly from Colombia, and Colombian companies still control most of the marketing. The raw materials are more likely to Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 13 come from Brazil these days. Israel has recently invented a better technology for filling emerald cracks on a more permanent basis, which is probably why their market share is increasing. Market Share of US Imports of Emeralds, 1996-2001 Hs7103910030 45% 250 40% 200 US Mil$ Size of Market 150 35% 217 203 100 30% 195 183 176 1999 2000 141 50 25% 0 1996 1997 1998 2001 20% 15% 10% 5% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 bi a B el Za m gi u m ka iL an ai la nd Sr H on Th g K on g B ra zi l nd Sw C ol itz e rla In di a Is om bi a ra el 0% 2001 Source: TFRC, USITC We do not export pearls in any significant quantity. Note that Japan is rapidly losing market dominance with flat water pearls increasingly exported directly from Australia, and fresh water pearls increasingly coming from China, via Hong Kong. French Polynesia exports refer to the Tahitian black pearls. Market Share of US Imports of Pearls, 1996-2001 Hs7101 70% 500 60% 400 50% 200 US Mil$ Size of Market 300 100 40% 238 265 280 1996 1997 1998 385 391 1999 2000 321 0 2001 30% 20% 10% ai la nd pp in e Th s y ili Ph G er m an nc e Fr a a In do ne si d er itz Sw U ni te d la n m gd o yn e K in si a na ol K g C hi Fr P on g lia tr a H on A us Ja pa n 0% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Source: TFRC, USITC Other gems, refers to semiprecious gems, or gems that are not rubies, sapphires, pearls or emeralds. The market for these alternate gemstones is growing very quickly in the US. Meanwhile, India is Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 14 increasing its market share in this area extremely quickly. Why can’t Thailand cut more semiprecious stones? This is a big competitive threat which we could turn into an opportunity. Market Share of US Imports of Other Gems, 1996-2001 Hs710399 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 300 US Mil$ Size of Market 250 200 150 253 50 217 201 100 111 125 146 1996 1997 1998 2000 an iL Sr gd o U ni te d K in 2001 ka 1999 m lia tr a A us B ra zi l Ta nz an ia 1998 na C hi y m an er 1997 G ai la nd g on K g H on Th In di a 0 1996 1999 2000 2001 Source: TFRC, USITC Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 15 Details about Competition in the Gold Jewelry Category Somehow Thailand has made it to fourth in this category. Perhaps we are benefiting from Turkey’s misfortune in losing its GSP benefits for gold necklaces. Clearly Italy continues its dominance in this category. About half of Italy’s gold jewelry exports are gold necklaces, which are competitive, while their gold jewelry is less competitive. Market Share of US Imports, 1996-2001 Gold Necklaces & Chains HS 71131929 70% US Mil$ 1,000 Total Imports 800 60% 600 50% 400 663 750 1996 1997 931 933 924 1998 1999 2000 784 200 40% 0 2001 30% 20% 10% 1996 a es i In do n Fr C hi an na ce ru Pe di a In g on K H on g ai la nd l ae Th Tu Is r rk Ita ly ey 0% 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Source: TFRC, USITC This small category is a favorite with countries who have lost their GSP benefits for the more major categories. (India – mid-98 to mid-2001, Turkey – mid-01 to present) Market Share of US Imports, 1996-2001 HS 71131925 Gold Mixed Link Necklaces 90% US Mil$ 80 Total Imports 70 80% 60 50 70% 40 59 61 1996 1997 30 60% 72 65 70 72 1998 1999 2000 2001 20 10 50% 0 40% 30% 20% 10% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 ia bo d C am m an O a C ol om bi or ua d Ec ai la nd Th n Pa ki st a di a In el ra ly Ita Is Tu rk ey 0% Source: TFRC, USITC Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 16 It looks like some Indians have figured out how to make gold clasps. If they can do it, can’t we? Market Share of US Imports, 1996-2001 Gold Clasps HS 71131930 80% US Mil$ 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 70% 60% 50% 40% Total Imports 29 27 1996 1997 35 36 34 36 1998 1999 2000 2001 30% 20% 10% 1996 1998 1999 2000 ru Pe nd rla itz e au Sw M G 1997 rit iu s y er m an ra el Is on H on g K Ja pa g n ey rk Tu In di a Ita ly 0% 2001 Source: TFRC, USITC India has regained GSP benefits this year for Gold Jewelry, so they may be a big threat. China has the fastest growth on this chart. Market Share of US Imports, 1996-2001 Gold Jewelry HS 71131950 35% US Mil$ 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 30% 25% 20% Total Imports 2,293 2,354 2,659 1996 1997 1998 3,148 1999 3,742 3,721 2000 2001 15% 10% 5% M ex i co ea K or ep R ca n D om in i C an ad a el g Is ra na C hi g on 1997 K 1996 H on ai la nd Th di a In Ita ly 0% 1998 1999 2000 2001 Source: TFRC, USITC Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 17 Gold rope, either continuous or in necklaces seems to be mostly a Latin American phenomenon. The following two charts both show small categories, probably supported by local fashions. Market Share of US Imports, 1996-2001 Precious Metal Rope - Continuous HS 71131910 70% US Mil$ 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 60% 50% 40% Total Imports 145 109 1996 102 1997 1998 89 1999 66 60 2000 2001 30% 20% 10% A fr So ut h M ex ic ic a o y G er C an In m an di a ad a ia B ol iv ly Ita ey Zi Tu rk bw m ba Pe ru e 0% 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 60 US Mil$ 2001 Source: TFRC, USITC Market Share of US Imports, 1996-2001 HS 71131921 Gold Rope Necklaces 60% Total Imports 50 50% 40 30 56 38 38 41 40 1997 1998 1999 2000 20 40% 33 10 0 30% 1996 2001 20% 10% 1996 1997 1998 th A fr ic a ad a So u C an rk ey Tu a iv i B ol an a sw B ot bw e m ba Zi Ita ly el Is ra Pe ru In di a 0% 1999 2000 2001 Source: TFRC, USITC Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry Japan 18 This chart makes it clear that Thailand’s competitive position in the Japanese market is NOT about prices, as most imports come from more expensive developed countries. Japanese consumers care about brands and fashion which probably explains the move towards jewelry from developed countries. The jump in jewelry last year is likely due to the low returns on other forms of investment during the 2001 recession and concerns about potential weakness in the Yen. Market Share of Japanese Imports Total Imports 15% 10% 5% 1994 1996 1997 IA IN D IN A C H K O R EA A IN SP IT Z ER LA N D IL A N D . TH A N G 1995 SW 1993 U .S .A O N G K E H O FR A N C IT A LY 0% 1998 1999 2000 2001 Source: Thai Farmers Research Center, Japan Customs 75.9 2001 52.7 2000 49.3 53.6 1998 1999 60.4 1997 74.3 1996 20% 70.0 1993 25% 56.4 40 20 0 30% 1995 Bil Yen 66.0 35% ARTICLES OF JEWELLERY 80 60 OF GOLD 1994 711319029 Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 19 30.0 2001 23.7 23.6 1999 2000 19.3 1998 1997 12.8 1996 9.2 1995 7.1 40% 1994 5.5 1993 6.2 The market for silver jewelry has been increasing steadily, as a cheaper alternative to gold. Silver jewelry is more important as a proportion of total jewelry than in any other major market in this report. Brands and fashion are again important, with the US taking the lion’s share. of the market. Thailand lost market share through the early 1990s, and now just holds steady. Interestingly, there is little sign of Chinese silver jewelry expanding as seen in other countries. Market Share of Japanese Imports Total Imports - 711311000 ARTICLES OF 40 Bil Yen 30 JEWELLERY OF SILVER 60% 20 50% 10 0 30% 20% 10% 1994 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 M K IN G D O K A R D EN M N G K O N G IN A G R C H EE C E E H O 1995 U N IT ED 1993 FR A N C SP A IN IL A N D TH A IT A LY U .S .A . 0% Source: Thai Farmers Research Center, Japan Customs China dominates the imitation jewelry market as it does in almost every country. Market share jumped especially last year. Thailand’s market share is very small but is increasing slowly. Market Share of Japanese Imports - 7117 IMITATION JEWELRY 20 10 Total Imports 15.9 15.2 15.8 18.5 1998 1999 2000 2001 1998 1999 2000 Ta iwa n Th ail Un an ite dK d ing do m Ca na da an y Ge rm Ita ly tes ite d Sta ou th Un Ko rea ,S nc e 0 Fra Ch ina 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Bil Yen 2001 Source: Thai Farmers Research, Japan Customs Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 20 Market Share of Japanese Imports 10 711719090 IMITATION JEWELLERY EXCLUDING CUFFLINKS, NO PRECIOUS 5 50% METAL 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Total Imports Bil Yen 2.6 3.4 3.0 2.9 3.2 3.9 3.6 4.5 6.6 2001 1999 1997 ING D HO OM NG KO NG 1995 D UN ITE DK TH ISR AIL AN AE L N IW A TA ITA LY .A. U.S CE AN 1994 FR KO RE 1993 CH INA A 1993 0 2000 2001 Source: Thai Farmers Research Center, Japan Customs Market Share of Japanese Imports Total Imports 20 15 10 5 0 7.7 8.7 1997 2001 11.0 1996 6.6 13.0 1995 15.0 1993 20% 9.5 25% Bil Yen 1994 711719010 IMITATION JEWELLERY PLATED WITH PRECIOUS METAL 30% 2000 1999 7.1 1998 1999 1997 8.6 1996 1998 1995 15% 10% 5% 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 N A TA IW M K IN G D O ED IL A N D TH A A D A C A N N Y M A G ER IT A LY K O R EA IN A C H . 1994 U N IT 1993 U .S .A FR A N C E 0% Source: Thai Farmers Research Center, Japan Customs Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 21 9.3 2001 10.1 2000 11.6 1999 9.7 1998 1997 1996 17.2 28.6 29.2 1995 1994 1993 40% 34.9 35.0 Thailand is the leader in the market for rubies, sapphires and emeralds with more than 50 percent of the market. Unfortunately the market has all but collapsed with imports less than 1/3 of their 1996 level. Market Share of Japanese Imports Total Imports - 710391000 WORKED RUBIES 40 Bil Yen 30 SAPPHIRES AND EMERALDS 60% 20 50% 10 0 30% 20% 10% 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 BE LG IU M L BR A ZI U .S .A IT Z IN D . ER LA N D IA E FR A N C N K A A SR IL K N G H O 1994 SW 1993 O N G BI A LO M C O TH A IL A N D 0% Source: Thai Farmers Research Center, Japan Customs The market for semi-precious stones also fell dramatically after 1996, but has been steady for a number of years. The leading supplier is Hong Kong, almost certainly acting as a entrepot for Thai stones as well as Chinese ones. Our market share was increasing but has fallen in each of the past two years. Market Share of Japanese Imports Total Imports 12.3 12.5 12.6 1999 2000 2001 11.1 1998 1997 16.1 22.1 19.6 1996 25% 1995 1993 30% 18.0 35% 1994 40% Bil Yen 16.3 25 20 15 10 5 0 - 710399000 WORKED SEMIPRECIOUS STONES 20% 15% 10% 5% 1996 1998 1999 2000 2001 EX IC O M A N K A . SR IL U .S .A IN A C H M A N Y L IA 1997 G ER 1995 BR A ZI 1994 IN D A R A LI IL A N D A U ST 1993 TH A H O N G K O N G 0% Source: Thai Farmers Research Center, Japan Customs Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 22 33.0 2001 26.4 23.1 1999 2000 23.1 1998 23.8 24.2 1996 1997 19.3 1995 40% 1994 1993 13.0 20.0 What did Thailand do to lose the market for platinum jewelry? In 1993 we were the leading supplier to Japan, with a steady and drastic decline ever since. It is most likely this is due to VAT taxes on platinum, which makes it inefficient to work with expensive metals here. The US has been the clear winner. Market Share of Japanese Imports Total Imports - 711319010 ARTICLES OF 40 Bil Yen 30 JEWELLERY OF PLATINUM 70% 20 60% 10 0 50% 30% 20% 10% 1995 1997 1998 1999 M ED K IN G D O IA IN D IN A IT A LY SW 1996 2000 U N IT 1994 C H N G K SP H O 1993 IT ZE R LA N D TH A IL A N D O N G A IN E FR A N C U .S .A . 0% Source: Thai Farmers Research Center, Japan Customs 2001 137.0 147.3 128.9 117.6 1998 1999 2000 2001 236.2 173.8 1997 25% 1996 0 223.1 30% 1994 100 214.0 35% 1993 200 1995 NONINDUSTRIAL, WORKED 40% 240.4 The diamond import market has been decreasing for years. Japanese are buying more diamonds directly from India, as well as from Israel, while Belgian sales are slumping. Thailand is a small but steady supplier in this slumping market. Market Share of Japanese Imports Total Imports 710239000 DIAMONDS, 300 Bil Yen 20% 15% 10% 5% 1994 1995 1996 1998 1999 2000 2001 H ER LA N D S IA N R U SS A R A LI A U ST ER LA N D IT Z SW 1997 N ET 1993 IL A N D . TH A U .S .A O N G K H O N G LG IU M BE IS R A EL IN D IA 0% Source: Thai Farmers Research Center, Japan Customs Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 23 Tahitian pearls seem to be losing their lustre, while Australian south seas pearls are imported in increasing numbers. Imports from China are down, but imports from Hong Kong’s are up, and it is likely that the Chinese fresh water pearls are coming in that way. Market Share of Japanese Imports Total Imports 40 Bil Yen 20 33.9 36.5 35.2 29.1 1998 1999 2000 2001 0 Fre nc h Oc ea nia Au str ali a Ind on es ia Ho ng Ko ng Ch i Ph na ilip p Un ines ite dS t Co ates ok Isla nd s Vie tna m My an ma r 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% - 7101 PEARLS, NATURAL OR CULTURED, NOT STRUNG 1998 1999 2000 2001 Source: Thai Farmers Research, Japan Customs Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry Japanese Jewelry Tariffs, 2001 Developed countries (WTO1) Pearls Free Diamonds Free Gems Free Silver Jewelry 6.2 Gold Jewelry 6.2 Imitation Jewelry 5.6 Platinum Jewelry 6.2 Less Developed Countries (WTO2) Free Free Free 5.2 5.4 3.7 5.2 24 Preferential Free Free Free 2.08 or free 2.08 or free 0.74 or free 2.08 or free Thailand falls under the Less Developed Countries (WTO2) section for all products. There is also a 5 percent consumption tax that must be paid. Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 25 Europe Europe is the second biggest market for Thai jewelry after the US. Although data for the European Union as a whole are available, they are not timely since Eurostat must wait for reports from all of its member countries, and because all official documents must be issued in many languages simultaneously. In this report data is given for the four biggest countries in Europe separately. These four countries make up about 60% of the total European market for jewelry. Half of the rest (20% of European imports) goes to Switzerland, but since Switzerland has quite a small population (7 million), the majority of its jewelry imports are probably re-exported. The tables in the Europe section are arranged as follows: Gold Jewelry British German French Italian Silver Jewelry British German French Italian European Jewelry Imports from the World Million Euro British German French Gold 1391 (86%) 515 (62%) 581 (74%) Silver 73 (5%) 136 (16%) 56 (7%) Imitation 160 (10%) 181 (22%) 153 (19%) Total 1624 832 790 in 2000 Italian 235 (69%) 38 (11%) 67 (20%) 339 Source: Thai Farmers Research Center after Eurostat and HM Excise data Notes: ** In those cases in which Sterling has been changed to Euro, the conversion rate used was .61 GBP = 1 EUR which is approximately the exchange rate for 2000. ** In some cases, the UK appears as one of the exporting countries to itself. That is because the United Kingdom is actually made up of four countries - England, Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland – so that it is possible to have international trade WITHIN the UK. This paper will consider them as a single group. European Jewelry Tariffs, 2001 Conventional Pearls Free Diamonds Free Gems Free Silver Jewelry 2.5 Gold Jewelry 2.5 Imitation Jewelry 4.0 GSP Free Free Free < 2.5 < 2.5 <4 Thailand does NOT receive GSP benefits (since 1998), unlike many other developing countries. Tariffs are based on the CIF value, not on the FOB value as in US. (That is, tariffs are charged on the value of the merchandise including insurance and freight, not just on the invoice value of the product when shipped from, e.g. Thailand) Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry Exporters to Europe should be aware of the high VAT rates which all jewelry imports must pay: VAT rates by country are as follows: VAT rates in the EU Standard VAT* Reduced VAT* Austria 20% 10% Belgium 21% 12% Denmark 25% Finland 22% 17% France 19.60% 5.50% Germany 16% 7% Greece 18% 8% Iceland 24.50% Ireland 21% 10% Italy 20% 9% Luxembourg 15% 6% Netherlands 19% 6% Norway 23% Portugal 17% Spain 16% 7% Sweden 25% 12% EU Member Switzerland United Kingdom 4-5% 7.50% 2% 17.50% 0-5% Source: Trade Information Center, US Dept of Commerce Jewelry is subject to the general VAT which is applied on the CIF value of the goods PLUS any tariffs. Reduced VAT are only for some necessities including foodstuffs, electricity, heat, lumber, books, etc. Domestic producers also have to pay VAT, so that the price differential between domestic production and imports is not too great. However, the high cost for all jewelry probably discourages consumption. 26 Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 27 Gold Jewelry Mil Euro Gold Jewelry 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 Import Value in 2000 20% 17.7% 18% 16% 14% 12% 10% 7.3% 8.5% 8% 6% 3.6% World Thailand Thai Share 4% 2% 0% British German French Italian Source: TFRC, Eurostat, HM Excise The British purchase by far the most gold jewelry of the major European markets. Even excluding internal trade within the UK (20-25%) the British are clearly the leading country for gold jewelry imports. Unfortunately, Thailand has only a small share (3.6%) of this market. Thailand is much more successful in Germany. The British are buying mostly from Switzerland (may include re-exports from Thailand), from the US and from Italy. India also has a much greater share of this market than Thailand does, probably due to post-colonial connections. Over the past four years, Thailand’s market share has shown an overall increasing trend, except in France where it is decreasing. The gold jewelry market is growing most quickly in France and in Italy. Overall, the market grew 20 percent since 1998. The market for gold jewelry in Europe is roughly 8 times as big as the market for silver jewelry, or four times as big as for imitation jewelry. However it must be recognized that gold jewelry is much more valuable, with gold roughly 100 times as valuable as silver. Therefore, in terms of quantity we can estimate that roughly 12 times more silver jewelry is sold than gold jewelry. The ratio for costume jewelry will be much higher with volumes 100s or 1,000s of times higher. Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 28 The biggest exporter to the UK is itself - an oddity which is possible because the UK is made up of four smaller countries. Although England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland use the same passport, are considered as separate countries. The mix of big (developed country) exporters suggest that brands may be important. Market Share of BRITISH Imports 1999 2000 2001 Est 2000 .E. ba i (U. A Ch ng K Du Ho 1999 ) 1998 ina 862.4 Th ail an d 869.2 on g nc e Fra Ind ia Ita ly 1998 1,190.7 1,134.9 Source: Thai Farmers Research, HM Customs & Excise Un ite d Kin gd om Sw itz erl Un and ite dS tat es 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Total Imports Mil UK 1,500 1,000 500 0 71131900 GOLD JEWELLERY AND PARTS THEREOF 2001 Germany is Thailand’s best gold jewelry market in Europe. Thai market share has increased in each of the past two years, although the overall market has stagnated. The recession in Germany has kept demand for most categories of jewelry weak, with silver jewelry performing best. Market Share of GERMAN Imports 458.3 492.2 514.7 409.2 1998 1999 2000 2001 Est mi ... Un ite d Ar ab E on g ng K Sta Ma lay sia Total Imports Ho Un ite d Ind ia y Tu rke ina Ch Th ail an d Sw itz erl an d Ita ly 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Mil Euro tes 600 400 200 0 71131900 GOLD JEWELLERY AND PARTS THEREOF 1998 1999 2000 2001 Source: Thai Farmers Research Center, Eurostat Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 29 Thai gold jewelry exports to France have been increasing slowly, but not nearly as fast as the market for gold jewelry imports overall, resulting in falling Thai market share. Market Share of French Imports 71131900 GOLD JEWELLERY AND PARTS THEREOF 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1,000 Mil Euro 500 Total Imports 406.6 469.5 581.3 696.9 1998 1999 2000 2001 Est an y Ge rm Sp ain Th ail an d Ma uri tiu s Vie tna m Un ite dS tat es Kin gd om ina Ch ite d Un Sw itz erl an d Ita ly 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 Source: Thai Farmers Research Center, Eurostat Italy is the world’s biggest exporter of gold jewelry, so it is not surprising that their imports of gold jewelry are low. Rapidly rising imports from Turkey may suggest subcontracting of gold chain work by Italian companies. Strong trade between France and Italy in many categories suggests similarities in fashion tastes. Total Imports 151.4 159.2 234.6 279.2 1998 1999 2000 2001 Est 1999 2000 Sp ain Sta ite d Un 1998 Mil Euro Th ai Un ite land dK ing do Ho m ng Un K ite d A ong rab Em i... tes y Tu rke nc e Fra Sw itz erl an d 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 300 200 100 0 el 71131900 GOLD JEWELLERY AND PARTS THEREOF Isr a Market Share of ITALIAN Imports 2001 Source: Thai Farmers Research Center, Eurostat Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 30 Silver Jewelry Mil Euro Silver Jewelry 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Import Value in 2000 60% 50.6% 50% 40% 31.1% 28.4% 30% 28.1% 20% World Thailand Thai Share 10% 0% British German French Italian Source: TFRC, Eurostat, HM Excise Thailand is the world’s biggest exporter of silver jewelry, and is the largest exporter to each of Europe’s four major markets. Germany, again, is Thailand’s largest customer, although market share is highest in Britain. Market share has been roughly stable or increasing slightly in all four of the markets. Overall the market for silver jewelry has been doing very well, increasing significantly in all four markets. The recession in late 2000 and 2001 may have encouraged this trend, as consumers shifted from gold jewelry. Overall, silver jewelry imports into these four markets rose an astonishing 76 percent since 1998, in Euro terms. Germans are by far the biggest users of silver jewelry, with double the imports of Britain or France. As a big exporter of silver jewelry, again Italian imports are the lowest of the four. Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 31 Thailand dominates the market for silver jewelry imports in Britain with more than 50 percent of the market for the last four years. China’s market share is rising but with less than 5 percent of the market, the threat seems far off. Market Share of BRITISH Imports 45.4 48.1 1998 1999 2000 2001 Est on g ng K Ho Po lan Ge rm d 39.2 Sp ain 36.9 an y tes Sta ina Total Imports Un ite d Ch Me xic o Ind ia Ita ly 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Th ail an d Mil UK 60 40 20 0 71131100 SILVER JEWELLERY AND PARTS THEREOF Source: Thai Farmers Research, HM Customs & Excise In Germany, the threat from China is much more apparent, with China approaching Thai market share. China’s market share was growing extremely quickly until 2000, but fell off slightly last year. Between them, Thailand and China account for about 60 percent of the German import market. 1998 1999 2000 2001 Market Share of GERMAN Imports 71131100 40% SILVER JEWELLERY AND PARTS THEREOF Total Imports 200 Mil Euro 100 83.8 106.9 136.1 145.7 1998 1999 2000 2001 Est 0 30% 20% 10% 1998 1999 2000 on g Sw itz erl an d Ind on es ia Ne the rla nd s Ho ng K Ind ia d Po lan tes Un ite d Sta Ita ly ina Ch Th ail an d 0% 2001 Source: Thai Farmers Research Center, Eurostat Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 32 In France, Italian silver jewelry is still quite popular, although market share has been falling in recent years. Chinese market share is growing, but at about 6 percent, it is far behind Thailand’s 30+ percent in 2001. Market Share of FRENCH Imports 71131100 SILVER JEWELLERY AND PARTS THEREOF Mil Euro 50 33.8 42.5 56.0 62.9 1998 1999 2000 2001 Est 1998 1999 2000 Sw ce itz erl Un an ite dK d ing do m Un ite dS tat es Gr ee Sp ain Tu nis ia Po lan d Ch ina 0 Ita ly Th ail an d 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Total Imports 100 2001 Source: Thai Farmers Research Center, Eurostat In Italy, Chinese jewelry is growing very rapidly. As a fading major producer, it is very likely that this represents outsourcing by Italian companies. At current growth rates, China’s market share could overtake Thailand in 3 years. Market Share of ITALIAN Imports 1999 2000 Total Imports 28.0 37.8 45.1 1998 1999 2000 2001 Est on g ng K Ho Ind on es ia Ma uri tiu s 16.5 an y Ge rm Fra nc e tes Sta Un ite d Ind ia ina Sw itz erl an d Ch Th ail an d 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 1998 Mil Euro 60 40 20 0 71131100 SILVER JEWELLERY AND PARTS THEREOF 2001 Source: Thai Farmers Research Center, Eurostat Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 33 Imitation Jewelry Imitation Jewelry Import Value in 2000 200 5% 4% 3.8% Mil Euro 150 4% 3.4% 3% 100 World 3% 2.4% 2.0% 2% 2% 50 Thailand Thai Share 1% 1% 0 0% British German French Italian Source: TFRC, Eurostat, HM Excise The market for imitation jewelry in Europe is roughly twice the size in terms of value as the market for silver jewelry. Most of the market is spread more or less evenly, between Britain, Germany, and France. Interestingly, all of these four major markets also produce costume jewelry for export. The costume jewelry market has been increasing well in Europe with a 47 percent increase over 1998 levels. However, exports in 2001 were not particularly higher than 2000 due to the recession. China is by far the biggest producer of costume jewelry in the world and is the biggest player in all but one of these markets. Thailand has shown small but growing market share in England and Germany, stagnant market share in Italy and falling market share in France. Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 34 China dominates the UK costume jewelry market with market share now approaching 40 percent. In second place, Korea is increasing its market share, as it its in most European markets. Thailand has only a few percent of the market but has done well in recent years. Market Share of BRITISH Imports 150 100 50 0 7117 IMITATION JEWELRY 40% 30% Total Imports Mil UK 71.7 75.0 99.3 104.9 1998 1999 2000 2001 Est 20% 10% Ita ly Th ail an d Ge rm Cz an ec hR y ep ub lic Ta iwa n Ind ia ng K on g tes Ho Sta ite d ou th Un rea ,S Ko Ch ina 0% Source: Thai Farmers Research, HM Customs & Excise Austria was traditionally a key producer of costume jewelry for the European market, but now Germany is the only country where it maintains its (diminishing) lead. Austria is losing out to China. 1998 1999 2000 2001 Market Share of GERMAN Imports - 7117 IMITATION JEWELRY 200 100 135.8 168.8 180.9 175.7 1998 1999 2000 2001 Est nc e Fra gd om Kin Ita ly Un ite d rla nd s Th ail Un and ite dS tat es Ne the ng K on g ou th Ho Ko rea ,S ina 0 Ch Au str ia 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Total Imports Mil Euro 1998 1999 2000 2001 Source: Thai Farmers Research Center, Eurostat Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 35 China again. Austria second. Thailand fading. Market Share of French Imports - 7117 IMITATION JEWELRY 200 100 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Mil Euro Total Imports 104.8 117.7 152.8 152.2 1998 1999 2000 2001 Est 1998 1999 2000 Ho ng K on g Sp ain Be lgi Un um ite dK ing do m Th ail an d ou th Ko rea ,S Ita ly an y Ge rm str ia Au Ch ina 0 2001 Source: Thai Farmers Research Center, Eurostat The country with the most dramatic evidence of China’s ascendance in costume jewelry. The only question is why did it take so long compared to in the US? Market Share of ITALIAN Imports 7117 IMITATION JEWELRY 40% Total Imports 100 Mil Euro 50 42.8 46.5 66.6 90.2 1998 1999 2000 2001 Est 0 30% 20% 10% 1998 1999 2000 tes Sta Un ite d an y on g Ge rm Ho ng K Sp ain Ind Cz i ec hR a ep u Ko blic rea ,S ou th nc e Fra str ia Au Ch ina 0% 2001 Source: Thai Farmers Research Center, Eurostat Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 36 Rubies, Sapphires, and Emeralds Precious Gems Import Value in 2000 120 50% 47.1% Mil Euro 45% 42.9% 100 40% 35% 80 30% 60 25% 20% 40 20 World Thailand Thai Share 15% 10.6% 10.1% 10% 5% 0 0% British German French Italian Source: TFRC, Eurostat, HM Excise France is by far the biggest European importer of Rubies, Sapphires and Emeralds. Thailand does not appear to have a large share of the French market, although it is likely that more than half of these gems do actually originate from Thailand, and have been re-exported through Switzerland. In fact, careful attention to the statistics show almost no precious gems coming from India and Sri Lanka, competitors for the ruby and sapphire market. Likewise, emerald exporters such as Columbia and Israel do not have a large market share. In sum, it is likely that more than half of this category are rubies and sapphires originating from Thailand. Other than in France, the precious gem market has been mostly stagnant in Europe. French demand has grown significantly since 1998, resulting in an aggregate increase in the four biggest markets of 27 percent since 1998, but the change is almost entirely due to a single market. Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 37 Switzerland appears to be acting as a re-exporter for both the British and French markets. Thai market share is doubtless much higher. Market Share of BRITISH Imports 1998 1999 1998 1999 2000 2001 Est lom b Sin ga po re 41.6 Ind ia 29.9 ia 45.1 Co ng K Ho 2000 42.0 on g nc e Fra Sw itz erl Un an ite dK d ing do m Un ite dS tat es Th ail an d Sri La nk a 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Total Imports Mil UK 60 40 20 0 71039100 RUBIES, SAPPHIRES AND EMERALDS, WORKED Source: Thai Farmers Research, HM Customs & Excise 2001 Demand for precious gems is low and has been stagnant. Germans are more likely to import gems directly from Thailand than through a re-exporter. Market Share of GERMAN Imports 26.2 1998 1999 2000 2001 Est Kin Br lom b Un ite d Be lgi um 26.6 gd om 26.7 azi l 29.8 Co La nk a Sri on g Ho ng K Ind ia Th ail an d Sw itz erl Un and ite dS tat es 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Total Imports Mil Euro ia 32 30 28 26 24 71039100 RUBIES, SAPPHIRES AND EMERALDS, WORKED 1998 1999 2000 2001 Source: Thai Farmers Research Center, Eurostat Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 38 More than 60 percent of precious stones come from Switzerland, which is not know for processing stones itself. Is France the only place in the world where demand for rubies and sapphires is increasing? Market Share of French Imports Mil Euro 1998 1999 2000 Total Imports 106.8 97.6 1998 1999 2000 2001 Est Br Ge rm azi l 69.8 an y 59.5 Sw itz erl an d Th ail an d Be lg Un ium ite dS Un tat e ite dK s ing do m Sri La nk a Ho ng Ko ng 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 150 100 50 0 Ita ly 71039100 RUBIES, SAPPHIRES AND EMERALDS, WORKED 2001 Source: Thai Farmers Research Center, Eurostat Italians appear to import their precious gems directly. Many are probably used as raw materials in Italian jewelry for export. Market Share of ITALIAN Imports 71039100 RUBIES, SAPPHIRES AND EMERALDS, WORKED Mil Euro Total Imports 26.9 39.5 28.7 1998 1999 2000 2001 Est Sw ia itz erl Un and ite dS tat es Au str ia Ho ng Ko ng Ge rm an y Fra nc e 21.4 lom b Co Ind ia el Isr a Th ail an d 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 60 40 20 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 Source: Thai Farmers Research Center, Eurostat Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 39 Semi-Precious Stones Semi-Precious Gems Import Value in 2000 30 25% Mil Euro 25 20 19.9% 19.5% 20% 17.5% 15% 15 10% 9.2% 10 World Thailand Thai Share 5% 5 0 0% British German French Italian Source: TFRC, Eurostat, HM Excise Demand for semi-precious gems has been growing more steadily and more widely than demand for precious gems in Europe. Aggregate statistics, however, do not show much difference with 27 percent growth since 1998. In terms of value, total imports of semi-precious gems are worth about half as much as precious gems. Together precious and semi-precious gems are worth about as much as imports of silver jewelry. The biggest markets are Germany , Italy, and Britain in that order. It appears that only precious gems will satisfy the French, while other countries use more semi-precious stones. Thailand’s market share has generally been increasing in this category except for in Germany. The swift increase in Indian exports in this category is not as dramatic as in US statistics, but India is ahead of Thailand in most of these markets with positive change in its market share. The large quantity of exports from Germany into other main markets suggests that Germany is acting as a reexporter in this category. Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 40 Switzerland as a re-exporter? Indian market share is increasing steadily. Thailand was doing very well until this past year. Market Share of BRITISH Imports 20 71039900 SEMI-PRECIOUS STONES, WORKED 10 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Total Imports Mil UK 15.9 15.0 13.4 18.7 1998 1999 2000 2001 Est 1999 2000 ina Ch Th ail an d Sri La Un nk ite dK a ing do m Sw ed en on g ng K tes 1998 Ho ite d Sta an y Un Ge rm Ind ia Sw itz erl an d 0 Source: Thai Farmers Research, HM Customs & Excise 2001 Thailand fell from number one supplier this past year. Market Share of GERMAN Imports 71039900 SEMI-PRECIOUS STONES, WORKED 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Mil Euro 20 25.9 24.0 28.4 29.7 1998 1999 2000 2001 Est 1998 1999 2000 ia Sw itz erl an d str al Au ina Ch Ca na da Ind ia Th ail Un and ite dS tat es Ho ng Ko Un n ite dK g ing do m 0 azi l Br Total Imports 40 2001 Source: Thai Farmers Research Center, Eurostat Competitive Position of Thailand’s Jewelry Industry 41 Thailand increasing nicely. Market Share of French Imports ng K on g azi l Total Imports 5.8 7.3 10.3 11.5 1998 1999 2000 2001 Est Vir Ho Br Sw itz erl an d Th ail an d Ind ia Ge rm an y 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Mil Euro Ita gin ly Isl an ds (... Be lgi um Un ite dS tat es 15 10 5 0 71039900 SEMI-PRECIOUS STONES, WORKED 1998 1999 2000 2001 Source: Thai Farmers Research Center, Eurostat Thailand is neck and neck with India. Market Share of ITALIAN Imports 1998 1999 2000 2001 Est Kin Un ite d Sta ite d Un Ke ny a 24.3 gd om 26.5 tes 17.5 ina 18.3 Ch azi l Br Th ail an d Ho ng Ko ng Sw itz erl an d Ind ia Ge rm an y 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Total Imports Mil Euro 30 20 10 0 71039900 SEMI-PRECIOUS STONES, WORKED 1998 1999 2000 2001 Source: Thai Farmers Research Center, Eurostat