INTRODUCTORY STATISTICS Chapter 6 THE NORMAL DISTRIBUTION PowerPoint Image Slideshow FIGURE 6.1 If you ask enough people about their shoe size, you will find that your graphed data is shaped like a bell curve and can be described as normally distributed. (credit: Ömer Ünlü) A NORMAL DISTRIBUTION NORMAL DISTRIBUTION AND THE 68-95-99.7 RULE The mean, µ, is in the center. In general, • 68% of data falls within one standard deviation • 95% of data falls within two standard deviations • 99.7% of data falls within three standard deviations Z-SCORES Z-scores are used to evaluate how far something is from the mean with normal distributions often. Recall: a value’s z-score = 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒−𝜇 𝜎 Example: If heights are normally distributed with a mean of 67 inches and a standard deviation of 4, calculate the z-scores for the following heights: a) 62 in. b) 70 in. c) 75 in. Which height would be considered the most unusual? EXAMPLE: Scores on a standardized test are normally distributed with a mean of 54 and a standard deviation of 7. If X = a student’s score, then we would write 𝑋~𝑁(54,7). Calculate the z-scores for the following results: a) 35 b) 77 c) 90 d) You received an 62 on the particular test. Your parents are upset. Justify mathematically to them why your score isn’t so bad. PRACTICE: Olivia’s school has an average GPA of 3.0 with a 0.7 standard deviation. She has a GPA of 3.2. Sam’s school has an average GPA of 2.7 with a 0.3 standard deviation. Sam has a GPA of 2.9. Who has the best GPA and why? SECTION 6.3: USING THE NORMAL DISTRIBUTION Distribution is written as X~𝑁(𝑚𝑒𝑎𝑛, 𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑎𝑟𝑑 𝑑𝑒𝑣𝑖𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛) TOTAL AREA ADDS UP TO 1 Probability to the right is always 1 - P(X<x) Ex. P(X>65) = 1- P(X<65) USING A CALCULATOR TO COMPUTE PROBABILITY Go to 2nd Dist and choose normalcdf( Enter normalcdf(lower value, uppervalue, mean, standard deviation) Ex. For an exam, scores are normally distributed with a mean of 71 and standard deviation of 5. Calculate: a) The probability of scoring less than 60. b) Normalcdf(0,60,71,5)=0.139 The probability of scoring less than 80. Normalcdf(0,80,71,5)=0.964 c) The probability of scoring more than 80. 1-0.964=0.036 or Normalcdf(80,1EE99,71,5)=0.036 d) The probability of scoring more than 90 Normalcdf(90,1EE99,71,5)=7.237x10-5 (which is practically 0) USING A CALCULATOR TO FIND PERCENTILES The invNorm( function allows you to find a percentile value. Enter invNorm(area to the left, mean, standard deviation) Ex. In this example, find the 90th percentile if the mean is 63 and the standard deviation is 9. (𝑋~𝑁(63,9)) invNorm(0.9,63,9)=74.534 EXAMPLE Heights for a school are normally distributed with a mean of 65 inches and a standard deviation of 7inches. a) Write the distribution b) Find the probability that a student is over 70 inches. Sketch the graph. c) Find the probability that a student is under 63 inches. Sketch the graph. d) Find the 80th percentile of heights. EXAMPLE: THE MEAN IS 2 AND THE STANDARD DEVIATION IS 0.3 Find P(1.8<X<2.75) STADIUM CAPACITIES